Recurrence and tumor-related death after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with metabolic syndrome.

Background & Aims: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a growing epidemic and a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study investigated the long-term outcomes of liver resection (LR) for HCC in patients with MS. Rates, timing, patterns, and treatment of recurrences were investigated, and cancer-specific survivals were assessed. Methods: Between 2001 and 2021, data from 24 clinical centers were collected. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and cancer-specific survival were analyzed as well as recurrence patterns and treatment. The analysis was conducted using a competing-risk framework. The trajectory of the risk of recurrence over time was applied to a competing risk analysis. For post-recurrence survival, death resulting from tumor progression was the primary endpoint, whereas deaths with recurrence relating to other causes were considered as competing events. Results: In total, 813 patients were included in the study. Median OS was 81.4 months (range 28.1-157.0 months), and recurrence occurred in 48.3% of patients, with a median RFS of 39.8 months (range 15.7-174.7 months). Cause-specific hazard of recurrence showed a first peak 6 months (0.027), and a second peak 24 months (0.021) after surgery. The later the recurrence, the higher the chance of receiving curative intent approaches (p = 0.001). Size >5 cm, multiple tumors, microvascular invasion, and cirrhosis were independent predictors of recurrence showing a cause-specific hazard over time. RFS was associated with death for recurrence (hazard ratio: 0.985, 95% CI: 0.977-0.995; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Patients with MS undergoing LR for HCC have good long-term survival. Recurrence occurs in 48% of patients with a double-peak incidence and time-specific hazards depending on tumor-related factors and underlying disease. The timing of recurrence significantly impacts survival. Surveillance after resection should be adjusted over time depending on risk factors. Impact and implications: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a growing epidemic and a significant risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The present study demonstrated that patients who undergo surgical resection for HCC on MS have a good long-term survival and that recurrence occurs in almost half of the cases with a double peak incidence and time-specific hazards depending on tumor-related factors and underlying liver disease. Also, the timing of recurrence significantly impacts survival. Clinicians should therefore adjust follow-up after surgery accordingly, considering timing of recurrence and specific risk factors. Also, the results of the present study might help design future trials on the use of adjuvant therapy following resection.

Tumor Mutational Burden from Circulating Tumor DNA Predicts Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Resection: An Emerging Biomarker for Surveillance: An Emerging Biomarker for Surveillance.

OBJECTIVE: Describe the utility of circulating tumor DNA in the post-operative surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Current biomarkers for HCC like Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) are lacking. ctDNA has shown promise in colorectal and lung cancers, but its utility in HCC remains relatively unknown. METHODS: Patients with HCC undergoing curative-intent resection from 11/1/2020-7/1/2023 received ctDNA testing using the Guardant360 platform. TMB is calculated as the number of somatic mutations-per-megabase of genomic material identified. RESULTS: Forty seven patients had post-operative ctDNA testing. Mean follow-up was 27 months and maximum was 43.2 months. Twelve patients (26%) experienced recurrence. Most (n=41/47, 87.2%) had identifiable ctDNA post-operatively; 55.3%(n=26) were TMB-not detected versus 45.7% (n=21) TMB-detectable. Post-operative identifiable ctDNA was not associated with RFS (P=0.518). Detectable TMB was associated with reduced RFS (6.9 vs. 14.7months, P=0.049). There was a higher rate of recurrence in patients with TMB (n=9/21, 42.9%, vs. n=3/26, 11.5%, P=0.02). Area-Under the Curve (AUC) for TMB-prediction of recurrence was 0.752 versus 0.550 for AFP. ROC-analysis established a TMB cut-off of 4.8mut/mB for predicting post-operative recurrence (P=0.002) and RFS (P=0.025). AFP was not correlated with RFS using the lab-normal cut-off (<11 ng/mL, P=0.682) or the cut-off established by ROC-analysis (>4.6 ng/mL, P=0.494). TMB-high was associated with poorer RFS on cox-regression analysis (HR=5.386, 95%CI1.109-26.160, P=0.037) while micro-vascular invasion (P=0.853) and AFP (P=0.439) were not. CONCLUSIONS: Identifiable TMB on post-operative ctDNA predicts HCC recurrence, and outperformed AFP in this cohort. Perioperative ctDNA may be a useful surveillance tool following curative-intent hepatectomy. Larger-scale studies are needed to confirm this utility and investigate additional applications in HCC patients, including the potential for prophylactic treatment in patients with residual TMB after resection.

