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Background: Aminoglycosides, such as Streptomycin, are cheap, potent antibiotics widely used Sub-Saharan Africa. However, aminoglycosides are the commonest cause of ototoxicity. The limited prospective epidemiological studies on aminoglycoside ototoxicity from Sub-Saharan Africa motivated this study to provide epidemiological information on Streptomycin-induced ototoxicity, identify risk factors and predictors of ototoxicity. Method: A longitudinal study of 153 adults receiving Streptomycin-based anti-tuberculous drugs was done. All participants underwent extended frequency audiometry and had normal hearing thresholds at baseline. Hearing thresholds were assessed weekly for 2 months, then monthly for the subsequent 6 months. Ototoxicity was determined using the ASHA criteria. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze socio-demographic variables. Ototoxicity incidence rate was calculated, and Kaplan-Meier estimate used to determine cumulative probability of ototoxicity. Chi-square test was done to determine parameters associated with ototoxicity and Cox regression models were used to choose the predictors of ototoxicity. Results: Age of participants was 41.43 ± 12.66 years, with a male-to-female ratio of 1:0.6. Ototoxicity was found in 34.6% of the participants, giving an incidence of 17.26 per 1,000-person-week. The mean onset time to ototoxicity was 28.0 ± 0.47 weeks. By 28th week, risk of developing ototoxicity for respondents below 40 years of age was 0.29, and for those above 40 years was 0.77. At the end of the follow-up period, the overall probability of developing ototoxicity in the study population was 0.74. A significant difference in onset of ototoxicity was found between the age groups: the longest onset was seen in <40 years, followed by 40-49 years, and shortest onset in ≥50 years. Hazard of ototoxicity was significantly higher in participants aged ≥50 years compared to participants aged ≤40 years (HR = 3.76, 95% CI = 1.84-7.65). The probability of ototoxicity at 40 g, 60 g and 80 g cumulative dose of Streptomycin was 0.08, 0.43 and 2.34, respectively. Age and cumulative dose were significant predictors of ototoxicity. Conclusion: The mean onset time to Streptomycin-induced ototoxicity was 28 weeks after commencement of therapy. Age and cumulative dose can reliably predict the onset of Streptomycin-induced ototoxicity. Medium to long term monitoring of hearing is advised for patients on aminoglycoside therapy.
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Pregnancy termination continues to be a leading cause of maternal morbidity and mortality among young women in Africa. The sub-Saharan Africa region has the highest rate of abortion-related deaths in the world, at 185 maternal deaths per 100,000 abortions. The aim of this study is to investigate the factors associated with pregnancy termination among women aged 15 to 29 years in six sub-Saharan African countries. We used secondary data from the most recent Demographic and Health Survey of six sub-Saharan African countries: Kenya, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Burundi, Nigeria, and Rwanda. A total weighted sample of 74,652 women aged 15-29 were analyzed. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify the factors associated with pregnancy termination at a p-value < 0.05. Results were presented using adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence interval. The study showed that 6.3% of women aged 15-29 reported pregnancy termination with a higher prevalence rate in Tanzania (8.8%) and lowest in Ethiopia (4%). Highest odds of pregnancy termination occurred among women aged 20-24 as compared to women aged 15-19 in Rwanda (AOR: 4.04, 95%CI 2.05, 7.97) followed by Nigeria (AOR: 2.62, 95% CI 1.99, 3.43), Kenya (AOR: 2.33, 95%CI 1.48, 3.66), Burundi (AOR: 1.99 95%CI 1.48, 2.85), Tanzania (AOR: 1.71 95%CI 1.29, 2.27), and Ethiopia (AOR: 1.69, 95% CI 1.19, 2.42). Women with no education had 4 times higher odds of pregnancy termination compared to women with higher education in Tanzania (AOR: 4.03 95%CI 1.00, 16.13) while women with no education and primary level education were 1.58 times (AOR: 1.58 95% CI 1.17, 2.13) and 1.78 times (AOR: 1.78 95% CI 1.34, 2.37) as likely to terminate pregnancy in Ethiopia. In Tanzania, the likelihood of a pregnancy termination was associated with a relationship to the household head; head (AOR: 3.66, 95% CI (2.32, 5.78), wife (AOR: 3.68, 95% CI 2.60, 5.12), and in-law (AOR:2.62, 1.71, 4.03). This study revealed that a significant number of women had pregnancy termination. Being in the age group of 20-24 & 25-29, having a lower level of education, being a domestic employee and professional, being single/never-in-union, being in the poorest and richer wealth quantile category, and being head, wife, daughter, and in-law to the household head were the significantly associated with pregnancy termination. Taking these socio-economic factors into consideration by stakeholders and specific sexual education targeted to women aged 15 to 29 would help tackle the problem.
