My tuberculosis epidemiology journey: Implications for TB program interventions, activities and strategy.

Key learnings from some landmark studies that the author has been associated with and their implications on program strategies are highlighted. Learnings from prevalence surveys provide justification for active TB Case finding (ACF), role of Chest X-ray screening, justification of the elderly as a key vulnerable population and suggest re-think of the methods of sub-national certification for progress towards tuberculosis free status. Risk of infection studies suggest 14 million people acquiring new tuberculous infection each year in India suggesting a re-think on the targets for TB elimination. Justification is given for 'TB deaths averted' as a parameter for monitoring program impact, reviving risk of infection surveys using CyTB and higher emphasis on careful analysis of routine surveillance data for monitoring epidemiological trends rather than oft-repeated surveys. The modelling outputs suggest higher focus on reducing transmission of infection in urban and reducing treatment delay in rural areas and the need to scale up active case finding and TB preventive treatment in order to achieve End TB targets. Case finding studies justify upfront molecular diagnostics, need to confirm a single sputum result by another specimen or radiology during ACF and futility of X-ray based diagnosis during ACF. High rates of recurrence with intermittent treatment regimen providing evidence in favor of daily regimen, role of family centric approach to nutritional supplementation to prevent TB mortality and reduce TB incidence among household contacts are highlighted besides the need to address high proportion of families suffering catastrophic expenses during pre-treatment period.

Estimation and evaluation of the risks of protozoa infections associated to the water from a treatment plant in southern Brazil using the Quantitative Microbiological Risk Assessment Methodology (QMRA).

In this study, the Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QMRA) methodology was applied to estimate the annual risk of Giardia and Cryptosporidium infection associated with a water treatment plant in southern Brazil. The efficiency of the treatment plant in removing protozoa and the effectiveness of the Brazilian legislation on microbiological protection were evaluated, emphasizing the relevance of implementing the QMRA in this context. Two distinct approaches were employed to estimate the mechanical removal of protozoa: The definitions provided by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), and the model proposed by Neminski and Ongerth. Although the raw water collected had a higher concentration of Giardia cysts than Cryptosporidium oocysts, the estimated values for the annual risk of infection were significantly higher for Cryptosporidium than for Giardia. From a general perspective, the risk values of protozoa infection were either below or very near the limit set by the World Health Organization (WHO). In contrast, all the risk values of Cryptosporidium infection exceeded the threshold established by the USEPA. Ultimately, it was concluded that the implementation of the QMRA methodology should be considered by the Brazilian authorities, as the requirements and guidelines provided by the Brazilian legislation proved to be insufficient to guarantee the microbiological safety of drinking water. In this context, the QMRA application can effectively contribute to the prevention and investigation of outbreaks of waterborne disease.

Eye infection risks from Pseudomonas aeruginosa via hand soap and eye drops.

Eye infections from bacterial contamination of bulk-refillable liquid soap dispensers and artificial tear eye drops continue to occur, resulting in adverse health outcomes that include impaired vision or eye enucleation. Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa), a common cause of eye infections, can grow in eye drop containers and refillable soap dispensers to high numbers. To assess the risk of eye infection, a quantitative microbial risk assessment for P. aeruginosa was conducted to predict the probability of an eye infection for two potential exposure scenarios: (i) individuals using bacteria-contaminated eye drops and (ii) contact lens wearers washing their hands with bacteria-contaminated liquid soap prior to placing the lens. The median risk of an eye infection using contaminated eye drops and hand soap for both single and multiple exposure events (per day) ranged from 10-1 to 10-4, with contaminated eye drops having the greater risk. The concentration of P. aeruginosa was identified as the parameter contributing the greatest variance on eye infection risk; therefore, the prevalence and level of bacterial contamination of the product would have the greatest influence on health risk. Using eye drops in a single-use container or with preservatives can mitigate bacterial growth, and using non-refillable soap dispensers is recommended to reduce contamination of hand soap. Given the opportunistic nature of P. aeruginosa and its ability to thrive in unique environments, additional safeguards to mitigate bacterial growth and exposure are warranted.IMPORTANCEPseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) is a pathogen that can persist in a variety of unusual environments and continues to pose a significant risk for public health. This quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) estimates the potential human health risks, specifically for eye infections, associated with exposure to P. aeruginosa in bacteria-contaminated artificial tear eye drops and hand soap. This study applies the risk assessment framework of QMRA to evaluate eye infection risks through both consumer products. The study examines the prevalence of this pathogen in eye drops and soap, as well as the critical need to implement measures that will mitigate bacterial exposure (e.g., single-use soap dispensers and eye drops with preservatives). Additionally, limitations and challenges are discussed, including the need to incorporate data regarding consumer practices, which may improve exposure assessments and health risk estimates.

