Assessment of smoking care by stroke specialists in patients with recent TIA and minor stroke: an international prospective registry-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The objectives are to assess smoking abstinence and its effects on vascular risk and to report tobacco-cessation counselling and pharmacotherapy use in patients who had a recent minor stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA). DESIGN AND SETTING: The TIA registry.org project is a prospective, observational registry of patients with TIA and minor stroke that occurred in the previous 7 days with a 5-year follow-up, involving 61 sites with stroke specialists in 21 countries (Europe, Asia, Latin America and Middle East). Of those, 42 sites had 5-year follow-up data on more than 50% of their patients and were included in the present study. PARTICIPANTS: From June 2009 through December 2011, 3847 patients were eligible for the study (80% of the initial cohort). OUTCOMES: Tobacco counselling and smoking-cessation pharmacotherapy use in smoking patients were reported at discharge. Association between 3-month smoking status and risk of a major cardiovascular event (MACE) was analysed with multivariable Cox regression model. RESULTS: Among 3801 patients included, 835 (22%) were smokers. At discharge, only 35.2% have been advised to quit and 12.5% had smoking-cessation pharmacotherapy prescription. At 3 months, 383/835 (46.9%) baseline smokers were continuers. Living alone and alcohol abuse were associated with persistent smoking; high level of education, aphasia and dyslipidaemia with quitting. The adjusted HRs for MACE at 5 years were 1.13 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.43) in former smokers, 1.31 (95% CI 0.93 to 1.84) in quitters and 1.31 (95% CI 0.94 to 1.83) in continuers. Using time-varying analysis, current smoking at the time of MACE non-significantly increased the risk of MACE (HR 1.31 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.78); p=0.080). CONCLUSION: In the TIAregistry.org, smoking-cessation intervention was used in a minority of patients. Surprisingly, in this population in which, at 5 years, other vascular risk factors were well controlled and antithrombotic treatment maintained, smoking cessation non-significantly decreased the risk of MACE.

Tenecteplase versus alteplase for thrombolysis in patients selected by use of perfusion imaging within 4·5 h of onset of ischaemic stroke (TASTE): a multicentre, randomised, controlled, phase 3 non-inferiority trial.

BACKGROUND: Intravenous tenecteplase increases reperfusion in patients with salvageable brain tissue on perfusion imaging and might have advantages over alteplase as a thrombolytic for ischaemic stroke. We aimed to assess the non-inferiority of tenecteplase versus alteplase on clinical outcomes in patients selected by use of perfusion imaging. METHODS: This international, multicentre, open-label, parallel-group, randomised, clinical non-inferiority trial enrolled patients from 35 hospitals in eight countries. Participants were aged 18 years or older, within 4·5 h of ischaemic stroke onset or last known well, were not being considered for endovascular thrombectomy, and met target mismatch criteria on brain perfusion imaging. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) by use of a centralised web server with randomly permuted blocks to intravenous tenecteplase (0·25 mg/kg) or alteplase (0·90 mg/kg). The primary outcome was the proportion of patients without disability (modified Rankin Scale 0-1) at 3 months, assessed via masked review in both the intention-to-treat and per-protocol populations. We aimed to recruit 832 participants to yield 90% power (one-sided alpha=0·025) to detect a risk difference of 0·08, with an absolute non-inferiority margin of -0·03. The trial was registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN12613000243718, and the European Union Clinical Trials Register, EudraCT Number 2015-002657-36, and it is completed. FINDINGS: Recruitment ceased early following the announcement of other trial results showing non-inferiority of tenecteplase versus alteplase. Between March 21, 2014, and Oct 20, 2023, 680 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to tenecteplase (n=339) and alteplase (n=341), all of whom were included in the intention-to-treat analysis (multiple imputation was used to account for missing primary outcome data for five patients). Protocol violations occurred in 74 participants, thus the per-protocol population comprised 601 people (295 in the tenecteplase group and 306 in the alteplase group). Participants had a median age of 74 years (IQR 63-82), baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 7 (4-11), and 260 (38%) were female. In the intention-to-treat analysis, the primary outcome occurred in 191 (57%) of 335 participants allocated to tenecteplase and 188 (55%) of 340 participants allocated to alteplase (standardised risk difference [SRD]=0·03 [95% CI -0·033 to 0·10], one-tailed pnon-inferiority=0·031). In the per-protocol analysis, the primary outcome occurred in 173 (59%) of 295 participants allocated to tenecteplase and 171 (56%) of 306 participants allocated to alteplase (SRD 0·05 [-0·02 to 0·12], one-tailed pnon-inferiority=0·01). Nine (3%) of 337 patients in the tenecteplase group and six (2%) of 340 in the alteplase group had symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (unadjusted risk difference=0·01 [95% CI -0·01 to 0·03]) and 23 (7%) of 335 and 15 (4%) of 340 died within 90 days of starting treatment (SRD 0·02 [95% CI -0·02 to 0·05]). INTERPRETATION: The findings in our study provide further evidence to strengthen the assertion of the non-inferiority of tenecteplase to alteplase, specifically when perfusion imaging has been used to identify reperfusion-eligible stroke patients. Although non-inferiority was achieved in the per-protocol population, it was not reached in the intention-to-treat analysis, possibly due to sample size limtations. Nonetheless, large-scale implementation of perfusion CT to assist in patient selection for intravenous thrombolysis in the early time window was shown to be feasible. FUNDING: Australian National Health Medical Research Council; Boehringer Ingelheim.