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BACKGROUND: Prediction algorithms/models are viable methods for identifying individuals at high risk of stroke across diverse populations for timely intervention. However, evidence summarizing the performance of these models is limited. This study examined the performance and weaknesses of existing stroke risk-score-prediction models (SRSMs) and whether performance varied by population and region. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched for articles on SRSMs from the earliest records until February 2022. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess the quality of eligible articles. The performance of the SRSMs was assessed by meta-analyzing C-statistics (0 and 1) estimates from identified studies to determine the overall pooled C-statistics by fitting a linear restricted maximum likelihood in a random effect model. RESULTS: Overall, 17 articles (cohort study = 15, nested case-control study = 2) comprising 739,134 stroke cases from 6,396,594 participants from diverse populations/regions (Asia; n = 8, United States; n = 3, and Europe and the United Kingdom; n = 6) were eligible for inclusion. The overall pooled c-statistics of SRSMs was 0.78 (95%CI: 0.75, 0.80; I2 = 99.9%), with most SRSMs developed using cohort studies; 0.78 (95%CI: 0.75, 0.80; I2 = 99.9%). The subgroup analyses by geographical region: Asia [0.81 (95%CI: 0.79, 0.83; I2 = 99.8%)], Europe and the United Kingdom [0.76 (95%CI: 0.69, 0.83; I2 = 99.9%)] and the United States only [0.75 (95%CI: 0.72, 0.78; I2 = 73.5%)] revealed relatively indifferent performances of SRSMs. CONCLUSION: SRSM performance varied widely, and the pooled c-statistics of SRSMs suggested a fair predictive performance, with very few SRSMs validated in independent population group(s) from diverse world regions.
Subject(s)
Stroke , Humans , Risk Assessment/methods , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/diagnosisABSTRACT
Management of hypertension is challenging in multi-cultural and multi-ethnic sub-Saharan African countries like Nigeria. This diversity calls for multi-dimensional interventional approaches for hypertension control. This study assessed the treatment seeking behaviour and associated factors among adults with high blood pressure from three ethnic groups in Nigeria. A cross-sectional study was conducted among 762 adults with high blood pressure from three purposively selected States representing the three main tribes in Nigeria. Using a multistage stratified sampling technique, five communities were selected from two Local Government Areas (LGAs) stratified into urban and rural LGAs in each State. All consenting respondents in each community were consecutively screened for hypertension and recruited. A pretested interviewer-administered questionnaire was used to obtain information on socio-demographic characteristics, treatment seeking behaviour and factors affecting their choice. Data were summarized using descriptive statistics. Relationship between individual, health-related factors and treatment seeking behaviour, as well as the predictors were assessed using a binary logistic regression. at p<0.05 Participants' mean age was 55.4 ± 16.6 years, 63.0% were females and most were Igbo speaking (39.9%). About half (368, 48.3%) were unaware of their status. Of those aware, most (58.9%) went to hospital upon diagnosis of hypertension while some sought advice from health care professionals (28.5%) mostly Hausas, others either went to chemists (6.2%) or did nothing (5.1%), predominantly Yorubas. Significant predictors of orthodox treatment seeking practices for hypertension were female gender [(AOR = 2.60; 95%CI (1.18-5.71)], availability of medicine and personnel [(AOR = 8.7; 95%CI (4.15-18.3)] and perceived good quality of care [(AOR = 4.88; 95%CI (1.81-13.1)]. Orthodox treatment was the common choice among adults with high blood pressure. To further encourage patronage of orthodox treatment, the health facilities should be adequately equipped with medications and trained personnel to improve the quality of care. Targeted education on continuous practice of orthodox treatment is recommended.
