Adaptability of prognostic prediction models for patients with acute coronary syndrome during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The detrimental repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on the quality of care and clinical outcomes for patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) necessitate a rigorous re-evaluation of prognostic prediction models in the context of the pandemic environment. This study aimed to elucidate the adaptability of prediction models for 30-day mortality in patients with ACS during the pandemic periods. METHODS: A total of 2041 consecutive patients with ACS were included from 32 institutions between December 2020 and April 2023. The dataset comprised patients who were admitted for ACS and underwent coronary angiography for the diagnosis during hospitalisation. The prediction accuracy of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and a machine learning model, KOTOMI, was evaluated for 30-day mortality in patients with ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). RESULTS: The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was 0.85 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.89) in the GRACE and 0.87 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.91) in the KOTOMI for STEMI. The difference of 0.020 (95% CI -0.098-0.13) was not significant. For NSTE-ACS, the respective AUROCs were 0.82 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.91) in the GRACE and 0.83 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.91) in the KOTOMI, also demonstrating insignificant difference of 0.010 (95% CI -0.023 to 0.25). The prediction accuracy of both models had consistency in patients with STEMI and insignificant variation in patients with NSTE-ACS between the pandemic periods. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction models maintained high accuracy for 30-day mortality of patients with ACS even in the pandemic periods, despite marginal variation observed.

[The efficiency of X-Ray endovascular care in decreasing of population mortality from acute coronary syndrome and acute disorder of cerebral circulation].

The article considers results of assessment of dynamics of mortality from cardiovascular diseases and the most important nosologic forms - acute cerebrovascular disorders and coronary heart disease with acute coronary syndrome and development of accessibility of X-Ray endovascular care of patients in the Oblast. The results of analysis of changes in mortality after implementation of new model of care of patients with acute vascular diseases are presented. The relationship between accessibility of X-Ray endovascular interventions and decrease of mortality was analyzed. The reliable significantly strong connection was found for cerebrovascular diseases, and medium negative connection for coronary heart disease with acute coronary syndrome.

Gender differences in presentation, management, and outcomes among Egyptian patients with acute coronary syndrome: a single-centre registry.

BACKGROUND: Despite a significant rise in cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data are scarce regarding the quality of care provided, particularly for women. METHODS: This is a prospective observational, cross-sectional study. Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients presented to the Cardiology Department at Tanta University, Egypt, between September 1, 2023, and December 31, 2023, were enrolled. The study assessed gender disparities by comparing men and women regarding presentation, management, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) occurrence during hospitalization and 30 days after discharge. RESULTS: A total of 400 ACS patients were included, with 29.5% being women. Women were comparatively older (59 ± 9 years vs. 55 ± 13 years), with a significantly higher prevalence of hypertension (70.3% vs. 47.5%) and diabetes (55% vs. 36.8%). Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (Non-STEMI) was more common in women (35.29% vs. 21%). Dyspnea was expressed by 34.4% of women (vs. 21.35% of men). Women were hospitalized later (9.29 h vs. 6.74 h). In-hospital outcomes were poorer for women with worse NYHA classes III and IV. Additionally, the odds ratio (OR) for in-hospital cardiac mortality was 0.303 (95% CI 0.103-0.893) for women compared to men. However, a one-month follow-up for MACE post-hospital discharge did not indicate significant gender differences. CONCLUSIONS: The current study suggests that women with ACS in Egypt exhibit a higher risk profile for CVD compared to men and tend to present later with atypical symptoms. Women additionally experience poorer in-hospital MACE and higher cardiac mortality. Therefore, increasing awareness about ACS syndrome and eliminating obstacles that delay hospital admission are imperative.

The Relationship Between Controlling Nutritional Assessment Score and Mortality in Patients with Chronic Coronary Syndrome: A Retrospective Study from Türkiye.

