Premorbid physical activity and prognosis after incident myocardial infarction: The atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

BACKGROUND: High to moderate levels of physical activity (PA) are associated with low risk of incident cardiovascular disease. However, it is unclear whether the benefits of PA in midlife extend to cardiovascular health following myocardial infarction (MI) in later life. METHODS: Among 1,111 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants with incident MI during Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities follow-up (mean age 73 [SD 9] years at MI, 54% men, 21% Black), PA on average 11.9 (SD 6.9) years prior to incident MI (premorbid PA) was evaluated as the average score of PA between visit 1 (1987-1989) and visit 3 (1993-1995) using a modified Baecke questionnaire. Total and domain-specific PA (sport, nonsport leisure, and work PA) was analyzed for associations with composite and individual outcomes of mortality, recurrent MI, and stroke after index MI using multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 4.6 (IQI 1.0-10.5) years after incident MI, 823 participants (74%) developed a composite outcome. The 10-year cumulative incidence of the composite outcome was lower in the highest, as compared to the lowest tertile of premorbid total PA (56% vs. 70%, respectively). This association remained statistically significant even after adjusting for potential confounders (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.80 [0.67-0.96] for the highest vs. lowest tertile). For individual outcomes, high premorbid total PA was associated with a low risk of recurrent MI (corresponding aHR 0.64 [0.44, 0.93]). When domain-specific PA was analyzed, similar results were seen for sport and work PA. The association was strongest in the first year following MI (e.g., aHR of composite outcome 0.66 [95% CI 0.47, 0.91] for the highest vs. lowest tertile of total PA). CONCLUSIONS: Premorbid PA was associated positively with post-MI cardiovascular health. Our results demonstrate the additional prognostic advantages of PA beyond reducing the risk of incident MI.

Head Injury and Risk of Incident Ischemic Stroke in Community-Dwelling Adults.

BACKGROUND: While stroke is a recognized short-term sequela of traumatic brain injury, evidence about long-term ischemic stroke risk after traumatic brain injury remains limited. METHODS: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study is an ongoing prospective cohort comprised of US community-dwelling adults enrolled in 1987 to 1989 followed through 2019. Head injury was defined using self-report and hospital-based diagnostic codes and was analyzed as a time-varying exposure. Incident ischemic stroke events were physician-adjudicated. We used Cox regression adjusted for sociodemographic and cardiovascular risk factors to estimate the hazard of ischemic stroke as a function of head injury. Secondary analyses explored the number and severity of head injuries; the mechanism and severity of incident ischemic stroke; and heterogeneity within subgroups defined by race, sex, and age. RESULTS: Our analysis included 12 813 participants with no prior head injury or stroke. The median follow-up age was 27.1 years (25th-75th percentile=21.1-30.5). Participants were of median age 54 years (25th-75th percentile=49-59) at baseline; 57.7% were female and 27.8% were Black. There were 2158 (16.8%) participants with at least 1 head injury and 1141 (8.9%) participants with an incident ischemic stroke during follow-up. For those with head injuries, the median age to ischemic stroke was 7.5 years (25th-75th percentile=2.2-14.0). In adjusted models, head injury was associated with an increased hazard of incident ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.34 [95% CI, 1.12-1.60]). We observed evidence of dose-response for the number of head injuries (1: HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.97-1.40]; ≥2: HR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.39-2.71]) but not for injury severity. We observed evidence of stronger associations between head injury and more severe stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤5: HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.04-1.64]; National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score 6-10: HR, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.06-2.52]; National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≥11: HR, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.18-2.76]). Results were similar across stroke mechanism and within strata of race, sex, and age. CONCLUSIONS: In this community-based cohort, head injury was associated with subsequent ischemic stroke. These results suggest the importance of public health interventions aimed at preventing head injuries and primary stroke prevention among individuals with prior traumatic brain injuries.

