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1.
J Rheumatol ; 2024 Aug 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39089843

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the association between proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use and the incidence of intestinal Behçet's disease (BD) in patients with BD. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at the University of Tokyo Hospital, including BD patients diagnosed between April 2005 and November 2023. Cox models and Kaplan-Meier analyses were utilized to evaluate hazard ratios (HRs) and cumulative incidence of intestinal BD, respectively. Secondary analyses were performed to assess the duration and dose-response relationship of PPI use. RESULTS: Among 194 BD patients, 25.3% developed intestinal BD during a mean followup of 12 years. PPI users exhibited a significantly higher incidence of intestinal BD compared to non-users (adjusted HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.38-4.47, P = 0.0024), with a confirmed duration/dose-dependent relationship. The cumulative incidence of intestinal BD was markedly elevated in PPI users (Log rank P < 0.001). The result was similar to that in the Propensity score-matched cohort. CONCLUSION: The study demonstrates a significant association between PPI use and increased incidence of intestinal BD in BD patients. Caution in prescribing PPIs for BD patients is warranted due to the potential risk of severe complications associated with intestinal BD.

2.
Photodiagnosis Photodyn Ther ; 48: 104268, 2024 Jul 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38971526

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The diagnostic accuracy for cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is inadequate, necessitating the exploration of novel diagnostic approaches. Protoporphyrin IX (Pp IX), a metabolic product of 5-aminolevulinic acid (5-ALA), emits red fluorescence upon blue light exposure. Because it accumulates selectively in cancer cells, photodynamic diagnosis using 5-ALA (5-ALA-PDD) has been integrated into clinical practice for diverse cancer types. Nevertheless, there is currently no device capable of capturing Pp IX-derived fluorescence for real-time 5-ALA-PDD within the biliary tract, largely due to challenges in device miniaturization. METHODS: To investigate the feasibility of real-time 5ALA-PDD in CCA, we developed two essential components of the cholangioscopy system: a small-diameter flexible camera and a light guide for emitting blue light. We evaluated the detectability of Pp IX fluorescence using these devices in experimental gels and animal models. RESULTS: Our camera and light guide were smoothly inserted into the lumen of existing cholangioscopes. Incorporating a long-pass filter at the camera tip enabled efficient detection of red fluorescence without significantly impacting white-light observation. The integration of these devices facilitated clear visualization of red fluorescence from gels containing Pp IX at concentrations of 5 µM or higher. Additionally, when observing subcutaneous human CCA tumor models in nude mice treated with 5-ALA, we successfully demonstrated distinct red fluorescence from Pp IX accumulation in tumors compared to peritumoral subcutaneous areas. CONCLUSION: The integration of our device combination holds promise for real-time 5-ALA-PDD in human CCA, potentially enhancing the diagnostic accuracy for this complex condition.

3.
Cancer Sci ; 2024 Jul 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39031976

ABSTRACT

Gastric mucins serve as a protective barrier on the stomach's surface, protecting from external stimuli including gastric acid and gut microbiota. Their composition typically changes in response to the metaplastic sequence triggered by Helicobacter pylori infection. This alteration in gastric mucins is also observed in cases of gastric cancer, although the precise connection between mucin expressions and gastric carcinogenesis remains uncertain. This review first introduces the relationship between mucin expressions and gastric metaplasia or cancer observed in humans and mice. Additionally, we discuss potential pathogenic mechanisms of how aberrant mucins and their glycans affect gastric carcinogenesis. Finally, we summarize challenges to target tumor-specific glycans by utilizing lectin-drug conjugates that can bind to specific glycans. Understanding the correlation and mechanism between these mucin expressions and gastric carcinogenesis could pave the way for new strategies in gastric cancer treatment.

