Association of blood glucose change with postoperative delirium after coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with diabetes mellitus: a study of the MIMIC-IV database.

Aim: Study results on blood glucose and the risk of delirium in patients receiving cardiac surgery are inconsistent, and there is also a gap in how to manage blood glucose after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). This study focused on patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) undergoing CABG and explored the associations of different blood glucose-related indexes and blood glucose change trajectory with postoperative delirium (POD), with the aim of providing some information for the management of blood glucose in this population. Methods: Data of patients with DM undergoing CABG were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database in this retrospective cohort study. The blood glucose-related indexes included baseline blood glucose, mean blood glucose (MBG), mean absolute glucose (MAG), mean amplitude of glycemic excursions (MAGE), glycemic lability index (GLI), and largest amplitude of glycemic excursions (LAGE). The MBG trajectory was classified using the latent growth mixture modeling (LGMM) method. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to screen covariates and explore the associations of blood glucose-related indexes and MBG trajectory with POD. These relationships were also assessed in subgroups of age, gender, race, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), international normalized ratio (INR), sepsis, mechanical ventilation use, and vasopressor use. In addition, the potential interaction effect between blood glucose and hepatorenal function on POD was investigated. The evaluation indexes were odds ratios (ORs), relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI), attributable proportion of interaction (AP), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Among the eligible 1,951 patients, 180 had POD. After adjusting for covariates, higher levels of MBG (OR = 3.703, 95% CI: 1.743-7.870), MAG >0.77 mmol/L/h (OR = 1.754, 95% CI: 1.235-2.490), and GLI >2.6 (mmol/L)2/h/per se (OR = 1.458, 95% CI: 1.033-2.058) were associated with higher odds of POD. The positive associations of MBG, MAG, and GLI with POD were observed in patients aged <65 years old, male patients, White patients, those with eGFR <60 and INR <1.5, patients with sepsis, and those who received mechanical ventilation and vasopressors (all p < 0.05). Patients with class 3 (OR = 3.465, 95% CI: 1.122-10.696) and class 4 (OR = 3.864, 95% CI: 2.083-7.170) MBG trajectory seemed to have higher odds of POD, compared to those with a class 1 MBG trajectory. Moreover, MAG (RERI = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.14-1.27, AP = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.12-1.19) and GLI (RERI = 0.78, 95% CI: 0.19-1.39, AP = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.16-1.12) both had a potential synergistic effect with INR on POD. Conclusion: Focusing on levels of MBG, MAG, GLI, and MBG trajectory may be more beneficial to assess the potential risk of POD than the blood glucose level upon ICU admission in patients with DM undergoing CABG.

Association of Hyperoxia During Cardiopulmonary Bypass and Postoperative Delirium in the Pediatric Cardiac ICU.

OBJECTIVE: ICU delirium commonly complicates critical illness associated with factors such as cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time and the requirement of mechanical ventilation (MV). Recent reports associate hyperoxia with poorer outcomes in critically ill children. This study sought to determine whether hyperoxia on CPB in pediatric patients was associated with a higher prevalence of postoperative delirium. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of data obtained from a prospective cohort study. SETTING: Twenty-two-bed pediatric cardiac ICU in a tertiary children's hospital. PATIENTS: All patients (18 yr old or older) admitted post-CPB, with documented delirium assessment scores using the Preschool/Pediatric Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU and who were enrolled in the Precision Medicine in Pediatric Cardiology Cohort from February 2021 to November 2021. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 148 patients, who underwent cardiac surgery, 35 had delirium within the first 72 hours (24%). There was no association between hyperoxia on CPB and postoperative delirium for all definitions of hyperoxia, including hyperoxic area under the curve above 5 predetermined Pao2 levels: 150 mm Hg (odds ratio [95% CI]: 1.176 [0.605-2.286], p = 0.633); 175 mm Hg (OR 1.177 [95% CI, 0.668-2.075], p = 0.572); 200 mm Hg (OR 1.235 [95% CI, 0.752-2.026], p = 0.405); 250 mm Hg (OR 1.204 [95% CI, 0.859-1.688], p = 0.281), 300 mm Hg (OR 1.178 [95% CI, 0.918-1.511], p = 0.199). In an additional exploratory analysis, comparing patients with delirium within 72 hours versus those without, only the z score for weight differed (mean [sd]: 0.09 [1.41] vs. -0.48 [1.82], p < 0.05). When comparing patients who developed delirium at any point during their ICU stay (n = 45, 30%), MV days, severity of illness (Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 Score) score, CPB time, and z score for weight were associated with delirium (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative delirium (72 hr from CPB) occurred in 24% of pediatric patients. Hyperoxia, defined in multiple ways, was not associated with delirium. On exploratory analysis, nutritional status (z score for weight) may be a significant factor in delirium risk. Further delineation of risk factors for postoperative delirium versus ICU delirium warrants additional study.

