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1.
PLoS One ; 15(10): e0238731, 2020.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33119706

RÉSUMÉ

Our goal in this paper is to study and characterize the interdependency structure of the Mexican Stock Exchange (mainly stocks from Bolsa Mexicana de Valores) for the period 2000-2019 which provide a one shot big-picture panorama. To this end, we estimate correlation/concentration matrices from different models and then compute centralities and modularity from network theory.


Sujet(s)
Investissements , Modèles économiques , Algorithmes , Bases de données factuelles , Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Industrie/économie , Investissements/statistiques et données numériques , Chaines de Markov , Mexique , Modèles statistiques , Loi normale , Facteurs temps
2.
Med Care ; 58(8): 674-680, 2020 08.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32049878

RÉSUMÉ

BACKGROUND: Starting in 2014, the Affordable Care Act mandated that Medicare Advantage (MA) contracts spend at least 85% of total revenue on claims and quality improvement [ie, the medical loss ratio (MLR)] and submit revenue and cost data annually in MLR reports. These reports can improve transparency of the financial performance of MA contracts. However, little is known about revenues and costs of insurers that participate in MA and its impacts on status changes in the following year. OBJECTIVE: To characterize revenues and costs of MA contracts in 2014, with a focus on MLRs and gross margins, and to assess heterogeneity in subsequent-year plan renewal and termination rates by gross margins. RESEARCH DESIGN: Cross-sectional data from MLR reports submitted in 2014 by MA contracts and from 2015 Part C & D Plan Crosswalk Files regarding plan renewal, termination, and other status changes from 2014 to 2015. SUBJECTS: Three hundred eighty-nine MA contracts. MEASURES: Primary outcomes are MLRs and gross margins. RESULTS: MLRs averaged 93% in 2014; 11% of contracts reported MLRs of at least 100%. Fifty-six percent reported negative margins, or costs that exceeded revenues. Seventeen percent of plans in contracts in the lowest quartile of gross margins were terminated in 2015, compared to under 5% of plans in the highest-margin contracts. CONCLUSIONS: In 2014, MA contracts reported MLRs greater than the mandatory minimum of 85%. Gross margins likely contribute to trends in plan and insurer availability. MLR reports from subsequent years can help explain fluctuations in insurers' participation in MA.


Sujet(s)
Contrats/économie , Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Medicare part C (USA)/économie , Contrats/normes , Contrats/statistiques et données numériques , Études transversales , Humains , Medicare part C (USA)/normes , Medicare part C (USA)/statistiques et données numériques , États-Unis
3.
PLoS One ; 11(11): e0165057, 2016.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27812141

RÉSUMÉ

We study the intraday behaviour of the statistical moments of the trading volume of the blue chip equities that composed the Dow Jones Industrial Average index between 2003 and 2014. By splitting that time interval into semesters, we provide a quantitative account of the nonstationary nature of the intraday statistical properties as well. Explicitly, we prove the well-known ∪-shape exhibited by the average trading volume-as well as the volatility of the price fluctuations-experienced a significant change from 2008 (the year of the "subprime" financial crisis) onwards. That has resulted in a faster relaxation after the market opening and relates to a consistent decrease in the convexity of the average trading volume intraday profile. Simultaneously, the last part of the session has become steeper as well, a modification that is likely to have been triggered by the new short-selling rules that were introduced in 2007 by the Securities and Exchange Commission. The combination of both results reveals that the ∪ has been turning into a ⊔. Additionally, the analysis of higher-order cumulants-namely the skewness and the kurtosis-shows that the morning and the afternoon parts of the trading session are each clearly associated with different statistical features and hence dynamical rules. Concretely, we claim that the large initial trading volume is due to wayward stocks whereas the large volume during the last part of the session hinges on a cohesive increase of the trading volume. That dissimilarity between the two parts of the trading session is stressed in periods of higher uproar in the market.


Sujet(s)
Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Saisons , Facteurs temps
4.
Neural Netw ; 50: 1-11, 2014 Feb.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24239986

RÉSUMÉ

Combined forecasters have been in the vanguard of stochastic time series modeling. In this way it has been usual to suppose that each single model generates a residual or prediction error like a white noise. However, mostly because of disturbances not captured by each model, it is yet possible that such supposition is violated. The present paper introduces a two-step method for correcting and combining forecasting models. Firstly, the stochastic process underlying the bias of each predictive model is built according to a recursive ARIMA algorithm in order to achieve a white noise behavior. At each iteration of the algorithm the best ARIMA adjustment is determined according to a given information criterion (e.g. Akaike). Then, in the light of the corrected predictions, it is considered a maximum likelihood combined estimator. Applications involving single ARIMA and artificial neural networks models for Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, S&P500 Index, Google Stock Value, and Nasdaq Index series illustrate the usefulness of the proposed framework.