The impact of incident stroke on cognitive trajectories in later life.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment is common after stroke, and a large proportion of stroke patients will develop dementia. However, there have been few large prospective studies which have assessed cognition both prior to and after stroke. This study aims to determine the extent to which incident stroke impacts different domains of cognitive function in a longitudinal cohort of older community-dwelling individuals. METHODS: 19,114 older individuals without cardiovascular disease or major cognitive impairment were recruited and followed over a maximum 11 years. Stroke included ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke and was adjudicated by experts. Cognitive function was assessed regularly using Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MS), Hopkins Verbal Learning Test-Revised (HVLT-R), Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT), and Controlled Oral Word Association Test (COWAT). Linear mixed models were used to investigate the change in cognition at the time of stroke and decline in cognitive trajectories following incident stroke. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 8.4 [IQR: 7.2, 9.6] years, 815 (4.3%) participants experienced a stroke. Over this time, there was a general decline observed in 3MS, HVLT-R delayed recall, and SDMT scores across participants. However, for individuals who experienced a stroke, there was a significantly greater decline across all cognitive domains immediately after the event immediately after the event (3MS: -1.03 [95%CI: -1.45, -0.60]; HVLT-R: -0.47 [-0.70, -0.24]; SDMT: -2.82 [-3.57, -2.08]; COWAT: -0.67 [-1.04, -0.29]) and a steeper long-term decline for three of these domains (3MS -0.62 [-0.88, -0.35]; COWAT: -0.30 [-0.46, -0.14]); HVLT-R: -0.12 [95%CI, -0.70, -0.24]). However individuals with stroke experienced no longer-term decline in SDMT compared to the rest of the participants. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the need for comprehensive neuropsychology assessments for ongoing monitoring of cognition following incident stroke; and potential early intervention.

Tranexamic acid versus placebo in individuals with intracerebral haemorrhage treated within 2 h of symptom onset (STOP-MSU): an international, double-blind, randomised, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Tranexamic acid, an antifibrinolytic agent, might attenuate haematoma growth after an intracerebral haemorrhage. We aimed to determine whether treatment with intravenous tranexamic acid within 2 h of an intracerebral haemorrhage would reduce haematoma growth compared with placebo. METHODS: STOP-MSU was an investigator-led, double-blind, randomised, phase 2 trial conducted at 24 hospitals and one mobile stroke unit in Australia, Finland, New Zealand, Taiwan, and Viet Nam. Eligible participants had acute spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage confirmed on non-contrast CT, were aged 18 years or older, and could be treated with the investigational product within 2 h of stroke onset. Using randomly permuted blocks (block size of 4) and a concealed pre-randomised assignment procedure, participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous tranexamic acid (1 g over 10 min followed by 1 g over 8 h) or placebo (saline; matched dosing regimen) commencing within 2 h of symptom onset. Participants, investigators, and treating teams were masked to group assignment. The primary outcome was haematoma growth, defined as either at least 33% relative growth or at least 6 mL absolute growth on CT at 24 h (target range 18-30 h) from the baseline CT. The analysis was conducted within the estimand framework with primary analyses adhering to the intention-to-treat principle. The primary endpoint and secondary safety endpoints (mortality at days 7 and 90 and major thromboembolic events at day 90) were assessed in all participants randomly assigned to treatment groups who did not withdraw consent to use any data. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03385928, and the trial is now complete. FINDINGS: Between March 19, 2018, and Feb 27, 2023, 202 participants were recruited, of whom one withdrew consent for any data use. The remaining 201 participants were randomly assigned to either placebo (n=98) or tranexamic acid (n=103; intention-to-treat population). Median age was 66 years (IQR 55-77), and 82 (41%) were female and 119 (59%) were male; no data on race or ethnicity were collected. CT scans at baseline or follow-up were missing or of inadequate quality in three participants (one in the placebo group and two in the tranexamic acid group), and were considered missing at random. Haematoma growth occurred in 37 (38%) of 97 assessable participants in the placebo group and 43 (43%) of 101 assessable participants in the tranexamic acid group (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1·31 [95% CI 0·72 to 2·40], p=0·37). Major thromboembolic events occurred in one (1%) of 98 participants in the placebo group and three (3%) of 103 in the tranexamic acid group (risk difference 0·02 [95% CI -0·02 to 0·06]). By 7 days, eight (8%) participants in the placebo group and eight (8%) in the tranexamic acid group had died (aOR 1·08 [95% CI 0·35 to 3·35]) and by 90 days, 15 (15%) participants in the placebo group and 19 (18%) in the tranexamic acid group had died (aOR 1·61 [95% CI 0·65 to 3·98]). INTERPRETATION: Intravenous tranexamic acid did not reduce haematoma growth when administered within 2 h of intracerebral haemorrhage symptom onset. There were no observed effects on other imaging endpoints, functional outcome, or safety. Based on our results, tranexamic acid should not be used routinely in primary intracerebral haemorrhage, although results of ongoing phase 3 trials will add further context to these findings. FUNDING: Australian Government Medical Research Future Fund.

Introducing the Concept of Sanctuary Sites in Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: The topography of arterial territories has been defined using digital maps of supratentorial infarcts. Regions with a high probability of infarction (Pi) exist in the deep compartment due to a paucity of collaterals. However, less attention has been given to regions with a low Pi. METHODS: Using published digital maps, patients with cortical stroke and documented vessel occlusion were included. Infarcts from T2-weighted magnetic resonance images were segmented and registered onto a standard brain template (Montreal Neurological Institute 152). Segmented magnetic resonance images were averaged to yield the Pi at a voxel level. The overall Pi for the combined arterial territories was calculated to ensure that Pi was in the range of 0 to 1. Sanctuary sites were identified as regions with Pi <0.1. RESULTS: There were 154 patients (63% men; median age, 69 years; and interquartile range, 57-78 years). The magnetic resonance imaging scan used for segmentation was performed at a median interval of 35 (interquartile range, 3-66) days after stroke onset. Sanctuary sites were present in the frontal (gyrus rectus, the paracentral lobule, and orbitofrontal and precentral gyrus), parietal (postcentral, supramarginal, and angular gyrus, superior and inferior parietal lobule, and precuneus and posterior cingulate), and occipital cortex (cuneus, middle, and superior occipital gyrus). CONCLUSIONS: We propose that following vessel occlusion, there are cortical regions with a low Pi, which we termed sanctuary sites. The anatomic basis for this observation is the compensatory capacity of leptomeningeal collaterals.