Hospital-associated complications in frail older adults.

As the Japanese population continues to age steadily, the number of older adults requiring healthcare has increased. Evidence demonstrates that hospitalization for acute care has a negative impact on the health outcomes of older adults. Frail older adults tend to have multifactorial conditions collectively known as "geriatric syndromes." When those with these premorbid conditions are hospitalized for acute care, they tend to develop new problems such as delirium and new functional impairments. Adverse consequences of hospitalization include the risk of loss of functional independence and chronic disability. In 2019, the new concept of "hospital-associated complications" (HACs) was proposed to describe these new problems. HACs comprise five conditions: hospital-associated falls, delirium, functional decline, incontinence, and pressure injuries. This review discusses the important issues of HACs in relation to their classification, prevalence, risk factors, prevention, and management in older adults hospitalized for acute care. Robust prevention and management are imperative to address the serious consequences and escalating medical costs associated with HACs, and a multidimensional and multidisciplinary approach is key to achieving this goal. Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) is the cornerstone of geriatric medicine and offers a holistic approach involving multidisciplinary and multidimensional assessments. Considerable evidence is accumulating regarding how CGA and coordinated care can improve the prognosis of hospitalized older adults. Further research is needed to understand the occurrence of HACs in this population and to develop effective preventive measures.

In-Hospital Delirium and Disability and Cognitive Impairment After COVID-19 Hospitalization.

Importance: Older adults who are hospitalized for COVID-19 are at risk of delirium. Little is known about the association of in-hospital delirium with functional and cognitive outcomes among older adults who have survived a COVID-19 hospitalization. Objective: To evaluate the association of delirium with functional disability and cognitive impairment over the 6 months after discharge among older adults hospitalized with COVID-19. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study involved patients aged 60 years or older who were hospitalized with COVID-19 between June 18, 2020, and June 30, 2021, at 5 hospitals in a major tertiary care system in the US. Follow-up occurred through January 11, 2022. Data analysis was performed from December 2022 to February 2024. Exposure: Delirium during the COVID-19 hospitalization was assessed using the Chart-based Delirium Identification Instrument (CHART-DEL) and CHART-DEL-ICU. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were disability in 15 functional activities and the presence of cognitive impairment (defined as Montreal Cognitive Assessment score <22) at 1, 3, and 6 months after hospital discharge. The associations of in-hospital delirium with functional disability and cognitive impairment were evaluated using zero-inflated negative binominal and logistic regression models, respectively, with adjustment for age, month of follow-up, and baseline (before COVID-19) measures of the respective outcome. Results: The cohort included 311 older adults (mean [SD] age, 71.3 [8.5] years; 163 female [52.4%]) who survived COVID-19 hospitalization. In the functional disability sample of 311 participants, 49 participants (15.8%) experienced in-hospital delirium. In the cognition sample of 271 participants, 31 (11.4%) experienced in-hospital delirium. In-hospital delirium was associated with both increased functional disability (rate ratio, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.05-1.66) and increased cognitive impairment (odds ratio, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.38-4.82) over the 6 months after discharge from the COVID-19 hospitalization. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of 311 hospitalized older adults with COVID-19, in-hospital delirium was associated with increased functional disability and cognitive impairment over the 6 months following discharge. Older survivors of a COVID-19 hospitalization who experience in-hospital delirium should be assessed for disability and cognitive impairment during postdischarge follow-up.