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Background: Leprosy leads to nerve damage and slow-healing ulcers, which are treatable with routine therapy. There has been a recent resurgence of interest in the use of honey for the treatment of different kinds of wounds. Objective: The aim of this study, Honey Experiment on Leprosy Ulcer (HELP), is to evaluate the healing properties of raw, unadulterated African honey in comparison with normal saline dressing for the treatment leprosy ulcers. Methods: This is a multicenter, comparative, prospective, single-blinded, parallel-group, and 1:1 individually randomized controlled trial to be conducted at The Leprosy Referral Hospital, Chanchaga in Minna, Niger State, North Central Nigeria, and St. Benedict Tuberculosis and Leprosy Rehabilitation Hospital in Ogoja, Cross River State, South-South Nigeria. Raw, unadulterated honey will be used in the ulcer dressing of eligible, consenting participants in the intervention group, whereas those in the control group will be treated by dressing with normal saline. The main outcomes will be the proportion of complete healing and the rate of healing up to 84 days after randomization. Follow-up will be conducted 6 months after randomization. We aim to enroll 90-130 participants into the study. Blinded observers will examine photographs of ulcers to determine the outcomes. Results: The recruitment of trial participants began on March 14, 2022, and has been continuing for approximately 24 months. Conclusions: Our study will provide an unbiased estimate of the effect of honey on the healing of neuropathic ulcers.
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BACKGROUND: Hypertension is preeminent among the vascular risk factors for stroke occurrence. The wide gaps in awareness, detection, treatment, and control rates of hypertension are fueling an epidemic of stroke in sub-Saharan Africa. PURPOSE: To quantify the contribution of untreated, treated but uncontrolled, and controlled hypertension to stroke occurrence in Ghana and Nigeria. METHODS: The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) is a case-control study across 16 study sites in Ghana and Nigeria. Cases were acute stroke (n = 3684) with age- and sex-matched stroke-free controls (n = 3684). We evaluated the associations of untreated hypertension, treated but uncontrolled hypertension, and controlled hypertension at BP of <140/90 mmHg with risk of stroke occurrence. We assessed the adjusted odds ratio and population-attributable risk of hypertension treatment control status associated with stroke occurrence. RESULTS: The frequencies of no hypertension, untreated hypertension, treated but uncontrolled hypertension and controlled hypertension among stroke cases were 4.0%, 47.7%, 37.1%, and 9.2% vs 40.7%, 34.9%, 15.9%, and 7.7% respectively among stroke-free controls, p < 0.0001. The aOR and PAR (95% CI) for untreated hypertension were 6.58 (5.15-8.41) and 35.4% (33.4-37.4); treated but uncontrolled hypertension was 9.95 (7.60-13.02) and 35.9% (34.2-37.5); and controlled hypertension 5.37 (3.90-7.41) and 8.5% (7.6-9.5) respectively. Untreated hypertension contributed a PAR of 47.5% to the occurrence of intracerebral hemorrhage vs 29.5% for ischemic stroke. The aOR of untreated hypertension for stroke occurrence was 13.31 (7.64-23.19) for <50 years; 7.14 (4.51-11.31) for 50-64 years; and 3.48 (2.28-5.30) for 65 years or more. CONCLUSION: The contribution of untreated hypertension and treated but uncontrolled hypertension to stroke occurrence among indigenous Africans is substantial. Implementing targeted interventions that address gaps in hypertension prevention and treatment, involving the local population, healthcare providers, and policymakers, can potentially substantially reduce the escalating burden of strokes in Africa.
Subject(s)
Hypertension , Stroke , Humans , Ghana/epidemiology , Nigeria/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/therapy , Stroke/etiology , Risk Factors , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertension/complicationsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: African ancestry populations have the highest burden of stroke worldwide, yet the genetic basis of stroke in these populations is obscure. The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) is a multicenter study involving 16 sites in West Africa. We conducted the first-ever genome-wide association study (GWAS) of stroke in indigenous Africans. METHODS: Cases were consecutively recruited consenting adults (aged > 18 years) with neuroimaging-confirmed ischemic stroke. Stroke-free controls were ascertained using a locally validated Questionnaire for Verifying Stroke-Free Status. DNA genotyping with the H3Africa array was performed, and following initial quality control, GWAS datasets were imputed into the NIH Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) release2 from BioData Catalyst. Furthermore, we performed fine-mapping, trans-ethnic meta-analysis, and in silico functional characterization to identify likely causal variants with a functional interpretation. RESULTS: We observed genome-wide significant (P-value < 5.0E-8) SNPs associations near AADACL2 and miRNA (MIR5186) genes in chromosome 3 after adjusting for hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and cardiac status in the base model as covariates. SNPs near the miRNA (MIR4458) gene in chromosome 5 were also associated with stroke (P-value < 1.0E-6). The putative genes near AADACL2, MIR5186, and MIR4458 genes were protective and novel. SNPs associations with stroke in chromosome 2 were more than 77 kb from the closest gene LINC01854 and SNPs in chromosome 7 were more than 116 kb to the closest gene LINC01446 (P-value < 1.0E-6). In addition, we observed SNPs in genes STXBP5-AS1 (chromosome 6), GALTN9 (chromosome 12), FANCA (chromosome 16), and DLGAP1 (chromosome 18) (P-value < 1.0E-6). Both genomic regions near genes AADACL2 and MIR4458 remained significant following fine mapping. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings identify potential roles of regulatory miRNA, intergenic non-coding DNA, and intronic non-coding RNA in the biology of ischemic stroke. These findings reveal new molecular targets that promise to help close the current gaps in accurate African ancestry-based genetic stroke's risk prediction and development of new targeted interventions to prevent or treat stroke.
