Establishing a Framework for Evaluating the Effectiveness of Vaccines Targeting National Vaccination Programs.

BACKGROUND: The increasing number of vaccines and the complexity of immunization programs, along with continuous changes in the epidemiology of infectious diseases, necessitate a systematic approach to vaccine effectiveness (VE) evaluation. This study presents a preliminary survey to establish a VE evaluation framework in Korea, focusing on the National Immunization Program. METHODS: Experts' opinions were collected through a two-round online survey targeting key stakeholders. The first round consisted of two multiple-choice questions and two open-ended questions. The second round was a quantitative survey with 17 questionnaires based on five domains derived by analyzing the results of the first-round survey. RESULTS: The results emphasize the necessity and urgency of a government-led VE evaluation system and the establishment of a multidisciplinary evaluation organization. Key considerations include personnel, budget, data integration, legal standards, and surveillance system enhancements. CONCLUSION: These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, emphasizing the need for collaboration, financial support, and robust data management in developing evidence-based vaccination policies.

The Ethiopian National Immunization Technical Advisory Group (E-NITAG): Establishment, Achievements and the Future.

The National Immunization Program (NIP) was introduced in Ethiopia in 1980. The NIP has expanded the number of vaccines from six to more than 14 in 2023. However, decisions on new vaccine introduction and other vaccine-related matters were not systematically deliberated nationally. Thus, the need to establish a national body to deliberate on vaccine and vaccination matters, in addition to the global immunization advisory groups, has been emphasized in the last decade. This article presents the establishment and achievements of the Ethiopian NITAG. The E-NITAG was established in 2016 and maintained its active role in providing recommendations for new vaccine introduction and improving the delivery of routine vaccines. The external assessment indicated the E-NITAG was highly functional and played a critical role in enhancing the vaccination practice in Ethiopia, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. The absence of a dedicated secretariat staff was the major bottleneck to expanding the role of the E-NITAG beyond responding to MOH requests. The E-NITAG must be strengthened by establishing a secretariat that can eventually grow as an independent institution to address complex vaccine-related issues the NIP needs to address.

The COVID-19 Uninsured Program: Nearly 39 Million Vaccine Doses Were Funded, 2020-22.

The COVID-19 Uninsured Program, administered by the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), reimbursed providers for administering COVID-19 vaccines to uninsured US adults from December 11, 2020, through April 5, 2022. Using HRSA claims data covering forty-two states, we estimated that the program funded about 38.9 million COVID-19 vaccine doses, accounting for 5.7 percent of total doses distributed and 10.9 percent of doses administered to adults ages 19-64.

Interventions addressing routine childhood immunization and its behavioral and social drivers.

Introduction: Despite the advances in vaccination, there are still several challenges in reaching millions of children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In this review, we present an extensive summary of the various strategies used for improving routine immunization in LMICs to aid program implementers in designing vaccination interventions. Methods: Experimental and quasi-experimental impact evaluations conducted in LMICs evaluating the effectiveness of interventions in improving routine immunization of children aged 0-5 years or the intermediate outcomes were included from 3ie's review of systematic reviews. Some additional impact evaluation studies published in recent years in select LMICs with large number of unvaccinated children were also included. Studies were coded to identify interventions and the barriers in the study context using the intervention framework developed in 3ie's Evidence Gap Map and the WHO's Behavioral and Social Drivers (BeSD) of vaccination framework, respectively. Qualitative analysis of the content was conducted to analyze the intervention strategies and the vaccination barriers that they addressed. Results and conclusion: One hundred and forty-two impact evaluations were included to summarize the interventions. To address attitudinal and knowledge related barriers to vaccination and to motivate caregivers, sensitization and educational programs, media campaigns, and monetary or non-monetary incentives to caregivers, that may or may not be conditional upon certain health behaviors, have been used across contexts. To improve knowledge of vaccination, its place, time, and schedule, automated voice messages and written or pictorial messages have been used as standalone or multicomponent strategies. Interventions used to improve service quality included training and education of health workers and providing monetary or non-monetary perks to them or sending reminders to them on different aspects of provision of vaccination services. Interventions like effective planning or outreach activities, follow-up of children, tracking of children that have missed vaccinations, pay-for-performance schemes and health system strengthening have also been used to improve service access and quality. Interventions aimed at mobilizing and collaborating with the community to impact social norms, attitudes, and empower communities to make health decisions have also been widely implemented.

