Inter-rater reliability of occupational exposure assessment in a case-control study of female breast cancer.

The objective of this paper was to estimate the inter-rater reliability of expert assessments of occupational exposures. An inter-rater reliability sub-study was conducted within a population-based case-control study of postmenopausal breast cancer. Detailed information on lifetime occupational histories was obtained from participants and two industrial hygienists assigned exposures to 185 jobs using a checklist of 293 agents. Experts rated exposure for each job-agent combination according to exposure status (unexposed/exposed), confidence that the exposure occurred (possible/probable/definite), intensity (low/medium/high), and frequency (% time per week). The statistical unit of observation was each job-agent assessment (185 jobs × 293 agents = 54,205 assessments per expert). Crude agreement, Gwet AC1/2 statistics, and Cohen's Kappa were used to estimate inter-rater agreement for confidence and intensity; for frequency, the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) was used. The majority of job-agent combinations were evaluated by the two experts to be not exposed (crude agreement >98% of decisions). The degree of agreement between the experts for the confidence of exposure status was Gwet AC1/2 = 0.99 (95% CI: 0.99-0.99), and for intensity, a Gwet AC2 = 0.99 (95% CI: 0.99-0.99). For frequency, an ICC of 0.31 (95% CI: 0.26-0.35) was found. A sub-analysis restricted to job-agent combinations for which the two experts agreed on exposure status revealed a moderate agreement for confidence of exposure (Gwet AC2 = 0.66) and high agreement for intensity (Gwet AC2 = 0.96). For frequency, the ICC was 0.52 (95% CI: 0.47-0.57). A high level of inter-rater agreement was found for identifying exposures and for coding intensity, but agreement was lower for the coding of frequency of exposure.

Loss of function of DJ-1 triggered by Parkinson's disease-associated mutation is due to proteolytic resistance to caspase-6.

DJ-1 was recently identified as a gene product responsible for a subset of familial Parkinson's disease (PD). The mechanisms by which mutations in DJ-1 alter its function and account for PD-related pathology remained largely unknown. We show that DJ-1 is processed by caspase-6 and that the caspase-6-derived C-terminal fragment of DJ-1 fully accounts for associated p53-dependent cell death. In line with the above data, we show that a recently described early-onset PD-associated mutation (D149A) renders DJ-1 resistant to caspase-6 proteolysis and abolishes its protective phenotype. Unlike the D149A mutation, the L166P mutation that prevents DJ-1 dimerization does not impair its proteolysis by caspase-6 although it also abolishes DJ-1 antiapoptotic function. Therefore, we show here that DJ-1 loss of function could be due to impaired caspase-6 proteolysis and we document the fact that various DJ-1 mutations could lead to PD pathology through distinct molecular mechanisms.

Variation of daily warm season mortality as a function of micro-urban heat islands.

BACKGROUND: Little attention has been paid to how heat-related health effects vary with the micro-urban variation of outdoor temperatures. This study explored whether people located in micro-urban heat islands are at higher risk of mortality during hot summer days. METHODS: Data used included (1) daily mortality for Montreal (Canada) for June-August 1990-2003, (2) daily mean ambient outdoor temperatures at the local international airport and (3) two thermal surface images (Landsat satellites, infrared wavelengths). A city-wide temperature versus daily mortality function was established on the basis of a case-crossover design; this function was stratified according to the surface temperature at decedents' place of death. RESULTS: The risk of death on warm summer days in areas with higher surface temperatures was greater than in areas with lower surface temperatures. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that measures aimed at reducing the temperature in micro-urban heat islands (eg, urban greening activities) may reduce the health impact of hot temperatures. Further studies are needed to document the variation of heat-related risks within cities and to evaluate the health benefits of measures aimed at reducing the temperature in micro-urban heat islands.

A panel study in congestive heart failure to estimate the short-term effects from personal factors and environmental conditions on oxygen saturation and pulse rate.