Association of Time to Thrombolysis With Early Reperfusion After Alteplase and Tenecteplase in Patients With Large Vessel Occlusion.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Early treatment with intravenous alteplase increases the probability of lytic-induced reperfusion in large vessel occlusion (LVO) patients. The relationship of tenecteplase-induced reperfusion and the timing of thrombolytic administration has not been explored. In this study, we performed a comparative analysis of tenecteplase and alteplase reperfusion rates and assessed their relationship to the time of thrombolytic administration. METHODS: Patients who were initially treated with a thrombolytic within 4.5 hours of symptom onset were pooled from the Royal Melbourne Stroke Registry, EXTEND-IA, EXTEND-IA TNK, and EXTEND-IA TNK part 2 trials. The primary outcome, thrombolytic-induced reperfusion, was defined as the absence of retrievable thrombus or >50% reperfusion at initial angiographic assessment (or repeat CT perfusion/angiography). We compared the treatment effect of tenecteplase and alteplase through fixed-effects Poisson regression modelling. RESULTS: Among 846 patients included in the primary analysis, early reperfusion was observed in 173 (20%) patients (tenecteplase: 98/470 [21%], onset-to-thrombolytic time: 132 minutes [interquartile range (IQR): 99-170], and thrombolytic-to-assessment time: 61 minutes [IQR: 39-96]; alteplase: 75/376 [19%], onset-to-thrombolytic time: 143 minutes [IQR: 105-180], thrombolytic-to-assessment time: 92 minutes [IQR: 63-144]). Earlier onset-to-thrombolytic administration times were associated with an increased probability of thrombolytic-induced reperfusion in patients treated with either tenecteplase (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.05 per 15 minutes [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.12] or alteplase (aRR 1.06 per 15 minutes [95% CI 1.00-1.13]). Tenecteplase remained associated with higher rates of reperfusion vs alteplase after adjustment for onset-to-thrombolytic time, occlusion site, thrombolytic-to-assessment time, and study as a fixed effect, (adjusted incidence rate ratio: 1.41 [95% CI 1.02-1.93]). No significant treatment-by-time interaction was observed (p = 0.87). DISCUSSION: In patients with LVO presenting within 4.5 hours of symptom onset, earlier thrombolytic administration increased successful reperfusion rates. Compared with alteplase, tenecteplase was associated with a higher probability of lytic-induced reperfusion, independent of onset-to-lytic administration times. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT02388061, NCT03340493. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that among patients with LVO receiving a thrombolytic, reperfusion was more likely with tenecteplase than alteplase.

Thrombolysis for Wake-Up Stroke Versus Non-Wake-Up Unwitnessed Stroke: EOS Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Stroke with unknown time of onset can be categorized into 2 groups; wake-up stroke (WUS) and unwitnessed stroke with an onset time unavailable for reasons other than wake-up (non-wake-up unwitnessed stroke, non-WUS). We aimed to assess potential differences in the efficacy and safety of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) between these subgroups. METHODS: Patients with an unknown-onset stroke were evaluated using individual patient-level data of 2 randomized controlled trials (WAKE-UP [Efficacy and Safety of MRI-Based Thrombolysis in Wake-Up Stroke], THAWS [Thrombolysis for Acute Wake-Up and Unclear-Onset Strokes With Alteplase at 0.6 mg/kg]) comparing IVT with placebo or standard treatment from the EOS (Evaluation of Unknown-Onset Stroke Thrombolysis trial) data set. A favorable outcome was prespecified as a modified Rankin Scale score of 0 to 1 at 90 days. Safety outcomes included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage at 22 to 36 hours and 90-day mortality. The IVT effect was compared between the treatment groups in the WUS and non-WUS with multivariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Six hundred thirty-four patients from 2 trials were analyzed; 542 had WUS (191 women, 272 receiving alteplase), and 92 had non-WUS (42 women, 43 receiving alteplase). Overall, no significant interaction was noted between the mode of onset and treatment effect (P value for interaction=0.796). In patients with WUS, the frequencies of favorable outcomes were 54.8% and 45.5% in the IVT and control groups, respectively (adjusted odds ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.01-2.16]). Death occurred in 4.0% and 1.9%, respectively (P=0.162), and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage in 1.8% and 0.3%, respectively (P=0.194). In patients with non-WUS, no significant difference was observed in favorable outcomes relative to the control (37.2% versus 29.2%; adjusted odds ratio, 1.76 [0.58-5.37]). One death and one symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage were reported in the IVT group, but none in the control. CONCLUSIONS: There was no difference in the effect of IVT between patients with WUS and non-WUS. IVT showed a significant benefit in patients with WUS, while there was insufficient statistical power to detect a substantial benefit in the non-WUS subgroup. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: CRD42020166903.

Global stroke statistics 2023: Availability of reperfusion services around the world.

BACKGROUND: Disparities in the availability of reperfusion services for acute ischemic stroke are considerable globally and require urgent attention. Contemporary data on the availability of reperfusion services in different countries are used to provide the necessary evidence to prioritize where access to acute stroke treatment is needed. AIMS: To provide a snapshot of published literature on the provision of reperfusion services globally, including when facilitated by telemedicine or mobile stroke unit services. METHODS: We searched PubMed to identify original articles, published up to January 2023 for the most recent, representative, and relevant patient-level data for each country. Keywords included thrombolysis, endovascular thrombectomy and telemedicine. We also screened reference lists of review articles, citation history of articles, and the gray literature. The information is provided as a narrative summary. RESULTS: Of 11,222 potentially eligible articles retrieved, 148 were included for review following de-duplications and full-text review. Data were also obtained from national stroke clinical registry reports, Registry of Stroke Care Quality (RES-Q) and PRE-hospital Stroke Treatment Organization (PRESTO) repositories, and other national sources. Overall, we found evidence of the provision of intravenous thrombolysis services in 70 countries (63% high-income countries (HICs)) and endovascular thrombectomy services in 33 countries (68% HICs), corresponding to far less than half of the countries in the world. Recent data (from 2019 or later) were lacking for 35 of 67 countries with known year of data (52%). We found published data on 74 different stroke telemedicine programs (93% in HICs) and 14 active mobile stroke unit pre-hospital ambulance services (80% in HICs) around the world. CONCLUSION: Despite remarkable advancements in reperfusion therapies for stroke, it is evident from available patient-level data that their availability remains unevenly distributed globally. Contemporary published data on availability of reperfusion services remain scarce, even in HICs, thereby making it difficult to reliably ascertain current gaps in the provision of this vital acute stroke treatment around the world.