Social relationships, amyloid burden, and dementia: The ARIC-PET study.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess whether social relationships in mid-life reduce the risk of dementia related to amyloid burden. METHODS: Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were assessed for social support and isolation (visit 2; 1990-1992). A composite measure, "social relationships," was generated. Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET); (visit 5; 2012-2014). Incident dementia cases were identified following visit 5 through 2019 using ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of mid-life social relationships and elevated brain amyloid to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox regression models. RESULTS: Among 310 participants without dementia, strong mid-life social relationships were associated independently with lower dementia risk. Elevated late-life brain amyloid was associated with greater dementia risk. DISCUSSION: Although mid-life social relationships did not moderate the relationship between amyloid burden and dementia, these findings affirm the importance of strong social relationships as a potentially protective factor against dementia.

Occupation, Retirement Age, and 20-Year Cognitive Decline: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study.

INTRODUCTION: We examined the association of both midlife occupation and age at retirement with cognitive decline in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) biracial community-based cohort. METHODS: Current or most recent occupation at ARIC baseline (1987-89; ages 45-64y) was categorized based on 1980 US census major occupation groups and tertiles of the Nam-Powers-Boyd occupational status score (n=14,090). Retirement status via annual follow-up questionnaires administered ascertained in 1999-2007 was classified as occurring before or after age 70 (n=7,503). Generalized estimating equation models were used to examine associations of occupation and age at retirement with trajectories of global cognitive factor scores, assessed from visit 2 (1990-92) to visit 5 (2011-2013). Models were a priori stratified by race and sex and adjusted for demographics and comorbidities. RESULTS: Low occupational status and blue-collar occupations were associated with low baseline cognitive scores in all race-sex strata. Low occupational status and homemaker status were associated with faster decline in White women but slower decline in Black women compared to high occupational status. Retirement before age 70 was associated with slower cognitive decline in White men and women and in Black men. Results did not change substantially after accounting for attrition. CONCLUSION: Low occupational status was associated with cognitive decline in women but not in men. Earlier retirement was associated with a slower cognitive decline in White participants and in Black men. Further research should explore reasons for the observed associations and race-sex differences.

Associations Between Mid-Life Psychosocial Measures and Estimated Late Life Amyloid Burden: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-PET Study.

Background: Psychosocial factors are modifiable risk factors for Alzheimer's disease (AD). One mechanism linking psychosocial factors to AD risk may be through biological measures of brain amyloid; however, this association has not been widely studied. Objective: To determine if mid-life measures of social support and social isolation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study cohort are associated with late life brain amyloid burden, measured using florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET). Methods: Measures of social support and social isolation were assessed in ARIC participants (visit 2: 1990-1992). Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir PET standardized uptake value ratios (SUVRs; visit 5: 2012-2014). Results: Among 316 participants without dementia, participants with intermediate (odds ratio (OR), 0.47; 95% CI, 0.25-0.88), or low social support (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.22-0.83) in mid-life were less likely to have elevated amyloid SUVRs, relative to participants with high social support. Participants with moderate risk for social isolation in mid-life (OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.14-0.74) were less likely to have elevated amyloid burden than participants at low risk for social isolation. These associations were not significantly modified by sex or race. Conclusions: Lower social support and moderate risk of social isolation in mid-life were associated with lower odds of elevated amyloid SUVR in late life, compared to participants with greater mid-life psychosocial measures. Future longitudinal studies evaluating mid-life psychosocial factors, in relation to brain amyloid as well as other health outcomes, will strengthen our understanding of the role of these factors throughout the lifetime.

