MEESSI-AHF score to estimate short-term prognosis of acute heart failure patients in the Emergency Department: a prospective and multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: The assessment of acute heart failure (AHF) prognosis is primordial in emergency setting. Although AHF management is exhaustively codified using mortality predictors, there is currently no recommended scoring system for assessing prognosis. The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) recommends a comprehensive assessment of global AHF prognosis, considering in-hospital mortality, early rehospitalization rates and the length of hospital stay. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to prospectively evaluate the performance of the Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF (MEESSI-AHF) score in estimating short prognosis according to the ESC guidelines. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PATIENTS: A multicenter study was conducted between November 2020, and June 2021. Adult patients who presented to eleven French hospitals for AHF were prospectively included. OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSIS: According to MEESSI-AHF score, patients were stratified in four categories corresponding to mortality risk: low-, intermediate-, high- and very high-risk groups. The primary outcome was the number of days alive and out of the hospital during the 30-day period following admission to the Emergency Department (ED). RESULTS: In total, 390 patients were included. The number of days alive and out of the hospital decreased significatively with increasing MEESSI-AHF risk groups, ranging from 21.2 days (20.3-22.3 days) for the low-risk, 20 days (19.3-20.5 days) for intermediate risk,18.6 days (17.6-19.6 days) for the high-risk and 17.9 days (16.9-18.9 days) very high-risk category. CONCLUSION: Among patients admitted to ED for an episode of AHF, the MEESSI-AHF score estimates with good performance the number of days alive and out of the hospital.

Clinical Outcome Predictive Value of Procalcitonin in Patients Suspected with Infection in the Emergency Department.

Procalcitonin (PCT) may be useful for early risk stratification in the emergency department (ED), but the transposition of published data to routine emergency practice is sometimes limited. An observational retrospective study was conducted in the adult ED of the Reims University Hospital (France). Over one year, 852 patients suspected of infection were included, of mean age 61.7 years (SD: 22.6), and 624 (73.2%) were hospitalized following ED visit. Overall, 82 (9.6%) patients died during their hospitalization with an odds ratio (OR) of 5.10 (95% CI: 2.19-11.87) for PCT ≥ 0.5, in multivariate logistic regression analyses. Moreover, 78 (9.2%) patients were admitted to an ICU, 74 (8.7%) had attributable bacteremia, and 56 (6.6%) evolved toward septic shock with an OR of 4.37 (2.08-9.16), 6.38 (2.67-15.24), and 6.38 (2.41-16.86), respectively, for PCT ≥ 0.5. The highest discriminatory values were found for patients with age <65 years, but PCT lost its discrimination power for in-hospital mortality in patients with a bronchopulmonary infection site or a temperature ≥37.8°C and for ICU admission in patients with severe clinical presentations. PCT could be helpful in risk stratification, but several limitations must be considered, including being sometimes outperformed by a simple clinical examination.

Lack of admission biomarkers' clinical utility in outcomes prediction in patients suspected with infection in the emergency department.

INTRODUCTION: Initial procalcitonin (PCT) levels may fail in mortality and septic shock prediction and raise cost-effectiveness issues. Since measurement of lactate, C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cells and neutrophils is common in the emergency department (ED), we compared prediction abilities of these biomarkers to PCT. METHODS: From January 1st to December 31st, 2018, an observational, single center, retrospective study was conducted in the adult ED of the Reims University Hospital (France). Endpoints were bacteremia, septic shock, and in-hospital mortality, related to the same ED visit. RESULTS: Over one year, 459 patients suspected with infection were included, of mean age 60.4 years (SD: 22.0), with 50.8% male, and 364 (79.3%) were hospitalized following ED visit. Overall, 45 (9.8%) patients had a bacteremia, 39 (8.5%) a septic shock and 54 (11.8%) died during their hospitalization. PCT and CRP showed the best discrimination for bacteremia, with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.68 for PCT and 0.65 for CRP. PCT and lactate showed similar good discriminative power for septic shock, with an AUC of 0.78 for both, and poor discrimination for in-hospital mortality, with an AUC of 0.62 for PCT and 0.69 for lactate. Systolic blood pressure and pulse oximetry showed similar discrimination for septic shock as PCT or lactate, while they showed higher discrimination for in-hospital mortality than PCT. CONCLUSION: Usual admission biomarkers lack clinical utility in predicting septic shock or in-hospital mortality. CRP and PCT are poorly efficient in predicting bacteremia.