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BACKGROUND: Survival of children with cancer has markedly improved over recent decades, largely due to intensified treatment regimes. The intensive treatment may, however, result in fatal complications. In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed temporal variation in the incidence of treatment-related death and associated risk factors among children diagnosed with cancer in Denmark during 2001-2021. METHOD: Among all children diagnosed with first incident cancer before age 15 years recorded in the Danish Childhood Cancer Register (n = 3,255), we estimated cumulative incidence of treatment-related death (death in the absence of progressive cancer) within 5 years from diagnosis using Aalen-Johansen estimators and assessed associated risk factors using Cox regression. RESULTS: Among all 3,255 children with cancer, 93 (20% of all 459 deaths) died from treatment. Of these treatment-related deaths, 39 (42%) occurred within 3 months of diagnosis. The 5-year cumulative incidences of treatment-related death were 3.3% during 2001-2010 and 2.5% during 2011-2021 (p = 0.20). During 2011-2021, treatment-related deaths accounted for more than half of all deaths among children with haematological cancers. Risk factors varied according to cancer group and included female sex, age below 1 year at diagnosis, disease relapse, stem cell transplantation, central nervous system involvement, and metastasis at diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: Despite increasing treatment intensities, the incidence of treatment-related death has remained stable during the past 20 years in Denmark. Still, clinical attention is warranted to prevent treatment-related deaths, particularly among children with haematological cancers. Patient characteristics associated with increased treatment-related death risk support patient-specific treatment approaches to avoid these fatalities.
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Tumeurs , Humains , Danemark/épidémiologie , Enfant , Mâle , Femelle , Tumeurs/mortalité , Tumeurs/épidémiologie , Enfant d'âge préscolaire , Nourrisson , Études rétrospectives , Adolescent , Facteurs de risque , Incidence , Enregistrements/statistiques et données numériques , Nouveau-néRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: The chronic, inflammatory skin disease hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) (prevalence: 0.5%-1%, diagnostic delay: 7-10 years) primarily arises in younger adults and frequently coincides with autoimmune comorbidities and unhealthy life-styles (smoking and obesity). These factors are known to increase cancer risk, but despite this, information on cancer occurrence among HS patients is scarce. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A nationwide retrospective register-based study assessing relative risk of cancer - overall and by anatomical site - following HS diagnosis expressed as standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), which is ratios between observed cases among all Danes diagnosed with HS since 1977 and expected cases based on cancer incidence rates of the entire Danish population during the same period. RESULTS: Participants consisted of a cohort of 13,919 Danes with HS, who during an average of 14.2 years of follow-up developed a total of 1,193 incident cancers, corresponding to a 40% increased risk (SIR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.3 to 1.4, p < 0.001). Increased risks were observed for cancers of the respiratory system, oral cavity and pharynx, digestive organs and peritoneum, urinary tract, and the lymphatic tissues. INTERPRETATION: These findings underline an unmet need for health monitoring, lifestyle interventions and cancer screening if and when relevant.
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Hidrosadénite suppurée , Tumeurs , Enregistrements , Humains , Hidrosadénite suppurée/épidémiologie , Danemark/épidémiologie , Mâle , Incidence , Tumeurs/épidémiologie , Enregistrements/statistiques et données numériques , Femelle , Adulte , Adulte d'âge moyen , Études rétrospectives , Jeune adulte , Sujet âgé , Adolescent , Facteurs de risqueRÉSUMÉ
Background: Significant changes in Western populations' abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) epidemiology have been reported following the introduction of screening, endovascular AAA repair, and reduced tobacco consumption. We report incidence and mortality of AAA repair in Denmark from 1996 to 2018, where AAA screening was not implemented. Methods: Nationwide cohort study of prospective data from population-based Danish registries covering 1996 to 2018. We identified 15,395 patients undergoing first-time AAA repair using the Danish Vascular Registry. Comorbidity was assessed by Charlson's Comorbidity Index (CCI). Incidence rate (IR) ratios and mortality rate ratios (MRR) were estimated by multivariable Poisson and Cox regression, respectively. Results: Overall AAA repair IR decreased by 24% from 1996 through 2018, mainly reflecting a 53% IR reduction in ruptured AAA repairs in men. Overall, the IR decreased 52-63% in age groups below 70 years and increased 81% among octogenarians. The proportion of intact AAAs repaired endovascularly increased from 2% in 1996-1999 to 42% in 2015-2018. For both ruptured and intact AAAs the CCI score increased by 0.9% annually independently of age and sex. The adjusted five-year MRR in 2016-2018 vs.1996-2000 was 0.46 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.54) following ruptured and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.44-0.59) following intact AAA repair. Conclusion: In Denmark, overall AAA repair incidence decreased between 1996 and 2018, primarily reflecting a reduction among males and a shift to an older population requiring intervention. These trends mirror changes in tobacco consumption in Denmark. Regardless of age and comorbidity, AAA repair mortality decreased markedly during the study period.