Annual risk of hepatitis E virus infection and seroreversion: Insights from a serological cohort in Sitakunda, Bangladesh.

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is a major cause of acute jaundice in South Asia. Gaps in our understanding of transmission are driven by non-specific symptoms and scarcity of diagnostics, impeding rational control strategies. In this context, serological data can provide important proxy measures of infection. We enrolled a population-representative serological cohort of 2,337 individuals in Sitakunda, Bangladesh. We estimated the annual risks of HEV infection and seroreversion both using serostatus changes between paired serum samples collected 9 months apart, and by fitting catalytic models to the age-stratified cross-sectional seroprevalence. At baseline, 15% (95 CI: 14-17%) of people were seropositive, with seroprevalence highest in the relatively urban south. During the study, 27 individuals seroreverted (annual seroreversion risk: 15%, 95 CI: 10-21%), and 38 seroconverted (annual infection risk: 3%, 95CI: 2-5%). Relying on cross-sectional seroprevalence data alone, and ignoring seroreversion, underestimated the annual infection risk five-fold (0.6%, 95 CrI: 0.5-0.6%). When we accounted for the observed seroreversion in a reversible catalytic model, infection risk was more consistent with measured seroincidence. Our results quantify HEV infection risk in Sitakunda and highlight the importance of accounting for seroreversion when estimating infection incidence from cross-sectional seroprevalence data.

COVID-19 infection rate and mortality in a local health authority in Italy: Differences between home-dwelling and residential older adults.

Objectives: The health emergency following the COVID-19 pandemic has seen hospital structures collapse and put in crisis nursing homes and other long-term care facilities worldwide. Our study aims to analyze and comparing the data relating to the infection rate and mortality for COVID-19 in the elderly over 75 living in the long-term care facilities and in the home-dwelling population. Study design: The study adopts a retrospective cohort design and was conducted in Italy, in the Lazio region, in the area of the Local Health Authority (LHA) named "Azienda Sanitaria Locale Roma 6". Methods: Data were extracted from the COVID-19 surveillance system of the Lazio region. The primary outcome is the SARS-CoV-2 incidence rate in the period between 1st September 2020 and 31st May 2021. The secondary outcome is the mortality rate. Results: Living in a residential versus a home-dwelling setting was associated with a higher infection rate (OR 5.03, CI 4.67-5.43; p < 0.001). The mortality rate was higher for individuals living in a residential setting (19.3 %, CI 17.1%-21.7 %) than those living at home (13.0 %, CI 11.7%-14.5 %). Conclusions: These findings confirm the high mortality in Long-Term Care Facilities and provide new information on the infection rate. The containment measures adopted in the Long-Term Care Facilities during the COVID-19 pandemic, show limited correlation with reduced risk of contagion, but could have created unintended harm for the residents by increasing the social isolation and all other causes of mortality.

Nutrition morbidity interactions in pre-school children.

Background & objectives: Research studies in the 1970s reported that in pre-school children, undernutrition increased the risk of infections and infections aggravated undernutrition. Over decades, there has been a reduction in prevalence of undernutrition and improvement in access to healthcare for treatment of infections. A mixed longitudinal study was undertaken to assess whether over time there were any changes from the earlier reported effect of undernutrition prior to infection on the risk of morbidity and effect of morbidity on nutritional status in pre-school children. Methods: Pre-school (0-59 months of age) children from urban low- and middle-income families whose parents were willing to allow their participation in the study were enrolled. Information on sociodemographic profile of the families was collected at enrolment. Weight of all children and length in infants were recorded every month; length/height in children 12-59 months of age was recorded once in three months. Morbidity information was collected through fortnightly visits. Results: 3888 pre-school children were followed up in 74636 home visits. Among these children, underweight and wasting were associated with a small increase in risk of infections. The odds ratio for risk of infection for underweight children was 1.09 (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.16) and for wasting was 1.18 (95% CI: 1.08 to 1.29). The deterioration in Z scores for weight-for-age and body mass index-for-age in children during illness and convalescence was small but significant (P<0.001). Interpretation & conclusions: The increased risk of infections in undernourished children living in overcrowded tenements in areas with poor environmental hygiene was not significant, perhaps because the risk of infection in normally nourished children was also high. The deterioration in nutritional status following infection was small because of the ready access to and utilization of health and nutrition care.

