Derivation of an Annualized Claims-Based Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event Estimator in Type 2 Diabetes.

Background: Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among adults with type 2 diabetes. Currently, available MACE prediction models have important limitations, including reliance on data that may not be routinely available, narrow focus on primary prevention, limited patient populations, and longtime horizons for risk prediction. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to derive and internally validate a claims-based prediction model for 1-year risk of MACE in type 2 diabetes. Methods: Using medical and pharmacy claims for adults with type 2 diabetes enrolled in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare fee-for-service plans between 2014 and 2021, we derived and internally validated the annualized claims-based MACE estimator (ACME) model to predict the risk of MACE (nonfatal acute myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, and all-cause mortality). The Cox proportional hazards model was composed of 30 covariates, including patient age, sex, comorbidities, and medications. Results: The study cohort comprised 6,623,526 adults with type 2 diabetes, mean age 68.1 ± 10.6 years, 49.8% women, and 73.0% Non-Hispanic White. ACME had a concordance index of 0.74 (validation index range: 0.739-0.741). The predicted 1-year risk of the study cohort ranged from 0.4% to 99.9%, with a median risk of 3.4% (IQR: 2.3%-6.5%). Conclusions: ACME was derived in a large usual care population, relies on routinely available data, and estimates short-term MACE risk. It can support population risk stratification at the health system and payer levels, participant identification for decentralized clinical trials of cardiovascular disease, and risk-stratified observational studies using real-world data.

Palate Shape, Drug-Induced Sleep Endoscopy Findings, and Obstructive Sleep Apnea Pharyngeal Surgery Outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: Pharyngeal surgery is a treatment option for patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) unable to tolerate positive pressure therapy. This study aims to determine the association between palate shape as described by Woodson and pharyngeal surgical outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Exploratory analysis of retrospective cohort. SETTING: Multicenter. METHODS: Three blinded reviewers assessed palate shape using drug-induced sleep endoscopy (DISE) videos from a previously-assembled cohort of adults undergoing pharyngeal surgery. Palate shape scores were examined for association with surgical outcomes with univariate and multivariate analyses. Multivariate analyses included adjustment for consensus DISE findings determined previously. RESULTS: Two hundred nine study subjects were included from 13 centers. Age was 53.7 ± 11.5 years, body mass index (BMI) was 30.3 ± 5.0 kg/m2, and 21% were female. In isolated soft palate surgery, greater GenuAP narrowing was associated with lesser odds of surgical response, whereas greater GenuLW narrowing was associated with greater odds of surgical response. These findings largely persisted after adjustment for key DISE findings, age, gender, OSA severity, BMI, and tonsil size. Other palate-shape findings were not clearly associated with surgical outcomes, although some palate-shape findings demonstrated trends toward an association with outcomes (P < .10). CONCLUSION: Greater GenuAP narrowing and GenuLW narrowing were associated with lesser and greater, respectively, odds of surgical response after isolated soft palate surgery. Palate shape and other palate shape level scores were not clearly associated with surgical outcomes. Larger studies may determine more precisely the association between palate shape and pharyngeal surgery outcomes.

Effectiveness of glucose-lowering medications on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death among people with type 2 diabetes1-5, most of whom are at moderate CVD risk6, yet there is limited evidence on the preferred choice of glucose-lowering medication for CVD risk reduction in this population. Here, we report the results of a retrospective cohort study where data for US adults with type 2 diabetes and moderate risk for CVD are used to compare the risks of experiencing a major adverse cardiovascular event with initiation of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA; n = 44,188), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i; n = 47,094), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i; n = 84,315) and sulfonylureas (n = 210,679). Compared to DPP4i, GLP-1RA (hazard ratio (HR) 0.87; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82-0.93) and SGLT2i (HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.81-0.90) were associated with a lower risk of a major adverse cardiovascular event, whereas sulfonylureas were associated with a higher risk (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.16-1.22). Thus, GLP-1RA and SGLT2i may be the preferred glucose-lowering agents for cardiovascular risk reduction in patients at moderate baseline risk for CVD. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT05214573.

