Temporal Trends in Gestational Diabetes Mellitus and Associated Risk Factors in Ontario, Canada, 2012-2020: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: The prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) has been increasing globally over recent decades; however, underlying reasons for the increase remain unclear. We analyzed trends in GDM rates and evaluated risk factors associated with the observed trends in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study using the Better Outcomes Registry and Network Ontario, linked with the Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database. All pregnant individuals who had a singleton hospital delivery from 1 April 2012 to 31 March 2020 were included. We calculated rates and 95% CIs for GDM by year of delivery and contrasted fiscal year 2019/20 with 2012/13. Temporal trends in GDM were quantified using crude and adjusted risk ratios by modified Poisson regression. We further quantified the temporal increase attributable to changes in maternal characteristics by decomposition analysis. RESULTS: Among 1 044 258 pregnant individuals, 82 896 (7.9%) were diagnosed with GDM over the 8 years. GDM rate rose from 6.1 to 10.4 per 100 deliveries between fiscal years 2012/13 and 2019/20. The risk of GDM in 2019/20 was 1.53 times (95% CI 1.50-1.56) higher compared with 2012/13. 27% of the increase in GDM was due to changes in maternal age, 8 BMI, and Asian ethnicity. CONCLUSIONS: The GDM rate has been consistently increasing in Ontario, Canada. The contribution of increasing maternal age, pre-pregnancy obesity, and Asian ethnicity to the recent increase in GDM is notable. Further investigation is required to better understand the contributors to increasing GDM.

Polygenic and socioeconomic contributions to nicotine use and cardiometabolic health in early mid-life.

INTRODUCTION: Early mid-life is marked by accumulating risks for cardiometabolic illness linked to health-risk behaviors like nicotine use. Identifying polygenic indices (PGI) has enriched scientific understanding of the cumulative genetic contributions to behavioral and cardiometabolic health, though few studies have assessed these associations alongside socioeconomic (SES) and lifestyle factors. METHODS: Drawing on data from 2,337 individuals from the United States participating in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health, the current study assesses the fraction of variance in five related outcomes - use of conventional and electronic cigarettes, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, and glycosylated hemoglobin (A1c) - explained by PGI, SES, and lifestyle. RESULTS: Regression models on African ancestry (AA) and European ancestry (EA) subsamples reveal that the fraction of variance explained by PGI ranges across outcomes. While adjusting for sex and age, PGI explained 3.5%, 2.2%, and 0% in the AA subsample of variability in BMI, waist circumference, and A1c, respectively (in the EA subsample these figures were 7.7%, 9.4%, and 1.3%). The proportion of variance explained by PGI in nicotine-use outcomes is also variable. Results further indicate that PGI and SES are generally complementary, accounting for more variance in the outcomes when modeled together versus separately. CONCLUSIONS: PGI are gaining attention in population health surveillance, but polygenic variability might not align clearly with health differences in populations or surpass SES as a fundamental cause of health disparities. We discuss future steps in integrating PGI and SES to refine population health prediction rules. IMPLICATIONS: Study findings point to the complementary relationship of polygenic indices (PGI) and socioeconomic indicators in explaining population variance in nicotine outcomes and cardiometabolic wellness. Population health surveillance and prediction rules would benefit from the combination of information from both polygenic and socioeconomic risks. Additionally, the risk for electronic cigarette use among users of conventional cigarettes may have a genetic component tied to the cumulative genetic propensity for heavy smoking. Further research on PGI for vaping is needed.

Changes associated with the COVID-19 pandemic on postpartum screening results in Ontario, Canada: The healthy babies healthy children screening tool.

BACKGROUND: Research on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mothers/childbearing parents has mainly been cross-sectional and focused on psychological symptoms. This study examined the impact on function using ongoing, systematic screening of a representative Ontario sample. METHODS: An interrupted time series analysis of repeated cross-sectional data from a province-wide screening program using the Healthy Babies Healthy Children (HBHC) tool assessed changes associated with the pandemic at the time of postpartum discharge from hospital. Postal codes were used to link to neighborhood-level data. The ability to parent or care for the baby/child and other psychosocial and behavioral outcomes were assessed. RESULTS: The co-primary outcomes of inability to parent or care for the baby/child were infrequently observed in the pre-pandemic (March 9, 2019-March 15, 2020) and initial pandemic periods (March 16, 2020-March 23, 2021) (parent 209/63,006 (0.33%)-177/56,117 (0.32%), care 537/62,955 (0.85%)-324/56,086 (0.58%)). Changes after pandemic onset were not observed for either outcome although a significant (p = 0.02) increase in slope was observed for inability to parent (with questionable clinical significance). For secondary outcomes, worsening was only seen for reported complications during labor/delivery. Significant improvements were observed in the likelihood of being unable to identify a support person to assist with care, need of newcomer support, and concerns about money over time. CONCLUSIONS: There were no substantive changes in concerns about ability to parent or care for children. Adverse impacts of the pandemic may have been mitigated by accommodations for remote work and social safety net policies.

