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1.
J Infect Dis ; 224(12 Suppl 2): S848-S855, 2021 12 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34528677

BACKGROUND: The association between childhood diarrheal disease and linear growth faltering in developing countries is well described. However, the impact attributed to specific pathogens has not been elucidated, nor has the impact of recommended antibiotic treatment. METHODS: The Global Enteric Multicenter Study enrolled children with moderate to severe diarrhea (MSD) seeking healthcare at 7 sites in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. At enrollment, we collected stool samples to identify enteropathogens. Length/height was measured at enrollment and follow-up, approximately 60 days later, to calculate change in height-for-age z scores (ΔHAZ). The association of pathogens with ΔHAZ was tested using linear mixed effects regression models. RESULTS: Among 8077 MSD cases analyzed, the proportion with stunting (HAZ below -1) increased from 59% at enrollment to 65% at follow-up (P < .0001). Pathogens significantly associated with linear growth decline included Cryptosporidium (P < .001), typical enteropathogenic Escherichia coli (P = .01), and untreated Shigella (P = .009) among infants (aged 0-11 months) and enterotoxigenic E. coli encoding heat-stable toxin (P < .001) and Cryptosporidium (P = .03) among toddlers (aged 12-23 months). Shigella-infected toddlers given antibiotics had improved linear growth (P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: Linear growth faltering among children aged 0-23 months with MSD is associated with specific pathogens and can be mitigated with targeted treatment strategies, as demonstrated for Shigella.


Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Cryptosporidiosis/drug therapy , Cryptosporidium/pathogenicity , Diarrhea/drug therapy , Escherichia coli/pathogenicity , Growth Disorders/etiology , Shigella/pathogenicity , Case-Control Studies , Child , Cryptosporidium/isolation & purification , Diarrhea/epidemiology , Diarrhea/microbiology , Escherichia coli/isolation & purification , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Shigella/isolation & purification
2.
Lancet Glob Health ; 8(2): e204-e214, 2020 02.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31864916

BACKGROUND: The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) was a 3-year case-control study that measured the burden, aetiology, and consequences of moderate-to-severe diarrhoea (MSD) in children aged 0-59 months. GEMS-1A, a 12-month follow-on study, comprised two parallel case-control studies, one assessing MSD and the other less-severe diarrhoea (LSD). In this report, we analyse the risk of death with each diarrhoea type and the specific pathogens associated with fatal outcomes. METHODS: GEMS was a prospective, age-stratified, matched case-control study done at seven sites in Africa and Asia. Children aged 0-59 months with MSD seeking care at sentinel health centres were recruited along with one to three randomly selected matched community control children without diarrhoea. In the 12-month GEMS-1A follow-on study, children with LSD and matched controls, in addition to children with MSD and matched controls, were recruited at six of the seven sites; only cases of MSD and controls were enrolled at the seventh site. We compared risk of death during the period between enrolment and one follow-up household visit done about 60 days later (range 50-90 days) in children with MSD and LSD and in their respective controls. Approximately 50 pathogens were detected using, as appropriate, classic bacteriology, immunoassays, gel-based PCR and reverse transcriptase PCR, and quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR). Specimens from a subset of GEMS cases and controls were also tested by a TaqMan Array Card that compartmentalised probe-based qPCR for 32 enteropathogens. FINDINGS: 223 (2·0%) of 11 108 children with MSD and 43 (0·3%) of 16 369 matched controls died between study enrolment and the follow-up visit at about 60 days (hazard ratio [HR] 8·16, 95% CI 5·69-11·68, p<0·0001). 12 (0·4%) of 2962 children with LSD and seven (0·2%) of 4074 matched controls died during the follow-up period (HR 2·78, 95% CI 0·95-8·11, p=0·061). Risk of death was lower in children with dysenteric MSD than in children with non-dysenteric MSD (HR 0·20, 95% CI 0·05-0·87, p=0·032), and lower in children with LSD than in those with non-dysenteric MSD (HR 0·29, 0·14-0·59, p=0·0006). In children younger than 24 months with MSD, infection with typical enteropathogenic Escherichia coli, enterotoxigenic E coli encoding heat-stable toxin, enteroaggregative E coli, Shigella spp (non-dysentery cases), Aeromonas spp, Cryptosporidium spp, and Entamoeba histolytica increased risk of death. Of 61 deaths in children aged 12-59 months with non-dysenteric MSD, 31 occurred among 942 children qPCR-positive for Shigella spp and 30 deaths occurred in 1384 qPCR-negative children (HR 2·2, 95% CI 1·2-3·9, p=0·0090), showing that Shigella was strongly associated with increased risk of death. INTERPRETATION: Risk of death is increased following MSD and, to a lesser extent, LSD. Considering there are approximately three times more cases of LSD than MSD in the population, more deaths are expected among children with LSD than in those with MSD. Because the major attributable LSD-associated and MSD-associated pathogens are the same, implementing vaccines and rapid diagnosis and treatment interventions against these major pathogens are rational investments. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data , Diarrhea/epidemiology , Diarrhea/mortality , Global Burden of Disease/statistics & numerical data , Poverty/statistics & numerical data , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Mortality , Prospective Studies
3.
Lancet Glob Health ; 7(5): e568-e584, 2019 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31000128