A Network of Sites and Upskilled Therapists to Deliver Best-Practice Stroke Rehabilitation of the Arm: Protocol for a Knowledge Translation Study.

Implementation of evidence-informed rehabilitation of the upper limb is variable, and outcomes for stroke survivors are often suboptimal. We established a national partnership of clinicians, survivors of stroke, researchers, healthcare organizations, and policy makers to facilitate change. The objectives of this study are to increase access to best-evidence rehabilitation of the upper limb and improve outcomes for stroke survivors. This prospective pragmatic, knowledge translation study involves four new specialist therapy centers to deliver best-evidence upper-limb sensory rehabilitation (known as SENSe therapy) for survivors of stroke in the community. A knowledge-transfer intervention will be used to upskill therapists and guide implementation. Specialist centers will deliver SENSe therapy, an effective and recommended therapy, to stroke survivors in the community. Outcomes include number of successful deliveries of SENSe therapy by credentialled therapists; improved somatosensory function for stroke survivors; improved performance in self-selected activities, arm use, and quality of life; treatment fidelity and confidence to deliver therapy; and for future implementation, expert therapist effect and cost-effectiveness. In summary, we will determine the effect of a national partnership to increase access to evidence-based upper-limb sensory rehabilitation following stroke. If effective, this knowledge-transfer intervention could be used to optimize the delivery of other complex, evidence-based rehabilitation interventions.

Management of Poststroke Hyperglycemia: Results of the TEXAIS Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Hyperglycemia in acute ischemic stroke reduces the efficacy of stroke thrombolysis and thrombectomy, with worse clinical outcomes. Insulin-based therapies are difficult to implement and may cause hypoglycemia. We investigated whether exenatide, a GLP-1 (glucagon-like peptide-1) receptor agonist, would improve stroke outcomes, and control poststroke hyperglycemia with minimal hypoglycemia. METHODS: The TEXAIS trial (Treatment With Exenatide in Acute Ischemic Stroke) was an international, multicenter, phase 2 prospective randomized clinical trial (PROBE [Prospective Randomized Open Blinded End-Point] design) enrolling adult patients with acute ischemic stroke ≤9 hours of stroke onset to receive exenatide (5 µg BID subcutaneous injection) or standard care for 5 days, or until hospital discharge (whichever sooner). The primary outcome (intention to treat) was the proportion of patients with ≥8-point improvement in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (or National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores 0-1) at 7 days poststroke. Safety outcomes included death, episodes of hyperglycemia, hypoglycemia, and adverse event. RESULTS: From April 2016 to June 2021, 350 patients were randomized (exenatide, n=177, standard care, n=173). Median age, 71 years (interquartile range, 62-79), median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 4 (interquartile range, 2-8). Planned recruitment (n=528) was stopped early due to COVID-19 disruptions and funding constraints. The primary outcome was achieved in 97 of 171 (56.7%) in the standard care group versus 104 of 170 (61.2%) in the exenatide group (adjusted odds ratio, 1.22 [95% CI, 0.79-1.88]; P=0.38). No differences in secondary outcomes were observed. The per-patient mean daily frequency of hyperglycemia was significantly less in the exenatide group across all quartiles. No episodes of hypoglycemia were recorded over the treatment period. Adverse events of mild nausea and vomiting occurred in 6 (3.5%) exenatide patients versus 0 (0%) standard care with no withdrawal. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with exenatide did not reduce neurological impairment at 7 days in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Exenatide did significantly reduce the frequency of hyperglycemic events, without hypoglycemia, and was safe to use. Larger acute stroke trials using GLP-1 agonists such as exenatide should be considered. REGISTRATION: URL: www.australianclinicaltrials.gov.au; Unique identifier: ACTRN12617000409370. URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03287076.

Underlying Causes of TIA and Minor Ischemic Stroke and Risk of Major Vascular Events.

Importance: The coexistence of underlying causes in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor ischemic stroke as well as their associated 5-year risks are not well known. Objective: To apply the ASCOD (atherosclerosis, small vessel disease, cardiac pathology, other cause, or dissection) grading system to assess coexistence of underlying causes of TIA and minor ischemic stroke and the 5-year risk for major vascular events. Design, Setting, and Participants: This international registry cohort (TIAregistry.org) study enrolled 4789 patients from June 1, 2009, to December 31, 2011, with 1- to 5-year follow-up at 61 sites in 21 countries. Eligible patients had a TIA or minor stroke (with modified Rankin Scale score of 0 or 1) within the last 7 days. Among these, 3847 patients completed the 5-year follow-up by December 31, 2016. Data were analyzed from October 1, 2022, to June 15, 2023. Exposure: Five-year follow-up. Main Outcomes and Measures: Estimated 5-year risk of the composite outcome of stroke, acute coronary syndrome, or cardiovascular death. Results: A total of 3847 patients (mean [SD] age, 66.4 [13.2] years; 2295 men [59.7%]) in 42 sites were enrolled and participated in the 5-year follow-up cohort (median percentage of 5-year follow-up per center was 92.3% [IQR, 83.4%-97.8%]). In 998 patients with probable or possible causal atherosclerotic disease, 489 (49.0%) had some form of small vessel disease (SVD), including 110 (11.0%) in whom a lacunar stroke was also probably or possibly causal, and 504 (50.5%) had no SVD; 275 (27.6%) had some cardiac findings, including 225 (22.6%) in whom cardiac pathology was also probably or possibly causal, and 702 (70.3%) had no cardiac findings. Compared with patients with none of the 5 ASCOD categories of disease (n = 484), the 5-year rate of major vascular events was almost 5 times higher (hazard ratio [HR], 4.86 [95% CI, 3.07-7.72]; P < .001) in patients with causal atherosclerosis, 2.5 times higher (HR, 2.57 [95% CI, 1.58-4.20]; P < .001) in patients with causal lacunar stroke or lacunar syndrome, and 4 times higher (HR, 4.01 [95% CI, 2.50-6.44]; P < .001) in patients with causal cardiac pathology. Conclusion and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that in patients with TIA and minor ischemic stroke, the coexistence of atherosclerosis, SVD, cardiac pathology, dissection, or other causes is substantial, and the 5-year risk of a major vascular event varies considerably across the 5 categories of underlying diseases. These findings further suggest the need for secondary prevention strategies based on pathophysiology rather than a one-size-fits-all approach.

