Diabetes Risk Factors in People With HIV Receiving Pitavastatin Versus Placebo for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention : A Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: REPRIEVE (Randomized Trial to Prevent Vascular Events in HIV) led to new guidelines for statin use among people with HIV (PWH) with low to moderate risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Little is known about the natural history of diabetes mellitus (DM) or mechanisms contributing to statin effects on DM among this population. OBJECTIVE: To determine the contribution of known DM risk factors to excess risk for DM with pitavastatin in REPRIEVE. DESIGN: Phase 3, primary ASCVD prevention trial over a median of 5.6 years of follow-up. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02344290). SETTING: Global, multicenter trial. PARTICIPANTS: 7731 PWH aged 40 to 75 years with low to moderate ASCVD risk (by the pooled cohort equations from the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association) without DM at study entry. INTERVENTION: Random 1:1 assignment to pitavastatin, 4 mg daily, or placebo. MEASUREMENTS: New-onset DM was determined at each visit by clinical diagnosis requiring initiation of medication treatment for DM. The incidence of new-onset DM was assessed in relation to predefined demographic and metabolic risk factors, stratified by treatment group. Treatment effects of pitavastatin on progression to new DM in key subgroups were determined. RESULTS: Participants with at least 3 DM risk factors (vs. no risk factors) had increased risk for DM in each treatment group (incidence rate, 3.24 per 100 person-years [PY] vs. 0.34 per 100 PY [pitavastatin] and 2.66 per 100 PY vs. 0.27 per 100 PY [placebo]). The incidence of DM was highest in South Asia. In adjusted analyses, high body mass index, prediabetes, and metabolic syndrome components were strongly associated with new-onset DM (all P < 0.005). LIMITATION: Pitavastatin was the only statin assessed; DM was assessed clinically. CONCLUSION: Metabolic risk factors, including prediabetes and obesity, contributed to new-onset DM in statin- and placebo-treated participants. A clinically significant effect of pitavastatin on DM was seen primarily among those with multiple risk factors for DM at entry. Strategies targeting key metabolic risk factors, like obesity and prediabetes, may help protect against DM among PWH. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

Acute and preventive treatment of menstrual migraine: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: About a quarter of migraine cases among women have menstrual migraine (MM), which is usually more severe, longer lasting, and less responsive to treatment than typical migraine. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have evaluated the efficacy of several medication in the acute and preventive treatment of MM; this meta-analysis compared the effectiveness of these treatments. METHODS: We conducted systematic searches in the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, and Embase databases. The primary outcomes of acute treatment trials were pain relief at 2 and 24 h after treatment compared with placebo or another treatment. The three endpoints we checked for studying MM prevention were: no recurrence of headaches each month, a 50% reduction in monthly migraine days from baseline, and a decrease in the mean number of headache days per month. RESULTS: Out of 342 studies, 26 RCTs met the criteria. Triptans, combined with or without other analgesics, were superior to placebo in providing pain relief in the acute treatment and prevention of MM. Among the treatments, sumatriptan and lasmiditan demonstrated superior pain relief at 2 h (OR: 4.62) and 24 h (OR: 4.81). Frovatriptan exhibited effectiveness in preventing headache recurrence, whereas galcanezumab and erenumab displayed significant preventive benefits in reducing headache days per month. CONCLUSION: Sumatriptan and lasmiditan are effective first-line treatments for acute MM. For prevention, frovatriptan may be the more effective of triptans. Compared with triptans, CGRP monoclonal antibodies, here including erenumab and galcanezumab, are more effective in reducing headache days, and therefore, in preventing MM.

Association Between Lipoprotein(a) and Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease and High-Risk Plaque: Insights From the PROMISE Trial.