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Importance: Breastfeeding has been suggested to protect against childhood cancers, particularly acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). However, the evidence stems from case-control studies alone. Objective: To investigate whether longer duration of exclusive breastfeeding is associated with decreased risk of childhood ALL and other childhood cancers. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study used administrative data on exclusive breastfeeding duration from the Danish National Child Health Register. All children born in Denmark between January 2005 and December 2018 with available information on duration of exclusive breastfeeding were included. Children were followed up from age 1 year until childhood cancer diagnosis, loss to follow-up or emigration, death, age 15 years, or December 31, 2020. Data were analyzed from March to October 2023. Exposure: Duration of exclusive breastfeeding in infancy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Associations between duration of exclusive breastfeeding and risk of childhood cancer overall and by subtypes were estimated as adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) with 95% CIs using stratified Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: A total of 309â¯473 children were included (51.3% boys). During 1â¯679â¯635 person-years of follow-up, 332 children (0.1%) were diagnosed with cancer at ages 1 to 14 years (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 4.24 [2.67] years; 194 boys [58.4%]). Of these, 124 (37.3%) were diagnosed with hematologic cancers (81 [65.3%] were ALL, 74 [91.4%] of which were B-cell precursor [BCP] ALL), 44 (13.3%) with central nervous system tumors, 80 (24.1%) with solid tumors, and 84 (25.3%) with other and unspecified malignant neoplasms. Compared with exclusive breastfeeding duration of less than 3 months, exclusive breastfeeding for 3 months or longer was associated with a decreased risk of hematologic cancers (AHR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.46-0.95), which was largely attributable to decreased risk of BCP-ALL (AHR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.39-0.99), but not with risk of central nervous system tumors (AHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.51-1.88) or solid tumors (AHR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.55-1.41). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, longer duration of exclusive breastfeeding was associated with reduced risk of childhood BCP-ALL, corroborating results of previous case-control investigations in this field. To inform future preemptive interventions, continued research should focus on the potential biologic mechanisms underlying the observed association.
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Tumeurs du système nerveux central , Tumeurs hématologiques , Leucémie-lymphome lymphoblastique à précurseurs B et T , Enfant , Mâle , Femelle , Humains , Nourrisson , Enfant d'âge préscolaire , Allaitement naturel , Études de cohortes , Leucémie-lymphome lymphoblastique à précurseurs B et T/épidémiologieRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: The emerging use of biomarkers in research and tailored care introduces a need for information about the association between biomarkers and basic demographics and lifestyle factors revealing expectable concentrations in healthy individuals while considering general demographic differences. METHODS: A selection of 47 biomarkers, including markers of inflammation and vascular stress, were measured in plasma samples from 9876 Danish Blood Donor Study participants. Using regression models, we examined the association between biomarkers and sex, age, Body Mass Index (BMI), and smoking. RESULTS: Here we show that concentrations of inflammation and vascular stress biomarkers generally increase with higher age, BMI, and smoking. Sex-specific effects are observed for multiple biomarkers. CONCLUSION: This study provides comprehensive information on concentrations of 47 plasma biomarkers in healthy individuals. The study emphasizes that knowledge about biomarker concentrations in healthy individuals is critical for improved understanding of disease pathology and for tailored care and decision support tools.