Low-Dose Aspirin and the Risk of Stroke and Intracerebral Bleeding in Healthy Older People: Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Low-dose aspirin has been widely used for primary and secondary prevention of stroke. The balance between potential reduction of ischemic stroke events and increased intracranial bleeding has not been established in older individuals. Objective: To establish the risks of ischemic stroke and intracranial bleeding among healthy older people receiving daily low-dose aspirin. Design, Setting, and Participants: This secondary analysis of the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of daily low-dose aspirin was conducted among community-dwelling people living in Australia or the US. Participants were older adults free of symptomatic cardiovascular disease. Recruitment took place between 2010 and 2014, and participants were followed up for a median (IQR) of 4.7 (3.6-5.7) years. This analysis was completed from August 2021 to March 2023. Interventions: Daily 100-mg enteric-coated aspirin or matching placebo. Main Outcomes and Measures: Stroke and stroke etiology were predetermined secondary outcomes and are presented with a focus on prevention of initial stroke or intracranial bleeding event. Outcomes were assessed by review of medical records. Results: Among 19 114 older adults (10 782 females [56.4%]; median [IQR] age, 74 [71.6-77.7] years), 9525 individuals received aspirin and 9589 individuals received placebo. Aspirin did not produce a statistically significant reduction in the incidence of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% CI, 0.71-1.11). However, a statistically significant increase in intracranial bleeding was observed among individuals assigned to aspirin (108 individuals [1.1%]) compared with those receiving placebo (79 individuals [0.8%]; HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.03-1.84). This occurred by an increase in a combination of subdural, extradural, and subarachnoid bleeding with aspirin compared with placebo (59 individuals [0.6%] vs 41 individuals [0.4%]; HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.98-2.16). Hemorrhagic stroke was recorded in 49 individuals (0.5%) assigned to aspirin compared with 37 individuals (0.4%) in the placebo group (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.87-2.04). Conclusions and Relevance: This study found a significant increase in intracranial bleeding with daily low-dose aspirin but no significant reduction of ischemic stroke. These findings may have particular relevance to older individuals prone to developing intracranial bleeding after head trauma. Trial Registration: ISRCTN.org Identifier: ISRCTN83772183.

Safety and Efficacy of Tenecteplase and Alteplase in Patients With Tandem Lesion Stroke: A Post Hoc Analysis of the EXTEND-IA TNK Trials.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The safety and efficacy of tenecteplase (TNK) in patients with tandem lesion (TL) stroke is unknown. We performed a comparative analysis of TNK and alteplase in patients with TLs. METHODS: We first compared the treatment effect of TNK and alteplase in patients with TLs using individual patient data from the EXTEND-IA TNK trials. We evaluated intracranial reperfusion at initial angiographic assessment and 90-day modified Rankin scale (mRS) with ordinal logistic and Firth regression models. Because 2 key outcomes, mortality and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), were few in number among those who received alteplase in the EXTEND-IA TNK trials, we generated pooled estimates for these outcomes by supplementing trial data with estimates of incidence obtained through a meta-analysis of studies identified in a systematic review. We then calculated unadjusted risk differences to compare the pooled estimates for those receiving alteplase with the incidence observed in the trial among those receiving TNK. RESULTS: Seventy-one of 483 patients (15%) in the EXTEND-IA TNK trials possessed a TL. In patients with TLs, intracranial reperfusion was observed in 11/56 (20%) of TNK-treated patients vs 1/15 (7%) alteplase-treated patients (adjusted odds ratio 2.19; 95% CI 0.28-17.29). No significant difference in 90-day mRS was observed (adjusted common odds ratio 1.48; 95% CI 0.44-5.00). A pooled study-level proportion of alteplase-associated mortality and sICH was 0.14 (95% CI 0.08-0.21) and 0.09 (95% CI 0.04-0.16), respectively. Compared with a mortality rate of 0.09 (95% CI 0.03-0.20) and an sICH rate of 0.07 (95% CI 0.02-0.17) in TNK-treated patients, no significant difference was observed. DISCUSSION: Functional outcomes, mortality, and sICH did not significantly differ between patients with TLs treated with TNK and those treated with alteplase. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that TNK is associated with similar rates of intracranial reperfusion, functional outcome, mortality, and sICH compared with alteplase in patients with acute stroke due to TLs. However, the CIs do not rule out clinically important differences. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02388061; clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03340493.

