Tumour-selective activity of RAS-GTP inhibition in pancreatic cancer.

Broad-spectrum RAS inhibition has the potential to benefit roughly a quarter of human patients with cancer whose tumours are driven by RAS mutations1,2. RMC-7977 is a highly selective inhibitor of the active GTP-bound forms of KRAS, HRAS and NRAS, with affinity for both mutant and wild-type variants3. More than 90% of cases of human pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are driven by activating mutations in KRAS4. Here we assessed the therapeutic potential of RMC-7977 in a comprehensive range of PDAC models. We observed broad and pronounced anti-tumour activity across models following direct RAS inhibition at exposures that were well-tolerated in vivo. Pharmacological analyses revealed divergent responses to RMC-7977 in tumour versus normal tissues. Treated tumours exhibited waves of apoptosis along with sustained proliferative arrest, whereas normal tissues underwent only transient decreases in proliferation, with no evidence of apoptosis. In the autochthonous KPC mouse model, RMC-7977 treatment resulted in a profound extension of survival followed by on-treatment relapse. Analysis of relapsed tumours identified Myc copy number gain as a prevalent candidate resistance mechanism, which could be overcome by combinatorial TEAD inhibition in vitro. Together, these data establish a strong preclinical rationale for the use of broad-spectrum RAS-GTP inhibition in the setting of PDAC and identify a promising candidate combination therapeutic regimen to overcome monotherapy resistance.

Protein biomarkers and alternatively methylated cell-free DNA detect early stage pancreatic cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is commonly diagnosed at an advanced stage. Liquid biopsy approaches may facilitate detection of early stage PDAC when curative treatments can be employed. DESIGN: To assess circulating marker discrimination in training, testing and validation patient cohorts (total n=426 patients), plasma markers were measured among PDAC cases and patients with chronic pancreatitis, colorectal cancer (CRC), and healthy controls. Using CA19-9 as an anchor marker, measurements were made of two protein markers (TIMP1, LRG1) and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) pancreas-specific methylation at 9 loci encompassing 61 CpG sites. RESULTS: Comparative methylome analysis identified nine loci that were differentially methylated in exocrine pancreas DNA. In the training set (n=124 patients), cfDNA methylation markers distinguished PDAC from healthy and CRC controls. In the testing set of 86 early stage PDAC and 86 matched healthy controls, CA19-9 had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.94), which was increased by adding TIMP1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.06), LRG1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02) or exocrine pancreas-specific cfDNA methylation markers at nine loci (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02). In the validation set of 40 early stage PDAC and 40 matched healthy controls, a combined panel including CA19-9, TIMP1 and a 9-loci cfDNA methylation panel had greater discrimination (AUC 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.95) than CA19-9 alone (AUC 0.82; 95% CI 0.72 to 0.92). CONCLUSION: A combined panel of circulating markers including proteins and methylated cfDNA increased discrimination compared with CA19-9 alone for early stage PDAC.

Tumor-selective effects of active RAS inhibition in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Broad-spectrum RAS inhibition holds the potential to benefit roughly a quarter of human cancer patients whose tumors are driven by RAS mutations. However, the impact of inhibiting RAS functions in normal tissues is not known. RMC-7977 is a highly selective inhibitor of the active (GTP-bound) forms of KRAS, HRAS, and NRAS, with affinity for both mutant and wild type (WT) variants. As >90% of human pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) cases are driven by activating mutations in KRAS, we assessed the therapeutic potential of RMC-7977 in a comprehensive range of PDAC models, including human and murine cell lines, human patient-derived organoids, human PDAC explants, subcutaneous and orthotopic cell-line or patient derived xenografts, syngeneic allografts, and genetically engineered mouse models. We observed broad and pronounced anti-tumor activity across these models following direct RAS inhibition at doses and concentrations that were well-tolerated in vivo. Pharmacological analyses revealed divergent responses to RMC-7977 in tumor versus normal tissues. Treated tumors exhibited waves of apoptosis along with sustained proliferative arrest whereas normal tissues underwent only transient decreases in proliferation, with no evidence of apoptosis. Together, these data establish a strong preclinical rationale for the use of broad-spectrum RAS inhibition in the setting of PDAC.

A blood-based metabolomic signature predictive of risk for pancreatic cancer.