4.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38857740
5.
Clin Pract ; 14(3): 779-788, 2024 May 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38804394

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies demonstrate an association between metabolic factors and Helicobacter pylori-related gastric cancer. However, the association of gastric atrophy or intestinal metaplasia (IM) with these factors remains unknown. METHODS: Data on 1603 Helicobacter pylori-positive patients who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy between 2001 and 2021 were evaluated. The outcome measures were endoscopic atrophy, IM grade, and the incidence of endoscopically diagnosed and pathologically confirmed gastric neoplasms. Clinical factors associated with these findings were also determined. RESULTS: Advanced age; successful Helicobacter pylori eradication; and comorbidities including diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, dyslipidemia, and fib4 index were significantly associated with endoscopic gastric atrophy grade. Male sex; advanced age; and comorbidities including DM, hypertension, dyslipidemia, hyperuricemia, fatty liver, aortic calcification, and fib4 index were also significantly associated with endoscopic IM grade, whereas advanced age, successful Helicobacter pylori eradication, DM, fatty liver, and fib4 index were significantly associated with the incidence of gastric neoplasms. CONCLUSION: Several metabolic disorders, including DM, hypertension, dyslipidemia, hyperuricemia, and fatty liver disease, are risk factors for advanced-grade gastric atrophy, intestinal metaplasia, and gastric neoplasms. Risk stratification according to these factors, particularly those with metabolic disorders, would affect EGD surveillance for Helicobacter pylori-positive patients.

6.
Gastroenterology ; 167(3): 505-521.e19, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38583723

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Gastric cancer is often accompanied by a loss of mucin 6 (MUC6), but its pathogenic role in gastric carcinogenesis remains unclear. METHODS: Muc6 knockout (Muc6-/-) mice and Muc6-dsRED mice were newly generated. Tff1Cre, Golph3-/-, R26-Golgi-mCherry, Hes1flox/flox, Cosmcflox/flox, and A4gnt-/- mice were also used. Histology, DNA and RNA, proteins, and sugar chains were analyzed by whole-exon DNA sequence, RNA sequence, immunohistochemistry, lectin-binding assays, and liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry analysis. Gastric organoids and cell lines were used for in vitro assays and xenograft experiments. RESULTS: Deletion of Muc6 in mice spontaneously causes pan-gastritis and invasive gastric cancers. Muc6-deficient tumor growth was dependent on mitogen-activated protein kinase activation, mediated by Golgi stress-induced up-regulation of Golgi phosphoprotein 3. Glycomic profiling revealed aberrant expression of mannose-rich N-linked glycans in gastric tumors, detected with banana lectin in association with lack of MUC6 expression. We identified a precursor of clusterin as a binding partner of mannose glycans. Mitogen-activated protein kinase activation, Golgi stress responses, and aberrant mannose expression are found in separate Cosmc- and A4gnt-deficient mouse models that lack normal O-glycosylation. Banana lectin-drug conjugates proved an effective treatment for mannose-rich murine and human gastric cancer. CONCLUSIONS: We propose that Golgi stress responses and aberrant glycans are important drivers of and promising new therapeutic targets for gastric cancer.


Subject(s)
Mice, Knockout , Mucin-6 , Stomach Neoplasms , Animals , Stomach Neoplasms/metabolism , Stomach Neoplasms/pathology , Stomach Neoplasms/genetics , Glycosylation , Humans , Mucin-6/metabolism , Mucin-6/genetics , Mice , Cell Line, Tumor , Carcinogenesis/metabolism , Carcinogenesis/genetics , Gastric Mucosa/metabolism , Gastric Mucosa/pathology , Trefoil Factor-1/metabolism , Trefoil Factor-1/genetics , Organoids/metabolism , Golgi Apparatus/metabolism , Gastric Mucins/metabolism , Disease Models, Animal
8.
Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 22(6): 1217-1225.e6, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38354970