The role of lipoprotein (a) (Lp[a]) in the development of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) and high-risk plaque (HRP) in primary prevention patients with stable chest pain is unknown. We sought to evaluate the relation of Lp(a), independent of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), with the presence of obstructive CAD and HRP to improve understanding of the residual risk imparted by Lp(a) on CAD. We performed a secondary analysis in Prospective Multicenter Imaging Study for Evaluation of Chest Pain (PROMISE) Trial participants who had coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) performed and Lp(a) data available. Lp(a) concentration was analyzed as a binary variable, with elevated Lp(a) defined as ≥50 mg/100 ml. "Stenosis ≥50%" was defined as ≥50% coronary artery stenosis in any epicardial vessel, and "stenosis ≥70%" was defined as ≥70% coronary artery stenosis in any epicardial vessel and/or ≥50% left main coronary artery stenosis. HRP was defined as presence of plaque on CTA imaging with evidence of positive remodeling, low computed tomography attenuation, or napkin-ring sign. Multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to evaluate the association between Lp(a) and the outcomes of obstructive CAD and HRP stratified by LDL-C ≥100 versus <100 mg/100 ml. Of the 1,815 patients who underwent CTA and had Lp(a) data available, those with elevated Lp(a) were more commonly women and Black than those with lower Lp(a). Elevated Lp(a) was associated with stenosis ≥50% (odds ratio 1.57, 95% confidence interval 1.14 to 2.15, p = 0.005) and stenosis ≥70% (odds ratio 2.05, 95% confidence interval 1.34 to 3.11, p = 0.0008) in the multivariate models, and this relation was not modified by LDL-C ≥100 versus <100 mg/100 ml (interaction p >0.4). Elevated Lp(a) was not associated with HRP when adjusted for obstructive CAD. This study of patients without known CAD found that elevated Lp(a) ≥50 mg/100 ml was independently associated with the presence of obstructive CAD regardless of controlled versus uncontrolled LDL-C but was not independently associated with HRP when stenosis ≥50% or ≥70% was accounted for. Further research is warranted to delineate the role of Lp(a) in the residual risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease that patients may have despite optimal LDL-C lowering.

Proteinuria and albuminuria among a global primary CVD prevention cohort of PWH: prevalence and associated factors.

OBJECTIVES: To determine baseline prevalence of proteinuria and albuminuria among REPRIEVE participants and evaluate associated risk factors. DESIGN: Cross sectional analysis of a baseline sample of participants from the REPRIEVE Trial. METHODS: REPRIEVE is an international primary cardiovascular prevention RCT of pitavastatin calcium vs. placebo among PWH on antiretroviral therapy. A representative subset (2791 participants) had urine collected at study entry. Urine protein to creatinine ratios (uPCR) and albumin to creatinine ratios (uACR) were classified as normal, moderately increased and severely increased. These were dichotomized to Normal or Abnormal for log-binomial regression analysis. Demographic, cardiometabolic, and HIV-specific data were compared among those with normal versus abnormal results. RESULTS: Overall, median age 49 years, 41% female sex, 47% black or African American race, 36% had eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 mm2. For uPCR, 27% had moderately or severely increased values. For uACR, 9% had moderately or severely increased values. In the fully adjusted model for proteinuria, female sex, older age, residence in sub-Saharan Africa or East Asia, lower BMI, lower CD4 cell count, and use of TDF were associated with abnormal values. In the fully adjusted model for albuminuria, a diagnosis of HTN was associated with abnormal values. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal proteinuria and albuminuria remain common (27% and 9%) despite controlled HIV. Lower current CD4 count and TDF use were strongly associated with proteinuria. Certain modifiable comorbidities, including HTN and smoking, were associated with abnormal values. In PWH with preserved eGFR, urine measures identify subclinical kidney disease and afford the opportunity for intervention.

Association of Cardiac Troponin T With Coronary Atherosclerosis in Asymptomatic Primary Prevention People With HIV.

