Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease with Increased Alcohol Intake Increase the Risk of Developing Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Incident or Decompensated Cirrhosis: A Korean Nationwide Study.

Introduction: This study aimed to investigate the liver-related outcomes of newly suggested metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and MASLD with increased alcohol intake (MetALD), as well as alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). Methods: From a National Health Insurance Service Health Screening Cohort, we included 369,094 participants who underwent health checkups between 2009 and 2010 in South Korea. Steatotic liver disease (SLD) was defined as a fatty liver index ≥60. The risk of primary liver cancer (PLCa), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA), incident cirrhosis, and decompensated cirrhosis was compared with no SLD. The subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) was calculated using the Fine-Gray model regarding competing risks. Results: A total of 3,232 participants (0.9%) developed PLCa during the median follow-up of 3,227,176 person-years: 0.5% with no SLD, 1.1% with MASLD, 1.3% with MetALD, and 1.9% with ALD. Competing risk analysis revealed that compared with no SLD, MASLD (SHR: 1.65; 95% CI: 1.44-1.88), MetALD (SHR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.52-2.29), and ALD (SHR: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.39-2.49) were associated with an increased risk of PLCa. MASLD (SHR: 1.96; 95% CI: 1.67-2.31), MetALD (SHR: 2.23; 95% CI: 1.75-2.84), and ALD (SHR: 2.34; 95% CI: 1.67-3.29) were associated with a higher risk of HCC. No significant difference was observed in the risk of iCCA. The risk of incident cirrhosis and decompensated cirrhosis increased in the order of no SLD, MASLD, MetALD, and ALD. Conclusion: MASLD, MetALD, and ALD have an increased risk of PLCa, HCC, incident cirrhosis, and decompensated cirrhosis but not iCCA. These findings may serve as a robust ground for the prognostic value of the newly suggested MASLD and MetALD.

Prognosis Following Sustained Virologic Response in Korean Chronic Hepatitis C Patients Treated with Sofosbuvir-Based Treatment: Data from a Multicenter Prospective Observational Study up to 7 Years.

Background and Objectives: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) can be cured with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. In Korea, sofosbuvir (SOF) and ledipasvir (LDV)/SOF were launched in 2016. Patients who achieve a sustained virologic response (SVR) following DAA treatment are predicted to have a favorable prognosis. Nevertheless, little is known regarding the prognosis of Korean CHC patients who receive SOF-based treatment and achieve SVR. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to look into the long-term outcomes for these patients. Materials and Methods: This was a prospective, multicenter observational study. CHC patients were enrolled who, following SOF or LDV/SOF treatment, had achieved SVR. The last day for follow-up was December 2023. The primary endpoint was HCC occurrence, which was checked at least once per year. Results: A total of 516 patients were included in this analysis, with a median follow-up duration of 39.0 months. Among them, 231 were male patients (44.8%), with a median age of 62.0 years. Genotypes were 1 (90, 17.4%), 2 (423, 82.0%), and 3 (3, 0.6%). The combination of SOF plus ribavirin was the most common treatment (394, 76.4%). In total, 160 patients were cirrhotic (31.0%), and the mean Child-Pugh score was 5.1. Within a maximum of 7 years, 21 patients (4.1%) developed HCC. Patients with HCC were older (69 vs. 61 years, p = 0.013) and had a higher cirrhosis incidence (81.0 vs. 28.9%, p < 0.001), higher AFP (6.0 vs. 3.3, p = 0.003) and higher APRI (0.8 vs. 0.5, p = 0.005). Age over 65 (p = 0.016) and cirrhosis (p = 0.005) were found to be significant risk factors for HCC by Cox regression analysis. Conclusions: Patients who achieved SVR with SOF-based treatment had a relatively favorable prognosis. However, the risk of HCC was not eliminated, especially in older and cirrhotic patients. Therefore, routine follow-up, surveillance, and early treatment are required.

Non-Linear Association Between Liver Fibrosis Scores and Viral Load in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.