Effect of atherosclerosis on 5-year risk of major vascular events in patients with transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke: an international prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of atherosclerosis and the long-term risk of major vascular events in people who have had a transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke, regardless of the causal relationship between the index event and atherosclerosis, are not well known. In this analysis, we applied the ASCOD (atherosclerosis, small vessel disease, cardiac pathology, other causes, and dissection) grading system to estimate the 5-year risk of major vascular events according to whether there was a causal relationship between atherosclerosis and the index event (ASCOD grade A1 and A2), no causal relationship (A3), and with or without a causal relationship (A1, A2, and A3). We also aimed to estimate the prevalence of different grades of atherosclerosis and identify associated risk factors. METHODS: We analysed patient data from TIAregistry.org, which is an international, prospective, observational registry of patients with a recent (within the previous 7 days) transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke (modified Rankin Scale score of 0-1) from 61 specialised centres in 21 countries in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America. Using data from case report forms, we applied the ASCOD grading system to categorise the degree of atherosclerosis in our population (A0: no atherosclerosis; A1 or A2: atherosclerosis with stenosis ipsilateral to the cerebral ischaemic area; A3: atherosclerosis in vascular beds not related to the ischaemic area or ipsilateral plaques without stenosis; and A9: atherosclerosis not assessed). The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal stroke, non-fatal acute coronary syndrome, or cardiovascular death within 5 years. FINDINGS: Between June 1, 2009, and Dec 29, 2011, 4789 patients were enrolled to TIAregistry.org, of whom 3847 people from 42 centres participated in the 5-year follow-up; 3383 (87·9%) patients had a 5-year follow-up visit (median 92·3% [IQR 83·4-97·8] per centre). 1406 (36·5%) of 3847 patients had no atherosclerosis (ASCOD grade A0), 998 (25·9%) had causal atherosclerosis (grade A1 or A2), and 1108 (28·8%) had atherosclerosis that was unlikely to be causal (grade A3); in 335 (8·7%) patients, atherosclerosis was not assessed (grade A9). The 5-year event rate of the primary composite outcome was 7·7% (95% CI 6·3-9·2; 101 events) in patients categorised with grade A0 atherosclerosis, 19·8% (17·4-22·4; 189 events) in those with grade A1 or A2, and 13·8% (11·8-16·0; 144 events) in patients with grade A3. Compared with patients with grade A0 atherosclerosis, patients categorised as grade A1 or A2 had an increased risk of the primary composite outcome (hazard ratio 2·77, 95% CI 2·18-3·53; p<0·0001), as did patients with grade A3 (1·87, 1·45-2·42; p<0·0001). Except for age, male sex, and multiple infarctions on neuroimaging, most of the risk factors that were identified as being associated with grade A1 or A2 atherosclerosis were modifiable risk factors (ie, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, overweight, smoking cigarettes, and low physical activity; all p values <0·025). INTERPRETATION: In patients with transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke, those with atherosclerosis have a much higher risk of major vascular events within 5 years than do those without atherosclerosis. Preventive strategies addressing complications of atherosclerosis should focus on individuals with atherosclerosis rather than grouping together all people who have had a transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke (including those without atherosclerosis). FUNDING: AstraZeneca, Sanofi, Bristol Myers Squibb, SOS Attaque Cérébrale Association.

Tenecteplase Treatment and Thrombus Characteristics Associated With Early Reperfusion: An EXTEND-IA TNK Trials Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Intracranial occlusion site, contrast permeability, and clot burden are thrombus characteristics that influence alteplase-associated reperfusion. In this study, we assessed the reperfusion efficacy of tenecteplase and alteplase in subgroups based on these characteristics in a pooled analysis of the EXTEND-IA TNK trial (Tenecteplase Versus Alteplase Before Endovascular Therapy for Ischemic Stroke). METHODS: Patients with large vessel occlusion were randomized to treatment with tenecteplase (0.25 or 0.4 mg/kg) or alteplase before thrombectomy in hospitals across Australia and New Zealand (2015-2019). The primary outcome, early reperfusion, was defined as the absence of retrievable thrombus or >50% reperfusion on first-pass angiogram. We compared the effect of tenecteplase versus alteplase overall, and in subgroups, based on the following measured with computed tomography angiography: intracranial occlusion site, contrast permeability (measured via residual flow grades), and clot burden (measured via clot burden scores). We adjusted for covariates using mixed effects logistic regression models. RESULTS: Tenecteplase was associated with higher odds of early reperfusion (75/369 [20%] versus alteplase: 9/96 [9%], adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.18 [95% CI, 1.03-4.63]). The difference between thrombolytics was notable in occlusions with low clot burden (tenecteplase: 66/261 [25%] versus alteplase: 5/67 [7%], aOR, 3.93 [95% CI, 1.50-10.33]) when compared to high clot burden lesions (tenecteplase: 9/108 [8%] versus alteplase: 4/29 [14%], aOR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.16-2.06]; Pinteraction=0.01). We did not observe an association between contrast permeability and tenecteplase treatment effect (permeability present: aOR, 2.83 [95% CI, 1.00-8.05] versus absent: aOR, 1.98 [95% CI, 0.65-6.03]; Pinteraction=0.62). Tenecteplase treatment effect was superior with distal M1 or M2 occlusions (53/176 [30%] versus alteplase: 4/42 [10%], aOR, 3.73 [95% CI, 1.25-11.11]), but both thrombolytics had limited efficacy with internal carotid artery occlusions (tenecteplase 1/73 [1%] versus alteplase 1/19 [5%], aOR, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.01-3.83]; Pinteraction=0.16). CONCLUSIONS: Tenecteplase demonstrates superior early reperfusion versus alteplase in lesions with low clot burden. Reperfusion efficacy remains limited in internal carotid artery occlusions and lesions with high clot burden. Further innovation in thrombolytic therapies are required.

Effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on cerebral ischaemia in thrombolysed patients: insights from the ENCHANTED trial.