Stroke Subtype and Risk of Subsequent Hospitalization: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Risk of readmission after stroke differs by stroke (sub)type and etiology, with higher risks reported for hemorrhagic stroke and cardioembolic stroke. We examined the risk and cause of first readmission by stroke subtype over the years post incident stroke. METHODS: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants (n = 1,412) with first-ever stroke were followed up for all-cause readmission after incident stroke. Risk of first readmission was examined by stroke subtypes (cardioembolic, thrombotic/lacunar, and hemorrhagic [intracerebral and subarachnoid]) using Cox and Fine-Gray proportional hazards models, adjusting for sociodemographic and cardiometabolic risk factors. RESULTS: Among 1,412 participants (mean [SD] age 72.4 [9.3] years, 52.1% women, 35.3% Black), 1,143 hospitalizations occurred over 41,849 person-months. Overall, 81% of participants were hospitalized over a maximum of 26.6 years of follow-up (83% of participants with thrombotic/lacunar stroke, 77% of participants with cardioembolic stroke, and 78% of participants with hemorrhagic stroke). Primary cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diagnoses were reported for half of readmissions. Over the entire follow-up period, compared with cardioembolic stroke, readmission risk was lower for thrombotic/lacunar stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.95) and hemorrhagic stroke (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58-0.93) in adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. By contrast, there was no statistically significant difference among subtypes when adjusting for atrial fibrillation and competing risk of death. Compared with cardioembolic stroke, thrombotic/lacunar stroke was associated with lower readmission risk within 1 month (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.46-0.93) and during 1 month-1 year (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.62-0.97), and hemorrhagic stroke was associated with lower risk during 1 month-1 year (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.41-0.87). There was no significant difference between subtypes in readmission risk during later periods. DISCUSSION: Over 26 years of follow-up, 81% of stroke participants experienced a readmission. Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diagnoses at readmission were most common across stroke subtypes. Though cardioembolic stroke has previously been reported to confer higher risk of readmission, in this study, the readmission risk was not statistically significantly different between stroke subtypes or over different periods when accounting for the competing risk of death.

Universal Risk Prediction for Individuals With and Without Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines recommend distinct risk classification systems for primary and secondary cardiovascular disease prevention. However, both systems rely on similar predictors (eg, age and diabetes), indicating the possibility of a universal risk prediction approach for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). OBJECTIVES: The authors examined the performance of predictors in persons with and without atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and developed and validated a universal risk prediction model. METHODS: Among 9,138 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) participants with (n = 609) and without (n = 8,529) ASCVD at baseline (1996-1998), we examined established predictors in the risk classification systems and other predictors, such as body mass index and cardiac biomarkers (troponin and natriuretic peptide), using Cox models with MACEs (myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure). We also evaluated model performance. RESULTS: Over a follow-up of approximately 20 years, there were 3,209 MACEs (2,797 for no prior ASCVD). Most predictors showed similar associations with MACE regardless of baseline ASCVD status. A universal risk prediction model with the predictors (eg, established predictors, cardiac biomarkers) identified by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and bootstrapping showed good discrimination for both groups (c-statistics of 0.747 and 0.691, respectively), and risk classification and showed excellent calibration, irrespective of ASCVD status. This universal prediction approach identified individuals without ASCVD who had a higher risk than some individuals with ASCVD and was validated externally in 5,322 participants in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). CONCLUSIONS: A universal risk prediction approach performed well in persons with and without ASCVD. This approach could facilitate the transition from primary to secondary prevention by streamlining risk classification and discussion between clinicians and patients.

Association Between Ischemic Stroke Subtype and Stroke Severity: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Disability after stroke occurs across ischemic stroke subtypes, with a suggestion that embolic strokes are more devastating. Whether this difference is as a result of differences in comorbidities or differences in severity at the time of the stroke event is not known. The primary hypothesis was that participants with embolic stroke would have more severe stroke at the time of admission and a higher risk of mortality, compared with thrombotic stroke participants even with consideration of confounders over time, with a secondary hypothesis that this association would differ by race and sex. METHODS: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants with incident adjudicated ischemic stroke, stroke severity and mortality data, and complete covariates were included. Multinomial logistic regression models determined the association between stroke subtype (embolic vs thrombotic) and admission NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) category (minor [≤5], mild [6-10], moderate [11-15], severe [16-20], and very severe [>20]) adjusted for covariates from visits most proximal to the stroke. Separate ordinal logistic models evaluated for interaction by race and sex. Adjusted Cox proportional hazard models estimated the association between stroke subtype and all-cause mortality (through December 31, 2019). RESULTS: Participants (N = 940) were mean age 71 years (SD = 9) at incident stroke, 51% female, and 38% Black. Using adjusted multinomial logistic regression, the risk of having a more severe stroke (reference NIHSS ≤5) was higher among embolic stroke vs thrombotic stroke patients, with a step-wise increase for embolic stroke patients when moving from mild (odds ratio [OR] 1.95, 95% CI 1.14-3.35) to very severe strokes (OR 4.95, 95% CI 2.34-10.48). After adjusting for atrial fibrillation, there was still a higher risk of having a worse NIHSS among embolic vs thrombotic strokes but with attenuation of effect (very severe stroke OR 3.91, 95% CI 1.76-8.67). Sex modified the association between stroke subtype and severity (embolic vs thrombotic stroke, p interaction = 0.03, per severity category, females OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.55-3.66; males OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.09-2.82). The risk of death (median follow-up 5 years, interquartile range 1-12) was also increased for embolic vs thrombotic stroke patients (hazard ratio 1.66, 95% CI 1.41-1.97). DISCUSSION: Embolic stroke was associated with greater stroke severity at the time of the event and a higher risk of death vs thrombotic stroke, even after careful adjustment for patient-level differences.

