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BACKGROUND AND AIM: To use a risk scale or predictive model outside the population of origin, it is necessary to evaluate the predictive indicators through external validation. The aim was to validate the FAscore, originally constructed in hypertensive patients in primary care in the Valencian Region, in an external cohort with hypertension in primary care in the Basque Country. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was designed to perform an external validation of the FAscore app in patients affiliated with 26 health centers in the municipality of Bilbao. The area under the ROC curve and predictive indicators were calculated with their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Thirty-six thousand eight hundred nine patients were included: 53.6% (n=19,719) were women, the mean age was 75.1 years, 41.8% (n=15,381). Over the four-year follow-up period, 1420 patients were diagnosed with AF (cumulative incidence 3.9%). The median risk estimated by FAscore was 4.5%, and the 5th, 25th, 75th, and 95th percentiles were 1.0%, 2.5%, 6.1%, and 14.8%, respectively. The ROC curve for the risk estimated by FAscore and the cases of atrial fibrillation observed was AUC 0.715 (95% CI 0.703-0.727). The 5% risk cutoff provides a sensitivity of 70.8%, specificity of 61.0%, positive predictive value of 6.8%, negative predictive value of 98.1%, and positive and negative likelihood ratios of 1.82 and 0.48, respectively. CONCLUSION: This study reports on the external validation of the atrial fibrillation risk scale in hypertensive patients, which shows an acceptable predictive capacity. The best-performing risk cutoff, providing good predictive indicators, can be set at 5%.
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OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess premature mortality due to Diabetes in small areas of Spain between 2016 and 2020, and its relationship with socioeconomic level and the immediate cause of death. As a secondary objective, we evaluated the effect of the Covid 19 pandemic. METHODS: This was an ecological study of premature mortality due to Diabetes from 2016 to 2020, with a focus on small areas. All deaths in people under 75 years of age due to Diabetes as the underlying cause were included RESULTS: The final sample comprised 7382 premature deaths in 5967 census tracts. Women living in census tracts with an high level of deprivation(RR=2.40) were at a significantly higher risk. Mortality from Diabetes increased with deprivation, especially people aged 0-54(RR=2.40). People with an immediate cause of death related to a circulatory disease, living in census tracts with an high level of deprivation(RR=3.86) was associated with a significantly greater risk of death with underlying Diabetes. When a disease of the circulatory system was recorded as the immediate cause of death, being 65-74 years (RR=71.01) was associated with a significantly higher risk of premature mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Living in geographic areas with higher levels of socioeconomic deprivation is associated with a higher risk of premature death from Diabetes in Spain. This relationship has a greater impact on women, people under 54 years, and people at risk of death caused directly by diseases of the circulatory system. Premature mortality due to diabetes saw a modest increase in 2020.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cause of Death , Diabetes Mellitus , Mortality, Premature , Socioeconomic Factors , Humans , Spain/epidemiology , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Mortality, Premature/trends , Male , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus/mortality , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Risk Factors , Infant , Child , Infant, Newborn , Social Determinants of Health , Risk Assessment , Time Factors , SARS-CoV-2 , Small-Area AnalysisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases are becoming more frequent throughout the world. Adherence to both pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatment, as well as lifestyles, is important for good management and control of the disease. This study aims to explore the opinions and perceptions of patients with ischemic heart disease on the difficulties associated with therapeutic adherence. METHODS: An interpretive phenomenological study was carried out using focus groups and one semi-structured interview. The MAXQDA qualitative data analysis program was used for inductive interpretation of the group discourses and interview. Data were coded, and these were grouped by categories and then consolidated under the main themes identified. RESULTS: Two in-person focus groups and one remote semi-structured interview were performed. Twelve participants (6 men and 6 women) from the Hospital de San Juan de Alicante participated, two of them being family companions . The main themes identified were aspects related to the individual, heart disease, drug treatment, and the perception of the health care system. CONCLUSIONS: Adhering to recommendations on healthy behaviors and taking prescribed medications for cardiovascular disease was important for most participants. However, they sometimes found polypharmacy difficult to manage, especially when they did not perceive the symptoms of their disease. Participants related the concept of fear to therapeutic adherence, believing that the latter increased with the former. The relationship with health professionals was described as optimal, but, nevertheless, the coordination of the health care system was seen as limited.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Male , Humans , Female , Focus Groups , Cardiovascular Diseases/drug therapy , Qualitative Research , Health Behavior , Health PersonnelABSTRACT
Background and Objectives: The purpose of this retrospective population-based cohort study was to analyse the association between attendance of physiotherapy with mortality in the Spanish general population and describe the profile of people who do not visit a physiotherapist in Spain. Material and Methods: The data sources were the 2011/2012 National Health Survey (ENSE11) and the national database of death in Spain, and the participants were all adult respondents in the ENSE11. Results: Of 20,397 people, 1101 (5.4%) visited the physiotherapist the previous year, and the cumulative incidence of total mortality was 5.4% (n = 1107) at a mean follow-up of 6.2 years. Visiting the physiotherapist was associated with lower all-cause mortality in the population residing in Spain, quantified at 30.1% [RR = 0.699; 95% CI (0.528-0.927); p = 0.013]. The factors associated with not visiting a physiotherapist were the following: rating one's health as good (9.8%; n = 1017; p < 0.001), not having any hospital admission in the previous year (9.6%; n = 1788; p < 0.001), not having visited the general practitioner in the previous month (9.6%; n = 1408; p < 0.001), and not having attended a day hospital in the previous year (9.7%; n = 1836; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Visiting a physiotherapist was associated with a lower mortality from all causes in the population living in Spain.