Investigation of the genetic aetiology of Lewy body diseases with and without dementia.

Up to 80% of Parkinson's disease patients develop dementia, but time to dementia varies widely from motor symptom onset. Dementia with Lewy bodies presents with clinical features similar to Parkinson's disease dementia, but cognitive impairment precedes or coincides with motor onset. It remains controversial whether dementia with Lewy bodies and Parkinson's disease dementia are distinct conditions or represent part of a disease spectrum. The biological mechanisms underlying disease heterogeneity, in particular the development of dementia, remain poorly understood, but will likely be the key to understanding disease pathways and, ultimately, therapy development. Previous genome-wide association studies in Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies/Parkinson's disease dementia have identified risk loci differentiating patients from controls. We collated data for 7804 patients of European ancestry from Tracking Parkinson's, The Oxford Discovery Cohort, and Accelerating Medicine Partnership-Parkinson's Disease Initiative. We conducted a discrete phenotype genome-wide association study comparing Lewy body diseases with and without dementia to decode disease heterogeneity by investigating the genetic drivers of dementia in Lewy body diseases. We found that risk allele rs429358 tagging APOEe4 increases the odds of developing dementia, and that rs7668531 near the MMRN1 and SNCA-AS1 genes and an intronic variant rs17442721 tagging LRRK2 G2019S on chromosome 12 are protective against dementia. These results should be validated in autopsy-confirmed cases in future studies.

Genome-wide determinants of mortality and motor progression in Parkinson's disease.

There are 90 independent genome-wide significant genetic risk variants for Parkinson's disease (PD) but currently only five nominated loci for PD progression. The biology of PD progression is likely to be of central importance in defining mechanisms that can be used to develop new treatments. We studied 6766 PD patients, over 15,340 visits with a mean follow-up of between 4.2 and 15.7 years and carried out genome-wide survival studies for time to a motor progression endpoint, defined by reaching Hoehn and Yahr stage 3 or greater, and death (mortality). There was a robust effect of the APOE ε4 allele on mortality in PD. We also identified a locus within the TBXAS1 gene encoding thromboxane A synthase 1 associated with mortality in PD. We also report 4 independent loci associated with motor progression in or near MORN1, ASNS, PDE5A, and XPO1. Only the non-Gaucher disease causing GBA1 PD risk variant E326K, of the known PD risk variants, was associated with mortality in PD. Further work is needed to understand the links between these genomic variants and the underlying disease biology. However, these may represent new candidates for disease modification in PD.

Dopa Responsiveness in Parkinson's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Dopaminergic responsiveness is a defining feature of Parkinson's disease (PD). However, there is limited information on how this evolves over time. OBJECTIVES: To examine serial dopaminergic responses, if there are distinct patterns, and which factors predict these. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative on repeated dopaminergic challenge tests (≥24.5% defined as a definite response). Growth-mixture modeling evaluated for different response patterns and multinomial logistic regression tested for predictors of these clusters. RESULTS: 1525 dopaminergic challenge tests were performed in 336 patients. At enrolment, mean age was 61.2 years (SD 9.6), 66.4% were male and disease duration was 0.5 years (SD 0.5). 1 to 2 years after diagnosis, 48.0% of tests showed a definite response, but this proportion increased with longer disease duration (51.1-74.3%). We identified 3 response groups: "Striking" (n = 29, 8.7%); "Excellent" (n = 110; 32.7%) and "Modest" (n = 197, 58.6%). Significant differences were as follows: striking responders commenced treatment earlier (P = 0.02), were less likely to be on dopamine agonist monotherapy (P = 0.01), and had better cognition (P < 0.01) and activities of daily living (P = 0.01). Excellent responders had higher challenge doses (P = 0.03) and were more likely to be on combination therapy (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Three distinct patterns of the dopaminergic response were observed. As the proportion of PD cases with definite dopa responsiveness increased over time, the initial treatment response may be an unreliable diagnostic aid.

Motor Complications in Parkinson's Disease: Results from 3343 Patients Followed for up to 12 Years.