Associations Between Vascular Risk Factor Levels and Cognitive Decline Among Stroke Survivors.

Importance: Incident stroke is associated with accelerated cognitive decline. Whether poststroke vascular risk factor levels are associated with faster cognitive decline is uncertain. Objective: To evaluate associations of poststroke systolic blood pressure (SBP), glucose, and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels with cognitive decline. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual participant data meta-analysis of 4 US cohort studies (conducted 1971-2019). Linear mixed-effects models estimated changes in cognition after incident stroke. Median (IQR) follow-up was 4.7 (2.6-7.9) years. Analysis began August 2021 and was completed March 2023. Exposures: Time-dependent cumulative mean poststroke SBP, glucose, and LDL cholesterol levels. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was change in global cognition. Secondary outcomes were change in executive function and memory. Outcomes were standardized as t scores (mean [SD], 50 [10]); a 1-point difference represents a 0.1-SD difference in cognition. Results: A total of 1120 eligible dementia-free individuals with incident stroke were identified; 982 (87.7%) had available covariate data and 138 (12.3%) were excluded for missing covariate data. Of the 982, 480 (48.9%) were female individuals, and 289 (29.4%) were Black individuals. The median age at incident stroke was 74.6 (IQR, 69.1-79.8; range, 44.1-96.4) years. Cumulative mean poststroke SBP and LDL cholesterol levels were not associated with any cognitive outcome. However, after accounting for cumulative mean poststroke SBP and LDL cholesterol levels, higher cumulative mean poststroke glucose level was associated with faster decline in global cognition (-0.04 points/y faster per each 10-mg/dL increase [95% CI, -0.08 to -0.001 points/y]; P = .046) but not executive function or memory. After restricting to 798 participants with apolipoprotein E4 (APOE4) data and controlling for APOE4 and APOE4 × time, higher cumulative mean poststroke glucose level was associated with a faster decline in global cognition in models without and with adjustment for cumulative mean poststroke SBP and LDL cholesterol levels (-0.05 points/y faster per 10-mg/dL increase [95% CI, -0.09 to -0.01 points/y]; P = .01; -0.07 points/y faster per 10-mg/dL increase [95% CI, -0.11 to -0.03 points/y]; P = .002) but not executive function or memory declines. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, higher poststroke glucose levels were associated with faster global cognitive decline. We found no evidence that poststroke LDL cholesterol and SBP levels were associated with cognitive decline.

Educational Attainment and Dementia: Mediation by Mid-Life Vascular Risk Factors.

INTRODUCTION: Lower education is associated with higher burden of vascular risk factors in mid-life and higher risk of dementia in late life. We aim to understand the causal mechanism through which vascular risk factors potentially mediate the relationship between education and dementia. METHODS: In a cohort of 13,368 Black and White older adults in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, we assessed the relationship between education (grade school, high school without graduation, high school graduate or equivalent, college, graduate/professional school) and dementia among all participants and among those with incident stroke. Cox models were adjusted for age, race-center (a variable stratified by race and field center), sex, apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 genotype, and family history of cardiovascular disease. Causal mediation models assessed mediation by mid-life systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, body mass index, and smoking. RESULTS: More education was associated with 8 to 44% lower risk of dementia compared to grade school-level education in a dose-response pattern, while the relationship between education and post-stroke dementia was not statistically significant. Up to 25% of the association between education and dementia was mediated through mid-life vascular risk factors, with a smaller percentage mediated for lower levels of education. INTERPRETATION: A substantial proportion of the relationship between education and dementia was mediated through mid-life vascular risk factors. However, risk factor modification is unlikely to fully address the large educational disparities in dementia risk. Prevention efforts must also address disparities in socioeconomic resources leading to divergent early-life education and other structural determinants of mid-life vascular risk factors. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:13-26.

