Integrating randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions to assess the effect of rare events: a Bayesian re-analysis of two meta-analyses.

BACKGROUND: There is a growing trend to include non-randomised studies of interventions (NRSIs) in rare events meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) to complement the evidence from the latter. An important consideration when combining RCTs and NRSIs is how to address potential bias and down-weighting of NRSIs in the pooled estimates. The aim of this study is to explore the use of a power prior approach in a Bayesian framework for integrating RCTs and NRSIs to assess the effect of rare events. METHODS: We proposed a method of specifying the down-weighting factor based on judgments of the relative magnitude (no information, and low, moderate, serious and critical risk of bias) of the overall risk of bias for each NRSI using the ROBINS-I tool. The methods were illustrated using two meta-analyses, with particular interest in the risk of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) in patients using sodium/glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors compared with active comparators, and the association between low-dose methotrexate exposure and melanoma. RESULTS: No significant results were observed for these two analyses when the data from RCTs only were pooled (risk of DKA: OR = 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.25-2.69; risk of melanoma: OR = 1.94, 95%CI: 0.72-5.27). When RCTs and NRSIs were directly combined without distinction in the same meta-analysis, both meta-analyses showed significant results (risk of DKA: OR = 1.50, 95%CI: 1.11-2.03; risk of melanoma: OR = 1.16, 95%CI: 1.08-1.24). Using Bayesian analysis to account for NRSI bias, there was a 90% probability of an increased risk of DKA in users receiving SGLT-2 inhibitors and an 91% probability of an increased risk of melanoma in patients using low-dose methotrexate. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that including NRSIs in a meta-analysis of RCTs for rare events could increase the certainty and comprehensiveness of the evidence. The estimates obtained from NRSIs are generally considered to be biased, and the possible influence of NRSIs on the certainty of the combined evidence needs to be carefully investigated.

Ngfr+ cholinergic projection from SI/nBM to mPFC selectively regulates temporal order recognition memory.

Acetylcholine regulates various cognitive functions through broad cholinergic innervation. However, specific cholinergic subpopulations, circuits and molecular mechanisms underlying recognition memory remain largely unknown. Here we show that Ngfr+ cholinergic neurons in the substantia innominate (SI)/nucleus basalis of Meynert (nBM)-medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) circuit selectively underlies recency judgements. Loss of nerve growth factor receptor (Ngfr-/- mice) reduced the excitability of cholinergic neurons in the SI/nBM-mPFC circuit but not in the medial septum (MS)-hippocampus pathway, and impaired temporal order memory but not novel object and object location recognition. Expression of Ngfr in Ngfr-/- SI/nBM restored defected temporal order memory. Fiber photometry revealed that acetylcholine release in mPFC not only predicted object encounters but also mediated recency judgments of objects, and such acetylcholine release was absent in Ngfr-/- mPFC. Chemogenetic and optogenetic inhibition of SI/nBM projection to mPFC in ChAT-Cre mice diminished mPFC acetylcholine release and deteriorated temporal order recognition. Impaired cholinergic activity led to a depolarizing shift of GABAergic inputs to mPFC pyramidal neurons, due to disturbed KCC2-mediated chloride gradients. Finally, potentiation of acetylcholine signaling upregulated KCC2 levels, restored GABAergic driving force and rescued temporal order recognition deficits in Ngfr-/- mice. Thus, NGFR-dependent SI/nBM-mPFC cholinergic circuit underlies temporal order recognition memory.

A Bayesian bias-adjusted random-effects model for synthesizing evidence from randomized controlled trials and nonrandomized studies of interventions.

OBJECTIVE: An important consideration when combining RCTs and NRSIs is how to address their potential biases in the pooled estimates. This study aimed to propose a Bayesian bias-adjusted random effects model for the synthesis of evidence from RCTs and NRSIs. METHODS: We present a Bayesian bias-adjusted random effects model based on power prior method, which combines the likelihood contribution of the NRSIs, raised to the power parameter of alpha, with the likelihood of the RCT data, modeled with an additive bias. The method was illustrated using a meta-analysis on the association between low-dose methotrexate exposure and melanoma. We also combined RCTs and NRSIs using the naïve data synthesis. RESULTS: The results including only RCTs has a posterior median and 95% credible interval (CrI) of 1.18 (0.31-4.04), the posterior probability of any harm (> 1.0) and a meaningful association (> 1.15) were 0.61 and 0.52, respectively. The posterior median and 95% CrI based on the naïve data synthesis resulted in 1.17 (0.96-1.47), and the posterior probability of any harm and a meaningful association were 0.96 and 0.60, respectively. For the Bayesian bias-adjusted analysis, the median OR was 1.16 (95% CrI: 0.83-1.71), and the posterior probabilities of any and a meaningful clinical association were 0.88 and 0.53, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicated that integrating NRSIs into meta-analysis could increase the certainty of the body of evidence. However, directly combining RCTs and NRSIs in the same meta-analysis without distinction may lead to misleading conclusions.