OBJECTIVES: Recent studies suggest that persons with congestive heart failure (CHF) may be at higher risk for short-term effects of air pollution. This daily diary panel study in Montreal, Quebec, was carried out to determine whether oxygen saturation and pulse rate were associated with selected personal factors, weather conditions and air pollution. METHODS: Thirty-one subjects with CHF participated in this study in 2002 and 2003. Over a 2-month period, the investigators measured their oxygen saturation, pulse rate, weight and temperature each morning and recorded these and other data in a daily diary. Air pollution and weather conditions were obtained from fixed-site monitoring stations. The study made use of mixed regression models, adjusting for within-subject serial correlation and temporal trends, to determine the association between oxygen saturation and pulse rate and personal and environmental variables. Depending on the model, we accounted for the effects of a variety of personal variables (eg, body temperature, salt consumption) as well as nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone, maximum temperature and change in barometric pressure at 8:00 from the previous day. RESULTS: In multivariable analyses, the study found that oxygen saturation was reduced when subjects reported that they were ill, consumed salt, or drank liquids on the previous day and had higher body temperatures on the concurrent day (only the latter was statistically significant). Relative humidity and decreased atmospheric pressure from the previous day were associated with oxygen saturation. In univariate analyses, there was negative associations with concentrations of fine particulates, ozone, and sulphur dioxide (SO2), but only SO2 was significant after adjustment for the effects of weather. For pulse rate, no associations were found for the personal variables and in univariate analyses the study found positive associations with NO(2), fine particulates (aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 microm or under, PM(2.5)), SO2, and maximum temperature, although only the latter two were significant after adjustment for environmental effects. CONCLUSIONS: The findings from the present investigation suggest that personal and environmental conditions affect intermediate physiological parameters that may affect the health of CHF patients.

A population-based case-control study of lung cancer and green tea consumption among women living in Shanghai, China.

Epidemiologic evidence regarding the association between the consumption of green tea and lung cancer is limited and inconclusive, although experimental studies have shown consistently that tea preparations and tea polyphenols may inhibit the induction of a variety of cancers, including lung cancer. In this population-based case-control study, we examined the association between past consumption of green tea and the risk of lung cancer. We identified 649 incident cases of primary lung cancer among women diagnosed from February 1992 through January 1994 using the population-based Shanghai Cancer Registry. We randomly selected a control group of 675 women from the Shanghai Residential Registry, frequency-matched to the expected age distribution of the cases. Green tea consumption was ascertained through face-to-face interviews. We estimated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) using unconditional logistic regression. Among nonsmoking women, consumption of green tea was associated with a reduced risk of lung cancer (OR = 0.65; 95% CI = 0.45-0.93), and the risks decreased with increasing consumption. We found little association, however, among women who smoked (OR = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.40-2.22). The inconsistency in the association between drinking tea and the risk of lung cancer reported in previous studies may in part be due to inadequate control of confounding of active smoking.

Associations between daily cause-specific mortality and concentrations of ground-level ozone in Montreal, Quebec.

The authors investigated the association between daily variations in ozone and cause-specific mortality. Fixed-site air pollution monitors in Montreal, Quebec, provided daily mean levels of ozone, particles, and other gaseous pollutants. Information on the date and underlying cause of death was obtained for residents of Montreal who died in the city between 1984 and 1993. The authors regressed the logarithm of daily counts of cause-specific mortality on mean levels of ozone, after accounting for seasonal and subseasonal fluctuations in the mortality time series, non-Poisson dispersion, and weather variables. The effect of ozone on mortality was generally higher in the warm season and among persons aged 65 years or over. For an increase in the 3-day running mean concentration of ozone of 21.3 microg/m(3), the percentage of increase in daily deaths in the warm season was the following: nonaccidental deaths, 3.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.7, 5.0); cancer, 3.9% (95% CI: 1.0, 6.91); cardiovascular diseases, 2.5% (95% CI: 0.2, 5.0); and respiratory diseases, 6.6% (95% CI: 1.8, 11.8). These results were independent of the effects of other pollutants and were consistent with a log-linear response function.

Identification of persons with cardiorespiratory conditions who are at risk of dying from the acute effects of ambient air particles.