Subject(s)
Ischemic Stroke , MicroRNAs , Stroke , Adult , Humans , Genome-Wide Association Study , Ischemic Stroke/complications , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Stroke/genetics , Genomics , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , DNA , Multicenter Studies as TopicABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with a high case fatality rate in resource-limited settings. The independent predictors of poor outcome after ICH in sub-Saharan Africa remains to be characterized in large epidemiological studies. We aimed to determine factors associated with 30-day fatality among West African patients with ICH. METHODS: The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) study is a multicentre, case-control study conducted at 15 sites in Nigeria and Ghana. Adults aged ≥18 years with spontaneous ICH confirmed with neuroimaging. Demographic, cardiovascular risk factors, clinical features and neuroimaging markers of severity were assessed. The independent risk factors for 30-day mortality were determined using a multivariate logistic regression analysis with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Among 964 patients with ICH, 590 (61.2%) were males with a mean age (SD) of 54.3(13.6) years and a case fatality of 34.3%. Factors associated with 30-day mortality among ICH patients include: Elevated mean National Institute of Health Stroke Scale(mNIHSS);(OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.02-1.11), aspiration pneumonitis; (OR 7.17; 95% CI 2.82-18.24), ICH volume > 30mls; OR 2.68; 95% CI 1.02-7.00)) low consumption of leafy vegetables (OR 0.36; 95% CI 0.15-0.85). CONCLUSION: This study identified risk and protective factors associated with 30-day mortality among West Africans with spontaneous ICH. These factors should be further investigated in other populations in Africa to enable the development of ICH mortality predictions models among indigenous Africans.
Subject(s)
Cerebral Hemorrhage , Stroke , Male , Adult , Humans , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Female , Case-Control Studies , Cerebral Hemorrhage/diagnostic imaging , Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Risk Factors , Ghana/epidemiology , NeuroimagingABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Frequent fruit and vegetable consumption is considered a promising dietary behaviour that protects health. However, most existing studies about the factors associated with this phenomenon among Africans are based on single-country reports, apart from one meta-regression combining smaller studies. This study harmonized large datasets and assessed factors associated with the frequency of fruit and vegetable consumption in this population. METHODS: Individual-level data on sociodemographics, lifestyle and diet from 20â443 participants across five African countries (Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya, South Africa and Nigeria), from the Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) and Africa Wits-INDEPTH partnership for Genomic Research (AWI-Gen) studies, were harmonized. Total frequency of fruit and vegetable consumption (in portions/week) was classified as 'low' (≤6), 'moderate' (7-14) and 'high' (≥15). Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of factors associated with the total frequency of fruit and vegetable consumption (using 'low' consumption as the reference) were estimated using multinomial regression models. RESULTS: Mean age of participants was 54.3 ± 11.8 years, 10â641 (52.1%) were female, and the median (interquartile range) frequency of total fruit and vegetable consumption was 10.0 (4.0, 21.0) portions/week. Participants with a family history of cardiovascular disease [moderate (aOR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.85, 1.00) and high (aOR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.78, 0.92)], current smokers [moderate (aOR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.74, 0.94) and high (aOR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.69, 0.88)], current alcohol users [moderate (aOR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.85, 1.00) and high (aOR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.76, 0.89)] and physically inactive participants [moderate (aOR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75, 0.96) and high (aOR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.70, 0.90)] were less likely to consume fruits and vegetables frequently. CONCLUSION: Africans with lifestyle risk factors for cardiovascular disease were less likely to consume fruit and vegetables frequently.