Emerging evidence implicates microbiome involvement in the development of pancreatic cancer (PaCa). Here, we investigate whether increases in circulating microbial-related metabolites associate with PaCa risk by applying metabolomics profiling to 172 sera collected within 5 years prior to PaCa diagnosis and 863 matched non-subject sera from participants in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) cohort. We develop a three-marker microbial-related metabolite panel to assess 5-year risk of PaCa. The addition of five non-microbial metabolites further improves 5-year risk prediction of PaCa. The combined metabolite panel complements CA19-9, and individuals with a combined metabolite panel + CA19-9 score in the top 2.5th percentile have absolute 5-year risk estimates of >13%. The risk prediction model based on circulating microbial and non-microbial metabolites provides a potential tool to identify individuals at high risk of PaCa that would benefit from surveillance and/or from potential cancer interception strategies.

Associations Between Patient Characteristics and Whipple Procedure Outcomes Before and After Implementation of an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery Protocol.

PURPOSE: The Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocol is a multimodal perioperative care bundle aimed to improve pancreatic surgery outcomes. This work evaluates whether a Whipple ERAS protocol can be safely implemented at a quaternary care center. We also aimed to assess if race and socioeconomic factors are associated with disparities in outcomes in patients undergoing a Whipple ERAS protocol. METHODS: A retrospective review identified demographic and clinical data for 458 patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomies (PDs) at a single institution from October 2017 to May 2022. Patients were split into two cohorts: pre-ERAS (treated before implementation) and ERAS (treated after). Outcomes included length of stay (LOS), 30-day readmission and mortality rates, and major complications. RESULTS: There were 213 pre-ERAS PD patients, and 245 were managed with an ERAS protocol. More ERAS patients had a BMI > 30 (15.5% vs. 8.0%; p = 0.01) and received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (15.5% vs. 4.2%; p < 0.001). ERAS patients had a higher rate of major complications (57.6% vs. 37.6%; p < 0.001). Medicaid patients did not have more complications or longer LOS compared to non-Medicaid patients. On univariate analysis, race/ethnicity or gender was not significantly associated with a higher rate of major complications or prolonged LOS. CONCLUSION: A Whipple ERAS protocol did not significantly change LOS, readmissions, or 30-day mortality. Rate of overall complications did not significantly change after implementation, but rate of major complications increased. These outcomes were not significantly impacted by race/ethnicity, gender, tumor staging, or insurance status.

Innovation in the Surgical Management of Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Same Operations, Narrower Indications, and an Individualized Approach to Decision-Making.

Historically, the management of pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCN) has been operative. Early intervention for premalignant lesions, including intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN), offers an opportunity to prevent pancreatic cancer-with potential decrement to patients' short-term and long-term health. The operations performed have remained fundamentally the same, with most patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy using oncologic principles. The role of parenchymal-sparing resection and total pancreatectomy remains controversial. We review innovations in the surgical management of PCN, focusing on the evolution of evidence-based guidelines, short-term and long-term outcomes, and individualized risk-benefit assessment.

Ras-dependent activation of BMAL2 regulates hypoxic metabolism in pancreatic cancer.

To identify novel drivers of malignancy in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), we employed regulatory network analysis, which calculates the activity of transcription factors and other regulatory proteins based on the integrated expression of their positive and negative target genes. We generated a regulatory network for the malignant epithelial cells of human PDAC using gene expression data from a set of 197 laser capture microdissected human PDAC samples and 45 low-grade precursors, for which we had matched histopathological, clinical, and epidemiological annotation. We then identified the most highly activated and repressed regulatory proteins (e.g. master regulators or MRs) associated with four malignancy phenotypes: precursors vs. PDAC (initiation), low-grade vs. high grade histopathology (progression), survival post resection, and association with KRAS activity. Integrating across these phenotypes, the top MR of PDAC malignancy was found to be BMAL2, a member of the PAS family of bHLH transcription factors. Although the canonical function of BMAL2 is linked to the circadian rhythm protein CLOCK, annotation of BMAL2 target genes highlighted a potential role in hypoxia response. We previously demonstrated that PDAC is hypovascularized and hypoperfused, and here show that PDAC from the genetically engineered KPC model exists in a state of extreme hypoxia, with a partial oxygen pressure of <1mmHg. Given the close homology of BMAL2 to HIF1ß (ARNT) and its potential to heterodimerize with HIF1A and HIF2A, we investigated whether BMAL2 plays a role in the hypoxic response of PDAC. Indeed, BMAL2 controlled numerous hypoxia response genes and could be inhibited following treatment with multiple RAF, MEK, and ERK inhibitors, validating its association with RAS activity. Knockout of BMAL2 in four human PDAC cell lines led to defects in growth and invasion in the setting of hypoxia. Strikingly, BMAL2 null cells failed to induce glycolysis upon exposure to severe hypoxia and this was associated with a loss of expression of the glycolytic enzyme LDHA. Moreover, HIF1A was no longer stabilized under hypoxia in BMAL2 knockout cells. By contrast, HIF2A was hyper-stabilized under hypoxia, indicating a dysregulation of hypoxia metabolism in response to BMAL2 loss. We conclude that BMAL2 is a master regulator of hypoxic metabolism in PDAC, serving as a molecular switch between the disparate metabolic roles of HIF1A- and HIF2A-dependent hypoxia responses.