Basic Vaccinations among Children Aged 12-23 Months in Northeast India: Trend, Pattern and Factors Influencing Low Coverage.

India has experienced tremendous progress in childhood immunization through centralized flagship programs since 1985. There is a wide variation of immunization coverage of children aged 12-23 months among Indian states and regions. The North East (NE) region, including eight sister states, has witnessed low immunization coverage (68.4%) with higher dropouts (25%) and nonvaccinations (7.0%). NE Indian states substantially improved childhood immunization from 22.8% in 1992-93 to 68.4% in 2019-2021; still, it is below the national average (77%) and the lowest among the Indian States/UTs. Highly predictive determinants for the outcome of childhood vaccination status include maternal characteristics antenatal care for pregnancy, place of delivery, education level, and media exposure. A large section of the backward hilly tribes is also needed special attention to improving the levels of childhood vaccinations in NE states.

Impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination strategy in Brazil: an ecological study.

OBJECTIVES: No consensus exists about the best COVID-19 vaccination strategy to be adopted by low-income and middle-income countries. Brazil adopted an age-based calendar strategy to reduce mortality and the burden on the healthcare system. This study evaluates the impact of the vaccination campaign in Brazil on the progression of the reported COVID-19 deaths. METHODS: This ecological study analyses the dynamic of vaccination coverage and COVID-19 deaths in hospitalised adults (≥20 years) during the first year of the COVID-19 vaccination roll-out (January to December 2021) using nationwide data (DATASUS). We stratified the adult population into 20-49, 50-59, 60-69 and 70+ years. The dynamic effect of the vaccination campaign on mortality rates was estimated by applying a negative binomial regression. The prevented and possible preventable deaths (observed deaths higher than expected) and potential years of life lost (PYLL) for each age group were obtained in a counterfactual analysis. RESULTS: During the first year of COVID-19 vaccination, 266 153 517 doses were administered, achieving 91% first-dose coverage. A total of 380 594 deaths were reported, 154 091 (40%) in 70+ years and 136 804 (36%) from 50-59 or 20-49 years. The mortality rates of 70+ decreased by 52% (rate ratio [95% CI]: 0.48 [0.43-0.53]) in 6 months, whereas rates for 20-49 were still increasing due to low coverage (52%). The vaccination roll-out strategy prevented 59 618 deaths, 53 088 (89%) from those aged 70+ years. However, the strategy did not prevent 54 797 deaths, 85% from those under 60 years, being 26 344 (45%) only in 20-49, corresponding to 1 589 271 PYLL, being 1 080 104 PYLL (68%) from those aged 20-49 years. CONCLUSION: The adopted aged-based calendar vaccination strategy initially reduced mortality in the oldest but did not prevent the deaths of the youngest as effectively as compared with the older age group. Countries with a high burden, limited vaccine supply and young populations should consider other factors beyond the age to prioritise who should be vaccinated first.

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on routine immunization in Sierra Leone.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on healthcare systems and services, including routine immunization (RI). To date, there is limited information on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on RI in West African countries such as Sierra Leone, which had already experienced public health emergencies that disrupted its healthcare system. Here, we describe the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the RI of key antigens in Sierra Leone. METHODS: We used vaccination data from the District Health Information System for BCG, measles-rubella 1 and 2, and pentavalent 1 and 3 antigens. We compared 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022 annual coverage rates for the selected antigens at the national and district levels. We used the Pearson chi-square test to assess the difference between annual coverage rates between 2019 and 2020, 2020-2021, and 2021-2022. RESULTS: National coverage rates for all antigens declined in 2019-2020, notably measles-rubella 1 and pentavalent 3 (-5.4% and - 4.9%). Between 2020 and 2021, there was an overall increase in coverage (+ 0.2% to + 2.5%), except for measles-rubella 2 (-1.8%). Measles-rubella antigens rebounded in 2021-2022, while others decreased between - 0.5 and - 1.9% in coverage. Overall, all district-level coverage rates in 2022 were lower than those in 2019. Most districts decreased between 2019 and 2022, though a few had a continuous increase; some had an increase/recovery between 2020 and 2021; some districts had recovered 2019 levels by 2022. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted Sierra Leone's national BCG, measles-rubella, and pentavalent antigen immunization, which were not fully restored in 2022. Most districts experienced notable coverage declines during the pandemic, though a few reached or surpassed 2019 rates in 2022. Examining pandemic impact can benefit from a focus beyond the national level to identify vulnerable regions. Sierra Leone's post-pandemic RI reestablishment needs targeted strategies and continual investments for equitable access and coverage, as well as to prevent vaccine-preventable diseases.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the free vaccination policy on seasonal influenza vaccination uptake among older adults in Ningbo, Eastern China.

