CXCL13 Positive Cells Localization Predict Response to Anti-PD-1/PD-L1 in Pulmonary Non-Small Cell Carcinoma.

Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLCs) treatment, but only 20-30% of patients benefit from these treatments. Currently, PD-L1 expression in tumor cells is the only clinically approved predictor of ICI response in lung cancer, but concerns arise due to its low negative and positive predictive value. Recent studies suggest that CXCL13+ T cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME) may be a good predictor of response. We aimed to assess if CXCL13+ cell localization within the TME can predict ICI response in advanced NSCLC patients. Methods: This retrospective study included 65 advanced NSCLC patients treated with Nivolumab/Pembrolizumab at IUCPQ or CHUM and for whom a pretreatment surgical specimen was available. Good responders were defined as having a complete radiologic response at 1 year, and bad responders were defined as showing cancer progression at 1 year. IHC staining for CXCL13 was carried out on a representative slide from a resection specimen, and CXCL13+ cell density was evaluated in tumor (T), invasive margin (IM), non-tumor (NT), and tertiary lymphoid structure (TLS) compartments. Cox models were used to analyze progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) probability, while the Mann-Whitney test was used to compare CXCL13+ cell density between responders and non-responders. Results: We showed that CXCL13+ cell density localization within the TME is associated with ICI efficacy. An increased density of CXCL13+ cells across all compartments was associated with a poorer prognostic (OS; HR = 1.22; 95%CI = 1.04-1.42; p = 0.01, PFS; HR = 1.16; p = 0.02), or a better prognostic when colocalized within TLSs (PFS; HR = 0.84, p = 0.03). Conclusion: Our results support the role of CXCL13+ cells in advanced NSCLC patients, with favorable prognosis when localized within TLSs and unfavorable prognosis when present elsewhere. The concomitant proximity of CXCL13+ and CD20+ cells within TLSs may favor antigen presentation to T cells, thus enhancing the effect of PD-1/PD-L1 axis inhibition. Further validation is warranted to confirm the potential relevance of this biomarker in a clinical setting.

The Cross-Scale Association between Pathomics and Radiomics Features in Immunotherapy-Treated NSCLC Patients: A Preliminary Study.

BACKGROUND: Recent advances in cancer biomarker development have led to a surge of distinct data modalities, such as medical imaging and histopathology. To develop predictive immunotherapy biomarkers, these modalities are leveraged independently, despite their orthogonality. This study aims to explore the cross-scale association between radiological scans and digitalized pathology images for immunotherapy-treated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. METHODS: This study involves 36 NSCLC patients who were treated with immunotherapy and for whom both radiology and pathology images were available. A total of 851 and 260 features were extracted from CT scans and cell density maps of histology images at different resolutions. We investigated the radiopathomics relationship and their association with clinical and biological endpoints. We used the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) method to test the differences between the distributions of correlation coefficients with the two imaging modality features. Unsupervised clustering was done to identify which imaging modality captures poor and good survival patients. RESULTS: Our results demonstrated a significant correlation between cell density pathomics and radiomics features. Furthermore, we also found a varying distribution of correlation values between imaging-derived features and clinical endpoints. The KS test revealed that the two imaging feature distributions were different for PFS and CD8 counts, while similar for OS. In addition, clustering analysis resulted in significant differences in the two clusters generated from the radiomics and pathomics features with respect to patient survival and CD8 counts. CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest a cross-scale association between CT scans and pathology H&E slides among ICI-treated patients. These relationships can be further explored to develop multimodal immunotherapy biomarkers to advance personalized lung cancer care.

Gene expression signature predicts radiation sensitivity in cell lines using the integral of dose-response curve.

