Incorporating Individual-Level Treatment Effects and Outcome Preferences Into Personalized Blood Pressure Target Recommendations.

BACKGROUND: There are no shared decision-making frameworks for selecting blood pressure (BP) targets for individuals with hypertension. This study addressed whether results from the SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) could be tailored to individuals using predicted risks and simulated preferences. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 8202 SPRINT participants, Cox models were developed and internally validated to predict each individual's absolute difference in risk from intensive versus standard BP lowering for cardiovascular events, cognitive impairment, death, and serious adverse events (AEs). Individual treatment effects were combined using simulated preference weights into a net benefit, which represents a weighted sum of risk differences across outcomes. Net benefits were compared among those above versus below the median AE risk. In simulations for which cardiovascular, cognitive, and death events had much greater weight than the AEs of BP lowering, the median net benefit was 3.3 percentage points (interquartile range [IQR], 2.0-5.7), and 100% of participants had a net benefit favoring intensive BP lowering. When simulating benefits and harms to have similar weights, the median net benefit was 0.8 percentage points (IQR, 0.2-2.2), and 87% had a positive net benefit. Compared with participants at lower risk of AEs from BP lowering, those at higher risk had a greater net benefit from intensive BP lowering despite experiencing more AEs (P<0.001 in both simulations). CONCLUSIONS: Most SPRINT participants had a predicted net benefit that favored intensive BP lowering, but the degree of net benefit varied considerably. Tailoring BP targets using each patient's risks and preferences may provide more refined BP target recommendations.

Association of kidney function with SGLT2 inhibitor discontinuation among United States Veterans.

BACKGROUND: The impact of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease (CKD) may be limited if discontinued in persons with CKD. We sought to determine whether CKD at SGLT2i initiation was associated with subsequent discontinuation. METHODS: This cohort study used electronic health record data of patients who initiated SGLT2i in the Veterans Health Administration from January 2017 through December 2021. The primary exposure was eGFR category at the time of SGLT2i initiation. The risk of SGLT2i discontinuation, defined by a provider order or expiration of an SGLT2i prescription without resumption in the following 180 days, was estimated using proportional hazards models with inverse probability weights for censoring due to death. Analyses were stratified by year of SGLT2i initiation. RESULTS: Among the 222,772 patients initiating an SGLT2i during the study period, median age was 68 (IQR: 60-73) years, 95% were male, and median (IQR) eGFR was 73 (58, 89) mL/min/1.73m2. Median follow-up was 1.6 years; 32% experienced SGLT2i discontinuation. Cumulative risk of discontinuation at one year was 21% to 27% across calendar years; approximately 41% of these discontinuations occurred within the first three months. There was a graded association between lower baseline eGFR and greater risk of discontinuation; this association attenuated across calendar years. Those initiating an SGLT2i in 2017 with baseline eGFR of 45-59 and 30-44 had 1.34- (95%CI: 1.21-1.49) and 2.04-fold (95%CI: 1.58-2.63) risks of discontinuation, respectively, compared to those with eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73m2. These hazard ratios reduced to 1.05 (95%CI: 1.02-1.10) and 1.20 (95%CI: 1.14-1.26), respectively, in those initiated in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of patients experience SGLT2i discontinuation within a year of initiation. Persons with lower eGFR had higher discontinuation rates; however, this trend attenuated over time. Additional studies identifying determining factors of discontinuation are needed to fully realize the benefits of SGLT2i.

Urine Epidermal Growth Factor and Kidney Function Decline in Middle-Aged Adults.