In 2020-21, during the COVID-19 pandemic, a free influenza vaccination program was initiated among the elderly residents in Ningbo, China. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and free vaccination policy on influenza vaccine uptake needs to be evaluated. The influenza vaccine uptake among individuals born before 31 December, 1962 from 2017-18 to 2022-23 season in Ningbo was analyzed. Multivariate logistic regressions were used to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and free vaccination policy. Our analysis included an average of 1,856,565 individuals each year. Influenza vaccination coverage increased from 1.14% in 2017-18 to 33.41% in 2022-23. The vaccination coverage among the free policy target population was 50.03% in 2022-23. Multivariate analysis showed that free vaccination policy increased influenza vaccine uptake most (OR = 11.99, 95%CI: 11.87-12.11). The initial phase of the pandemic was associated with a positive effect on influenza vaccination (OR = 2.09, 95%CI: 2.07-2.12), but followed by a negative effect in the subsequent two seasons(2021-22: OR = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.73-0.76; 2022-23: OR = 0.40, 95%CI: 0.39-0.40). COVID-19 vaccination in the current season was a positive predictor of influenza vaccine uptake while not completing booster COVID-19 vaccination before was negative predictor in 2022-23. Having influenza vaccine history and having ILI medical history during the last season were also positive predictors of influenza vaccine uptake. Free vaccination policies have enhanced influenza vaccination coverage among elderly population. The COVID-19 pandemic plays different roles in different seasons. Our study highlights the need for how to implement free vaccination policies targeting vulnerable groups with low vaccination coverage.

Adult Pneumococcal Vaccination in Ghana: Current Status and Future Recommendations - Expert Opinion.

Vaccination programs have proven successful in the prevention and control of infectious diseases among children on a global scale, but the majority of adult populations remain unvaccinated. immunocompromised adults as well as older adults aged low-income countries as Streptococcus pneumoniae infections are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality among 65 years and above. Despite the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs), the burden of vaccine-type serotypes remains high in there are no clear policies for adult vaccination. As per the Global Burden of Disease 2019 report, about 120,000 individuals aged 70 years and older died as a result of LRTIs) in sub-Saharan Africa. A medical advisory board meeting was conducted in April 2022 to discuss the burden of pneumococcal diseases in adults, the current status of policies and practices of adult vaccination, unmet needs, and challenges in Ghana. This expert opinion paper outlines the pneumococcal epidemiology and burden of disease in Ghana, as well as the rationale for adult pneumococcal vaccination. It also highlights the potential barriers to adult vaccination and offers recommendations to overcome these obstacles and enhance vaccine acceptance in Ghana.

Les programmes de vaccination ont prouvé leur succès dans la prévention et le contrôle des maladies infectieuses chez les enfants à l'échelle mondiale, mais la majorité des populations adultes restent non vaccinées. Les infections à Streptococcus pneumoniae sont associées à une morbidité et une mortalité substantielles chez les adultes immunodéprimés ainsi que chez les personnes âgées de 65 ans et plus. Malgré l'introduction des vaccins conjugués contre le pneumocoque (VCP), la charge des sérotypes vaccinaux reste élevée dans les pays à faible revenu car il n'existe pas de politiques claires en matière de vaccination des adultes. Selon le rapport sur la charge mondiale de morbidité de 2019, environ 120 000 personnes âgées de 70 ans et plus sont décédées des suites d'infections des voies respiratoires inférieures (IVRI) en Afrique subsaharienne. Une réunion du conseil consultatif médical a eu lieu en avril 2022 pour discuter du fardeau des maladies pneumococciques chez les adultes, de l'état actuel des politiques et pratiques de vaccination des adultes, des besoins non satisfaits et des défis au Ghana. Cet article d'opinion d'experts présente l'épidémiologie pneumococcique et le fardeau de la maladie au Ghana, ainsi que les arguments en faveur de la vaccination pneumococcique des adultes. Il met également en lumière les obstacles potentiels à la vaccination des adultes et propose des recommandations pour surmonter ces obstacles et améliorer l'acceptation des vaccins au Ghana. MOTS-CLÉS: Maladie pneumococcique, Fardeau de la maladie, Vaccin conjugué contre le pneumocoque, Vaccination des adultes, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Ghana, Défis de la vaccination, Immunisation des adultes, VCP-13, Pneumonie acquise en communauté.