Sujet(s)
Prévision , 29935 , Processus stochastiques , Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Humains , Fonctions de vraisemblance , Facteurs temps
5.
Chaos ; 22(1): 013117, 2012 Mar.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22462993

RÉSUMÉ

Financial markets can be viewed as a highly complex evolving system that is very sensitive to economic instabilities. The complex organization of the market can be represented in a suitable fashion in terms of complex networks, which can be constructed from stock prices such that each pair of stocks is connected by a weighted edge that encodes the distance between them. In this work, we propose an approach to analyze the topological and dynamic evolution of financial networks based on the stock correlation matrices. An entropy-related measurement is adopted to quantify the robustness of the evolving financial market organization. It is verified that the network topological organization suffers strong variation during financial instabilities and the networks in such periods become less robust. A statistical robust regression model is proposed to quantity the relationship between the network structure and resilience. The obtained coefficients of such model indicate that the average shortest path length is the measurement most related to network resilience coefficient. This result indicates that a collective behavior is observed between stocks during financial crisis. More specifically, stocks tend to synchronize their price evolution, leading to a high correlation between pair of stock prices, which contributes to the increase in distance between them and, consequently, decrease the network resilience.


Sujet(s)
Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Théorie du jeu , Modèles économiques , Dynamique non linéaire , Soutien social , Simulation numérique
6.
Washington, D.C; Pan American Health Organization; 2004. 94 p. (PAHO. Official Document, 320). (OD320 En).
Monographie de Anglais | LILACS | ID: lil-409379
7.
Washington, D.C; Organización Panamericana de la Salud; 2004. 94 p. (OPS. Documento Oficial, 320). (OD320).
Monographie de Espagnol | LILACS, MINSALCHILE | ID: lil-409380
8.
Washington, D.C; Organización Panamericana de la Salud; 2002. s.p (OPS. Documento oficial, 311). (OD311 Es).
Monographie de Espagnol | LILACS | ID: lil-382204
9.
Washington, D.C; Pan Américan Health Organization; 2002. s.p (PAHO. Official document, 311). (OD311 En).
Monographie de Anglais | LILACS | ID: lil-382412
17.
Health Serv Manage Res ; 8(1): 23-37, 1995 Feb.
Article de Anglais | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10140596

RÉSUMÉ

This study applies Porter's model of competitive advantage to the nursing home industry. Discriminant analysis is used to identify organizational and environmental characteristics associated with nursing homes which have demonstrated valued strategic outcomes, and to distinguish the more successful nursing homes from their rivals. The results of the discriminant analysis suggest that nursing homes with superior payer mix outcomes are distinguishable from their less successful rivals in areas associated with a focused generic strategy. The study suggests that nursing homes which are better staffed, of smaller size and lower price are more likely to achieve high levels of self-pay utilization. Independent living units, continuing care retirement communities in particular, are likely to act synergistically with nursing home organizational characteristics to enhance competitive advantage by linking the value chain of the nursing home to that of retirement housing. Nursing homes with higher proportions of Medicare were found to provide a unique product when compared to their rivals. Profit status does not discriminate better self-pay strategic utilization, but for-profit facilities are more likely to pursue a Medicare strategy. Concern was raised that, as nursing homes become more strategically oriented, Medicaid access may become more problematic.


Sujet(s)
Concurrence économique , Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Maisons de repos/organisation et administration , Collecte de données , Taille d'établissement de santé/économie , Taille d'établissement de santé/statistiques et données numériques , Medicaid (USA) , Medicare (USA) , Modèles d'organisation , Maisons de repos/classification , Maisons de repos/économie , Maisons de repos/normes , Objectifs de fonctionnement , Propriété , Pennsylvanie , États-Unis
18.
Potosí; Secretaria Regional de Salud Potosí; Febr. 1994. 83 p. ilus.
Monographie de Espagnol | LIBOCS, LIBOSP | ID: biblio-1303207

RÉSUMÉ

El presente manual tiene por objetivo planificar, programar y evaluar la ejecución financiera de las actividades en salud en todas las unidades ejecutoras de la red de servicios a partir de las necesidades de salud de la población, garantizando la oportuna transferencia de los recursos asignados y la correcta dotación y utilización de los bienes y servicios, en cada una de ellas a fin de contribuir a alcanzar los objetivos y metas del sector y brindar prestaciones en salud. Además presenta el reglamento para uso de vehículos de la Secretaria Regional de Salud Potosí. Instrumento para el manejo económico en administración financiera


Sujet(s)
Gestion financière/économie , Gestion financière/statistiques et données numériques , Gestion financière/législation et jurisprudence , Gestion financière/méthodes , Gestion financière/normes , Gestion financière/organisation et administration , Administration de la santé publique , Administration de la santé publique/classification , Administration de la santé publique/statistiques et données numériques , Administration de la santé publique/instrumentation , Administration de la santé publique/législation et jurisprudence , Administration de la santé publique/méthodes , Administration de la santé publique/normes , Santé publique/classification , Santé publique/économie , Santé publique/statistiques et données numériques , Santé publique/instrumentation , Santé publique/législation et jurisprudence , Santé publique/méthodes , Santé publique/normes , Planification , Planification en santé/classification , Planification en santé/économie , Planification en santé/statistiques et données numériques , Planification en santé/législation et jurisprudence , Planification en santé/normes , Secrétaires médicaux/enseignement et éducation , Secrétaires médicaux/statistiques et données numériques , Secrétaires médicaux/législation et jurisprudence , Secrétaires médicaux/normes , Secrétaires médicaux/ressources et distribution
20.
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