Rationale & Objective: The diagnosis and prognostication of chronic kidney disease (CKD) largely rely on glomerular measures that may not reflect tubular damage. We investigated the associations of urine kidney tubule biomarkers with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) change among middle-aged adults, when chronic diseases typically emerge. Study Design: An observational cohort study. Setting & Participants: A total of 1,145 participants of the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study without CKD, hypertension, or cardiovascular disease at the year 20 visit. Exposures: Seven different biomarkers of tubular health: urine epidermal growth factor (EGF), alpha-1-microglobulin (α1m), interleukin-18, kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, uromodulin, and chitinase-3-like protein 1. Outcomes: Ten-year eGFR change and incident reduced eGFR (new onset of eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Analytical Approach: We examined associations of tubular health biomarkers with 10-year eGFR change and incident reduced eGFR with linear mixed models and interval-censored proportional hazards regression models, respectively. Both minimally and fully adjusted models were controlled for urine creatinine levels. Results: The mean age of participants was 44.8 ± 3.7 years, with 39% African American and 56% female. The average 10-year change in eGFR was -18.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI, -19.4 to -17.8). In contrast to the other tubular biomarkers, which showed conflicting results, EGF demonstrated strong, consistent associations with both kidney outcomes. Each 1-standard deviation (SD) higher EGF was associated with a 2.37 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI, 0.64-4.10) smaller 10-year decrease in eGFR and a 42% (95% CI, 4%-64%) lower risk of incident reduced eGFR in the fully adjusted model. Limitations: Observational design, measurements of eGFR were done only at 5-year intervals during follow-up. Conclusions: In middle-aged, community-dwelling adults without hypertension, cardiovascular disease or CKD, higher urine EGF concentrations are associated with slower eGFR decline, whereas other kidney tubule biomarkers lacked a consistent association with kidney function decline.

Current measures of chronic kidney disease (CKD) rely on markers of glomerular health and function. This approach inadequately captures the role of kidney tubule health, a known histopathological predictor of CKD development. We investigated associations of 7 biomarkers of kidney tubule health with 10-year estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) change and incident reduced eGFR. Among 7 biomarkers, only epidermal growth factor showed persistent and inverse associations with both 10-year eGFR change and incident reduced eGFR. These findings suggest that epidermal growth factor has an association with kidney function changes and might play a protective role in kidney disease development.

Primary care clinician perspectives on automated nephrology e-consults for diabetic kidney disease: a pre-implementation qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: Many patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) do not receive evidence-based, guideline-recommended treatment shown to reduce DKD progression and complications. Proactive electronic consultations (e-consults) are an emerging intervention strategy that could potentially allow nephrologists to provide timely and evidence-based guidance to primary care providers (PCPs) engaged in early DKD care. METHODS: The objective of this study was to explore perspectives about potential barriers and facilitators associated with a proactive e-consult program to improve DKD care delivery. We conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with PCPs across three different health systems. Interview transcripts were reviewed in a rapid qualitative analysis approach to iteratively identify, refine, and achieve consensus on a final list of themes and subthemes. RESULTS: A total of 18 interviews were conducted. PCPs across all sites identified similar challenges to delivering guideline-recommended DKD care. PCPs were supportive of the proactive e-consult concept. Three major themes emerged surrounding (1) perceived potential benefits of proactive e-consults, including educational value and improved specialist access; (2) concerns about the proactive nature of e-consults, including the potential to increase PCP workload and the possibility that e-consults could be seen as documenting substandard care; and (3) leveraging of care teams to facilitate recommended DKD care, such as engaging clinic-based pharmacists to implement specialist recommendations from e-consults. CONCLUSION: In this pre-implementation qualitative study, PCPs noted potential benefits and identified concerns and implementation barriers for proactive e-consults for DKD care. Strategies that emerged for promoting successful implementation included involving clinic support staff to enact e-consult recommendations and framing e-consults as a system improvement effort to avoid judgmental associations.

Cystatin C Use for CKD Detection in the Veterans Health Administration System: A Qualitative Study of Barriers and Facilitators.