Association of Kidney Function Measures With Signs of Neurodegeneration and Small Vessel Disease on Brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a risk factor for cognitive decline, but evidence is limited on its etiology and morphological manifestation in the brain. We evaluated the association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) with structural brain abnormalities visible on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). We also assessed whether this association was altered when different filtration markers were used to estimate GFR. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional study nested in a cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 1,527 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. PREDICTORS: Log(UACR) and eGFR based on cystatin C, creatinine, cystatin C and creatinine in combination, or ß2-microglobulin (B2M). OUTCOMES: Brain volume reduction, infarcts, microhemorrhages, white matter lesions. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable linear and logistic regression models fit separately for each predictor based on a 1-IQR difference in the predictor value. RESULTS: Each 1-IQR lower eGFR was associated with reduced cortex volume (regression coefficient: -0.07 [95% CI, -0.12 to-0.02]), greater white matter hyperintensity volume (logarithmically transformed; regression coefficient: 0.07 [95% CI, 0.01-0.15]), and lower white matter fractional anisotropy (regression coefficient: -0.08 [95% CI, -0.17 to-0.01]). The results were similar when eGFR was estimated with different equations based on cystatin C, creatinine, a combination of cystatin C and creatinine, or B2M. Higher log(UACR) was similarly associated with these outcomes as well as brain infarcts and microhemorrhages (odds ratios per 1-IQR-fold greater UACR of 1.31 [95% CI, 1.13-1.52] and 1.30 [95% CI, 1.12-1.51], respectively). The degree to which brain volume was lower in regions usually susceptible to Alzheimer disease and LATE (limbic-predominant age-related TDP-43 [Tar DNA binding protein 43] encephalopathy) was similar to that seen in the rest of the cortex. LIMITATIONS: No inference about longitudinal effects due to cross-sectional design. CONCLUSIONS: We found eGFR and UACR are associated with structural brain damage across different domains of etiology, and eGFR- and UACR-related brain atrophy is not selective for regions typically affected by Alzheimer disease and LATE. Hence, Alzheimer disease or LATE may not be leading contributors to neurodegeneration associated with CKD.

Vigilance in the Decision-Making Process Regarding Termination of Pregnancy Following Prenatal Diagnosis of Congenital Heart Disease-Application of the 'Conflict Decision-Making Model'.

The decision-making process regarding termination of pregnancy following prenatal diagnosis of congenital heart disease is a stressful experience for future parents. Janis and Mann's conflict decision-making model describes seven ideal stages that comprise vigilant information-gathering as an expression of the qualitative decision-making process. In our study, we attempted to determine whether parents who face the decision regarding termination of pregnancy undertake a qualitative decision-making process. Data were collected over 2-year period using structural questionnaires. The sample consisted of two hundred forty participants; sixty-nine (28.75%) declared that their decision was to terminate the pregnancy. A significant difference in the quality of the decision-making score was noted between parents who decided to continue with the pregnancy vs. parents who opted for termination (mean score of 10.15 (5.6) vs. 18.51 (3.9), respectively, p < 0.001). Sixty-two (90%) participants within the termination of pregnancy group went through all seven stages of vigilant decision-making process and utilized additional sources for information and consultation. Parents who decided to continue with the pregnancy made swift decisions, often without considering the negative and positive outcomes; this decision-making pattern is considered non-vigilant and ineffective. Identification of future parents at risk of going through an ineffective decision-making process may help health professionals to determine the best way to provide them with information and support.

Methods for stroke severity assessment by chart review in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.