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Potassium-competitive acid blockers (PCABs) have been increasingly used to treat upper gastrointestinal disorders, replacing proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). Whereas PPIs are associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer (GC) after Helicobacter pylori (Hp) eradication, it is uncertain whether PCABs carry the same risk. METHODS: Using a population-based claims database in Japan, we identified patients who were prescribed a clarithromycin-based first regimen of Hp eradication between 2015 and 2018. Patients who failed this regimen and those diagnosed with GC before or within 1 year after Hp eradication were excluded. We compared GC incidence between PCAB users and histamine type-2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) users, matching them on the basis of propensity scores calculated with considerations for age, sex, smoking, alcohol consumption, comorbidities, and co-administered medications. PCABs included only vonoprazan in this study. RESULTS: Among 54,055 patients, 568 (1.05%) developed GC during the follow-up period (mean, 3.65 years). The cumulative incidence of GC was 1.64% at 3 years, 2.02% at 4 years, and 2.36% at 5 years in PCAB users and 0.71% at 3 years, 1.04% at 4 years, and 1.22% at 5 years in H2RA users. The use of PCABs was associated with a higher GC risk (matched hazard ratio, 1.92; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-3.25; P = .016). Longer PCAB use and high-dose PCAB use were significantly associated with higher incidence of GC. Sensitivity analyses showed the risk of GC incidence among PCAB users was comparable with that of PPI users. CONCLUSIONS: The use of PCABs was associated with an increased risk of GC among Hp-eradicated patients, with duration/dose response effects.


Subject(s)
Helicobacter Infections , Proton Pump Inhibitors , Pyrroles , Stomach Neoplasms , Sulfonamides , Humans , Male , Female , Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology , Helicobacter Infections/complications , Middle Aged , Japan/epidemiology , Sulfonamides/adverse effects , Sulfonamides/therapeutic use , Aged , Incidence , Pyrroles/adverse effects , Pyrroles/therapeutic use , Proton Pump Inhibitors/adverse effects , Proton Pump Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Helicobacter pylori , Histamine H2 Antagonists/adverse effects , Histamine H2 Antagonists/therapeutic use , Histamine H2 Antagonists/administration & dosage , Retrospective Studies , Adult , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Anti-Bacterial Agents/adverse effects , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use
9.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 39(4): 708-715, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38185774

ABSTRACT

AIM: Behçet's disease (BD) can involve any gastrointestinal (GI) tract site. We analyzed the characteristics, risk factors, and treatment responses to upper GI (UGI) involvement in patients with BD. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed UGI findings in 101 patients with BD who underwent endoscopy between April 2005 and December 2022 at the University of Tokyo Hospital. The patients were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of UGI findings. Patient backgrounds, clinical symptoms, colonoscopy (CS) findings, and blood test findings were compared between the groups. RESULTS: In total, 18.8% (19/101) of the patients had UGI lesions. The prevalence rates in the esophagus, stomach, and duodenum were 6.9%, 6.9%, and 8.9%, respectively. Of these 19 patients, BD treatment were intensified in 10 (52.6%) patients after esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD), and all showed improvement in symptoms or endoscopic findings. In the multivariate analysis, symptoms (OR: 37.1, P < 0.001), CRP > 1 mg/dL (OR: 11.0, P = 0.01), and CS findings (OR: 5.16, P = 0.04) were independent predictors of UGI involvement in BD patients. The prediction model for UGI involvement using these three factors was highly accurate, with an AUC of 0.899 on the ROC curve. In the subgroup analysis of intestinal BD, symptoms (OR: 12.8, P = 0.01) and ESR > 20 mm/h (OR: 11.5, P = 0.007) were independent predictors. CONCLUSIONS: EGD should be conducted in BD patients with high CRP, GI symptoms, and lower GI involvement, which leads to better management of BD in terms of improving symptoms and endoscopic findings.


Subject(s)
Behcet Syndrome , Gastrointestinal Diseases , Humans , Behcet Syndrome/complications , Behcet Syndrome/diagnosis , Behcet Syndrome/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Japan/epidemiology , Gastrointestinal Diseases/epidemiology , Gastrointestinal Diseases/etiology , Gastrointestinal Diseases/diagnosis , Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal
10.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 39(1): 157-164, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37830487