Background: Coronary plaque is common among people with HIV (PWH) with low-to-moderate traditional atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine the association of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) levels with coronary plaque characteristics and evaluate if hs-cTnT improves identification of these features beyond traditional ASCVD risk factors among PWH. Methods: Among PWH receiving stable antiretroviral therapy with low-to-moderate ASCVD risk and no known history of ASCVD, hs-cTnT levels and measures of plaque by coronary computed tomography angiography were assessed. Primary outcomes included the association of hs-cTnT level with the presence of any plaque, vulnerable plaque, coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, and Leaman score. Assessment of model discrimination of hs-cTnT for plaque characteristics was also performed. Results: The cohort included 708 U.S. participants with a mean age of 51 ± 6 years, 119 (17%) females, a median ASCVD risk score of 4.4% (Q1-Q3: 2.5%-6.6%), and a median hs-cTnT level of 6.7 ng/L (detectable level ≥6 ng/L in 61%). Any plaque was present in 341 (48%), vulnerable plaque in 155 (22%), CAC>100 in 68 (10%), and a Leaman score >5 in 105 (15%). After adjustment for ASCVD risk score, participants with hs-cTnT >9.6 ng/L (highest category) versus an undetectable level (<6 ng/L) had a greater relative risk for any plaque (1.37, 95% CI: 1.12-1.67), vulnerable plaque (1.47, 95% CI: 1.16-1.87), CAC>100 (2.58, 95% CI: 1.37-4.83), and Leaman score >5 (2.13, 95% CI: 1.32-3.46). The addition of hs-cTnT level modestly improved the discrimination of ASCVD risk score to identify critical plaque features. Conclusions: In PWH without known ASCVD, hs-cTnT levels were strongly associated with and improved prediction of subclinical coronary plaque. (Evaluating the Use of Pitavastatin to Reduce the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in HIV-Infected Adults [REPRIEVE]; NCT02344290).

Development and Unfolding of the Life Course Movement in the Field of Maternal and Child Health: An Oral History.

INTRODUCTION: A life course perspective in maternal, child, and family health allows for integrated exploration of outcomes, incorporating multifactorial determinants of health to interrogate sources of inequity and identify opportunities for intervention. This article explores the historical development, integration, and implications of the contemporary life course perspective in the field of maternal and child health (MCH), and particularly the people and events which institutionalized the framework as central to national and local MCH practice and research over the last decades. METHODS: Drawing on an oral history approach, key leaders of the life course movement in MCH were interviewed. Lived experiences and personal recollections of six interviewees were recorded and synthesized using a narrative descriptive approach to portray the social ecology of the movement's origins. RESULTS: We documented systematic efforts made in the first two decades of the 21st century to consciously promote life course through convening a National MCH Life Course Invitational Meeting, incorporating life course as a foundational framework for strategic planning at the Maternal Child Health Bureau, and development of tools and resources by MCH professional organizations. DISCUSSION: The integration of life course theory into the MCH field signified a major shift towards addressing protective and social factors, which aligns with the field's historical emphasis on social justice and rights-based approaches, and parallels the broader public health movement towards social determinants of health and the need to address structural racism. The ongoing relevance of the life course approach in promoting reproductive justice and addressing inequities in health underscores the historical importance of its adoption and use in the current mainstream of MCH research, policy, and practice.

External Testing of a Deep Learning Model to Estimate Biologic Age Using Chest Radiographs.