Short-term inhalation of xenon during anesthesia for prevention of postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic radical colectomy: study protocol for a randomized controlled clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common complication that is characterized by acute onset of impaired cognitive function and is associated with an increased mortality, a prolonged duration of hospital stay, and additional healthcare expenditures. The incidence of POD in elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic radical colectomy ranges from 8 to 54%. Xenon has been shown to provide neuroprotection in various neural injury models, but the clinical researches assessing the preventive effect of xenon inhalation on the occurrence of POD obtained controversial findings. This study aims to investigate the effects of a short xenon inhalation on the occurrence of POD in elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic radical colectomy. METHODS/DESIGN: This is a prospective, randomized, controlled trial and 132 patients aged 65-80 years and scheduled for laparoscopic radical colectomy will be enrolled. The participants will be randomly assigned to either the control group or the xenon group (n = 66 in each group). The primary outcome will be the incidence of POD in the first 5 days after surgery. Secondary outcomes will include the subtype, severity, and duration of POD, postoperative pain score, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PQSI), perioperative non-delirium complications, and economic parameters. Additionally, the study will investigate the activation of microglial cells, expression of inflammatory factors in colon tissues, plasma inflammatory factors, and neurochemical markers. DISCUSSION: Elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic radical colectomy are at a high risk of POD, with delayed postoperative recovery and increased healthcare costs. The primary objective of this study is to determine the preventive effect of a short xenon inhalation on the occurrence of POD in these patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ChiCTR2300076666. Registered on October 16, 2023, http://www.chictr.org.cn .

The interrelationship between multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) and delirium: a scoping review.

INTRODUCTION: Delirium and multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) share numerous risk factors and have been shown individually to be associated with adverse outcomes following hospitalisation. However, the extent to which these common ageing syndromes have been studied together is unknown. This scoping review aims to summarise our knowledge to date on the interrelationship between MLTC and delirium. METHODS: Searches including terms for delirium and MLTC in adult human participants were performed in PubMed, EMBASE, Medline, Psycinfo and CINAHL. Descriptive analysis was used to summarise findings, structured according to Synthesis Without Meta-analysis reporting guidelines. RESULTS: After removing duplicates, 5256 abstracts were screened for eligibility, with 313 full-texts sought along with 17 additional full-texts from references in review articles. In total, 140 met inclusion criteria and were included in the final review. Much of the literature explored MLTC as a risk factor for delirium (n = 125). Fewer studies explored the impact of MLTC on delirium presentation (n = 5), duration (n = 3) or outcomes (n = 6) and no studies explored how MLTC impacts the treatment of delirium or whether having delirium increases risk of developing MLTC. The most frequently used measures of MLTC and delirium were the Charlson Comorbidity Index (n = 98/140) and Confusion Assessment Method (n = 81/140), respectively. CONCLUSION: Existing literature largely evaluates MLTC as a risk factor for delirium. Major knowledge gaps identified include the impact of MLTC on delirium treatment and the effect of delirium on MLTC trajectories. Current research in this field is limited by significant heterogeneity in defining both MLTC and delirium.

A world-wide study on delirium assessments and presence of protocols.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is a common complication of older people in hospitals, rehabilitation and long-term facilities. OBJECTIVE: To assess the worldwide use of validated delirium assessment tools and the presence of delirium management protocols. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a worldwide one-day point prevalence study on World Delirium Awareness Day, 15 March 2023. SETTING: Cross-sectional online survey including hospitals, rehabilitation and long-term facilities. METHODS: Participating clinicians reported data on delirium, the presence of protocols, delirium assessments, delirium-awareness interventions, non-pharmacological and pharmacological interventions, and ward/unit-specific barriers. RESULTS: Data from 44 countries, 1664 wards/units and 36 048 patients were analysed. Validated delirium assessments were used in 66.7% (n = 1110) of wards/units, 18.6% (n = 310) used personal judgement or no assessment, and 10% (n = 166) used other assessment methods. A delirium management protocol was reported in 66.8% (n = 1094) of wards/units. The presence of protocols for delirium management varied across continents, ranging from 21.6% (on 21/97 wards/units) in Africa to 90.4% (235/260) in Australia, similar to the use of validated delirium assessments with 29.6% (29/98) in Africa to 93.5% (116/124) in North America. Wards/units with a delirium management protocol [n = 1094/1664, 66.8%] were more likely to use a validated delirium test than those without a protocol [odds ratio 6.97 (95% confidence interval 5.289-9.185)]. The presence of a delirium protocol increased the chances for valid delirium assessment and, likely, evidence-based interventions. CONCLUSION: Wards/units that reported the presence of delirium management protocols had a higher probability of using validated delirium assessments tools to assess for delirium.

