Fruit and Vegetable Intake Patterns, Kidney Failure, and Mortality in Adults with and without Chronic Kidney Disease in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Fruits and vegetables (F&Vs) are vital components of healthy diets but may be restricted in chronic kidney disease (CKD) to avoid high-potassium intake. We previously generated F&V patterns for patients in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and demonstrated an increased prevalence of the overall low-intake pattern in patients with CKD. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of F&V patterns (overall low intake, high unprocessed, moderate processed, and high ultraprocessed) with the risk of kidney failure and its composite with death. METHODS: Adults in NHANES III with valid dietary data and longitudinal follow-up for kidney failure and death were included. F&V patterns were identified using 24-h dietary recalls and latent class analysis, yielding 4 patterns. Cox models were used to evaluate the prospective association between each pattern and hazard of kidney failure or a composite of kidney failure or death over ≤20 y. Models were adjusted for demographics and select comorbidities and weighted for the complex survey design. Secondary analyses evaluated serum carotenoids as objective biomarkers of F&V intake. RESULTS: Among 16,726 eligible participants in NHANES III, F&V consumption consistent with the high-ultraprocessed pattern associated with the highest risk of kidney failure after demographic and comorbidity adjustment, but attenuated with adjustment for kidney function. The high unprocessed pattern associated with the lowest adjusted risk of death or kidney failure combined [hazard ratio (HR): 0.73; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.65, 0.81 relative to overall low intake]. Higher-serum carotenoids were associated with a lower adjusted risk of death or kidney failure combined (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.49, 0.65 for quartile 4 compared with quartile 1). Results were similar in patients with CKD at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Higher intake of unprocessed F&Vs was associated with better outcomes in the general population and patients with CKD. Results emphasize the need to safely improve F&V intake in CKD.

Designing an Implementable Clinical Prediction Model for Near-Term Mortality and Long-Term Survival in Patients on Maintenance Hemodialysis.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The life expectancy of patients treated with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) is heterogeneous. Knowledge of life-expectancy may focus care decisions on near-term versus long-term goals. The current tools are limited and focus on near-term mortality. Here, we develop and assess potential utility for predicting near-term mortality and long-term survival on MHD. STUDY DESIGN: Predictive modeling study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 42,351 patients contributing 997,381 patient months over 11 years, abstracted from the electronic health record (EHR) system of midsize, nonprofit dialysis providers. NEW PREDICTORS & ESTABLISHED PREDICTORS: Demographics, laboratory results, vital signs, and service utilization data available within dialysis EHR. OUTCOME: For each patient month, we ascertained death within the next 6 months (ie, near-term mortality) and survival over more than 5 years during receipt of MHD or after kidney transplantation (ie, long-term survival). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression and gradient-boosting machines to predict each outcome. We compared these to time-to-event models spanning both time horizons. We explored the performance of decision rules at different cut points. RESULTS: All models achieved an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of≥0.80 and optimal calibration metrics in the test set. The long-term survival models had significantly better performance than the near-term mortality models. The time-to-event models performed similarly to binary models. Applying different cut points spanning from the 1st to 90th percentile of the predictions, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 54% could be achieved for near-term mortality, but with poor sensitivity of 6%. A PPV of 71% could be achieved for long-term survival with a sensitivity of 67%. LIMITATIONS: The retrospective models would need to be prospectively validated before they could be appropriately used as clinical decision aids. CONCLUSIONS: A model built with readily available clinical variables to support easy implementation can predict clinically important life expectancy thresholds and shows promise as a clinical decision support tool for patients on MHD. Predicting long-term survival has better decision rule performance than predicting near-term mortality. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are not widely used for patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD). Although a variety of CPMs have been reported in the literature, many of these were not well-designed to be easily implementable. We consider the performance of an implementable CPM for both near-term mortality and long-term survival for patients undergoing MHD. Both near-term and long-term models have similar predictive performance, but the long-term models have greater clinical utility. We further consider how the differential performance of predicting over different time horizons may be used to impact clinical decision making. Although predictive modeling is not regularly used for MHD patients, such tools may help promote individualized care planning and foster shared decision making.

