Reference Values for Paravertebral Muscle Size and Myosteatosis in Chinese Adults, a Nationwide Multicenter Study.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: The paravertebral muscles, characterized by their susceptibility to severe size loss and fat infiltration in old age, lack established reference values for age-related variations in muscle parameters. This study aims to fill this gap by establishing reference values for paravertebral muscles in a Chinese adult population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study utilized the baseline data from the prospective cohort China Action on Spine and Hip (CASH). A total of 4305 community-dwelling participants aged 21-80 years in China were recruited between 2013 and 2017. Pregnant women, individuals with metal implants, limited mobility or diseases/conditions (spinal tumor, infection, etc.) affecting lumbar vertebra were excluded from the study. Psoas and paraspinal muscles were measured in quantitative computed tomography (QCT) images at the L3 and L5 levels using Osirix software. Age-related reference values for muscle area, density, and fat fraction were constructed as percentile charts using the lambda-mu-sigma (LMS) method. RESULTS: The paravertebral muscles exhibited an age-related decline in muscle area and density, coupled with an increase in muscle fat fraction. Between the ages of 25 and 75, the reductions in psoas and paraspinal muscle cross-sectional area at the L3 level were - 0.47%/yr and - 0.53%/yr in men, and - 0.19%/yr and - 0.23%/yr in women, respectively. Notably, accelerated muscle loss was observed during menopause and postmenopause in women (45-75 years) and intermittently during middle and old age in men (35-55 and 60-75 years). Besides, the age-related decreases in PSMA, PMA, and PSMD and the increases in PSMFF were more pronounced in L5 than in L3 CONCLUSION: This study shows distinct patterns of accelerated muscle loss were identified in menopausal and postmenopausal women and in middle-aged and old men. The findings contribute valuable information for future investigations on paravertebral muscle loss and myosteatosis.

Defining type 2 diabetes polygenic risk scores through colocalization and network-based clustering of metabolic trait genetic associations.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous and polygenic disease. Previous studies have leveraged the highly polygenic and pleiotropic nature of T2D variants to partition the heterogeneity of T2D, in order to stratify patient risk and gain mechanistic insight. We expanded on these approaches by performing colocalization across GWAS traits while assessing the causality and directionality of genetic associations. METHODS: We applied colocalization between T2D and 20 related metabolic traits, across 243 loci, to obtain inferences of shared casual variants. Network-based unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed on variant-trait associations. Partitioned polygenic risk scores (PRSs) were generated for each cluster using T2D summary statistics and validated in 21,742 individuals with T2D from 3 cohorts. Inferences of directionality and causality were obtained by applying Mendelian randomization Steiger's Z-test and further validated in a pediatric cohort without diabetes (aged 9-12 years old, n = 3866). RESULTS: We identified 146 T2D loci that colocalized with at least one metabolic trait locus. T2D variants within these loci were grouped into 5 clusters. The clusters corresponded to the following pathways: obesity, lipodystrophic insulin resistance, liver and lipid metabolism, hepatic glucose metabolism, and beta-cell dysfunction. We observed heterogeneity in associations between PRSs and metabolic measures across clusters. For instance, the lipodystrophic insulin resistance (Beta - 0.08 SD, 95% CI [- 0.10-0.07], p = 6.50 × 10-32) and beta-cell dysfunction (Beta - 0.10 SD, 95% CI [- 0.12, - 0.08], p = 1.46 × 10-47) PRSs were associated to lower BMI. Mendelian randomization Steiger analysis indicated that increased T2D risk in these pathways was causally associated to lower BMI. However, the obesity PRS was conversely associated with increased BMI (Beta 0.08 SD, 95% CI 0.06-0.10, p = 8.0 × 10-33). Analyses within a pediatric cohort supported this finding. Additionally, the lipodystrophic insulin resistance PRS was associated with a higher odds of chronic kidney disease (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.02-1.62, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: We successfully partitioned T2D genetic variants into phenotypic pathways using a colocalization first approach. Partitioned PRSs were associated to unique metabolic and clinical outcomes indicating successful partitioning of disease heterogeneity. Our work expands on previous approaches by providing stronger inferences of shared causal variants, causality, and directionality of GWAS variant-trait associations.

