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2.
QJM ; 107(2): 115-22, 2014 Feb.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24149282

RÉSUMÉ

BACKGROUND: The burden of the hospital experience is a broad issue that has been evaluated in a particular context of intensive care unit (ICU). It is likely, however, that the load is heavy on families even in other hospital wards and not just in the ICU. The present study was designed to assess the prevalence of anxiety and depression in family members of patients admitted in a general medicine department, and to identify associated factors with those symptoms. METHODS: Patients' and relatives' socio-demographic data and information pertaining to the patients' health characteristics were collected. Family members completed the Arabic version of Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS). Associations between anxiety or depression and covariates of interest were investigated using generalized estimating equations, for univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The prevalence of anxiety (55.6%) and depression (41.1%) in family members remains high. The multivariate model identified three groups of factors associated with these symptoms: (i) Patient related: a short length of hospital stay is associated with depression (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08; P = 0.02); (ii) Family related: rural residence is associated with depression (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.01-6.74; P = 0.04), and female gender is associated with anxiety and depression (OR 2.60, 95% CI 1.41-4.81; P = 0.002), (OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.62-5.70; P = 0.01), respectively; and (iii) Caregiver related: short length of visit (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03-1.13; P = 0.002) is associated with anxiety, admission to a share room (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.25-5.23; P = 0.01) is associated with depression and a need for more information is associated with anxiety and depression (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.02-3.10; P = 0.04),(OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.01-3.11; P = 0.04), respectively. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of symptoms of anxiety and depression in family members remains high at the end of acute health care. It is hoped that improving the provision of information will decrease the risk of psychological distress.


Sujet(s)
Coûts indirects de la maladie , Santé de la famille/statistiques et données numériques , Famille/psychologie , Hospitalisation/statistiques et données numériques , Patients hospitalisés/psychologie , Adulte , Sujet âgé , Anxiété/étiologie , Aidants/psychologie , Études transversales , Dépression/étiologie , Femelle , Humains , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Maroc , Échelles d'évaluation en psychiatrie , Facteurs de risque
3.
Infection ; 40(5): 517-26, 2012 Oct.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22711598

RÉSUMÉ

PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate the impact of a multidimensional infection control strategy for the reduction of the incidence of catheter-associated urinary tract infection (CAUTI) in patients hospitalized in adult intensive care units (AICUs) of hospitals which are members of the International Nosocomial Infection Control Consortium (INICC), from 40 cities of 15 developing countries: Argentina, Brazil, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, India, Lebanon, Macedonia, Mexico, Morocco, Panama, Peru, Philippines, and Turkey. METHODS: We conducted a prospective before-after surveillance study of CAUTI rates on 56,429 patients hospitalized in 57 AICUs, during 360,667 bed-days. The study was divided into the baseline period (Phase 1) and the intervention period (Phase 2). In Phase 1, active surveillance was performed. In Phase 2, we implemented a multidimensional infection control approach that included: (1) a bundle of preventive measures, (2) education, (3) outcome surveillance, (4) process surveillance, (5) feedback of CAUTI rates, and (6) feedback of performance. The rates of CAUTI obtained in Phase 1 were compared with the rates obtained in Phase 2, after interventions were implemented. RESULTS: We recorded 253,122 urinary catheter (UC)-days: 30,390 in Phase 1 and 222,732 in Phase 2. In Phase 1, before the intervention, the CAUTI rate was 7.86 per 1,000 UC-days, and in Phase 2, after intervention, the rate of CAUTI decreased to 4.95 per 1,000 UC-days [relative risk (RR) 0.63 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55-0.72)], showing a 37% rate reduction. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that the implementation of a multidimensional infection control strategy is associated with a significant reduction in the CAUTI rate in AICUs from developing countries.