Long-term follow-up experience with adjuvant therapy after irreversible electroporation of locally advanced pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Irreversible electroporation (IRE) expands the surgical options for patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. This study evaluated for differences in survival stratified by type of IRE and receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated by IRE (2012-2020) were retrospectively included. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared by type of IRE (in situ for local tumor control or IRE of potentially positive margins with resection) and by receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: Thirty-nine patients had IRE in situ, 61 had IRE for margin extension, and 19 received adjuvant chemotherapy. Most (97.00%) underwent induction chemotherapy. OS was 28.71 months (interquartile range [IQR] 19.17, 51.19) from diagnosis, with no difference by IRE type (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05 for margin extension [p = 0.85]) or adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.14 [p = 0.639]). RFS was 8.51 months (IQR 4.95, 20.17) with no difference by IRE type (HR 0.90 for margin extension [p = 0.694]) or adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.90 [p = 0.711]). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that adjuvant therapy may have limited benefit for patients treated with induction chemotherapy followed by local control with IRE for unresectable pancreatic cancer. Further study of the duration and timing of systemic therapy is warranted to maximize benefit and limit toxicity.

Socioeconomic Predictors of Access to Care for Patients with Operatively Managed Pancreatic Cancer in New York State.

PURPOSE: We evaluated how race and socioeconomic factors impact access to high-volume surgical centers, treatment initiation, and postoperative care for pancreatic cancer in a state with robust safety net insurance coverage and healthcare infrastructure. METHODS: The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System was analyzed. Patients with pancreatic cancer resected from 2007 to 2017 were identified by ICD and CPT codes. Primary outcomes included surgery at low-volume facilities (< 20 pancreatectomies/year), time to therapy initiation, and time to postoperative surveillance imaging (within 60-180 days after surgery). RESULTS: In total, 3312 patients underwent pancreatectomy across 124 facilities. Median age was 67 years (IQR 59, 75) and 55% of patients were male. Most (72.7%) had surgery at high-volume centers. On multivariable analysis, odds ratios for surgery at low-volume centers were increased for Black race (2.21 (95% CI 1.69-2.88)), Asian race (1.64 (95% CI 1.09-2.43)), Hispanic ethnicity (1.68 (95% CI 1.24-2.28)), Medicaid insurance (2.52 (95% CI 1.79-3.56)), no insurance (2.24 (95% CI 1.38-3.61)), lowest income quartile (3.31 (95% CI 2.14-5.32)), and rural zip code (2.49 (95% CI 1.69-3.65)). Patients treated at low-volume centers waited longer to initiate treatment (hazard ratio (HR) 0.91 (95% CI 0.81-1.01)). Black patients underwent the least surveillance imaging (50.4%; p < 0.0001), while Asian (HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.40-2.98)) and Hispanic patients (HR 1.36 (95% CI 1.00-1.84)) were more likely to have surveillance imaging. CONCLUSIONS: Race independently affected access to high-volume facilities and surveillance imaging. When considered in light of other accumulating evidence, future efforts might investigate the perceptions and logistical considerations noted by providers and patients alike to identify the etiology of these disparities and then institute corrective measures.

