Association between concurrence of multiple risk factors and under-5 mortality: a pooled analysis of data from Demographic and Health Survey in 61 low-and-middle-income countries.

Background: Exposure to multiple risk factors is prevalent in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs), challenging one-directional strategies to address preventable under-5 mortality (U5M). This study aims to assess the associations between concurrence of multiple risk factors and U5M in LMICs. Methods: We extracted data from the Demographic and Health Surveys conducted between 2010 and 2021 across 61 LMICs. Our primary outcome was U5M, defined as deaths from birth to 59 months. Binary logistic regression model was applied to ascertain the association between U5M and a total of 20 critical risk factors. Upon identifying the risk factors demonstrating the strongest associations, we investigated the simultaneous presence of multiple risk factors in each individual and assessed their combined effects on U5M with logistic regression models. Findings: Of the 604,372 under-5 children, 18,166 (3.0%) died at the time of the survey. Unsatisfied family planning needs was the strongest risk factor for U5M (odds ratio [OR]: 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.9-2.1), followed by short birth interval (<18 months; OR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.9-2.1), small birth size (OR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.8-2.1), never breastfed or delayed breastfeeding (OR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.9-2.0), and low maternal education (OR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.4-1.8). 66.7% (66.6%-66.8%) of the children had 2 or more leading risk factors simultaneously. Simultaneous presence of multiple leading risk factors was significantly associated with elevated risk of U5M and children presenting with all 5 leading risk factors exhibited an exceedingly high risk of U5M (OR: 5.2, 95% CI: 4.3-6.3); a dose-response relationship between the number of risk factors and U5M was also observed-with the increment of numbers of leading risk factors, the U5M showed an increasing trend (p-trend < 0.001). Interpretation: Exposure to multiple risk factors is very common in LMICs and underscores the necessity of developing multisectoral and integrated approaches to accelerate progress in reducing U5M in line with the SDG 3.2. Funding: This research is funded by Research Fund, Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University.

Ethnicity-specific blood pressure thresholds based on cardiovascular and renal complications: a prospective study in the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: The appropriateness of hypertension thresholds for triggering action to prevent cardiovascular and renal complications among non-White populations in the UK is subject to question. Our objective was to establish ethnicity-specific systolic blood pressure (SBP) cutoffs for ethnic minority populations and assess the efficacy of these ethnicity-specific cutoffs in predicting adverse outcomes. METHODS: We analyzed data from UK Biobank, which included 444,418 participants from White, South Asian, Black Caribbean, and Black African populations with no history of cardiorenal complications. We fitted Poisson regression models with continuous SBP and ethnic groups, using Whites as the referent category, for the composite outcome of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease. We determined ethnicity-specific thresholds equivalent to the risks observed in Whites at SBP levels of 120, 130, and 140 mm Hg. We adjusted models for clinical characteristics, sociodemographic factors, and behavioral factors. The performance of ethnicity-specific thresholds for predicting adverse outcomes and associated population-attributable fraction (PAF) was assessed in ethnic minority groups. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 12.5 years (interquartile range, 11.7-13.2), 32,662 (7.4%) participants had incident composite outcomes. At any given SBP, the predicted incidence rate of the composite outcome was the highest for South Asians, followed by White, Black Caribbean, and Black African. For an equivalent risk of outcomes observed in the White population at an SBP level of 140 mm Hg, the SBP threshold was lower for South Asians (123 mm Hg) and higher for Black Caribbean (156 mm Hg) and Black African (165 mm Hg). Furthermore, hypertension defined by ethnicity-specific thresholds was a stronger predictor and resulted in a larger PAF for composite outcomes in South Asians (21.5% [95% CI, 2.4,36.9] vs. 11.3% [95% CI, 2.6,19.1]) and Black Africans (7.1% [95% CI, 0.2,14.0] vs. 5.7 [95% CI, -16.2,23.5]) compared to hypertension defined by guideline-recommended thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Guideline-recommended blood pressure thresholds may overestimate risks for the Black population and underestimate risks for South Asians. Using ethnicity-specific SBP thresholds may improve risk estimation and optimize hypertension management toward the goal of eliminating ethnic disparities in cardiorenal complications.

Prevalence and changes of intimate partner violence against women aged 15 to 49 years in 53 low-income and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2021: a secondary analysis of population-based surveys.

