Monitoring an Emergent Pathogen at Low Incidence in Wastewater Using qPCR: Mpox in Switzerland.

Wastewater-based epidemiology offers a complementary approach to clinical case-based surveillance of emergent diseases and can help identify regions with infected people to prioritize clinical surveillance strategies. However, tracking emergent diseases in wastewater requires reliance on novel testing assays with uncertain sensitivity and specificity. Limited pathogen shedding may cause detection to be below the limit of quantification or bordering the limit of detection. Here, we investigated how the definition of limit of detection for quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) impacts epidemiological insights during an mpox outbreak in Switzerland. 365 wastewater samples from three wastewater treatment plants in Switzerland from 9 March through 31 October 2022 were analyzed for mpox DNA using qPCR. We detected mpox DNA in 22% (79 of 365) wastewater samples based on a liberal definition of qPCR detection as any exponentially increasing fluorescence above the threshold. Based on a more restrictive definition as the lowest concentration at which there is 95% likelihood of detection, detection was 1% (5 of 365). The liberal definition shows high specificity (90%) and accuracy (78%), but moderate sensitivity (64%) when benchmarked against available clinical case reporting, which contrasts with higher specificity (98%) but lower sensitivity (10%) and accuracy (56%) of the 95% likelihood definition. Wastewater-based epidemiology applied to an emergent pathogen will require optimizing public health trade-offs between reporting data with high degrees of uncertainty and delaying communication and associated action. Information sharing with relevant public health stakeholders could couple early results with clear descriptions of uncertainty.Impact Statement: When a novel pathogen threatens to enter a community, wastewater-based epidemiology offers an opportunity to track its emergence and spread. However, rapid deployment of methods for to detect a novel pathogen may rely on assays with uncertain sensitivity and specificity. Benchmarking the detection of mpox DNA in Swiss wastewaters with reported clinical cases in 2022, we demonstrate how definitions of detection of a qPCR assay influence epidemiological insights from wastewater. The results highlight the need for information sharing between public health stakeholders that couple early insights from wastewater with descriptions of methodological uncertainty to optimize public health actions.

Monitoring ESBL-Escherichia coli in Swiss wastewater between November 2021 and November 2022: insights into population carriage.

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses a global health threat, causing millions of deaths annually, with expectations of increased impact in the future. Wastewater surveillance offers a cost-effective, non-invasive tool to understand AMR carriage trends within a population. We monitored extended-spectrum ß-lactamase producing Escherichia coli (ESBL-E. coli) weekly in influent wastewater from six wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in Switzerland (November 2021 to November 2022) to investigate spatio-temporal variations, explore correlations with environmental variables, develop a predictive model for ESBL-E. coli carriage in the community, and detect the most prevalent ESBL-genes. We cultured total and ESBL-E. coli in 300 wastewater samples to quantify daily loads and percentage of ESBL-E. coli. Additionally, we screened 234 ESBL-E. coli isolates using molecular methods for the presence of 18 ESBL-gene families. We found a population-weighted mean percentage of ESBL-E. coli of 1.9% (95% confidence interval: 1.8-2%) across all sites and weeks, which can inform ESBL-E. coli carriage. Concentrations of ESBL-E. coli varied across WWTPs and time, with higher values observed in WWTPs serving larger populations. Recent precipitations (previous 24/96 h) showed no significant association with ESBL-E. coli, while temperature occasionally had a moderate impact (P < 0.05, correlation coefficients approximately 0.40) in some locations. We identified blaCTX-M-1, blaCTX-M-9, and blaTEM as the predominant ESBL-gene families. Our study demonstrates that wastewater-based surveillance of culturable ESBL-E. coli provides insights into AMR trends in Switzerland and may also inform resistance. These findings establish a foundation for long term, nationally established monitoring protocols and provide information that may help inform targeted public health interventions. IMPORTANCE: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a global health threat and is commonly monitored in clinical settings, given its association with the risk of antimicrobial-resistant infections. Nevertheless, tracking AMR within a community proves challenging due to the substantial sample size required for a representative population, along with high associated costs and privacy concerns. By investigating high resolution temporal and geographic trends in extended-spectrum beta-lactamase producing Escherichia coli in wastewater, we provide an alternative approach to monitor AMR dynamics, distinct from the conventional clinical settings focus. Through this approach, we develop a mechanistic model, shedding light on the relationship between wastewater indicators and AMR carriage in the population. This perspective contributes valuable insights into trends of AMR carriage, emphasizing the importance of wastewater surveillance in informing effective public health interventions.

Comparative effects of the parasiticide ivermectin on survival and reproduction of adult sepsid flies.

Ivermectin is a veterinary pharmaceutical widely applied against parasites of livestock. Being effective against pests, it is also known to have lethal and sublethal effects on non-target organisms. While considerable research demonstrates the impact of ivermectin residues in livestock dung on the development and survival of dung feeding insect larvae, surprisingly little is known about its fitness effects on adults. We tested the impact of ivermectin on the survival of adult sepsid dung fly species (Diptera: Sepsidae) in the laboratory, using an ecologically relevant and realistic range of 69-1978 µg ivermectin/kg wet dung, and compared the sensitivities of larvae and adults in a phylogenetic framework. For one representative, relatively insensitive species, Sepsis punctum, we further investigated effects of ivermectin on female fecundity and male fertility. Moreover, we tested whether females can differentiate between ivermectin-spiked and non-contaminated dung in the wild. Adult sepsid flies exposed to ivermectin suffered increased mortality, whereby closely related species varied strongly in their sensitivity. Adult susceptibility to the drug correlated with larval susceptibility, showing a phylogenetic signal and demonstrating systemic variation in ivermectin sensitivity. Exposure of S. punctum females to even low concentrations of ivermectin lowered the number of eggs laid, while treatment of males reduced egg-to-adult offspring survival, presumably via impairment of sperm quality or quantity. The fitness impact was amplified when both parents were exposed. Lastly, sepsid flies did not discriminate against ivermectin-spiked dung in the field. Treatment of livestock with avermectins may thus have even more far-reaching sublethal ecological consequences than currently assumed via effects on adult dung-feeding insects.