BACKGROUND: Although substantial efforts have been made to build molecular biomarkers to predict radiation sensitivity, the ability to accurately stratify the patients is still limited. In this study, we aim to leverage large-scale radiogenomics datasets to build genomic predictors of radiation response using the integral of the radiation dose-response curve. METHODS: Two radiogenomics datasets consisting of 511 and 60 cancer cell lines were utilized to develop genomic predictors of radiation sensitivity. The intrinsic radiation sensitivity, defined as the integral of the dose-response curve (AUC) was used as the radioresponse variable. The biological determinants driving AUC and SF2 were compared using pathway analysis. To build the predictive model, the largest and smallest datasets consisting of 511 and 60 cancer cell lines were used as the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively, with AUC as the response variable. RESULTS: Utilizing a compendium of three pathway databases, we illustrated that integral of the radiobiological model provides a more comprehensive characterization of molecular processes underpinning radioresponse compared to SF2. Furthermore, more pathways were found to be unique to AUC than SF2-30, 288 and 38 in KEGG, REACTOME and WIKIPATHWAYS, respectively. Also, the leading-edge genes driving the biological pathways using AUC were unique and different compared to SF2. With regards to radiation sensitivity gene signature, we obtained a concordance index of 0.65 and 0.61 on the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSION: We developed an integrated framework that quantifies the impact of physical radiation dose and the biological effect of radiation therapy in interventional pre-clinical model systems. With the availability of more data in the future, the clinical potential of this signature can be assessed, which will eventually provide a framework to integrate genomics into biologically-driven precision radiation oncology.

Imaging-Based Biomarkers Predict Programmed Death-Ligand 1 and Survival Outcomes in Advanced NSCLC Treated With Nivolumab and Pembrolizumab: A Multi-Institutional Study.

Background: Although the immune checkpoint inhibitors, nivolumab and pembrolizumab, were found to be promising in patients with advanced NSCLC, some of them either do not respond or have recurrence after an initial response. It is still unclear who will benefit from these therapies, and, hence, there is an unmet clinical need to build robust biomarkers. Methods: Patients with advanced NSCLC (N = 323) who were treated with pembrolizumab or nivolumab were retrospectively identified from two institutions. Radiomics features extracted from baseline pretreatment computed tomography scans along with the clinical variables were used to build the predictive models for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1). To develop the imaging and integrative clinical-imaging predictive models, we used the XGBoost learning algorithm with ReliefF feature selection method and validated them in an independent cohort. The concordance index for OS, PFS, and area under the curve for PD-L1 was used to evaluate model performance. Results: We developed radiomics and the ensemble radiomics-clinical predictive models for OS, PFS, and PD-L1 expression. The concordance indices of the radiomics model were 0.60 and 0.61 for predicting OS and PFS and area under the curve was 0.61 for predicting PD-L1 in the validation cohort, respectively. The combined radiomics-clinical model resulted in higher performance with 0.65, 0.63, and 0.68 to predict OS, PFS, and PD-L1 in the validation cohort, respectively. Conclusions: We found that pretreatment computed tomography imaging along with clinical data can aid as predictive biomarkers for PD-L1 and survival end points. These imaging-driven approaches may prove useful to expand the therapeutic options for nonresponders and improve the selection of patients who would benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors.

A Radiomics-Clinical Model Predicts Overall Survival of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Treated with Immunotherapy: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are a great breakthrough in cancer treatments and provide improved long-term survival in a subset of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. However, prognostic and predictive biomarkers of immunotherapy still remain an unmet clinical need. In this work, we aim to leverage imaging data and clinical variables to develop survival risk models among advanced NSCLC patients treated with immunotherapy. METHODS: This retrospective study includes a total of 385 patients from two institutions who were treated with ICIs. Radiomics features extracted from pretreatment CT scans were used to build predictive models. The objectives were to predict overall survival (OS) along with building a classifier for short- and long-term survival groups. We employed the XGBoost learning method to build radiomics and integrated clinical-radiomics predictive models. Feature selection and model building were developed and validated on a multicenter cohort. RESULTS: We developed parsimonious models that were associated with OS and a classifier for short- and long-term survivor groups. The concordance indices (C-index) of the radiomics model were 0.61 and 0.57 to predict OS in the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. While the area under the curve (AUC) values of the radiomic models for short- and long-term groups were found to be 0.65 and 0.58 in the discovery and validation cohorts. The accuracy of the combined radiomics-clinical model resulted in 0.63 and 0.62 to predict OS and in 0.77 and 0.62 to classify the survival groups in the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated novel radiomics and integrated radiomics-clinical survival models among NSCLC patients treated with ICIs. This model has important translational implications, which can be used to identify a subset of patients who are not likely to benefit from immunotherapy. The developed imaging biomarkers may allow early prediction of low-group survivors, though additional validation of these radiomics models is warranted.