BACKGROUND: Diarrheal diseases remain a leading cause of illness and death among children younger than 5 years in low-income and middle-income countries. The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) has described the incidence, aetiology, and sequelae of medically attended moderate-to-severe diarrhoea (MSD) among children aged 0-59 months residing in censused populations in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia, where most child deaths occur. To further characterise this disease burden and guide interventions, we extended this study to include children with episodes of less-severe diarrhoea (LSD) seeking care at health centres serving six GEMS sites. METHODS: We report a 1-year, multisite, age-stratified, matched case-control study following on to the GEMS study. Six sites (Bamako, Mali; Manhiça, Mozambique; Basse, The Gambia; Mirzapur, Bangladesh; Kolkata, India; and Bin Qasim Town, Karachi, Pakistan) participated in this study. Children aged 0-59 months at each site who sought care at a sentinel hospital or health centre during a 12-month period were screened for diarrhoea. New (onset after ≥7 diarrhoea-free days) and acute (onset within the previous 7 days) episodes of diarrhoea in children who had sunken eyes, whose skin lost turgor, who received intravenous hydration, who had dysentery, or who were hospitalised were eligible for inclusion as MSD. The remaining new and acute diarrhoea episodes among children who sought care at the same health centres were considered LSD. We aimed to enrol the first eight or nine eligible children with MSD and LSD at each site during each fortnight in three age strata: infants (aged 0-11 months), toddlers (aged 12-23 months), and young children (aged 24-59 months). For each included case of MSD or LSD, we enrolled one to three community control children without diarrhoea during the previous 7 days. From patients and controls we collected clinical and epidemiological data, anthropometric measurements, and faecal samples to identify enteropathogens at enrolment, and we performed a follow-up home visit about 60 days later to ascertain vital status, clinical outcome, and interval growth. Primary outcomes were to characterise, for MSD and LSD, the pathogen-specific attributable risk and population-based incidence values, and to assess the frequency of adverse clinical consequences associated with these two diarrhoeal syndromes. FINDINGS: From Oct 31, 2011, to Nov 14, 2012, we recruited 2368 children with MSD, 3174 with LSD, and one to three randomly selected community control children without diarrhoea matched to cases with MSD (n=3597) or LSD (n=4236). Weighted adjusted population attributable fractions showed that most attributable cases of MSD and LSD were due to rotavirus, Cryptosporidium spp, enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli encoding heat-stable toxin (with or without genes encoding heat-labile enterotoxin), and Shigella spp. The attributable incidence per 100 child-years for LSD versus MSD, by age stratum, for rotavirus was 22·3 versus 5·5 (0-11 months), 9·8 versus 2·9 (12-23 months), and 0·5 versus 0·2 (24-59 months); for Cryptosporidium spp was 3·6 versus 2·3 (0-11 months), 4·3 versus 0·6 (12-23 months), and 0·3 versus 0·1 (24-59 months); for enterotoxigenic E coli encoding heat-stable toxin was 4·2 versus 0·1 (0-11 months), 5·2 versus 0·0 (12-23 months), and 1·1 versus 0·2 (24-59 months); and for Shigella spp was 1·0 versus 1·3 (0-11 months), 3·1 versus 2·4 (12-23 months), and 0·8 versus 0·7 (24-59 months). Participants with both MSD and LSD had significantly more linear growth faltering than controls at follow-up. INTERPRETATION: Inclusion of participants with LSD markedly expands the population of children who experience adverse clinical and nutritional outcomes from acute diarrhoeal diseases. Since MSD and LSD have similar aetiologies, interventions targeting rotavirus, Shigella spp, enterotoxigenic E coli producing heat-stable toxin, and Cryptosporidium spp might substantially reduce the diarrhoeal disease burden and its associated nutritional faltering. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data , Diarrhea, Infantile/epidemiology , Diarrhea/epidemiology , Age Factors , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Diarrhea/complications , Diarrhea/etiology , Diarrhea, Infantile/complications , Diarrhea, Infantile/etiology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male
4.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 13(1): e0007037, 2019 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30608930