Establishment and validation of the prediction model for postoperative delirium risk factors in older patients after total knee arthroplasty: A retrospective study.

This study aimed to establish an effective predictive model for postoperative delirium (POD) risk assessment after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in older patients. The clinical data of 446 older patients undergoing TKA in the Orthopedics Department of our University from January to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, and the POD risk prediction model of older patients after TKA was established. Finally, 446 patients were included, which were divided into training group (n = 313) and verification group (n = 133). Logistic regression method was used to select meaningful predictors. The prediction model was constructed with nomographs, and the model was evaluated with correction curve and receiver operating characteristic curve. The logistic regression analysis showed that age, educational level, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade, accompaniment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, accompaniment of cerebral stroke, postoperative hypoxemia, long operation time, and postoperative pain were independent risk factors for POD after TKA (P < .05). The nomogram prediction model established. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the model group and the validation group were 0.954 and 0.931, respectively. The calibration curve of the prediction model has a high consistency between the 2 groups. The occurrence of POD was associated with age, educational level, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade, accompaniment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, accompaniment of cerebral stroke, postoperative hypoxemia, long operation time, and postoperative pain in TKA patients.

Effect of different anesthetic modalities on postoperative delirium in elderly hip fractures: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Previous findings on the effect of general versus spinal anesthesia on postoperative delirium in elderly people with hip fractures are somewhat controversial. This article included the latest randomized controlled study for meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of general anesthesia (GA) and spinal anesthesia (SA) on delirium after hip fracture surgery in the elderly, so as to guide the clinical. METHODS: Cochrane Library, PubMed, Web Of Science, and Embase were searched from inception up to January 16, 2024. Randomized controlled trial (RCT) was included to evaluate the postoperative results of GA and SA in elderly patients (≥50 years old) undergoing hip fracture surgery. Two researchers independently screened for inclusion in the study and extracted data. Heterogeneity was assessed by the I²and Chi-square tests, and P < .1 or I² ≥ 50% indicated marked heterogeneity among studies. The Mantel-Haenszel method was used to estimate the combined relative risk ratio (RR) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) for the binary variables. RESULTS: Nine randomized controlled trials were included. There was no significant difference (RR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.774-1.111, P > .05) in the incidence of postoperative delirium between the GA group and the SA group. In intraoperative blood transfusion (RR = 1.0, 95% CI = 0.77-1.28, Z = 0.04, P = .971), pulmonary embolism (RR = 0.795, 95% CI = 0.332-1.904, Z = 0.59, P = .606), pneumonia (RR = 1.47, 95% CI = 0.75-2.87, P = .675), myocardial infarction (RR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.24-3.86, Z = 0.05, P = .961), heart failure (RR = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.26-2.42, Z = 0.40, P = .961), urinary retention (RR = 1.42, 95% CI = 0.77-2.61, Z = 1.11, P = .267) were similar between the 2 anesthetic techniques. CONCLUSION: There is no significant difference in the effect of GA and SA on postoperative delirium in elderly patients with hip fracture, and their effects on postoperative complications are similar.