No role of common NOD2 gene variants in predicting sepsis related outcomes in Indian patients undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplant.

Background: High-risk single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-2 (NOD2) gene are associated with high susceptibility for infections and inflammation due to risk of inappropriate cytokine production and NF-κB activation. We studied the incidence of three high-risk NOD2 gene SNPs (8, 12 and 13) among BM-transplant (BMT) recipients. Methods: Sequential patients undergoing BMT over 1-year period were prospectively studied. Patients were tested with MspI/HhaI or NlaIV restriction-endonucleases (Euryx, Gdansk, Poland) for NOD2 gene SNPs 8, 12, and 13, respectively. Regimen-related organ toxicity was graded using the Seattle-Bearman criteria. Results: Forty patients were enrolled, their median age was 38 years (range 3-64), and 52.5% were males. Twenty patients each (50%) underwent autologous and allogeneic BMT. Majority of the patients (n = 38, 95%) developed febrile-neutropenia in the post-transplant period and 4 patients died due to overwhelming sepsis within day +100. Acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) [grade I-II (n = 3) and grade III-IV (n = 6)] was observed in 9/20 allogeneic HSCT recipients. None of our 40 patients showed presence of any of the three NOD2 gene SNPs. Conclusion: The 3 commonly observed high risk SNPs (8,12, and 13) of NOD2 genes were not present in study population. It is quite likely that due to geographical and racial variations these polymorphisms are completely absent in North India. NOD2 gene is highly diverse and polymorphic variants can be absolutely different in various populations. Larger studies targeting sequencing of the whole NOD2 gene can convincingly rule out or confirm the role of NOD2 gene variants in Indian population.

The relationship between the perceived risk of infection at the workplace and quality of work life (QoWL): Healthcare workers' perspectives.

Background: One of today's most significant organizational priorities, including healthcare organizations, is to improve the quality of work-life (QoWL), which leads to offering high-quality services to patients. Aim: The study aimed to explore the effect of the perceived risk of infection and its impact on the quality of work-life (QoWL) on HCWs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted on 484 healthcare workers. Respondents were recruited using convenience sampling methods. Results: : The study findings revealed a better QoWL with a decreased perceived risk of COVID-19 infection. Conclusion: Increasing the quality of work life will be reflected in adherence to health protocols, which creates a work environment capable of dealing with challenges, including the risk of infection such as COVID-19.

COVID-19 incidence in women of reproductive age: a population-based study in Reggio Emilia, northern Italy.

BACKGROUND: Despite being at higher risk of severe disease and pregnancy complications, evidence on susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnancy is still limited. The aim of the study is to compare the likelihood of undergoing a SARS-CoV-2 test and testing positive for COVID-19 in pregnancy and puerperium with that of the general female population of reproductive age. METHODS: This is a retrospective population-based cohort study including 117,606 women of reproductive age (March 2020-September 2021) with 6608 (5.6%) women having ≥ 1 pregnancy. Women were linked to the pregnancy registry to be classified as "non-pregnant", "pregnant", and "puerperium"; then, according to the national case-based integrated COVID-19 surveillance system, all women undergoing a SARS-CoV-2 test during the study period were identified. The Incidence Rate Ratio was calculated to compare the likelihood of being tested for SARS-CoV-2 in pregnant, puerperium and non-pregnant women among all women included. The likelihood of having a COVID-19 diagnosis was calculated using two comparators (not-pregnant women and the person-time before/after pregnancy) by means of Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age and with the cluster option to control standard error calculation in repeated pregnancies. Only first infection and swabs before the first one positive were included. RESULTS: The probability of being tested for SARS-CoV-2 was 4.9 (95% CI: 4.8-5.1) and 3.6 times higher (95%CI: 3.4-3.9) in pregnancy (including spontaneous miscarriages) and in the puerperium, respectively. The Hazard Ratio (HR) of covid-19 diagnosis during pregnancy vs. non-pregnancy was 1.17 (95% CI 1.03-1.33) with similar results when comparing the risk during pregnancy with that of the same women outside pregnancy (puerperium excluded), with an HR of 1.13 (95% CI 0.96-1.33); the excess decreased when excluding the test performed at admission for delivery (HR 1.08 (95%CI 0.90-1.30). In the puerperium, the HR was 0.62 (95% CI 0.41-0.92) comparing women with ≥ 1childbirth with all other women and excluding the first two weeks of puerperium. CONCLUSIONS: Women during pregnancy showed a small increase in the risk of infection, compatible with a higher likelihood of being tested. A lower probability of infection during the puerperium was observed during the entire pandemic period, suggesting likely protective behaviors which were effective in reducing their probability of infection.