BACKGROUND: Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) encoding heat-stable enterotoxin (ST) alone or with heat-labile enterotoxin (LT) cause moderate-to-severe diarrhea (MSD) in developing country children. The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) identified ETEC encoding ST among the top four enteropathogens. Since the GEMS objective was to provide evidence to guide development and implementation of enteric vaccines and other interventions to diminish diarrheal disease morbidity and mortality, we examined colonization factor (CF) prevalence among ETEC isolates from children age <5 years with MSD and from matched controls in four African and three Asian sites. We also assessed strength of association of specific CFs with MSD. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: MSD cases enrolled at healthcare facilities over three years and matched controls were tested in a standardized manner for many enteropathogens. To identify ETEC, three E. coli colonies per child were tested by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) to detect genes encoding LT, ST; confirmed ETEC were examined by PCR for major CFs (Colonization Factor Antigen I [CFA/I] or Coli Surface [CS] antigens CS1-CS6) and minor CFs (CS7, CS12, CS13, CS14, CS17, CS18, CS19, CS20, CS21, CS30). ETEC from 806 cases had a single toxin/CF profile in three tested strains per child. Major CFs, components of multiple ETEC vaccine candidates, were detected in 66.0% of LT/ST and ST-only cases and were associated with MSD versus matched controls by conditional logistic regression (p≤0.006); major CFs detected in only 25.0% of LT-only cases weren't associated with MSD. ETEC encoding exclusively CS14, identified among 19.9% of 291 ST-only and 1.5% of 259 LT/ST strains, were associated with MSD (p = 0.0011). No other minor CF exhibited prevalence ≥5% and significant association with MSD. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Major CF-based efficacious ETEC vaccines could potentially prevent up to 66% of pediatric MSD cases due to ST-encoding ETEC in developing countries; adding CS14 extends coverage to ~77%.


Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli/genetics , Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli/isolation & purification , Escherichia coli Infections/epidemiology , Escherichia coli Infections/microbiology , Fimbriae Proteins/genetics , Virulence Factors/genetics , Africa/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Female , Genotype , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Polymerase Chain Reaction , Prevalence
5.
Vaccine ; 36(13): 1766-1771, 2018 03 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29477307

BACKGROUND: Outbreaks of circulating vaccine derived polioviruses type 2 (cVDPV2) remain a risk to poliovirus eradication in an era without live poliovirus vaccine containing type 2 in routine immunization. We evaluated existing outbreak response strategies recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) for control of cVDPV2 outbreaks. METHODS: Seronegative children for poliovirus type 2 (PV2) at 22 weeks of life were assigned to one of four study groups and received respectively (1) one dose of trivalent oral poliovirus vaccine (tOPV); (2) monovalent OPV 2 (mOPV2); (3) tOPV together with a dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV); or (4) mOPV2 with monovalent high-potency IPV type 2. Stool and blood samples were collected and assessed for presence of PV2 (stool) and anti-polio antibodies (sera). RESULTS: We analyzed data from 265 children seronegative for PV2. Seroconversion to PV2 was achieved in 48, 76, 98 and 100% in Groups 1-4 respectively. mOPV2 was more immunogenic than tOPV alone (p < 0.001); and OPV in combination with IPV was more immunogenic than OPV alone (p < 0.001). There were 33%, 67%, 20% and 43% PV2 excretors in Groups 1-4 respectively. mOPV2 resulted in more prevalent shedding of PV2 than when tOPV was used (p < 0.001); and tOPV together with IPV resulted in lower excretion of PV2 than tOPV alone (p = 0.046). CONCLUSION: mOPV2 was a more potent vaccine than tOPV. Adding IPV to OPV improved immunological response; adding IPV also seemed to have shortened the duration of PV2 shedding. mIPV2 did not provide measurable improvement of immune response when compared to conventional IPV. WHO recommendation to use mOPV2 as a vaccine of first choice in cVDPV2 outbreak response was supported by our findings. Clinical Trial registry number: NCT02189811.