Prevalence and Risk Factors for Pancreatic Insufficiency After Partial Pancreatectomy.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to determine the rate, timing, and predictors of diabetes and exocrine pancreatic insufficiency after pancreatectomy in order to inform preoperative patient counseling and risk management strategies. METHODS: Using prescription claims as a surrogate for disease prevalence, IBM Watson Health MarketScan was queried for claims patterns pre- and post-pancreatectomy. Multivariable models explored associations between clinical characteristics and medication use within 2 years of surgery. RESULTS: In total, 18.96% of 2,848 pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) patients and 18.95% of 1,858 distal pancreatectomy (DP) patients had preoperative diabetic medication prescription claims. Fewer (6.6% and 3.88%, respectively) had pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy (PERT) claims. Diabetic medication claims increased to 28.69% after PD and 38.59% after DP [adjusted relative risk (aRR) = 1.36 (95% CI 1.27, 1.46)]. Other associated factors included age > 45, medical comorbidity, and obesity. The incidence of new diabetic medication claims among medication naïve patients was 13.78% for PD and 24.7% for DP (p < 0.001) with a median 4.7 and 4.9 months post-operatively. The prevalence of PERT claims was 55.97% after PD and 17.06% after DP [aRR = 0.32 (0.29, 0.36)]. The incidence of postoperative PERT claims 53.98% (PD) and 14.84% (DP) (p < 0.0001). The median time to new PERT claim was 3.0 (PD) and 3.2 (DP) months, respectively. Claims for both diabetic medications and PERT rose sharply after surgery and plateaued within 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: This study defines prevalence, timing, and predictors for post-pancreatectomy insufficiency to inform preoperative counseling, risk modification strategies, and interventions related to quality of life.

Perioperative and persistent opioid utilization following pancreatectomy in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Opioids are central to analgesia for pancreatic diseases. Individuals undergoing pancreatectomy have largely been excluded from studies of opioid use, because of malignancy or chronic use. Surgeons need to understand usage patterns, and practices that may incline patients toward persistent post-operative use. METHODS: A retrospective study using IBM Watson Health MarketScan database examined patterns of peri-pancreatectomy opioid use between 2009 and 2017. Patients were grouped by opioid use 12 months to 31 days prior to pancreatectomy and followed for persistent use (refills 90-180 days postoperatively). Morphine milligram equivalents (MME) were calculated. Multivariable models explored associations between clinical characteristics, perioperative use and persistent use. RESULTS: Opioids were used within the year prior to surgery by 35.6% of 8325 patients. The median MME for opioid naïve patients (400 mg) was a fraction of the 1800 mg prescribed to chronic opioid users for peri-operative analgesia. The rate of persistent opioid use was 15.1% among naïve, 27.2% among intermittent and 77.3% among chronic opioid users. Multivariable models demonstrated naïve and intermittent users who filled a prescription within 30 days prior to pancreatectomy, those who were prescribed total MME ≥1500 mg, and a ≥14 day supply were most at risk of persistent opioid use. Almost 23% of chronic users stopped using opioids post-operatively, suggesting surgery can provide relief. CONCLUSION: Preoperative and persistent opioid use after pancreatectomy is substantially greater than expected based on other operations. Providers may mitigate this by recognizing the issue, managing expectations, and altering the timing and quantities of opioids prescribed.

Future of immunotherapy in pancreas cancer and the trials, tribulations and successes thus far.

Pancreas ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a dismal prognosis with a 5-year survival rate of 10%. Currently, chemotherapy remains the standard of care for systemic treatment. Immunotherapy with checkpoint inhibitors unfortunately has not been found to be effective in the treatment of PDAC to date, likely due to the highly desmoplastic and immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment (TME). Treatment targeting pathways against the immunosuppressive mechanisms of PDAC are of mounting interest to improve outcomes in PDAC. In this review, we discuss prior efforts and the current state of immunotherapy in PDAC. We will also review the emerging targets and treatments with significant clinical potential for the treatment of PDAC such as: CD40 pathway, the adenosine pathway, the CXCR4/CXCL12 axis, the CCR2/CCL2 axis, IDO pathway, and others.

Long-term quality of life and global health following pancreatic surgery for benign and malignant pathologies.