Purpose To assess the prognostic value of a deep learning-based chest radiographic age (hereafter, CXR-Age) model in a large external test cohort of Asian individuals. Materials and Methods This single-center, retrospective study included chest radiographs from consecutive, asymptomatic Asian individuals aged 50-80 years who underwent health checkups between January 2004 and June 2018. This study performed a dedicated external test of a previously developed CXR-Age model, which predicts an age adjusted based on the risk of all-cause mortality. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of CXR-Age for all-cause, cardiovascular, lung cancer, and respiratory disease mortality were assessed using multivariable Cox or Fine-Gray models, and their added values were evaluated by likelihood ratio tests. Results A total of 36 924 individuals (mean chronological age, 58 years ± 7 [SD]; CXR-Age, 60 years ± 5; 22 352 male) were included. During a median follow-up of 11.0 years, 1250 individuals (3.4%) died, including 153 cardiovascular (0.4%), 166 lung cancer (0.4%), and 98 respiratory (0.3%) deaths. CXR-Age was a significant risk factor for all-cause (adjusted HR at chronological age of 50 years, 1.03; at 60 years, 1.05; at 70 years, 1.07), cardiovascular (adjusted HR, 1.11), lung cancer (adjusted HR for individuals who formerly smoked, 1.12; for those who currently smoke, 1.05), and respiratory disease (adjusted HR, 1.12) mortality (P < .05 for all). The likelihood ratio test demonstrated added prognostic value of CXR-Age to clinical factors, including chronological age for all outcomes (P < .001 for all). Conclusion Deep learning-based chest radiographic age was associated with various survival outcomes and had added value to clinical factors in asymptomatic Asian individuals, suggesting its generalizability. Keywords: Conventional Radiography, Thorax, Heart, Lung, Mediastinum, Outcomes Analysis, Quantification, Prognosis, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024 See also the commentary by Adams and Bressem in this issue.

Variant Coronary Arterial Collateral Ring.

A 74-year-old man presented with symptoms and noninvasive diagnostic studies suggestive of myocardial infarction. Coronary angiography revealed total occlusion of the distal right coronary artery with a unique accessory coronary ring that provided retrograde collateral flow to the left ventricle, demonstrating the importance of considering non-native vessels when identifying target lesions.

Standards for quantitative assessments by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA): An expert consensus document of the society of cardiovascular computed tomography (SCCT).

In current clinical practice, qualitative or semi-quantitative measures are primarily used to report coronary artery disease on cardiac CT. With advancements in cardiac CT technology and automated post-processing tools, quantitative measures of coronary disease severity have become more broadly available. Quantitative coronary CT angiography has great potential value for clinical management of patients, but also for research. This document aims to provide definitions and standards for the performance and reporting of quantitative measures of coronary artery disease by cardiac CT.

Coronary Plaque in People With HIV vs Non-HIV Asymptomatic Community and Symptomatic Higher-Risk Populations.

Background: People with HIV (PWH) have a high burden of coronary plaques; however, the comparison to people without known HIV (PwoH) needs clarification. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine coronary plaque burden/phenotype in PWH vs PwoH. Methods: Nonstatin using participants from 3 contemporary populations without known coronary plaques with coronary CT were compared: the REPRIEVE (Randomized Trial to Prevent Vascular Events in HIV) studying PWH without cardiovascular symptoms at low-to-moderate risk (n = 755); the SCAPIS (Swedish Cardiopulmonary Bioimage Study) of asymptomatic community PwoH at low-to-intermediate cardiovascular risk (n = 23,558); and the PROMISE (Prospective Multicenter Imaging Study for Evaluation of Chest Pain) of stable chest pain PwoH (n = 2,291). The coronary plaque prevalence on coronary CT was compared, and comparisons were stratified by 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, age, and coronary artery calcium (CAC) presence. Results: Compared to SCAPIS and PROMISE PwoH, REPRIEVE PWH were younger (50.8 ± 5.8 vs 57.3 ± 4.3 and 60.0 ± 8.0 years; P < 0.001) and had lower ASCVD risk (5.0% ± 3.2% vs 6.0% ± 5.3% and 13.5% ± 11.0%; P < 0.001). More PWH had plaque compared to the asymptomatic cohort (48.5% vs 40.3%; P < 0.001). When stratified by ASCVD risk, PWH had more plaque compared to SCAPIS and a similar prevalence of plaque compared to PROMISE. CAC = 0 was more prevalent in PWH (REPRIEVE 65.2%; SCAPIS 61.6%; PROMISE 49.6%); among CAC = 0, plaque was more prevalent in PWH compared to the PwoH cohorts (REPRIEVE 20.8%; SCAPIS 5.4%; PROMISE 12.3%, P < 0.001). Conclusions: Asymptomatic PWH in REPRIEVE had more plaque than asymptomatic PwoH in SCAPIS but had similar prevalence to a higher-risk stable chest pain cohort in PROMISE. In PWH, CAC = 0 does not reliably exclude plaque.