Exposure to COVID-19 among unvaccinated healthcare personnel and risk for infection: a single-center retrospective study.

INTRODUCTION: Characteristics of exposure and infection risk, are important in strategy development for infection control among healthcare workers (HCWs). Our objective was to investigate the characteristics of exposure of HCWs to SARS-CoV-2 and determine the risk of COVID-19 development. METHODOLOGY: This is a retrospective single-center cohort study, conducted between March and December 2020. Unvaccinated and exposed HCWs were asked to complete a standard form, including demographic data and characteristics of exposure(s). Exposures were stratified according to national guidelines. STROBE checklist was used. RESULTS: Among a total of 4,385 healthcare workers, 1,483 HCWs (33.8%) with a total of 1,903 exposures to SARS-CoV-2 were identified. Median age was 31 (IQR: 26-40) years and 45.4% were male (N = 673). Following exposure, 78 HCWs became SARS-CoV-2-positive (attack rate: 3.9%) and secondary attack rate was 4/16. In terms of infection, exposure to SARS-CoV-2-positive HCWs posed a greater risk compared to contact with patients (8.9%, [n = 66] vs. 3.8% [n = 12], respectively, p = 0.003). PCR positivity rates were 11.5%, 6.3%, and 8.4% for low, medium, and high-risk contacts (p = 0.152). Median time to infection post-exposure was 7 (IQR: 4-13) days. CONCLUSIONS: Given the attack rates, there was no correlation between risk levels and PCR test positivity rates. There was no difference between HCWs with or without work restrictions, in terms of PCR positivity. Due to feasibility issues, prioritizing universally applied symptom screening and resource control strategies and suspending contact tracing and work restrictions, appear to be safe during high prevalence period.

[Research on infectious diseases in the French Armed Forces Health Service: one hundred years after Alphonse Laveran]. / Recherche sur les maladies infectieuses dans le Service de santé des armées: cent ans après Alphonse Laveran.

The army has always been particularly exposed to the risk of infection, which Alphonse Laveran already analyzed in 1875 in his Traité des maladies et épidémies des armées. Nowadays, the risk of infection is still present, which is why the Armed Forces Health Service (SSA) employs modern research resources in this area structured around the Armed Forces Biomedical Research Institute (IRBA) supported by the Military Training Hospitals (HIA), the Armed Forces Epidemiology and Public Health Center (CESPA), and the Val-de-Grâce School.These resources meet current research needs in infectious and tropical diseases and are preparing to respond to future emergences.Recently, the SSA research has stood out in several epidemics and emergences that have affected the French Armed Forces and the national population.

Age-Dependent Risk of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection: A Systematic Review and Hazard Modeling From Serological Data.

BACKGROUND: There is no immunization campaign that currently exist for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Seroprevalence studies are critical for assessing epidemiological dynamics before and during an immunization program. A systematic literature review was conducted to summarize the evidence from seroprevalence studies on RSV. METHODS: A systematic search of age-dependent RSV seroprevalence was conducted using the PubMed database and EMBASE. Age-dependent force of infections (FoI) and the decay rate of immunity were estimated. A mixture finite model was used, estimating the age-dependent disease state and the antibody concentrations in susceptible and infected or recovered populations. RESULTS: Twenty-one studies were identified from 15 countries, with studies using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay being the most represented. Using a catalytic model, the age-dependent force of infection was estimated to be the lowest in infants aged 6 months to 1 year and increased in older age groups. The proportion ever-infected/recovered was estimated to be above 90% by 3 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: The number of seroprevalence studies covering a broad range of ages are limited. The age-dependent FoI indicated that the risk of infection was greatest among those aged >5 years. Additional data using valid assays are required to describe the transmission dynamics of RSV infection.