BACKGROUND: While the frequency of pancreatic operations are increasing, understanding quality of life is still insufficient. The aim was to evaluate global health and quality of life of long-term survivors from a range of pancreatic operations using internationally validated instruments. METHODS: Patients surviving longer than 5 years after pancreatic operations were surveyed using the European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Cancer-30 and Pancreatic Cancer-26 modules. Variables were analyzed according to demographic and clinical features. RESULTS: Eighty patients completed questionnaires. The median follow-up was 9.3 years from the time of operation. The mean scores of global health status/quality of life, physical function, role function, emotional function, cognitive function, and social functioning were 73.9, 83.7, 84.6, 81.1, 80.2, and 86.3, respectively. The participants' reported quality of life was comparable or better than the general United States population. The summary score, which was defined as weighted average of function and symptom scores (excluding global health status/quality of life and financial impact scores), showed significant differences according to the level of education (70.1 no college vs 85.2 college and 85.7 grad school, P = .049), operation type (79.9 pancreatoduodenectomy vs 91.1 total, P = .043), additional endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (77.3 vs 86.0, P = .029), and additional abdominal operations related to the primary operation (79.0 vs 86.6, P = .026). CONCLUSION: Long-term survivors of pancreatectomy had comparable or better global health status/quality of life, function scale, and lower symptom scores than the general population of the United States, though persistent gastrointestinal symptoms are common. These findings should help inform patients of the long-term consequences of pancreatectomy, so they can make better decisions especially when considering prophylactic operations.

Long term quality of life amongst pancreatectomy patients with diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatogenic diabetes is common after pancreatectomy, and the impact on quality of life (QOL) is poorly understood. The objective of this study was to investigate QOL between diabetic and non-diabetic patients at least five years after pancreatectomy. METHODS: Patients were recruited from a prospectively maintained institutional database. Participants were administered the Audit of Diabetes-Dependent Quality of Life (ADDQOL). Quality of life was compared between diabetics and non-diabetics using validated European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer questionnaires. RESULTS: 80 individuals completed surveys. 55% were female, 80% non-Hispanic white, 44% underwent Whipple, 48% were cystic neoplasms and 39% were adenocarcinoma. Diabetic patients (42.5%) reported comparable EORTC QLQ-C30 and Pan26 scores to non-diabetic patients. Pre-operative diabetic patients reported more dyspnea (p = 0.02) and greater pain (p = 0.02) than new-onset diabetics. Diabetic patients reported an overall ADDQOL quality of life score 'very good' (IQR: excellent, good) though felt life would be much better without diabetes (IQR: very much better, little better). While operation type was not influential, patients diagnosed with cystic neoplasms were almost twice as likely as those with other pathologies to report that life would be much better without diabetes (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: At a median of 9.3 years from pancreatic surgery, ADDQoL scores of patients were similar to cohorts of non-pancreatogenic diabetics in the general population. Patients without cancer were more likely to report that diabetes affected their overall QOL, regardless of operation. This study provides nuanced understanding of long-term QOL to improve the informed consent process and post-operative long-term care.

Use and Misuse of Opioids After Endocrine Surgery Operations.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the rate of new and persistent opioid use after endocrine surgery operations. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: A global epidemic of opioid misuse and abuse has been evolving over the past 2 decades with opioid use among surgical patients being a particularly difficult problem. Minimal data exists regarding opioid misuse after endocrine surgical operations. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using the MarketScan identified adult patients who underwent thyroidectomy, parathyroidectomy, neck dissections for thyroid malignancy, and adrenalectomy from 2008 to 2017. Persistent opioid use was defined as receipt of ≥1 opioid prescription 90-180 days postop with no intervening procedures or anesthesia. Multivariable models were used to examine associations between clinical characteristics and any use and new persistent use of opioids. RESULTS: A total of 259,115 patients were identified; 54.6% of opioid naïve patients received a perioperative opioid prescription. Fulfillment of this prescription was associated with malignant disease, greater extent of surgery, younger age, residence outside of the Northeast, and history of depression or substance abuse. The rate of new persistent opioid use was 7.4%. A lateral neck dissection conferred the highest risk for persistent opioid use (P < 0.01). Persistent opioid use was also associated with older age, Medicaid coverage, residency outside of the Northeast, increased medical co-morbidities, a history of depression, anxiety, substance use disorder, and chronic pain (all P < 0.01). Importantly, the risk for persistent opioid use increased with higher doses of total amount of opioids prescribed. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of new, persistent opioid use after endocrine surgery operations is substantial but may be mitigated by decreasing the number of postoperative opioids prescribed.

Long-term health after pancreatic surgery: the view from 9.5 years.