Rationale & Objective: The measurement of cystatin C has been recommended to enhance chronic kidney disease (CKD) detection and risk stratification in clinical practice. This study gathered insights into the perceptions and experiences of clinical staff regarding the use of cystatin C in CKD detection within the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) system. Study Design: A qualitative approach was employed to explore barriers and facilitators of clinical staff regarding the use of cystatin C in CKD detection within the VHA system. The Organizational Theory of Implementation Effectiveness informed the development of a semistructured interview guide. Setting & Participants: Health care providers, nurses, and clinical pharmacists from the VHA systems in San Francisco, San Diego, and Houston were interviewed between October 2021 and May 2022. Exposures: Participants' experiences with cystatin C testing. Outcomes: Perceived barriers and facilitators to cystatin C testing. Analytical Approach: Participant responses from individual interviews were analyzed by a multidisciplinary team using rapid qualitative analysis methods. Results: Fourteen in-depth interviews were conducted across the 3 VHA systems. Ten of 11 providers worked in primary care. Five key barriers to using cystatin C for CKD detection were identified. These included lack of patient awareness of CKD testing, lack of provider awareness about cystatin C, knowledge barriers about cystatin C testing, unclear roles and ownership of CKD detection, and lack of clinic support to enhance CKD detection. Suggested interventions to overcome these barriers included educational and training programs, improved clinic workflows, and electronic health record aids to support CKD detection and use of cystatin C. Limitations: The results may not be generalizable to other health care systems outside the VHA. Conclusions: The findings indicate a need for targeted interventions such as educational and training programs, improved clinical workflows, and electronic health record aids to address barriers limiting the use of cystatin C in clinical practice for enhanced CKD detection.

This study assessed how clinical staff at the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) feel about using a test called cystatin C to help detect chronic kidney disease (CKD) earlier and more accurately. The research team spoke to healthcare providers, nurses, and clinical pharmacists in San Francisco, San Diego, and Houston between October 2021 and May 2022. We conducted 14 detailed interviews to understand the challenges and opportunities in using cystatin C for CKD detection. We found that participants often lacked awareness of CKD and the benefits of testing with cystatin C. There were also gaps in knowledge about how to use the test effectively, confusion over who should be responsible for CKD detection, and a need for better support within clinics to use cystatin C. To address these issues, there should be more educational programs for both staff and patients, improvements in clinic processes, and enhancements to electronic health records to better support CKD detection using cystatin C. However, the results from this study might not apply to other healthcare systems outside the VHA.

Cystatin C- and Creatinine-based Estimated GFR Differences: Prevalence and Predictors in the UK Biobank.

Rationale & Objective: Large differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) occur commonly. A comprehensive evaluation of factors that contribute to these differences is needed to guide the interpretation of discrepant eGFR values. Study Design: Cohort study. Setting & Participants: 468,969 participants in the UK Biobank. Exposures: Candidate sociodemographic, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, medication usage, and physical and laboratory predictors. Outcomes: eGFRdiff, defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr, categorized into 3 levels: lower eGFRcys (eGFRdiff, less than -15 mL/min/1.73 m2), concordant eGFRcys and eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, -15 to < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2), and lower eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2). Analytical Approach: Multinomial logistic regression models were constructed to identify predictors of lower eGFRcys or lower eGFRcr. We developed 2 prediction models comprising 375,175 participants: (1) a clinical model using clinically available variables and (2) an enriched model additionally including lifestyle variables. The models were internally validated in an additional 93,794 participants. Results: Mean ± standard deviation of eGFRcys was 88 ± 16 mL/min/1.73 m2, and eGFRcr was 95 ± 13 mL/min/1.73 m2; 25% and 5% of participants were in the lower eGFRcys and lower eGFRcr groups, respectively. In the multivariable enriched model, strong predictors of lower eGFRcys were older age, male sex, South Asian ethnicity, current smoker (vs never smoker), history of thyroid dysfunction, chronic inflammatory disease, steroid use, higher waist circumference and body fat, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio >300 mg/g. Odds ratio estimates for these predictors were largely inverse of those in the lower eGFRcr group. The model's area under the curve was 0.75 in the validation set, with good calibration (1.00). Limitations: Limited generalizability. Conclusions: This study highlights the multitude of demographic, lifestyle, and health characteristics that are associated with large eGFRdiff. The clinical model may identify individuals who are likely to have discrepant eGFR values and thus should be prioritized for cystatin C testing.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C and creatinine may differ substantially within an individual. Although most clinicians are aware that creatinine is influenced by muscle mass, there are additional numerous lifestyle and health characteristics that may affect serum concentrations of either biomarker. Our analyses of 468,969 individuals in the UK Biobank identified independent predictors of large differences between eGFR based on cystatin C and eGFR based on creatinine, which may inform the interpretation of discrepant eGFR values within an individual. We developed models that may be implemented at a population level to help health systems identify individuals who are likely to have large differences between eGFR based on cystatin C and eGFR based on creatinine and thus should be prioritized for cystatin C testing.