BACKGROUND: Controlling Nutritional Assessment (CONUT) score has been shown to have a higher predictive value compared to other nutritional scores in acute coronary syndrome. AIM: To determine the relationship between CONUT score and long-term mortality in patients with chronic coronary syndrome (CCS). METHODS: Between 2017 and 2020, 585 consecutive patients newly diagnosed and proven to have CCS by coronary angiography were included in the study. CONUT score and demographic and laboratory data of all patients were evaluated. The relationship between results and mortality was evaluated. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 64 years and 75% were male. Mortality was observed in 56 (9.6%) patients after a median follow-up period of 3.5 years. The median CONUT score was significantly higher in patients with mortality (P < 0.001). In multivariate regression analysis, the CONUT score was associated with mortality (Hazard ratio (HR): 1.63 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.34-1.98 P < 0.001)). The area under curve (AUC) for long-term mortality estimation for the CONUT score was 0.75 (95% CI 0.67-0.82 P < 0.001). When the CONUT score value was accepted as 0.5, the sensitivity was 78% and the specificity was 60. CONCLUSION: CONUT score was found to be predictive of mortality in long-term follow-up of patients with CCS.

Prevalence and outcomes of patients with SMuRF-less acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: There is increasing awareness that patients without standard modifiable risk factors (SMuRFs; diabetes, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension and smoking) may represent a unique subset of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We aimed to investigate the prevalence and outcomes of patients with SMuRF-less ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with those with SMuRFs. METHODS: We analysed data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI Registry. Patients with coronary artery disease were excluded. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital and 30-day events. Long-term mortality was investigated using Cox-proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: From 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2020, 2727/18 988 (14.4%) patients were SMuRF less, with the proportion increasing over time. Mean age was similar for patients with and without SMuRFs (63 years), and fewer females were SMuRF-less (19.8% vs 25.4%, p<0.001). SMuRF-less patients were more likely to present with cardiac arrest (6.6% vs 3.9%, p<0.001) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (59.1% vs 50.8%, p<0.001) and were more likely to experience postprocedural cardiogenic shock (4.5% vs 3.6%, p=0.019) and arrhythmia (11.2% vs 9.9%, p=0.029). At 30 days, mortality, myocardial infarction, revascularisation and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events did not differ between the groups. During median follow-up of 7 years, SMuRF-less patients had an adjusted 13% decreased rate of mortality (HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.97)). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of SMuRF-less patients increased over time. Presentation was more often a devastating cardiac event compared with those with SMuRFs. No difference in 30-day outcomes was observed and SMuRF-less patients had lower hazard for long-term mortality.

Combined effect of inflammation and malnutrition for long-term prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation is a key driver of atherosclerotic diseases and is often accompanied by disease-related malnutrition. However, the long-term burden of dysregulated inflammation with superimposed undernutrition in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) remains unclear. This study sought to investigate the double burden and interplay of inflammation and malnutrition in patients with ACS undergoing percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI). METHODS: We retrospectively included 1,743 ACS patients undergoing PCI from June 2016 through November 2017 and grouped them according to their baseline nutritional and inflammatory status. Malnutrition was determined using the nutritional risk index (NRI) with a score lower than 100 and a high-inflamed condition defined as hs-CRP over 2 mg/L. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), compositing of cardiac mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and unplanned revascularization. Long-term outcomes were examined using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was applied to adjust for confounding. The reclassification index (NRI)/integrated discrimination index (IDI) statistics estimated the incremental prognostic impact of NRI and hs-CRP in addition to the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 30 months (ranges 30-36 months), 351 (20.1%) MACEs occurred. Compared with the nourished and uninflamed group, the malnourished and high-inflamed group displayed a significantly increased risk of MACEs with an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.446 (95% CI: 1.464-4.089; P < 0.001). The prognostic implications of NRI were influenced by patients' baseline inflammatory status, as it was only associated with MACEs among those high-inflamed (P for interaction = 0.005). Incorporating NRI and hs-CRP into the GRACE risk score significantly improved its predictive ability for MACEs (NRI: 0.210, P < 0.001; integrated discrimination index; IDI: 0.010, P < 0.001) and cardiac death (NRI: 0.666, P < 0.001; IDI: 0.023, P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ACS undergoing PCI, the double burden of inflammation and malnutrition signifies poorer outcomes. Their prognostic implications may be amplified by each other and jointly improve the GRACE risk score's risk prediction performance.