Stroke severity is the most important predictor of post-stroke outcome. Most longitudinal cohort studies do not include direct and validated measures of stroke severity, yet these indicators may provide valuable information about post-stroke outcomes, as well as risk factor associations. In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, stroke severity data were retrospectively collected, and this paper outlines the procedures used and shares them as a model for assessment of stroke severity in other large epidemiologic studies. Trained physician abstractors, who were blinded to other clinical events, reviewed hospital charts of all definite/probable stroke events occurring in ARIC. In this analysis we included 1,198 ischemic stroke events occurring from ARIC baseline (1987-1989) through December 31, 2009. Stroke severity was categorized according to the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score and classified into 5 levels: NIHSS ≤ 5 (minor), NIHSS 6-10 (mild), NIHSS 11-15 (moderate), NIHSS 16-20 (severe), and NIHSS > 20 (very severe). We assessed interrater reliability in a subgroup of 180 stroke events, reviewed independently by the lead abstraction physician and one of the four secondary physician abstractors. Interrater correlation coefficients for continuous NIHSS score as well as percentage of absolute agreement and Cohen Kappa Statistic for NIHSS categories were presented. Determination of stroke severity by the NIHSS, based on data abstracted from hospital charts, was possible for 97% of all ischemic stroke events. Median (25%-75%) NIHSS score was 5 (2-8). The distribution of NIHSS category was NIHSS ≤ 5 = 58.3%, NIHSS 6-10 = 24.5%, NIHSS 11-15 = 8.9%, NIHSS 16-20 = 4.7%, NIHSS > 20 = 3.6%. Overall agreement in the classification of severity by NIHSS category was present in 145/180 events (80.56%). Cohen's simple Kappa statistic (95% CI) was 0.64 (0.55-0.74) and weighted Kappa was 0.79 (0.72-0.86). Mean (SD) NIHSS score was 5.84 (5.88), with a median score of 4 and range 0-31 for the lead reviewer (rater 1) and mean (SD) 6.16 (6.10), median 4.5 and range 0-36 in the second independent assessment (rater 2). There was a very high correlation between the scores reported in both assessments (Pearson r = 0.90). Based on our findings, we conclude that hospital chart-based retrospective assessment of stroke severity using the NIHSS is feasible and reliable.

Differences in incident and recurrent myocardial infarction among White and Black individuals aged 35 to 84: Findings from the ARIC community surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: No previous study has examined racial differences in recurrent acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in a community population. We aimed to examine racial differences in recurrent AMI risk, along with first AMI risk in a community population. METHODS: The community surveillance of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (2005-2014) included 470,000 people 35 to 84 years old in 4 U.S. communities. Hospitalizations for recurrent and first AMI were identified from ICD-9-CM discharge codes. Poisson regression models were used to compare recurrent and first AMI risk ratios between Black and White residents. RESULTS: Recurrent and first AMI risk per 1,000 persons were 8.8 (95% CI, 8.3-9.2) and 20.7 (95% CI, 20.0-21.4) in Black men, 6.8 (95% CI, 6.5-7.0) and 14.1 (95% CI, 13.8-14.5) in White men, 5.3 (95% CI, 5.0-5.7) and 16.2 (95% CI, 15.6-16.8) in Black women, and 3.1 (95% CI, 3.0-3.3) and 8.8 (95% CI, 8.6-9.0) in White women, respectively. The age-adjusted risk ratios (RR) of recurrent AMI were higher in Black men vs White men (RR, 1.58 95% CI, 1.30-1.92) and Black women vs White women (RR, 2.09 95% CI, 1.64-2.66). The corresponding RRs were slightly lower for first AMI: Black men vs White men, RR, 1.49 (95% CI, 1.30-1.71) and Black women vs White women, RR, 1.65 (95% CI, 1.42-1.92) CONCLUSIONS: Large disparities exist by race for recurrent AMI risk in the community. The magnitude of disparities is stronger for recurrent events than for first events, and particularly among women.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Among Cancer Survivors: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: More than 80% of adult patients diagnosed with cancer survive long term. Long-term complications of cancer and its therapies may increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but prospective studies using adjudicated cancer and CVD events are lacking. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess the risk of CVD in cancer survivors in a prospective community-based study. METHODS: We included 12,414 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study participants. Cancer diagnoses were ascertained via linkage with state registries supplemented with medical records. Incident CVD outcomes were coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure (HF), stroke, and a composite of these. We used multivariable Poisson and Cox regressions to estimate the association of cancer with incident CVD. RESULTS: Mean age was 54 years, 55% were female, and 25% were Black. A total of 3,250 participants (25%) had incident cancer over a median 13.6 years of follow-up. Age-adjusted incidence rates of CVD (per 1,000 person-years) were 23.1 (95% CI: 24.7-29.1) for cancer survivors and 12.0 (95% CI: 11.5-12.4) for subjects without cancer. After adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, cancer survivors had significantly higher risks of CVD (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.26-1.50), HF (HR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.38-1.68), and stroke (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.03-1.44), but not CHD (HR: 1.11; 95% CI: 0.97-1.28). Breast, lung, colorectal, and hematologic/lymphatic cancers, but not prostate cancer, were significantly associated with CVD risk. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with persons without cancer, adult cancer survivors have significantly higher risk of CVD, especially HF, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. There is an unmet need to define strategies for CVD prevention in this high-risk population.