Association of Bone Mineral Density and Dementia: The Rotterdam Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Low bone mineral density (BMD) and dementia commonly co-occur in older individuals, with bone loss accelerating in patients with dementia due to physical inactivity and poor nutrition. However, uncertainty persists over the extent to which bone loss already exists before onset of dementia. Therefore, we investigated how dementia risk was affected by BMD at various skeletal regions in community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: In a prospective population-based cohort study, BMD at the femoral neck, lumbar spine, and total body and the trabecular bone score (TBS) were obtained using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry in 3,651 participants free from dementia between 2002 and 2005. Persons at risk of dementia were followed up until January 1, 2020. For analyses of the association between BMD at baseline and the risk of incident dementia, we used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, adjusting for age, sex, educational attainment, physical activity, smoking status, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol level, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, history of comorbidities (stroke and diabetes mellitus), and APOE genotype. RESULTS: Among the 3,651 participants (median age 72.3 ± 10.0 years, 57.9% women), 688 (18.8%) developed incident dementia during a median of 11.1 years, of whom 528 (76.7%) developed Alzheimer disease (AD). During the whole follow-up period, participants with lower BMD at the femoral neck (per SD decrease) were more likely to develop all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] total follow-up 1.12, 95% CI 1.02-1.23) and AD (HRtotal follow-up 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.28). Within the first 10 years after baseline, the risk of dementia was greatest for groups with the lowest tertile of BMD (femoral neck BMD, HR0-10 years 2.03; 95% CI 1.39-2.96; total body BMD, HR0-10 years 1.42; 95% CI 1.01-2.02; and TBS, HR0-10 years 1.59; 95% CI 1.11-2.28). DISCUSSION: In conclusion, participants with low femoral neck and total body BMD and low TBS were more likely to develop dementia. Further studies should focus on the predictive ability of BMD for dementia.

Bone Phenotyping Approaches in Human, Mice and Zebrafish - Expert Overview of the EU Cost Action GEMSTONE ("GEnomics of MusculoSkeletal traits TranslatiOnal NEtwork").

A synoptic overview of scientific methods applied in bone and associated research fields across species has yet to be published. Experts from the EU Cost Action GEMSTONE ("GEnomics of MusculoSkeletal Traits translational Network") Working Group 2 present an overview of the routine techniques as well as clinical and research approaches employed to characterize bone phenotypes in humans and selected animal models (mice and zebrafish) of health and disease. The goal is consolidation of knowledge and a map for future research. This expert paper provides a comprehensive overview of state-of-the-art technologies to investigate bone properties in humans and animals - including their strengths and weaknesses. New research methodologies are outlined and future strategies are discussed to combine phenotypic with rapidly developing -omics data in order to advance musculoskeletal research and move towards "personalised medicine".

The Treatment Gap in Osteoporosis.

Worldwide, there are millions of people who have been diagnosed with osteoporosis, a bone disease that increases the risk of fracture due to low bone mineral density and deterioration of bone architecture. In the US alone, there are approximately ten million men and women diagnosed with osteoporosis and this number is still growing. Diagnosis is made by measuring bone mineral density. Medications used for the treatment of osteoporosis are bisphosphonates, denosumab, raloxifene, and teriparatide. Recently, romosozumab has been added as well. In recent years, a number of advances have been made in the field of diagnostic methods and the diverse treatment options for osteoporosis. Despite these advances and a growing incidence of osteoporosis, there is a large group being left undertreated or even untreated. This group of the under/untreated has been called the treatment gap. Concerns regarding rare side effects of the medications, such as osteonecrosis of the jaw, have been reported to be one of the many causes for the treatment gap. Also, this group seems not to be sufficiently informed of the major benefits of the treatment and the diversity in treatment options. Knowledge of these could be very helpful in improving compliance and hopefully reducing the gap. In this paper, we summarize recent evidence regarding the efficacy of the various treatment options, potential side effects, and the overall benefit of treatment.

Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Vertebral Fracture Risk.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The purpose of this review is to summarize the recently published evidence concerning vertebral fracture risk in individuals with diabetes mellitus. RECENT FINDINGS: Vertebral fracture risk is increased in individuals with T2DM. The presence of vertebral fractures in T2DM is associated with increased non-vertebral fracture risk and mortality. TBS could be helpful to estimate vertebral fracture risk in individuals with T2DM. An increased amount of bone marrow fat has been implicated in bone fragility in T2DM. Results from two recent studies show that both teriparatide and denosumab are effective in reducing vertebral fracture risk also in individuals with T2DM. Individuals with T2DM could benefit from systematic screening in the clinic for presence of vertebral fractures.

Vertebral Fractures in Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes: More Than Skeletal Complications Alone.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess whether individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) have increased risk of vertebral fractures (VFs) and to estimate nonvertebral fracture and mortality risk among individuals with both prevalent T2D and VFs. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic PubMed search was performed to identify studies that investigated the relationship between T2D and VFs. Cohorts providing individual participant data (IPD) were also included. Estimates from published summary data and IPD cohorts were pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to estimate nonvertebral fracture and mortality risk among individuals with T2D and VFs. RESULTS: Across 15 studies comprising 852,705 men and women, individuals with T2D had lower risk of prevalent (odds ratio [OR] 0.84 [95% CI 0.74-0.95]; I 2 = 0.0%; P het = 0.54) but increased risk of incident VFs (OR 1.35 [95% CI 1.27-1.44]; I 2 = 0.6%; P het = 0.43). In the IPD cohorts (N = 19,820), risk of nonvertebral fractures was higher in those with both T2D and VFs compared with those without T2D or VFs (hazard ratio [HR] 2.42 [95% CI 1.86-3.15]) or with VFs (HR 1.73 [95% CI 1.32-2.27]) or T2D (HR 1.94 [95% CI 1.46-2.59]) alone. Individuals with both T2D and VFs had increased mortality compared with individuals without T2D and VFs (HR 2.11 [95% CI 1.72-2.59]) or with VFs alone (HR 1.84 [95% CI 1.49-2.28]) and borderline increased compared with individuals with T2D alone (HR 1.23 [95% CI 0.99-1.52]). CONCLUSIONS: Based on our findings, individuals with T2D should be systematically assessed for presence of VFs, and, as in individuals without T2D, their presence constitutes an indication to start osteoporosis treatment for the prevention of future fractures.

Recent Advances in the Genetics of Fractures in Osteoporosis.

Genetic susceptibility, together with old age, female sex, and low bone mineral density (BMD) are amongst the strongest determinants of fracture risk. Tmost recent large-scale genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis has yielded fifteen loci. This review focuses on the advances in the research of genetic determinants of fracture risk. We first discuss the genetic architecture of fracture risk, touching upon different methods and overall findings. We then discuss in a second paragraph the most recent advances in the field and focus on the genetics of fracture risk and also of other endophenotypes closely related to fracture risk such as bone mineral density (BMD). Application of state-of-the-art methodology such as Mendelian randzation in fracture GWAS are reviewed. The final part of this review touches upon potential future directions in genetic research of osteoporotic fractures.

The Radiology of Osteoporotic Vertebral Fractures Revisited.