Abbreviated Versus Standard Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Times After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients With High Bleeding Risk With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Insights From the SWEDEHEART Registry.

BACKGROUND: Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) reduces ischemic events but increases bleeding risk, especially in patients with high bleeding risk (HBR). This study aimed to compare outcomes of abbreviated versus standard DAPT strategies in patients with HBR with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients from the SWEDEHEART (Swedish Web-system for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Bare in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies) registry with at least 1 HBR criterion who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention for acute coronary syndrome were identified and included. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on their planned DAPT time at discharge: 12-month DAPT or an abbreviated DAPT strategy and matched according to their prescribed P2Y12 inhibitor at discharge. The primary outcome assessed was time to net adverse clinical events at 1 year, which encompassed cardiac death, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or clinically significant bleeding. Time to major adverse cardiovascular events and the individual components of net adverse clinical events were considered secondary end points. A total of 4583 patients were included in each group. The most frequently met HBR criteria was age older than 75 years (65.6%) and Predicting Bleeding Complications in Patients Undergoing Stent Implantation and Subsequent Dual Antiplatelet Therapy score ≥25 (44.6%) in the standard DAPT group and oral anticoagulant therapy (79.6%) and age 75 years and older (55.2%) in the abbreviated DAPT group. There was no statistically significant difference in net adverse clinical events (12.9% versus 13.1%; hazard ratio [HR], 0.99 [95% CI, 0.88-1.11], P=0.83), major adverse cardiovascular events (8.6% versus 7.9%; HR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.94-1.25]), or their components between groups. The results were consistent among all of the investigated subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HBR undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention due to acute coronary syndrome, abbreviated DAPT was associated with comparable rates of net adverse clinical events and major adverse cardiovascular events to a DAPT duration of 12 months.

U-Shaped Relationship Between Fibrinogen Level and 10-year Mortality in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Prospective Cohort Study.

This study demonstrated that fibrinogen is an independent risk factor for 10-year mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), with a U-shaped nonlinear relationship observed between the two. These findings underscore the importance of monitoring fibrinogen levels and the consideration of long-term anti-inflammatory treatment in the clinical management of patients with ACS.

Beyond the GRACE ACS Score: Do We Need a Different Model for Men and Women after STEMI? / Além do Escore GRACE SCA: É Necessário um Modelo Diferente para Homens e Mulheres após IAMCSST?

BACKGROUND: Women, in comparison to men, experience worse outcomes after acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, whether the female sex per se is an independent predictor of such adverse events remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the association between the female sex and in-hospital mortality after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study by enrolling consecutive STEMI patients admitted to a tertiary hospital from January 2018 to February 2019. All patients were treated per current guideline recommendations. Multivariable logistic regression models were applied to evaluate in-hospital mortality using GRACE variables. Model accuracy was evaluated using c-index. A p-value < 0.05 was statistically significant. RESULTS: Out of the 1678 ACS patients, 709 presented with STEMI. The population consisted of 36% women, and the median age was 61 years. Women were older (63.13 years vs. 60.53 years, p = 0.011); more often presented with hypertension (75.1% vs. 62.4%, p = 0.001), diabetes (42.2% vs. 27.8%, p < 0.001), and hyperlipidemia (34.1% vs. 23.9%, p = 0.004); and were less likely to undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) via radial access (23.7% vs. 46.1%, p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality rate was significantly higher in women (13.2% vs. 5.6%, p = 0.001), and the female sex remained at higher risk for in-hospital mortality (OR 2.79, 95% CI 1.15-6.76, p = 0.023). A multivariate model including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, cardiac arrest, and Killip class was 94.1% accurate in predicting in-hospital mortality, and the c-index was 0.85 (95% CI 0.77-0.93). CONCLUSION: After adjusting for the risk factors in the GRACE prediction model, women remain at higher risk for in-hospital mortality.