Subsidy Programs for Seasonal Influenza Vaccination of Children and Pregnant Women in Japanese Municipalities.

In Japan, influenza vaccination is offered to children and pregnant women at clinics or hospitals as an elective, self-funded treatment, as the vaccination is not included in the national vaccination subsidy program. However, some Japanese municipalities offer a discretionary subsidy for seasonal influenza vaccination of children and pregnant women as a local policy. We identified these local subsidy programs during 2019/2020 seasonal influenza season by conducting a cross-sectional survey across Japan. Out of a total of 1741 municipalities, responses were received from 1732; therefore, the response rate was 99.5%. The local influenza vaccine subsidy programs for children were offered in 45.7%, and for pregnant women in 10.2%, of Japanese municipalities. This is the first survey of subsidy programs for pregnant women. While policy diffusion of subsidy programs for children was observed during the 9 years since a previous study, such programs for pregnant women remain limited. Despite many municipalities having subsidy programs, we found that their provision still remains limited when viewed as a whole.

Foire aux questions sur les sciences comportementales et la vaccination

Alors que les programmes nationaux de vaccination cherchent à augmenter l'utilisation des vaccins COVID-19 et de ceux qui font partie du calendrier de vaccination systématique, ils doivent prendre en compte le rôle des moteurs comportementaux et sociaux de la vaccination (BeSD), qui nous aident à comprendre les croyances et les expériences qui influencent l'utilisation des vaccins. Ce document comprend des réponses aux questions soumises à l'OPS sur les facteurs comportementaux et sociaux de la vaccination, dans le but d'aider les programmes de vaccination à comprendre ces facteurs ; qu'est-ce que le cadre BeSD et quels sont ses quatre domaines : la pensée et les sentiments, les processus sociaux, la motivation et les questions pratiques ; comment les données sociales et comportementales peuvent être collectées, analysées et utilisées pour mettre en œuvre et évaluer des interventions visant à accroître l'adhésion ; quels sont les outils disponibles pour ce faire ; les considérations particulières nécessaires lorsque l'on envisage le rôle des agents de santé dans la promotion de la vaccination ; la relation entre le BeSD et la communication sur les risques et l'engagement communautaire (RCCE) pour la vaccination ; et la définition et la relation entre les termes sociaux et comportementaux clés tels que la confiance dans le vaccin et l'hésitation face au vaccin. En outre, le document présente le nouveau spectre des intentions à l'égard de la vaccination et répond aux questions sur la manière de traiter les anti-vaxxers et les réfractaires à la vaccination ; sur la manière de gérer la désinformation liée à la vaccination et de s'engager dans l'écoute sociale ; et sur la manière d'utiliser le cadre BeSD pour modifier la perception du risque.

Perguntas frequentes sobre ciências comportamentais e vacinação

Como os programas nacionais de imunização buscam aumentar a adesão às vacinas contra a COVID-19 e àquelas que fazem parte do calendário de imunização de rotina, eles devem considerar o papel dos fatores comportamentais e sociais da vacinação (BeSD), que nos ajudam a entender as crenças e experiências que influenciam a adesão à vacina. Este documento inclui respostas a perguntas enviadas à OPAS sobre os motivadores comportamentais e sociais da vacinação com o objetivo de ajudar os programas de imunização a entender esses fatores; o que é a estrutura de BeSD e quais são seus quatro domínios: pensamento e sentimento, processos sociais, motivação e questões práticas; como os dados sociais e comportamentais podem ser coletados, analisados e usados para implementar e avaliar intervenções para aumentar a adesão; quais ferramentas estão disponíveis para isso; as considerações especiais necessárias ao considerar o papel dos profissionais de saúde na promoção da vacinação; a relação entre BeSD e a comunicação de risco e o envolvimento da comunidade (RCCE) para a vacinação; e a definição e a relação entre os principais termos sociais e comportamentais, como confiança e hesitação na vacina. Além disso, o documento apresenta o novo espectro de intenções em relação à vacinação e responde a perguntas sobre como lidar com antivaxxers e recusadores de vacinas; como gerenciar a desinformação relacionada à vacinação e como se envolver na escuta social; e como usar a estrutura do BeSD para mudar a percepção de risco.

