Roles of serum uric acid on the association between arsenic exposure and incident metabolic syndrome in an older Chinese population.

Growing evidences showed that heavy metals exposure may be associated with metabolic diseases. Nevertheless, the mechanism underlying arsenic (As) exposure and metabolic syndrome (MetS) risk has not been fully elucidated. So we aimed to prospectively investigate the role of serum uric acid (SUA) on the association between blood As exposure and incident MetS. A sample of 1045 older participants in a community in China was analyzed. We determined As at baseline and SUA concentration at follow-up in the Yiwu Elderly Cohort. MetS events were defined according to the criteria of the International Diabetes Federation (IDF). Generalized linear model with log-binominal regression model was applied to estimate the association of As with incident MetS. To investigate the role of SUA in the association between As and MetS, a mediation analysis was conducted. In the fully adjusted log-binominal model, per interquartile range increment of As, the risk of MetS increased 1.25-fold. Compared with the lowest quartile of As, the adjusted relative risk (RR) of MetS in the highest quartile was 1.42 (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.03, 2.00). Additionally, blood As was positively associated with SUA, while SUA had significant association with MetS risk. Further mediation analysis demonstrated that the association of As and MetS risk was mediated by SUA, with the proportion of 15.7%. Our study found higher As was remarkably associated with the elevated risk of MetS in the Chinese older adults population. Mediation analysis indicated that SUA might be a mediator in the association between As exposure and MetS.

Trends and multi-model prediction of hepatitis B incidence in Xiamen.

Background: This study aims to analyze the trend of Hepatitis B incidence in Xiamen City from 2004 to 2022, and to select the best-performing model for predicting the number of Hepatitis B cases from 2023 to 2027. Methods: Data were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP). The Joinpoint Regression Model analyzed temporal trends, while the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model assessed the effects of age, period, and cohort on hepatitis B incidence rates. We also compared the predictive performance of the Neural Network Autoregressive (NNAR) Model, Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) Model, Prophet, Exponential Smoothing (ETS) Model, Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model, and Hybrid Model, selecting the model with the highest performance to forecast the number of hepatitis B cases for the next five years. Results: Hepatitis B incidence rates in Xiamen from 2004 to 2022 showed an overall declining trend, with rates higher in men than in women. Higher incidence rates were observed in adults, particularly in the 30-39 age group. Moreover, the period and cohort effects on incidence showed a declining trend. Furthermore, in the best-performing NNAR(10, 1, 6)[12] model, the number of new cases is predicted to be 4271 in 2023, increasing to 5314 by 2027. Conclusions: Hepatitis B remains a significant issue in Xiamen, necessitating further optimization of hepatitis B prevention and control measures. Moreover, targeted interventions are essential for adults with higher incidence rates.

Prenatal Exposure to Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances and ASD-Related Symptoms in Early Childhood: Mediation Role of Steroids.

Previous studies regarding the associations between perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and autism spectrum disorder (ASD) have yielded inconsistent results, with the underlying mechanisms remaining unknown. In this study, we quantified 13 PFAS in cord serum samples from 396 neonates and followed the children at age 4 to assess ASD-related symptoms. Our findings revealed associations between certain PFAS and ASD-related symptoms, with a doubling of perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA), perfluorodecanoic acid (PFDA), and perfluoroundecanoic acid (PFUnDA) concentrations associated with respective increases of 1.79, 1.62, and 1.45 units in language-related symptoms and PFDA exhibiting an association with higher score of sensory stimuli. Nonlinear associations were observed in the associations of 6:2 chlorinated polyfluorinated ether sulfonate (Cl-PFAES) and 8:2 Cl-PFAES with ASD-related symptoms. Employing weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression, we observed significant mixture effects of multiple PFAS on all domains of ASD-related symptoms, with PFNA emerging as the most substantial contributor. Assuming causality, we found that 39-40% of the estimated effect of long-chain PFAS (PFUnDA and PFDoDA) exposure on sensory stimuli was mediated by androstenedione. This study provides novel epidemiological data about prenatal PFAS mixture exposure and ASD-related symptoms.