Association of T-cell subtypes with macrophage-specific arterial infiltration in PWH.

People with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV, PWH) face an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared to the general population. We previously demonstrated that people with (versus without) HIV have higher macrophage-specific arterial infiltration in relation to systemic monocyte activation. We now show that select T lymphocyte subpopulations (naïve CD4+, effector memory CD4+, and central memory CD8+) are differentially associated with macrophage-specific arterial infiltration among participants with versus without HIV, with evidence of interaction by HIV status. Our results suggest that among PWH, circulating T lymphocytes associate with macrophage-specific arterial infiltration, of relevance to atherogenesis and CVD risk. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02542371.

Lipoprotein subclasses are associated with Hepatic steatosis: insights from the prospective multicenter imaging study for the evaluation of chest pain (PROMISE) clinical trial.

Objectives: To determine the relationship between lipoprotein particle size/number with hepatic steatosis (HS), given its association with traditional lipoproteins and coronary atherosclerosis. Methods: Individuals with available CT data and blood samples enrolled in the PROMISE trial were studied. HS was defined based on CT attenuation. Lipoprotein particle size/number were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Principal components analysis (PCA) was used for dimensionality reduction. The association of PCA factors and individual lipoprotein particle size/number with HS were assessed in multivariable regression models. Associations were validated in an independent cohort of 59 individuals with histopathology defined HS. Results: Individuals with HS (n=410/1,509) vs those without (n=1,099/1,509), were younger (59±8 vs 61±8 years) and less often females (47.6 % vs 55.9 %). All PCA factors were associated with HS: factor 1 (OR:1.36, 95 %CI:1.21-1.53), factor 3 (OR:1.75, 95 %CI:1.53-2.02) and factor 4 (OR:1.49; 95 %CI:1.32-1.68) were weighted heavily with small low density lipoprotein (LDL) and triglyceride-rich (TRL) particles, while factor 2 (OR:0.86, 95 %CI:0.77-0.97) and factor 5 (OR:0.74, 95 %CI:0.65-0.84) were heavily loaded with high density lipoprotein (HDL) and larger LDL particles. These observations were confirmed with the analysis of individual lipoprotein particles in PROMISE. In the validation cohort, association between HS and large TRL (OR: 8.16, 95 %CI:1.82-61.98), and mean sizes of TRL- (OR: 2.82, 95 %CI:1.14-9.29) and HDL (OR:0.35, 95 %CI:0.13-0.72) were confirmed. Conclusions: Large TRL, mean sizes of TRL-, and HDL were associated with radiographic and histopathologic HS. The use of lipoprotein particle size/number could improve cardiovascular risk assessment in HS.

Bichloride-based ionic liquids for the merged storage, processing, and electrolysis of hydrogen chloride.

Hydrogen chloride is produced as a by-product in industrial processes on a million-ton scale. Since HCl is inherently dangerous, its storage and transport are avoided by, e.g., on-site electrolysis providing H2 and Cl2 which usually requires complex cell designs and PFAS-based membranes. Here we report a complementary approach to safely store 0.61 kilogram HCl per kilogram storage material [NEt3Me]Cl forming the bichloride [NEt3Me][Cl(HCl)n]. Although HCl release is possible from this ionic liquid by heat or vacuum, the bichloride can be used directly to produce base chemicals like vinyl chloride. Alternatively, [NEt3Me][Cl(HCl)n] is electrolyzed under anhydrous conditions using a membrane-free cell to generate H2 and the corresponding chlorination agent [NEt3Me][Cl(Cl2)n], enabling the combination of these ionic liquids for the production of base chemicals.