Blood-based biomarkers are circulating molecules that can help to indicate health or disease. Biomarker levels may vary depending on demographic and lifestyle factors such as age, sex, smoking status, and body mass index. Here, we examine the effects of these demographic and lifestyle factors on levels of biomarkers related to activation of the immune system and cardiovascular stress. Measurements of 47 different proteins were performed on blood samples from nearly 10,000 healthy Danish blood donors. Measurement data were linked with questionnaire data to assess effects of lifestyle. We found that immune activation and vascular stress generally increased with age, BMI, and smoking. As these measurements are from healthy blood donors they can serve as a reference for expectable effects and inflammation levels in healthy individuals. Knowledge about the healthy state is important for understanding disease progression and optimizing care.
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Background: The prevalence of occlusive lower extremity artery disease (LEAD) is rising worldwide while European epidemiology data are scarce. We report incidence and mortality of LEAD repair in Denmark from 1996 through 2018, stratified on open aorto-iliac, open peripheral, and endovascular repair. Methods: A nationwide cohort study of prospective data from population-based Danish registers covering 1996 to 2018. Comorbidity was assessed by Charlson's Comorbidity Index (CCI). Incidence rate (IR) ratios and mortality rate ratios (MRR) were estimated by multivariable Poisson and Cox regression, respectively. Results: We identified 41,438 unique patients undergoing 46,236 incident first-time LEAD repairs by either aorto-iliac- (n=5213), peripheral surgery (n=18,665) or percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA, n=22,358). From 1996 to 2018, the age- and sex-standardized IR for primary revascularization declined from 71.8 to 50.2 per 100,000 person-years (IRR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.66-0.75). Following a 2.5-fold IR increase of PTA from 1996 to 2010, all three repair techniques showed a declining trend after 2010. The declining IR was driven by decreasing LEAD repair due to claudication, and by persons aged below 80 years, while the IR increased in persons aged above 80 years (p interaction<0.001). LEAD repair was more frequent in men (IRRfemale vs male, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.77-0.80), which was consistent over calendar time (p interaction=0.41). Crude mortality decreased following open/surgical repair, and increased following PTA, but all three techniques trended towards lower adjusted mortality comparing the start and the end of the study period (MRRaorto-iliac, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.54-0.93 vs MRRperipheral, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.69-0.83 vs MRRPTA, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.86-1.07). Increasing age and CCI, male sex, smoking, and care dependency associated with increased mortality. Conclusion: The incidence rate of LEAD repair decreased in Denmark from 1996 to 2018, especially in persons younger than 80 years, and primarily due to reduced revascularization for claudication. Adjusted mortality rates decreased following open surgery, but seemed unaltered following PTA.
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Angioplastie par ballonnet , Humains , Mâle , Femelle , Sujet âgé , Études de cohortes , Études prospectives , Incidence , Résultat thérapeutique , Angioplastie par ballonnet/effets indésirables , Ischémie , Membre inférieur/vascularisation , Claudication intermittente/diagnostic , Claudication intermittente/épidémiologie , Claudication intermittente/chirurgie , Comorbidité , Artères , Danemark/épidémiologie , Facteurs de risqueRÉSUMÉ
INTRODUCTION: Migraine is a prevalent neurological headache disorder. Due to challenges associated with finding effective treatment, many individuals with migraine feel compelled to explore alternative treatment strategies, such as blood donation, hypothesized to provide migraine relief. METHODS: Through logistic, Poisson, and Cox regression methods, we examined the links between migraine and blood donation activities in two population cohorts: Danish blood donors in the Scandinavian Donations and Transfusions Database (SCANDAT-DK, N >1 million) and the Danish Blood Donor Study (N ~ 100,000). RESULTS: SCANDAT-DK analyses showed no link between migraine and the propensity to become a blood donor among males (odds ratio [OR]Males = 0.95 [95% Confidence Interval: 0.86-1.04], and a reduced propensity among females ORFemales = 0.88 [0.83-0.93]). The incidence of migraine was not reduced upon blood donation (standardized incidence ratio [SIR]Males = 0.94 [0.83-1.06]; SIRFemales = 1.04 [0.99-1.10]). Donors with migraine demonstrated longer intervals between donations (hazard ratio [HR]Males = 0.87 [0.85-0.91], HRFemales = 0.80 [0.78-0.82]), and an increased risk of donor lapse (ORMales = 1.23 [1.14-1.32]; ORFemales = 1.28 [1.22-1.33]). Results were corroborated in DBDS using self-reported migraine. Genetic predisposition to migraine associated with longer intervals in females (HRFemales = 0.98 [0.97-0.99]), but not in males. DISCUSSION: Our findings do not support the hypothesis that blood donation serves as a viable treatment strategy among migraine patients. Future prospective investigations may help to elucidate the underlying biological mechanisms by which blood donation may influence migraine pathology.