FUNDAMENTO: As mulheres, em comparação aos homens, apresentam piores resultados após a síndrome coronariana aguda (SCA). No entanto, ainda não está claro se o sexo feminino em si é um preditor independente de tais eventos adversos. OBJETIVO: Este estudo tem como objetivo avaliar a associação entre o sexo feminino e a mortalidade hospitalar após infarto do miocárdio com supradesnivelamento do segmento ST (IAMCSST). MÉTODOS: Conduzimos um estudo de coorte retrospectivo, recrutando pacientes consecutivos com IAMCSST, internados em um hospital terciário de janeiro de 2018 a fevereiro de 2019. Todos os pacientes foram tratados de acordo com as recomendações das diretrizes atuais. Modelos de regressão logística multivariada foram aplicados para avaliar a mortalidade hospitalar utilizando variáveis de GRACE. A precisão do modelo foi avaliada usando o índice c. Um valor de p < 0,05 foi estatisticamente significativo. RESULTADOS: Dos 1.678 pacientes com SCA, 709 apresentaram IAMCSST. A população era composta por 36% de mulheres e a idade média era de 61 anos. As mulheres tinham maior idade (63,13 anos vs. 60,53 anos, p = 0,011); apresentavam hipertensão (75,1% vs. 62,4%, p = 0,001), diabetes (42,2% vs. 27,8%, p < 0,001) e hiperlipidemia (34,1% vs. 23,9%, p = 0,004) mais frequentemente; e apresentaram menor probabilidade de serem submetidas a intervenção coronária percutânea (ICP) por acesso radial (23,7% vs. 46,1%, p < 0,001). A taxa de mortalidade hospitalar foi significativamente maior em mulheres (13,2% vs. 5,6%, p = 0,001), e o sexo feminino permaneceu em maior risco de mortalidade hospitalar (OR 2,79, IC de 95% 1,15­6,76, p = 0,023). Um modelo multivariado incluindo idade, sexo, pressão arterial sistólica, parada cardíaca e classe de Killip atingiu 94,1% de precisão na previsão de mortalidade hospitalar, e o índice c foi de 0,85 (IC de 95% 0,77­0,93). CONCLUSÃO: Após ajuste para os fatores de risco no modelo de previsão do GRACE, as mulheres continuam em maior risco de mortalidade hospitalar.

Is having a moderate or low history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk score a handicap for long-term mortality?

OBJECTIVE: History, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk score and troponin level follow-up are used to safely discharge low-risk patients with suspected non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome from the emergency department for a 1-month period. We aimed to comprehensively investigate the 6-month mortality of patients with the history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk score. METHODS: A total of 949 non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome patients admitted to the emergency department from 01.01.2019 to 01.10.2019 were included in this retrospective study. History, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin scores of all patients were calculated by two emergency clinicians and a cardiologist. We compared the 6-month mortality of the groups. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 67.9 (56.4-79) years; 57.3% were male and 42.7% were female. Six-month mortality was significantly lower in the high-risk history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin score group than in the low- and moderate-risk groups: 11/80 (12.1%), 58/206 (22%), and 150/444 (25.3%), respectively (p=0.019). CONCLUSION: Patients with high history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, troponin risk scores are generally treated with coronary angioplasty as soon as possible. We found that the mortality rate of this group of patients was lower in the long term compared with others. Efforts are also needed to reduce the mortality of moderate and low-risk patients. Further studies are needed on the factors affecting the 6-month mortality of moderate and low-risk acute coronary syndrome patients.

