Predicting transfers to intensive care in children using CEWT and other early warning systems.

Background and Objective: The Children's Early Warning Tool (CEWT), developed in Australia, is widely used in many countries to monitor the risk of deterioration in hospitalized children. Our objective was to compare CEWT prediction performance against a version of the Bedside Pediatric Early Warning Score (Bedside PEWS), Between the Flags (BTF), and the pediatric Calculated Assessment of Risk and Triage (pCART). Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study of all patient admissions to the Comer Children's Hospital at the University of Chicago between 2009-2019. We compared performance for predicting the primary outcome of a direct ward-to-intensive care unit (ICU) transfer within the next 12 h using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Alert rates at various score thresholds were also compared. Results: Of 50,815 ward admissions, 1,874 (3.7%) experienced the primary outcome. Among patients in Cohort 1 (years 2009-2017, on which the machine learning-based pCART was trained), CEWT performed slightly worse than Bedside PEWS but better than BTF (CEWT AUC 0.74 vs. Bedside PEWS 0.76, P < 0.001; vs. BTF 0.66, P < 0.001), while pCART performed best for patients in Cohort 2 (years 2018-2019, pCART AUC 0.84 vs. CEWT AUC 0.79, P < 0.001; vs. BTF AUC 0.67, P < 0.001; vs. Bedside PEWS 0.80, P < 0.001). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values varied across all four tools at the examined thresholds for alerts. Conclusion: CEWT has good discrimination for predicting which patients will likely be transferred to the ICU, while pCART performed the best.

Chemical, Biological, Radiological, or Nuclear Response in Queensland Emergency Services: A Multisite Study.

A disaster overwhelms the normal operating capacity of a health service. Minimal research exists regarding Australian hospitals' capacity to respond to chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear (CBRN) disasters. This article, and the research supporting it, begins to fill that research gap. We conducted a descriptive quantitative study with 5 tertiary hospitals and 1 rural hospital in Queensland, Australia. The study population was the hospitals' clinical leaders for disaster preparedness. The 25-item survey consisted of questions relating to each hospital's current response capacity, physical surge capacity, and human surge capacity in response to a CBRN disaster. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics. The survey data indicated that over the previous 12 months, each site reached operational capacity on average 66 times and that capacity to respond and create additional emergency, intensive care, or surgical beds varied greatly across the sites. In the previous 12 months, only 2 sites reported undertaking specific hospital-wide training to manage a CBRN disaster, and 3 sites reported having suitable personal protective equipment required for hazardous materials. There was a noted shortfall in all the hospitals' capacity to respond to a radiological disaster in particular. Queensland hospitals are crucial to CBRN disaster response, and they have areas for improvement in their response and capacity to surge when compared with international preparedness benchmarks. CBRN-focused education and training must be prioritized using evidence-based training approaches to better prepare hospitals to respond following a disaster event.

Multi-incident analysis of reviews of serious adverse clinical events in children with serious bacterial infection and/or sepsis in Queensland, Australia between 2012 and 2017.

AIM: To report on findings from a multi-incident analysis of reviews of serious paediatric adverse clinical events related to serious bacterial infection and/or sepsis (hereafter referred to as sepsis for brevity) in Queensland, Australia, between 2012 and 2017. METHODS: The Queensland Paediatric Quality Council reviewed documentation from reviews of serious adverse events occurring in children (<18 years) with a diagnosis of sepsis at Queensland public hospitals between 2012 and 2017, including clinical details, coronial reports, autopsy reports and root cause analysis documents. A multi-incident tool was designed and used by an expert panel to identify patient and facility demographics, contributing factors, and human and system factors associated with paediatric serious adverse events. RESULTS: There were 28 serious adverse clinical events reported related to paediatric sepsis, characterised by a high proportion of deaths (23) and a predominance of children aged under 4 years. Approximately half of all facilities were classified as rural and remote health services. Contributing factors included difficulty in recognising and responding to the deteriorating patient, inadequate management/treatment, diagnostic error (mainly diagnostic delay) and escalation delay/failure. Major system factors included communication issues, incorrect use of the early warning tool, inadequate coordination of care planning, policy/protocol/guideline failures and workforce problems. CONCLUSION: Multi-incident analysis is a useful tool for identifying themes that recur in similar events and presents opportunities for system-wide improvement. Common themes and contributing factors were identified which may provide possibilities for earlier identification and intervention in childhood serious bacterial infection and/or sepsis.

Short-term memory span in aphasia: Insights from speech-timing measures.

Auditory-verbal short-term memory impairments are part and parcel of aphasia and interfere with linguistic processing. To date, the science about short-term memory impairments in aphasia has been generated and dominated by studying measures of accuracy, that is, span length. Because accuracy is expressed through speech, examining the speech-timing characteristics of persons with aphasia as they engage in spoken recall could reveal insights about the manner in which accuracy is achieved. Six speech-timing measures (e.g., response durations, pause durations) were elicited from the speech waveform of word span tasks from twelve people with aphasia. Speech-timing measures were compared to neuro-typical control participants. Speech-timing performance between erroneous and correct responses in the aphasia group was also examined. Across all measures, people with aphasia produced considerably longer speech-timing patterns in comparison to control participants. Memory load affected some measures in people with aphasia and control participants. Speech-timing in correct response trials was shorter than responses in erroneous trials. Memory span correlated only with one measure, namely, speech time (defined as the sum of each individual word duration in a response). Speech time also correlated with the following measures: Aphasia severity (Aphasia Quotient of the Western Aphasia Battery), spontaneous speech, and language comprehension (also measured by the Western Aphasia Battery). Some protracted speech-timing patterns in the aphasia group may be explained by a deregulation of activation-decay patterns. However, in the absence of further evidence from people with aphasia, possible issues around the sensitivity of some speech-timing measures limit firmer conclusions. Speech-timing measures are response-time measures, which have not been systematically studied in studies of short-term or working memory in aphasia and as such, can push the current boundaries of knowledge of short-term and working memory impairments in aphasia, not only in stroke related aphasia but also other neurological conditions.

Scoring systems in paediatric emergency care: Panacea or paper exercise?

Scoring systems to recognise the most ill patients, or those at risk of deterioration, are increasingly utilised in hospitals that look after paediatric inpatients. There have been efforts to implement these systems in emergency and urgent care settings, but they have yet unproven value. This is because the child or young person presenting acutely is a different cohort than the 'treated' ward-based group. The majority of children presenting to emergency and urgent care settings are discharged home, and so, scoring systems need to recognise the most unwell but also assist in safe and appropriate discharge as well as highlighting those patients in need of more senior review. This article explores this conundrum, suggesting how cognitive factors have a role to play, and how scoring systems can have wider effects than just individual patient care.

Successful lysis of bilateral renal vein thrombosis following neonatal truncus repair.

Renal vein thrombosis (RVT) is the most common noncatheter-related thrombosis encountered in infancy, most of which occurs in neonates. The optimal management strategy for neonatal RVT is unclear. Fibrinolytic and heparin therapy may play a role in preventing chronic renal failure in neonates with bilateral RVT. However, the use of fibrinolytics early after any major surgery requires tremendous caution. In this report, we describe the successful use of fibrinolysis in a neonate with bilateral RVT after repair of truncus arteriosus in the early postoperative period.