Ultra-processed products and risk of liver cancer: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Several studies have shown positive associations between ultra-processed foods and drinks and cancer risk. However, evidence remains limited for liver cancer. We aimed to evaluate the associations between ultra-processed foods and drinks and liver cancer risk. METHODS: We included 73,119 participants (22,431 Whites, 47,837 Blacks, 2851 other race) from the Southern Community Cohort Study. Ultra-processed products were defined based on the Nova classification using data from a validated food frequency questionnaire and calculated as percentage of daily foods by weight. Incident liver cancer and vital status were ascertained via linkages to state cancer registries and the National Death Index as of December 31, 2019. RESULTS: With a median of 13.9 year's follow-up, we documented 453 incident liver cancer cases. Participants with higher intake of ultra-processed foods had an elevated risk of liver cancer (hazard ratios [HR] Tertile 3 vs. tertile 1 1.69, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.28-2.22; Ptrend<0.001). The subclasses of ultra-processed foods, such as ultra-processed grains and fried potatoes (HR T3 vs. T1 1.29, 95% CI: 1.01-1.65; Ptrend = 0.03), processed protein foods (HR T3 vs. T1 1.49, 95% CI: 1.14-1.94; Ptrend = 0.007) and mixed dishes (HR T3 vs. T1 1.39, 95% CI: 1.09-1.77; Ptrend = 0.01), were positively associated with liver cancer risk. No significant association was found for ultra-processed drinks (HR T3 vs. T1 0.85, 95% CI: 0.67-1.07; Ptrend = 0.16). DISCUSSION: In a prospective cohort with predominantly low-income Southern US adults, we found certain ultra-processed foods were associated with a higher risk of liver cancer. Further studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Social relationship factors, depressive symptoms, and incident dementia: a prospective cohort study into their interrelatedness.

BACKGROUND: Different aspects of social relationships (e.g., social network size or loneliness) have been associated with dementia risk, while their overlap and potentially underlying pathways remain largely unexplored. This study therefore aimed to (1) discriminate between different facets of social relationships by means of factor analysis, (2) examine their associations with dementia risk, and (3) assess mediation by depressive symptoms. METHODS: Thirty-six items from questionnaires on social relationships administered in Wave 2 (2004/2005) of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (n = 7536) were used for exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis. Factors were then used as predictors in Cox proportional hazard models with dementia until Wave 9 as outcome, adjusted for demographics and cardiovascular risk factors. Structural equation modeling tested mediation by depressive symptoms through effect decomposition. RESULTS: Factor analyses identified six social factors. Across a median follow-up time of 11.8 years (IQR = 5.9-13.9 years), 501 people developed dementia. Higher factor scores for frequency and quality of contact with children (HR = 0.88; p = 0.021) and more frequent social activity engagement (HR = 0.84; p < 0.001) were associated with lower dementia risk. Likewise, higher factor scores for loneliness (HR = 1.13; p = 0.011) and negative experiences of social support (HR = 1.10; p = 0.047) were associated with higher dementia risk. Mediation analyses showed a significant partial effect mediation by depressive symptoms for all four factors. Additional analyses provided little evidence for reverse causation. CONCLUSIONS: Frequency and quality of social contacts, social activity engagement, and feelings of loneliness are associated with dementia risk and might be suitable targets for dementia prevention programs, partly by lowering depressive symptoms.