Acute coronary syndrome in calcium pyrophosphate deposition disease patients: A US inpatient care cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Recent studies have shown that CPPD might be associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events related to inflammation. Thus, we aim to examine the outcomes of patients admitted for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with and without CPPD. METHODS: We used data from the US National Inpatient Sample (NIS) Database to identify patients who were admitted for ACS between 2006 and 2019. The ICD-9 and -10 codes were used to determine the patients with ACS related hospitalizations and of those, we classified two groups of patients: those with and those without any CPPD code. Data collection included demographics and comorbidities. Outcomes were in-hospital mortality, length of stay, hospital charges, and in-hospital complications. Associations between CPPD and specific morbidity were evaluated with chi-square tests. T-tests were used for continuous variables. We have also presented odds ratio (OR) along with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) for the outcomes of interest. RESULTS: A total of 17,322,362 patients were admitted for ACS. Among them, 7,458 had CPPD, with a mean age of 75 years and 48 % were females. CPPD patients were more likely to be older (75 vs 68 years; p < 0.001) compared to non-CPPD patients. Among the comorbidities, chronic kidney disease was more frequently observed in CPPD patients. Regarding the inpatient complications, acute ischemic stroke and post-procedural hemorrhage were more frequently seen in CPPD patients. Interestingly, the in-hospital mortality was lower in the CPPD patients than the non-CPPD patients (OR: 0.77; CI 95 % 0.70-0.85). ACS in CPPD patients was associated with a longer mean length of stay than those without CPPD (OR: 3.35; 95 % CI 3.17-3.53). In addition, mean total charges were higher in the CPPD group (OR: 1.04; 95 % CI 1.01-1.10). CONCLUSION: ACS in CPPD patients is associated with higher healthcare utilization, including cost and length of hospital stay, and lower in-hospital mortality than non-CPPD patients.

Educational status and the risk of adverse outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of educational status (ES) on the clinical course of Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: We used data from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry. ES was classified as follows: low (primary school), medium (secondary), and high (University). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Secondary outcomes were each component of the primary outcome, cardiovascular death, and major bleeding. The one-year risk of primary and secondary outcomes was assessed through Cox-regressions. Adherence to the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway was assessed. RESULTS: Among 2697 AF patients (69±12 years, 34.8% females), 34.6% had low ES; 37.3% had medium ES; and 28.1% had high ES. Compared to patients with medium-high ES, patients with low ES were older, more often females, with a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, and a lower ABC pathway adherence (30.4% vs. 40.2%, P<0.001). On multivariable analysis, low ES was associated with a higher risk for the primary outcome (HR 1.52,95%CI 1.11-2.06) and all-cause death (HR 1.76,95%CI 1.10-2.83) than medium-high ES. A significant interaction was found for the risk of composite outcome among the different age strata, with the higher risk in the elderly (P for int=0.008), whereas the beneficial effect of the ABC pathway was irrespective of ES (P for int=0.691). CONCLUSIONS: In Asian AF patients, low ES is associated with high mortality. Efforts to improve education and include ES evaluation in the integrated care approach for AF are necessary to reduce the cardiovascular burden in these patients.

The association of inflammatory biomarkers and long-term clinical outcomes in older adults with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of inflammatory markers on the long-term risk of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in older NSTEACS patients remains unclear. METHODS: NSTEACS patients aged 75 and older were recruited to the multicentre cohort study Improve Cardiovascular Outcomes in High-Risk PatieNts with Acute Coronary Syndrome (ICON1). Inflammatory markers including interleukin-6 (IL-6), myeloperoxidase (MPO), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), fibrinogen and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) were collected at baseline. Primary outcome was MACCE consisting of all-cause mortality, reinfarction, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, urgent revascularization, and significant bleeding at 5-year follow-up. RESULTS: There were 230 patients with baseline IL-6 (median age 80.9 [interquartile range (IQR):78.2-83.9] years). High IL-6 was not associated with MACCE, but it was independently associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 2.26 [95% Confidence Interval (CI):1.34-3.82]; P = 0.002). For patients with hsCRP (n = 260, median age 80.9 [IQR:77.9-84.1] years), higher levels were significantly associated with increased risk of MACCE (aHR:1.77 [95% CI:1.26-2.49], P = 0.001). In the cohort with MPO (230 patients, median age 80.9 [IQR:78.2-83.9] years), lower MPO was independently associated with the risk of MACCE (aHR: 0.67 [95%CI:0.46-0.96]; P = 0.029). There was no prognostic significance with fibrinogen and TNF-α. CONCLUSION: Among older NSTEACS patients, elevated IL-6 and hsCRP were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and MACCE, respectively. Low MPO levels were associated with higher MACCE. Further studies are required to determine how these biomarkers should influence treatment strategy in this understudied subset. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01933581.