Mediation analysis of chronic kidney disease risk factors using kidney biomarkers in women living with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: Novel urinary biomarkers reflecting kidney tubule health are associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk in persons living with HIV. However, it is unknown whether these biomarkers provide mechanistic insight into the associations between clinical risk factors for CKD and subsequent CKD risk. METHODS: Among 636 women living with HIV in the Women's Interagency HIV Study with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 , we used a counterfactual approach to causal mediation analysis to evaluate the extent to which systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), hemoglobin a1c (Hba1c) and serum albumin associations with incident CKD were mediated by eight urine proteins. These biomarkers reflect proximal tubular reabsorptive dysfunction (α1-microglobulin [a1m], ß2-microglobulin, trefoil factor 3); tubular injury (interleukin 18 [IL-18], kidney injury molecule 1 [KIM-1]); kidney repair (epidermal growth factor); tubular reserve (uromodulin); and glomerular injury (urinary albumin). Incident CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 measured at two consecutive 6-month visits with an average annual eGFR decline ≥3% per year. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7 years, 11% developed CKD. Urinary albumin and KIM-1 mediated 32% (95% CI: 13.4%, 76.6%) and 23% (6.9%, 60.7%) of the association between SBP and incident CKD, respectively; and 19% (5.1%, 42.3%) and 22% (8.1%, 45.7%) of the association between DBP and incident CKD, respectively. Urinary albumin, α1m, and IL-18 were significant mediators of the association between Hba1c and incident CKD. None of the eight biomarkers mediated the association between serum albumin and incident CKD. CONCLUSIONS: Among women living with HIV, several urinary biomarkers reflecting distinct dimensions of kidney health may partially explain the associations between SBP, DBP, and Hba1c and subsequent CKD risk.

Modification of Association of Cystatin C With Kidney and Cardiovascular Outcomes by Obesity.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) has stronger associations with adverse clinical outcomes than creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr). Obesity may be associated with higher cystatin C levels, independent of kidney function, but it is unknown whether obesity modifies associations of eGFRcys with kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 27,249 US adults in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke Study. PREDICTORS: eGFRcys, eGFRcr, waist circumference, and body mass index (BMI). OUTCOME: All-cause mortality, kidney failure, incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and incident heart failure (HF). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox and Fine-Gray models with multiplicative interaction terms were constructed to investigate whether waist circumference quartiles or BMI categories modified associations of eGFRcys with risks of 4 clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Participants had a mean age of 65 years; 54% were women, 41% were Black, and 21% had an eGFRcys<60mL/min/1.73m2. The baseline prevalence of abdominal obesity (waist circumference≥88cm for women or≥102cm for men) was 48% and obesity was 38%. In multivariable adjusted analyses, each 15mL/min/1.73m2 lower eGFRcys was associated with higher HR and 95% CI of mortality in each waist circumference quartile (first quartile, 1.19 [1.15-1.24]; second quartile, 1.22 [1.18-1.26]; third quartile, 1.20 [1.16-1.24]; fourth quartile, 1.19 [1.15-1.23]) as well as within each BMI category (BMI<24.9: 1.21 [1.17-1.25]; BMI 25.0-29.9: 1.21 [1.18-1.25]; BMI 30.0-34.9: 1.20 [1.16-1.25]; BMI≥35: 1.17, [1.12-1.22]). Neither waist circumference nor BMI modified the association of eGFRcys with mortality, kidney failure, incident ASCVD, or incident HF (all Pinteraction>0.05). LIMITATIONS: Included only Black and White persons in the United States. CONCLUSION: Obesity did not modify the association of eGFRcys with all-cause mortality, kidney failure, incident ASCVD, or incident HF. Among individuals with obesity, cystatin C may be used to provide eGFR-based risk prognostication for adverse outcomes. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Cystatin C is increasingly used in clinical practice to estimate kidney function, and cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) may be used to determine risk for adverse clinical outcomes. Adiposity may increase serum levels of cystatin C, independent of kidney function. This cohort study investigated whether associations of eGFRcys with adverse kidney and cardiovascular outcomes are modified by measures of obesity, waist circumference, and body mass index. We found that obesity does not modify associations of eGFRcys with 4 clinical outcomes and conclude that among individuals with obesity, cystatin C may be used to provide eGFR-based risk prognostication for adverse outcomes.