Infant Infections Following Cesarean Delivery on Maternal Request: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Investigations about cesarean delivery (CD) on maternal request (CDMR) and infant infection risk frequently rely on administrative data with poorly defined indications for CD. We sought to determine the association between CDMR and infant infection using an intent-to-treat approach. METHODS: This was a population-based cohort study of low-risk singleton pregnancies with a term live birth in Ontario, Canada between April 2012 and March 2018. Subjects with prior CD were excluded. Outcomes included upper and lower respiratory tract infections, gastrointestinal infections, otitis media, and a composite of these 4. Relative risk and 95% CI were calculated for component and composite outcomes up to 1 year following planned CDMR versus planned vaginal deliveries (VDs). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses included age at infection (≤28 vs. >28 days), type of care (ambulatory vs. hospitalisation), restricting the cohort to nulliparous pregnancies, and including individuals with previous CD. Last, we re-examined outcome risk on an as-treated basis (actual CD vs. actual VD). RESULTS: Of 422 134 pregnancies, 0.4% (1827) resulted in a planned CDMR. After adjusting for covariates, planned CDMR was not associated with a risk of composite infant infections (adjusted relative risk 1.02; 95% CI 0.92-1.11). Findings for component infection outcomes, subgroup, and sensitivity analyses were similar. However, the as-treated analysis of the role of delivery mode on infant risk for infection demonstrated that actual CD (planned and unplanned) was associated with an increased risk for infant infections compared to actual VD. CONCLUSIONS: Planned CDMR is not associated with increased risk for neonatal or infant infections compared with planned VD. Study design must be carefully considered when investigating the impact of CDMR on infant infection outcomes.

The impact of isolated obesity compared with obesity and other risk factors on risk of stillbirth: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Maternal obesity is associated with stillbirth, but uncertainty persists around the effects of higher obesity classes. We sought to compare the risk of stillbirth associated with maternal obesity alone versus maternal obesity and additional or undiagnosed factors contributing to high-risk pregnancy. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Better Outcomes Registry and Network (BORN) for singleton hospital births in Ontario between 2012 and 2018. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression and logistic regression to evaluate the relationship between prepregnancy maternal body mass index (BMI) class and stillbirth (reference was normal BMI). We treated maternal characteristics and obstetrical complications as independent covariates. We performed mediator analyses to measure the direct and indirect effects of BMI on stillbirth through major common-pathway complications. We used fully adjusted and partially adjusted models, representing the impact of maternal obesity alone and maternal obesity with other risk factors on stillbirth, respectively. RESULTS: We analyzed data on 681 178 births between 2012 and 2018, of which 1956 were stillbirths. Class I obesity was associated with an increased incidence of stillbirth (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-1.78). This association was stronger for class III obesity (adjusted HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.44-2.24), and strongest for class II obesity (adjusted HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.83-2.57). Plotting point estimates for odds ratios, stratified by gestational age, showed a marked increase in the relative odds for stillbirth beyond 37 weeks' gestation for those with obesity with and without other risk factors, compared with those with normal BMI. The impact of potential mediators was minimal. INTERPRETATION: Maternal obesity alone and obesity with other risk factors are associated with an increased risk of stillbirth. This risk increases with gestational age, especially at term.

Tobacco control environment: cross-sectional survey of policy implementation, social unacceptability, knowledge of tobacco health harms and relationship to quit ratio in 17 low-income, middle-income and high-income countries

OBJECTIVES: This study examines in a cross-sectional study 'the tobacco control environment' including tobacco policy implementation and its association with quit ratio.SETTING:545 communities from 17 high-income, upper-middle, low-middle and low-income countries (HIC, UMIC, LMIC, LIC) involved in the Environmental Profile of a Community's Health (EPOCH) study from 2009 to 2014. PARTICIPANTS: Community audits and surveys of adults (35-70 years, n=12 953).PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Summary scores of tobacco policy implementation (cost and availability of cigarettes, tobacco advertising, antismoking signage), social unacceptability and knowledge were associated with quit ratios (former vs ever smokers) using multilevel logistic regression models. RESULTS: Average tobacco control policy score was greater in communities from HIC. Overall 56.1% (306/545) of communities had >2 outlets selling cigarettes and in 28.6% (154/539) there was access to cheap cigarettes (80% of participants disapproved youth smoking (95.7% HIC, 57.6% UMIC, 76.3% LMIC and 58.9% LIC). The average knowledge score was >80% in 48.4% of communities (94.6% HIC, 53.6% UMIC, 31.8% LMIC and 35.1% LIC). Summary scores of policy implementation, social unacceptability and knowledge were positively and significantly associated with quit ratio and the associations varied by gender, for example, communities in the highest quintile of the combined scores had 5.0 times the quit ratio in men (Odds ratio (OR) 5·0, 95% CI 3.4 to 7.4) and 4.1 times the quit ratio in women (OR 4.1, 95% CI 2.4 to 7.1)...