Machine learning prediction of one-year mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention in acute coronary syndrome patients.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) models have the potential to accurately predict outcomes and offer novel insights into inter-variable correlations. In this study, we aimed to design ML models for the prediction of 1-year mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with acute coronary syndrome. METHODS: This study was performed on 13,682 patients at Tehran Heart Center from 2015 to 2021. Patients were split into 70:30 for testing and training. Four ML models were designed: a traditional Logistic Regression (LR) model, Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Ada Boost models. The importance of features was calculated using the RF feature selector and SHAP based on the XGBoost model. The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) for the prediction on the testing dataset was the main measure of the model's performance. RESULTS: From a total of 9,073 patients with >1-year follow-up, 340 participants died. Higher age and higher rates of comorbidities were observed in these patients. Body mass index and lipid profile demonstrated a U-shaped correlation with the outcome. Among the models, RF had the best discrimination (AUC 0.866), while the highest sensitivity (80.9%) and specificity (88.3%) were for LR and XGBoost models, respectively. All models had AUCs of >0.8. CONCLUSION: ML models can predict 1-year mortality after PCI with high performance. A classic LR statistical approach showed comparable results with other ML models. The individual-level assessment of inter-variable correlations provided new insights into the non-linear contribution of risk factors to post-PCI mortality.

The association of depressive symptoms with adverse clinical outcomes in hypertension: Data from SPRINT randomized trail.

OBJECTIVE: This study intends to explore the effect of depressive symptoms on adverse clinical outcomes in middle-aged and elderly hypertensive patients. METHODS: This post hoc analysis was conducted using data from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), and we used cox proportional risk regression to examine the relationship between depressive symptoms and adverse clinical outcomes (primary outcome, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease(CVD) mortality, heart failure(HF), myocardial infarction(MI), non-myocardial infarction acute coronary syndrome(non-MI ACS)). RESULTS: In a follow-up study of 9259 participants, we found that depression symptoms was significantly and positively associated with the primary outcome (HR 1.03, 95%CI 1.01-1.05; p for trend = 0.0038), all-cause mortality (HR 1.03, 95%CI 1.01-1.05; p for trend = 0.0308), HF(HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.01-1.08; p for trend = 0.0107), and non-MI ACS(HR 1.06, 95%CI 1.01-1.10; p for trend = 0.0120). Kaplan-Meier survival curves for depression symptoms severity (none, mild, moderate, and above) and adverse clinical outcomes suggested that for all but primary clinical outcomes, the cumulative risk of adverse clinical outcomes increased with increasing depression symptoms severity. CONCLUSION: For middle-aged and elderly hypertensive patients, depression symptoms exacerbates the risk of adverse clinical outcomes (primary outcome, all-cause mortality, CVD death, MI, HF, and non-MI ACS), and the risk increases with the severity of depression symptoms.