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Don de sang , Migraines , Mâle , Femelle , Humains , Études de cohortes , Transfusion sanguine , Donneurs de sang , Migraines/épidémiologie , Migraines/thérapie , Danemark/épidémiologieRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: The risk of cancer among relatives of patients with either myelodysplastic neoplasia (MDS), acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) has not been thoroughly examined. METHODS: We linked the Danish Civil Registration System with the Danish Cancer Registry, the Danish National Acute Leukemia Registry, and the Danish Myelodysplastic Syndrome Database to estimate the relative risk of cancer among relatives of patients with MDS/AML/ALL. We used standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), i.e., the ratio of observed to expected number of cancers among the relatives as a measure of relative risk. RESULTS: We identified 13010 first-degree (FDR) and 22051 second-degree (SDR) relatives of 8386 patients with MDS/ALL/AML. Disregarding basal cell carcinoma (BCC), the relative risk for cancer overall was increased in both FDR (SIR=1.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.4) and SDR (SIR=1.5; 95% CI 1.2-1.8). SIRs among FDRs were statistically significantly increased for malignant melanoma, BCC and for the combined groups of cancers of the male genital organs, urinary tract, and MDS/AML/ALL. Among SDRs, SIRs were statistically significantly increased for malignant melanoma, BCC, and cancers in the digestive organs and peritoneum. CONCLUSIONS: We observed an increased risk of cancer among FDR and SDR of patients with MDS/AML/ALL.
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Carcinome basocellulaire , Leucémie aigüe myéloïde , Mélanome , Syndromes myélodysplasiques , Tumeurs cutanées , Humains , Mâle , Leucémie aigüe myéloïde/épidémiologie , Leucémie aigüe myéloïde/génétique , Syndromes myélodysplasiques/épidémiologie , Syndromes myélodysplasiques/génétique , RisqueRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: The association between intra-uterine exposure to maternal smoking and risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) has been little studied and with conflicting results. OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk of MS in offspring exposed intra-uterine to maternal smoking. In addition, to re-examine prior observations of an elevated risk of MS among smokers, assuming that self-reported smoking during pregnancy reflects the woman's general smoking habits. METHODS: The study cohort included all Danish women, pregnant in the period 1991-2018, (n = 789,299) and singletons from these pregnancies (n = 879,135). Nationwide information on maternal smoking during pregnancy and MS cases in the study cohort were obtained from the Medical Birth Register and the National Patient Register. Cox regression analysis was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between smoking and MS risk. RESULTS: Women who smoked during pregnancy had a 42% increased risk of developing MS compared with non-smoking women (HR = 1.42 (1.32-1.52), n = 1,296). The risk of MS among singletons of women who smoked during pregnancy was 38% higher than that among singletons born to non-smoking women (HR = 1.38 (1.08-1.76), n = 110). CONCLUSION: Our observations add further to the evidence implicating smoking in the development of MS and suggest that intra-uterine exposure to tobacco smoke may increase MS risk.