BACKGROUND: Motor complications are well recognized in Parkinson's disease (PD), but their reported prevalence varies and functional impact has not been well studied. OBJECTIVES: To quantify the presence, severity, impact and associated factors for motor complications in PD. METHODS: Analysis of three large prospective cohort studies of recent-onset PD patients followed for up to 12 years. The MDS-UPDRS part 4 assessed motor complications and multivariable logistic regression tested for associations. Genetic risk score (GRS) for Parkinson's was calculated from 79 single nucleotide polymorphisms. RESULTS: 3343 cases were included (64.7% male). Off periods affected 35.0% (95% CI 33.0, 37.0) at 4-6 years and 59.0% (55.6, 62.3) at 8-10 years. Dyskinesia affected 18.5% (95% CI 16.9, 20.2) at 4-6 years and 42.1% (38.7, 45.5) at 8-10 years. Dystonia affected 13.4% (12.1, 14.9) at 4-6 years and 22.8% (20.1, 25.9) at 8-10 years. Off periods consistently caused greater functional impact than dyskinesia. Motor complications were more common among those with higher drug doses, younger age at diagnosis, female gender, and greater dopaminergic responsiveness (in challenge tests), with associations emerging 2-4 years post-diagnosis. Higher Parkinson's GRS was associated with early dyskinesia (0.026 ≤ P ≤ 0.050 from 2 to 6 years). CONCLUSIONS: Off periods are more common and cause greater functional impairment than dyskinesia. We confirm previously reported associations between motor complications with several demographic and medication factors. Greater dopaminergic responsiveness and a higher genetic risk score are two novel and significant independent risk factors for the development of motor complications.

Investigation of the genetic aetiology of Lewy body diseases with and without dementia.

Up to 80% of Parkinson's disease patients develop dementia, but time to dementia varies widely from motor symptom onset. Dementia with Lewy bodies presents with clinical features similar to Parkinson's disease dementia, but cognitive impairment precedes or coincides with motor onset. It remains controversial whether dementia with Lewy bodies and Parkinson's disease dementia are distinct conditions or represent part of a disease spectrum. The biological mechanisms underlying disease heterogeneity, in particular the development of dementia, remain poorly understood, but will likely be key to understanding disease pathways and ultimately therapy development. Previous genome-wide association studies in Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies/Parkinson's disease dementia have identified risk loci differentiating patients from controls. We collated data for 7,804 patients of European ancestry from Tracking Parkinson's (PRoBaND), The Oxford Discovery Cohort, and AMP-PD. We conducted a discrete phenotype genome-wide association studies comparing Lewy body diseases with and without dementia to decode disease heterogeneity by investigating the genetic drivers of dementia in Lewy body diseases. We found that risk alleles rs429358 tagging APOEe4 and rs7668531 near the MMRN1 and SNCA-AS1 genes, increase the odds of developing dementia and that an intronic variant rs17442721 tagging LRRK2 G2019S, on chromosome 12 is protective against dementia. These results should be validated in autopsy confirmed cases in future studies.

Genetic meta-analysis of levodopa induced dyskinesia in Parkinson's disease.

The genetic basis of levodopa-induced-dyskinesia (LiD) is poorly understood, and there have been few well-powered genome-wide studies. We performed a genome-wide survival meta-analyses to study the effect of genetic variation on the development of LiD in five separate longitudinal cohorts, and meta-analysed the results. We included 2784 PD patients, of whom 14.6% developed LiD. We found female sex (HR = 1.35, SE = 0.11, P = 0.007) and younger age at onset (HR = 1.8, SE = 0.14, P = 2 × 10-5) increased the probability of developing LiD. We identified three genetic loci significantly associated with time-to-LiD onset. rs72673189 on chromosome 1 (HR = 2.77, SE = 0.18, P = 1.53 × 10-8) located at the LRP8 locus, rs189093213 on chromosome 4 (HR = 3.06, SE = 0.19, P = 2.81 × 10-9) in the non-coding RNA LINC02353 locus, and rs180924818 on chromosome 16 (HR = 3.13, SE = 0.20, P = 6.27 × 10-9) in the XYLT1 locus. Based on a functional annotation analysis on chromosome 1, we determined that changes in DNAJB4 gene expression, close to LRP8, are an additional potential cause of increased susceptibility to LiD. Baseline anxiety status was significantly associated with LiD (OR = 1.14, SE = 0.03, P = 7.4 × 10-5). Finally, we performed a candidate variant analysis of previously reported loci, and found that genetic variability in ANKK1 (rs1800497, HR = 1.27, SE = 0.09, P = 8.89 × 10-3) and BDNF (rs6265, HR = 1.21, SE = 0.10, P = 4.95 × 10-2) loci were significantly associated with time to LiD in our large meta-analysis.