This study was undertaken to identify subgroups of the population susceptible to the effects of ambient air particles. Fixed-site air pollution monitors in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, provided daily mean levels of various measures of particulates and gaseous pollutants. Total sulfates were also measured daily (1986-1993) at a monitoring station 150 km southeast of the city (Sutton, Quebec, Canada). We used coefficient of haze (COH), extinction coefficient, and Sutton sulfates to predict fine particles and sulfates from a fine particles model for days that were missing. We used the universal Quebec medicare system to obtain billings and prescriptions for each Montreal resident who died in the city from 1984 to 1993. These data were then used to define cardiovascular and respiratory conditions that subjects had before death. Using standard Poisson regression time-series analyses, we estimated the association between daily nonaccidental mortality and daily concentrations of particles in the ambient air among persons with cardiovascular and respiratory conditions diagnosed before death. We found no persuasive evidence that daily mortality increased when ambient air particles were elevated for subgroups of persons with chronic upper respiratory diseases, airways disease, cerebrovascular diseases, acute coronary artery disease, and hypertension. However, we found that daily mortality increased linearly as concentrations of particles increased for persons who had acute lower respiratory diseases, chronic coronary artery diseases (especially in the elderly), and congestive heart failure. For this latter set of conditions, the mean percent increase in daily mortality (MPC) for an increase in the COH across its interquartile range (18.5 COH units per 327.8 linear meters), averaged over the day of death and the 2 preceding days, was MPC = 5.09% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.47-7.79%], MPC = 2.62 (95% CI 0.53-4.75%), and MPC = 4.99 (95% CI 2.44-7.60%), respectively. Adjustments for gaseous pollutants generally attenuated these associations, although the general pattern of increased daily mortality remained. In addition, there appeared to be a stronger association in the summer season. The positive associations found for persons who had acute lower respiratory diseases and congestive heart failure are consistent with some prevailing hypotheses and may also be consistent with recent toxicologic data implicating endothelins. Further epidemiologic studies are required to confirm these findings.

alpha-Synuclein occurs in lipid-rich high molecular weight complexes, binds fatty acids, and shows homology to the fatty acid-binding proteins.

alpha-Synuclein (alphaS) is a 140-residue neuronal protein that forms insoluble cytoplasmic aggregates in Parkinson's disease (PD) and several other neurodegenerative disorders. Two missense mutations (A53T and A30P) are linked to rare forms of familial PD. The normal function of alphaS is unknown, and cultured cell systems that model its modification from soluble monomers to aggregated forms have not been reported. Through a systematic centrifugal fractionation of mesencephalic neuronal cell lines and transgenic mouse brains expressing wild-type or A53T human alphaS, we observed unusual, previously unrecognized species of alphaS that migrate well above the 17-kDa monomeric form in denaturing gels. Incubation at 65 degrees C of high-speed cytosols from cells or brains revealed a modified alphaS species migrating at approximately 36 kDa and an extensive higher molecular mass alphaS-reactive smear. Extraction of the cytosols with chloroform/methanol or with a resin (Lipidex 1000) that binds fatty acids resulted in a similar pattern of higher molecular mass alphaS forms. On the basis of this effect of delipidation, we reexamined the primary structure of alphaS and detected a motif at the N and C termini that is homologous to a fatty acid-binding protein signature. In accord, we found that purified human alphaS binds oleic acid, with an apparent K(d) of 12.5 microM. We also observed an enhanced association of A53T alphaS with microsomal membranes in both mesencephalic cells and transgenic mouse brains. We conclude that alphaS has biochemical properties and a structural motif that suggest it is a novel member of the fatty acid-binding protein family and may thus transport fatty acids between the aqueous and membrane phospholipid compartments of the neuronal cytoplasm.

The spatial association between community air pollution and mortality: a new method of analyzing correlated geographic cohort data.

We present a new statistical model for linking spatial variation in ambient air pollution to mortality. The model incorporates risk factors measured at the individual level, such as smoking, and at the spatial level, such as air pollution. We demonstrate that the spatial autocorrelation in community mortality rates, an indication of not fully characterizing potentially confounding risk factors to the air pollution-mortality association, can be accounted for through the inclusion of location in the model assessing the effects of air pollution on mortality. Our methods are illustrated with an analysis of the American Cancer Society cohort to determine whether all cause mortality is associated with concentrations of sulfate particles. The relative risk associated with a 4.2 microg/m(3) interquartile range of sulfate distribution for all causes of death was 1.051 (95% confidence interval 1.036-1.066) based on the Cox proportional hazards survival model, assuming subjects were statistically independent. Inclusion of community-based random effects yielded a relative risk of 1.055 (1.033, 1.077), which represented a doubling in the residual variance compared to that estimated by the Cox model. Residuals from the random-effects model displayed strong evidence of spatial autocorrelation (p = 0.0052). Further inclusion of a location surface reduced the sulfate relative risk and the evidence for autocorrelation as the complexity of the location surface increased, with a range in relative risks of 1.055-1.035. We conclude that these data display both extravariation and spatial autocorrelation, characteristics not captured by the Cox survival model. Failure to account for extravariation and spatial autocorrelation can lead to an understatement of the uncertainty of the air pollution association with mortality.