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Sclérose en plaques , Effets différés de l'exposition prénatale à des facteurs de risque , Grossesse , Femelle , Humains , Études de cohortes , Mères , Sclérose en plaques/épidémiologie , Sclérose en plaques/étiologie , Autorapport , Danemark/épidémiologie , Effets différés de l'exposition prénatale à des facteurs de risque/épidémiologieRÉSUMÉ
Infectious mononucleosis (IM) often results from late primary infection with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV). Exposure to EBV at ages 0-2 years from, e.g., siblings therefore protects against IM. Using Danish registers, we therefore followed children born in 1997 through 2015 from age 3 years for a hospital contact with an IM diagnosis as outcome with the number of antimicrobial prescriptions filled before age 3 years as a proxy of infection pressure and the main exposure in stratified Cox regressions. The main analyses used sibships as strata primarily to adjust for health-seeking behaviour with further possible adjustments for age, sex, calendar period and sibship constellation. In these analyses we followed 7087 children, exposed on average to 3.76 antimicrobials prescriptions. We observed a crude hazard ratio for IM per unit increase in cumulative antimicrobial use of 1.00 (95% confidence interval 0.99, 1.02), with similar results in adjusted analyses. The hypothesis that children with the largest use of antimicrobials at ages 0-2 years would subsequently have the lowest risk of IM within a sibship was not corroborated by the data. Furthermore, sibship-matched analyses provided no support for some common early-life immune system characteristics being predictive of IM.
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Anti-infectieux , Infections à virus Epstein-Barr , Mononucléose infectieuse , Enfant , Femelle , Humains , Adulte , Enfant d'âge préscolaire , Herpèsvirus humain de type 4 , Hôpitaux , Anti-infectieux/usage thérapeutiqueRÉSUMÉ
Importance: Recent reports have suggested that cerebral amyloid angiopathy, a common cause of multiple spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhages (ICHs), may be transmissible through parenteral injection of contaminated cadaveric pituitary hormone in humans. Objective: To determine whether spontaneous ICH in blood donors after blood donation is associated with development of spontaneous ICH in transfusion recipients. Design, Setting, and Participants: Exploratory retrospective cohort study using nationwide blood bank and health register data from Sweden (main cohort) and Denmark (validation cohort) and including all 1â¯089â¯370 patients aged 5 to 80 years recorded to have received a red blood cell transfusion from January 1, 1970 (Sweden), or January 1, 1980 (Denmark), until December 31, 2017. Exposures: Receipt of red blood cell transfusions from blood donors who subsequently developed (1) a single spontaneous ICH, (2) multiple spontaneous ICHs, or (3) no spontaneous ICH. Main Outcomes and Measures: Spontaneous ICH in transfusion recipients; ischemic stroke was a negative control outcome. Results: A total of 759â¯858 patients from Sweden (median age, 65 [IQR, 48-73] years; 59% female) and 329â¯512 from Denmark (median age, 64 [IQR, 50-73] years; 58% female) were included, with a median follow-up of 5.8 (IQR, 1.4-12.5) years and 6.1 (IQR, 1.5-11.6) years, respectively. Patients who underwent transfusion with red blood cell units from donors who developed multiple spontaneous ICHs had a significantly higher risk of a single spontaneous ICH themselves, compared with patients receiving transfusions from donors who did not develop spontaneous ICH, in both the Swedish cohort (unadjusted incidence rate [IR], 3.16 vs 1.12 per 1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.73; 95% CI, 1.72-4.35; P < .001) and the Danish cohort (unadjusted IR, 2.82 vs 1.09 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.04-5.19; P = .04). No significant difference was found for patients receiving transfusions from donors who developed a single spontaneous ICH in the Swedish cohort (unadjusted IR, 1.35 vs 1.12 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.84-1.36; P = .62) nor the Danish cohort (unadjusted IR, 1.36 vs 1.09 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.70-1.60; P = .73), nor for ischemic stroke as a negative control outcome. Conclusions and Relevance: In an exploratory analysis of patients who received red blood cell transfusions, patients who underwent transfusion with red blood cells from donors who later developed multiple spontaneous ICHs were at significantly increased risk of spontaneous ICH themselves. This may suggest a transfusion-transmissible agent associated with some types of spontaneous ICH, although the findings may be susceptible to selection bias and residual confounding, and further research is needed to investigate if transfusion transmission of cerebral amyloid angiopathy might explain this association.