Role of Age and Competing Risk of Death in the Racial Disparity of Kidney Failure Incidence after Onset of CKD.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Black adults in the United States have 2-4 times higher incidence of kidney failure than White adults. Yet, the reasons underlying this disparity remain poorly understood. Among 547,188 US veterans with new-onset CKD, according to a new race-free GFR equation, Black veterans had a 2.5-fold higher cumulative incidence of kidney failure, compared with White veterans, in any follow-up period from CKD onset. This disparity resulted from a combination of higher hazards of progression to kidney failure and lower hazards of competing-risk death in Black veterans. Both, in turn, were largely explained by the younger age at CKD onset in Black veterans, underscoring an urgent need to prevent early onset and slow progression of CKD in younger Black adults. BACKGROUND: The Black adult population is well known to have higher incidence of kidney failure than their White counterpart in the United States, but the reasons underlying this disparity are unclear. We assessed the racial differences in kidney failure and death from onset of CKD on the basis of the race-free 2021 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration equation and examined the extent to which these differences could be explained by factors at the time of CKD onset. METHODS: We analyzed a national cohort consisting of 547,188 US veterans (103,821 non-Hispanic Black and 443,367 non-Hispanic White), aged 18-85 years, with new-onset CKD between 2005 and 2016 who were followed through 10 years or May 2018 for incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) and pre-KFRT death. RESULTS: At CKD onset, Black veterans were, on average, 7.8 years younger than White veterans. In any time period from CKD onset, the cumulative incidence of KFRT was 2.5-fold higher for Black versus White veterans. Meanwhile, Black veterans had persistently >2-fold higher hazards of KFRT throughout follow-up (overall hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], 2.38 [2.31 to 2.45]) and conversely had 17%-48% decreased hazards of pre-KFRT death. These differences were reduced after accounting for the racial difference in age at CKD onset. CONCLUSIONS: The 2.5-fold higher cumulative incidence of kidney failure in Black adults resulted from a combination of higher hazards of progression to kidney failure and lower hazards of the competing risk of death, both of which can be largely explained by the younger age at CKD onset in Black compared with White adults.

Longitudinal Pilot Evaluation of the Gut Microbiota Comparing Patients With and Without Chronic Kidney Disease.

OBJECTIVE: The gut microbiota contributes to metabolic diseases, such as diabetes and hypertension, but is poorly characterized in chronic kidney disease (CKD). DESIGN AND METHODS: We enrolled 24 adults within household pairs, in which at least one member had self-reported kidney disease, diabetes, or hypertension. CKD was classified based on estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or urine-albumin-to-creatinine ratio of ≥ 30 mg/g. Participants collected stool and dietary recalls seasonally over a year. Gut microbiota was characterized using 16s rRNA and metagenomic sequencing. RESULTS: Ten participants had CKD (42%) with a median (interquartile range) estimated glomerular filtration rate of 49 (44, 54) mL/min/1.73 m2. By 16s rRNA sequencing, there was moderate to high intraclass correlation (ICC = 0.63) for seasonal alpha diversity (Shannon index) within individuals and modest differences by season (P < .01). ICC was lower with metagenomics, which has resolution at the species level (ICC = 0.26). There were no differences in alpha or beta diversity by CKD with either method. Among 79 genera, Frisingicoccus, Tuzzerella, Faecalitalea, and Lachnoclostridium had lower abundance in CKD, while Collinsella, Lachnospiraceae_ND3007, Veillonella, and Erysipelotrichaceae_UCG_003 were more abundant in CKD (each nominal P < .05) using 16s rRNA sequencing. Higher Collinsella and Veillonella and lower Lachnoclostridium in CKD were also identified by metagenomics. By metagenomics, Coprococcus catus and Bacteroides stercoris were more and less abundant in CKD, respectively, at false discovery rate corrected P = .02. CONCLUSIONS: We identified candidate taxa in the gut microbiota associated with CKD. High ICC in individuals with modest seasonal impacts implies that follow-up studies may use less frequent sampling.