Sex Differences in Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Kidney Failure.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in patients with kidney failure, and their risk of cardiovascular events is 10 to 20 times higher as compared with the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated 508 822 patients who initiated dialysis between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2014 using the United States Renal Data System with linked Medicare claims. We determined hospitalization rates for cardiovascular events, defined by acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, and stroke. We examined the association of sex with outcome of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death using adjusted time-to-event models. The mean age was 70±12 years and 44.7% were women. The cardiovascular event rate was 232 per thousand person-years (95% CI, 231-233), with a higher rate in women than in men (248 per thousand person-years [95% CI, 247-250] versus 219 per thousand person-years [95% CI, 217-220]). Women had a 14% higher risk of cardiovascular events than men (hazard ratio [HR], 1.14 [95% CI, 1.13-1.16]). Women had a 16% higher risk of heart failure (HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.15-1.18]), a 31% higher risk of stroke (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.28-1.34]), and no difference in risk of acute coronary syndrome (HR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.99-1.03]). Women had a lower risk of cardiovascular death (HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.88-0.90]) and a lower risk of all-cause death than men (HR, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.95-0.97]). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients undergoing dialysis, women have a higher risk of cardiovascular events of heart failure and stroke than men. Women have a lower adjusted risk of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality.

Clinical Outcomes and Resource Utilization in Patients With Peripheral Arterial Disease Hospitalized for Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Previous studies have shown an association between acute limb ischemia and higher mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction. Although peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a well-known risk factor for development of macrovascular pathology, the effect of its severity is not well investigated in patients hospitalized for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Using a national cohort of patients with various degrees of PAD, we investigated in-hospital outcomes in patients who were admitted for ACS. Using the 2016 to 2020 Nationwide Readmissions Database, we queried all patients who were hospitalized for ACS (unstable angina, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-elevation myocardial infarction). Patients were further divided into 3 groups, either no PAD (non-PAD), PAD, or critical limb ischemia (CLI). Multivariable models were designed to adjust for patient and hospital factors and examine the association between ACS and PAD severity. Of approximately 3,834,181 hospitalizations for ACS, 6.4% had PAD, 0.2% had CLI, and all others were non-PAD. After risk adjustment, in-hospital mortality was higher by 24% in PAD (adjusted odds ratio 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21 to 1.28) and 86% in CLI (adjusted odds ratio 1.86, 95% CI 1.62 to 2.09) compared with non-PAD. Furthermore, PAD and CLI were linked to 1.23-fold (95% CI 1.20 to 1.26) and 1.67-fold (95% CI 1.45 to 1.86) greater odds of cardiogenic shock compared with non-PAD. Additionally, PAD and CLI were linked with higher odds of mechanical circulatory support usage, cardiac arrest and acute kidney injury compared with non-PAD. Lastly, duration of hospital stay, hospitalization costs and odds of non-home discharge and 30-day readmissions were greater in patients with PAD and CLI compared with non-PAD. PAD severity was associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with ACS, including in-hospital mortality and resource utilization.

Association between the triglyceride-glucose index and in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with acute coronary syndrome: results from the Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China (CCC)-Acute Coronary Syndrome project.

OBJECTIVE: Although the TyG index is a reliable predictor of insulin resistance (IR) and cardiovascular disease, its effectiveness in predicting major adverse cardiac events in hospitalized acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients has not been validated in large-scale studies. In this study, we aimed to explore the association between the TyG index and the occurrence of MACEs during hospitalization. METHODS: We recruited ACS patients from the CCC-ACS (Improving Cardiovascular Care in China-ACS) database and calculated the TyG index using the formula ln(fasting triglyceride [mg/dL] × fasting glucose [mg/dL]/2). These patients were classified into four groups based on quartiles of the TyG index. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of MACEs during hospitalization, encompassing all-cause mortality, cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke. We performed Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to clarify the correlation between the TyG index and the risk of in-hospital MACEs among patients diagnosed with ACS. Additionally, we explored this relationship across various subgroups. RESULTS: A total of 101,113 patients were ultimately included, and 2759 in-hospital MACEs were recorded, with 1554 (49.1%) cases of all-cause mortality, 601 (21.8%) cases of cardiac arrest, 251 (9.1%) cases of MI, and 353 (12.8%) cases of stroke. After adjusting for confounders, patients in TyG index quartile groups 3 and 4 showed increased risks of in-hospital MACEs compared to those in quartile group 1 [HR = 1.253, 95% CI 1.121-1.400 and HR = 1.604, 95% CI 1.437-1.791, respectively; p value for trend < 0.001], especially in patients with STEMI or renal insufficiency. Moreover, we found interactions between the TyG index and age, sex, diabetes status, renal insufficiency status, and previous PCI (all p values for interactions < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ACS, the TyG index was an independent predictor of in-hospital MACEs. Special vigilance should be exercised in females, elderly individuals, and patients with renal insufficiency.