Disease Outbreaks , Poliomyelitis/etiology , Poliomyelitis/prevention & control , Poliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated/adverse effects , Poliovirus/immunology , Antibodies, Viral/immunology , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Feces/virology , Female , Humans , Immunization Schedule , Infant, Newborn , Male , Pakistan/epidemiology , Poliomyelitis/epidemiology , Poliomyelitis/virology , Poliovirus/classification , Poliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated/administration & dosage , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/administration & dosage , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/adverse effects , Public Health Surveillance , Socioeconomic Factors , Vaccination , Virus Shedding
6.
J Infect Dis ; 217(3): 443-450, 2018 01 17.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29126173

Background: We assessed immunity against polioviruses induced with a new Pakistani poliovirus immunization schedule and compared it to alternative poliovirus immunization schedules. Methods: Newborns were randomized to undergo vaccination based on 1 of 5 vaccination schedules, with doses administered at birth and at 6, 10, and 14 weeks of age. Arm A received inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) at all time points. Arm B received bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine (bOPV) at all time points. Arms C and D received bOPV at the first 3 time points and bOPV plus IPV at the final time point (the current schedule). Arm E received trivalent OPV (tOPV) at all time points. At 22 weeks of age, all children received 1 challenge dose of tOPV, and children in arm D received 1 additional IPV dose. Sera were analyzed for the presence of poliovirus neutralizing antibodies at birth and 14 and 22 weeks of age. Results: Seroconversion for poliovirus type 1 (PV1) at 22 weeks of age was observed in 80% of individuals in arm A, 97% in arm B, 94% in arm C, 96% in arm D, and 94% in arm E; for PV2, seroconversion frequencies were 84%, 19%, 53%, 49%, and 93%, respectively; and for PV3, seroconversion frequencies were 93%, 94%, 98%, 94%, and 85%, respectively. Conclusions: The current immunization schedule in Pakistan induced high seroconversion rates for PV1 and PV3; however, it induced PV2 seroconversion in only half of study subjects. There is a growing cohort of young children in Pakistan who are unprotected against PV2; and this creates an increasing risk of a large-scale outbreak of poliomyelitis caused by circulating vaccine-derived PV2.


Antibodies, Neutralizing/blood , Antibodies, Viral/blood , Immunization Schedule , Poliomyelitis/prevention & control , Poliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated/immunology , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/immunology , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Pakistan , Poliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated/administration & dosage , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/administration & dosage , Pregnancy
7.
J Glob Health ; 6(2): 020406, 2016 12.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27606059

BACKGROUND: Pakistan is unfortunately among the five countries that contributed to the most deaths due to diarrhea and pneumonia in 2010. To explore factors associated with diarrheal deaths we assessed care-seeking behavior and other predictors of diarrhea-related mortality in children in selected low-income peri-urban communities of Karachi, Pakistan. METHODS: A mixed methods study (qualitative and quantitative) using matched case-control design and focus group discussions with parents of children with moderate to severe diarrhea (MSD) was undertaken. Cases were children <5 years of age who died within 60 days of developing an episode of MSD. Controls were age-matched children who survived after 60 days of an episode of MSD. Demographic, clinical, and care-related behavioral predictors of mortality were assessed. Conditional logistic regression was performed, matched adjusted odds ratios (mOR) are reported. RESULTS: Parents of 77 cases and 154 controls were interviewed. Cases were less likely to receive appropriate care compared to controls (mOR = 0.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.05-0.91). Refusal for hospital admission (OR = 8.9, 95% CI 2.6-30.8), and delays in reaching the health facility (OR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.0-12.9) were significant independent predictors of mortality. We found strong beliefs in traditional and spiritual healing in the population; use of both modern and traditional/spiritual treatments concurrently was common. CONCLUSION: Appropriate care seeking behavior predicts survival in children with diarrhea in Pakistan. There is a complex belief system relating to traditional and standard therapies. Health education for appropriate health care seeking should be implemented in order to achieve a substantial decline in diarrheal disease mortality in Pakistan.