Generalization optimizing machine learning to improve CT scan radiomics and assess immune checkpoint inhibitors' response in non-small cell lung cancer: a multicenter cohort study.

Background: Recent developments in artificial intelligence suggest that radiomics may represent a promising non-invasive biomarker to predict response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Nevertheless, validation of radiomics algorithms in independent cohorts remains a challenge due to variations in image acquisition and reconstruction. Using radiomics, we investigated the importance of scan normalization as part of a broader machine learning framework to enable model external generalizability to predict ICI response in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients across different centers. Methods: Radiomics features were extracted and compared from 642 advanced NSCLC patients on pre-ICI scans using established open-source PyRadiomics and a proprietary DeepRadiomics deep learning technology. The population was separated into two groups: a discovery cohort of 512 NSCLC patients from three academic centers and a validation cohort that included 130 NSCLC patients from a fourth center. We harmonized images to account for variations in reconstruction kernel, slice thicknesses, and device manufacturers. Multivariable models, evaluated using cross-validation, were used to estimate the predictive value of clinical variables, PD-L1 expression, and PyRadiomics or DeepRadiomics for progression-free survival at 6 months (PFS-6). Results: The best prognostic factor for PFS-6, excluding radiomics features, was obtained with the combination of Clinical + PD-L1 expression (AUC = 0.66 in the discovery and 0.62 in the validation cohort). Without image harmonization, combining Clinical + PyRadiomics or DeepRadiomics delivered an AUC = 0.69 and 0.69, respectively, in the discovery cohort, but dropped to 0.57 and 0.52, in the validation cohort. This lack of generalizability was consistent with observations in principal component analysis clustered by CT scan parameters. Subsequently, image harmonization eliminated these clusters. The combination of Clinical + DeepRadiomics reached an AUC = 0.67 and 0.63 in the discovery and validation cohort, respectively. Conversely, the combination of Clinical + PyRadiomics failed generalizability validations, with AUC = 0.66 and 0.59. Conclusion: We demonstrated that a risk prediction model combining Clinical + DeepRadiomics was generalizable following CT scan harmonization and machine learning generalization methods. These results had similar performances to routine oncology practice using Clinical + PD-L1. This study supports the strong potential of radiomics as a future non-invasive strategy to predict ICI response in advanced NSCLC.

Radiomics approaches to predict PD-L1 and PFS in advanced non-small cell lung patients treated with immunotherapy: a multi-institutional study.

With the increasing use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), there is an urgent need to identify biomarkers to stratify responders and non-responders using programmed death-ligand (PD-L1) expression, and to predict patient-specific outcomes such as progression free survival (PFS). The current study is aimed to determine the feasibility of building imaging-based predictive biomarkers for PD-L1 and PFS through systematically evaluating a combination of several machine learning algorithms with different feature selection methods. A retrospective, multicenter study of 385 advanced NSCLC patients amenable to ICIs was undertaken in two academic centers. Radiomic features extracted from pretreatment CT scans were used to build predictive models for PD-L1 and PFS (short-term vs. long-term survivors). We first employed the LASSO methodology followed by five feature selection methods and seven machine learning approaches to build the predictors. From our analyses, we found several combinations of feature selection methods and machine learning algorithms to achieve a similar performance. Logistic regression with ReliefF feature selection (AUC = 0.64, 0.59 in discovery and validation cohorts) and SVM with Anova F-test feature selection (AUC = 0.64, 0.63 in discovery and validation datasets) were the best-performing models to predict PD-L1 and PFS. This study elucidates the application of suitable feature selection approaches and machine learning algorithms to predict clinical endpoints using radiomics features. Through this study, we identified a subset of algorithms that should be considered in future investigations for building robust and clinically relevant predictive models.