Percutaneous Approaches to Hypoglossal Nerve Stimulation: A Pilot Study During Drug-Induced Sleep Endoscopy.

Hypoglossal nerve stimulation (HNS) is a surgical treatment option for select patients with obstructive sleep apnea that currently requires intraoperative dissection of the hypoglossal nerve (HGN) for implantation of an electrode array. Most HNS strategies target select HGN protrusor muscle branches and exclude undesirable retractor branches. We hypothesized that the target HGN branches could instead be selectively stimulated with a percutaneously delivered electrode array under ultrasound guidance via several anatomic approaches. Five different anatomic approaches were iteratively developed and evaluated during drug-induced sleep endoscopy across 14 patients: posterior, intraoral, anteromedial, anterolateral, and paracoronal. The paracoronal and anterolateral approaches were the most successful, with comparable changes in pharyngeal critical closing and opening pressures. Our data suggest that percutaneous delivery of an HGN electrode is feasible and may decrease the morbidity of HNS therapy implantation. Further work is necessary to ascertain what anatomic approach is optimal for percutaneous electrode delivery.

Emerging genetic technologies informing personalized medicine in SDS and other inherited bone marrow failure disorders.

The ribosomopathy Shwachman-Diamond syndrome (SDS) is a rare autosomal recessive inherited bone marrow failure syndrome (IBMFS) caused by mutations in the Shwachman-Bodian-Diamond syndrome (SBDS) gene, that is associated with an increased risk of myeloid malignancy. Tracking how hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) clonal dynamics change over time, assessing whether somatic genetic rescue mechanisms affect these dynamics, and mapping out when leukemic driver mutations are acquired is important to understand which individuals with SDS may go on to develop leukemia. In this review, we will discuss how new technologies that allow researchers to map mutations at the level of single HSC clones are generating important insights into genetic rescue mechanisms and their relative risk for driving evolution to leukemia, and how these data can inform the future development of personalized medicine approaches in SDS and other IBMFSs.

Patent Foramen Ovale Closure in Older Patients With Stroke: Patient Selection for Trial Feasibility.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Whether patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure benefits older patients with PFO and cryptogenic stroke is unknown because randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have predominantly enrolled patients younger than 60 years of age. Our objective was to estimate anticipated effects of PFO closure in older patients to predict the numbers needed to plan an RCT. METHODS: Effectiveness estimates are derived from major observational studies (Risk of Paradoxical Embolism [RoPE] Study and Oxford Vascular Study, together referred to as the "RoPE-Ox" database) and all 6 major RCTs (Systematic, Collaborative, PFO Closure Evaluation [SCOPE] Consortium). To estimate stroke recurrence risk, observed outcomes were calculated for patients older than 60 years in the age-inclusive observational databases (n = 549). To estimate the reduction in the rate of recurrent stroke associated with PFO closure vs medical therapy based on the RoPE score and the presence of high-risk PFO features, a Cox proportional hazards regression model was developed on the RCT data in the SCOPE database (n = 3,740). These estimates were used to calculate sample sizes required for a future RCT. RESULTS: Five-year risk of stroke recurrence using Kaplan-Meier estimates was 13.7 (95% CI 10.5-17.9) overall, 14.9% (95% CI 10.2-21.6) in those with high-risk PFO features. Predicted relative reduction in the event rate with PFO closure was 12.9% overall, 48.8% in those with a high-risk PFO feature. Using these estimates, enrolling all older patients with cryptogenic stroke and PFO would require much larger samples than those used for prior PFO closure trials, but selectively enrolling patients with high-risk PFO features would require totals of 630 patients for 90% power and 471 patients for 80% power, with an average of 5 years of follow-up. DISCUSSION: Based on our projections, anticipated effect sizes in older patients with high-risk features make a trial in these subjects feasible. With lengthening life expectancy in almost all regions of the world, the utility of PFO closure in older adults is increasingly important to explore.