A case-control study of the relationship between the risk of colon cancer in men and exposures to occupational agents.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a population-based case-control study in Montreal, Canada, to explore associations between hundreds of occupational circumstances and several cancer sites, including colon. METHODS: We interviewed 497 male patients with a pathologically confirmed diagnosis of colon cancer, 1514 controls with cancers at other sites, and 533 population-based controls. Detailed job histories and relevant potential confounding variables were obtained, and the job histories were translated by a team of chemists and industrial hygienists into a history of occupational exposures. RESULTS: We found that there was reasonable evidence of associations for men employed in nine industry groups (adjusted odds ranging from 1.1 to 1.6 per a 10-year increase in duration of employment), and in 12 job groups (OR varying from 1.1 to 1.7). In addition, we found evidence of increased risks by increasing level of exposures to 21 occupational agents, including polystyrene (OR for "substantial" exposure (OR(subst)) = 10.7), polyurethanes (OR(subst) = 8.4), coke dust (OR(subst) = 5.6), mineral oils (OR(subst) = 3.3), polyacrylates (OR(subst) = 2.8), cellulose nitrate (OR(subst) = 2.6), alkyds (OR(subst) = 2.5), inorganic insulation dust (OR(subst) = 2.3), plastic dusts (OR(subst) = 2.3), asbestos (OR(subst) = 2.1), mineral wool fibers (OR(subst) = 2.1), glass fibers (OR(subst) = 2.0), iron oxides (OR(subst) = 1.9), aliphatic ketones (OR(subst) = 1.9), benzene (OR(subst) = 1.9), xylene (OR(subst) = 1.9), inorganic acid solutions (OR(subst) = 1.8), waxes, polishes (OR(subst) = 1.8), mononuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (OR(subst) = 1.6), toluene (OR(subst) = 1.6), and diesel engine emissions (OR(subst) = 1.5). Not all of these effects are independent because some exposures occurred contemporaneously with others or because they referred to a group of substances. CONCLUSIONS: We have uncovered a number of occupational associations with colon cancer. For most of these agents, there are no published data to support or refute our observations. As there are few accepted risk factors for colon cancer, we suggest that new occupational and toxicologic studies be undertaken focusing on the more prevalent substances reported herein.

The association between daily mortality and ambient air particle pollution in Montreal, Quebec. 1. Nonaccidental mortality.

This study was undertaken to determine whether variations in concentrations of particles in the ambient air of Montreal, Quebec, during the period 1984 to 1993, were associated with daily variations in nonaccidental mortality. Fixed-site air pollution monitors in Montreal provided daily mean levels of various measures of particulates and gaseous pollutants. Total sulfates were also measured daily (1986-1993) at a monitoring station 150 km southeast of the city (Sutton, Quebec). We estimated associations for PM(2.5), PM(10), total suspended particles, coefficient of haze (COH), extinction coefficient, and sulfates. We used coefficient of haze, extinction coefficient, and Sutton sulfates to predict fine particles and sulfates for days that were missing. To estimate the associations between nonaccidental mortality and ambient air particles, we regressed the logarithm of daily counts of nonaccidental mortality on the daily mean levels for the above measures of particulates, after accounting for seasonal and subseasonal fluctuations in the mortality time series, non-Poisson dispersion, weather variables, and gaseous pollutants. There were 140,939 residents of Montreal who died during the study period. We found evidence of associations between daily nonaccidental deaths and most measures of particulate air pollution. For example, the mean percentage increase (MPC) for an increase of total suspended particles of 28.57 microg/m(3) (interquartile range, IQ), evaluated at lag 0 days, was 1.86% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.00-3.76%), and for an increase of coefficient of haze (IQ=18.5 COH units per 327.8 linear m) the MPC was 1.44% (95% CI: 0.75-2.14%). These results are similar to findings from other studies (the mean percentage increase in nonaccidental deaths for a 100 microg/m(3) increase in daily total suspended particles was 6.7%). We also found increases for fine particles and for inhalable particles, but the confidence intervals included unity. All measures of sulfates showed increased daily mortality; e.g., the MPC for sulfates from fine particles (IQ=3.51 microg/m(3)) was 1.86% (95% CI: 0.40-3.35%). We generally found higher excesses in daily mortality for persons 65 years of age and for exposures averaged across lags 0, 1, and 2 days. The slope of the association between daily mortality and ambient air particles in Montreal, which has lower levels of pollution than most major urban centers, is similar to that reported in most other industrialized cities. This study therefore provides further evidence that the association is linear and that any threshold effect, should it exist, would be found at lower levels of air pollution than those found in Montreal.