Doffing Corridor: Establishing Expedited High-Volume Doffing With Exposure Reduction to Contaminated Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) in a COVID-19 Hospital in India.

Background Considering the virulent nature of the COVID-19, the safety of healthcare workers (HCW) became a challenge for hospital administrators. Wearing a personal protective equipment (PPE) kit, called donning, which can be easily done by the help of another staff. But correctly removing the infectious PPE kit (doffing) was a challenge. The increased number of HCWs for COVID-19 patient care raised the opportunity to develop an innovative method for the smooth doffing of PPEs. Objective We aimed to design and establish an innovative PPE doffing corridor in a tertiary care COVID-19 hospital during the pandemic in India with a heavy doffing rate and minimize the COVID-19 virus spread among healthcare workers. Methodology A prospective, observational cohort study at the COVID-19 hospital, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India, was conducted from July 19, 2020, to March 30, 2021. The time taken for PPE doffing process of HCWs was observed and compared between the doffing room and doffing corridor. The data was collected by a public health nursing officer using Epicollect5 mobile software and Google forms. The following parameters, like grade of satisfaction, time and volume of doffing, the errors in the steps of doffing, rate of infection, were compared between the doffing corridor and the doffing room. The statistical analysis was done by the use of SPSS software. Result 'Doffing corridor' decreased the overall doffing time by 50% compared to the initial doffing room. The doffing corridor solved the purpose of accommodating more HCWs for PPE doffing and an overall saving of 50% time. Fifty-one percent of HCWs rated the satisfaction rate as Good in the grading scale. The errors in the steps of doffing that occurred in the doffing process were comparatively lesser in the doffing corridor. The HCWs who doffed in the doffing corridor were three times less likely to get self-infection than the conventional doffing room. Conclusion Since COVID-19 was a new pandemic, the healthcare organizations focused on innovations to combat the spread of virus. One of these was an innovative doffing corridor to expedite the doffing process and decrease the exposure time to the contaminated items. The doffing corridor process can be considered at a high-interest rate to any hospital dealing with infectious disease, with high working satisfaction, less exposure to the contagion, and less risk of infection.

Glycemic control predicts SARS-CoV-2 prognosis in diabetic subjects.

AIM: The coronavirus disease (COVID)-19 incidence was higher in diabetes mellitus (DM), although several differences should be considered on the basis of characteristics of cohorts evaluated. This study was designed to evaluate the prevalence and potential consequences of COVID-19 in a large diabetic population in Northern Italy. DESIGN: Observational, longitudinal, retrospective, clinical study. METHODS: Subjects with both type 1 and type 2 DM living in the Province of Modena and submitted to at least one SARS-CoV-2 swab between March 2020 and March 2021 were included. Data were extracted from the Hospital data warehouse. RESULTS: 9553 diabetic subjects were enrolled (age 68.8 ± 14.1 years, diabetes duration 11.0 ± 6.9 years, glycated hemoglobin 57.2 ± 16.2 mmol/mol). COVID-19 was detected in 2302 patients (24.1%) with a death rate of 8.9%. The mean age and diabetes duration were significantly lower in infected versus non-infected patients. SARS-CoV-2 infection was more frequent in youngest people, according to quartile of age and retirement pension age of 65 years. No differences were detected considering sex. Higher HbA1c was detected in infected compared to non-infected patient. Death was predicted by diabetes duration and HbA1c. ROC analyses for death risk showed significant threshold for diabetes duration (10.9 years) and age (74.4 years). CONCLUSION: In our cohort, SARS-CoV-2 infection correlates with age, diabetes duration and disease control. Diabetic patients with COVID-19 should be carefully followed when older than 74 years and with more than 10 years of DM duration.

Acute effects of concurrent muscle power and sport-specific endurance exercises on markers of immunological stress response and measures of muscular fitness in highly trained youth male athletes.