Genetic meta-analysis of levodopa induced dyskinesia in Parkinson's disease.

Importance: Forty percent of Parkinson's disease patients develop levodopa-induced-dyskinesia (LiD) within 4 years of starting levodopa. The genetic basis of LiD remains poorly understood, and there have been few well powered studies. Objective: To discover common genetic variants in the PD population that increase the probability of developing LiD. Design setting and Participants: We performed survival analyses to study the development of LiD in 5 separate longitudinal cohorts. We performed a meta-analysis to combine the results of genetic association from each study based on a fixed effects model weighting the effect sizes by the inverse of their standard error. The selection criteria was specific to each cohort. We studied individuals that were genotyped from each cohort and that passed our analysis specific inclusion criteria. Main Outcomes and Measures: We measured the time for PD patients on levodopa treatment to develop LiD as defined by reaching a score higher or equal than 2 from the MDS-UPDRS part IV, item 1, which is equivalent to a range of 26%-50% of the waking time with dyskinesia. We carried out a genome-wide analysis of the hazard ratio and the association of genome-wide SNPs with the probability of developing LiD using cox proportional hazard models (CPH). Results: This study included 2,784 PD patients of European ancestry, of whom 14.6% developed LiD. Consistent with previous studies, we found female gender (HR = 1.35, SE = 0.11, P = 0.007) and younger age at onset (HR = 1.8, SE = 0.14, P = 2 × 10 -5 ) to increase the probability of developing LiD. We identified three loci significantly associated with time-to-LiD onset. rs72673189 on chromosome 1 (HR = 2.77, SE = 0.18, P = 1.53 × 10 -8 ) located in the LRP8 locus, rs189093213 on chromosome 4 (HR = 3.06,, SE = 0.19, P = 2.81 × 10 -9 ) in the non-coding RNA LINC02353 locus, and rs180924818 on chromosome 16 (HR = 3.13, SE = 0.20, P = 6.27 × 10 -9 ) in the XYLT1 locus. Subsequent colocalization analyses on chromosome 1 identified DNAJB4 as a candidate gene associated with LiD through a change in gene expression. We computed a PRS based on our GWAS meta-analysis and found high accuracy to stratify between PD-LID and PD (AUC 83.9). We also performed a stepwise regression analysis for baseline features selection associated with LiD status. We found baseline anxiety status to be significantly associated with LiD (OR = 1.14, SE = 0.03, P = 7.4 × 10 -5 ). Finally, we performed a candidate variant analysis and found that genetic variability in ANKK1 ( rs1800497 , Beta = 0.24, SE = 0.09, P = 8.89 × 10 -3 ) and BDNF ( rs6265 , Beta = 0.19, SE = 0.10, P = 4.95 × 10 -2 ) loci were significantly associated with time to LiD in our large meta-analysis. Conclusion: In this association study, we have found three novel genetic variants associated with LiD, as well as confirming reports that variability in ANKK1 and BDNF loci were significantly associated with LiD probability. A PRS nominated from our time-to-LiD meta-analysis significantly differentiated between PD-LiD and PD. In addition, we have found female gender, young PD onset and anxiety to be significantly associated with LiD.

Predicting Ambulatory Capacity in Parkinson's Disease to Analyze Progression, Biomarkers, and Trial Design.