Subject(s)
Fruit , Vegetables , Humans , Female , Infant , Male , Diet , Risk Factors , KenyaABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Non-cigarette tobacco (NCT) represents a form of tobacco use with a misperceived significance in chronic disease events. Whether NCT use is sufficient to promote stroke events, especially among Africans, is yet to be understood. This study assessed the relationship between NCT use and stroke among indigenous Africans. METHODS: A total of 7,617 respondents (NCT users: 41 vs. non-NCT: 7576) from the Stroke Investigation Research and Educational Network study were included in the current analysis. NCT use was defined as self-reported use of smoked (cigars or piper) or smokeless (snuff or chewed) tobacco in the past year preceding stroke events. Stroke was defined based on clinical presentation and confirmed with a cranial CT/MRI. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was applied to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the relationship between NCT and stroke at p<0.05. RESULTS: Out of the 41 (0.54%) who reported NCT use, 27 (65.9%) reported using smokeless NCT. NCT users were older than non-smokers (62.8±15.7 vs 57.7±14.8 years). Overall, NCT use was associated with first-ever stroke (OR: 2.08; 95%CI: 1.02, 4.23) in the entire sample. Notably, smokeless NCT use was independently associated with higher odds of stroke (OR: 2.74; 95%CI: 1.15, 6.54), but smoked NCT use (OR: 0.16; 95%CI: 0.02, 1.63) presented a statistically insignificant association after adjusting for hypertension and other covariates. CONCLUSIONS: NCT use was associated with higher odds of stroke, and public health interventions targeting NCT use might be promising in reducing the burden of stroke among indigenous Africans. IMPLICATIONS: A detailed understanding of the relationship between NCT use and stroke will likely inform well-articulated policy guidance to promote evidence-based recommendations for public health prevention and management of stroke on the African continent.
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BACKGROUND: In-person health care poses risks to health workers and patients during pandemics. Remote consultations can mitigate these risks. The REaCH intervention comprised training and mobile data allowance provision for mobile phones to support remotely delivered primary care in Africa compared with no training and mobile data allowance. The aim of this study was to estimate the effects of REaCH among adults with non-communicable diseases on remote and face-to-face consultation rates, patient safety, and trustworthiness of consultations. METHODS: In these two independent stepped-wedge cluster randomised controlled trials, we enrolled 20 primary care clusters in each of two settings (Oyo State, Nigeria, and Morogoro Region, Tanzania). Eligible clusters had 100 or more patients with diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular or pulmonary disease employing five health workers. Clusters were computer-randomised to one of ten (Nigeria) or one of seven (Tanzania) sequences to receive the REaCH intervention. Only outcome assessors were masked. Primary outcomes were consultation, prescription, and investigation rates, and trustworthiness collected monthly for 12 months (Nigeria) and 9 months (Tanzania) from open cohorts. Ten randomly sampled consulting patients per cluster-month completed patient reported outcome measures. This trial was registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN17941313. FINDINGS: Overall, 40 clusters comprising 8776 (Nigeria) and 3246 (Tanzania) patients' open cohort data were analysed (6377 [72·7%] of 8776 females in Nigeria, and 2235 [68·9%] of 3246 females in Tanzania). The mean age of the participants was 55·3 years (SD 13·9) in Nigeria and 59·2 years (14·2) in Tanzania. In Nigeria, no evidence of change in face-to-face consulting rate was observed (rate ratio [RR] 1·06, 95% CI 0·98 to 1·09; p=0·16); however, remote consultations increased four-fold (4·44, 1·34 to >10; p=0·01). In Tanzania, face-to-face (0·94, 0·61 to 1·67; p=0·99) and remote consulting rates (1·17, 0·56 to 5·57; p=0·39) were unchanged. There was no evidence of difference in prescribing rates (Nigeria: 1·05, 0·60 to 1·14; p=0·23; Tanzania: 0·92, 0·60 to 1·67; p=0·97), investigation rates (Nigeria: 1·06, 0·23 to 2·12; p=0·49; Tanzania: 1·15, 0·35 to 1·64; 0·58) or trustworthiness scores (Nigeria: mean difference 0·05, 95% CI -0·45 to 0·42; p=0·89; Tanzania: 0·07, -0·15 to 0·76; p=0·70). INTERPRETATION: REaCH can be implemented and could improve intervention versus control health-care access. Remote consultations appear safe and trustworthy, supporting universal health coverage. FUNDING: The UK Research and Innovation Collective Fund. TRANSLATIONS: For the Swahili and Yoruba translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care , Primary Health Care , Adult , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Nigeria , Referral and Consultation , Tanzania , Randomized Controlled Trials as TopicABSTRACT