Comparative Effectiveness of Alternative Treatment Approaches to Secondary Hyperparathyroidism in Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis: An Observational Trial Emulation.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Optimal approaches to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) in patients on maintenance hemodialysis (HD) have yet to be established in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). STUDY DESIGN: Two observational clinical trial emulations. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Both emulations included adults receiving in-center HD from a national dialysis organization. The patients who had SHPT in the period between 2009 and 2014, were insured for≥180 days by Medicare as primary payer, and did not have contraindications or poor health status limiting theoretical trial participation. EXPOSURE: The parathyroid hormone (PTH) Target Trial emulation included patients with new-onset SHPT (first PTH 300-600pg/mL), with 2 arms defined as up-titration of either vitamin D sterols or cinacalcet within 30 days (lower target) or no up-titration (higher target). The Agent Trial emulation included patients with a PTH≥300 pg/mL while on≥6µg weekly of vitamin D sterol (paricalcitol equivalent dose) and no prior history of cinacalcet. The 2 arms were defined by the first dose or agent change within 30 days (vitamin D-favoring [vitamin-D was up-titrated] vs cinacalcet-favoring [cinacalcet was added] vs nondefined [neither applies]). Multiple trials per patient were allowed in trial 2. OUTCOME: The primary outcome was all-cause death over 24 months; secondary outcomes included cardiovascular (CV) hospitalization or the composite of CV hospitalization or death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Pooled logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 1,152 patients in the PTH Target Trial (635 lower target and 517 higher target). There were 2,726 unique patients with 6,727 patient trials in the Agent Trial (6,268 vitamin D-favoring trials and 459 cinacalcet-favoring trials). The lower PTH target approach was associated with reduced adjusted hazard of death (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.52-0.93]), CV hospitalization (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.63-0.98]), and their composite (HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.61-0.89]). The cinacalcet-favoring approach demonstrated lower adjusted hazard of death compared to the vitamin D-favoring approach (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62-0.99]), but not of CV hospitalization or the composite outcome. LIMITATIONS: Potential for residual confounding; low use of cinacalcet with low power. CONCLUSIONS: SHPT management that is focused on lower PTH targets may lower mortality and CV disease in patients receiving HD. These findings should be confirmed in a pragmatic randomized trial. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Optimal approaches to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) have not been established in randomized controlled trials. Data from a national dialysis organization was used to identify patients with SHPT in whom escalated treatment may be indicated. The approach to treatment was defined based on observed upward titration of SHPT-controlling medications: earlier titration (lower target) versus delayed titration (higher target); and the choice of medication (cinacalcet vs vitamin D sterols). In the first trial emulation, we estimated a 29% lower rate of death and 26% lower rate of cardiovascular disease or death for patients managed with a lower versus higher target approach. Cinacalcet versus vitamin D-favoring approaches were not consistently associated with outcomes in the second trial emulation. This observational study suggests the need for additional clinical trials of SHPT treatment intensity.

Diet and Metabolism in CKD-Related Metabolic Acidosis.

Metabolic acidosis is a common complication in patients with chronic kidney disease that occurs when the daily nonvolatile acid load produced in metabolism cannot be excreted fully by the kidney. A reduction in urine net acid excretion coupled with a high nonvolatile acid load may play a role in its pathogenesis. Diet is important in generation of the nonvolatile acid load. Acids are produced from metabolism of dietary protein and from the endogenous production of organic anions from neutral precursors. Acids can be balanced by alkali precursors ingested in the diet in the form of combustible organic anions. These typically are reflected indirectly by the excess of mineral cations to mineral anions in a food or diet. These principles underscore widely used methods to estimate the nonvolatile acid load from dietary intake using formulas such as the net endogenous acid production equation and the potential renal acid load equation. Empiric data largely validate these paradigms with high net endogenous acid production and potential renal acid load contributed by foods such as protein, grains, and dairy, and low net endogenous acid production and potential renal acid load contributed by fruits and vegetables along with corresponding dietary patterns. Although further studies are needed to understand the health benefits of altering nonvolatile acid load via diet, this review provides a detailed assessment on our current understanding of the role of diet in chronic kidney disease-related acidosis, providing an updated resource for researchers and clinicians.

Associations between eGFR and albuminuria with right ventricular measures: the MESA-Right Ventricle study.