Age, period and cohort effects of heavy episodic drinking by sex/gender and socioeconomic position in Canada, 2000-2021.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Heavy episodic drinking (HED) trends have not been comprehensively examined in Canada. We measured age, period and birth cohort trends in HED in Canada by sex/gender and socioeconomic position. DESIGN AND SETTING: We analyzed repeat cross-sectional data from the 10 provinces in the Canadian Community Health Surveys from 2000 to 2021 using hierarchical cross-classified random effects logistic regression. PARTICIPANTS: 1 167 831 respondents aged 12+ . MEASUREMENTS: HED was defined as 4+ standard drinks for women or 5+ for men at least monthly in the past 12 months. Socioeconomic position was measured using household income and education. FINDINGS: We observed steeper HED decreases in young adult men (aged 18-29) than women (by 14.4% and 8.7%, respectively, from 2015 to 2021) and HED increases in middle adult women (ages 50-64) (by 8.0% from 2000 to 2014). Sex/gender-specific age-period-cohort models revealed strong age and birth cohort effects. In women and men, respectively, HED peaked in young adulthood (18.2% and 33.8%) and decreased with age, and HED was greatest in the 1980-1989 cohort (20.7% and 35.8%) and decreased in the most recent cohort born in 1990-2009 (15.6% and 19.8%), particularly in men. Higher household incomes had greater HED across age, periods and cohorts, while trends varied by education. Compared with lower education groups, people with a bachelor's degree or above had the lowest HED in middle adulthood. People with a bachelor's degree or above had low HED in earlier cohorts, which converged with other education groups in recent cohorts due to a pronounced HED increase, particularly in women. CONCLUSION: The sex/gender gap in heavy episodic drinking (HED) appears to be converging in Canada: current young adult men are reducing HED, while high-risk cohorts of women are aging into middle adulthood with greater HED. Recent birth cohorts with a bachelor's degree or above experienced pronounced HED increases, which among women suggests greater educational attainment contributes to the converging gender gap in HED.

Fracture risk revisited: Bone mineral density T-score and fracture risk in type 2 diabetes.

AIM: To study the association between femoral neck (FN) bone mineral density (BMD) T-score and fracture risk in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study using the Danish National Health Service. BMD of the FN was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to study the association between FN BMD T-score and fractures in individuals with and without T2D separately, adjusted for age, comorbidities and comedication. The results from this analysis were used to estimate the 10-year absolute fracture risk. RESULTS: In total, there were 35,129 women (2362 with T2D) and 7069 men (758 with T2D). The FN BMD T-score was significantly associated with risk of any, hip and major osteoporotic fracture in men and women with [adjusted hazard risk ratios (aHR) women, hip: 1.57; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24-2.00, incidence rate (IR) 8.7; aHR men, hip: 1.55; 95% CI 1.01-2.36, IR 4.6] and without T2D (aHR women, hip: 1.75; 95% CI 1.64-1.87, IR 7.0; aHR men, hip: 1.97, 95% CI 1.73-2.25, IR 6.3), and its ability to predict fracture risk was similar. Fracture IRs were not significantly different for individuals with or without T2D, nor was the estimated cumulative 10-year fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS: The FN BMD T-score was significantly associated with hip, non-spine and major osteoporotic fracture risk in men and women with and without T2D. Fracture risk for a given T-score and age was equal in individuals with and without T2D, as was the ability of the FN BMD T-score to predict fracture risk.

Flavonoid intakes, COPD, adult asthma, and lung function: a cohort study in the UK Biobank.

INTRODUCTION: Given their antioxidative stress, anti-allergic, anti-inflammatory, and immune-modulating effects, flavonoids are hypothesised to play a role in preventing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this cohort study was to examine associations between flavonoid intake and COPD, asthma and lung function. METHODS: Among 119,466 participants of the UK Biobank, median [IQR] age of 60 [53, 65], we estimated intakes of flavonoids, flavonoid-rich foods and a flavodiet score from 24-hour diet assessments. Prospective associations with both incident COPD and asthma and cross-sectional associations with measures of lung function [%predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1); and FEV1/forced vital capacity (FVC)] were examined using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards and linear regression models, respectively. We investigated mediation by inflammation--represented by the INFLA score--and stratified analyses by smoking status. RESULTS: Compared to low intakes, moderate intakes of total flavonoids, flavonols, theaflavins + thearubigins, and flavanones, and moderate-high intakes of flavanol monomers, proanthocyanidins, anthocyanins, flavones, and the flavodiet score were associated with up to an 18% lower risk of incident COPD [e.g., [HR (95% CI) for total flavonoids: 0.83 (0.75, 0.92)] but not incident asthma. Furthermore, compared to low intakes, higher intakes of all flavonoid subclasses (except theaflavins + thearubigins), and the flavodiet score were associated with better percent predicted FEV1 baseline. Associations were most apparent in ever (current or former) smokers. Flavonoid intakes were inversely associated with the INFLA score, which appeared to mediate 11-14% of the association between intakes of proanthocyanidins and flavones and incident COPD. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate to high flavonoid intakes were associated with a lower risk of COPD and better lung function, particularly among ever smokers. Promoting intakes of healthy flavonoid-rich foods, namely tea, apples and berries, may improve respiratory health and lower COPD risk, particularly in individuals with a history of smoking.