BACKGROUND: In low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), intimate partner violence poses a substantial barrier to accomplishing target 5.2 of the Sustainable Development Goals: to eliminate all forms of violence against women and girls. Our study aimed to assess the prevalence and changes of intimate partner violence against women in LMICs. We also explored the association between women's empowerment and intimate partner violence. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of population-based surveys, we obtained data from the nationally representative Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in LMICs between 2000 and 2021. We selected countries with available data on the domestic violence module, and women aged 15 to 49 years who currently or formerly had a husband or partner, and who had provided information about intimate partner violence, were included in the analysis. We first estimated the weighted prevalence of intimate partner violence in LMICs with available data, and then we assessed the average annual rate of change using Poisson regression with robust error variance in a subset of countries with at least two surveys. We used multilevel analysis to investigate the association between intimate partner violence and women's empowerment measured at both the country and individual levels. Country-level empowerment was measured by gender inequality index, while individual-level empowerment considered social independence, decision making, and attitude to violence. FINDINGS: A total of 359 479 women aged 15 to 49 years were included from 53 LMICs. 336 811 women from 21 countries with two surveys provided data for assessing the trends of intimate partner violence. The weighted prevalence of any type of intimate partner violence was 37·2% (95% CI 36·6 to 37·8). A significant overall decline in the prevalence of any type of intimate partner violence was observed with an average annual rate of change of -0·2% (95% CI -0·4 to -0·03); however six countries showed significant increasing trends, with average annual rates of change ranging from 1·2% (95% CI 0·7 to 1·7) in Nigeria to 6·6% (5·3 to 7·8) in Sierra Leone. Notably, the prevalence of psychological intimate partner violence has risen (average annual rate of change, 2·3% [95% CI 2·1 to 2·6]), reflected in increased rates across eight countries. Higher levels of country-level women's empowerment were associated with a lower risk of intimate partner violence: women from countries with the highest tertile of gender inequality index had an increased odds of any type of intimate partner violence (odds ratio 1·58 [95% CI 1·12 to 2·23]). Similarly, better individual-level women's empowerment also showed significant associations with a lower risk of intimate partner violence. INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of intimate partner violence remains high, and some countries have shown an increasing trend. The strong relationship between both country-level and individual-level women's empowerment and the prevalence of intimate partner violence suggests that accelerating women's empowerment could be one strategy to further reduce intimate partner violence against women. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation; Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University; and Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen.

The association of a disability-targeted cash transfer programme with disability status and health-care access: a quasi-experimental study using a nationwide cohort of 4·3 million Chinese adults living with severe disabilities.

BACKGROUND: Cash transfer is a crucial policy tool to address inequality. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between China's disability-targeted cash transfer programme and disability status, as well as equitable access to rehabilitation and medical services. METHODS: For this quasi-experimental study, we drew data from the nationwide administrative cohort of individuals with disabilities between Jan 1, 2015, and Dec 31, 2019. Individuals were enrolled in the cohort if they were aged 18 years or older, had severe disabilities as defined by the Chinese Government, and had available cash transfer information for at least 4 consecutive years, without having started receiving cash transfer benefits at the time of enrolment. We used a quasi-experimental design with propensity score matching to estimate the effects of cash transfers on disability status, access to rehabilitation services, and access to medical treatment. The primary outcomes were development of new disability and reduction of existing disabilities. Secondary outcomes were use of rehabilitation services, financial barriers as a major obstacle to accessing rehabilitation services, use of medical services by individuals who had an illness in the previous 2 weeks, and financial barriers as a major obstacle to accessing medical services. FINDINGS: From an initial pool of 51 356 125 individuals with disabilities registered in the administrative system, 2 686 024 individuals were eligible for analysis, of whom 2 165 335 (80·6%) were cash transfer beneficiaries and 520 689 (19·4%) non-beneficiaries. After propensity score matching, the cohort included 4 330 122 adults with severe disabilities. Cash transfer beneficiaries had significantly lower odds of developing new disabilities over time than non-beneficiaries (odds ratio [OR] 0·90, 95% CI 0·86-0·94; p<0·0001) and higher odds of having a reduced number of disabilities over time (1·17, 1·10-1·25; p<0·0001). Compared with non-beneficiaries, cash transfer beneficiaries were more likely to use rehabilitation services (2·12, 2·11-2·13; p<0·0001) and medical services (1·74, 1·69-1·78; p<0·0001), and less likely to report financial hardship to access rehabilitation services (0·53, 0·52-0·54; p<0·0001) and medical services (0·88, 0·84-0·93; p<0·0001) at the study endpoint. INTERPRETATION: The receipt of cash transfers was associated with improved disability status and increased access to disability-related services. The findings suggest that cash transfers could be a potential method for promoting universal health coverage among individuals living with disabilities. FUNDING: China National Natural Science Foundation.