PURPOSE: To examine the acute effects of concurrent muscle power and sport-specific endurance exercises order on immunological stress responses, muscular-fitness, and rating-of-perceived-exertion (RPE) in highly trained youth male judo athletes. METHODS: Twenty male participants randomly performed two concurrent training (CT) sessions; power-endurance and endurance-power. Measures of immune response (e.g., white blood cells), muscular-fitness (i.e., counter-movement-jump [CMJ]), RPE, blood-lactate, and -glucose were taken at different time-point (i.e., pre, mid, post, and post6h). RESULTS: There were significant time*order interactions for white blood cells, lymphocytes, granulocytes, granulocyte-lymphocyte-ratio, and systemic-inflammation-index. Power-endurance resulted in significantly larger pre-to-post increases in white blood cells and lymphocytes while endurance-power resulted in significantly larger pre-to-post increases in the granulocyte-lymphocyte-ratio and systemic-inflammation-index. Likewise, significantly larger pre-to-post6h white blood cells and granulocytes increases were observed following power-endurance compared to endurance-power. Moreover, there was a significant time*order interaction for blood-glucose and -lactate. Following endurance-power, blood-lactate and -glucose increased from pre-to-mid but not from pre-to-post. Meanwhile, in power-endurance blood-lactate and -glucose increased from pre-to-post but not from pre-to-mid. A significant time*order interaction was observed for CMJ-force with larger pre-to-post decreases in endurance-power compared to power-endurance. Further, CMJ-power showed larger pre-to-mid performance decreases following power-endurance, compared to endurance-power. Regarding RPE, significant time*order interactions were noted with larger pre-to-mid values following endurance-power and larger pre-to-post values following power-endurance. CONCLUSION: CT induced acute and delayed order-dependent immune cell count alterations in highly trained youth male judo athletes. In general, power-endurance induced higher acute and delayed immunological stress responses compared to endurance-power. CMJ-force and RPE fluctuated during both CT sessions but went back to baseline 6 h post-exercise.

How much natural ventilation rate can suppress COVID-19 transmission in occupancy zones?

Background: Previous research has emphasized the importance of efficient ventilation in suppressing COVID-19 transmission in indoor spaces, yet suitable ventilation rates have not been suggested. Materials and Methods: This study investigated the impacts of mechanical, natural, single-sided, cross-ventilation, and three mask types (homemade, surgical, N95) on COVID-19 spread across eight common indoor settings. Viral exposure was quantified using a mass balance calculation of inhaled viral particles, accounting for initial viral load, removal via ventilation, and mask filtration efficiency. Results: Results demonstrated that natural cross-ventilation significantly reduced viral load, decreasing from 10,000 to 0 viruses over 15 minutes in a 100 m2 space by providing ~1325 m3/h of outdoor air via two 0.6 m2 openings at 1.5 m/s wind speed. In contrast, single-sided ventilation only halved viral load at best. Conclusion: Natural cross-ventilation with masks effectively suppressed airborne viruses, lowering potential infections and disease transmission. The study recommends suitable ventilation rates to reduce COVID-19 infection risks in indoor spaces.

Racial Health Disparities and Black Heterogeneity in COVID-19: A Case Study of Miami Gardens.

The COVID-19 pandemic is a critical public health concern that has disproportionately affected the Black community in the United States. The purpose of this study was to examine the risk and protective factors faced by residents in the City of Miami Gardens during the COVID-19 pandemic, with emphases placed on racial health disparities and Black heterogeneity. Using convenience and snowball sampling, quantitative and qualitative data for this study were collected via an anonymous online questionnaire using QuestionPro. Survey links were distributed by e-mail invitations with assistance from city officials to the residents of this predominantly Black city in Florida (n = 83). Descriptive statistics and relevant qualitative responses are presented. Furthermore, a machine learning (ML) approach was used to select the most critical variables that characterized the two racial groups (Black versus non-Black participants) based on four ML feature selectors. Study findings offered important and interesting insights. Specifically, despite the greater prevalence of adopting measures to protect themselves and others from COVID-19, Black participants were more susceptible to activities that increased their COVID-19 risk levels. In addition, their rate of infection, particularly among the Afro-Caribbean ethnic group, was reported to be higher, indicating the need to further investigate the underlying conditions and root causes (including vaccine hesitancy and refusal) that contribute to their greater health disparities.