Seasonality and severity of respiratory syncytial virus during the COVID-19 pandemic: a dynamic cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: to investigate seasonality, epidemiological characteristics, and clinical severity variations of RSV-associated hospitalizations following the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in Tuscany, Italy, up to the 2022-2023 season. METHODS: from 2017 to 2023, a dynamic cohort consisting of all resident children aged ≤2 years was followed-up in regional registries. Person-time incidence rate(IR) of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 1,000 person-years and risk of severe hospitalization (ICU, C-PAP, or mechanical ventilation) per 100 RSV hospitalizations were calculated. RSV seasonality was investigated with retrospective methods. RESULTS: in total, 193,244 children were followed-up. After the easing of restrictions, RSV epidemics showed earlier seasonality and shorter duration compared to pre-pandemic (2017 to 2019), with this deviation decreased in 2022-2023. In 2021-2022 and 2022-2023, the IR of RSV-associated hospitalizations significantly increased compared to pre-pandemic (2022-2023 risk ratio [RR]: 3.6, 95%CI 3.3-4.0), with larger increases among older age groups. Among hospitalized children, only those aged ≥12 months showed an increased risk of severe hospitalization, particularly during the 2021-2022 (RR 4.7, 95%CI 1.5-24.3). CONCLUSIONS: findings suggest a gradual return of RSV epidemics to the pre-pandemic pattern, although relevant increases in disease incidence persist. Reduced regular RSV exposure among older children may lead to declining immunity and increased severe outcome risks.

The association between plasma fatty acids and risk of lung cancer: a prospective cohort study of the UK Biobank.

CONTEXT: Fatty acids (FAs) have emerged as significant contributors to tumorigenesis, yet prospective evidence regarding their specific effects on lung cancer risk remains scarce. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between plasma FAs and lung cancer incidence, as well as a potential modification effect of genetic susceptibility on lung cancer risk. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted involving 112,547 cancer-free participants from the UK Biobank, with measurements of plasma FAs, including saturated fatty acids (SFAs), monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs), and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) at baseline (2006-2010). Cox regression models were employed to assess lung cancer risk according to plasma FA quartiles or 1-SD increment. Furthermore, interaction between plasma FAs and polygenic risk score (PRS) was evaluated using an additive model. RESULTS: Over an average 10.9-year follow-up, 1122 lung cancer cases occurred. After multivariable adjustment, MUFAs were positively associated with lung cancer risk (hazard ratio [HR] per 1-SD = 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-1.54). In contrast, PUFAs, particularly n-3 PUFAs, n-6 PUFAs, docosahexaenoic acid, and linoleic acid, were associated with a lower risk of lung cancer, with HRs ranging from 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72-0.87) to 0.89 (95% CI: 0.83-0.95). SFAs were not significantly associated with lung cancer risk. Moreover, we observed an additive interaction between plasma PUFAs and genetic risk. Individuals with a high genetic risk and the lowest quartile of plasma PUFAs had the highest risk of lung cancer (HR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.43-3.38). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that plasma PUFAs may serve as protective factors, while MUFAs represent risk factors for lung cancer, offering novel insights into lung cancer carcinogenesis and prevention.

Evidence of a Bi-Directional Relationship between Arterial Stiffness and Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies.

BACKGROUND: There are numerous cross-sectional studies showing an association between arterial stiffness and diabetes, but the temporality of the association is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the temporal relationship between arterial stiffness and diabetes. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception to 31 August 2023, to identify cohort studies that assessed whether arterial stiffness, as measured by pulse wave velocity (PWV), was predictive of the development of diabetes and vice versa. We summarised study data, and where possible undertook meta-analysis. RESULTS: We identified 19 studies that included people with type 1, type 2 and gestational diabetes. All 11 studies investigating arterial stiffness as a predictor of diabetes found a significant relationship. Six of those studies were suitable for meta-analysis. The risk of developing diabetes was greater in people with higher PWV at baseline than lower PWV (RR = 2.14, 95%CI 1.65 to 2.79, p < 0.00001) and the mean difference in baseline PWV was higher in people who developed diabetes than those who did not (mean difference: 0.77 m/s, 95%CI 0.47 to 1.06, p < 0.00001). Of 8 studies investigating diabetes as a predictor of arterial stiffness, 7 found a significant relationship. CONCLUSION: There is evidence of a bidirectional relationship between arterial stiffness and diabetes. Arterial stiffness may provide a causal link between diabetes and future cardiovascular disease.