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Convolutional neural network (CNN) systems that automatically detect abnormalities from small-bowel capsule endoscopy (SBCE) images are still experimental, and no studies have directly compared the clinical usefulness of different systems. We compared endoscopist readings using an existing and a novel CNN system in a real-world SBCE setting. METHODS: Thirty-six complete SBCE videos, including 43 abnormal lesions (18 mucosal breaks, 8 angioectasia, and 17 protruding lesions), were retrospectively prepared. Three reading processes were compared: (A) endoscopist readings without CNN screening, (B) endoscopist readings after an existing CNN screening, and (C) endoscopist readings after a novel CNN screening. RESULTS: The mean number of small-bowel images was 14 747 per patient. Among these images, existing and novel CNN systems automatically captured 24.3% and 9.4% of the images, respectively. In this process, both systems extracted all 43 abnormal lesions. Next, we focused on the clinical usefulness. The detection rates of abnormalities by trainee endoscopists were not significantly different across the three processes: A, 77%; B, 67%; and C, 79%. The mean reading time of the trainees was the shortest during process C (10.1 min per patient), followed by processes B (23.1 min per patient) and A (33.6 min per patient). The mean psychological stress score while reading videos (scale, 1-5) was the lowest in process C (1.8) but was not significantly different between processes B (2.8) and A (3.2). CONCLUSIONS: Our novel CNN system significantly reduced endoscopist reading time and psychological stress while maintaining the detectability of abnormalities. CNN performance directly affects clinical utility and should be carefully assessed.


Subject(s)
Capsule Endoscopy , Deep Learning , Humans , Capsule Endoscopy/methods , Retrospective Studies , Intestine, Small/diagnostic imaging , Intestine, Small/pathology , Neural Networks, Computer
11.
Digestion ; 104(5): 400-408, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37413970

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Colonic diverticular bleeding is the major cause of lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Hypertension is a major risk factor for diverticular rebleeding. Direct evidence of an association between actual 24-h blood pressure (BP) and rebleeding is lacking. Therefore, we analyzed the association between 24-h BP and diverticular rebleeding. METHODS: We performed a prospective observational cohort trial involving hospitalized patients with colonic diverticular bleeding. We performed 24-h BP measurements (ambulatory BP monitoring [ABPM]) in the patients. The primary outcome was diverticular rebleeding. We evaluated the 24-h BP difference and the morning and pre-awaking BP surge between rebleeding and non-rebleeding patients. Morning BP surge was defined as early-morning systolic BP minus the lowest night systolic BP >45 mm Hg (highest quartile of morning BP surge). The pre-awaking BP surge was defined as the difference between morning BP and pre-awaking BP. RESULTS: Of 47 patients, 17 were excluded, leaving 30 who underwent ABPM. Of the 30 patients, 4 (13.33%) had rebleeding. The mean 24-h systolic and diastolic BP were 125.05 and 76.19 mm Hg in rebleeding patients and 129.98 and 81.77 mm Hg in non-rebleeding patients, respectively. Systolic BP at 5:00 (difference -23.53 mm Hg, p = 0.031) and 11:30 (difference -31.48 mm Hg, p = 0.006) was significantly lower in rebleeding patients than in non-rebleeding patients. Diastolic BP at 2:30 (difference -17.75 mm Hg, p = 0.023) and 5:00 (difference -16.12 mm Hg, p = 0.043) was significantly lower in rebleeding patients than in non-rebleeding patients. A morning surge was observed in one rebleeding patient and no non-rebleeding patients. The pre-awaking surge was significantly higher in rebleeding patients (28.44 mm Hg) than in non-rebleeding patients (9.30 mm Hg) (p = 0.015). CONCLUSION: Lower BP in the early-morning and a higher pre-awaking surge were risk factors for diverticular rebleeding. A 24-h ABPM can identify these BP findings and reduce the risk of rebleeding by enabling interventions in patients with diverticular bleeding.