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with an increased risk of pulmonary hypertension, which may lead to right ventricular (RV) pressure overload and RV dysfunction. However, the presence of subclinical changes in RV structure or function in early CKD and the influence of these changes on mortality are not well studied. We hypothesized that early CKD, as indicated by elevated albuminuria or mild reductions in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), is associated with greater RV dilation and RV mass. Methods: We included 4063 participants (age 45-84 years) without baseline clinical cardiovascular disease from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. The associations of baseline creatinine-cystatin C-based eGFR and albuminuria with cardiac magnetic resonance-derived RV measures (2000-02) were examined cross-sectionally with linear regression models. Cox regression models were used to examine whether RV parameters modified the associations of eGFR and albuminuria with all-cause mortality. Results: Participants with reductions in eGFR primarily within the 60-89 mL/min/1.73 m2 category had smaller RV end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes and stroke volume (all adjusted P-trends <.001) than those with eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2, an association that was predominantly seen in participants with albuminuria below 30 mg/g creatinine. Albuminuria was more strongly associated with death among those with lower RV volumes (P-values for interaction <.03). Conclusions: Among community-dwelling adults, reductions in eGFR primarily within the normal range were associated with smaller RV volumes and the association of albuminuria with worse survival was stronger among those with smaller RV volumes. Further studies are needed to elucidate the underlying mechanistic pathways that link kidney measures and RV morphology.

Diversity of plant DNA in stool is linked to dietary quality, age, and household income.

Eating a varied diet is a central tenet of good nutrition. Here, we develop a molecular tool to quantify human dietary plant diversity by applying DNA metabarcoding with the chloroplast trnL-P6 marker to 1,029 fecal samples from 324 participants across two interventional feeding studies and three observational cohorts. The number of plant taxa per sample (plant metabarcoding richness or pMR) correlated with recorded intakes in interventional diets and with indices calculated from a food frequency questionnaire in typical diets (ρ = 0.40 to 0.63). In adolescents unable to collect validated dietary survey data, trnL metabarcoding detected 111 plant taxa, with 86 consumed by more than one individual and four (wheat, chocolate, corn, and potato family) consumed by >70% of individuals. Adolescent pMR was associated with age and household income, replicating prior epidemiologic findings. Overall, trnL metabarcoding promises an objective and accurate measure of the number and types of plants consumed that is applicable to diverse human populations.

Association of Acute Kidney Injury and Cardiovascular Disease Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Assessment of Interactions by Race, Diabetes, and Kidney Function.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Black patients and those with diabetes or reduced kidney function experience a disproportionate burden of acute kidney injury (AKI) and cardiovascular events. However, whether these factors modify the association between AKI and cardiovascular events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is unknown and was the focus of this study. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients who underwent PCI at Duke between January 1, 2003, and December 31, 2013, with data available in the Duke Databank for Cardiovascular Disease. EXPOSURE: AKI, defined as ≥1.5-fold relative elevation in serum creatinine within 7 days from a reference value ascertained 30 days before PCI, or a 0.3 mg/dL increase from the reference value within 48 hours. OUTCOME: A composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or revascularization during the first year after PCI. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox regression models adjusted for potential confounders and with interaction terms between AKI and race, diabetes, or baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). RESULTS: Among 9,422 patients, 9% (n = 865) developed AKI, and the primary composite outcome occurred in 21% (n = 2,017). AKI was associated with a nearly 2-fold higher risk of the primary outcome (adjusted HR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.71-2.20]). The association between AKI and cardiovascular risk did not significantly differ by race (P interaction, 0.4), diabetes, (P interaction, 0.06), or eGFR (P interaction, 0.2). However, Black race and severely reduced eGFR, but not diabetes, each had a cumulative impact with AKI on risk for the primary outcome. Compared with White patients with no AKI as the reference, the risk for the outcome was highest in Black patients with AKI (HR, 2.27 [95% CI, 1.83-2.82]), followed by White patients with AKI (HR, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.58-2.21]), and was least in patients of other races with AKI (HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 0.88-2.48]). LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding, including the impact of clinical care following PCI on cardiovascular outcomes of AKI. CONCLUSIONS: Neither race, diabetes, nor reduced eGFR potentiated the association of AKI with cardiovascular risk, but Black patients with AKI had a qualitatively greater risk than White patients with AKI or patients of other races with AKI. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: This study examined differences by race, diabetes, or kidney function in the well-known association of AKI with increased risk for cardiovascular outcomes among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. The authors found that AKI was associated with a greater risk for cardiovascular outcomes, but this risk did not differ by patients' race, diabetes status, or level of kidney function before the procedure. That said, the risk for cardiovascular outcomes was numerically highest among Black patients compared with White patients or those of other races. These study findings suggest that future efforts to prevent AKI among patients undergoing the procedure could reduce racial disparities in risk for unfavorable cardiovascular outcomes afterward.