The Role of Active and Passive Smoking in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Systemic Inflammation: A 12-year Prospective Study in China.

BACKGROUND: There is no consensus on the cause and effect of systemic chronic inflammation (SCI) regarding chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The impact of second-hand smoke (SHS) on COPD has reached inconsistent conclusions. METHODS: The China Kadoorie Biobank cohort was followed up from the 2004-08 baseline survey to 31 December 2018. Among the selected 445,523 participants in the final analysis, Cox and linear regressions were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of tobacco exposure with COPD risk and baseline levels of log-transformed inflammatory factors [ßs (95% CIs)], respectively. RESULTS: Participants were followed up for a median of 12.1 years and 11,825 incident COPD events were documented. Ever-smokers were associated with a higher risk of COPD than non-smokers with non-weekly SHS exposure. A younger age to start smoking, a greater amount of daily tobacco consumption, and deeper inhalation were associated with increased risk of COPD and correlated with elevated levels of plasma high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP, all Ptrend < 0.001) even two years before COPD onset. Among former smokers, COPD risk declined with longer smoking cessation (Ptrend < 0.001) and those quitting smoking for over ten years presented no difference in COPD risk and hs-CRP level from non-smokers [HR (95% CI) = 1.05 (0.89, 1.25), ß (95% CI) = 0.17 (- 0.09, 0.43)]. Among non-smokers, weekly SHS exposure was associated with a slightly higher COPD risk [HR (95% CI) = 1.06 (1.01, 1.12)]. CONCLUSIONS: Incremental exposure to tobacco smoke was related to elevated SCI level before COPD onset, then an increase in COPD susceptibility. Quitting smoking as early as possible is suggested as a practical approach to reducing COPD risk in smokers. Given the high prevalence of both COPD and SHS exposure, the risk associated with SHS exposure deserves attention.

Contributions of the ELENA Cohort to Study Autism Spectrum Disorder in Children and Adolescents from a Biopsychosocial Framework.

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a complex neurodevelopmental condition influenced by a myriad of developmental, biological, psychological, and socio-demographic factors. The ELENA cohort seeks to delineate the intricate interplay of these factors, facilitating the identification of risk factors and the development of targeted interventions. This paper emphasizes the clinical profiles of children and outlines key findings from a biopsychosocial perspective. The ELENA cohort, a multicenter initiative across French regional centers, conducted a systematic prospective analysis on children newly diagnosed with DSM-5 ASD between 2012 and 2019. This encompassed direct assessments and parent-reported questionnaires covering a broad spectrum of developmental, biological, psychological and socio-demographic measures. Embedded case-control studies further examined risk and protective factors, alongside specific environmental and psychosocial influences during pregnancy and early childhood. A subset of participants also contributed biospecimens, with data enhancement via linkage to French National Administrative Healthcare Databases. The study unveils baseline clinical characteristics for 876 children, average age 6 (SD ± 3.3) previously unreported in protocol descriptions. It highlights the study's developmental biopsychosocial approach and its novel findings on children's socio-adaptive functioning, ASD severity, comorbidities, quality of life and interventions. Employing developmental biopsychosocial insights offers a promising pathway to integrating health, social care, and experiential insights, ultimately aiming to enhance the future well-being and outcomes for children with ASD. This approach underscores the need of a holistic, interdisciplinary strategy in encouraging and supporting the ASD community.