Subject(s)
Diverticular Diseases , Hypertension , Humans , Blood Pressure/physiology , Prospective Studies , Circadian Rhythm , Hypertension/complications
12.
Cancer Med ; 12(16): 16876-16880, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37421306

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have revealed an association between probiotic use and effectiveness of immune checkpoint inhibitors in renal and lung cancers. However, little is known regarding other cancers, including gastrointestinal cancer. METHODS: To address this issue, we conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study and the duration of nivolumab treatment for various cancers was compared between probiotic users and non-users. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: In total, 488 patients who received nivolumab therapy were included. In all cancers, no significant differences in treatment duration of nivolumab were observed between probiotic users and non-users (median 62.0 vs. 56.0, hazard ratio = 1.02, p = 0.825), whereas probiotic use, compared with non-use, in patients with gastric cancer was significantly associated with a longer duration of nivolumab treatment (55.0 vs. 31.0 days, hazard ratio = 0.69, p = 0.039). In conclusion, probiotics may improve the response to nivolumab and potentially prolong progression-free survival in patients with gastric cancer.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological , Lung Neoplasms , Stomach Neoplasms , Humans , Nivolumab/therapeutic use , Stomach Neoplasms/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/adverse effects , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy
16.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 38(2): 259-268, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36302073

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The incidence of early-onset colorectal neoplasms has been increasing in both Western and Eastern countries. However, the risks and preventive factors for these neoplasms in Eastern countries remain unclear. METHODS: The data of 5580 patients who underwent colonoscopy between 2016 and 2021 were retrospectively evaluated. The primary outcome was advanced colorectal neoplasm (ACRN), defined as advanced adenomas (adenoma ≥10 mm, or with high-grade dysplasia or villous component) or adenocarcinoma. The clinical factors associated with ACRNs were determined for each age category (≤50 and >50 years), and the differences between the two categories were assessed. Odds ratios adjusted for age and sex were calculated. RESULTS: Among 1001 patients (age ≤50 years), ACRN was found in 94 (9.4%). In this younger category, male sex (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]:2.34, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.51-3.63) and a family history of colorectal cancer (aOR:2.14, 95% CI:1.17-3.89) were significantly associated with higher odds of developing ACRNs. ACRNs were detected in 726 (15.9%) of 4579 patients (age >50 years). In the older age category, smoking (aOR:1.32, 95% CI:1.08-1.63) was significantly associated with a higher risk of ACRNs. Exercise of >3.5 metabolic equivalent of task (METs) (aOR,0.80; 95% CI:0.67-0.96) was significantly associated with a lower risk of ACRNs. CONCLUSION: The development of early-onset ACRNs was primarily associated with congenital factors, whereas that of late-onset ACRNs was associated with acquired ones. Colonoscopy is recommended for young male patients, particularly for those with a family history of colorectal cancer.


Subject(s)
Adenoma , Colorectal Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies , Colonoscopy/adverse effects , Adenoma/pathology , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology
17.
Gastrointest Endosc ; 96(1): 166, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35715119
18.
Biomedicines ; 10(4)2022 Apr 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35453635

ABSTRACT

Most gastric cancers develop in patients with chronic gastritis. Chronic gastritis can be classified into two major subtypes: Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori)-induced gastritis and autoimmune gastritis (AIG). Whereas H. pylori-related gastric cancers are more common and have been extensively investigated, the clinicopathological features of gastric cancer with autoimmune gastritis are unclear. Patients diagnosed with gastric cancer and hospitalized in the University Tokyo Hospital from 1998 to 2017 were enrolled. Diagnosis of autoimmune gastritis was based on positivity for serum anti-parietal cell antibody (APCA). We evaluated mucin expression and immune cell infiltration by immunohistochemical staining for MUC5AC, MUC6, PD-L1, CD3, CD11, Foxp3, and PD1. We also examined the presence of bacterial taxa that are reportedly enriched in AIG. Survival analyses of recurrence and 5-year mortality were also performed. In total, 261 patients (76 APCA-positive and 185 APCA-negative) were analyzed. Immunohistochemical staining in the matched cohort showed that AIG-related gastric cancer had higher MUC5AC expression (p = 0.0007) and MUC6 expression (p = 0.0007). Greater infiltration of CD3-positive (p = 0.001), Foxp3-positive (p < 0.001), and PD1-positive cells (p = 0.001); lesser infiltration of CD11b-positive (p = 0.005) cells; and a higher prevalence of Bacillus cereus (p = 0.006) were found in AIG-related gastric cancer patients. The cumulative incidences of gastric cancer recurrence were 2.99% at 2 years, 15.68% at 6 years, and 18.81% at 10 years in APCA-positive patients; they were 12.79% at 2 years, 21.35% at 6 years, and 31.85% at 10 years in APCA-negative patients. The cumulative incidences of mortality were 0% at 3 years and 0% at 5 years in APCA-positive patients; they were 1.52% at 3 years and 2.56% at 5 years in APCA-negative patients. We identified molecular differences between AIG and non-AIG gastric cancer. Differences in T-cell populations and the gastric microbiota may contribute to the pathogenesis of gastric cancers and potentially affect the response to immunotherapy.

