Monkeypox virus genomic accordion strategies.

The 2023 monkeypox (mpox) epidemic was caused by a subclade IIb descendant of a monkeypox virus (MPXV) lineage traced back to Nigeria in 1971. Person-to-person transmission appears higher than for clade I or subclade IIa MPXV, possibly caused by genomic changes in subclade IIb MPXV. Key genomic changes could occur in the genome's low-complexity regions (LCRs), which are challenging to sequence and are often dismissed as uninformative. Here, using a combination of highly sensitive techniques, we determine a high-quality MPXV genome sequence of a representative of the current epidemic with LCRs resolved at unprecedented accuracy. This reveals significant variation in short tandem repeats within LCRs. We demonstrate that LCR entropy in the MPXV genome is significantly higher than that of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and that LCRs are not randomly distributed. In silico analyses indicate that expression, translation, stability, or function of MPXV orthologous poxvirus genes (OPGs), including OPG153, OPG204, and OPG208, could be affected in a manner consistent with the established "genomic accordion" evolutionary strategies of orthopoxviruses. We posit that genomic studies focusing on phenotypic MPXV differences should consider LCR variability.

Early administration of tecovirimat shortens the time to mpox clearance in a model of human infection.

Despite use of tecovirimat since the beginning of the 2022 outbreak, few data have been published on its antiviral effect in humans. We here predict tecovirimat efficacy using a unique set of data in nonhuman primates (NHPs) and humans. We analyzed tecovirimat antiviral activity on viral kinetics in NHP to characterize its concentration-effect relationship in vivo. Next, we used a pharmacological model developed in healthy volunteers to project its antiviral efficacy in humans. Finally, a viral dynamic model was applied to characterize mpox kinetics in skin lesions from 54 untreated patients, and we used this modeling framework to predict the impact of tecovirimat on viral clearance in skin lesions. At human-recommended doses, tecovirimat could inhibit viral replication from infected cells by more than 90% after 3 to 5 days of drug administration and achieved over 97% efficacy at drug steady state. With an estimated mpox within-host basic reproduction number, R0, equal to 5.6, tecovirimat could therefore shorten the time to viral clearance if given before viral peak. We predicted that initiating treatment at symptom onset, which on average occurred 2 days before viral peak, could reduce the time to viral clearance by about 6 days. Immediate postexposure prophylaxis could not only reduce time to clearance but also lower peak viral load by more than 1.0 log10 copies/mL and shorten the duration of positive viral culture by about 7 to 10 days. These findings support the early administration of tecovirimat against mpox infection, ideally starting from the infection day as a postexposure prophylaxis.

Evaluating the Accuracy of Self-Collected Swabs for the Diagnosis of Mpox.

We evaluated the accuracy of patient-collected skin lesions, oropharyngeal, and rectal swabs among 50 individuals enrolled in a study of mpox viral dynamics. We found that the performance of self-collected samples was similar to that of physician-collected samples, suggesting that self-sampling is a reliable strategy for diagnosing mpox.