BACKGROUND: In Parkinson's disease (PD), gait and balance is impaired, relatively resistant to available treatment and associated with falls and disability. Predictive models of ambulatory progression could enhance understanding of gait/balance disturbances and aid in trial design. OBJECTIVES: To predict trajectories of ambulatory abilities from baseline clinical data in early PD, relate trajectories to clinical milestones, compare biomarkers, and evaluate trajectories for enrichment of clinical trials. METHODS: Data from two multicenter, longitudinal, observational studies were used for model training (Tracking Parkinson's, n = 1598) and external testing (Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative, n = 407). Models were trained and validated to predict individuals as having a "Progressive" or "Stable" trajectory based on changes of ambulatory capacity scores from the Movement Disorders Society Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale parts II and III. Survival analyses compared time-to-clinical milestones and trial outcomes between predicted trajectories. RESULTS: On external evaluation, a support vector machine model predicted Progressive trajectories using baseline clinical data with an accuracy, weighted-F1 (proportionally weighted harmonic mean of precision and sensitivity), and sensitivity/specificity of 0.735, 0.799, and 0.688/0.739, respectively. Over 4 years, the predicted Progressive trajectory was more likely to experience impaired balance, loss of independence, impaired function and cognition. Baseline dopamine transporter imaging and select biomarkers of neurodegeneration were significantly different between predicted trajectory groups. For an 18-month, randomized (1:1) clinical trial, sample size savings up to 30% were possible when enrollment was enriched for the Progressive trajectory versus no enrichment. CONCLUSIONS: It is possible to predict ambulatory abilities from clinical data that are associated with meaningful outcomes in people with early PD. © 2023 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Striatal Dopamine Loss in Early Parkinson's Disease: Systematic Review and Novel Analysis of Dopamine Transporter Imaging.

Background: Neuropathological studies, based on small samples, suggest that symptoms of Parkinson's disease (PD) emerge when dopamine/nigrostriatal loss is around 50-80%. Functional neuroimaging can be applied in larger numbers during life, which allows analysis of the extent of dopamine loss more directly. Objective: To quantify dopamine transporter (DaT) activity by neuroimaging in early PD. Methods: Systematic review and novel analysis of DaT imaging studies in early PD. Results: In our systematic review, in 423 unique cases from 27 studies with disease duration of less than 6 years, mean age 58.0 (SD 11.5) years, and mean disease duration 1.8 (SD 1.2) years, striatal loss was 43.5% (95% CI 41.6, 45.4) contralaterally, and 36.0% (95% CI 33.6, 38.3) ipsilaterally. For unilateral PD, in 436 unique cases, mean age 57.5 (SD 10.2) years, and mean disease duration 1.8 (SD 1.4) years, striatal loss was 40.6% (95% CI 38.8, 42.4) contralaterally, and 31.6% (95% CI 29.4, 33.8) ipsilaterally. In our novel analysis of the Parkinson's Progressive Marker Initiative study, 413 cases had 1436 scans performed. For a disease duration of less than 1 year, age was 61.8 (SD 9.8) years, and striatal loss was 51.2% (95% CI 49.1, 53.3) contralaterally and 39.5% (36.9, 42.1) ipsilaterally, giving an overall striatal loss of 45.3% (43.0, 47.6). Conclusions: Loss of striatal DaT activity in early PD is less at 35-45%, rather than the 50-80% striatal dopamine loss estimated to be present at the time of symptom onset, based on backwards extrapolation from autopsy studies.

The Clinical Development of Levodopa Inhalation Powder.

ABSTRACT: Oral levodopa is the most effective treatment for Parkinson disease, but OFF periods emerge over time. Gastrointestinal dysfunction and food effects impact levodopa absorption, contributing to unpredictable control of OFF periods. Inhaled levodopa powder (Inbrija) is approved for on-demand treatment of OFF periods in patients receiving oral levodopa-dopa decarboxylase inhibitors. The 84-mg dose is administered via a breath-actuated inhaler. It provides pulmonary delivery of levodopa to the systemic circulation and is taken when a patient has an OFF period in between doses of regular oral levodopa medication. The pivotal SPAN-PD trial in patients experiencing OFF periods on oral dopaminergic therapy showed that levodopa inhalation powder 84 mg produced significant improvement in Unified Parkinson Disease Rating Scale Part III score, as measured 30 minutes postdose at week 12, and improvement was seen as early as 10 minutes. More patients in the levodopa inhalation powder group turned ON within 60 minutes of treatment and remained ON at 60 minutes than in the placebo group. Levodopa inhalation powder can also be used to treat early-morning OFF periods and, when used for up to 12 months, produced no clinically significant differences in pulmonary function compared with an untreated cohort. Levodopa inhalation powder 84 mg increased plasma levodopa concentration rapidly and with less variability than oral levodopa/carbidopa (25/100 mg). Most common adverse event associated with levodopa inhalation powder is cough, found in ~15% of patients in the SPAN-PD trial; otherwise, reported adverse events were consistent with those known to be associated with oral levodopa.