The association between daily mortality and ambient air particle pollution in Montreal, Quebec. 2. Cause-specific mortality.

This study was undertaken to determine whether variations in concentrations of particulates in the ambient air of Montreal, Quebec, during the period 1984 to 1993, were associated with daily variations in cause-specific daily mortality. Fixed-site air pollution monitors in Montreal provided daily mean levels of various measures of particles and gaseous pollutants. Total sulfate was also measured daily (1986-1993) at a monitoring station 150 km southeast of the city (Sutton, Quebec). We used coefficient of haze (COH), extinction coefficient, and sulfate from the Sutton station to predict fine particles and sulfate from fine particles for days that were missing. We estimated associations between cause-specific mortality and PM(2.5), PM(10), predicted fine particles and fine sulfate particles, total suspended particles, coefficient of haze, extinction coefficient, and total sulfate measured at the Sutton station. We selected a set of underlying causes of death, as recorded on the death certificates, as the endpoint and then regressed the logarithm of daily counts of cause-specific mortality on the daily mean levels for the above measures of particulates, after accounting for seasonal and subseasonal fluctuations in the mortality time series, non-Poisson dispersion, weather variables, and gaseous pollutants. We found positive and statistically significant associations between the daily measures of ambient particle mass and sulfate mass and the deaths from respiratory diseases and diabetes. The mean percentage change in daily mortality (MPC), evaluated at the interquartile range for pollutants averaged over the day of death and the preceding 2 days, for deaths from respiratory diseases was MPC(COH)=6.90% (95% CI: 3.69-10.21%), MPC(Predicted PM2.5)= 9.03% (95% CI: 5.83- 12.33%), and MPC(Sutton sulfate)=4.64% (95% CI: 2.46-6.86%). For diabetes, the corresponding estimates were MPC(COH)=7.50% (95% CI: 1.96-13.34%), MPC(Predicted PM2.5)=7.59% (95% CI: 2.36-13.09%), and MPC(Sutton sulfate)=4.48% (95% CI: 1.08-7.99%). Among individuals older than 65 years at time of death, we found consistent associations across our metrics of particles for neoplasms and coronary artery diseases. Associations with sulfate mass were also found among elderly persons who died of cardiovascular diseases and of lung cancer. These associations were consistent with linear relationships. The associations found for respiratory diseases and for cardiovascular diseases, especially in the elderly, are in line with some of the current hypotheses regarding mechanisms by which ambient particles may increase daily mortality. The positive associations found for cancer and for diabetes may be understood through a general hypothesis proposed by Frank and Tankersley, who suggested that persons in failing health may be at higher risk for external insults through the failure of regulating physiological set points. The association with diabetes may be interpreted in light of recent toxicological findings that inhalation of urban particles in animals increases blood pressure and plasmatic levels of endothelins that enhance vasoconstriction and alter electrophysiology. Further research to confirm these findings and to determine whether they are causal is warranted.

Waiting time for breast cancer surgery in Quebec.

BACKGROUND: Currently there is no agreement on the optimal time to treatment of breast cancer; however, given the considerable emphasis on early detection, one would expect a similar emphasis on early treatment. The purpose of our study was to assess the time interval to surgery from initiation of diagnosis among Quebec women with breast cancer and to examine the influence on waiting time of age, pattern of care and cancer stage. METHODS: Records of physician fee-for-service claims and of hospital admissions were obtained for all Quebec women who underwent an invasive procedure for the diagnosis or treatment of breast cancer between 1992 and 1998. Waiting time was calculated as the number of days between the first diagnostic procedure and surgical treatment. RESULTS: There were 29,606 episodes of breast cancer surgery among 28,100 women: 5922 mastectomies and 23,684 lumpectomies. The absolute number of episodes of breast cancer treated with surgery rose from 3626 in 1992 to 5162 in 1998. The overall median waiting time was 34 days (interquartile range [IQR] 19-62); 13.5% of the women waited longer than 90 days. The median waiting time rose from 29 days (IQR 15-54) in 1992 to 42 days (IQR 24-72) in 1998, representing a relative increase of 37% (95% confidence interval [CI] 32%-43%) after adjusting for age and cancer stage. The median waiting time increased with the number of diagnostic procedures, from 24 days (IQR 14-42) with 1 procedure to 48 days (IQR 27-84) with 3 procedures to 72 days (IQR 43-121) with 4 procedures, representing adjusted relative increases of 97% (95% CI 91%-103%) and 194% (95% CI 181%-208%), respectively. The proportion of women receiving 3 or more diagnostic procedures before surgery increased steadily over the study period, from 19.2% in 1992 to 33.0% in 1998. The median waiting time was shorter with more advanced stages of cancer: 53 days (IQR 30-86) for carcinoma in situ, 35 (IQR 20-62) for localized disease, 28 (IQR 16-49) for regional disease and 24 (IQR 11-52) for disseminated disease. INTERPRETATION: Waiting time between initial diagnosis and first surgery for breast cancer has increased substantially in Quebec between 1992 and 1998. Possible explanations include increased demand, decreased resources and changes in patterns of care.