Selective Use of CT Fractional Flow at a Large Academic Medical Center: Insights from Clinical Implementation after 1 Year of Practice.

Purpose This special report outlines a retrospective observational study of CT fractional flow reserve (CT-FFR) analysis using dual-source coronary CT angiography (CTA) scans performed without heart rate control and its impact on clinical outcomes. Materials and Methods All patients who underwent clinically indicated coronary CTA between August 2020 and August 2021 were included in this retrospective observational study. Scans were performed in the late systolic to early diastolic period without heart rate control and analyzed at the interpreting physician's discretion. Demographics, coronary CTA features, and rates of invasive coronary angiography (ICA), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), myocardial infarction, and all-cause death at 3 months were assessed by chart review. Results During the study period, 3098 patients underwent coronary CTA, of whom 113 with coronary bypass grafting were excluded. Of the remaining 2985 patients, 292 (9.7%) were referred for CT-FFR analysis. Two studies (0.7%) were rejected from CT-FFR analysis, and six (2.1%) analyses did not evaluate the lesion of concern. A total of 160 patients (56.3%) had CT-FFR greater than 0.80. Among patients with significant stenosis at coronary CTA, patients who underwent CT-FFR analysis presented with lower rates of ICA (74.5% vs 25.5%, P = .04) and PCI (78.9% vs 21.1%, P = .05). Conclusion CT-FFR was implemented in patients not requiring heart rate control by using dual-source coronary CTA acquisition and showed the potential to decrease rates of ICA and PCI without compromising safety in patients with significant stenosis and an average heart rate of 65 beats per minute. Keywords: Angiography, CT, CT-Angiography, Fractional Flow Reserve, Cardiac, Heart, Arteriosclerosis Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.

Deep learning analysis of epicardial adipose tissue to predict cardiovascular risk in heavy smokers.

BACKGROUND: Heavy smokers are at increased risk for cardiovascular disease and may benefit from individualized risk quantification using routine lung cancer screening chest computed tomography. We investigated the prognostic value of deep learning-based automated epicardial adipose tissue quantification and compared it to established cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcium. METHODS: We investigated the prognostic value of automated epicardial adipose tissue quantification in heavy smokers enrolled in the National Lung Screening Trial and followed for 12.3 (11.9-12.8) years. The epicardial adipose tissue was segmented and quantified on non-ECG-synchronized, non-contrast low-dose chest computed tomography scans using a validated deep-learning algorithm. Multivariable survival regression analyses were then utilized to determine the associations of epicardial adipose tissue volume and density with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (myocardial infarction and stroke). RESULTS: Here we show in 24,090 adult heavy smokers (59% men; 61 ± 5 years) that epicardial adipose tissue volume and density are independently associated with all-cause (adjusted hazard ratios: 1.10 and 1.38; P < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratios: 1.14 and 1.78; P < 0.001) beyond demographics, clinical risk factors, body habitus, level of education, and coronary artery calcium score. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that automated assessment of epicardial adipose tissue from low-dose lung cancer screening images offers prognostic value in heavy smokers, with potential implications for cardiovascular risk stratification in this high-risk population.

Heavy smokers are at increased risk of poor health outcomes, particularly outcomes related to cardiovascular disease. We explore how fat surrounding the heart, known as epicardial adipose tissue, may be an indicator of the health of heavy smokers. We use an artificial intelligence system to measure the heart fat on chest scans of heavy smokers taken during a lung cancer screening trial and following their health for 12 years. We find that higher amounts and denser epicardial adipose tissue are linked to an increased risk of death from any cause, specifically from heart-related issues, even when considering other health factors. This suggests that measuring epicardial adipose tissue during lung cancer screenings could be a valuable tool for identifying heavy smokers at greater risk of heart problems and death, possibly helping to guide their medical management and improve their cardiovascular health.