Association between the LRP1B and APOE loci and the development of Parkinson's disease dementia.

Parkinson's disease is one of the most common age-related neurodegenerative disorders. Although predominantly a motor disorder, cognitive impairment and dementia are important features of Parkinson's disease, particularly in the later stages of the disease. However, the rate of cognitive decline varies among Parkinson's disease patients, and the genetic basis for this heterogeneity is incompletely understood. To explore the genetic factors associated with rate of progression to Parkinson's disease dementia, we performed a genome-wide survival meta-analysis of 3923 clinically diagnosed Parkinson's disease cases of European ancestry from four longitudinal cohorts. In total, 6.7% of individuals with Parkinson's disease developed dementia during study follow-up, on average 4.4 ± 2.4 years from disease diagnosis. We have identified the APOE ε4 allele as a major risk factor for the conversion to Parkinson's disease dementia [hazard ratio = 2.41 (1.94-3.00), P = 2.32 × 10-15], as well as a new locus within the ApoE and APP receptor LRP1B gene [hazard ratio = 3.23 (2.17-4.81), P = 7.07 × 10-09]. In a candidate gene analysis, GBA variants were also identified to be associated with higher risk of progression to dementia [hazard ratio = 2.02 (1.21-3.32), P = 0.007]. CSF biomarker analysis also implicated the amyloid pathway in Parkinson's disease dementia, with significantly reduced levels of amyloid ß42 (P = 0.0012) in Parkinson's disease dementia compared to Parkinson's disease without dementia. These results identify a new candidate gene associated with faster conversion to dementia in Parkinson's disease and suggest that amyloid-targeting therapy may have a role in preventing Parkinson's disease dementia.

Universal clinical Parkinson's disease axes identify a major influence of neuroinflammation.

BACKGROUND: There is large individual variation in both clinical presentation and progression between Parkinson's disease patients. Generation of deeply and longitudinally phenotyped patient cohorts has enormous potential to identify disease subtypes for prognosis and therapeutic targeting. METHODS: Replicating across three large Parkinson's cohorts (Oxford Discovery cohort (n = 842)/Tracking UK Parkinson's study (n = 1807) and Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (n = 472)) with clinical observational measures collected longitudinally over 5-10 years, we developed a Bayesian multiple phenotypes mixed model incorporating genetic relationships between individuals able to explain many diverse clinical measurements as a smaller number of continuous underlying factors ("phenotypic axes"). RESULTS: When applied to disease severity at diagnosis, the most influential of three phenotypic axes "Axis 1" was characterised by severe non-tremor motor phenotype, anxiety and depression at diagnosis, accompanied by faster progression in cognitive function measures. Axis 1 was associated with increased genetic risk of Alzheimer's disease and reduced CSF Aß1-42 levels. As observed previously for Alzheimer's disease genetic risk, and in contrast to Parkinson's disease genetic risk, the loci influencing Axis 1 were associated with microglia-expressed genes implicating neuroinflammation. When applied to measures of disease progression for each individual, integration of Alzheimer's disease genetic loci haplotypes improved the accuracy of progression modelling, while integrating Parkinson's disease genetics did not. CONCLUSIONS: We identify universal axes of Parkinson's disease phenotypic variation which reveal that Parkinson's patients with high concomitant genetic risk for Alzheimer's disease are more likely to present with severe motor and non-motor features at baseline and progress more rapidly to early dementia.

Genetics of validated Parkinson's disease subtypes in the Oxford Discovery and Tracking Parkinson's cohorts.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the genetics of four Parkinson's disease (PD) subtypes that have been previously described in two large cohorts of patients with recently diagnosed PD. These subtypes came from a data-driven cluster analysis of phenotypic variables. METHODS: We looked at the frequency of genetic mutations in glucocerebrosidase (GBA) and leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 against our subtypes. Then we calculated Genetic Risk Scores (GRS) for PD, multiple system atrophy, progressive supranuclear palsy, Lewy body dementia, and Alzheimer's disease. These GRSs were regressed against the probability of belonging to a subtype in the two independent cohorts and we calculated q-values as an adjustment for multiple testing across four subtypes. We also carried out a Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) of belonging to a subtype. RESULTS: A severe disease subtype had the highest rates of patients carrying GBA mutations while the mild disease subtype had the lowest rates (p=0.009). Using the GRS, we found a severe disease subtype had a reduced genetic risk of PD (p=0.004 and q=0.015). In our GWAS no individual variants met genome wide significance (<5×10e-8) although four variants require further follow-up, meeting a threshold of <1×10e-6. CONCLUSIONS: We have found that four previously defined PD subtypes have different genetic determinants which will help to inform future studies looking at underlying disease mechanisms and pathogenesis in these different subtypes of disease.