The effect of a disability-targeted cash transfer program on universal health coverage and universal access to education: a nationwide cohort study of Chinese children and adolescents with disabilities.

Background: To achieve improved outcomes for children and adolescents with disabilities, it is central to have universal health coverage (UHC) and universal access to education. This study investigates whether a disability-targeted cash transfer (CT) program is associated with improved access to healthcare and education for children and adolescents with disabilities. Methods: We used nationwide survey data of two million children and adolescents living with disabilities, who aged 8-15 years when entering the cohort between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2019. With a quasi-experimental study design, we compared the outcomes between CT beneficiaries who newly received CT benefits during the study period and non-beneficiaries who were disabled but never received CT using logistic regressions after propensity score matching with a 1:1 ratio. Outcomes of interest were utilization of rehabilitation services in the past year, medical treatment if the individual had illness in the past two weeks, school attendance if not in school at the start of the study, and reported financial hardship to access these services. Findings: Of the total cohort, 368,595 children and adolescents fit the inclusion criteria, including 157,707 new CT beneficiaries and 210,888 non-beneficiaries. After matching, CT beneficiaries showed 2.27 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.23, 2.31) higher odds of utilizing rehabilitation services and 1.34 (95% CI: 1.23, 1.46) higher odds of getting medical treatment compared to non-beneficiaries. CT benefits were also significantly associated with less report of financial barrier to access rehabilitation services (odds ratio [OR]: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.66) and medical treatment (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.57, 0.78). Moreover, CT program was associated with higher odds of school attendance (OR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.85, 2.15) and lower odds of reporting financial difficult to access education (OR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.36, 0.47). Interpretation: Our results suggest that the receipt of CT was associated with improved access to health and educational resources. This finding provides supporting evidence for the identification of efficient and feasible interventions to move toward UHC and universal education under the Sustainable Development Goals. Funding: This research was supported by Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen (NO.SZSM202111001), China National Natural Science Foundation (Grant/Award Number: 72274104, 71904099) and Tsinghua University Spring Breeze Fund (20213080028).

Association Between Parental Education and Simultaneous Malnutrition Among Parents and Children in 45 Low- and Middle-Income Countries.

Importance: Parental education is known to be associated with the health status of parents and their offspring. However, the association between parental education and the simultaneous manifestation of multiple forms of malnutrition within households remains underinvestigated globally. Objective: To assess the association between parental education and the simultaneous manifestation of malnutrition of both parent and child (either overnutrition or undernutrition)-referred to as the double burden of malnutrition (DBM)-at the household level in mother-child and father-child pairs in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used data from the US Agency for International Development Demographic and Health Surveys (January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2021) to identify mother-child pairs and father-child pairs from LMICs. The eligibility criteria were as follows: (1) children aged 0 to 59 months; (2) nonpregnant mothers at the time of the survey in the sample of mother-child pairs; and (3) valid measures of the weight, height, and hemoglobin level for the child and at least 1 of their parents. Exposures: Highest level of parental education obtained and number of years of education completed. Main Outcomes and Measures: Four sets of multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to assess the association between parental education and DBM, and analysis was performed between March 10 and May 15, 2022. Results: This study included 423 340 mother-child pairs from 45 LMICs and 56 720 father-child pairs from 16 LMICs. The mean (SD) age of the mother-child pairs was 28.2 (6.1) and 1.9 (1.4) years, respectively; 48.8% of the children were female. We observed that 49.0% of mother-child pairs experienced DBM. Compared with mother-child pairs with no maternal education, higher maternal education was associated with a lower risk of DBM. For example, the odds ratio (OR) for tertiary maternal education was 0.71 (95% CI, 0.67-0.74). However, the association differed by DBM subtypes: higher maternal education was associated with a lower risk of both mothers and children being undernourished but with a higher risk of almost all DBM subtypes involving overnutrition. For example, compared with mother-child pairs with no maternal education, those with secondary education were less likely to develop simultaneous maternal and child undernutrition (OR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.80-0.86]) but were more likely to experience simultaneous maternal and child overnutrition (OR, 2.20 [95% CI, 1.61-3.00]); similar results were observed for pairs with primary and tertiary education. The results in mother-child pairs remained consistent after controlling for paternal education. Among the father-child pairs, 26.5% had DBM, with fathers with tertiary education significantly more likely to experience simultaneous paternal overnutrition and child undernutrition (OR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.23-1.95]) compared with pairs with no paternal education; they were also less likely to have both paternal and child undernutrition (OR, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.59-0.84]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, maternal education and paternal education were independently associated with DBM, and the associations differed by DBM subtypes. These findings suggest that the different risks of malnutrition faced by households with various levels of education should thus be considered in policy evaluation.