Single-cell spatial landscape of immunotherapy response reveals mechanisms of CXCL13 enhanced antitumor immunity.

BACKGROUND: Immunotherapy has revolutionized clinical outcomes for patients suffering from lung cancer, yet relatively few patients sustain long-term durable responses. Recent studies have demonstrated that the tumor immune microenvironment fosters tumorous heterogeneity and mediates both disease progression and response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). As such, there is an unmet need to elucidate the spatially defined single-cell landscape of the lung cancer microenvironment to understand the mechanisms of disease progression and identify biomarkers of response to ICI. METHODS: Here, in this study, we applied imaging mass cytometry to characterize the tumor and immunological landscape of immunotherapy response in non-small cell lung cancer by describing activated cell states, cellular interactions and neighborhoods associated with improved efficacy. We functionally validated our findings using preclinical mouse models of cancer treated with anti-programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) immune checkpoint blockade. RESULTS: We resolved 114,524 single cells in 27 patients treated with ICI, enabling spatial resolution of immune lineages and activation states with distinct clinical outcomes. We demonstrated that CXCL13 expression is associated with ICI efficacy in patients, and that recombinant CXCL13 potentiates anti-PD-1 response in vivo in association with increased antigen experienced T cell subsets and reduced CCR2+ monocytes. DISCUSSION: Our results provide a high-resolution molecular resource and illustrate the importance of major immune lineages as well as their functional substates in understanding the role of the tumor immune microenvironment in response to ICIs.

Single-cell spatial landscapes of the lung tumour immune microenvironment.

Single-cell technologies have revealed the complexity of the tumour immune microenvironment with unparalleled resolution1-9. Most clinical strategies rely on histopathological stratification of tumour subtypes, yet the spatial context of single-cell phenotypes within these stratified subgroups is poorly understood. Here we apply imaging mass cytometry to characterize the tumour and immunological landscape of samples from 416 patients with lung adenocarcinoma across five histological patterns. We resolve more than 1.6 million cells, enabling spatial analysis of immune lineages and activation states with distinct clinical correlates, including survival. Using deep learning, we can predict with high accuracy those patients who will progress after surgery using a single 1-mm2 tumour core, which could be informative for clinical management following surgical resection. Our dataset represents a valuable resource for the non-small cell lung cancer research community and exemplifies the utility of spatial resolution within single-cell analyses. This study also highlights how artificial intelligence can improve our understanding of microenvironmental features that underlie cancer progression and may influence future clinical practice.

EGFR Pathway Expression Persists in Recurrent Glioblastoma Independent of Amplification Status.

BACKGROUND: Glioblastoma mortality is driven by tumour progression or recurrence despite administering a therapeutic arsenal consisting of surgical resection, radiation, and alkylating chemotherapy. The genetic changes underlying tumour progression and chemotherapy resistance are poorly understood. METHODS: In this study, we sought to define the relationship between EGFR amplification status, EGFR mRNA expression, and EGFR pathway activity. We compared RNA-sequencing data from matched primary and recurrent tumour samples (n = 40 patients, 20 with EGFR amplification). RESULTS: In the setting of glioblastoma recurrence, the EGFR pathway was overexpressed regardless of EGFR-amplification status, suggesting a common genomic endpoint in recurrent glioblastoma, although EGFR amplification did associate with higher EGFR mRNA expression. Three of forty patients in the study cohort had EGFR-amplified tumours and received targeted EGFR therapy. Their molecular subtypes and clinical outcomes did not significantly differ from patients who received conventional chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that while the EGFR amplification may confer a unique molecular profile in primary glioblastoma, pathway analysis reveals upregulation of the EGFR pathway in recurrence, regardless of amplification status. As such, the EGFR pathway may be a key mediator of glioblastoma progression.