Sujet(s)
Infections sur cathéters/épidémiologie , Infection croisée/épidémiologie , Prévention des infections/méthodes , Infections urinaires/épidémiologie , Amériques/épidémiologie , Asie/épidémiologie , Infections sur cathéters/prévention et contrôle , Infection croisée/prévention et contrôle , Pays en voie de développement/statistiques et données numériques , Europe/épidémiologie , Femelle , Hygiène des mains/statistiques et données numériques , Humains , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Maroc/épidémiologie , Évaluation de programme , Études prospectives , Cathéters urinaires/statistiques et données numériques , Infections urinaires/prévention et contrôle
4.
Indian J Med Sci ; 63(6): 227-34, 2009 Jun.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19602756

RÉSUMÉ

BACKGROUND: In Morocco, acute aluminum phosphide poisoning (AAlPP) is a serious health care problem. It results in high mortality rate despite the progress of critical care. AIMS: The present paper aims at determining the characteristics of AAlPP and evaluating its severity factors. SETTING AND DESIGN: We studied consecutive patients of AAlPP admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) (Ibn Sina Hospital, Rabat, Morocco) between January 1992 and December 2007. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Around 50 parameters were collected, and a comparison was made between survivor and nonsurvivor groups. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Data were analyzed using Fisher exact test, Mann-Whitney U test and Cox regression model. RESULTS: Forty-nine patients were enrolled: 31 females and 18 males; their average age was 26+/-11 years. The ingested dose of aluminum phosphide was 1.2+/-0.7 g. Self-poisoning was observed in 47 cases, and the median of delay before admission to the hospital was 5.3 hours (range, 2.9-10 hours). Glasgow coma scale was 14+/-2. Shock was reported in 42.6% of the patients. pH was 7.1+/-0.4, and bicarbonate concentration was 16.3+/-8.8 mmol/L. Electrocardiogram abnormalities were noted in 28 (57%) cases. The mortality rate was 49% (24 cases). The prognostic factors were APACHE II (P=0.01), low Glasgow coma scale (P=0.022), shock (P=0.0003), electrocardiogram abnormalities (P=0.015), acute renal failure (P=0.026), low prothrombin rate (P=0.020), hyperleukocytosis (P=0.004), use of vasoactive drugs (P<0.001), use of mechanical ventilation (P=0.003). Multivariate analysis by logistic regression revealed that mortality in AAlPP correlated with shock (RR=3.82; 95% CI=1.12-13.38; P=0.036) and altered consciousness (RR=3.26; 95% CI=1.18-8.99; P=0.022). CONCLUSION: AAlPP is responsible for a high mortality, which is primarily due to hemodynamic failure.


Sujet(s)
Composés de l'aluminium/intoxication , Pesticides/intoxication , Phosphines/intoxication , Intoxication/diagnostic , Maladie aigüe , Adolescent , Adulte , Femelle , Humains , Mâle , Maroc , Intoxication/thérapie , Pronostic , Jeune adulte
5.
Rev Med Interne ; 30(1): 12-9, 2009 Jan.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18706739

RÉSUMÉ

INTRODUCTION: The beneficial effect of corticosteroids has been well established, particularly in patients free of infection with the human immunodeficiency virus. In intensive care units, the high risks of infection to which patients are exposed specifically could offset the neurological benefit of corticosteroids. The purpose of the study was to assess the effects of corticosteroids in adult patients with tuberculous meningitis admitted to intensive care unit. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including all adult patients admitted to intensive care unit for tuberculous meningitis between January 1993 and December 2005. A propensity score case matching was performed using a multivariable logistic regression model, and matched pairs were examined for baseline characteristics and outcome by using conditional regression model. A multivariate Cox's proportional hazard model was used to assess the effects of corticosteroids in all patients adjusting for propensity score. The primary outcome was mortality at 60 days and the secondary outcome was the density of incidence of nosocomial infections. RESULTS: Two hundred and seventy patients were included. The mean age was 38+/-17 years, and the Glasgow coma scale was 12+/-3. The overall mortality was 43.3%. Ninety-four patients who had received corticosteroids were matched to 94 patients untreated with corticosteroids by the propensity score. The baseline characteristics were similar in the two groups except for hydrocephalus, which was more frequent in the group corticosteroids. The mortality rate was 47.9% in group Corticosteroids and 52.1% in group No corticosteroids (P=0.77). The case fatality rate in stage III patients, according to the British Medical Research Council criteria, was 61.5% in the group Corticosteroids versus 74.1% in the group No corticosteroids (P=0.33). Nosocomial infections were observed in 19.1 by 1000 days patient in group Corticosteroids versus 16.1 by 1000 days patient in group No corticosteroids (P=0.4). The outcome in all patients after adjusting for propensity score showed the same results. CONCLUSION: This study found no significant improvement in survival in adult patients with tuberculous meningitis admitted to intensive care who received dexamethasone. However, the confidence interval was in accordance with the 0.78 relative risk estimated by the meta-analysis Cochrane version 2008. There was no significant difference for nosocomial infections between the group Corticosteroids and the group No corticosteroids. A probable lack of statistical power may explain these results.