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Angiopathie amyloïde cérébrale , Hémorragie cérébrale , Maladies transmissibles , Transfusion d'érythrocytes , Sujet âgé , Femelle , Humains , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Donneurs de sang , Angiopathie amyloïde cérébrale/épidémiologie , Angiopathie amyloïde cérébrale/étiologie , Hémorragie cérébrale/épidémiologie , Hémorragie cérébrale/étiologie , Accident vasculaire cérébral ischémique/étiologie , Études rétrospectives , Transfusion d'érythrocytes/effets indésirables , Enregistrements , Suède/épidémiologie , Danemark/épidémiologie , Enfant d'âge préscolaire , Enfant , Adolescent , Jeune adulte , Adulte , Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus , Receveurs de transplantation , Maladies transmissibles/épidémiologie , Maladies transmissibles/étiologie , Maladies transmissibles/transmissionRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: The identification of blood donors at risk of developing low hemoglobin (Hb) and subsequent intervention is expected to reduce donation-induced iron deficiency and low Hb among blood donors. This study explores the effects of ferritin-guided iron supplementation for female first-time donors implemented in four of five administrative regions in Denmark. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We included 45,919 female first-time donors in this study. Hb values were determined in donations of included donors during a 2-year follow-up period. For each region, an intervention group (after implementation) and a control group (before implementation) were defined. The primary outcome was Hb below the donation threshold (7.8 mmol/L ~ 12.5 g/dL) at the time of donation, in the control group, and the intervention group, using logistic regression. The secondary outcome was the number of donations per donor given during the follow-up period. RESULTS: We observed a statistically significant decrease in the risk of female first-time donors experiencing a donation with low Hb after ferritin-guided iron supplementation was introduced: Odds ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.71-0.95. We found a statistically significant increase in the number of donations per donor during the follow-up period after intervention; rate ratio: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.08. DISCUSSION: Ferritin-guided iron supplementation led to a significant reduction in the occurrence of low hemoglobin (Hb) levels among Danish female first-time blood donors. The intervention was additionally associated with an increase in the number of donations per donor.
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Ferritines , Fer , Humains , Femelle , Donneurs de sang , Hémoglobines/analyse , Compléments alimentaires , DanemarkRÉSUMÉ
Age-related comorbid conditions are exceedingly common in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). As the prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is predicted to double during the next two decades, a better understanding of the interplay between CLL and T2D is of increasing importance. In this study, analyses were performed in parallel in two separate cohorts, based on Danish national registers and the Mayo Clinic CLL Resource. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) from time of CLL diagnosis, OS from time of treatment, and time to first treatment (TTFT), studied using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis and Fine-Gray regression analysis. In the Danish CLL cohort, the prevalence of T2D was 11%, in the Mayo CLL cohort, it was 12%. Patients with CLL and T2D had shorter OS both from time of diagnosis and from first-line treatment for were less likely to receive treatment for CLL compared with patients with CLL and without T2D. The increased mortality was largely driven by an increased risk of death due to infections, especially in the Danish cohort. The findings of this study emphasize a substantial subgroup of CLL patients with co-occurring T2D with an inferior prognosis and a possible unmet treatment need requiring additional interventions and further research.