19.
Dig Dis Sci ; 67(11): 5227-5238, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35230578

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recent studies have suggested that right- and left-sided colorectal cancers (CRCs) are molecularly distinct. In this study, we examined the association between the risk of right- and left-sided CRC and drug use to estimate their chemopreventive effects METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted using the data of hospitalized patients between 2014 and 2019 from nine hospital databases. The primary outcomes were right- and left-sided CRC. We evaluated the association of CRCs with drug use and clinical factors. Odds ratios adjusted for age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index scores, and smoking status were calculated. We also compared the transcriptional profiling in precancerous lesions, including sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) RESULTS: A total of 307,938 patients, including 2745 with right-sided CRC and 4819 with left-sided CRC, were analyzed. The use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), aspirin, cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors, and steroids was associated with a lower risk of both right- and left-sided CRCs. In contrast, statins, other lipid-lowering agents, and metformin were associated with a lower risk of left-sided CRC. Transcriptomic analysis showed that SSL, which predominantly develops in the right colon, was associated with a lower expression of lipid metabolism-related genes. CONCLUSIONS: Targeting lipid metabolism may be useful for chemoprevention of left-sided CRCs, while development of right-sided CRCs may be independent of this pathway.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors , Metformin , Humans , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/therapeutic use , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Chemoprevention , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Colorectal Neoplasms/drug therapy , Cyclooxygenase 2 Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Lipids , Retrospective Studies
20.
Gastrointest Endosc ; 95(5): 864-872, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34998795

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Accurate risk stratification for gastric cancer is required for optimal endoscopic surveillance in patients with chronic gastritis. We aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model that incorporates endoscopic and histologic findings for an individualized prediction of gastric cancer incidence. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 1099 patients with chronic gastritis who underwent EGD and biopsy sampling of the gastric mucosa. Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets (4:1). We constructed a conventional Cox proportional hazard model and 3 ML models. Baseline characteristics, endoscopic atrophy, and Operative Link on Gastritis-Intestinal Metaplasia Assessment (OLGIM)/Operative Link on Gastritis Assessment (OLGA) stage at initial EGD were comprehensively assessed. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel's c-index. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 5.63 years, 94 patients (8.55%) developed gastric cancer. The gradient-boosting decision tree (GBDT) model achieved the best performance (c-index from the test set, .84) and showed high discriminative ability in stratifying the test set into 3 risk categories (P < .001). Age, OLGIM/OLGA stage, endoscopic atrophy, and history of malignant tumors other than gastric cancer were important predictors of gastric cancer incidence in the GBDT model. Furthermore, the proposed GBDT model enabled the generation of a personalized cumulative incidence prediction curve for each patient. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel ML model that incorporates endoscopic and histologic findings at initial EGD for personalized risk prediction of gastric cancer. This model may lead to the development of effective and personalized follow-up strategies after initial EGD.


Subject(s)
Gastritis, Atrophic , Gastritis , Helicobacter Infections , Helicobacter pylori , Stomach Neoplasms , Atrophy/pathology , Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal/adverse effects , Gastric Mucosa/diagnostic imaging , Gastric Mucosa/pathology , Gastritis/pathology , Gastritis, Atrophic/pathology , Helicobacter Infections/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Machine Learning , Metaplasia/pathology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Stomach Neoplasms/diagnosis , Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology , Stomach Neoplasms/etiology
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