Wealth and cardiovascular health: across-sectional study of wealth-related inequalities in the awareness, treatmentand control of hypertension in high-,middle- and low-income countries

Effective policies to control hypertension require an understanding of its distribution in the population and the barriers people face along the pathway from detection through to treatment and control. One key factor is household wealth, which may enable or limit a household’s ability to access health care services and adequately control such a chronic condition. This study aims to describe the scale and patterns of wealth-related inequalities in the awareness, treatment and control of hypertension in 21 countries using baseline data from the Prospective Urbanand Rural Epidemiology study. Methods: A cross-section of 163,397 adults aged 35 to 70 years were recruited from 661 urban and rural communities in selected low-, middle- and high-income countries (complete data for this analysis from 151,619 participants). Using blood pressure measurements, self-reported health and household data, concentration indices adjusted for age, sex and urban-rural location, we estimate the magnitude of wealth-related inequalities in thelevels of hypertension awareness, treatment, and control in each of the 21 country samples. Results: Overall, the magnitude of wealth-related inequalities in hypertension awareness, treatment, and control wasobserved to be higher in poorer than in richer countries. In poorer countries, levels of hypertension awareness and treatment tended to be higher among wealthier households; while a similar pro-rich distribution was observed forhypertension control in countries at all levels of economic development. In some countries, hypertension awarenesswas greater among the poor (Sweden, Argentina, Poland), as was treatment (Sweden, Poland) and control (Sweden)...

Availability, affordability, and consumption of fruits and vegetables in 18 countries across income levels: findings from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study

Several international guidelines recommend the consumption of two servings of fruits and three servingsof vegetables per day, but their intake is thought to be low world wide. We aimed to determine the extent to which suchlow intake is related to availability and aff ordability. Methods We assessed fruit and vegetable consumption using data from country-specific, validated semi-quantitativefood frequency questionnaires in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study, which enrolled participants from communities in 18 countries between Jan 1, 2003, and Dec 31, 2013. We documented house hold income datafrom participants in these communities; we also recorded the diversity and non-sale prices of fruits and vegetables from grocery stores and market places between Jan 1, 2009, and Dec 31, 2013. We determined the cost of fruits andvegetables relative to income per house hold member. Linear random eff ects models, adjusting for the clustering ofhouseholds with in communities, were used to assess mean fruit and vegetable intake by their relative cost...

A Novel Method to Evaluate the Community BuiltEnvironment Using Photographs – Environmental Profileof a Community Health (EPOCH) Photo NeighbourhoodEvaluation Tool

Previous research has shown that environments with features that encourage walking are associated withincreased physical activity. Existing methods to assess the built environment using geographical information systems (GIS)data, direct audit or large surveys of the residents face constraints, such as data availability and comparability, when used tostudy communities in countries in diverse parts of the world. The aim of this study was to develop a method to evaluatefeatures of the built environment of communities using a standard set of photos. In this report we describe the method ofphoto collection, photo analysis instrument development and inter-rater reliability of the instrument.Methods/Principal Findings: A minimum of 5 photos were taken per community in 86 communities in 5 countriesaccording to a standard set of instructions from a designated central point of each community by researchers at each site. Astandard pro forma derived from reviewing existing instruments to assess the built environment was developed and used toscore the characteristics of each community. Photo sets from each community were assessed independently by threeobservers in the central research office according to the pro forma and the inter-rater reliability was compared by intra-classcorrelation (ICC). Overall 87% (53 of 60) items had an ICC of $0.70, 7% (4 of 60) had an ICC between 0.60 and 0.70 and 5% (3of 60) items had an ICC #0.50.Conclusions/Significance: Analysis of photos using a standardized protocol as described in this study offers a means toobtain reliable and reproducible information on the built environment in communities in very diverse locations around theworld. The collection of the photographic data required minimal training and the analysis demonstrated high reliability forthe majority of items of interest.

Environmental profile of a community’s health (EPOCH): an ecometric assessment of measures of the community environment based on individual perception

Background: Public health research has turned towards examining upstream, community-level determinants ofcardiovascular disease risk factors. Objective measures of the environment, such as those derived from direct observation,and perception-based measures by residents have both been associated with health behaviours. However, current methodsare generally limited to objective measures, often derived from administrative data, and few instruments have beenevaluated for use in rural areas or in low-income countries. We evaluate the reliability of a quantitative tool designed tocapture perceptions of community tobacco, nutrition, and social environments obtained from interviews with residents incommunities in 5 countries.Methodology/ Principal Findings: Thirteen measures of the community environment were developed from responses toquestionnaire items from 2,360 individuals residing in 84 urban and rural communities in 5 countries (China, India, Brazil,Colombia, and Canada) in the Environmental Profile of a Community’s Health (EPOCH) study. Reliability and other propertiesof the community-level measures were assessed using multilevel models. High reliability (.0.80) was demonstrated for allcommunity-level measures at the mean number of survey respondents per community (n = 28 respondents). Questionnaireitems included in each scale were found to represent a common latent factor at the community level in multilevel factoranalysis models.Conclusions/ Significance: Reliable measures which represent aspects of communities potentially related to cardiovasculardisease (CVD)/risk factors can be obtained using feasible sample sizes. The EPOCH instrument is suitable for use in differentsettings to explore upstream determinants of CVD/risk factors.