Emerging and Clinically Accepted Biomarkers for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related death and the sixth most diagnosed malignancy worldwide. Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the traditional, ubiquitous biomarker for HCC. However, there has been an increasing call for the use of multiple biomarkers to optimize care for these patients. AFP, AFP-L3, and prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence II (DCP) have described clinical utility for HCC, but unfortunately, they also have well established and significant limitations. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), genomic glycosylation, and even totally non-invasive salivary metabolomics and/or micro-RNAS demonstrate great promise for early detection and long-term surveillance, but still require large-scale prospective validation to definitively validate their clinical validity. This review aims to provide an update on clinically available and emerging biomarkers for HCC, focusing on their respective clinical strengths and weaknesses.

Circulating Tumor DNA Profiling in Liver Transplant for Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Cholangiocarcinoma, and Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Programmatic Proof of Concept.

INTRODUCTION: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is emerging as a promising, non-invasive diagnostic and surveillance biomarker in solid organ malignancy. However, its utility before and after liver transplant (LT) for patients with primary and secondary liver cancers is still underexplored. METHODS: Patients undergoing LT for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), and colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) with ctDNA testing were included. CtDNA testing was conducted pre-transplant, post-transplant, or both (sequential) from 11/2019 to 09/2023 using Guardant360, Guardant Reveal, and Guardant360 CDx. RESULTS: 21 patients with HCC (n = 9, 43%), CRLM (n = 8, 38%), CCA (n = 3, 14%), and mixed HCC/CCA (n = 1, 5%) were included in the study. The median follow-up time was 15 months (range: 1-124). The median time from pre-operative testing to surgery was 3 months (IQR: 1-4; range: 0-5), and from surgery to post-operative testing, it was 9 months (IQR: 2-22; range: 0.4-112). A total of 13 (62%) patients had pre-transplant testing, with 8 (62%) having ctDNA detected (ctDNA+) and 5 (32%) not having ctDNA detected (ctDNA-). A total of 18 (86%) patients had post-transplant testing, 11 (61%) of whom were ctDNA+ and 7 (33%) of whom were ctDNA-. The absolute recurrence rates were 50% (n = 5) in those who were ctDNA+ vs. 25% (n = 1) in those who were ctDNA- in the post-transplant setting, though this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.367). Six (29%) patients (HCC = 3, CCA = 1, CRLM = 2) experienced recurrence with a median recurrence-free survival of 14 (IQR: 6-40) months. Four of these patients had positive post-transplant ctDNA collected following diagnosis of recurrence, while one patient had positive post-transplant ctDNA collected preceding recurrence. A total of 10 (48%) patients had sequential ctDNA testing, of whom n = 5 (50%) achieved ctDNA clearance (+/-). The remainder were ctDNA+/+ (n = 3, 30%), ctDNA-/- (n = 1, 10%), and ctDNA-/+ (n = 1, 11%). Three (30%) patients showed the acquisition of new genomic alterations following transplant, all without recurrence. Overall, the median tumor mutation burden (TMB) decreased from 1.23 mut/Mb pre-transplant to 0.00 mut/Mb post-transplant. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ctDNA positivity experienced recurrence at a higher rate than the ctDNA- patients, indicating the potential role of ctDNA in predicting recurrence after curative-intent transplant. Based on sequential testing, LT has the potential to clear ctDNA, demonstrating the capability of LT in the treatment of systemic disease. Transplant providers should be aware of the potential of donor-derived cell-free DNA and improved approaches are necessary to address such concerns.