Predictive value of the Naples prognostic score on postoperative delirium in the elderly with gastrointestinal tumors: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common complication among elderly patients after surgery. The Naples Prognostic Score (NPS), a novel prognostic marker based on immune-inflammatory and nutritional status, was widely used in the assessment of the prognosis of surgical patients. However, no study has evaluated the relationship between NPS and POD. The aim of this article was to investigate the association between NPS and POD and test the predictive efficacy of preoperative NPS for POD in elderly patients with gastrointestinal tumors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In the present study, we retrospectively collected perioperative data of 176 patients (≥ 60 years) who underwent elective gastrointestinal tumor surgery from June 2022 to September 2023. POD was defined according to the chart-based method and the NPS was calculated for each patient. We compared all the demographics and laboratory data between POD and non-POD groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to explore risk factors of POD. Moreover, the accuracy of NPS in predicting POD was further assessed by utilizing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: 20 had POD (11.4%) in a total of 176 patients, with a median age of 71 (65-76). The outcomes by univariate analysis pointed out that age, ASA status ≥ 3, creatinine, white blood cell count, fasting blood glucose (FBG), and NPS were associated with the risk of POD. Multivariate logistic regression analysis further showed that age, ASA grade ≥ 3, FBG and NPS were independent risk factors of POD. Additionally, the ROC curves revealed that NPS allowed better prognostic capacity for POD than other variables with the largest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.798, sensitivity of 0.800 and specificity of 0.667, respectively. CONCLUSION: Age, ASA grade ≥ 3, and FBG were independent risk factors for POD in the elderly underwent gastrointestinal tumor surgery. Notably, the preoperative NPS was a more effective tool in predicting the incidence of POD, but prospective trials were still needed to further validate our conclusion. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The registration information for the experiment was shown below. (date: 3rd January 2024; number: ChiCTR2400079459).

Association between modified frailty index and postoperative delirium in patients after cardiac surgery: A cohort study of 2080 older adults.

AIM: To evaluate the association between frailty and postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly cardiac surgery patients. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted of older patients admitted to the intensive care unit after cardiac surgery at a tertiary academic medical center in Boston from 2008 to 2019. Frailty was measured using the Modified Frailty Index (MFI), which categorized patients into frail (MFI ≥3) and non-frail (MFI = 0-2) groups. Delirium was identified using the confusion assessment method for the intensive care unit and nursing notes. Logistic regression models were used to examine the association between frailty and POD, and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 2080 patients included (median age approximately 74 years, 30.9% female), 614 were frail and 1466 were non-frail. The incidence of delirium was significantly higher in the frail group (29.2% vs. 16.4%, p < 0.05). After adjustment for age, sex, race, marital status, Acute Physiology Score III (APSIII), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), albumin, creatinine, hemoglobin, white blood cell count, type of surgery, alcohol use, smoking, cerebrovascular disease, use of benzodiazepines, and mechanical ventilation, multivariate logistic regression indicated a significantly increased risk of delirium in frail patients (adjusted OR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.23-2.10, p < 0.001, E-value: 1.85). CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is an independent risk factor for POD in older patients after cardiac surgery. Further research should focus on frailty assessment and tailored interventions to improve outcomes.

Impact of clinical frailty on surgical and non-surgical complications after major emergency abdominal surgery.

BACKGROUND: Major emergency abdominal surgery is associated with a high risk of morbidity and mortality. Given the ageing and increasingly frail population, understanding the impact of frailty on complication patterns after surgery is crucial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between clinical frailty and organ-specific postoperative complications after major emergency abdominal surgery. METHODS: A prospective cohort study including all patients undergoing major emergency abdominal surgery at Copenhagen University Hospital Herlev, Denmark, from 1 October 2020 to 1 August 2022, was performed. Clinical frailty scale scores were determined for all patients upon admission and patients were then analysed according to clinical frailty scale groups (scores of 1-3, 4-6, or 7-9). Postoperative complications were registered until discharge. RESULTS: A total of 520 patients were identified. Patients with a low clinical frailty scale score (1-3) experienced fewer total complications (120 complications per 100 patients) compared with patients with clinical frailty scale scores of 4-6 (250 complications per 100 patients) and 7-9 (277 complications per 100 patients) (P < 0.001). A high clinical frailty scale score was associated with a high risk of pneumonia (P = 0.009), delirium (P < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (P = 0.020), and infectious complications in general (P < 0.001). Patients with severe frailty (clinical frailty scale score of 7-9) suffered from more surgical complications (P = 0.001) compared with the rest of the cohort. Severe frailty was associated with a high risk of 30-day mortality (33% for patients with a clinical frailty scale score of 7-9 versus 3.6% for patients with a clinical frailty scale score of 1-3, P < 0.001). In a multivariate analysis, an increasing degree of clinical frailty was found to be significantly associated with developing at least one complication. CONCLUSION: Patients with frailty have a significantly increased risk of postoperative complications after major emergency abdominal surgery, especially atrial fibrillation, delirium, and pneumonia. Likewise, patients with frailty have an increased risk of mortality within 90 days. Thus, frailty is a significant predictor for adverse events after major emergency abdominal surgery and should be considered in all patients undergoing major emergency abdominal surgery.