Sujet(s)
Anti-inflammatoires/usage thérapeutique , Dexaméthasone/usage thérapeutique , Glucocorticoïdes/usage thérapeutique , Méningite tuberculeuse/traitement médicamenteux , Adolescent , Adulte , Sujet âgé , Antibactériens/administration et posologie , Antibactériens/usage thérapeutique , Anti-inflammatoires/administration et posologie , Encéphale/imagerie diagnostique , Études de cohortes , Infection croisée/épidémiologie , Interprétation statistique de données , Dexaméthasone/administration et posologie , Glucocorticoïdes/administration et posologie , Humains , Unités de soins intensifs , Adulte d'âge moyen , Analyse multifactorielle , Essais contrôlés randomisés comme sujet , Études rétrospectives , Analyse de survie , Tomodensitométrie , Méningite tuberculeuse/diagnostic , Méningite tuberculeuse/imagerie diagnostique , Méningite tuberculeuse/mortalité
6.
Ann Fr Anesth Reanim ; 26(6): 490-5, 2007 Jun.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17521851

RÉSUMÉ

OBJECTIVE: To assess mortality and to identify variables that could predict it in cirrhotic patients hospitalized to the medical intensive care unit (MICU) for hepatic encephalopathy (HE). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From January 1995 to December 2004, the cirrhotic patients admitted consecutively in MICU were screened and those with altered level of consciousness were included. The MICU mortality rate was assessed. Nearly 80 variables were analyzed and compared between survivors and non-survivors. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: t test, chi(2) or Fisher exact tests, Kaplan-Meier and log rank, Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 180 patients (42 women-138 men, mean age: 59+/-10 years) were admitted (incidence: 2.6%). The SAPS II was 30.1+/-11, Acute Physiology Age and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II): 16.5+/-5.3, Child-Pugh score: 9.1+/-1.9 and GCS: 11+/-2.8. The causes of liver cirrhosis was identified in 41.2% of cases (viral: 35.6%, alcohol: 5.6%). Nearly 18% of patients had an antecedent of HE. The causes of HE were: infection (65.6%), upper gastrointestinal bleeding (32.2%), drugs (5%) and metabolic cause (5%). MICU mortality rate was 33.3% and seemed higher in gastrointestinal bleeding. Eighteen variables were significantly associated with poor prognosis in univariate analysis. Only three variables remained significant in multivariate analysis: systolic blood pressure<90 mmHg (RR=4; IC 95%=2-8.1), total WBC>12000 n/mm(3) (RR=3.1; IC 95%=1.8-5.3) and use of mechanical ventilation (RR=3.1; IC 95%=1.7-5.6). CONCLUSION: The MICU mortality of cirrhotic patients with HE was high and significantly associated with haemodynamic instability, hyperleucocytosis and mechanical ventilation.


Sujet(s)
Encéphalopathie hépatique/étiologie , Encéphalopathie hépatique/mortalité , Cirrhose du foie/complications , Sujet âgé , Études de cohortes , Femelle , Humains , Unités de soins intensifs , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Analyse multifactorielle , Pronostic , Études rétrospectives
9.
Ann Fr Anesth Reanim ; 25(4): 382-5, 2006 Apr.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16488104

RÉSUMÉ

OBJECTIVES: To determine characteristics of acute aluminum phosphide poisoning (AAlPP) and to evaluate its severity factors. DESIGN STUDY: Retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive cases of AAlPP admitted in medical ICU (Hospital Avicenne, Rabat, Morocco) between January 1992 and December 2002 were studied. AAlPP was identified by history, symptoms and toxicological results. Almost 50 parameters have been collected and compared between survivors and non-survivors groups. Data were analyzed using Fisher exact test and Mann-Whitney test. RESULTS: Twenty-eight patients were enrolled: 17 female and 11 male, average age = 24+/-11 years, SAPS II = 24.4+/-14.5. The ingested dose was 3.3+/-1.8 g. The self-poisoning was observed in 27 cases and delay before hospital admission was 11+/-13 hours. Mean Glasgow coma scale was 14+/-2. Shock was found in 22 (79%) cases. Average pH was 7.1+/-0.4 and bicarbonate concentration was 16.3+/-8.8 mmol/l. The ECG abnormalities were noted in 20 (72%) cases. The average mortality rate was 61%. The prognostic factors were SAPS II (p = 0.031), Apache II (p = 0.037), shock (p = 0.022), ECG abnormalities (p = 0.05), use of vasoactive drugs (p = 0.05) and use of mechanical ventilation (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: AAlPP induced a significantly high mortality and haemodynamic disturbances were a risk factor of poor outcome.