Impact of the PATH Statement on Analysis and Reporting of Heterogeneity of Treatment Effect in Clinical Trials: A Scoping Review.

Background: The Predictive Approaches to Treatment Effect Heterogeneity (PATH) Statement provides guidance for using predictive modeling to identify differences (i.e., heterogeneity) in treatment effects (benefits and harms) among participants in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). It distinguished risk modeling, which uses a multivariable model to predict risk of trial outcome(s) and then examines treatment effects within strata of predicted risk, from effect modeling, which predicts trial outcomes using models that include treatment, individual participant characteristics and interactions of treatment with selected characteristics. Purpose: To describe studies of heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) that use predictive modeling in RCT data and cite the PATH Statement. Data Sources: The Cited By functions in PubMed, Google Scholar, Web of Science and SCOPUS databases (Jan 7, 2020 - June 5, 2023). Study Selection: 42 reports presenting 45 predictive models. Data Extraction: Double review with adjudication to identify risk and effect modeling and examine consistency with Statement consensus statements. Credibility of HTE findings was assessed using criteria adapted from the Instrument to assess Credibility of Effect Modification Analyses (ICEMAN). Clinical importance of credible HTE findings was also assessed. Data Synthesis: The numbers of reports, especially risk modeling reports, increased year-on-year. Consistency with consensus statements was high, except for two: only 15 of 32 studies with positive overall findings included a risk model; and most effect models explored many candidate covariates with little prior evidence for effect modification. Risk modeling was more likely than effect modeling to identify both credible HTE (14/19 vs 5/26) and clinically important HTE (10/19 vs 4/26). Limitations: Risk of reviewer bias: reviewers assessing credibility and clinical importance were not blinded to adherence to PATH recommendations. Conclusions: The PATH Statement appears to be influencing research practice. Risk modeling often uncovered clinically important HTE; effect modeling was more often exploratory.

The clinical effectiveness of Fidaxomicin compared to Vancomycin in the treatment of Clostridioides difficile infection, a single center real-world experience.

BACKGROUND: The use of fidaxomicin is recommended as first line therapy for all patients with Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI). However, real-world studies have shown conflicting evidence of superiority. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective single center study of patients diagnosed with CDI between 2011-2021. A primary composite outcome of clinical failure, 30-day relapse or CDI-related death was used. A multivariable cause specific Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate fidaxomicin compared to vancomycin in preventing the composite outcome. A separate model was fit on a subset of patients with C. difficile ribotypes adjusting for ribotype. RESULTS: There were 598 patients included, of whom 84 received fidaxomicin. The primary outcome occurred in 8 (9.5%) in the fidaxomicin group compared to 111 (21.6%) in the vancomycin group. The adjusted multivariable model showed fidaxomicin was associated with 63% reduction in the risk of the composite outcome compared to vancomycin (HR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.17-0.80). In the 337 patients with ribotype data after adjusting for ribotype 027, the results showing superiority of fidaxomicin were maintained (HR = 0.19, 95% CI 0.05-0.77). CONCLUSION: In the treatment of CDI, we showed that real-world use of fidaxomicin is associated with lower risk of a composite endpoint of treatment failure.

Impact of Preexisting Heart Failure on Treatment and Outcomes in Older Patients With Hodgkin Lymphoma.

Background: Older patients with Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) often have comorbid cardiovascular disease; however, the impact of pre-existing heart failure (HF) on the management and outcomes of HL is unknown. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of pre-existing HF in older patients with HL and its impact on treatment and outcomes. Methods: Linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and Medicare data from 1999 to 2016 were used to identify patients 65 years and older with newly diagnosed HL. Pre-existing HF, comorbidities, and cancer treatment were ascertained from billing codes and cause-specific mortality from SEER. The associations between pre-existing HF and cancer treatment were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for comorbidities and cancer treatment were used to estimate the association between pre-existing HF and cause-specific mortality. Results: Among 3,348 patients (mean age 76 ± 7 years, 48.6% women) with newly diagnosed HL, pre-existing HF was present in 437 (13.1%). Pre-existing HF was associated with a lower likelihood of using anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens (OR: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.29-0.60) and a higher likelihood of lymphoma mortality (HR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.06-1.46) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.57; 95% CI: 1.96-3.36) in models adjusted for comorbidities. One-year lymphoma mortality cumulative incidence was 37.4% (95% CI: 35.5%-39.5%) with pre-existing HF and 26.3% (95% CI: 25.0%-27.6%) without pre-existing HF. The cardioprotective medications dexrazoxane and liposomal doxorubicin were used in only 4.2% of patients. Conclusions: Pre-existing HF in older patients with newly diagnosed HL is common and associated with higher 1-year mortality. Strategies are needed to improve lymphoma and cardiovascular outcomes in this high-risk population.

