Location-scale mixed models and goodness-of-fit assessment applied to insect ecology.

Survival models have been extensively used to analyse time-until-event data. There is a range of extended models that incorporate different aspects, such as overdispersion/frailty, mixtures, and flexible response functions through semi-parametric models. In this work, we show how a useful tool to assess goodness-of-fit, the half-normal plot of residuals with a simulated envelope, implemented in the hnp package in R, can be used on a location-scale modelling context. We fitted a range of survival models to time-until-event data, where the event was an insect predator attacking a larva in a biological control experiment. We started with the Weibull model and then fitted the exponentiated-Weibull location-scale model with regressors both for the location and scale parameters. We performed variable selection for each model and, by producing half-normal plots with simulated envelopes for the deviance residuals of the model fits, we found that the exponentiated-Weibull fitted the data better. We then included a random effect in the exponentiated-Weibull model to accommodate correlated observations. Finally, we discuss possible implications of the results found in the case study.

Acute Toxicity of Fresh and Aged Residues of Pesticides to the Parasitoid Tamarixia radiata and to the HLB-Bacteria Vector Diaphorina citri.

One method for controlling the Asian citrus psyllid (ACP) Diaphorina citri Kuwayama, the vector of the putative causal agent of Huanglongbing, uses the parasitoid Tamarixia radiata (Waterston). However, the general intensive use of insecticides has reduced the numbers of this parasitoid. This study evaluated the effect of the residual action of 24 insecticides on T. radiata and also determined the differential toxicity of insecticides to D. citri and T. radiata, using three bioassays. In the first, when adults of the parasitoid were exposed to residues of the 24 insecticides, ten were considered short-life (class 1), six slightly persistent (class 2), five moderately persistent (class 3), and three insecticides were considered persistent (class 4), under the IOBC/WPRS classification system. The second bioassay evaluated the sublethal concentrations of the persistent insecticides (formetanate, dimethoate, spinosad). Increasing the concentrations of the insecticides increased the number that were classified as persistent. In the third bioassay, evaluation of the differential toxicity of eight insecticides to the ACP and the parasitoid showed that chlorpyrifos and bifenthrin were more harmful to T. radiata. Therefore, these two insecticides are not recommended for application at the time of parasitoid release. Cypermethrin, imidacloprid, and dimethoate caused higher mortality of D. citri and are most often recommended in IPM programs. The choice of an insecticide for the control of citrus pests must be made with care, aiming to preserve the natural enemies in the ecosystem, and thereby contribute to the success of biological control.