Antifungal efficacy of natural antiseptic products against Candida auris.

Candida auris is an emerging fungal pathogen responsible for healthcare-associated infections and outbreaks with high mortality around the world. It readily colonizes the skin, nares, respiratory and urinary tract of hospitalized patients, and such colonization may lead to invasive Candida infection in susceptible patients. However, there is no recommended decolonization protocol for C. auris by international health authorities. The aim of this study is to evaluate the susceptibility of C. auris to commonly used synthetic and natural antiseptic products using an in vitro, broth microdilution assay. Synthetic antiseptics including chlorhexidine, povidone-iodine, and nystatin were shown to be fungicidal against C. auris. Among the natural antiseptics tested, tea tree oil and manuka oil were both fungicidal against C. auris at concentrations less than or equal to 1.25% (v/v). Manuka honey inhibited C. auris at 25% (v/v) concentrations. Among the commercial products tested, manuka body wash and mouthwash were fungicidal against C. auris at concentrations less than or equal to 0.39% (w/v) and 6.25% (v/v) of products as supplied for use, respectively, while tea tree body wash and MedihoneyTM wound gel demonstrated fungistatic properties. In conclusion, this study demonstrated good in vitro antifungal efficacy of tea tree oil, manuka oil, manuka honey, and commercially available antiseptic products containing these active ingredients. Future studies are warranted to evaluate the effectiveness of these antiseptic products in clinical settings.

Candida auris is an emerging superbug fungus that poses a serious threat to global public health. The excellent antifungal efficacy of natural antiseptics and their commercial hygiene products provide new insights into the development of an alternative decolonization regimen against C. auris.

Adaptive designs were primarily used but inadequately reported in early phase drug trials.

BACKGROUND: Faced with the high cost and limited efficiency of classical randomized controlled trials, researchers are increasingly applying adaptive designs to speed up the development of new drugs. However, the application of adaptive design to drug randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and whether the reporting is adequate are unclear. Thus, this study aimed to summarize the epidemiological characteristics of the relevant trials and assess their reporting quality by the Adaptive designs CONSORT Extension (ACE) checklist. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) and ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to January 2020. We included drug RCTs that explicitly claimed to be adaptive trials or used any type of adaptative design. We extracted the epidemiological characteristics of included studies to summarize their adaptive design application. We assessed the reporting quality of the trials by Adaptive designs CONSORT Extension (ACE) checklist. Univariable and multivariable linear regression models were used to the association of four prespecified factors with the quality of reporting. RESULTS: Our survey included 108 adaptive trials. We found that adaptive design has been increasingly applied over the years, and was commonly used in phase II trials (n = 45, 41.7%). The primary reasons for using adaptive design were to speed the trial and facilitate decision-making (n = 24, 22.2%), maximize the benefit of participants (n = 21, 19.4%), and reduce the total sample size (n = 15, 13.9%). Group sequential design (n = 63, 58.3%) was the most frequently applied method, followed by adaptive randomization design (n = 26, 24.1%), and adaptive dose-finding design (n = 24, 22.2%). The proportion of adherence to the ACE checklist of 26 topics ranged from 7.4 to 99.1%, with eight topics being adequately reported (i.e., level of adherence ≥ 80%), and eight others being poorly reported (i.e., level of adherence ≤ 30%). In addition, among the seven items specific for adaptive trials, three were poorly reported: accessibility to statistical analysis plan (n = 8, 7.4%), measures for confidentiality (n = 14, 13.0%), and assessments of similarity between interim stages (n = 25, 23.1%). The mean score of the ACE checklist was 13.9 (standard deviation [SD], 3.5) out of 26. According to our multivariable regression analysis, later published trials (estimated ß = 0.14, p < 0.01) and the multicenter trials (estimated ß = 2.22, p < 0.01) were associated with better reporting. CONCLUSION: Adaptive design has shown an increasing use over the years, and was primarily applied to early phase drug trials. However, the reporting quality of adaptive trials is suboptimal, and substantial efforts are needed to improve the reporting.