Survival among patients cured from gastric adenocarcinoma compared to the background population.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown if gastric adenocarcinoma survivors have longer, shorter, or similar survival compared to the background population. This knowledge could contribute to evidence-based monitoring strategies, healthcare recommendations, and information for patients and families. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included all patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma between 2006-2015 in Sweden and survived ≥ 5 years after surgery. They were followed up until death, postoperative year 10, or end of study period (31 December, 2020). Division of the observed by the expected survival yielded relative survival rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the life table method. The expected survival was derived from the entire Swedish population of the corresponding age, sex, and calendar year. Data came from medical records and nationwide registers. RESULTS: The survival among all 767 gastric adenocarcinoma survivors was shorter than the expected. The reduction in relative survival increased for each follow-up year, from 97.3% (95% CI 95.4-99.1%) year 6 to 86.6% (95% CI 82.3-90.9%) year 10. The decline in relative survival was more pronounced among patients who had gastrectomy in earlier calendar years (82.9% [95% CI 77.4-88.4%] year 10 for years 2011-2015), shorter education (85.2% [95% CI 77.4-93.0%] year 10 for education ≤ 9 years), more comorbidities (78.0% [95% CI 63.9-92.0%] year 10 for Charlson comorbidity score ≥ 2), and no neoadjuvant therapy (83.2% [95% CI 77.4-89.0%] year 10). CONCLUSION: Gastric adenocarcinoma survivors seem to have poorer survival than the corresponding background population, particularly in certain subgroups.

Plasma Levels of Polyols Erythritol, Mannitol, and Sorbitol and Incident Coronary Heart Disease Among Women.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Erythritol, a sugar alcohol (polyol), has recently been linked to the risks of major adverse cardiovascular events. We investigated whether plasma erythritol and other polyols (mannitol/sorbitol) were associated with the risk of incident coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS: This prospective nested case-control study included 762 incident cases of CHD and 762 controls from the Nurses' Health Study. Plasma concentrations of polyols were measured at baseline (1989-90 or 2000-02). Associations of erythritol with cardiometabolic risk factors were also analyzed in the Women's Lifestyle Validation Study (n=728; blood collected in 2010-12). RESULTS: Higher erythritol levels were related to more adverse cardiometabolic risk factor status. The relative risk (RR) for CHD per 1-SD increment was 1.15 [95% CI: 1.04, 1.28] for erythritol and 1.16 [1.05, 1.28] for mannitol/sorbitol, after adjusting for diet quality, lifestyles, and adiposity. Compared with women in the lowest quartile, those in the highest quartile (Q4) of erythritol had a RR 1.55 [1.13, 2.14] for CHD. The RR in Q4 of erythritol was 1.61 [1.15, 2.24; p=0.006] when hypertension and dyslipidemia were further added to the model; the RR was 1.21 [0.86, 1.70] after adjustment for diabetes. For mannitol/sorbitol, the RR in the Q4 was 1.42 [1.05, 1.91; p=0.022] for CHD in the multivariable-adjusted model including diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Higher plasma erythritol and mannitol/sorbitol were related to elevated risks of CHD even after adjustment for diet, lifestyles, adiposity, and other risk factors. The unfavorable association of mannitol/sorbitol, but not erythritol, with CHD risk remained significant independently of diabetes/hyperglycemia.

The present study shows unfavorable associations of circulating erythritol and mannitol/sorbitol with long-term coronary heart disease (CHD) risk even after adjustments for overall diet quality, lifestyle factors, and several other traditional CHD risk factors among women at usual risk. In contrast to mannitol/sorbitol, the association between high erythritol levels and increased CHD risk was no longer significant upon additional inclusion of diabetes in the multivariable-adjusted model. Our findings from the two independent study populations of women without prior CHD suggest endogenous and exogenous erythritol levels are related to unfavorable cardiometabolic risk factor status.