Association of age at first birth and risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in women: evidence from the NHANES.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have suggested that age at first birth (AFB) is inversely associated with metabolic diseases, but positively associated with liver cancer in women. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a canonical example of metabolic dysfunction and inflammation-based liver disease, while the association between AFB and the risk of NAFLD remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between AFB and the odds of NAFLD in women. METHODS: Women older than 20 years at the time of the survey were analyzed using National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data from 1999 to 2018 in the US. AFB was obtained with self-administered questionnaires. NAFLD was diagnosed as fatty liver index (FLI) ≥ 60. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the 12,188 women included in this study, 5670 (46.5%) had NAFLD. Compared to individuals with AFB of 30-32 years old (reference group), the fully adjusted ORs and 95% CI in women with AFB < 18, 18-20, 21-23, and 24-26 years were 1.52 (95% CI 1.14, 2.03), 1.60 (95% CI 1.21, 2.11), 1.40 (95% CI 1.06, 1.84), and 1.33 (95% CI 1.01-1.76), respectively. Yet there was no significant difference between AFB of 27-29, 33-35, or > 35 years compared to the reference group. CONCLUSIONS: Women with younger AFB have higher odds of NAFLD in later life. Policymakers should consider focusing on those with earlier AFB for screening and prevention of NAFLD.

Independent and cumulative effects of risk factors associated with stillbirths in 50 low- and middle-income countries: A multi-country cross-sectional study.

Background: Early identification of high-risk pregnancies could reduce stillbirths, yet remains a challenge in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aims to estimate the associations between easily observable risk factors and stillbirths, and construct a risk score which could be adopted in LMICs to identify pregnancies with high risk of stillbirths. Methods: Using the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys from 50 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with available data between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2021, we analysed a total of 22 factors associated with stillbirths in a series of single-adjusted and mutually adjusted logistic regression models. Upon identification of the risk factors with the strongest associations, we constructed a risk score on the basis of the magnitude of the ß coefficient to examine the cumulative effects of risk factors on stillbirths. To assess whether the associations between risk scores and stillbirths were moderated by protective factors, we added an interaction term between the identified protective factor and risk scores to the regression model. We also conducted two sets of subgroup analyses for previous history of pregnancy and maternal age at pregnancy and four sets of supplementary analyses to test the robustness of the results. Findings: Among the 795,642 women identified for analysis with at least one pregnancy within the five years before the survey, the most recent pregnancy of 8968 (1.13%) ended as stillbirths. Using a mutually adjusted regression model, we found that the top factors showing the strongest associations with stillbirths were short maternal height (odds ratio [OR]: 1.99, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.48-2.67, P < 0.001), interpregnancy interval less than six months (OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.42-2.38, P < 0.001), previous stillbirth history (OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.07-2.26, P < 0.020), low maternal education (OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.01-2.24, P = 0.045), and lowest household wealth (OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.08-1.61, P = 0.008). A female household head was a protective factor with an OR of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.55-0.90, P = 0.005). Single-adjusted models, subgroup analyses, and sensitivity analyses showed generally consistent results. We also found that the odds of stillbirths increased with a larger risk score with a P trend <0.001. Compared with women without any risk factors, women with a risk score of 5 or more were 4.11 (95% CI: 2.83-5.97, P < 0.001) times more likely to have their pregnancies ending up as stillbirths. However, these associations were weakened if the head of household was female. Interpretation: Our study suggested that short maternal height, low socioeconomic status, previous stillbirth history, low maternal education, and very short interpregnancy interval had the strongest associations with stillbirths. The construction of risk scores using easily observable risk factors could be an effective way to identify high-risk pregnancies in resource-poor settings. Funding: This research was supported by Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen (NO. SZSM202111001) and China National Natural Science Foundation (NO. 72203119).