Patterns of Fruit and Vegetable Intake in Adults With and Without Chronic Kidney Disease in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize patterns of fruit and vegetable (F&V) intake in US adults with and without chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: We used 24-hour dietary recall data from multiple cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey spanning 3 groups from 1988 to 2018 (1988-1994; 2003-2010; 2011-2018). We categorized F&Vs based on food processing and phytochemical content. We assessed patterns of F&Vs using latent class analysis and compared intake patterns across the 3 temporal cohorts and CKD status using weighted multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Four similar patterns of F&Vs emerged in each cycle: Overall Low Intake, High Unprocessed, High Ultra-Processed, and Moderate Processed F&Vs. The Overall Low Intake pattern was most prevalent in all cohorts and CKD groups. After adjustment for demographic variables and selected health conditions, participants with compared to without CKD were more likely to be classified as Overall Low Intake in each cohort, although this was not significant in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2018. CONCLUSIONS: Low consumption of F&Vs was more common in patients with CKD. Longitudinal studies are needed to determine if low intake is a risk factor for, or response to, CKD.

Development of an Administrative Data-Based Frailty Index for Older Adults Receiving Dialysis.

Background: Frailty is present in ≥50% of older adults receiving dialysis. Our objective was to a develop an administrative data-based frailty index and assess the frailty index's predictive validity for mortality and future hospitalizations. Methods: We used United States Renal Data System data to establish two cohorts of adults aged ≥65 years, initiating dialysis in 2013 and in 2017. Using the 2013 cohort (development dataset), we applied the deficit accumulation index approach to develop a frailty index. Adjusting for age and sex, we assessed the extent to which the frailty index predicts the hazard of time until death and time until first hospitalization over 12 months. We assessed the Harrell's C-statistic of the frailty index, a comorbidity index, and jointly. The 2017 cohort was used as a validation dataset. Results: Using the 2013 cohort (n=20,974), we identified 53 deficits for the frailty index across seven domains: disabilities, diseases, equipment, procedures, signs, tests, and unclassified. Among those with ≥1 deficit, the mean (SD) frailty index was 0.30 (0.13), range 0.02-0.72. Over 12 months, 18% (n=3842) died, and 55% (n=11,493) experienced a hospitalization. Adjusted hazard ratios for each 0.1-point increase in frailty index in models of time to death and time to first hospitalization were 1.41 (95% confidence interval, 1.37 to 1.44) and 1.33 (95% confidence interval, 1.31 to 1.35), respectively. For mortality, C-statistics for frailty index, comorbidity index, and both indices were 0.65, 0.65, and 0.66, respectively. For hospitalization, C-statistics for frailty index, comorbidity index, and both indices were 0.61, 0.60, and 0.61, respectively. Data from the 2017 cohort were similar. Conclusions: We developed a novel frailty index for older adults receiving dialysis. Further studies are needed to improve on this frailty index and validate its use for clinical and research applications.

Importance of Metabolic Acidosis as a Health Risk in Chronic Kidney Disease.

Human kidneys are well adapted to excrete the daily acid load from diet and metabolism in order to maintain homeostasis. In approximately 30% of patients with more advanced stages of CKD, these homeostatic processes are no longer adequate, resulting in metabolic acidosis. Potential deleterious effects of chronic metabolic acidosis in CKD, including muscle wasting, bone demineralization, hyperkalemia, and more rapid progression of CKD, have been well cataloged. Based primarily upon concerns related to nutrition and bone disease, early Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative guidelines recommended treating metabolic acidosis with alkali therapy targeting a serum bicarbonate ≥22 mEq/L. More recent guidelines have suggested similar targets based upon potential slowing of CKD progression. However, appropriately powered, long-term, randomized controlled trials to study efficacy and safety of alkali therapy for these outcomes are largely lacking. As a result, practice among physicians varies, underscoring the complexity of treatment of chronic metabolic acidosis in real-world CKD practice. Novel treatment approaches and rigorous phase 3 trials may resolve some of this controversy in the coming years. Metabolic acidosis is an important complication of CKD, and where it "falls" in the priority schema of CKD care will depend upon the generation of strong clinical evidence.