Development and validation of genomic predictors of radiation sensitivity using preclinical data.

BACKGROUND: Radiation therapy is among the most effective and commonly used therapeutic modalities of cancer treatments in current clinical practice. The fundamental paradigm that has guided radiotherapeutic regimens are 'one-size-fits-all', which are not in line with the dogma of precision medicine. While there were efforts to build radioresponse signatures using OMICS data, their ability to accurately predict in patients is still limited. METHODS: We proposed to integrate two large-scale radiogenomics datasets consisting of 511 with 23 tissues and 60 cancer cell lines with 9 tissues to build and validate radiation response biomarkers. We used intrinsic radiation sensitivity, i.e., surviving fraction of cells (SF2) as the radiation response indicator. Gene set enrichment analysis was used to examine the biological determinants driving SF2. Using SF2 as a continuous variable, we used five different approaches, univariate, rank gene ensemble, rank gene multivariate, mRMR and elasticNet to build genomic predictors of radiation response through a cross-validation framework. RESULTS: Through the pathway analysis, we found 159 pathways to be statistically significant, out of which 54 and 105 were positively and negatively enriched with SF2. More importantly, we found cell cycle and repair pathways to be enriched with SF2, which are inline with the fundamental aspects of radiation biology. With regards to the radiation response gene signature, we found that all multivariate models outperformed the univariate model with a ranking based approach performing well compared to other models, indicating complex biological processes underpinning radiation response. CONCLUSION: To summarize, we found biological processes underpinning SF2 and systematically compared different machine learning approaches to develop and validate predictors of radiation response. With more patient data available in the future, the clinical value of these biomarkers can be assessed that would allow for personalization of radiotherapy.

Unravelling actionable biology using transcriptomic data to integrate mitotic index and Ki-67 in the management of lung neuroendocrine tumors.

Pulmonary neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) are a heterogeneous family of malignancies whose classification relies on morphology and mitotic rate, unlike extrapulmonary neuroendocrine tumors that require both mitotic rate and Ki-67. As mitotic count is proportional to Ki-67, it is crucial to understand if Ki-67 can complement the existing diagnostic guidelines, as well as discover the benefit of these two markers to unravel the biological heterogeneity. In this study, we investigated the association of mitotic rate and Ki-67 at gene- and pathway-level using transcriptomic data in lung NET malignancies. Lung resection tumor specimens obtained from 28 patients diagnosed with NETs were selected. Mitotic rate, Ki-67 and transcriptomic data were obtained for all samples. The concordance between mitotic rate and Ki-67 was evaluated at gene-level and pathway-level using gene expression data. Our analysis revealed a strong association between mitotic rate and Ki-67 across all samples and cell cycle genes were found to be differentially ranked between them. Pathway analysis indicated that a greater number of pathways overlapped between these markers. Analyses based on lung NET subtypes revealed that mitotic rate in carcinoids and Ki-67 in large cell neuroendocrine carcinomas provided comprehensive characterization of pathways among these malignancies. Among the two subtypes, we found distinct leading-edge gene sets that drive the enrichment signal of commonly enriched pathways between mitotic index and Ki-67. Overall, our findings delineated the degree of benefit of the two proliferation markers, and offers new layer to predict the biological behavior and identify high-risk patients using a more comprehensive diagnostic workup.

ZNF768: controlling cellular senescence and proliferation with ten fingers.

We recently identified Zinc-finger protein 768 (ZNF768) as a novel transcription factor controlling cell fate decision downstream of Rat sarcoma virus (RAS). We showed that ZNF768 depletion impairs cell cycle progression and triggers cellular senescence, while its overexpression allows cells to bypass oncogene-induced senescence. Elevated ZNF768 levels is common in tumors, suggesting that ZNF768 may help to escape cellular senescence, sustain proliferation and promote malignant transformation. Here, we discuss these recent findings and highlight key questions emerging from our work.