Influence of cultivation media on genetic regulatory patterns in Borrelia burgdorferi.

Barbour-Stoenner-Kelly II (BSKII) medium and BSKH medium both are routinely used for the cultivation of Borrelia burgdorferi. However, heretofore there have been no studies to compare how these two media affect gene expression patterns in virulent B. burgdorferi. In the present study, we found that some B. burgdorferi strain 297 genes (e.g., ospA, mlp-7A, mlp-8, p22, and lp6.6) that typically are regulated by temperature or pH displayed their predicted pattern of expression when B. burgdorferi was cultivated in BSKH medium; this was not true when spirochetes were cultivated in conventional BSKII medium. The results suggest that BSKH medium is superior to BSKII medium for gene expression studies with B. burgdorferi.

Interdependence of environmental factors influencing reciprocal patterns of gene expression in virulent Borrelia burgdorferi.

The paradigm for differential antigen expression in Borrelia burgdorferi, the agent of Lyme disease, is the reciprocal expression of its outer surface (lipo)proteins (Osp) A and C; as B. burgdorferi transitions from its arthropod vector into mammalian tissue, ospC is upregulated, and ospA is downregulated. In the current study, using B. burgdorferi cultivated under varying conditions in BSK-H medium, we found that a decrease in pH, in conjunction with increases in temperature (e.g. 34 degrees C or 37 degrees C) and cell density, acted interdependently for the reciprocal expression of ospC and ospA. The lower pH (6.8), which induced the reciprocal expression of ospC and ospA in BSK-H medium, correlated with a drop in pH from 7.4 to 6.8 of tick midgut contents during tick feeding. In addition to ospC and ospA, other genes were found to be regulated in reciprocal fashion. Such genes were either ospC-like (e.g. ospF, mlp-8 and rpoS) (group I) or ospA-like (lp6.6 and p22) (group II); changes in expression occurred at the mRNA level. That the expression of rpoS, encoding a putative stress-related alternative sigma factor (sigma(s)), was ospC-like suggested that the expression of some of the group I genes may be controlled through sigma(s). The combined results prompt a model that allows for predicting the regulation of other B. burgdorferi genes that may be involved in spirochaete transmission, virulence or mammalian host immune responses.

Is there a cause-and-effect relationship between alpha-synuclein fibrillization and Parkinson's disease?

The first gene to be linked to Parkinson's disease encodes the neuronal protein alpha-synuclein. Recent mouse and Drosophila models of Parkinson's disease support a central role for the process of alpha-synuclein fibrillization in pathogenesis. However, some evidence indicates that the fibril itself may not be the pathogenic species. Our own biophysical studies suggest that a structured fibrillization intermediate or an alternatively assembled oligomer may be responsible for neuronal death. This speculation can now be experimentally tested in the animal models. Such experiments will have implications for the development of new therapies for Parkinson's disease and related neurodegenerative diseases.