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Diabète de type 2 , Leucémie chronique lymphocytaire à cellules B , Humains , Leucémie chronique lymphocytaire à cellules B/complications , Leucémie chronique lymphocytaire à cellules B/thérapie , Leucémie chronique lymphocytaire à cellules B/diagnostic , Diabète de type 2/complications , Cause de décès , PronosticRÉSUMÉ
Many would probably be content to use Bayesian methodology for hypothesis testing, if it was easy, objective and with trustworthy assumptions. The Bayesian information criterion and some simple bounds on Bayes factor are closest to fit this bill, but with clear limitations. Here we develop an approximation of the so-called Bayes factor applicable in any bio-statistical settings where we have a d-dimensional parameter estimate of interest and the d x d dimensional (co-)variance of it. By design the approximation is monotone in the p value. It it thus a tool to transform p values into evidence (probabilities of the null and the alternative hypothesis, respectively). It is an improvement on the aforementioned techniques by being more flexible, intuitive and versatile but just as easy to calculate, requiring only statistics that will typically be available: e.g. a p value or test statistic and the dimension of the alternative hypothesis.
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OBJECTIVES: There is a gap in knowledge about the effects of smoking on overall infection risk in otherwise healthy populations, possibly leading to underestimation of the dangers of smoking. The present study aimed to examine the association of smoking with the risk of infections in a large cohort of healthy blood donors. METHODS: This cohort study used questionnaire and health register data from 127 831 Danish blood donors. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was applied to estimate the association of current smoking with the risk of all-cause infection defined as hospital-based treatment for infection or filled prescriptions of antimicrobials stratified for age and adjusted for relevant confounders. RESULTS: Among 18 272 current smokers, 12 272 filled an antimicrobial prescription and 2035 received hospital-based treatment for infections. Among 101 974 non-smokers, 65 117 filled a prescription and 8501 received hospital-based treatment for infections. Smokers had a higher risk of all-cause infection than non-smokers (hazard ratio estimates were 1.27 in males and 1.33 in females for hospital-based treatment and 1.11 in males and up to 1.20 in females for filled prescriptions). Smoking was most strongly associated with an increased incidence of respiratory tract infection, abscesses, skin infection, and prescriptions for these ailments (hazard ratio up to 2.29). Furthermore, smokers' risk of filled prescriptions of broad-spectrum penicillin was increased (hazard ratio up to 1.96). CONCLUSIONS: Current smoking was strongly associated with the risk of hospital-based treatment of infection and filled prescriptions of antimicrobials in a large cohort of healthy individuals. These findings warrant an increased focus on infectious disease risk among smokers.
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Anti-infectieux , Infections , Mâle , Femelle , Humains , Fumer/effets indésirables , Facteurs de risque , Études de cohortes , Donneurs de sang , Infections/traitement médicamenteux , Prédisposition aux maladies , Anti-infectieux/usage thérapeutique , Modèles des risques proportionnelsRÉSUMÉ
BACKGROUND: It has been suggested that the transiently increased infection risk following childcare enrolment is compensated by decreased infection risk later in childhood and adolescence. We investigated how childcare enrolment affected rates of antimicrobial-treated infections during childhood and adolescence. METHODS: In a register-based cohort study of all children born in Denmark 1997-2014 with available exposure information (n = 1â007â448), we assessed the association between childcare enrolment before age 6 years and infection risks up to age 20 years, using antimicrobial exposure as proxy for infections. Nationwide childcare and prescription data were used. We estimated infection rates and the cumulative number of infections using adjusted Poisson regression models. RESULTS: We observed 4â599â993 independent episodes of infection (antimicrobial exposure) during follow-up. Childcare enrolment transiently increased infection rates; the younger the child, the greater the increase. The resulting increased cumulative number of infections associated with earlier age at childcare enrolment was not compensated by lower infection risk later in childhood or adolescence. Accordingly, children enrolled in childcare before age 12 months had experienced 0.5-0.7 more infections at age 6 years (in total 4.5-5.1 infections) than peers enrolled at age 3 years, differences that persisted throughout adolescence. The type of childcare had little impact on infection risks. CONCLUSIONS: Early age at childcare enrolment is associated with a modest increase in the cumulative number of antimicrobial-treated infections at all ages through adolescence. Emphasis should be given to disrupting infectious disease transmission in childcare facilities through prevention strategies with particular focus on the youngest children.