Increased CXCL10 (IP-10) is associated with advanced myeloproliferative neoplasms and its loss dampens erythrocytosis in mouse models.

Key studies in pre-leukemic disorders have linked increases in pro-inflammatory cytokines with accelerated phases of the disease, but the precise role of the cellular microenvironment in disease initiation and evolution remains poorly understood. In myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs), higher levels of specific cytokines have been previously correlated with increased disease severity (tumor necrosis factor-alpha [TNF-α], interferon gamma-induced protein-10 [IP-10 or CXCL10]) and decreased survival (interleukin 8 [IL-8]). Whereas TNF-α and IL-8 have been studied by numerous groups, there is a relative paucity of studies on IP-10 (CXCL10). Here we explore the relationship of IP-10 levels with detailed genomic and clinical data and undertake a complementary cytokine screen alongside functional assays in a wide range of MPN mouse models. Similar to patients, levels of IP-10 were increased in mice with more severe disease phenotypes (e.g., JAK2V617F/V617F TET2-/- double-mutant mice) compared with those with less severe phenotypes (e.g., CALRdel52 or JAK2+/V617F mice) and wild-type (WT) littermate controls. Although exposure to IP-10 did not directly alter proliferation or survival in single hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) in vitro, IP-10-/- mice transplanted with disease-initiating HSCs developed an MPN phenotype more slowly, suggesting that the effect of IP-10 loss was noncell-autonomous. To explore the broader effects of IP-10 loss, we crossed IP-10-/- mice into a series of MPN mouse models and showed that its loss reduces the erythrocytosis observed in mice with the most severe phenotype. Together, these data point to a potential role for blocking IP-10 activity in the management of MPNs.

Is Incidentally Discovered Covert Cerebrovascular Disease Ignorable?

This Viewpoint discusses the clinical implications of incidentally discovered covert cerebrovascular disease.

Better translation via collaboration: The MRC National Mouse Genetics Network.

The MRC National Mouse Genetics Network (NMGN) has been established in the UK to bring together researchers from academia and industry across the country from a wide range of disease areas and research backgrounds to rapidly facilitate clinical translation of mouse research findings and foster an environment of interdisciplinary learning.

Mortality Outcomes in a Large Population with and without Covert Cerebrovascular Disease.

Covert cerebrovascular disease (CCD) is frequently reported on neuroimaging and associates with increased dementia and stroke risk. We aimed to determine how incidentally-discovered CCD during clinical neuroimaging in a large population associates with mortality. We screened CT and MRI reports of adults aged ≥50 in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California health system who underwent neuroimaging for a non-stroke clinical indication from 2009-2019. Natural language processing identified incidental covert brain infarcts (CBI) and/or white matter hyperintensities (WMH), grading WMH as mild/moderate/severe. Models adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, multimorbidity, vascular risks, depression, exercise, and imaging modality. Of n=241,028, the mean age was 64.9 (SD=10.4); mean follow-up 4.46 years; 178,554 (74.1%) had CT; 62,474 (25.9%) had MRI; 11,328 (4.7%) had CBI; and 69,927 (29.0%) had WMH. The mortality rate per 1,000 person-years with CBI was 59.0 (95%CI 57.0-61.1); with WMH=46.5 (45.7-47.2); with neither=17.4 (17.1-17.7). In adjusted models, mortality risk associated with CBI was modified by age, e.g. HR 1.34 [1.21-1.48] at age 56.1 years vs HR 1.22 [1.17-1.28] at age 72 years. Mortality associated with WMH was modified by both age and imaging modality e.g., WMH on MRI at age 56.1 HR = 1.26 [1.18-1.35]; WMH on MRI at age 72 HR 1.15 [1.09-1.21]; WMH on CT at age 56.1 HR 1.41 [1.33-1.50]; WMH on CT at age 72 HR 1.28 [1.24-1.32], vs. patients without CBI or without WMH, respectively. Increasing WMH severity associated with higher mortality, e.g. mild WMH on MRI had adjusted HR=1.13 [1.06-1.20] while severe WMH on CT had HR=1.45 [1.33-1.59]. Incidentally-detected CBI and WMH on population-based clinical neuroimaging can predict higher mortality rates. We need treatments and healthcare planning for individuals with CCD.