A review of the association between cigarette smoking and the development of nonspecific back pain and related outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN: A structured review of the epidemiologic literature was performed. Thirty-eight studies published in peer-reviewed journals were reviewed. The methodologic strengths and weaknesses of the studies were described and assessed qualitatively. Four studies were excluded because of difficulties in design or interpretation. OBJECTIVES: To provide a systematic analysis of the literature to assess the evidence as to whether smoking is associated with the prevalence and incidence of nonspecific back pain and related outcomes. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Evidence has been gathering regarding the association of smoking with nonspecific back pain and other back disorders, but a comprehensive summary and evaluation of the data have not been published. RESULTS: Positive associations between current smoking and nonspecific back pain were found in 18 of 26 studies in men and 18 of 20 studies in women. For sciatica and herniated discs, there were four of eight and one of five positive studies in men and women, respectively. The majority of these studies were cross-sectional (18 in men and 16 in women), with only a handful of prospective studies. Positive associations between past smoking and nonspecific back pain were reported in five of nine studies in men and five of six studies in women. In addition, increases in the prevalence and/or incidence of nonspecific back pain were found in the majority of studies in which level of consumption was analyzed and reported. An attempt was made to assess whether these results could be artifactual arising from selection bias, confounding bias, publication bias, or errors in measurement. As well, the biologic mechanisms were summarized that have been suggested by various investigators. CONCLUSIONS: The available data are consistent with the notion that smoking is associated with the incidenceand prevalence of nonspecific back pain, but there are too few studies to make any conclusions for the other end points (e.g., sciatica, herniated discs). It cannot be ruled out that the association is a statistical artifact arising from either selection or confounding factors, because the evidence for nonspecific low back pain derives mostly from cross-sectional studies. In addition, it cannot be stated unequivocally that smoking preceded back pain. Long-term follow-up studies are needed to eliminate the possibility that chronic back pain preceded smoking, to better estimate dose-response correlations, and to perform biologic measurements to elucidate possible mechanisms.

Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke and the risk of lung cancer: a meta-analysis.

A meta-analysis was carried out to calculate a pooled estimate of relative risk of lung cancer following exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and to determine whether there was any heterogeneity in the pooled estimates according to selected characteristics of the studies. A total of 35 case-control and five cohort studies providing quantitative estimates of the association between lung cancer and exposure to ETS published between January 1981 and March 1999 were identified. Using fixed- and random-effects models, we calculated pooled estimates of relative risk for exposure to ETS from subjects' parents (during childhood), spouses, and coworkers. As well, we investigated whether the pooled estimates of relative risk varied by study location, degree of control of potential confounding variables, proportion of cases confirmed histologically, proportion of surrogate respondents, nonresponse rates, and year of publication. The relative risk of lung cancer among non smoking women ever exposed to ETS from their husbands' smoking was 1.20 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.29). The pooled relative risk was 1.19 (95% CI: 1.10-1.29) for case-control studies and 1.29 (95% CI: 1.04-1.62) for cohort studies. In various subgroup and meta-regression analyses, we found no statistically significant differences by selected characteristics of the studies. In addition, we found that the risk of lung cancer increased consistently with increasing levels of exposure. The 11 studies reporting relative risks among male non smokers yielded a pooled relative risk of 1.48 (95% CI: 1.13-1.92) for ever exposed to ETS, and the relative risk of lung cancer for ever being exposed to ETS at work was a 1.16 (95% CI: 1.05-1.28). These results are consistent with the hypothesis that exposure to ETS increases the risk of lung cancer. While there may be alternative explanations to the data, it is more likely that the observed association is not an artifact and that ETS causes lung cancer in non smokers.

Identifying subgroups of the general population that may be susceptible to short-term increases in particulate air pollution: a time-series study in Montreal, Quebec.