Sujet(s)
Composés de l'aluminium/intoxication , Phosphines/intoxication , Tentative de suicide , Indice APACHE , Douleur abdominale/induit chimiquement , Adolescent , Adulte , Cardiotoniques/usage thérapeutique , Lésions hépatiques dues aux substances/étiologie , Études de cohortes , Association thérapeutique , Femelle , Lavage gastrique , Échelle de coma de Glasgow , Cardiopathies/induit chimiquement , Hémodynamique/effets des médicaments et des substances chimiques , Humains , Mâle , Néphrite interstitielle/induit chimiquement , Intoxication/mortalité , Intoxication/thérapie , Pronostic , Ventilation artificielle , Études rétrospectives , Indice de gravité de la maladie , Choc/induit chimiquement , Vomissement/induit chimiquement
10.
Ann Biol Clin (Paris) ; 64(1): 77-81, 2006.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16420994

RÉSUMÉ

BACKGROUND: The usual glycemic supervision based on repeated measures of the capillary glycemia with the strip of which reliability can be taken at fault especially in critically ill patients. The objective of this work was to evaluate the reliability of capillary glycemia measurement in intensive care unit. MATERIAL AND METHODS: [corrected] The study was performed in a medical intensive care unit, during six months (July to December 2004). The capillary glycemias were carried out with only one blood glucose monitor and were compared with the referenced glycemias. The correlation between two methods was carried out by the parametric Pearson coefficient. The error percentage of the blood glucose monitor was calculated. The agreement of two methods was evaluated by Bland and Altman test. RESULTS: Were performed 245 glycemic pairs for 198 patients, their mean age was 42.6 +/- 14.6 years, 30(15%) among them were diabetics. The referenced glycemia was 8.7 +/- 5.5 mmol/L and the capillary glycemia was 8.3 +/- 4.6 mmol/L. The correlation coefficient was 0.97 (p<0.001); 56 percent of the values had an error percentage lower than 10, 27 percent between 10 and 20%, and there were 17 percent discordant values with an error percentage higher than 20. The method of Bland and Altman objectived a skew of 0.40 mmol/L and a bad precision of +/- 2.90 mmol/L. CONCLUSION: The reliability of capillary glycemias was not satisfactory with bad precision and high percentage of discordance. The capillary glycemias must be interpreted with precaution in intensive care unit.


Sujet(s)
Glycémie/analyse , Vaisseaux capillaires , Adulte , Diabète/sang , Femelle , Humains , Unités de soins intensifs , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Valeurs de référence , Reproductibilité des résultats , Veines
11.
Ann Fr Anesth Reanim ; 22(7): 639-41, 2003 Jul.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12946497

RÉSUMÉ

We showed that the paraphenylenediamine (PPD) poisoning caused myocarditis but there is no data on the echocardiographic features. We report a case of myocarditis induced by PPD poisoning with echographic data. After ingestion of 5 g of PPD, a 18-year-old woman was admitted to the hospital with asphyxia and rhabdomyolysis. An electrocardiogram showed ventricular extrasystoles and negative T waves. The serum concentration of CK was 28,020 UI l(-1) (iso-enzyme MB = 840 UI l(-1)). A transthoracic echocardiography showed significant left and right ventricular hypokinesis (shortening fraction = 20% and left ventricular ejection fraction = 35%) and a left ventricular apical thrombus. Anticoagulation treatment with heparin was initiated. A follow-up echocardiogram performed on the 15th day showed normalization of ventricular function and disappearance of the thrombus. No embolic event was noted. Echocardiography is indicated in the myocarditis induced by PPD poisoning to prove the ventricular function as well as the presence of a thrombus.