Adoption of the cardiopulmonary exercise test in the exercise ability and cardiopulmonary function rehabilitation of coronary artery disease (CAD) patients.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to explore the application of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients, evaluate its impact on exercise ability and cardiopulmonary function in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), and promote the application of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in CAD management. METHODS: Fifty CHD patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were recruited and randomly enrolled into the control (Ctrl) group and intervention (Int) group. Routine health education and health education combined with RT training were carried out for the two groups. Blood lipid levels and lung function were compared between the two groups after intervention. Cardiac function was evaluated by Doppler ultrasonography, and cardiopulmonary fitness and exercise ability were evaluated by a cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET). The self-rating anxiety scale (SAS) and self-rating depression scale (SDS) were employed to evaluate negative emotions. The 36-item short-form (SF-36) was adopted to evaluate quality of life. RESULT: Compared with those in the Ctrl group, the levels of serum total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TGs), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) decreased in the Int group, while the levels of high-density lipoprotein increased (P < 0.05). The quantitative load results showed that compared with the Ctrl group, the heart rate (HR) and self-perceived fatigue degree of the Int group decreased, and the ST segment increased (P < 0.05). Compared with the Ctrl group, the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), forced expiratory volume at 1 s (FEV1), ratio of forced expiratory volume to forced vital volume (FEV1/FVC%), and maximum chase volume (MVV) increased in the Int group, while the left ventricular end diastolic diameter and left ventricular end contractile diameter decreased (P < 0.05). The results of the CPET showed that compared with the Ctrl group, minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope, VE/VCO2 - Peak, anaerobic threshold (AT), peak oxygen pulse (VO2/HR peak), oxygen uptake efficiency platform (OUEP), increasing power exercise time (IPEt), HR recovery 1 min after exercise, peak load power (Watt peak), and value metabolic equivalent (Watt peak) increased in the Int group (P < 0.05). Compared with the Ctrl group, the SAS and SDS scores in the Int group decreased (P < 0.05). The results of the quality of life evaluation showed that compared with the Ctrl group, the score of the SF-36 dimensions increased in the Int group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: RT training can reduce postoperative blood lipid and quantitative load levels in CAD patients and improve adverse mood. Furthermore, it can improve patients' cardiopulmonary function, cardiopulmonary fitness, exercise ability, and quality of life.

Tethered balloon system and High-Resolution Mass Spectrometry Reveal Increased Organonitrates Aloft Compared to the Ground Level.

Atmospheric particles play critical roles in climate. However, significant knowledge gaps remain regarding the vertically resolved organic molecular-level composition of atmospheric particles due to aloft sampling challenges. To address this, we use a tethered balloon system at the Southern Great Plains Observatory and high-resolution mass spectrometry to, respectively, collect and characterize organic molecular formulas (MF) in the ground level and aloft (up to 750 m) samples. We show that organic MF uniquely detected aloft were dominated by organonitrates (139 MF; 54% of all uniquely detected aloft MF). Organonitrates that were uniquely detected aloft featured elevated O/C ratios (0.73 ± 0.23) compared to aloft organonitrates that were commonly observed at the ground level (0.63 ± 0.22). Unique aloft organic molecular composition was positively associated with increased cloud coverage, increased aloft relative humidity (∼40% increase compared to ground level), and decreased vertical wind variance. Furthermore, 29% of extremely low volatility organic compounds in the aloft sample were truly unique to the aloft sample compared to the ground level, emphasizing potential oligomer formation at higher altitudes. Overall, this study highlights the importance of considering vertically resolved organic molecular composition (particularly for organonitrates) and hypothesizes that aqueous phase transformations and vertical wind variance may be key variables affecting the molecular composition of aloft organic aerosol.

BREAST-Q REACT: Qualitative Assessment of the Design, Functionality, and Clinical Utility of a New Score Interpretation Tool.

BACKGROUND: The BREAST-Q real-time engagement and communication tool (REACT) was developed to aid with BREAST-Q score interpretation and guide patient-centered care. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this qualitative study was to examine the perspectives of patients and providers on the design, functionality, and clinical utility of REACT and refine the REACT based on their recommendations. METHODS: We conducted three patient focus groups with women who were at least 6 postoperative months from their postmastectomy breast reconstruction, and two provider focus groups with plastic surgeons, breast surgeons, and advanced practice providers. Focus groups were audio-taped, transcribed verbatim, and analyzed thematically. RESULTS: A total of 18 breast reconstruction patients and 14 providers participated in the focus groups. Themes identified by thematic analysis were organized into two categories: (1) design and functionality, and (2) clinical utility. On the design and functionality of REACT, four major themes were identified: visual appeal and usefulness; contextualizing results; ability to normalize patients' experiences, noting participants' concerns; and suggested modifications. On the clinical utility of REACT, three major themes were identified: potential to empower patients to communicate with their providers; increase patient and provider motivation to engage with the BREAST-Q; and effective integration into clinical workflow. CONCLUSION: Patients and providers in this qualitative study indicated that with some modifications, REACT has a great potential to elevate the clinical utility of the BREAST-Q by enhancing patient-provider communication that can lead to patient-centered, clinically relevant action recommendations based on longitudinal BREAST-Q scores.