Associations of Baseline and Longitudinal Serum Uromodulin With Kidney Failure and Mortality: Results From the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK) Trial.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Uromodulin (UMOD) is the most abundant protein found in urine and has emerged as a promising biomarker of tubule health. Circulating UMOD is also detectable, but at lower levels. We evaluated whether serum UMOD levels were associated with the risks of incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Participants in AASK (the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension) with available stored serum samples from the 0-, 12-, and 24-month visits for biomarker measurement. PREDICTORS: Baseline log-transformed UMOD and change in UMOD over 2 years. OUTCOMES: KFRT and mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards and mixed-effects models. RESULTS: Among 500 participants with baseline serum UMOD levels (mean age, 54y; 37% female), 161 KFRT events occurred during a median of 8.5 years. After adjusting for baseline demographic factors, clinical factors, glomerular filtration rate, log-transformed urine protein-creatinine ratio, and randomized treatment groups, a 50% lower baseline UMOD level was independently associated with a 35% higher risk of KFRT (adjusted HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.07-1.70). For annual UMOD change, each 1-standard deviation lower change was associated with a 67% higher risk of KFRT (adjusted HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.41-1.99). Baseline UMOD and UMOD change were not associated with mortality. UMOD levels declined more steeply for metoprolol versus ramipril (P<0.001) as well as for intensive versus standard blood pressure goals (P = 0.002). LIMITATIONS: Small sample size and limited generalizability. CONCLUSIONS: Lower UMOD levels at baseline and steeper declines in UMOD over time were associated with a higher risk of subsequent KFRT in a cohort of African American adults with chronic kidney disease and hypertension. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Prior studies of uromodulin (UMOD), the most abundant protein in urine, and kidney disease have focused primarily on urinary UMOD levels. The present study evaluated associations of serum UMOD levels with the risks of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) and mortality in a cohort of African American adults with hypertension and chronic kidney disease. It found that participants with lower levels of UMOD at baseline were more likely to experience KFRT even after accounting for baseline kidney measures. Similarly, participants who experienced steeper annual declines in UMOD also had a heightened risk of kidney failure. Neither baseline nor annual change in UMOD was associated with mortality. Serum UMOD is a promising biomarker of kidney health.

Association of urine biomarkers of kidney health with subclinical cardiovascular disease among men with and without HIV.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine whether urine biomarkers of kidney health are associated with subclinical cardiovascular disease among men with and without HIV. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study within the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) among 504 men with and without HIV infection who underwent cardiac computed tomography scans and had urine biomarkers measured within the preceding 2 years. METHODS: Our primary predictors were four urine biomarkers of endothelial (albuminuria), proximal tubule dysfunction (alpha-1-microglobulin [A1 M] and injury (kidney injury molecule-1 [KIM-1]) and tubulointerstitial fibrosis (pro-collagen-III N-terminal peptide [PIIINP]). These were evaluated for association with coronary artery calcium (CAC) prevalence, CAC extent, total plaque score, and total segment stenosis using multivariable regression. RESULTS: Of the 504 participants, 384 were men with HIV (MWH) and 120 were men without HIV. In models adjusted for sociodemographic factors, cardiovascular disease risk factors, eGFR, and HIV-related factors, each two-fold higher concentration of albuminuria was associated with a greater extent of CAC (1.35-fold higher, 95% confidence interval 1.11-1.65), and segment stenosis (1.08-fold greater, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.16). Associations were similar between MWH and men without HIV in stratified analyses. The third quartile of A1 M showed an association with greater CAC extent, total plaque score, and total segment stenosis, compared with the lowest quartile. CONCLUSION: Worse endothelial and proximal tubule dysfunction, as reflected by higher urine albumin and A1 M, were associated with greater CAC extent and coronary artery stenosis.