Numerical model for cough-generated droplet dispersion on moving escalator with multiple passengers.

To investigate the motion of virus-laden droplets between moving passengers in line, we performed numerical simulations of the distribution of airborne droplets within a geometrically detailed model similar to an actual escalator. The left and right sides and the ceiling of the escalator model were surrounded by walls, assuming a subway used by many people every day with concern to virus-laden droplets. Steps and handrails were incorporated in the model to faithfully compute the escalator-specific flow field. The ascending and descending movements of the escalator were performed with 10 or 5 passengers standing at different boarding intervals. To resolve the unsteady airflow that is excited by a moving boundary consisting of passengers, steps, and handrails, the moving computational domain method based on the moving-grid finite-volume method was applied. On the basis of the consideration that the droplets were small enough, droplet dispersion was computed by solving the equation of virus-laden droplet motion using a pre-computed velocity field, in which the flow rate of a cough, diameter distribution, and evaporation of droplets are incorporated. The simulation resolved the detailed motion of droplets in flow, and therefore, we were able to evaluate the risk of viral adhesion to following passengers. As a result, we found that the ascending escalator had a higher risk of being exposed to virus-laden droplets than the descending escalator. We also reported that the chance of viral droplet adhesion decreases as the distance from the infected person increases, emphasizing the importance of social distancing.

Perceived Monkeypox Concern and Risk among Men Who Have Sex with Men: Evidence and Perspectives from The Netherlands.

The current monkeypox epidemic is most prevalent among men who have sex with men (MSM). PrEP users and MSM with HIV (MSMHIV) are considered at highest risk of monkeypox infection in The Netherlands, and are being targeted for monkeypox vaccination. Together with the epidemiological evidence, perceived concern and risk are also relevant for decision making about health behaviour, e.g., vaccination uptake. It is thus timely to examine which subpopulations among MSM consider themselves to be most at risk and are most concerned about monkeypox. This study aimed to help determine if the current measures to curb the epidemic are successfully targeted or not in The Netherlands. We conducted an online survey among 394 MSM living in The Netherlands. We first calculated the prevalence and standardised prevalence ratio (SPR) of high perceived monkeypox concern/risk by PrEP-use and HIV status. We then conducted two multivariable logistic regression analyses to investigate perceived monkeypox concern/risk and their potential socio-demographic/behavioural/health/psycho-social determinants. Among the included MSM, 52% showed high perceived concern about and 30% showed high perceived risk of monkeypox infection. PrEP users (SPR = 0.83) showed a significantly lower chance of perceived concern; in addition, MSMHIV (SPR = 2.09) were found to have a significantly higher chance of perceiving high risk of monkeypox infection. In the multivariable logistic analyses, non-PrEP users (aOR = 2.55) were more likely to perceive higher concern, while MSM who were retired (aOR = 0.23) and who had had chemsex recently (aOR = 0.63) were less likely to perceive higher concern. MSMHIV (aOR = 4.29) and MSM who had an unknown/undisclosed HIV status (aOR = 6.07), who had attended private sex parties (aOR = 2.10), and who knew people who have/had monkeypox (aOR = 2.10) were more likely to perceive a higher risk for monkeypox infection. We found that high perceived risk (aOR = 2.97) and high perceived concern (aOR = 3.13) were correlated with each other. In sum, only one-third of MSM living in The Netherlands considered themselves at high risk of monkeypox infection, and only half of them reported high concern. We identified a potential discrepancy between "actual risk" and perceived risk of and concern about monkeypox among MSM in this early stage of the monkeypox epidemic in The Netherlands, especially among PrEP users and MSMHIV. More refined public health communication strategies may be needed to improve the understanding and knowledge of the "actual risk" of monkeypox infections among MSM sub-populations, to facilitate health behaviour uptake.