Bioavailability of phosphorus and kidney function in the Jackson Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: High phosphorus (P) exposure may have negative effects on kidney function. Nutrient databases provide total P, but bioavailability varies by source. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess natural, added, and bioavailable P intake, and to relate these to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS). METHODS: A total of 3962 African-American participants of the JHS, aged 21-84 y, with urine albumin:creatinine ratio < 30 mg/g, and eGFR ≥ 60 mL · min-1 · 1.73 m-2, and without self-reported kidney disease, were included. Diet was assessed by FFQ. We assigned P in foods as naturally occurring or added, and weighted intake by P bioavailability, based on published literature. Relations between P variables and eGFR were assessed using multivariable regression. RESULTS: Mean ± SE intakes were 1178 ± 6.7 mg and 1168 ± 5.0 mg for total P, 296 ± 2.8 mg and 291 ± 2.1 mg for bioavailable added P, and 444 ± 2.9 mg and 443 ± 2.2 mg for bioavailable natural P, in participants with eGFR = 60-89 and ≥90 mL · min-1 · 1.73 m-2, respectively. Major sources of total P included fish, milk, beef, eggs, cheese, and poultry; and of added P, fish, beef, processed meat, soft drinks, and poultry. After adjustment for confounders, P intakes, including total (ß ± SE: -0.32 ± 0.15; P = 0.03), added (ß ± SE: -0.73 ± 0.27; P = 0.01), bioavailable total (ß ± SE: -0.62 ± 0.23; P = 0.01), and bioavailable added (ß ± SE: -0.77 ± 0.29; P = 0.01), were significantly associated with lower eGFR. However, neither total nor bioavailable P from natural sources were associated with eGFR. CONCLUSIONS: Added, but not natural, P was negatively associated with kidney function, raising concern about P additives in the food supply. Further studies are needed to improve estimation of dietary P exposure and to clarify the role of added P as a risk factor for kidney disease.

High-Throughput Metabolomics and Diabetic Kidney Disease Progression: Evidence from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency (CRIC) Study.

INTRODUCTION: Metabolomics could offer novel prognostic biomarkers and elucidate mechanisms of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) progression. Via metabolomic analysis of urine samples from 995 CRIC participants with diabetes and state-of-the-art statistical modeling, we aimed to identify metabolites prognostic to DKD progression. METHODS: Urine samples (N = 995) were assayed for relative metabolite abundance by untargeted flow-injection mass spectrometry, and stringent statistical criteria were used to eliminate noisy compounds, resulting in 698 annotated metabolite ions. Utilizing the 698 metabolites' ion abundance along with clinical data (demographics, blood pressure, HbA1c, eGFR, and albuminuria), we developed univariate and multivariate models for the eGFR slope using penalized (lasso) and random forest models. Final models were tested on time-to-ESKD (end-stage kidney disease) via cross-validated C-statistics. We also conducted pathway enrichment analysis and a targeted analysis of a subset of metabolites. RESULTS: Six eGFR slope models selected 9-30 variables. In the adjusted ESKD model with highest C-statistic, valine (or betaine) and 3-(4-methyl-3-pentenyl)thiophene were associated (p < 0.05) with 44% and 65% higher hazard of ESKD per doubling of metabolite abundance, respectively. Also, 13 (of 15) prognostic amino acids, including valine and betaine, were confirmed in the targeted analysis. Enrichment analysis revealed pathways implicated in kidney and cardiometabolic disease. CONCLUSIONS: Using the diverse CRIC sample, a high-throughput untargeted assay, followed by targeted analysis, and rigorous statistical analysis to reduce false discovery, we identified several novel metabolites implicated in DKD progression. If replicated in independent cohorts, our findings could inform risk stratification and treatment strategies for patients with DKD.

Urine tricarboxylic acid cycle signatures of early-stage diabetic kidney disease.