Sujet(s)
Myocardite/induit chimiquement , Phénylènediamines/intoxication , Thrombose/induit chimiquement , Dysfonction ventriculaire gauche/induit chimiquement , Adolescent , Anticoagulants/usage thérapeutique , Creatine kinase/sang , Électrocardiographie , Femelle , Héparine/usage thérapeutique , Humains , Myocardite/imagerie diagnostique , Myocardite/traitement médicamenteux , Tentative de suicide , Thrombose/imagerie diagnostique , Thrombose/traitement médicamenteux , Échographie , Dysfonction ventriculaire gauche/imagerie diagnostique , Dysfonction ventriculaire gauche/traitement médicamenteux , Extrasystoles ventriculaires/induit chimiquement , Extrasystoles ventriculaires/physiopathologie
12.
Rev Med Interne ; 24(4): 224-9, 2003 Apr.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12706778

RÉSUMÉ

PURPOSE: The incidence of hyponatremia is unknown, their causes are multiple. The higher mortality, especially in intensive care units, is currently unexplained. The objective of this article is to evaluate the incidence of hyponatremia, to assess their causes and to identify predictors of prognosis in intensive care units. METHODS: We included retrospectively all patients admitted at department of medical intensive care unit between January 1996 and February 2001, who presented at the admission, an hyponatremia (< 130 mmol/l). We excluded all patients who presented a hospital acquired hyponatremia, or hyponatremia associated with hyperglycemia > 13 mmol/l or with mannitol administration. Data were analysed by univariate methods, then by multivariate analysis. RESULTS: During the study period, 300 patients were identified among 2188: the incidence was 13.7% with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) between 9.8 % and 16.7%. Hypovolemic hyponatremia was observed in 25.7%, hypervolemic in 23.7% and normovolemic in 50.6%. In-hospital mortality was 37.7% (95% CI: 31.8% - 42.3%). Nine data were significantly associated with higher mortality in univariate analysis, but only 5 were identified as independant predictors of hospital mortality in multivariate analysis: hyponatremia < 125 mmol/l with a significant relative risk (RR) (RR = 2.10; 95% CI: 1.43-3.08; p < 0.001), Glasgow score < 9 (RR = 2.66; 95% CI: 1.25-5.66; p = 0.01), Glasgow score between 9 and 14 (RR = 1.94; 95% CI: 1.31-2.88; p < 0.001), shock (RR = 1.80; 95% CI: 1.10-3.05; p = 0.02) and blood urea concentration > 10 mmol/l (RR = 1.59; 95% CI : 1.08-2.34; p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: The frequency of hyponatremia is high; the normovolemic type represented 50%. Mortality is linked, in greater part, to organs dysfunction, but the severity of hyponatremia remained a significant predictor of mortality.


Sujet(s)
Mortalité hospitalière , Hyponatrémie/épidémiologie , Hyponatrémie/étiologie , Unités de soins intensifs/statistiques et données numériques , Adulte , Répartition par âge , Azote uréique sanguin , Causalité , Femelle , Échelle de coma de Glasgow , Hôpitaux universitaires , Humains , Hyponatrémie/sang , Hyponatrémie/classification , Incidence , Mâle , Maroc/épidémiologie , Analyse multifactorielle , Valeur prédictive des tests , Pronostic , Études rétrospectives , Sepsie/complications , Indice de gravité de la maladie , Répartition par sexe , Choc/complications , Analyse de survie
13.
Ann Fr Anesth Reanim ; 21(9): 703-9, 2002 Nov.
Article de Français | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12494803