Background: There is a growing interest in stroke genomics and neurobiobanking research in Africa. These raise several ethical issues, such as consent, re-use, data sharing, storage, and incidental result of biological samples. Despite the availability of ethical guidelines developed for research in Africa, there is paucity of information on how the research participants' perspectives could guide the research community on ethical issues in stroke genomics and neurobiobanking research. To explore African research participants' perspectives on these issues, a study was conducted at existing Stroke Investigation Research and Education Network (SIREN) sites in Nigeria and Ghana. Method: Using an exploratory design, twenty-eight Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) sessions were conducted with stroke survivors (n=7), caregivers(n=7), stroke - free controls(n=7), and Community Advisory Board members(n=7). Data were collected using an interview guide. Interviews were conducted in English and indigenous languages of the community, audio recorded, and transcribed verbatim. Data were analyzed using NVivo (March, 2020) Software. Result: Results revealed that stroke genomics and neurobiobanking research in Africa require researchers' direct attention to ethical issues. Concerns were raised about understanding, disclosure and absence of coercion as components of true autonomous decision making in research participation. Participants argued that the risk and benefits attached to participation should be disclosed at the time of recruitment. Fears around data sharing were voiced as adherence to the principle of privacy and confidentiality were of paramount importance to participants. The preference was to receive the results of incidental findings with no stigma attached from society. Conclusion: Research participants' perspectives are a vital aspect of community engagement in stroke genomics and neurobiobanking research. Findings from this study suggest that research participants are interested in these fields of research in Africa if their concerns about ethical issues are appropriately addressed within the research framework.
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BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop a risk-scoring model for hypertension among Africans. METHODS: In this study, 4413 stroke-free controls were used to develop the risk-scoring model for hypertension. Logistic regression models were applied to 13 risk factors. We randomly split the dataset into training and testing data at a ratio of 80:20. Constant and standardized weights were assigned to factors significantly associated with hypertension in the regression model to develop a probability risk score on a scale of 0 to 1 using a logistic regression model. The model accuracy was assessed to estimate the cutoff score for discriminating hypertensives. RESULTS: Mean age was 59.9±13.3 years, 56.0% were hypertensives, and 8 factors, including diabetes, age ≥65 years, higher waist circumference, (BMI) ≥30 kg/m2, lack of formal education, living in urban residence, family history of cardiovascular diseases, and dyslipidemia use were associated with hypertension. Cohen κ was maximal at ≥0.28, and a total probability risk score of ≥0.60 was adopted for both statistical weighting for risk quantification of hypertension in both datasets. The probability risk score presented a good performance-receiver operating characteristic: 64% (95% CI, 61.0-68.0), a sensitivity of 55.1%, specificity of 71.5%, positive predicted value of 70.9%, and negative predicted value of 55.8%, in the test dataset. Similarly, decision tree had a predictive accuracy of 67.7% (95% CI, 66.1-69.3) for the training set and 64.6% (95% CI, 61.0-68.0) for the testing dataset. CONCLUSIONS: The novel risk-scoring model discriminated hypertensives with good accuracy and will be helpful in the early identification of community-based Africans vulnerable to hypertension for its primary prevention.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Hypertension , Humans , Middle Aged , Aged , African People , Hypertension/diagnosis , Hypertension/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Risk AssessmentABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Rapid urbanization in Nigerian cities may lead to localized variations in malaria transmission, particularly with a higher burden in informal settlements and slums. However, there is a lack of available data to quantify the variations in transmission risk at the city level and inform the selection of appropriate interventions. To bridge this gap, field studies will be undertaken in Ibadan and Kano, two major Nigerian cities. These studies will involve a blend of cross-sectional and longitudinal epidemiological research, coupled with longitudinal entomological studies. The primary objective is to gain insights into the variation of malaria risk at the smallest administrative units, known as wards, within these cities. METHODS/RESULTS: The findings will contribute to the tailoring of interventions as part of Nigeria's National Malaria Strategic Plan. The study design incorporates a combination of model-based clustering and on-site visits for ground-truthing, enabling the identification of environmental archetypes at the ward-level to establish the study's framework. Furthermore, community participatory approaches will be utilized to refine study instruments and sampling strategies. The data gathered through cross-sectional and longitudinal studies will contribute to an enhanced understanding of malaria risk in the metropolises of Kano and Ibadan. CONCLUSIONS: This paper outlines pioneering field study methods aimed at collecting data to inform the tailoring of malaria interventions in urban settings. The integration of multiple study types will provide valuable data for mapping malaria risk and comprehending the underlying determinants. Given the importance of location-specific data for microstratification, this study presents a systematic process and provides adaptable tools that can be employed in cities with limited data availability.