Associations between abrupt transition, dialysis-requiring AKI, and early mortality in ESKD among U.S. veterans.

BACKGROUND: Mortality is high within the first few months of starting chronic dialysis. Pre-ESKD trajectory of kidney function has been shown to be predictive of early death after dialysis initiation. We aim to better understand how two key aspects of pre-dialysis kidney function-an abrupt transition pattern and an episode of dialysis-requiring AKI (AKI-D) leading directly to ESKD-are associated with early mortality after dialysis initiation. METHODS: We extracted national data from U.S. Veterans Health Administration cross-linked with the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) to identify patients who initiated hemodialysis during 2009-2013. We defined abrupt transition as having a mean outpatient eGFR ≥ 30 ml/min/1.73m2 within 1 year prior to ESKD. AKI-D was identified using inpatient serum creatinine measurements (serum Cr increase by at least 50% from baseline) along with billing codes for inpatient receipt of dialysis for AKI within 30 days prior to the ESKD start date. We used multivariable proportional hazards models to examine the association between patterns of kidney function prior to ESKD and all-cause mortality within 90 days after ESKD. RESULTS: Twenty-two thousand eight hundred fifteen patients were identified in the final analytic cohort of Veterans who initiated hemodialysis and entered the USRDS. We defined five patterns of kidney function decline. Most (68%) patients (N = 15,484) did not have abrupt transition and did not suffer an episode of AKI-D prior to ESKD (reference group). The remaining groups had abrupt transition, AKI-D, or both. Patients who had an abrupt transition with (N = 503) or without (N = 3611) AKI-D had the highest risk of early mortality after ESKD onset after adjustment for demographics and comorbidities (adjusted HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.66-2.65 for abrupt transition with AKI-D; adjusted HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.90-2.33 for abrupt transition without AKI-D). In contrast, patients who experienced AKI-D without an abrupt transition pattern (N = 2141 had only a modestly higher risk of early death (adjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.01-1.40). CONCLUSIONS: An abrupt decline in kidney function within 1 year prior to ESKD occurred in nearly 1 in 5 incident hemodialysis patients (18%) in this national cohort of Veterans and was strongly associated with higher early mortality after ESKD onset.

CKD-EPI and EKFC GFR Estimating Equations: Performance and Other Considerations for Selecting Equations for Implementation in Adults.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: New eGFR equations from Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) and European Kidney Function Consortium (EKFC) using creatinine (eGFRcr), cystatin C (eGFRcys), and both (eGFRcr-cys) have sufficient accuracy for use in clinical practice, leading to uncertainty in selecting equations for implementation. The authors evaluated performance of equations in an independent population of 4050 adults and evaluated other considerations important for implementation. They found that CKD-EPI and EKFC equations are approaching convergence, with better performance of eGFRcr-cys equations in the overall group and fewer differences among race, sex, and age subgroups than eGFRcr equations. Larger differences among eGFRcr equations reflect regional population differences in creatinine, forcing a trade-off between accuracy and uniformity in global implementation of eGFRcr equations. More widespread use of cystatin C could avoid this trade-off. BACKGROUND: New CKD-EPI and EKFC eGFR equations using eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and both (eGFRcr-cys) have sufficient accuracy for use in clinical practice. A better understanding of the equations, including their performance in race, sex and age subgroups, is important for selection of eGFR equations for global implementation. METHODS: We evaluated performance (bias and P 30 ) of equations and methods used for equation development in an independent study population comprising 4050 adults pooled from 12 studies. The mean (SD) measured GFR was 76.4 (29.6) ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and age 57.0 (17.4) years, with 1557 (38%) women and 579 (14%) Black participants. RESULTS: Coefficients for creatinine, cystatin C, age, and sex in the CKD-EPI and EKFC equations are similar. Performance of the eGFRcr-cys equations in the overall population (bias <±5 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and P 30 >90%) was better than the eGFRcr or eGFRcys equations, with fewer differences among race, sex, and age subgroups. Differences in performance across subgroups reflected differences in diversity of source populations and use of variables for race and sex for equation development. Larger differences among eGFRcr equations reflected regional population differences in non-GFR determinants of creatinine. CONCLUSION: CKD-EPI and EKFC equations are approaching convergence. It is not possible to maximize both accuracy and uniformity in selecting one of the currently available eGFRcr equations for implementation across regions. Decisions should consider methods for equation development in addition to performance. Wider use of cystatin C with creatinine could maximize both accuracy and uniformity of GFR estimation using currently available equations.