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Soins de l'enfant , Infections , Enfant , Humains , Adolescent , Enfant d'âge préscolaire , Jeune adulte , Adulte , Nourrisson , Études de cohortes , Garderies d'enfants , Santé de l'enfant , Infections/épidémiologieRÉSUMÉ
Childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) is suggested to result from a dysregulated immune response to infections in children with a preleukaemic state. Childcare in early life supposedly may protect against childhood ALL by facilitating sufficient exposure to infections to stimulate and ensure normal maturation of the immune system. We assessed the association between childcare attendance before age 2 years and risk of childhood ALL in a register-based cohort study, including all children aged 2 to 14 years born in Denmark during 1991 to 2014 with available childcare information recorded in the Danish Childcare Database (n = 1 116 185). Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) comparing children enrolled in childcare and children not enrolled before age 2 years. Further, we assessed the association according to age at enrolment, type of childcare facility and specific ALL subtypes. During 10 460 811 person-years of follow-up, 460 children developed ALL at ages 2 to 14 years. Of these, 57 (12.4%) never attended childcare before age 2 years compared with 10.6% in the total cohort. Compared with homecare, childcare attendance before age 2 years was associated with a statistically non-significantly, marginally decreased risk of childhood ALL with adjusted HR = 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65-1.16). Risk estimates did neither vary statistically significantly by age at enrolment nor by type of childcare facility and also not between childhood ALL subtypes, including frequently prenatally initiated ALL subtypes. Results from this large, nationwide register-based study provided no evidence that childcare attendance in the first years of life protects against childhood ALL.
Sujet(s)
Soins de l'enfant , Leucémie-lymphome lymphoblastique à précurseurs B et T , Enfant , Femelle , Humains , Études de cohortes , Garderies d'enfants , Leucémie-lymphome lymphoblastique à précurseurs B et T/épidémiologie , Danemark/épidémiologie , Facteurs de risqueRÉSUMÉ
Epstein-Barr virus infection, and perhaps almost exclusively delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection, seems to be a prerequisite for the development of multiple sclerosis. Siblings provide protection against infectious mononucleosis by occasionally preventing delayed primary Epstein-Barr virus infection, with its associated high risk of infectious mononucleosis. Each additional sibling provides further protection according to the age difference between the index child and the sibling. The closer the siblings are in age, the higher the protection, with younger siblings being more protective against infectious mononucleosis than older siblings. If the hypothesis that delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection is necessary for the development of multiple sclerosis is true, then the relative risk of multiple sclerosis as a function of sibship constellation should mirror the relative risk of infectious mononucleosis as a function of sibship constellation. Such an indirect hypothesis test is necessitated by the fact that age at primary Epstein-Barr virus infection is unknown for practically all people who have not experienced infectious mononucleosis. In this retrospective cohort study using nationwide registers, we followed all Danes born during the period 1971-2018 (n = 2 576 011) from 1977 to 2018 for hospital contacts with an infectious mononucleosis diagnosis (n = 23 905) or a multiple sclerosis diagnosis (n = 4442), defining two different end points. Relative risks (hazard ratios) of each end point as a function of sibship constellation were obtained from stratified Cox regression analyses. The hazard ratios of interest for infectious mononucleosis and multiple sclerosis could be assumed to be identical (test for homogeneity P = 0.19), implying that having siblings, especially of younger age, may protect a person against multiple sclerosis through early exposure to the Epstein-Barr virus. Maximum protection per sibling was obtained by having a 0-2 years younger sibling, corresponding to a hazard ratio of 0.80, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.76-0.85. The corresponding hazard ratio from having an (0-2 years) older sibling was 0.91 (0.86-0.96). Our results suggest that it may be possible essentially to eradicate multiple sclerosis using an Epstein-Barr virus vaccine administered before the teenage years. Getting there would require both successful replication of our study findings and, if so, elucidation of why early Epstein-Barr virus infection does not usually trigger the immune mechanisms responsible for the association between delayed Epstein-Barr virus infection and multiple sclerosis risk.