Subject(s)
Malaria , Research Design , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Nigeria/epidemiology , Cities/epidemiology , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/prevention & controlABSTRACT
There is disparity in fertility level across the six geopolitical zones in Nigeria. Deeper uunderstanding about the drivers of fertility trends are necessary to prioritize zonal specific strategies for fertility reduction in Nigeria. Thus, this study examined the proximate determinants (PDs) of fertility and decomposed the change in its level across the six geo-political zones in Nigeria. Data from Nigeria Demographic and Health Surveys of 2003 and 2018 were analyzed. Fertility data were based on the report of full birth history from women of reproductive age. The Revised Bongaarts framework was used to estimate PDs and fertility levels. The contribution of each PDs to the observed changes in fertility levels was quantified using Das Gupta's five- factor decomposition method. The Total fertility rate (TFR) in 2003 and 2008 across the zones are South-South (5.04 vs 4.36), South-West (4.88 vs 4.26), North West (7.25 vs 6.85), North East (6.87 vs 6.54), North Central (5.72 vs 5.48), South East (5.06 vs 4.86), Nigeria (6.00 vs 5.59). Across the zones, there was a change in the fertility inhibiting effect of Contraception (Cc) between 2003 and 2018. The fertility inhibiting effect of Postpartum Infecundability (Ci) and Abortion was the highest and smallest respectively across the zones. Delayed sexual exposure (Cm) and contraceptive use (Cc) contributed the most to the change across the regions. The percentage contribution of Cm in South-South, South West, and South East was 87.04%, 52.89%, and 172.85% respectively. Furthermore, most of the fertility change observed in North Central was attributable to Cc. Abortion index was not an important inhibiting factor of fertility in Nigeria. Delayed sexual exposure and contraceptive use accounted for the largest change observed in fertility levels across the six geo-political zones in Nigeria between 2003 and 2018. Strategies that promote delayed sexual exposure, contraceptive use and breast feeding practices will enhance fertility transition in Nigeria.
Subject(s)
Birth Rate , Fertility , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , Nigeria , Health Surveys , Contraceptive Agents , Developing Countries , Population DynamicsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Evidence for the impact of organized stroke multidisciplinary teams (MDTs) on outcomes in Africa is sparse. AIM: To compare stroke outcomes, before and after the establishment (September 16, 2016) of a pioneer MDT at a tertiary hospital in southern Nigeria. METHODS: Using a retrospective, observational study design, the in-patient record of all stroke patients admitted between September 2014 to September 2018 was retrieved and rigorously reviewed. 155 patients seen 2 years before the MDT were compared with 169 stroke patients seen 2 years after the MDT. Stroke severity at admission and functioning at discharge were assessed using the Stroke Levity Scale (SLS) and the modified Rankin scale (mRS). RESULTS: Mean ages (in years) were 60 pre-MDT vs 59.57 post MDT (p = 0.754). There were more males, 51% pre-MDT vs 54.2% post MDT (p = 0.565). SLS and mRS were not significantly different; severe SLS and mRS pre-MDT, 52.9% vs post-MDT, 49.4% (p = 0.727) and pre-MDT 19.4% vs post-MDT 19.5% (p = 0.685) respectively. More post-MDT patients were discharged alive, pre-MDT,56.8% vs 79.2% post MDT (p < 0.001); had swallow tests, pre-MDT 9.23% vs post-MDT 33.5% (p < 0.001); on secondary prevention, pre-MDT 67.7% vs post-MDT 78.9% (p = 0.023); had more clinic visits, pre-MDT,0.7% vs post-MDT 38.3% (p < 0.001). MDT was independently associated with lower in-hospital mortality on multivariable regression, adjusted odds ratio (OR) (95% Confidence interval CI) 0.17 (0.09-0.32). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that an organized MDT may improve acute outcomes and reduce mortality in resource constrained settings where there may be no stroke units. These findings need further prospective validation.