Polygenic Scores and Preclinical Cardiovascular Disease in Individuals With HIV: Insights From the REPRIEVE Trial.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of death among the 38.4 million people with HIV globally. The extent to which cardiovascular polygenic risk scores (PRSs) derived in non-HIV populations generalize to people with HIV is not well understood. METHODS AND RESULTS: PRSs for CAD (GPSMult) and lipid traits were calculated in a global cohort of people with HIV treated with antiretroviral therapy with low-to-moderate atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk enrolled in REPRIEVE (Randomized Trial to Prevent Vascular Events in HIV). The PRSs were associated with baseline lipid traits in 4495 genotyped participants, and with subclinical CAD in a subset of 662 who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography. Among participants who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (mean age, 50.9 [SD, 5.8] years; 16.1% women; 41.8% African, 57.3% European, 1.1% Asian), GPSMult was associated with plaque presence with odds ratio (OR) per SD in GPSMult of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.20-1.68; P=3.8×10-5), stenosis >50% (OR, 2.39 [95% CI, 1.48-3.85]; P=3.4×10-4), and noncalcified/vulnerable plaque (OR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.23-1.72]; P=9.6×10-6). Effects were consistent in subgroups of age, sex, 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk, ancestry, and CD4 count. Adding GPSMult to established risk factors increased the C-statistic for predicting plaque presence from 0.718 to 0.734 (P=0.02). Furthermore, a PRS for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with plaque presence with OR of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.01-1.44; P=0.04), and partially calcified plaque with OR of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.01-1.45; P=0.04) per SD. CONCLUSIONS: Among people with HIV treated with antiretroviral therapy without documented atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and at low-to-moderate calculated risk in REPRIEVE, an externally developed CAD PRS was predictive of subclinical atherosclerosis. PRS for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was also associated with subclinical atherosclerosis, supporting a role for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in HIV-associated CAD. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.reprievetrial.org; Unique identifier: NCT02344290.

Deep Learning to Estimate Cardiovascular Risk From Chest Radiographs : A Risk Prediction Study.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) recommend a risk calculator (ASCVD risk score) to estimate 10-year risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Because the necessary inputs are often missing, complementary approaches for opportunistic risk assessment are desirable. OBJECTIVE: To develop and test a deep-learning model (CXR CVD-Risk) that estimates 10-year risk for MACE from a routine chest radiograph (CXR) and compare its performance with that of the traditional ASCVD risk score for implications for statin eligibility. DESIGN: Risk prediction study. SETTING: Outpatients potentially eligible for primary cardiovascular prevention. PARTICIPANTS: The CXR CVD-Risk model was developed using data from a cancer screening trial. It was externally validated in 8869 outpatients with unknown ASCVD risk because of missing inputs to calculate the ASCVD risk score and in 2132 outpatients with known risk whose ASCVD risk score could be calculated. MEASUREMENTS: 10-year MACE predicted by CXR CVD-Risk versus the ASCVD risk score. RESULTS: Among 8869 outpatients with unknown ASCVD risk, those with a risk of 7.5% or higher as predicted by CXR CVD-Risk had higher 10-year risk for MACE after adjustment for risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.73 [95% CI, 1.47 to 2.03]). In the additional 2132 outpatients with known ASCVD risk, CXR CVD-Risk predicted MACE beyond the traditional ASCVD risk score (adjusted HR, 1.88 [CI, 1.24 to 2.85]). LIMITATION: Retrospective study design using electronic medical records. CONCLUSION: On the basis of a single CXR, CXR CVD-Risk predicts 10-year MACE beyond the clinical standard and may help identify individuals at high risk whose ASCVD risk score cannot be calculated because of missing data. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: None.