[Coverage, mapping and barriers to complete vaccination for age among children under 5 years in 2021: case of Adjara-Hounvè and Ahouicodji villages in southern Benin]. / Couverture, cartographie et barrières à la vaccination complète pour l'âge chez les enfants de moins de cinq ans en 2021 : cas des localités d'Adjara-Hounvè et Ahouicodji au sud du Bénin.

Background: Vaccination is a protective measure against infectious diseases and remains one of the best investments in public health. Some African countries are still struggling to reach the required child immunization coverage. Several factors are responsible for limiting immunization coverage. Most of the factors considered to limit immunization coverage are related to the health system. In addition, inaccessibility to care, especially during the critical period of the Covid-19 pandemic, greatly reduced vaccination coverage rates. In Benin, several vaccines are included in the Expanded Programme on Immunization or are administered as part of routine immunization. However, cases of non-compliance with the vaccine and persistent flaccid paralysis are still recorded in the commune of Ouidah in southern Benin. The aim of this study was to investigate the coverage and factors associated with full immunization for age in children aged 0-5 years. Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted from August to October 2021 in two villages (Adjara-Hounvè and Ahouicodji) in southern Benin. All the households were included. The survey regarded children under 5 for whom a vaccination record was presented. A couple child/mother was recruited after informed consent of the mother and her child. An univariate analysis followed by a multivariate analysis was performed by using a logistic regression model to identify the variables that influence vaccine completeness. Spatial description of vaccine completeness was performed using the kriging method using ArcGIS 10.8 mapping software. Results. Of the 414 mothers surveyed, 57.49% had an immunization card, from which information was collected. Of the 238 children recruited, 141 were in Adjara-Hounvè and 97 in Ahouicodji. Of the 238 children with an immunization card, 20.6% were fully immunized for their age. All children received Baccille Calmette Guérin vaccine at birth. Since poliomyelitis, pentavalent, pneumococcal conjugate, and rotavirus are three-dose vaccines, the percentage of children who received these vaccines decreased as the number of doses increased: 96.6%, 88.2%, 78.1% and 72.3% for the four doses of polio respectively. According to 53.4% of the respondents the reception at the vaccination site was poor, and according to 70.3% of them waiting time for vaccination sessions was long. Several reasons justified the absence of complete vaccination for the age of the children: vaccination site too far from the place of residence (59.54%), lack of financial means (29.78%) and the mother's ignorance (12.76%). Education level "primary" vs "none" (ORa = 3.32; CI95% 1.07-10.25), occupation "health staff" vs "housewife" (ORa = 21.18; CI95% 3.07-145.94), mothers' knowledge of Expanded Programme on Immunization diseases (ORa = 2, 20; CI95% 1.03-4.68) and children's age 0-2 months vs ≥ 16 months (ORa = 8.53; CI95% 2.52-28.85) and 9-15 months vs ≥ 16 months (ORa = 2.99; CI95% 1.24-7.23) increased complete immunization status for age. The homogeneity of behaviour related to age-complete immunization coverage in children under 5 years was evident at mapping. Conclusion: Age-complete immunization coverage in children under 5 years of age is very low, with a spatial homogeneity in community immunization uptake behaviour. Age-complete immunization coverage is an innovative indicator that can contribute to achieving age-specific immunization targets.

Vaccination coverage and abandonment among children under two years old in Brazil: a time-series study.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the vaccination coverage and abandonment rates among children under two years old in Brazil, from 2015 to 2021. METHODS: A time-series ecological study. The dependent variables of the research were "vaccination coverage" and "abandonment rate", both assessed by Brazilian region. The data were extracted in July 2022 from the Information System of the National Immunization Program. The Prais-Winsten technique was used for the trend analysis, with the aid of the STATA 16.0 software. RESULTS: The mean vaccination coverage in Brazil was 76.96%, with a decreasing trend during the period (Annual Percent Change=-5.12; confidence interval - CI95% -7.81; -2.34); in 2015, the rate was 88.85% and it dropped to 62.35% in 2021. In turn, the overall abandonment rate was 24.00% in 2015 and 9.01% in 2021, with a mean of 10.48% and a stationary trend (Annual Percentage Change=-9.54; CI95% -22.92; 6.12). In 2021, all the vaccines presented coverage values below 74.00% in the country. CONCLUSIONS: The vaccination coverage rate trend among children under two years old was stationary or decreasing for all the immunobiologicals in all Brazilian regions, with the exception of yellow fever in the South and Southeast regions. There was an increase in the abandonment rate trend for the Meningococcal C vaccine in the country and, specifically in relation to the regions, for BCG in the North, Northeast, and Midwest and for Meningococcal C in the North and Northeast.