Subject(s)
Resource-Limited Settings , Stroke , Male , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Tertiary Care Centers , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/therapy , Nigeria/epidemiology , Patient Care TeamABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To assess the knowledge of community dwelling adults on stroke risk and their willingness to use mobile health (mHealth) technology in assessing their stroke risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted among adults (≥18 years old) using survey questionnaires designed by neurologists and health promotion experts and administered by trained study staff. Logistic regression models were used to assess factors associated with receptivity toward knowing individual stroke risk score and willingness to use a mobile application (App) to assess stroke risk. RESULTS: The survey was administered to 486 participants in Nigeria, with a mean age of 47.4 ± 15.5 years, comprising 53.5% females. Up to 84% of participants wanted to know their risk for developing stroke but only 29.6% of respondents had ever previously had their stroke risk assessed. Factors associated with willingness to know stroke risk were age [aOR (95% CI): 0.97 (0.95 - 0.99)], and Hausa tribe [16.68 (2.16 - 128.92)]. Up to 66% of participants wanted to know their immediate risk of stroke, compared with 6.6% and 2.1% who wanted to know their 5-year or 10-year future stroke risks respectively. Regarding locations, participants preferred stroke risk assessment to be performed at a health facility, at home by health professional, on their own using mHealth (stroke risk calculator application), or at communal gatherings (decreasing order). About 70% specifically wished to learn about their stroke risk via an mHealth application. CONCLUSIONS: Community dwelling Nigerians wanted to know their immediate risk of stroke using digital platforms, such as a mobile phone stroke risk calculator application. Clinical trials are needed to assess the effectiveness of such a strategy for primary prevention of stroke in sub-Saharan African communities.
Subject(s)
Stroke , Telemedicine , Adult , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Adolescent , Male , Cross-Sectional Studies , Nigeria/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/prevention & controlABSTRACT
In this article, we derive and compare methods to derive P-values and sets of confidence intervals with strong control of the family-wise error rates and coverage for estimates of treatment effects in cluster randomized trials with multiple outcomes. There are few methods for P-value corrections and deriving confidence intervals, limiting their application in this setting. We discuss the methods of Bonferroni, Holm, and Romano and Wolf and adapt them to cluster randomized trial inference using permutation-based methods with different test statistics. We develop a novel search procedure for confidence set limits using permutation tests to produce a set of confidence intervals under each method of correction. We conduct a simulation-based study to compare family-wise error rates, coverage of confidence sets, and the efficiency of each procedure in comparison to no correction using both model-based standard errors and permutation tests. We show that the Romano-Wolf type procedure has nominal error rates and coverage under non-independent correlation structures and is more efficient than the other methods in a simulation-based study. We also compare results from the analysis of a real-world trial.
Subject(s)
Confidence Intervals , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Computer Simulation , Cluster AnalysisABSTRACT
Background Baseline stroke severity is probably partly responsible for poor stroke outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa. However, there is a paucity of information on determinants of stroke severity among indigenous Africans. We sought to identify the factors associated with stroke severity among West Africans in the SIREN (Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Networks) study. Methods and Results Stroke was diagnosed clinically and confirmed with brain neuroimaging. Severe stroke was defined as a Stroke Levity Scale score of ≤5. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed to identify factors associated with stroke severity at 95% CI and a nominal cutoff of 5% type 1 error. A total of 3660 stroke cases were included. Overall, 50.7%% had severe stroke, including 47.6% of all ischemic strokes and 56.1% of intracerebral hemorrhage. Factors independently associated with severe stroke were meat consumption (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.97 [95% CI, 1.43-2.73]), low vegetable consumption (aOR, 2.45 [95% CI, 1.93-3.12]), and lesion volume, with an aOR of 1.67 (95% CI, 1.03-2.72) for lesion volume of 10 to 30 cm3 and aOR of 3.88 (95% CI, 1.93-7.81) for lesion volume >30 cm3. Severe ischemic stroke was independently associated with total anterior circulation infarction (aOR, 3.1 [95% CI, 1.5-6.9]), posterior circulation infarction (aOR, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.1-4.2]), and partial anterior circulation infarction (aOR, 2.0 [95% CI, 1.2-3.3]) compared with lacunar stroke. Increasing age (aOR, 2.6 [95% CI, 1.3-5.2]) and lesion volume >30 cm3 (aOR, 6.2 [95% CI, 2.0-19.3]) were independently associated with severe intracerebral hemorrhage. Conclusions Severe stroke is common among indigenous West Africans, where modifiable dietary factors are independently associated with it. These factors could be targeted to reduce the burden of severe stroke.