Life's Simple 7 at Midlife and Risk of Recurrent Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality after Stroke: The ARIC study.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among adults in the U.S. Ideal levels of the Life's Simple 7 (LS7) are associated with lower cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. However, the association of LS7 with CVD, recurrent stroke, and all-cause mortality after incident stroke is unknown. METHODS: We used data from the ARIC study, a cohort of 13,508 adults from four US communities, 45-64 years old at baseline (1987-1989). Cardiovascular hospitalizations and mortality were ascertained in follow-up through December 31st, 2017. We defined cardiovascular health (CVH) based on AHA definitions for LS7 (range 0-14) and categorized CVH into four levels: LS7 0-3, 4-6, 7-9, and ≥10 (ideal LS7), according to prior studies. Outcomes included incident stroke, CVD, recurrent stroke, all-cause mortality, and a composite outcome including all the above. Adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) were estimated with Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Median (25%-75%) follow-up for incident stroke was 28 (18.6-29.2) years. Participants with incident stroke were 55.7 (SD 5.6) years-old at baseline, 53% were women and 35% Black. Individuals with LS7 score ≥10 had 65% lower risk (HR: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.29-0.41) of incident stroke than those with LS7 4-6 (reference group). Of 1,218 participants with incident stroke, 41.2% (n=502) had composite CVD and 68.3% (n=832) died during a median (25%-75%) follow-up of 4.0 (0.76-9.95) years. Adjusted HR (95% CI) for stroke survivors with LS7≥10 at baseline were 0.74 (0.58-0.94) for the composite outcome, 0.38(0.17-0.85) for myocardial infarction, 0.60 (0.40-0.90) for heart failure, 0.63 (0.48-0.84) for all-cause mortality, and 0.65 (0.39-1.08) for recurrent stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Good and excellent midlife cardiovascular health are associated with lower risks of incident stroke and CVD after stroke. Clinicians should stress the importance of a healthy lifestyle for primary and secondary CVD prevention.

Thirty-Year Trends in the Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation: The ARIC Study.

Background Long-term data to study recent trends in the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), overall and among sex and race groups, are scarce. We evaluated the 30-year trends in the incidence of AF in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study cohort and explored race and sex differences in these trends. Methods and Results We included 15 343 men and women aged 45 to 64 years in 1987 to 1989 without AF from 4 US communities in the ARIC cohort. Incident AF was identified based on study ECGs, hospital discharge codes, and death certificates through 2017. We calculated age and period-specific incidence rates (IRs) of AF. We used Poisson regression to calculate IR ratios of AF over time adjusting for age, sex, and race. A total of 3241 AF cases were identified during a mean (SD) follow-up of 22 years (8.4 years) (599 in Black participants, 2642 in White participants, 1582 in women, and 1659 in men). Overall, the IR of AF in the ARIC cohort was 9.6 per 1000 person-years (6.9 in Black participants, 10.5 in White participants, 8.1 in women, and 11.6 in men). Age-specific IR by time period did not show significant changes over time. In a model adjusted for sex, race, and age group, the rate of AF did not change significantly from 1987 to 1991 compared with 2012 to 2017 (IR ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.88-1.36] comparing 2012-2017 with 1987-1991). Similarly, no evidence of changes over time in AF rates were identified in men and women or White and Black participants separately. Conclusions Even though IRs of AF increase as age increases, our analysis provided evidence suggesting that the overall IRs of AF have not changed over time in a multicenter cohort of Black and White individuals in the United States from 1987 to 2017.