Until recently there has been little evidence available to validate any method by which to make an accurate diagnosis of an osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs) from plain radiographs. In part this reflects a lack of a completely satisfactory "gold standard," but primarily it relates to the absence of well-designed prospective studies in this context. Historically, OVFs were recognized by evidence of macroscopic structural failure in vertebrae using the criteria applied elsewhere in the skeleton. This comprised altered alignment, fragmentation, cortical disruptions, and breaks, among other changes. However, these morphological criteria were replaced by vertebral morphometry, referring to the use of quantitative or quasi-quantitative measurement tools for fracture diagnosis. Vertebral morphometry emerged as an understanding of and treatment for osteoporosis evolved, mainly in response to the need for expeditious assessments of large numbers of spine images for epidemiological and pharmaceutical purposes. Although most of the descriptions of such morphometric tools have stressed that they were not to be applied to clinical diagnosis with respect to individual patients, this constraint has been widely disregarded. Here we review the major attempts to develop a diagnostic strategy for OVF and describe their characteristics in adults and children. Recent evidence suggests that morphometric (quantitative; ie, based on measurement of dimensions and shape description) criteria are inferior to morphologic (qualitative; ie, based on structural integrity) vertebral damage assessment in identifying people with low bone density and at an increased risk of future fracture. Thus there is now an evidentiary basis for suggesting that morphological assessment is the preferred strategy for use in diagnosing OVF from radiographs. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Assessment of the genetic and clinical determinants of fracture risk: genome wide association and mendelian randomisation study.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the genetic determinants of fracture risk and assess the role of 15 clinical risk factors on osteoporotic fracture risk. DESIGN: Meta-analysis of genome wide association studies (GWAS) and a two-sample mendelian randomisation approach. SETTING: 25 cohorts from Europe, United States, east Asia, and Australia with genome wide genotyping and fracture data. PARTICIPANTS: A discovery set of 37 857 fracture cases and 227 116 controls; with replication in up to 147 200 fracture cases and 150 085 controls. Fracture cases were defined as individuals (>18 years old) who had fractures at any skeletal site confirmed by medical, radiological, or questionnaire reports. Instrumental variable analyses were performed to estimate effects of 15 selected clinical risk factors for fracture in a two-sample mendelian randomisation framework, using the largest previously published GWAS meta-analysis of each risk factor. RESULTS: Of 15 fracture associated loci identified, all were also associated with bone mineral density and mapped to genes clustering in pathways known to be critical to bone biology (eg, SOST, WNT16, and ESR1) or novel pathways (FAM210A, GRB10, and ETS2). Mendelian randomisation analyses showed a clear effect of bone mineral density on fracture risk. One standard deviation decrease in genetically determined bone mineral density of the femoral neck was associated with a 55% increase in fracture risk (odds ratio 1.55 (95% confidence interval 1.48 to 1.63; P=1.5×10-68). Hand grip strength was inversely associated with fracture risk, but this result was not significant after multiple testing correction. The remaining clinical risk factors (including vitamin D levels) showed no evidence for an effect on fracture. CONCLUSIONS: This large scale GWAS meta-analysis for fracture identified 15 genetic determinants of fracture, all of which also influenced bone mineral density. Among the clinical risk factors for fracture assessed, only bone mineral density showed a major causal effect on fracture. Genetic predisposition to lower levels of vitamin D and estimated calcium intake from dairy sources were not associated with fracture risk.

Fracture incidence and secular trends between 1989 and 2013 in a population based cohort: The Rotterdam Study.

Fracture incidence needs to be evaluated over time to assess the impact of the enlarging population burden of fractures (due to increase in lifespan) and the efficacy of fracture prevention strategies. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the association of femoral neck bone mineral density (FN-BMD) measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) at baseline with fracture risk over a long follow-up time period. Incident non-vertebral fractures were assessed in 14,613 individuals participating in the Rotterdam Study with up to 20 years of follow-up. During a mean follow-up of 10.7 ±â€¯6.2 years, 2971 (20.3%) participants had at least one incident non-vertebral fracture. The risk for any non-vertebral fracture was 1.37 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.25-1.49) and 1.42 (95%CI: 1.35-1.50) for men and women, respectively. The majority (79% in men and 75% in women) of all fractures occurred among participants a normal or osteopenic T-score. The incidence rates per 1000 person-years for the most common fractures were 5.3 [95%CI: 5.0-5.7] for hip, 4.9 [95%CI: 4.6-5.3] for wrist and 2.3 [95%CI: 2.0-2.5] for humerus. To examine the predictive ability of BMD through follow-up time we determined fracture hazard ratios (HR) per standard deviation decrease in femoral neck BMD across five year bins. No differences were observed, with a HR of 2.5 (95%CI: 2.0-3.1) after the first 5 years, and of 1.9 (95%CI: 1.1-3.3) after 20 years. To assess secular trends in fracture incidence at all skeletal sites we compared participants at an age of 70-80 years across two time periods: 1989-2001 (n = 2481, 60% women) and 2001-2013 (n = 2936, 58% women) and found no statistically significant difference (p < 0.05) between fracture incidence rates (i.e., incidence of non-vertebral fractures of 26.4 per 1000 PY [95%CI: 24.4-28.5]) between 1989 and 2001, and of 25.4 per 1000 PY [95%CI: 23.0-28.0] between 2001 and 2013. In conclusion, BMD is still predictive of future fracture over a long period of time. While no secular changes in fractures rates seem to be observed after a decade, the majority of fractures still occur above the osteoporosis threshold, emphasizing the need to improve the screening of osteopenic patients.