Background: Intensive blood pressure lowering may adversely affect evolving cerebral ischaemia. We aimed to determine whether intensive blood pressure lowering altered the size of cerebral infarction in the 2196 patients who participated in the Enhanced Control of Hypertension and Thrombolysis Stroke Study, an international randomised controlled trial of intensive (systolic target 130-140 mm Hg within 1 h; maintained for 72 h) or guideline-recommended (systolic target <180 mm Hg) blood pressure management in patients with hypertension (systolic blood pressure >150 mm Hg) after thrombolysis treatment for acute ischaemic stroke between March 3, 2012 and April 30, 2018. Methods: All available brain imaging were analysed centrally by expert readers. Log-linear regression was used to determine the effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on the size of cerebral infarction, with adjustment for potential confounders. The primary analysis pertained to follow-up computerised tomography (CT) scans done between 24 and 36 h. Sensitivity analysis were undertaken in patients with only a follow-up magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and either MRI or CT at 24-36 h, and in patients with any brain imaging done at any time during follow-up. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01422616. Findings: There were 1477 (67.3%) patients (mean age 67.7 [12.1] y; male 60%, Asian 65%) with available follow-up brain imaging for analysis, including 635 patients with a CT done at 24-36 h. Mean achieved systolic blood pressures over 1-24 h were 141 mm Hg and 149 mm Hg in the intensive group and guideline group, respectively. There was no effect of intensive blood pressure lowering on the median size (ml) of cerebral infarction on follow-up CT at 24-36 h (0.3 [IQR 0.0-16.6] in the intensive group and 0.9 [0.0-12.5] in the guideline group; log Δmean -0.17, 95% CI -0.78 to 0.43). The results were consistent in sensitivity and subgroup analyses. Interpretation: Intensive blood pressure lowering treatment to a systolic target <140 mm Hg within several hours after the onset of symptoms may not increase the size of cerebral infarction in patients who receive thrombolysis treatment for acute ischaemic stroke of mild to moderate neurological severity. Funding: National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia; UK Stroke Association; UK Dementia Research Institute; Ministry of Health and the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development of Brazil; Ministry for Health, Welfare, and Family Affairs of South Korea; Takeda.

Outcome prediction in large vessel occlusion ischemic stroke with or without endovascular stroke treatment: THRIVE-EVT.

INTRODUCTION: The THRIVE score and the THRIVE-c calculation are validated ischemic stroke outcome prediction tools based on patient variables that are readily available at initial presentation. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated the benefit of endovascular treatment (EVT) for many patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO), and pooled data from these trials allow for adaptation of the THRIVE-c calculation for use in shared clinical decision making regarding EVT. METHODS: To extend THRIVE-c for use in the context of EVT, we extracted data from the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive (VISTA) from 7 RCTs of EVT. Models were built in a randomly selected development cohort using logistic regression that included the predictors from THRIVE-c: age, NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, presence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and/or atrial fibrillation, as well as randomization to EVT and, where available, the Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS). RESULTS: Good outcome was achieved in 366/787 (46.5%) of subjects randomized to EVT and in 236/795 (29.7%) of subjects randomized to control (P < 0.001), and the improvement in outcome with EVT was seen across age, NIHSS, and THRIVE-c good outcome prediction. Models to predict outcome using THRIVE elements (age, NIHSS, and comorbidities) together with EVT, with or without ASPECTS, had similar performance by ROC analysis in the development and validation cohorts (THRIVE-EVT ROC area under the curve (AUC) = 0.716 in development, 0.727 in validation, P = 0.30; THRIVE-EVT + ASPECTS ROC AUC = 0.718 in development, 0.735 in validation, P = 0.12). CONCLUSION: THRIVE-EVT may be used alongside the original THRIVE-c calculation to improve outcome probability estimation for patients with acute ischemic stroke, including patients with or without LVO, and to model the potential improvement in outcomes with EVT for an individual patient based on variables that are available at initial presentation. Online calculators for THRIVE-c estimation are available at www.thrivescore.org and www.mdcalc.com/thrive-score-for-stroke-outcome.

Mediation of Successful Reperfusion Effect through Infarct Growth and Cerebral Edema: A Pooled, Patient-Level Analysis of EXTEND-IA Trials and SELECT Prospective Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Reperfusion therapy is highly beneficial for ischemic stroke. Reduction in both infarct growth and edema are plausible mediators of clinical benefit with reperfusion. We aimed to quantify these mediators and their interrelationship. METHODS: In a pooled, patient-level analysis of the EXTEND-IA trials and SELECT study, we used a mediation analysis framework to quantify infarct growth and cerebral edema (midline shift) mediation effect on successful reperfusion (modified Treatment in Cerebral Ischemia ≥ 2b) association with functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale distribution). Furthermore, we evaluated an additional pathway to the original hypothesis, where infarct growth mediated successful reperfusion effect on midline shift. RESULTS: A total 542 of 665 (81.5%) eligible patients achieved successful reperfusion. Baseline clinical and imaging characteristics were largely similar between those achieving successful versus unsuccessful reperfusion. Median infarct growth was 12.3ml (interquartile range [IQR] = 1.8-48.4), and median midline shift was 0mm (IQR = 0-2.2). Of 249 (37%) demonstrating a midline shift of ≥1mm, median shift was 2.75mm (IQR = 1.89-4.21). Successful reperfusion was associated with reductions in both predefined mediators, infarct growth (ß = -1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -1.51 to -0.88, p < 0.001) and midline shift (adjusted odds ratio = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.23-0.57, p < 0.001). Successful reperfusion association with improved functional outcome (adjusted common odds ratio [acOR] = 2.68, 95% CI = 1.86-3.88, p < 0.001) became insignificant (acOR = 1.39, 95% CI = 0.95-2.04, p = 0.094) when infarct growth and midline shift were added to the regression model. Infarct growth and midline shift explained 45% and 34% of successful reperfusion effect, respectively. Analysis considering an alternative hypothesis demonstrated consistent results. INTERPRETATION: In this mediation analysis from a pooled, patient-level cohort, a significant proportion (~80%) of successful reperfusion effect on functional outcome was mediated through reduction in infarct growth and cerebral edema. Further studies are required to confirm our findings, detect additional mediators to explain successful reperfusion residual effect, and identify novel therapeutic targets to further enhance reperfusion benefits. ANN NEUROL 2023;93:793-804.