MetaGxData: Clinically Annotated Breast, Ovarian and Pancreatic Cancer Datasets and their Use in Generating a Multi-Cancer Gene Signature.

A wealth of transcriptomic and clinical data on solid tumours are under-utilized due to unharmonized data storage and format. We have developed the MetaGxData package compendium, which includes manually-curated and standardized clinical, pathological, survival, and treatment metadata across breast, ovarian, and pancreatic cancer data. MetaGxData is the largest compendium of curated transcriptomic data for these cancer types to date, spanning 86 datasets and encompassing 15,249 samples. Open access to standardized metadata across cancer types promotes use of their transcriptomic and clinical data in a variety of cross-tumour analyses, including identification of common biomarkers, and assessing the validity of prognostic signatures. Here, we demonstrate that MetaGxData is a flexible framework that facilitates meta-analyses by using it to identify common prognostic genes in ovarian and breast cancer. Furthermore, we use the data compendium to create the first gene signature that is prognostic in a meta-analysis across 3 cancer types. These findings demonstrate the potential of MetaGxData to serve as an important resource in oncology research, and provide a foundation for future development of cancer-specific compendia.

An interim report on the investigator-initiated phase 2 study of pembrolizumab immunological response evaluation (INSPIRE).

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) demonstrate unprecedented efficacy in multiple malignancies; however, the mechanisms of sensitivity and resistance are poorly understood and predictive biomarkers are scarce. INSPIRE is a phase 2 basket study to evaluate the genomic and immune landscapes of peripheral blood and tumors following pembrolizumab treatment. METHODS: Patients with incurable, locally advanced or metastatic solid tumors that have progressed on standard therapy, or for whom no standard therapy exists or standard therapy was not deemed appropriate, received 200 mg pembrolizumab intravenously every three weeks. Blood and tissue samples were collected at baseline, during treatment, and at progression. One core biopsy was used for immunohistochemistry and the remaining cores were pooled and divided for genomic and immune analyses. Univariable analysis of clinical, genomic, and immunophenotyping parameters was conducted to evaluate associations with treatment response in this exploratory analysis. RESULTS: Eighty patients were enrolled from March 21, 2016 to June 1, 2017, and 129 tumor and 382 blood samples were collected. Immune biomarkers were significantly different between the blood and tissue. T cell PD-1 was blocked (≥98%) in the blood of all patients by the third week of treatment. In the tumor, 5/11 (45%) and 11/14 (79%) patients had T cell surface PD-1 occupance at weeks six and nine, respectively. The proportion of genome copy number alterations and abundance of intratumoral 4-1BB+ PD-1+ CD8 T cells at baseline (P < 0.05), and fold-expansion of intratumoral CD8 T cells from baseline to cycle 2-3 (P < 0.05) were associated with treatment response. CONCLUSION: This study provides technical feasibility data for correlative studies. Tissue biopsies provide distinct data from the blood and may predict response to pembrolizumab.

Network science in clinical trials: A patient-centered approach.

There has been a paradigm shift in translational oncology with the advent of novel molecular diagnostic tools in the clinic. However, several challenges are associated with the integration of these sophisticated tools into clinical oncology and daily practice. High-throughput profiling at the DNA, RNA and protein levels (omics) generate a massive amount of data. The analysis and interpretation of these is non-trivial but will allow a more thorough understanding of cancer. Linear modelling of the data as it is often used today is likely to limit our understanding of cancer as a complex disease, and at times under-performs to capture a phenotype of interest. Network science and systems biology-based approaches, using machine learning and network science principles, that integrate multiple data sources, can uncover complex changes in a biological system. This approach will integrate a large number of potential biomarkers in preclinical studies to better inform therapeutic decisions and ultimately make substantial progress towards precision medicine. It will however require development of a new generation of clinical trials. Beyond discussing the challenges of high-throughput technologies, this review will develop a framework on how to implement a network science approach in new clinical trial designs in order to advance cancer care.

Predicting Organ-Specific Risk Interactions between Radiation and Chemotherapy in Secondary Cancer Survivors.