Identification of a novel locus on chromosome 2q13, which predisposes to clinical vertebral fractures independently of bone density.

OBJECTIVES: To identify genetic determinants of susceptibility to clinical vertebral fractures, which is an important complication of osteoporosis. METHODS: Here we conduct a genome-wide association study in 1553 postmenopausal women with clinical vertebral fractures and 4340 controls, with a two-stage replication involving 1028 cases and 3762 controls. Potentially causal variants were identified using expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) data from transiliac bone biopsies and bioinformatic studies. RESULTS: A locus tagged by rs10190845 was identified on chromosome 2q13, which was significantly associated with clinical vertebral fracture (P=1.04×10-9) with a large effect size (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.6). Bioinformatic analysis of this locus identified several potentially functional SNPs that are associated with expression of the positional candidate genes TTL (tubulin tyrosine ligase) and SLC20A1 (solute carrier family 20 member 1). Three other suggestive loci were identified on chromosomes 1p31, 11q12 and 15q11. All these loci were novel and had not previously been associated with bone mineral density or clinical fractures. CONCLUSION: We have identified a novel genetic variant that is associated with clinical vertebral fractures by mechanisms that are independent of BMD. Further studies are now in progress to validate this association and evaluate the underlying mechanism.

Osteoporotic Vertebral Fracture Prevalence Varies Widely Between Qualitative and Quantitative Radiological Assessment Methods: The Rotterdam Study.

Accurate diagnosis of vertebral osteoporotic fractures is crucial for the identification of individuals at high risk of future fractures. Different methods for radiological assessment of vertebral fractures exist, but a gold standard is lacking. The aim of our study was to estimate statistical measures of agreement and prevalence of osteoporotic vertebral fractures in the population-based Rotterdam Study, across two assessment methods. The quantitative morphometry assisted by SpineAnalyzer® (QM SA) method evaluates vertebral height loss that affects vertebral shape whereas the algorithm-based qualitative (ABQ) method judges endplate integrity and includes guidelines for the differentiation of vertebral fracture and nonfracture deformities. Cross-sectional radiographs were assessed for 7582 participants aged 45 to 95 years. With QM SA, the prevalence was 14.2% (95% CI, 13.4% to 15.0%), compared to 4.0% (95% CI, 3.6% to 4.5%) with ABQ. Inter-method agreement according to kappa (κ) was 0.24. The highest agreement between methods was among females (κ = 0.31), participants age >80 years (κ = 0.40), and at the L1 level (κ = 0.40). With ABQ, most fractures were found at the thoracolumbar junction (T12 -L1 ) followed by the T7 -T8 level, whereas with QM SA, most deformities were in the mid thoracic (T7 -T8 ) and lower thoracic spine (T11 -T12 ), with similar number of fractures in both peaks. Excluding mild QM SA deformities (grade 1 with QM) from the analysis increased, the agreement between the methods from κ = 0.24 to 0.40, whereas reexamining mild deformities based on endplate depression increased agreement from κ = 0.24 to 0.50 (p <0.001). Vertebral fracture prevalence differs significantly between QM SA and ABQ; reexamining QM mild deformities based on endplate depression would increase the agreement between methods. More widespread and consistent application of an optimal method may improve clinical care. © 2017 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Novel Genetic Variants Associated With Increased Vertebral Volumetric BMD, Reduced Vertebral Fracture Risk, and Increased Expression of SLC1A3 and EPHB2.