BACKGROUND: Discussing the impact of pancreatic surgery on long-term health is poorly understood, but necessary for informed consent. Given the increased number of pancreatic operations being performed annually, further investigation is necessary. METHODS: Patients surviving longer than 5 years after pancreatic surgery were surveyed for postoperative hospitalizations, operations, pain, nutrition and diabetes. Variables were analyzed according to patient and peri-operative variables, and validated using medical records. RESULTS: Eighty individuals completed the survey; median follow-up was 9.5 years (IQR:6.43,12.73). 47.5% underwent a pancreatoduodenectomy, and 25.0% a distal pancreatectomy; 40.0% had adenocarcinoma. 57.1% reported long-term weight loss, of which 65.9% was unintentional. While 1.3% took pancreatic enzymes before surgery, 38.8% utilized after. 12.5% had diabetes before, and 28.6% after surgery; 22 of 30 patients required insulin replacement therapy (73.3%). 41.3% reported hospitalizations, 17.5% required endoscopies and 28.8% additional operations after full recovery. Need for additional interventions were not related to pathology or post-operative complications, but were more common among patients undergoing a Whipple. CONCLUSION: More than half of patients will have a long-term medical complication attributable to pancreatectomy. In comparison to the literature, it may be inferred that consequences occur within the first few years after surgery, and do not compound over time.

Lead-Time Trajectory of CA19-9 as an Anchor Marker for Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is substantial interest in liquid biopsy approaches for cancer early detection among subjects at risk, using multi-marker panels. CA19-9 is an established circulating biomarker for pancreatic cancer; however, its relevance for pancreatic cancer early detection or for monitoring subjects at risk has not been established. METHODS: CA19-9 levels were assessed in blinded sera from 175 subjects collected up to 5 years before diagnosis of pancreatic cancer and from 875 matched controls from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. For comparison of performance, CA19-9 was assayed in blinded independent sets of samples collected at diagnosis from 129 subjects with resectable pancreatic cancer and 275 controls (100 healthy subjects; 50 with chronic pancreatitis; and 125 with noncancerous pancreatic cysts). The complementary value of 2 additional protein markers, TIMP1 and LRG1, was determined. RESULTS: In the PLCO cohort, levels of CA19-9 increased exponentially starting at 2 years before diagnosis with sensitivities reaching 60% at 99% specificity within 0 to 6 months before diagnosis for all cases and 50% at 99% specificity for cases diagnosed with early-stage disease. Performance was comparable for distinguishing newly diagnosed cases with resectable pancreatic cancer from healthy controls (64% sensitivity at 99% specificity). Comparison of resectable pancreatic cancer cases to subjects with chronic pancreatitis yielded 46% sensitivity at 99% specificity and for subjects with noncancerous cysts, 30% sensitivity at 99% specificity. For prediagnostic cases below cutoff value for CA19-9, the combination with LRG1 and TIMP1 yielded an increment of 13.2% in sensitivity at 99% specificity (P = .031) in identifying cases diagnosed within 1 year of blood collection. CONCLUSION: CA19-9 can serve as an anchor marker for pancreatic cancer early detection applications.

New onset diabetes predicts progression of low risk pancreatic mucinous cysts.

BACKGROUND: Patients with low-risk lesions require ongoing surveillance since the rate of progression to pancreatic cancer (PC), while small, is much greater than in the general population. Our objective was to study the relationship between new onset diabetes (NODM) and progression in patients with low risk mucinous cysts. METHODS: We evaluated a prospectively maintained cohort of 442 patients with a suspected mucinous cyst without worrisome features (WF) or high-risk stigmata (HRS). Multivariable Cox models were developed for progression to WF and HRS, with diabetes status formulated as both time independent and dependent covariates. The adjusted cumulative risk of progression was calculated using the corrected group prognosis method. RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative progression rates to WFs and HRS were 12.8 and 3.6%, respectively. After controlling for other risk factors, the development of NODM was strongly associated with progression to HRS (HR = 11.6; 95%CI, 3.5-57.7%), but not WF. Among patients with the smallest cysts (<10 mm) at baseline, those who developed NODM had a 5-year adjusted cumulative risk of progression to HRS of 8.6% (95%CI, 0.0%-20.2%), compared to only 0.8% (95%CI, 0.0%-2.3%) for patients without NODM. Among patients with the largest cysts (20-29 mm), those who developed NODM during surveillance had a 5-year adjusted cumulative risk of progression of 53.5% (95%CI, 19.6%-89.9%) compared to only 7.5% (95%CI, 1.6%-15.2%) for patients without NODM. CONCLUSION: New onset diabetes may predict progression in patients with low risk mucinous cysts. Pending validation with large-scale studies, these findings support regular diabetes screening among patients surveilled for suspected IPMNs or MCNs.