Tenecteplase Improves Reperfusion across Time in Large Vessel Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: Tenecteplase improves reperfusion compared to alteplase in patients with large vessel occlusions. To determine whether this improvement varies across the spectrum of thrombolytic agent to reperfusion assessment times, we performed a comparative analysis of tenecteplase and alteplase reperfusion rates. METHODS: Patients with large vessel occlusion and treatment with thrombolysis were pooled from the Melbourne Stroke Registry, and the EXTEND-IA and EXTEND-IA TNK trials. The primary outcome, thrombolytic-induced reperfusion, was defined as the absence of retrievable thrombus or >50% reperfusion at imaging reassessment. We compared the treatment effect of tenecteplase and alteplase, accounting for thrombolytic to assessment exposure times, via Poisson modeling. We compared 90-day outcomes of patients who achieved reperfusion with a thrombolytic to patients who achieved reperfusion via endovascular therapy using ordinal logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 893 patients included in the primary analysis, thrombolytic-induced reperfusion was observed in 184 (21%) patients. Tenecteplase was associated with higher rates of reperfusion (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] = 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.09-2.07, p = 0.01). Findings were consistent in patient subgroups with first segment (aIRR = 1.41, 95% CI = 0.93-2.14) and second segment (aIRR = 2.07, 95% CI = 0.98-4.37) middle cerebral artery occlusions. Increased thrombolytic to reperfusion assessment times were associated with reperfusion (tenecteplase: adjusted risk ratio [aRR] = 1.08 per 15 minutes, 95% CI = 1.04-1.13 vs alteplase: aRR = 1.06 per 15 minutes, 95% CI = 1.00-1.13). No significant treatment-by-time interaction was observed (p = 0.87). Reperfusion via thrombolysis was associated with improved 90-day modified Rankin Scale scores (adjusted common odds ratio = 2.15, 95% CI = 1.54-3.01) compared to patients who achieved reperfusion following endovascular therapy. INTERPRETATION: Tenecteplase, compared to alteplase, increases prethrombectomy reperfusion, regardless of the time from administration to reperfusion assessment. Prethrombectomy reperfusion is associated with better clinical outcomes. ANN NEUROL 2023;93:489-499.

Risk of subsequent disabling or fatal stroke in patients with transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke: an international, prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients who have had a transient ischaemic attack or minor stroke have an increased risk of cardiovascular events for the following 5 years. We aimed to assess 5-year functional outcomes in patients with transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke and to determine the factors associated with long-term disability. METHODS: We analysed data from patients in TIAregistry.org, an international, prospective, observational registry of patients with transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke from 61 specialised centres in 21 countries. Patients aged 18 years or older who had a transient ischaemic attack or minor stroke within the previous 7 days between May 30, 2009, and Dec 30, 2011, with a baseline modified Rankin scale (mRS) score of 0-1, and who had been followed up for 5 years, were eligible for inclusion in this study. We evaluated whether existing comorbidities and stroke recurrence, categorised as disabling (mRS score of >1, including death) or non-disabling (mRS score of 0-1), at 5 years after baseline, were associated with poor functional outcome (defined as an mRS score of >1). We used multivariable generalised equation models for factors associated with poor functional outcome at 5 years and multivariable cause-specific Cox hazard regression models in case of stroke recurrence. FINDINGS: Between May 30, 2009, and Dec 30, 2011, 3847 eligible patients were included in the study, 3105 (80·7%) of whom had an mRS evaluation at 5 years of follow-up. Median follow-up duration was 5·00 years (IQR 4·78-5·00). 710 (22·9%) of 3105 patients had an mRS score greater than 1 at 5 years. Factors associated with poor functional outcome at 5 years were older age (per 10-year increase, odds ratio [OR] 2·18, 95% CI 1·93-2·46; p<0·0001), diabetes of any type (1·45, 1·18-1·78; p=0·0001), history of stroke or transient ischaemic attack before the qualifying event (1·74, 1·37-2·22; p<0·0001), hypertension (1·38, 1·00-1·92; p=0·050), atrial fibrillation or flutter (1·52, 1·04-1·94; p=0·030), congestive heart failure (1·73, 1·22-2·46; p=0·0024), valvular disease (2·47, 1·70-3·58; p<0·0001), stroke as qualifying event (1·31, 1·09-1·57; p=0·0037), history of peripheral artery disease (1·98, 1·28-3·07; p=0·0023), history of coronary artery disease (1·32, 1·00-1·74; p=0·049), intracranial haemorrhage during follow up (4·94, 1·91-12·78; p=0·0013), and living alone (1·32, 1·10-1·59; p=0·0031). Regular physical activity before the index event was associated with reduced risk of poor functional outcome (OR 0·52, 95% CI 0·42-0·66; p<0·0001). 345 recurrent strokes had occurred at 5 years of follow-up, 141 (40·9%) of which were disabling or fatal. Stroke recurrence increased the risk of having a disability at 5 years (OR 3·52, 95% CI 2·37-5·22; p<0·0001). Recurrent disabling or fatal strokes were independently associated with older age (per 10-year increase, hazard ratio [HR] 1·61, 95% CI 1·35-1·92; p<0·0001), diabetes of any type (2·23, 1·56-3·17; p<0·0001), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of greater than 5 at discharge (5·11, 2·15-12·13; p=0·0013), history of coronary artery disease (1·76, 1·17-2·65; p=0·0063), history of stroke or transient ischaemic attack before the qualifying event (1·54, 1·03-2·29; p=0·035), congestive heart failure (1·86, 1·01-3·47; p=0·044), stroke as qualifying event (1·73, 1·22-2·45; p=0·0024), mRS score of greater than 1 at discharge (2·48, 1·27-4·87; p=0·0083), and intracranial haemorrhage during follow-up (17·15, 9·95-27·43; p<0·0001). Regular physical activity before the index event was associated with reduced risk of recurrent disabling stroke at 5 years (HR 0·56, 95% CI 0·31-0·99; p=0·046), and 5-year disability without recurrent stroke (0·61, 0·47-0·79; p=0·0001). INTERPRETATION: We found a substantial burden of disability (mRS score of >1) at 5 years after transient ischaemic attack or minor ischemic stroke, and most predictors of this disability were modifiable risk factors. Patients who did regular physical exercise before the index event had a significantly reduced risk of disability at 5 years compared with patients who did no exercise. FUNDING: AstraZeneca, Sanofi, Bristol Myers Squibb, SOS Attaque Cérébrale Association.