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have revealed numerous loci for areal bone mineral density (aBMD). We completed the first GWAS meta-analysis (n = 15,275) of lumbar spine volumetric BMD (vBMD) measured by quantitative computed tomography (QCT), allowing for examination of the trabecular bone compartment. SNPs that were significantly associated with vBMD were also examined in two GWAS meta-analyses to determine associations with morphometric vertebral fracture (n = 21,701) and clinical vertebral fracture (n = 5893). Expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) analyses of iliac crest biopsies were performed in 84 postmenopausal women, and murine osteoblast expression of genes implicated by eQTL or by proximity to vBMD-associated SNPs was examined. We identified significant vBMD associations with five loci, including: 1p36.12, containing WNT4 and ZBTB40; 8q24, containing TNFRSF11B; and 13q14, containing AKAP11 and TNFSF11. Two loci (5p13 and 1p36.12) also contained associations with radiographic and clinical vertebral fracture, respectively. In 5p13, rs2468531 (minor allele frequency [MAF] = 3%) was associated with higher vBMD (ß = 0.22, p = 1.9 × 10-8 ) and decreased risk of radiographic vertebral fracture (odds ratio [OR] = 0.75; false discovery rate [FDR] p = 0.01). In 1p36.12, rs12742784 (MAF = 21%) was associated with higher vBMD (ß = 0.09, p = 1.2 × 10-10 ) and decreased risk of clinical vertebral fracture (OR = 0.82; FDR p = 7.4 × 10-4 ). Both SNPs are noncoding and were associated with increased mRNA expression levels in human bone biopsies: rs2468531 with SLC1A3 (ß = 0.28, FDR p = 0.01, involved in glutamate signaling and osteogenic response to mechanical loading) and rs12742784 with EPHB2 (ß = 0.12, FDR p = 1.7 × 10-3 , functions in bone-related ephrin signaling). Both genes are expressed in murine osteoblasts. This is the first study to link SLC1A3 and EPHB2 to clinically relevant vertebral osteoporosis phenotypes. These results may help elucidate vertebral bone biology and novel approaches to reducing vertebral fracture incidence. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Quantitative imaging methods in osteoporosis.

Osteoporosis is characterized by a decreased bone mass and quality resulting in an increased fracture risk. Quantitative imaging methods are critical in the diagnosis and follow-up of treatment effects in osteoporosis. Prior radiographic vertebral fractures and bone mineral density (BMD) as a quantitative parameter derived from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) are among the strongest known predictors of future osteoporotic fractures. Therefore, current clinical decision making relies heavily on accurate assessment of these imaging features. Further, novel quantitative techniques are being developed to appraise additional characteristics of osteoporosis including three-dimensional bone architecture with quantitative computed tomography (QCT). Dedicated high-resolution (HR) CT equipment is available to enhance image quality. At the other end of the spectrum, by utilizing post-processing techniques such as the trabecular bone score (TBS) information on three-dimensional architecture can be derived from DXA images. Further developments in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) seem promising to not only capture bone micro-architecture but also characterize processes at the molecular level. This review provides an overview of various quantitative imaging techniques based on different radiological modalities utilized in clinical osteoporosis care and research.

A Meta-Analysis of Trabecular Bone Score in Fracture Risk Prediction and Its Relationship to FRAX.

Trabecular bone score (TBS) is a gray-level textural index of bone microarchitecture derived from lumbar spine dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) images. TBS is a bone mineral density (BMD)-independent predictor of fracture risk. The objective of this meta-analysis was to determine whether TBS predicted fracture risk independently of FRAX probability and to examine their combined performance by adjusting the FRAX probability for TBS. We utilized individual-level data from 17,809 men and women in 14 prospective population-based cohorts. Baseline evaluation included TBS and the FRAX risk variables, and outcomes during follow-up (mean 6.7 years) comprised major osteoporotic fractures. The association between TBS, FRAX probabilities, and the risk of fracture was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and for each sex and expressed as the gradient of risk (GR; hazard ratio per 1 SD change in risk variable in direction of increased risk). FRAX probabilities were adjusted for TBS using an adjustment factor derived from an independent cohort (the Manitoba Bone Density Cohort). Overall, the GR of TBS for major osteoporotic fracture was 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-1.53) when adjusted for age and time since baseline and was similar in men and women (p > 0.10). When additionally adjusted for FRAX 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fracture, TBS remained a significant, independent predictor for fracture (GR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.24-1.41). The adjustment of FRAX probability for TBS resulted in a small increase in the GR (1.76, 95% CI 1.65-1.87 versus 1.70, 95% CI 1.60-1.81). A smaller change in GR for hip fracture was observed (FRAX hip fracture probability GR 2.25 vs. 2.22). TBS is a significant predictor of fracture risk independently of FRAX. The findings support the use of TBS as a potential adjustment for FRAX probability, though the impact of the adjustment remains to be determined in the context of clinical assessment guidelines. © 2015 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.