The effectiveness of portable ultrasound-guided resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta for stopping iliac artery hemorrhage during first aid pre-hospital: a randomized control animal trial.

PURPOSE: This study aimed at to comparing the effectiveness of portable ultrasound guided REBOA vs. traditional manual extracorporeal compression in stopping iliac artery hemostasis. METHODS: Twelve swine were included in this study (treatment group vs. control group, 6:6). A biopsy device was used to create an iliac artery rupture and hemorrhage in each swine. After 30 s of bleeding, the treatment group received REBOA under the guidance of ultrasound, whereas the control group received traditional manual extracorporeal compression. General physiological conditions were recorded at 0 s (baseline, T1), 30 s (initiation of therapies to stop bleeding, T2), 10 min (T3) and 30 min (T4) after bleeding. Intraperitoneal and retroperitoneal hemorrhage and specimens of iliac artery were collected after all swine were euthanized. RESULTS: One swine was excluded because of accidental death not related to the experiment; thus, 11 swine were analyzed in this study. The general physiological characteristics of the two groups showed no difference at T1. Hemorrhagic shock occurred in both groups. After the hemostatic procedure was performed, systolic pressure, diastolic pressure and heart rate first increased significantly between T2 and T3, and then became stable between T3 and T4; these indicators in the control group deteriorated over time. The total blood loss in the treatment group (1245.23 ± 190.07 g) was much significantly less than that in the control group (2605.63 ± 291.67 g) with p < 0.001. CONCLUSIONS: Performing REBOA under the guidance of portable ultrasound is an effective way to stop bleeding. It suggests a potential alternative method for iliac artery hemostasis in the pre-hospital setting.

Dependence of the Bacillus subtilis biofilm expansion rate on phenotypes and the morphology under different growing conditions.

Biofilms are communities of tightly associated bacteria encased in an extracellular matrix and attached to surfaces of various objects, such as liquid or solid surfaces. Here we use the multi-channel wide field stereo fluorescence microscope to characterize growth of the Bacillus subtilis biofilm, in which the bacterial strain was triple fluorescence labeled for three main phenotypes: motile, matrix producing and sporulating cells. We used the feature point matching approach analyzing time lapse experimental movies to study the biofilm expansion rate. We found that the matrix producing cells dominate the biofilm expansion, at the biofilm edge, the expansion rate of matrix producing cells was almost the same as the velocity of the whole biofilm; however, the motile and sporulating cells were nearly rest. We also found that the biofilm expansion rate evolution relates to cell differentiation and biofilm morphology, and other micro-environments can influence the biofilm growth, such as nutrient, substrate hardness and colony competition. From our work, we get a deeper understanding of the biofilm growth, which can help us to control and to further disperse the biofilm.

Viscoelasticity variation in a biofilm-mediated Bacillus subtilis suspension induced by adding polyethylene glycol.

Recent experiments show that synthetic polymers can influence the degree of microbial aggregation and the rheological properties of bacterial suspensions, the study of which can help us control biofilm formation. In this article, we add polyethylene glycol (PEG) with various molecular weights and concentrations into two types Bacillus subtilis cell cultures, Luria Broth (LB) and Minimal Salts glutamate glycerol (MSgg), respectively. We first observe cell clusters in cell suspensions with various concentrations of PEG, and measure cluster size in both static and dynamic fluid environments. We find that cells gather together into big clusters and most of the cells are arranged longitudinally; and the large cell clusters are divided into smaller aggregates under fluid shear. We then use a rheometer to measure the viscoelastic properties of various cell cultures, to represent the degree of aggregation of the bacterial suspensions. We find the storage modulus, the loss modulus and the viscosity of bacterial suspensions not only depend on the cell aggregation but also depend on the directionality of cellular motion.