Combining biomarkers for prognostic modelling of Parkinson's disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) have variable rates of progression. More accurate prediction of progression could improve selection for clinical trials. Although some variance in clinical progression can be predicted by age at onset and phenotype, we hypothesise that this can be further improved by blood biomarkers. OBJECTIVE: To determine if blood biomarkers (serum neurofilament light (NfL) and genetic status (glucocerebrosidase, GBA and apolipoprotein E (APOE))) are useful in addition to clinical measures for prognostic modelling in PD. METHODS: We evaluated the relationship between serum NfL and baseline and longitudinal clinical measures as well as patients' genetic (GBA and APOE) status. We classified patients as having a favourable or an unfavourable outcome based on a previously validated model, and explored how blood biomarkers compared with clinical variables in distinguishing prognostic phenotypes . RESULTS: 291 patients were assessed in this study. Baseline serum NfL was associated with baseline cognitive status. Nfl predicted a shorter time to dementia, postural instability and death (dementia-HR 2.64; postural instability-HR 1.32; mortality-HR 1.89) whereas APOEe4 status was associated with progression to dementia (dementia-HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.63 to 6.00). NfL levels and genetic variables predicted unfavourable progression to a similar extent as clinical predictors. The combination of clinical, NfL and genetic data produced a stronger prediction of unfavourable outcomes compared with age and gender (area under the curve: 0.74-age/gender vs 0.84-ALL p=0.0103). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical trials of disease-modifying therapies might usefully stratify patients using clinical, genetic and NfL status at the time of recruitment.

Neuromelanin-MRI to Quantify and Track Nigral Depigmentation in Parkinson's Disease: A Multicenter Longitudinal Study Using Template-Based Standardized Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical diagnosis and monitoring of Parkinson's disease (PD) remain challenging because of the lack of an established biomarker. Neuromelanin-magnetic resonance imaging (NM-MRI) is an emerging biomarker of nigral depigmentation indexing the loss of melanized neurons but has unknown prospective diagnostic and tracking performance in multicenter settings. OBJECTIVES: The aim was to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of NM-MRI in early PD in a multiprotocol setting and to determine and compare serial NM-MRI changes in PD and controls. METHODS: In this longitudinal case-control 3 T MRI study, 148 patients and 97 controls were included from six UK clinical centers, of whom 140 underwent a second scan after 1.5 to 3 years. An automated template-based analysis was applied for subregional substantia nigra NM-MRI contrast and volume assessment. A point estimate of the period of prediagnostic depigmentation was computed. RESULTS: All NM metrics performed well to discriminate patients from controls, with receiver operating characteristic showing 85% accuracy for ventral NM contrast and 83% for volume. Generalizability using a priori volume cutoff was good (79% accuracy). Serial MRI demonstrated accelerated NM loss in patients compared to controls. Ventral NM contrast loss was point estimated to start 5 to 6 years before clinical diagnosis. Ventral nigral depigmentation was greater in the most affected side, more severe cases, and nigral NM volume change correlated with change in motor severity. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that NM-MRI provides clinically useful diagnostic information in early PD across protocols, platforms, and sites. It provides methods and estimated depigmentation rates that highlight the potential to detect preclinical PD and track progression for biomarker-enabled clinical trials. © 2022 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Genetic Stratification of Age-Dependent Parkinson's Disease Risk by Polygenic Hazard Score.