Association between postoperative hyperactive delirium and major complications in elderly patients undergoing emergency hip fracture surgery: A large-scale cohort study.

AIM: This cohort study aimed to explore the connection between postoperative hyperactive delirium and major complications in elderly patients undergoing emergency hip fracture surgery. METHODS: Elderly patients aged 65 years and older undergoing emergency hip fracture surgery were included in the study. The presence of postoperative hyperactive delirium was assessed, and logistic regression analysis, following propensity score matching, was conducted to investigate the association between postoperative hyperactive delirium and major complications occurring 30 and 90 days post-surgery. The analysis controlled for potential confounding factors. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, the analysis included 13 590 patients, equally distributed with 6795 in each group. The group experiencing postoperative hyperactive delirium exhibited a significantly elevated risk of 30-day postoperative complications, including acute renal failure, pneumonia, septicemia, and stroke, with adjusted odds ratios ranging from 1.64 to 2.39. Furthermore, this group displayed notably higher rates of 90-day postoperative complications, encompassing mortality, acute renal failure, pneumonia, septicemia, and stroke, with a significantly increased incidence of mortality within 90 days. CONCLUSION: Postoperative hyperactive delirium in elderly patients undergoing emergency hip fracture surgery is significantly linked to an increased risk of major complications at both 30 and 90 days post-surgery. These findings underscore the critical importance of delirium prevention and management in this patient population, offering the potential to reduce the occurrence of postoperative complications. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 730-736.

Introducing a machine learning algorithm for delirium prediction-the Supporting SURgery with GEriatric Co-Management and AI project (SURGE-Ahead).

INTRODUCTION: Post-operative delirium (POD) is a common complication in older patients, with an incidence of 14-56%. To implement preventative procedures, it is necessary to identify patients at risk for POD. In the present study, we aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model for POD prediction in older patients, in close cooperation with the PAWEL (patient safety, cost-effectiveness and quality of life in elective surgery) project. METHODS: The model was trained on the PAWEL study's dataset of 878 patients (no intervention, age ≥ 70, 209 with POD). Presence of POD was determined by the Confusion Assessment Method and a chart review. We selected 15 features based on domain knowledge, ethical considerations and a recursive feature elimination. A logistic regression and a linear support vector machine (SVM) were trained, and evaluated using receiver operator characteristics (ROC). RESULTS: The selected features were American Society of Anesthesiologists score, multimorbidity, cut-to-suture time, estimated glomerular filtration rate, polypharmacy, use of cardio-pulmonary bypass, the Montreal cognitive assessment subscores 'memory', 'orientation' and 'verbal fluency', pre-existing dementia, clinical frailty scale, age, recent falls, post-operative isolation and pre-operative benzodiazepines. The linear SVM performed best, with an ROC area under the curve of 0.82 [95% CI 0.78-0.85] in the training set, 0.81 [95% CI 0.71-0.88] in the test set and 0.76 [95% CI 0.71-0.79] in a cross-centre validation. CONCLUSION: We present a clinically useful and explainable ML model for POD prediction. The model will be deployed in the Supporting SURgery with GEriatric Co-Management and AI project.

Association of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio with the risk of postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

To assess the correlation between preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and risk of postoperative delirium (POD) in older patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Scopus were systematically retrieved from inception until February 2023. Two authors independently conducted the selection of literature, data extraction and statistical analysis. In this meta-analysis, Review Manager 5.4 was used for statistical analysis, and the mean difference (MD) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of preoperative NLR between the POD group and non-POD group were calculated. We utilised the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) to evaluate the quality of literature. Further, our meta-analysis used a random-effects model, and publication bias was evaluated by conducting a funnel plot. The correlation between preoperative NLR and POD was the primary outcome, and the secondary outcome was the association of other prognostic factors with the risk of POD. This meta-analysis included seven studies with 2424 patients, of whom 403 were diagnosed with POD with an incidence of 16.63%. Results indicated a positive correlation between preoperative NLR and the risk of POD (MD = 1.06, 95% CI: 0.64-1.49; P < 0.001). Further, our results found that neutrophil counts, advanced age, longer surgery time, diabetes, and elevated C-reactive protein were significantly associated with POD (MD = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.40-1.56; P = 0.001; MD = 4.20, 95% CI: 2.90-5.51; P < 0.001; MD = 0.15, 95% CI: 0.05-0.25; P < 0.01; OR = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.08-1.86; P = 0.01; MD = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.36-2.16; P < 0.01). Other factors including lymphocyte counts, hypertension and male gender were not significantly associated with POD (MD = -0.11, 95% CI: -0.27 to 0.05; P > 0.05; OR = 1.20, 95% CI: 0.91-1.58, P > 0.05; OR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.00-1.63; P = 0.05). Our meta-analysis indicated a positive correlation between preoperative NLR and the risk of POD in older noncardiac surgery patients.