Environmental pollutants as risk factors for autism spectrum disorders: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a lifelong neurodevelopmental condition affecting communication, social interaction, and behavior. Evidence suggests that environmental pollutants are associated with ASD incidence. This review aimed to analyze the effect of environmental pollutants on ASD. METHODS: Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies evaluated the association between exposure to environmental pollutants and ASD. We searched COCHRANE CENTRAL, MEDLINE, CINAHL, LILACS, EMBASE, PsycINFO, Web of Science, SciELO, and gray literature from inception to January 2023. The model used for meta-analysis was inverse variance heterogeneity (IVhet). The effect measures were the beta coefficient (ß) and the relative risk (RR) with their 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Sensitivity analyses were carried out using an instrument to screen or diagnose autism. RESULTS: A total of 5,780 studies were identified; 27 were included in the systematic review, and 22 were included in the meta-analysis. These studies included 1,289,183 participants and 129 environmental pollutants. Individual meta-analyses found a significant association between nitrogen dioxide RR = 1.20 (95% CI: 1.03 to 1.38; I2: 91%), copper RR = 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03 to 1.13; I2: 0%), mono-3-carboxy propyl phthalate ß = 0.45 (95% CI: 0.20 to 0.70; I2: 0%), monobutyl phthalate ß = 0.43 (95% CI: 0.13 to 0.73; I2: 0%) and polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) 138 RR = 1.84 (95% CI: 1.14 to 2.96; I2:0%) with ASD. Subgroup meta-analyses found a significant association with carbon monoxide RR = 1.57 (95% CI: 1.25 to 1.97; I2: 0%), nitrogen oxides RR = 1.09 (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.15; I2: 34%) and metals RR = 1.13 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.27; I2:24%). CONCLUSION: This study found positive associations nitrogen dioxide, copper, mono-3-carboxypropyl phthalate, monobutyl phthalate, and PCB 138, and the development of ASD, likewise, with subgroups of pollutants carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and metals. Therefore, it is important to identify these risk factors in children and adolescents to contribute to ASD and identify prevention strategies effectively.

Risk factor differences in five-year progression of Intracranial artery stenosis and cerebral small vessel disease in general population.

BACKGROUND: Intracranial artery stenosis (ICAS) and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) are associated with a heavy socioeconomic burden; however, their longitudinal changes remain controversial. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal analysis on 756 participants of Shunyi Cohort who underwent both baseline and follow-up brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and MR angiography in order to investigate the risk factors for ICAS and CSVD progression in community population. Incident ICAS was defined as new stenosis occurring in at least one artery or increased severity of the original artery stenosis. CSVD markers included lacunes, cerebral microbleeds (CMB), and white matter hyperintensities (WMH). RESULTS: After 5.58 ± 0.49 years of follow-up, 8.5% of the 756 participants (53.7 ± 8.0 years old, 65.1% women) had incident ICAS. Body mass index (BMI) (OR = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.01-1.17, p = 0.035) and diabetes mellitus (OR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.44-4.93, p = 0.002) were independent risk factors for incident ICAS. Hypertension was an independent risk factor for incident lacunes (OR = 2.12, 95% CI = 1.20-3.77, p = 0.010) and CMB (OR = 2.32, 95% CI = 1.22-4.41, p = 0.011), while WMH progression was primarily affected by BMI (ß = 0.108, SE = 0.006, p = 0.002). A higher LDL cholesterol level was found to independently protect against WMH progression (ß = -0.076, SE = 0.027, p = 0.019). CONCLUSIONS: Modifiable risk factor profiles exhibit different in patients with ICAS and CSVD progression. Controlling BMI and diabetes mellitus may help to prevent incident ICAS, and antihypertensive therapy may conduce to mitigate lacunes and CMB progression. LDL cholesterol may play an inverse role in large arteries and small vessels.