Background/Aims: Serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels and non-invasive liver fibrosis scores are significantly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. Nonetheless, the relationship between HBV DNA levels and liver fibrosis scores is unclear. Methods: A historical cohort comprising 6,949 non-cirrhotic Korean CHB patients without significant alanine aminotransferase elevation was investigated. The association of HBV DNA levels with the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis (FIB)-4 score at baseline was analyzed using general linear models. Results: In HBeAg-negative patients (n=4,868), HBV DNA levels correlated linearly with both APRI and FIB-4 scores. In contrast, in HBeAg-positive patients (n=2,081), HBV DNA levels correlated inversely with both APRI and FIB-4 scores. Across the entire cohort, a significant non-linear parabolic relationship was identified between HBV DNA levels and fibrosis scores, independent of age and other covariates. Notably, moderate viral loads (6-7 log10 IU/mL) corresponded to the highest APRI and FIB-4 scores (P<0.001). Over a median 10-year follow-up, 435 patients (6.3%) developed HCC. Higher APRI scores ≥0.5 and FIB-4 scores ≥1.45 were significantly associated with elevated HCC risk (P<0.001 for both). HBV DNA level remained a significant predictive factor for HCC development, even after adjusting for APRI or FIB-4 scores. Conclusions: HBV viral load is significantly correlated with APRI and FIB-4 scores, and is also associated with HCC risk independent of those scores in CHB patients. These findings suggest that HBV DNA level is associated with hepatocarcinogenesis through both direct and indirect pathways.

High-dose proton pump inhibitor treatment is associated with a higher mortality in cirrhotic patients: A multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: Proton pump inhibitors (PPI) are frequently used in patients with cirrhosis. AIMS: This study aimed to determine whether PPI use is associated with the prognosis of cirrhotic patients. METHODS: We conducted a multicentre retrospective cohort study involving 1485 patients who had experienced hepatic encephalopathy (HE) from 7 referral centres in Korea. The primary outcome was overall survival and secondary outcomes included the development of cirrhotic complications, including recurrent HE, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), and gastrointestinal bleeding. Patients treated with PPI with a mean defined daily dose (mDDD) ≥0.5 (high-dose PPI group) were compared to those treated with PPI of an mDDD < 0.5 (No or low-dose PPI group) for each outcome. RESULTS: Among 1485 patients (median age, 61 years; male, 61%), 232 were assigned to the high-dose PPI group. High-dose PPI use was independently associated with a higher risk of death (adjusted HR [aHR] = 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.38-2.11, p < 0.001). This result was reproducible after propensity score-matching (PSM) (aHR = 1.90, 95% CI = 1.49-2.44, p < 0.001). High-dose PPI use was an independent risk factor of recurrent HE (before PSM: aHR = 2.04, 95% CI = 1.66-2.51, p < 0.001; after PSM: aHR = 2.16, 95% CI = 1.70-2.74, p < 0.001), SBP (before PSM: aHR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.43-2.43, p < 0.001; after PSM: aHR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.31-2.36, p = 0.002), HRS (before PSM: aHR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.02-2.15, p = 0.04; after PSM: aHR = 1.47, 95% CI = 0.95-2.28, p = 0.09), and gastrointestinal bleeding (before PSM: aHR = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.12-1.90, p = 0.006; after PSM: aHR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.28-2.37, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The use of high-dose PPI was independently associated with increased risks of mortality and cirrhotic complications.

A risk prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease without cirrhosis: HCC prediction for non-cirrhotic NAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is becoming a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), HCC risk in non-cirrhotic NAFLD received little attention. We aimed to develop and validate an HCC risk prediction model for non-cirrhotic NAFLD. METHODS: A nationwide cohort of non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients in Korea was recruited to develop a risk prediction model and validate it internally (n = 409 088). A model using a simplified point system was developed by Cox proportional hazard model. K-fold cross-validation assessed the accuracy, discrimination and calibration. The model was validated externally using a hospital cohort from Asan Medical Center (n = 8721). RESULTS: An 11-point HCC risk prediction model for non-cirrhotic NAFLD was developed using six independent factors of age, sex, diabetes, obesity, serum alanine aminotransferase level and gamma-glutamyl transferase level (c-index 0.75). The average area under receiver operating curves (AUROCs) of the model was 0.72 at 5 years and 0.75 at 10 years. In the external validation cohort, the AUROCs were 0.79 [95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.95] at 5 years and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.73-0.94) at 10 years. The calibration plots showed the expected risks corresponded well with the observed risks. Risk stratification categorized patients into the low (score 0-6), moderate (7, 8) and high (9-11; estimated incidence rate >0.2%/year) risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: A novel HCC risk prediction model for non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients was developed and validated with fair performance. The model is expected to serve as a simple and reliable tool to assess HCC risk and assist precision screening of HCC.