RÉSUMÉ

OBJECTIVE: To compare nebulized salbutamol and nebulized adrenaline in acute severe asthma (ASA). STUDY DESIGN: Prospective controlled study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: October 1998 at May 99, 44 patients (31 women and 13 men, 35 +/- 11 yrs) with ASA (defined as peak expiratory flow rate (PEF) < 150 l min-1 and normo- or hypercapnia) were randomized to receive either nebulized salbutamol (n = 22), 10 mg/h-1 during 2 h then 5 mg every 4 h or nebulized adrenaline (n = 22), 6 mg/h-1 during 2 h then 3 mg every 4 h. The efficacy was assessed by PEF, forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and Fischl's score during eight hours and by arterial blood gases during the first hour. Side-effects were evaluated by heart rate, systolic blood pressure, serum potassium and blood glucose. Statistical tests: Wilcoxon, Fischer exact, ANOVA and Scheffe's test. RESULTS: Both groups were similar with respect to age, sex, severity, duration of asthma and length of crisis. With the two treatments, PEF increased significantly but no statistical difference were observed between the two groups during the eight hours: 117.7 +/- 41.6 l min-1 to 203.3 +/- 56.9 l min-1 in the salbutamol group; 116.4 +/- 36.8 l min-1 to 217.3 +/- 188.8 l min-1 in the adrenaline group; p = 0.77. FEV1, Fischl's score and arterial blood gases did not differ significantly between treatments at every time interval. There were no significant difference between the two groups in terms of side-effects. The intravenous way was necessary at 3 cases of the salbutamol group and 4 cases of adrenaline group (NS). CONCLUSION: The results suggest that nebulized adrenaline is as effective as nebulized salbutamol in the ASA without significant side-effects. The nebulization could reduce systemic effects of adrenaline.


Sujet(s)
Salbutamol/usage thérapeutique , Antiasthmatiques/usage thérapeutique , Asthme/traitement médicamenteux , Bronchodilatateurs/usage thérapeutique , Épinéphrine/usage thérapeutique , Maladie aigüe , Administration par inhalation , Adulte , Aérosols , Salbutamol/administration et posologie , Salbutamol/effets indésirables , Antiasthmatiques/administration et posologie , Antiasthmatiques/effets indésirables , Bronchodilatateurs/administration et posologie , Bronchodilatateurs/effets indésirables , Méthode en double aveugle , Épinéphrine/administration et posologie , Épinéphrine/effets indésirables , Femelle , Humains , Mâle , Études prospectives , Tests de la fonction respiratoire
14.
Intensive Care Med ; 25(10): 1077-83, 1999 Oct.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10551962

RÉSUMÉ

OBJECTIVE: To develop a model able to determine the right time for extubation and to validate its performance. paragraph sign DESIGN: A prospective clinical study. SETTING: 14-bed medical intensive care unit in a university hospital. PATIENTS: 101 patients (37 women/64 men) ventilated over more than 48 h (mean 10.4 +/- 10.3 days) and considered ready to be weaned by the medical team (February 1996-February 1998). METHODS: This study included two series: a development series with 53 patients and a validation series with 48 patients. Before extubation, a weaning test was performed measuring tidal volume (V(T)), respiratory rate (f), f/V(T) ratio, minute ventilation, vital capacity (VC) and maximum inspiratory and expiratory pressures (MIP and MEP). The success of extubation was assessed after 48 h. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves allowed the analysis of the discriminating power of each parameter. Threshold values were determined using the Youden's index. To create the best predictive model, we performed a multiple logistic regression analysis. To assess the calibration and the discrimination of the model, the Hosmer- Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and area under ROC curves (AUC) were adopted. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: In a development series, 60 tests were carried out with 38 successful extubations and 22 extubation failures. The multivariate analysis found three significant variables: VC (threshold value = 635 ml), f/V(T) ratio (threshold value = 88 breaths/min.l) and MEP (threshold value = 28 cmH(2)O). The validation cohort included 59 tests (38 successes and 21 failures). The validation series shows a good discrimination (AUC = 0.855 +/- 0.059) and calibration (goodness-of-fit test C: p = 0.224) of the model. CONCLUSION: VC together with the f/V(T) ratio and MEP offer accurate prediction of early extubation.


Sujet(s)
Protocoles cliniques/normes , Modèles logistiques , Insuffisance respiratoire/thérapie , Sevrage de la ventilation mécanique/méthodes , Adolescent , Adulte , Sujet âgé , Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus , Calibrage , Analyse discriminante , Femelle , Humains , Mâle , Adulte d'âge moyen , Analyse multifactorielle , Études prospectives , Ventilation pulmonaire , Reproductibilité des résultats , Respiration , Insuffisance respiratoire/diagnostic , Insuffisance respiratoire/étiologie , Insuffisance respiratoire/physiopathologie , Sensibilité et spécificité , Volume courant , Facteurs temps , Sevrage de la ventilation mécanique/effets indésirables , Sevrage de la ventilation mécanique/instrumentation , Capacité vitale
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