Intención de aceptación a la vacunación contra la COVID-19 en sectores vulnerables del Ecuador

Introducción: La COVID-19 causó que varios sectores profesionales hayan tenido que enfrentarlo en primera línea, viéndose afectados ante la vulnerabilidad de contraer el virus. A pesar de la baja tasa de mortalidad de los momentos actuales y la poca saturación de pacientes con COVID-19 en los centros de salud, la aplicación de una cuarta dosis de inoculación ha generado posturas diferentes entre varios países. Objetivo: Determinar si el personal considerado con altos riesgos de vulnerabilidad de la ciudad de Santo Domingo de los Colorados, en Ecuador, tiene intenciones favorables para la aplicación de la cuarta dosis de la vacuna contra la COVID-19. Método: Se desarrolló un estudio cuantitativo de alcance correlacional y diseño transversal. Un cuestionario conformado por 16 preguntas midió las variables: riesgo de contagio, conocimiento percibido sobre la vacuna, confianza sobre la vacuna e intención de vacunarse; el cual fue aplicado a 375 participantes. Los análisis estadísticos fueron desarrollados a través de Excel y Statistical Package for Social Sciences 21 (SPSS 21). Resultados: Los análisis estadísticos evidenciaron que el riesgo de contagio (β=0,178**), el conocimiento percibido sobre la vacuna (β=0,218**) y la confianza sobre la vacuna (β=0,192**) se correlacionan significativamente con la intención de vacunarse, ante lo cual se evidencia la necesidad de recibir una cuarta dosis de inoculación por parte de los sectores vulnerables. Conclusiones: Esta es la primera investigación que expone resultados respecto a la intención de vacunación en las personas vulnerables y pone en evidencia la intención de acceder a una cuarta dosis de inoculación.

Introduction: COVID-19 caused healthcare professional workers have faced the pandemic on the frontline at the risk of being infected with the virus. Despite the low mortality rate at present and the low presence of patients with COVID-19 in health care centers, the application of a fourth booster dose has generated different positions among several countries. Objective: To determine whether personnel considered being at high risk of vulnerability in the city of Santo Domingo de los Colorados, Ecuador, have favorable intentions for receiving the fourth booster dose of the COVID-19 vaccine. Method: A quantitative study of correlational scope and cross-sectional design was developed. A questionnaire consisting of 16 questions measured the following variables: risk of infection, perceived knowledge of the vaccine, confidence in the vaccine and intention to be vaccinated; this questionnaire was applied to 375 participants. Statistical analyses were developed using the microsoft Excel spreadsheed and Statistical Packagefor Social Sciences 21 (SPSS 21). Results: Statistical analyses showed that the risk of infection (β=0.178**), perceived knowledge about the vaccine (β=0.218**) and confidence about the vaccine (β=0.192**) are significantly correlated with the intention to be fully vaccinated, thus showing the need for a fourth booster dose by vulnerable sectors. Conclusion: This is the first research that presents results regarding the intention to vaccinate vulnerable people and highlights the intention to access a fourth booster dose.

Introdução: O COVID-19 fez com que diversos setores profissionais o enfrentassem na linha de frente, sendo afetados pela vulnerabilidade de contrair o vírus. Apesar da baixa taxa de mortalidade atual e da baixa saturação de pacientes com COVID-19 nos centros de saúde, a aplicação de uma quarta dose de inoculação gerou posições diferentes entre vários países. Objetivo: Determinar se o pessoal considerado de alto risco de vulnerabilidade na cidade de Santo Domingo de los Colorados, no Equador, tem intenções favoráveis para a aplicação da quarta dose da vacina contra COVID-19. Método: Foi desenvolvido um estudo quantitativo com escopo correlacional e delineamento transversal. Um questionário composto por 16 questões mediu as variáveis: risco de contágio, conhecimento percebido sobre a vacina, confiança sobre a vacina e intenção de se vacinar; que foi aplicado a 375 participantes. As análises estatísticas foram realizadas no Excel e no Statistical Package for the Social Sciences 21 (SPSS 21). Resultados: As análises estatísticas mostraram que o risco de contágio (β=0,178**), o conhecimento percebido sobre a vacina (β=0,218**) e a confiança sobre a vacina (β=0,192**) estão significativamente correlacionados com a intenção de ser vacinado, o que evidencia a necessidade de receber uma quarta dose de inoculação por setores vulneráveis. Conclusões: Esta é a primeira pesquisa que expõe resultados sobre a intenção de vacinação em pessoas vulneráveis e evidencia a intenção de acessar uma quarta dose de inoculação.