Association between residential greenness and incident delirium: A prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary environmental health investigations have identified green space as an emerging factor with promising prospects for bolstering human well-being. The incidence of delirium increases significantly with age and is fatal. To date, there is no research elucidating the enduring implications of green spaces on the occurrence of delirium. Therefore, we explored the relationship between residential greenness and the incidence of delirium in a large community sample from the UK Biobank. METHODS: Enrollment of participants spanned from 2006 to 2010. Assessment of residential greenness involved the land coverage percentage of green space within a buffer range of 300 m and 1000 m. The relationship between residential greenness and delirium was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Further, we investigated the potential mediating effects of physical activity, particulate matter (PM) with diameters ≤2.5 (PM2.5), and nitrogen oxides (NOx). RESULTS: Of 232,678 participants, 3722 participants were diagnosed with delirium during a 13.4-year follow-up period. Compared with participants with green space coverage at a 300 m buffer in the lowest quartile (Q1), those in the highest quartile (Q4) had 15 % (Hazard ratio [HR] = 0.85, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.77, 0.94) lower risk of incident delirium. As for the 1000 m buffer, those in Q4 had a 16 % (HR = 0.84, 95 % CI: 0.76, 0.93) lower risk of incident delirium. The relationship between green space in the 300 m buffer and delirium was mediated partially by physical activity (2.07 %) and PM2.5(49.90 %). Comparable findings were noted for the green space percentage within the 1000 m buffer. CONCLUSIONS: Our results revealed that long-term exposure to residential greenness was related to a lower risk of delirium. Air pollution and physical activity exerted a significant mediating influence in shaping this association.

The relationship between intraoperative hypothermia and postoperative delirium: The PNDRFAP study.

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to investigate the correlation between intraoperative hypothermia and postoperative delirium (POD) in patients undergoing general anesthesia for gastrointestinal surgery. METHODS: The study comprised 750 participants from the Perioperative Neurocognitive Disorder Risk Factor and Prognosis (PNDRFAP) study database, which ultimately screened 510 individuals in the final analysis. Preoperative cognitive function was evaluated using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). The occurrence of POD was determined using the Confusion Assessment Method, and the severity of POD was evaluated using the Memorial Delirium Assessment Scale. Logistic regression was employed to scrutinize the association between intraoperative hypothermia and the incidence of POD, and the sensitivity analysis was conducted by introducing adjusted confounding variables. Decision curves and a nomogram model were utilized to assess the predictive efficacy of intraoperative hypothermia for POD. Mediation analysis involving 10,000 bootstrapped iterations was employed to appraise the suggested mediating effect of numeric rating scale (NRS) scores at 24 and 48 h post-surgeries. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) was utilized to evaluate the effectiveness of intraoperative hypothermia in predicting POD. RESULTS: In the PNDRFAP study, the occurrence of POD was notably higher in the intraoperative hypothermia group (62.2%) compared to the intraoperative normal body temperature group (9.8%), with an overall POD incidence of 17.6%. Logistic regression analysis, adjusted for various confounding factors (age [40-90], gender, education, MMSE, smoking history, drinking history, hypertension, diabetes, and the presence of cardiovascular heart disease), demonstrated that intraoperative hypothermia significantly increased the risk of POD (OR = 4.879, 95% CI = 3.020-7.882, p < .001). Mediation analyses revealed that the relationship between intraoperative hypothermia and POD was partially mediated by NRS 24 h after surgery, accounting for 14.09% of the association (p = .002). The area under the curve of the ROC curve was 0.685, which confirmed that intraoperative hypothermia could predict POD occurrence to a certain extent. Decision curve and nomogram analyses, conducted using the R package, further substantiated the predictive efficacy of intraoperative hypothermia on POD. CONCLUSION: Intraoperative hypothermia may increase the risk of POD, and this association may be partially mediated by NRS scores 24 h after surgery.