Insulin resistance, coronary artery lesion complexity and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) is linked to both the complexity of coronary artery lesions and the prognosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, the precise extent of this correlation and its impact on adverse cardiovascular outcomes in ACS patients remain unclear. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the intricate relationship between IR, coronary artery lesion complexity, and the prognosis of ACS through a cohort design analysis. METHOD: A total of 986 patients with ACS who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were included in this analysis. IR was assessed using the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, while coronary artery lesion complexity was evaluated using the SYNTAX score. Pearson's correlation coefficients were utilized to analyze the correlations between variables. The association of the TyG index and SYNTAX score with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in ACS was investigated using the Kaplan-Meier method, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and adjusted Cox regression. Additionally, a novel 2-stage regression method for survival data was employed in mediation analysis to explore the mediating impact of the SYNTAX score on the association between the TyG index and adverse cardiovascular outcomes, including MACEs and unplanned revascularization. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 30.72 months, 167 cases of MACEs were documented, including 66 all-cause deaths (6.69%), 26 nonfatal myocardial infarctions (MIs) (2.64%), and 99 unplanned revascularizations (10.04%). The incidence of MACEs, all-cause death, and unplanned revascularization increased with elevated TyG index and SYNTAX score. Both the TyG index (non-linear, P = 0.119) and SYNTAX score (non-linear, P = 0.004) displayed a positive dose-response relationship with MACEs, as illustrated by the RCS curve. Following adjustment for multiple factors, both the TyG index and SYNTAX score emerged as significant predictors of MACEs across the total population and various subgroups. Mediation analysis indicated that the SYNTAX score mediated 25.03%, 18.00%, 14.93%, and 11.53% of the correlation between the TyG index and MACEs in different adjusted models, respectively. Similar mediating effects were observed when endpoint was defined as unplanned revascularization. CONCLUSION: Elevated baseline TyG index and SYNTAX score were associated with a higher risk of MACEs in ACS. Furthermore, the SYNTAX score partially mediated the relationship between the TyG index and adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Effects of the stress hyperglycemia ratio on long-term mortality in patients with triple-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome.

AIMS: Risk assessment for triple-vessel disease (TVD) remain challenging. Stress hyperglycemia represents the regulation of glucose metabolism in response to stress, and stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is recently found to reflect true acute hyperglycemic status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SHR and its role in risk stratification in TVD patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: A total of 3812 TVD patients with ACS with available baseline SHR measurement were enrolled from two independent centers. The endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) II (SSII) was used as the reference model in the model improvement analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 219 (5.8%) TVD patients with ACS suffered cardiovascular mortality. TVD patients with ACS with high SHR had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after robust adjustment for confounding (high vs. median SHR: adjusted hazard ratio 1.809, 95% confidence interval 1.160-2.822, P = 0.009), which was fitted as a J-shaped pattern. The prognostic value of the SHR was found exclusively among patients with diabetes instead of those without diabetes. Moreover, addition of SHR improved the reclassification abilities of the SSII model for predicting cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS. CONCLUSIONS: The high level of SHR is associated with the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS, and is confirmed to have incremental prediction value beyond standard SSII. Assessment of SHR may help to improve the risk stratification strategy in TVD patients who are under acute stress.