INTRODUCTION: Urine tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle organic anions (OAs) are elevated in diabetes and may be biomarkers for diabetic kidney disease (DKD) progression. OBJECTIVES: We assessed associations of 10 urine TCA cycle OAs with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and eGFR slope. METHODS: This study is ancillary to the Simultaneous Risk Factor Control Using Telehealth to SlOw Progression of Diabetic Kidney Disease (STOP-DKD) Trial-a randomized trial of pharmacist-led medication and behavior management in 281 patients with early to moderate DKD at Duke from 2014 to 2015. We used linear mixed models to assess associations of urine TCA cycle OAs with outcomes and modelled TCA cycle OAs as: (1) the average of z-scores for each OA; and (2) principal component (PC) scores derived by principal component analysis (PCA). Untargeted urine metabolomics were added for additional discovery. RESULTS: Among 132 participants with 24 h urine samples (50% men; 58% Black; mean age 64 years [SD 9]; mean eGFR 74 ml/min/1.73m2 [SD 21] and median urine albumin-to-creatinine [UACR] 20 mg/g [IQR 8-95]), PCA identified 3 OA metabolite PCs. Malate, fumarate, pyruvate, α-ketoglutarate, lactate, succinate and citrate/isocitrate loaded positively on PC1; methylsuccinate, ethylmalonate and succinate loaded positively on PC2; and methylmalonate, ethylmalonate and citrate/isocitrate loaded negatively on PC3. Over a median follow-up of 1.8 years (IQR, 1.2 to 2.2), higher average OA z-score was strongly associated with higher eGFR after covariate adjustment (p = 0.01), but not with eGFR slope (p = 0.9). Higher PC3, but not other PCs, was associated with lower eGFR (p < 0.001). Conditional random forests and smooth clipped absolute deviation models confirmed methylmalonate, citrate/isocitrate, and ethylmalonate, and added lactate as top ranked metabolites in models of baseline eGFR (R-squared 0.32 and 0.33, respectively). Untargeted urine metabolites confirmed association of urine TCA cycle OAs with kidney function. CONCLUSION: Thus, lower urine TCA cycle OAs, most notably lower methylmalonate, ethylmalonate and citrate/isocitrate, are potential indicators of kidney impairment in early stage DKD.

Psychosocial determinants of cardiovascular events among black Americans with chronic kidney disease or associated risk factors in the Jackson heart study.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD), hypertension (HTN), or diabetes mellitus (DM) are at increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). The extent to which psychosocial factors are associated with increased CVD risk within these individuals is unclear. Black individuals experience a high degree of psychosocial stressors due to socioeconomic factors, environment, racism, and discrimination. We examined the association between psychosocial factors and risk of CVD events among Black men and women with CKD and CKD risk factors in the Jackson Heart Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 1919 participants with prevalent CKD or CKD risk factors at baseline. We used rotated principal component analysis - a form of unsupervised machine learning that may identify constructs not intuitively identified by a person - to describe five groups of psychosocial components (including negative moods, religiosity, discrimination, negative outlooks, and negative coping resources) based on a battery of questionnaires. Multiple imputation by chained equation (MICE) was used to impute missing covariate data. Cox models were used to quantify the association between psychosocial components and incident CVD, defined as a fatal coronary heart disease event, myocardial infarction, cardiac procedure (angiography or revascularization procedure), or stroke. Of the 929 participants in the analysis, 67% were female, 28% were current/former smokers with mean age of 56 years and mean BMI of 33 kg/m2. Over a median follow-up of 8 years, 6% had an incident CVD event. In multivariable models, each standard deviation (SD) increase in the religiosity component was associated with an increased hazard for CVD event (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.09-2.13). CONCLUSIONS: Religiosity was associated with CVD among participants with prevalent CKD or CKD risk factors. Studies to better understand the mechanisms of this relationship are needed.

Urine and Plasma Metabolome of Healthy Adults Consuming the DASH (Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension) Diet: A Randomized Pilot Feeding Study.

We aimed to identify plasma and urine metabolites altered by the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet in a post-hoc analysis of a pilot feeding trial. Twenty adult participants with un-medicated hypertension consumed a Control diet for one week followed by 2 weeks of random assignment to either Control or DASH diet. Non-missing fasting plasma (n = 56) and 24-h urine (n = 40) were used to profile metabolites using untargeted gas chromatography/mass spectrometry. Linear models were used to compare metabolite levels between the groups. In urine, 19 identifiable untargeted metabolites differed between groups at p < 0.05. These included a variety of phenolic acids and their microbial metabolites that were higher during the DASH diet, with many at false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted p < 0.2. In plasma, eight identifiable untargeted metabolites were different at p < 0.05, but only gamma-tocopherol was significantly lower on DASH at FDR adjusted p < 0.2. The results provide insights into the mechanisms of benefit of the DASH diet.