Association of Ischemic Stroke Incidence, Severity, and Recurrence With Dementia in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Cohort Study.

IMPORTANCE: Ischemic stroke is associated with increased risk of dementia, but the association of stroke severity and recurrence with risk of impaired cognition is not well known. OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk of dementia after incident ischemic stroke and assess how it differed by stroke severity and recurrence. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study is an ongoing prospective cohort of 15 792 community-dwelling individuals from 4 US states (Mississippi, Maryland, Minnesota, and North Carolina). Among them, 15 379 participants free of stroke and dementia at baseline (1987 to 1989) were monitored through 2019. Data were analyzed from April to October 2021. Associations between dementia and time-varying ischemic stroke incidence, frequency, and severity were studied across an average of 4.4 visits over a median follow-up of 25.5 years with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, apolipoprotein E, and vascular risk factors. EXPOSURES: Incident and recurrent ischemic strokes were classified by expert review of hospital records, with severity defined by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS; minor, ≤5; mild, 6-10; moderate, 11-15; and severe, ≥16). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Dementia cases adjudicated through expert review of in-person evaluations, informant interviews, telephone assessments, hospitalization codes, and death certificates. In participants with stroke, dementia events in the first year after stroke were not counted. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean (SD) age of participants was 54.1 (5.8) years, and 8485 of 15 379 participants (55.2%) were women. A total of 4110 participants (26.7%) were Black and 11 269 (73.3%) were White. A total of 1378 ischemic strokes (1155 incident) and 2860 dementia cases were diagnosed 1 year or more after incident stroke in participants with stroke, or at any point after baseline in participants without stroke, were identified through December 31, 2019. NIHSS scores were available for 1184 of 1378 ischemic strokes (85.9%). Risk of dementia increased with both the number and severity of strokes. Compared with no stroke, risk of dementia by adjusted hazard ratio was 1.76 (95% CI, 1.49-2.00) for 1 minor to mild stroke, 3.47 (95% CI, 2.23-5.40) for 1 moderate to severe stroke, 3.48 (95% CI, 2.54-4.76) for 2 or more minor to mild strokes, and 6.68 (95% CI, 3.77-11.83) for 2 or more moderate to severe strokes. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this study, risk of dementia significantly increased after ischemic stroke, independent of vascular risk factors. Results suggest a dose-response association of stroke severity and recurrence with risk of dementia.

Admission Hydration Status and Ischemic Stroke Outcome-Experience from a National Registry of Hospitalized Stroke Patients.

Reduced intravascular volume upon ischemic stroke (IS) admission has been associated with in-hospital complications, disability, and reduced survival. We aimed to evaluate the association of the urea-to-creatinine ratio (UCR) with disability or death at discharge, length of stay, in-hospital complications, and mortality during the first year. Using a national registry, we identified hospitalized IS patients without renal failure. Disability or death at discharge, length of stay, in-hospital complications, and mortality during the first year were studied by UCR, and associations between UCR levels and each outcome were assessed adjusting for age, sex, stroke severity, comorbidities, use of statins, and use of diuretics. In total, 2212 patients were included. Levels (median (25-75%)) for the main study variables were: urea 5.16 (3.66-6.83) mmol/L; creatinine 80 (64-92) µmol/L; and UCR 65 (58-74). Levels of UCR were significantly higher in patients with disability or death at discharge (p < 0.0001), those with complications during hospitalization (p = 0.03), those with infection during hospitalization (p = 0.0003), and those dead at 1 year (p < 0.0001). Analysis by UCR quartile showed that rates of disability or death at discharge, infections, complications overall, and death at 1 year in patients with UCR in the 4th quartile were significantly higher than in others. Risk-factor-adjusted analysis by UCR quartiles demonstrated an inconsistent independent association between UCR and disability or death after ischemic stroke. A high 1-year mortality rate was observed in IS patients with elevated UCR, yet this finding was not statistically significant after controlling for risk factors. Our study shows inconsistent associations between hydration status and poor functional status at discharge, and no association with length of stay, in-hospital complications (infectious and overall), and 1-year mortality.