Several studies have shown that pediatric patients have an increased risk of developing a secondary malignancy several decades after treatment with radiotherapy and chemotherapy. In this work, we use a biologically motivated mathematical formalism to estimate the relative risks of breast, lung and thyroid cancers in childhood cancer survivors due to concurrent therapy regimen. This model specifically includes possible organ-specific interaction between radiotherapy and chemotherapy. The model predicts relative risks for developing secondary cancers after chemotherapy in breast, lung and thyroid tissues, and compared with the epidemiological data. For a concurrent therapy protocol, our model predicted relative risks of 3.2, 9.3, 4.5 as compared to the clinical data, i.e., 1.4, 8.0, 2.3 for secondary breast, lung and thyroid cancer risks, respectively. The extracted chemotherapy mutation induction rates for breast, lung and thyroid are 10 −9 , 0.5 × 10 −6 , 0.9 × 10 −7 respectively. We found that there exists no synergistic interaction between radiation and chemotherapy for neither mutation induction nor cell kill in lung tissue, but there is an interaction in cell kill for the breast and thyroid organs. These findings help understand the risks of current clinical protocols and might provide rational guidance to develop future multi-modality treatment protocols to minimize secondary cancer risks.

The effect of radiation quality on the risks of second malignancies.

UNLABELLED: Abstract Purpose: Numerous studies have implicated elevated second cancer risks as a result of radiation therapy. Our aim in this paper was to contribute to an understanding of the effects of radiation quality on second cancer risks. In particular, we developed a biologically motivated model to study the effects of linear energy transfer (LET) of charged particles (including protons, alpha particles and heavy ions Carbon and Neon) on the risk of second cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A widely used approach to estimate the risk uses the so-called initiation-inactivation-repopulation model. Based on the available experimental data for the LET dependence of radiobiological parameters and mutation rate, we generalized this formulation to include the effects of radiation quality. We evaluated the secondary cancer risks for protons in the clinical range of LET, i.e., around 4-10 (KeV/µm), which lies in the plateau region of the Bragg peak. RESULTS: For protons, at a fixed radiation dose, we showed that the increase in second cancer risks correlated directly with increasing values of LET to a certain point, and then decreased. Interestingly, we obtained a higher risk for proton LET of 10 KeV/µm compared to the lower LET of 4 KeV/µm in the low dose region. In the case of heavy ions, the risk was higher for Carbon ions than Neon ions (even though they have almost the same LET). We also compared protons and alpha particles with the same LET, and it was interesting to note that the second cancer risks were higher for protons compared to alpha particles in the low-dose region. CONCLUSION: Overall, this study demonstrated the importance of including LET dependence in the estimation of second cancer risk. Our theoretical risk predictions were noticeably high; however, the biological end points should be tested experimentally for multiple treatment fields and to improve theoretical predictions.

Modeling age-dependent radiation-induced second cancer risks and estimation of mutation rate: an evolutionary approach.

Although the survival rate of cancer patients has significantly increased due to advances in anti-cancer therapeutics, one of the major side effects of these therapies, particularly radiotherapy, is the potential manifestation of radiation-induced secondary malignancies. In this work, a novel evolutionary stochastic model is introduced that couples short-term formalism (during radiotherapy) and long-term formalism (post-treatment). This framework is used to estimate the risks of second cancer as a function of spontaneous background and radiation-induced mutation rates of normal and pre-malignant cells. By fitting the model to available clinical data for spontaneous background risk together with data of Hodgkin's lymphoma survivors (for various organs), the second cancer mutation rate is estimated. The model predicts a significant increase in mutation rate for some cancer types, which may be a sign of genomic instability. Finally, it is shown that the model results are in agreement with the measured results for excess relative risk (ERR) as a function of exposure age and that the model predicts a negative correlation of ERR with increase in attained age. This novel approach can be used to analyze several radiotherapy protocols in current clinical practice and to forecast the second cancer risks over time for individual patients.