Incidence and risk factors of postoperative delirium following hepatic resection: a retrospective national inpatient sample database study.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common complication after major surgery and can cause a variety of adverse effects. However, no large-scale national database was used to assess the occurrence and factors associated with postoperative delirium (POD) following hepatic resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent hepatic resection from 2015 to 2019 were screened using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10th edition clinical modification code from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) Database. Peri-operative factors associated with delirium were screened and underwent statistical analysis to identify independent predictors for delirium following hepatic resection. RESULTS: A total of 80,070 patients underwent hepatic resection over a five-year period from 2015 to 2019. The overall occurrence of POD after hepatic resection was 1.46% (1039 cases), with a slight upward trend every year. The incidence of elective admission was 6.66% lower (88.60% vs. 81.94%) than that of patients without POD after hepatic resection and 2.34% (45.53% vs. 43.19%) higher than that of patients without POD in teaching hospitals (P < 0.001). In addition, POD patients were 6 years older (67 vs. 61 years) and comprised 9.27% (56.69% vs. 47.42%) more male patients (P < 0.001) compared to the unaffected population. In addition, the occurrence of POD was associated with longer hospitalization duration (13 vs. 5 days; P < 0.001), higher total cost ($1,481,89 vs. $683,90; P < 0.001), and higher in-hospital mortality (12.61% vs. 4.11%; P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression identified hepatic resection-independent risk factors for POD, including non-elective hospital admission, teaching hospital, older age, male sex, depression, fluid and electrolyte disorders, coagulopathy, other neurological disorders, psychoses, and weight loss. In addition, the POD after hepatic resection has been associated with sepsis, dementia, urinary retention, gastrointestinal complications, acute renal failure, pneumonia, continuous invasive mechanical ventilation, blood transfusion, respiratory failure, and wound dehiscence / non-healing. CONCLUSION: Although the occurrence of POD after hepatic resection is relatively low, it is beneficial to investigate factors predisposing to POD to allow optimal care management and improve the outcomes of this patient population.

Characterizing medical patients with delirium: A cohort study comparing ICD-10 codes and a validated chart review method.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is a major cause of preventable mortality and morbidity in hospitalized adults, but accurately determining rates of delirium remains a challenge. OBJECTIVE: To characterize and compare medical inpatients identified as having delirium using two common methods, administrative data and retrospective chart review. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of 3881 randomly selected internal medicine hospital admissions from six acute care hospitals in Toronto and Mississauga, Ontario, Canada. Delirium status was determined using ICD-10-CA codes from hospital administrative data and through a previously validated chart review method. Baseline sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, processes of care and outcomes were compared across those without delirium in hospital and those with delirium as determined by administrative data and chart review. RESULTS: Delirium was identified in 6.3% of admissions by ICD-10-CA codes compared to 25.7% by chart review. Using chart review as the reference standard, ICD-10-CA codes for delirium had sensitivity 24.1% (95%CI: 21.5-26.8%), specificity 99.8% (95%CI: 99.5-99.9%), positive predictive value 97.6% (95%CI: 94.6-98.9%), and negative predictive value 79.2% (95%CI: 78.6-79.7%). Age over 80, male gender, and Charlson comorbidity index greater than 2 were associated with misclassification of delirium. Inpatient mortality and median costs of care were greater in patients determined to have delirium by ICD-10-CA codes (5.8% greater mortality, 95% CI: 2.0-9.5 and $6824 greater cost, 95%CI: 4713-9264) and by chart review (11.9% greater mortality, 95%CI: 9.5-14.2% and $4967 greater cost, 95%CI: 4415-5701), compared to patients without delirium. CONCLUSIONS: Administrative data are specific but highly insensitive, missing most cases of delirium in hospital. Mortality and costs of care were greater for both the delirium cases that were detected and missed by administrative data. Better methods of routinely measuring delirium in hospital are needed.