ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Around 10% of fractures lead to complications. With increasing fracture incidences in recent years, this poses a serious burden on the healthcare system, with increasing costs for treatment. In the present study, we aimed to identify potential 'new' blood markers to predict the development of post-surgical complications in trauma patients following a fracture. METHODS: A total of 292 trauma patients with a complete three-month follow-up were included in this cohort study. Blood samples were obtained from 244 of these patients. Two complication groups were distinguished based on the Clavien-Dindo (CD) classification: CD grade I and CD grade III groups were compared to the controls (CD 0). The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the complication groups to the control group. RESULTS: Analysis of the patients' data revealed that risk factors are dependent on sex. Both, males and females who developed a CD III complication showed elevated blood levels of B7-1 (p = 0.015 and p = 0.018, respectively) and PlGF-1 (p = 0.009 and p = 0.031, respectively), with B7-1 demonstrating greater sensitivity (B7-1: 0.706 (male) and 0.692 (female), PlGF-1: 0.647 (male) and 0.615 (female)). Further analysis of the questionnaires and medical data revealed the importance of additional risk factors. For males (CD 0: 133; CD I: 12; CD III: 18 patients) alcohol consumption was significantly increased for CD I and CD III compared to control with p = 0.009 and p = 0.007, respectively. For females (CD 0: 107; CD I: 10; CD III: 12 patients) a significantly increased average BMI [kg/m2] from 25.5 to 29.7 with CD III was observed, as well as an elevation from one to three comorbidities (p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: These two potential new blood markers hold promise for predicting complication development in trauma patients. Nevertheless, further studies are necessary to evaluate the diagnostic utility of B7-1 and PlGF-1 in predicting complications in trauma patients and consider sex differences before their possible use as routine clinical screening tools.