Discordance Between Creatinine-Based and Cystatin C-Based Estimated GFR: Interpretation According to Performance Compared to Measured GFR.

Rationale & Objective: Use of cystatin C in addition to creatinine to estimate glomerular filtration rate (estimated glomerular filtration rate based on cystatin C [eGFRcys] and estimated glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine [eGFRcr], respectively) is increasing. When eGFRcr and eGFRcys are discordant, it is not known which is more accurate, leading to uncertainty in clinical decision making. Study Design: Cross-sectional analysis. Setting & Participants: Four thousand fifty participants with measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) from 12 studies in North America and Europe. Exposures: Serum creatinine and serum cystatin C. Outcomes: Performance of creatinine-based and cystatin C-based glomerular filtration rate estimating equations compared to mGFR. Analytical Approach: We evaluated the accuracy of eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and the combination (eGFRcr-cys) compared to mGFR according to the magnitude of the difference between eGFRcr and eGFRcys (eGFRdiff). We used CKD-EPI (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration) equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate. eGFRdiff was defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr and categorized as less than -15, -15 to <15, and ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2 (negative, concordant, and positive groups, respectively). We compared bias (median of mGFR minus eGFR) and the percentage of eGFR within 30% of mGFR. Results: Thirty percent of participants had discordant eGFRdiff (21.0% and 9.6% negative and positive eGFRdiffs, respectively). In the concordant eGFRdiff group, all equations displayed similar accuracy. In the negative eGFRdiff groups, eGFRcr had a large overestimation of mGFR (-13.4 [-14.5 to -12.2] mL/min/1.73 m2) and eGFRcys had a large underestimation (9.9 [9.1-11.2] mL/min/1.73m2), with opposite results in the positive eGFRdiff group. In both negative and positive eGFRdiff groups, eGFRcr-cys was more accurate than either eGFRcr or eGFRcys. These results were largely consistent across age, sex, race, and body mass index. Limitations: Few participants with major comorbid conditions. Conclusions: Discordant eGFRcr and eGFRcys are common. eGFR using the combination of creatinine and cystatin C provides the most accurate estimates among persons with discordant eGFRcr or eGFRcys.

Ambulatory urine biomarkers associations with acute kidney injury and hospitalization in people with HIV.

BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) generally have worse ambulatory levels of kidney injury biomarkers and excess risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) compared to persons without HIV. We evaluated whether ambulatory measures of subclinical kidney injury among PWH are associated with subsequent AKI. METHODS: In the Predictors of Acute Renal Injury Study (PARIS), which enrolled 468 PWH from April 2016 to August 2019, we measured 10 urine biomarkers of kidney health (albumin, a1m, b2M, NGAL, IL18, KIM-1, EGF, UMOD, MCP-1, YKL40) at baseline and annually during follow-up. Using multivariable Cox regression models, we evaluated baseline and time-updated biomarker associations with the primary outcome of AKI (≥0.3 mg/dl or ≥1.5-times increase in serum creatinine from baseline) and secondary outcome of all-cause hospitalization. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean age was 53 years old, and 45% self-identified as female. In time-updated models adjusting for sociodemographic factors, comorbidities, albuminuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and HIV-associated factors, higher KIM-1 [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.30 per twofold higher; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.63] and NGAL concentrations (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.44) were associated with higher risk of hospitalized AKI. Additionally, in multivariable, time-updated models, higher levels of KIM-1 (HR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.00, 1.41), NGAL (HR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.01-1.26), and MCP-1 (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.00, 1.45) were associated with higher risk of hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Urine biomarkers of kidney tubular injury, such as KIM-1 and NGAL, are strongly associated with AKI among PWH, and may hold potential for risk stratification of future AKI.