Improving rates of immunisation in refugee populations in Australia.

Despite an established humanitarian program running for many years, the health needs of refugees resettled in Australia, particularly immunisation, have not been met adequately. Under-immunisation is one of the top health issues for this population. While there is no population-level immunisation coverage data, seroprevalence studies based on small cohorts of refugees show suboptimal immunity to various vaccine-preventable diseases and lower vaccine coverage for this group than the general population. This is compounded by gaps in immunisation policy and service delivery that further perpetuate access issues and may contribute to under-immunisation. This is particularly pertinent against the backdrop of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, where there have been significant disruptions in the delivery of routine and catch-up immunisations. This paper briefly analyses the status quo and draws on the key policy considerations for enhancing the equitable provision of immunisation for refugees as recommended by the 2019 World Health Organisation technical guidance report to provide a clear, overarching direction for empirical work on immunisation service delivery for refugees in Australia.

Starting then stopping: a nationwide register-based study on the magnitude, predictors, and urban-rural patterns of under-vaccination variation across health centers in The Gambia.

OBJECTIVES: Six million children were under-vaccinated in 2022. Our study aimed to 1) quantify the magnitude of under-vaccination variation between health facilities, 2) assess to which extent individual and health center level factors contributed to the variation, 3) identify individual and health facility factors associated with under-vaccination, and 4), explore rural vs. urban health facility variations. METHODS: We used data from 61,839 children from The Gambia national routine vaccination register. We cross tabulated under-vaccination status across study variables and fitted two-level random intercept multilevel logistic regression models to measure variance, contribution to the variance, and factors associated with the variance and under-vaccination. RESULTS: We found that 7% of the prevalence of under-vaccination was due to variation between health facilities. Thirty-seven percent of the variation was explained by individual and health center variables. The variables explained 36% of the variance in urban and 19% in rural areas. Children who were not vaccinated at 4 months or with delayed history, due for vaccination in the rainy season, and health facilities with very small or large population to health worker ratios had higher under-vaccination odds. CONCLUSION: Our study indicates that one of the pathways to improving vaccination coverage is addressing factors driving under-vaccination inequities between health facilities through urban-rural differentiated strategies.

Main findings: Variation in under-vaccination rates between health centers contributes to worsening performance overall and in urban and rural areas.Added knowledge: Our study indicates that one of the paths to improving under-vaccination and consequently total coverage is by addressing the factors driving under-vaccination and its inequity between health facilities.Global health impact for policy and action: Children with delayed or non-vaccination history at four months of age, those due for vaccination in the rainy season especially in urban areas, and health facilities with very small or big birth dose to health worker ratios are potential targets for improving under-vaccination.

Fiscal space for the immunisation program in Zambia- an efficiency analysis approach.

OBJECTIVE: The immunisation programme in Zambia remains one of the most effective public health programmes. Its financial sustainability is, however, uncertain. Using administrative data on immunisation coverage rate, vaccine utilisation, the number of health facilities and human resources, expenditure on health promotion, and the provision of outreach services from 24 districts, we used Data Envelopment Analysis to determine the level of technical efficiency in the provision of immunisation services. Based on our calculated levels of technical efficiency, we determined the available fiscal space for immunisation. RESULTS: Out of the 24 districts in our sample, 9 (38%) were technically inefficient in the provision of immunisation services. The average efficiency score, however, was quite high, at 0.92 (CRS technology) and 0.95 (VRS technology). Based on the calculated level of technical efficiency, we estimated that an improvement in technical efficiency can save enough vaccine doses to supply between 5 and 14 additional districts. The challenge, however, lies in identifying and correcting for the sources of technical inefficiency.