BACKGROUND: Parkinson's disease (PD) is a highly age-related disorder, where common genetic risk variants affect both disease risk and age at onset. A statistical approach that integrates these effects across all common variants may be clinically useful for individual risk stratification. A polygenic hazard score methodology, leveraging a time-to-event framework, has recently been successfully applied in other age-related disorders. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate a polygenic hazard score model in sporadic PD. METHODS: Using a Cox regression framework, we modeled the polygenic hazard score in a training data set of 11,693 PD patients and 9841 controls. The score was then validated in an independent test data set of 5112 PD patients and 5372 controls and a small single-study sample of 360 patients and 160 controls. RESULTS: A polygenic hazard score predicts the onset of PD with a hazard ratio of 3.78 (95% confidence interval 3.49-4.10) when comparing the highest to the lowest risk decile. Combined with epidemiological data on incidence rate, we apply the score to estimate genetically stratified instantaneous PD risk across age groups. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate the feasibility of a polygenic hazard approach in PD, integrating the genetic effects on disease risk and age at onset in a single model. In combination with other predictive biomarkers, the approach may hold promise for risk stratification in future clinical trials of disease-modifying therapies, which aim at postponing the onset of PD. © 2021 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Optimising classification of Parkinson's disease based on motor, olfactory, neuropsychiatric and sleep features.

Olfactory loss, motor impairment, anxiety/depression, and REM-sleep behaviour disorder (RBD) are prodromal Parkinson's disease (PD) features. PD risk prediction models typically dichotomize test results and apply likelihood ratios (LRs) to scores above and below cut-offs. We investigate whether LRs for specific test values could enhance classification between PD and controls. PD patient data on smell (UPSIT), possible RBD (RBD Screening Questionnaire), and anxiety/depression (LADS) were taken from the Tracking Parkinson's study (n = 1046). For motor impairment (BRAIN test) in PD cases, published data were supplemented (n = 87). Control data (HADS for anxiety/depression) were taken from the PREDICT-PD pilot study (n = 1314). UPSIT, RBDSQ, and anxiety/depression data were analysed using logistic regression to determine which items were associated with PD. Gaussian distributions were fitted to BRAIN test scores. LRs were calculated from logistic regression models or score distributions. False-positive rates (FPRs) for specified detection rates (DRs) were calculated. Sixteen odours were associated with PD; LRs for this set ranged from 0.005 to 5511. Six RBDSQ and seven anxiety/depression questions were associated with PD; LRs ranged from 0.35 to 69 and from 0.002 to 402, respectively. BRAIN test LRs ranged from 0.16 to 1311. For a 70% DR, the FPR was 2.4% for the 16 odours, 4.6% for anxiety/depression, 16.0% for the BRAIN test, and 20.0% for the RBDSQ. Specific selections of (prodromal) PD marker features rather than dichotomized marker test results optimize PD classification. Such optimized classification models could improve the ability of algorithms to detect prodromal PD; however, prospective studies are needed to investigate their value for PD-prediction models.

Comparison between four published definitions of hyposmia in Parkinson's disease.

OBJECTIVES: Hyposmia is a common feature of Parkinson's disease (PD), yet there is no standard method to define it. A comparison of four published methods was performed to explore and highlight differences. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Olfactory testing was performed in 2097 cases of early PD in two prospective studies. Olfaction was assessed using various cut-offs, usually corrected by age and/or gender. Control data were simulated based on the age and gender structure of the PD cases and published normal ranges. Association with age, gender, and disease duration was explored by method and study cohort. Prevalence of hyposmia was compared with the age and gender-matched simulated controls. Between method agreement was measured using Cohen's kappa and Gwet's AC1. RESULTS: Hyposmia was present in between 69.1% and 97.9% of cases in Tracking Parkinson's cases, and between 62.2% and 90.8% of cases in the Parkinson's Progression Marker Initiative, depending on the method. Between-method agreement varied (kappa 0.09-0.80, AC1 0.55-0.86). The absolute difference between PD cases and simulated controls was similar for men and women across methods. Age and male gender were positively associated with hyposmia (p < .001, all methods). Odds of having hyposmia increased with advancing age (OR:1.06, 95% CI:1.03, 1.10, p < .001). Longer disease duration had a negative impact on overall olfactory performance. CONCLUSIONS: Different definitions of hyposmia give different results using the same dataset. A standardized definition of hyposmia in PD is required, adjusting for age and gender, to account for the background decline in olfactory performance with ageing, especially in men.