Lung cancer survival by immigrant status: a population-based retrospective cohort study in Ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is one of the most common cancers and causes of cancer death in Canada. Some previous literature suggests that socioeconomic inequalities in lung cancer screening, treatment and survival may exist. The objective of this study was to compare overall survival for immigrants versus long-term residents of Ontario, Canada among patients diagnosed with lung cancer. METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study utilized linked health administrative databases and identified all individuals (immigrants and long-term residents) aged 40 + years diagnosed with incident lung cancer between April 1, 2012 and March 31, 2017. The primary outcome was 5-year overall survival with December 31, 2019 as the end of the follow-up period. We implemented adjusted Cox proportional hazards models stratified by age at diagnosis, sex, and cancer stage at diagnosis to examine survival. RESULTS: Thirty-eight thousand seven hundred eighty-eight individuals diagnosed with lung cancer were included in our cohort including 7% who were immigrants. Immigrants were younger at diagnosis and were more likely to reside in the lowest neighbourhood income quintile (30.6% versus 24.5%) than long-term residents. After adjusting for age at diagnosis, neighbourhood income quintile, comorbidities, visits to primary care in the 6 to 30 months before diagnosis, continuity of care, cancer type and cancer stage at diagnosis, immigrant status was associated with a lower hazard of dying 5-years post-diagnosis for both females (0.7; 95% CI 0.6-0.8) and males (0.7; 95% CI 0.6-0.7) in comparison to long-term residents. This trend held in adjusted models stratified by cancer stage at diagnosis. For example, female immigrants diagnosed with early stage lung cancer had a hazard ratio of 0.5 (95% CI 0.4-0.7) in comparison to long-term residents. CONCLUSION: Overall survival post diagnosis with lung cancer was better among Ontario immigrants versus long-term residents. Additional research, potentially on the protective effects of immigrant enclave and the intersection of immigrant status with racial/ethnic identity, is needed to further explore why better overall survival for immigrants remained.

Effectiveness of malaria chemoprevention in the first two years of life in Cameroon and Côte d'Ivoire compared to standard of care: study protocol for a population-based prospective cohort impact evaluation study.

BACKGROUND: Perennial malaria chemoprevention (PMC) is a chemoprevention strategy endorsed by the World Health Organization (WHO) and is increasingly being adopted by National Malaria Programmes. PMC aims to reduce morbidity and mortality caused by malaria and anaemia in in young children through provision of antimalarial drugs at routine contact points with the local health system. This study aims to evaluate the impact of the programmatically-implemented country-tailored PMC programmes targeting children up to two years of age using sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) on the incidence of malaria and anaemia in children in Cameroon and Côte d'Ivoire. METHODS: We will assess the impact of PMC using passive and active monitoring of a prospective observational cohort of children up to 36 months of age at recruitment in selected study sites in Cameroon and Côte d'Ivoire. The primary and secondary outcomes include malaria, anaemia and malnutrition incidence. We will also conduct a time-series analysis of passively detected malaria and anaemia cases comparing the periods before and after PMC introduction. This study is powered to detect a 30% and 40% reduction of malaria incidence compared to the standard of care in Cameroon and Côte d'Ivoire, respectively. DISCUSSION: This multi-country study aims to provide evidence of the effectiveness of PMC targeting children in the first two years of life on malaria and anaemia and will provide important information to inform optimal operationalization and evaluation of this strategy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Cameroon - NCT05889052; Côte d'Ivoire - NCT05856357.

Global, regional and national trends in the burden of low bone mineral density from 1990 to 2030: A Bayesian age-period-cohort modeling study.

Low bone mineral density (LBMD) remains a global public health concern. To provide deeper insights, we retrieved and calibrated LBMD death and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 (GBD 2021) database. We calculated the age-standardized rate (ASR) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to delineate LBMD trends across sexes, age groups, Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions, and countries. Spearman rank order correlation analysis was used to explore the relationship between SDI and ASR. Additionally, we constructed Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models to predict future trends in LBMD up to 2030, with the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) used to evaluate prediction accuracy. Our analyses revealed that global deaths related to LBMD nearly doubled, from 250,930 in 1990 to 463,010 in 2021, and are projected to rise to 473,690 by 2030. However, the ASR exhibited an opposite trend, decreasing from 17.91 per 100,000 in 1990 to 15.77 per 100,000 in 2021, and is expected to further decline to 13.64 per 100,000 by 2030. The EAPC indicated descending trends in 1990-2021 and 2022-2030. Trends in LBMD varied across different subgroups by sex, age, and location. Males are projected to continue experiencing higher death numbers than females, though the gap is narrowing. The 90 to 94 age group consistently had the highest ASR from 1990 to 2030. Lower SDI remains a critical factor contributing to the higher burden of LBMD. Spearman rank order correlation analysis showed a negative correlation between SDI and ASR. We categorized 6 distinct trends in ASR across different countries, with most expected to experience a decline by 2030. The MAPE value (0.038 < 0.1) indicated that the BAPC model produced reliable predictions even under the COVID-19 pandemic.