This study was undertaken in order to shed light on which groups of the general population may be susceptible to the effects of ambient particles. The objectives of the study were (1) to determine whether concentrations of particles in the ambient air of Montreal, Quebec, were associated with daily all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the period 1984 to 1993, and (2) to determine whether groups of the population had higher than average risks of death from exposure to particles. From the network of fixed-site air pollution monitors in Montreal we obtained daily mean levels of various measures of particles, gaseous pollutants, and weather variables measured at Dorval International Airport. We also used measurements of sulfate from an acid rain monitoring station 150 km southeast of the city (Sutton, Quebec). We estimated associations for particulate matter (PM) with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 microns or smaller (PM10), or 2.5 microns or smaller (PM2.5), total suspended particles (TSP), coefficient of haze (COH), an extinction coefficient, and sulfate. Because substantial data for fine particles were missing, we developed a regression model to predict PM2.5 and to predict sulfate from PM2.5. In the main body of the report, we present results for COH, predicted PM2.5, and sulfate. Detailed results for all pollutants are included in Appendices H through O, which are available on request from Health Effects Institute and from the HEI web site at www.healtheffects.org. To address the first objective, we made use of the underlying causes of death among all 140,939 residents of Montreal who died between 1984 and 1993. We regressed the logarithm of daily counts of cause-specific mortality on the daily mean levels for a variety of measures of particles, accounting for seasonal and subseasonal fluctuations in the mortality time series, overdispersion, and weather factors. To address the second objective, we developed algorithms to define conditions that subjects had prior to death, with the focus on cardiopulmonary diseases. These algorithms were based on information retained on the databases of the universal Quebec Health Insurance Plan (QHIP). The databases include records of all procedures (e.g., type of surgery), physician visits, and consultations carried out by all physicians in Quebec. For persons > or = 65 years and for all recipients of social assistance the prescription database contains records of all pharmaceuticals dispensed (type of medication, dose, quantity). For each group of conditions defined, we used the same statistical model that was used in the analyses of all nonaccidental causes of death. In the analyses of cause-specific mortality, we found evidence of associations for all nonaccidental causes of death and specific causes of death--cancer, coronary artery disease, respiratory diseases, and diabetes--that were consistent across most metrics of ambient air particle concentrations, evaluated as the 3-day mean of particle concentrations measured on the day of death (lag 0) and on each of the two days before death (lag 1, lag 2). Associations for all cardiovascular diseases combined were found only with sulfate. As well, we generally found increased daily mortality for persons 65 years of age and over. The results for all nonaccidental causes of death are similar to findings from other studies; the mean percent increase in mortality for a 100 micrograms/m3 increase in daily TSP at lag 0 was 6.7%. In the analyses of the groups defined from the QHIP data, there was little evidence of associations with air pollutants among persons who before death were classified as having acute or chronic upper respiratory diseases, airways diseases, hypertension, acute coronary artery diseases, and cerebrovascular diseases. On the other hand, we found consistent increases across most types of ambient particles for persons who had cancer, acute lower respiratory diseases, any form of cardiovascular disease, chronic coronary artery diseases, and congestive heart failure. As well, we found an association for individuals who did not have any cardiovascular disease, lower respiratory diseases, and cancer. This latter group consisted of persons who had no interactions with the health care system one year before death (12%) and individuals with a wide variety of potentially fatal diseases (52%), including neurological conditions (12%), diabetes (8%), cardiac dysrhythmias (8%), dementia (6%), organic psychotic disorders (6%), and anemias (4%). As statistical power was reduced in the analyses presented above, differences between groups (e.g., < 65 and > or = 65 year age groups) were not usually statistically significant. The association with diabetes has not been reported previously, and this needs to be replicated in other studies. (ABSTRACT TRUNCATED)

Association between particulate- and gas-phase components of urban air pollution and daily mortality in eight Canadian cities.

Although some consensus has emerged among the scientific and regulatory communities that the urban ambient atmospheric mix of combustion related pollutants is a determinant of population health, the relative toxicity of the chemical and physical components of this complex mixture remains unclear. Daily mortality rates and concurrent data on size-fractionated particulate mass and gaseous pollutants were obtained in eight of Canada's largest cities from 1986 to 1996 inclusive in order to examine the relative toxicity of the components of the mixture of ambient air pollutants to which Canadians are exposed. Positive and statistically significant associations were observed between daily variations in both gas- and particulate-phase pollution and daily fluctuations in mortality rates. The association between air pollution and mortality could not be explained by temporal variation in either mortality rates or weather factors. Fine particulate mass (less than 2.5 microns in average aerometric diameter) was a stronger predictor of mortality than coarse mass (between 2.5 and 10 microns). Size-fractionated particulate mass explained 28% of the total health effect of the mixture, with the remaining effects accounted for by the gases. Forty-seven elemental concentrations were obtained for the fine and coarse fraction using nondestructive x-ray fluorescence techniques. Sulfate concentrations were obtained by ion chromatography. Sulfate ion, iron, nickel, and zinc from the fine fraction were most strongly associated with mortality. The total effect of these four components was greater than that for fine mass alone, suggesting that the characteristics of the complex chemical mixture in the fine fraction may be a better predictor of mortality than mass alone. However, the variation in the effects of the constituents of the fine fraction between cities was greater than the variation in the mass effect, implying that there are additional toxic components of fine particulate matter not examined in this study whose concentrations and effects vary between locations. One of these components, carbon, represents half the mass of fine particulate matter. We recommend that measurements of elemental and organic carbon be undertaken in Canadian urban environments to examine their potential effects on human health.