First Evidence of Cutaneous Remodelling Induced by Synchronized Radiofrequency Aided by High-Intensity Facial Muscle Stimulation: Porcine Animal Model.

BACKGROUND: The quality of one's facial appearance diminishes with aging as skin and underlying soft tissues deteriorate. Connective tissue and musculofascial degeneration leads to skin laxity and wrinkles developing. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of synchronized radiofrequency with high intensity facial stimulation technology on dermal collagen and elastin fibers in a porcine model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eight sows were divided into Active (N = 6) and Control (N = 2) groups. Synchronized radiofrequency and high intensity facial stimulation were delivered to the ventrolateral abdomen. The Active group received four 20-minute treatments, once a week. Control group was untreated. Skin biopsy sample were histologically analyzed for connective tissue changes pre- and post-treatment. Data were analyzed statistically (α = 0.05). RESULTS: In the Active group: the collagen-occupied area at baseline was 1.12 ± 0.09 × 106 µm 2 and increased by +19.6% ( p < .001) at 1-month and by +26.3% ( p < .001) 2 months post-treatment; elastin-occupied area at baseline was 0.11 ± 0.03 × 106 µm 2 and increased by +75.9% ( p < .001) at 1-month and +110.8% ( p < .001) at 2-months follow-up. No significant changes ( p > .05) found in the Control samples. CONCLUSION: Collagen and elastin fiber content increased significantly after treatments. Connective tissue in the treatment area was denser up to 2-months post-treatment.

Comparative Effectiveness of Fidaxomicin vs Vancomycin in Populations With Immunocompromising Conditions for the Treatment of Clostridioides difficile Infection: A Single-Center Study.

Background: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a leading cause of morbidity in immunocompromised hosts with increased risk of complications and recurrences. In this study, we examined the clinical effectiveness of fidaxomicin vs vancomycin in treating CDI in this patient population. Methods: This single-center retrospective study evaluated patients with CDI between 2011 and 2021. The primary outcome was a composite of clinical failure, relapse at 30 days, or CDI-related death. A multivariable cause-specific Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the relationship between treatment and the composite outcome, adjusting for confounders and treating death from other causes as a competing risk. Results: This study analyzed 238 patients who were immunocompromised and treated for CDI with oral fidaxomicin (n = 38) or vancomycin (n = 200). There were 42 composite outcomes: 4 (10.5%) in the fidaxomicin arm and 38 (19.0%) in the vancomycin arm. After adjustment for sex, number of antecedent antibiotics, CDI severity and type of immunosuppression, fidaxomicin use significantly decreased the risk of the composite outcome as compared with vancomycin (10.5% vs 19.0%; hazard ratio, 0.28; 95% CI, .08-.93). Furthermore, fidaxomicin was associated with 70% reduction in the combined risk of 30- and 90-day relapse following adjustment (hazard ratio, 0.27; 95% CI, .08-.91). Conclusions: The findings of this study suggest that the use of fidaxomicin for treatment of CDI reduces poor outcomes in patients who are immunocompromised.