Diarrhea/mortality , Health Behavior , Health Services Accessibility , Parents , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Caregivers , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Culture , Female , Focus Groups , Health Facilities , Hospitalization , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Logistic Models , Male , Odds Ratio , Pakistan/epidemiology , Poverty , Urban Population
8.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 95(4): 774-780, 2016 10 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27527635

We report the clinical findings, epidemiology, and risk factors for moderate-to-severe diarrhea (MSD) associated with Aeromonas species in children 0-59 months of age, from the Global Enteric Multicenter Study, conducted at three sites in south Asia and four sites in sub-Saharan Africa. Children with MSD were enrolled along with controls matched for age, gender, and neighborhood. Pooled, age-stratified conditional logistic regression models were applied to evaluate the association of Aeromonas infection controlling for coinfecting pathogens and sociodemographic variables. A pooled, age-stratified, multivariate logistic regression analysis was done to identify risk factors associated with Aeromonas positivity in MSD cases. A total of 12,110 cases and 17,291 matched controls were enrolled over a period of 48 months. Aeromonas was identified as a significant pathogen in 736 cases of MSD in Pakistan and Bangladesh (22.2%). Aeromonas remained a significant pathogen even after adjustment for the presence of other pathogens and sociodemographic factors. Odds ratio (OR) for Aeromonas were higher in the presence of Shigella (matched OR: 6.2, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.9-20.2). Cases of Aeromonas were likely to present with dysentery, particularly in the 0-11 months (OR: 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-2.0) and 12-23 months (OR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.3-2.5) age group. The odds of Aeromonas increased with increasing degree of stunting, being highest for severe stunting (OR: 10.1, 95% CI: 3.6-28.9). Aeromonas is a significant pathogen for MSD in Pakistan and Bangladesh. Presence of dysentery and co-occurrence with other pathogens, notably Shigella spp. are significant features of Aeromonas-associated diarrhea.


Aeromonas/isolation & purification , Diarrhea/epidemiology , Dysentery, Bacillary/epidemiology , Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections/epidemiology , Shigella/isolation & purification , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Bangladesh/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Coinfection , Diarrhea/etiology , Diarrhea/microbiology , Dysentery/epidemiology , Dysentery/etiology , Dysentery/microbiology , Dysentery, Bacillary/complications , Dysentery, Bacillary/microbiology , Female , Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections/complications , Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections/microbiology , Humans , Infant , Logistic Models , Male , Pakistan/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Socioeconomic Factors
9.
Nat Microbiol ; 1: 15014, 2016 Jan 18.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27571975

Enteropathogenic Escherichia coli (EPEC) are diarrhoeagenic E. coli, and are a significant cause of gastrointestinal illness among young children in developing countries. Typical EPEC are identified by the presence of the bundle-forming pilus encoded by a virulence plasmid, which has been linked to an increased severity of illness, while atypical EPEC lack this feature. Comparative genomics of 70 total EPEC from lethal (LI), non-lethal symptomatic (NSI) or asymptomatic (AI) cases of diarrhoeal illness in children enrolled in the Global Enteric Multicenter Study was used to investigate the genomic differences in EPEC isolates obtained from individuals with various clinical outcomes. A comparison of the genomes of isolates from different clinical outcomes identified genes that were significantly more prevalent in EPEC isolates of symptomatic and lethal outcomes than in EPEC isolates of asymptomatic outcomes. These EPEC isolates exhibited previously unappreciated phylogenomic diversity and combinations of virulence factors. These comparative results highlight the diversity of the pathogen, as well as the complexity of the EPEC virulence factor repertoire.


Diarrhea/microbiology , Diarrhea/pathology , Enteropathogenic Escherichia coli/classification , Enteropathogenic Escherichia coli/genetics , Escherichia coli Infections/microbiology , Escherichia coli Infections/pathology , Genetic Variation , Enteropathogenic Escherichia coli/isolation & purification , Genes, Bacterial , Genomics , Humans , Phylogeny , Virulence Factors/genetics
10.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 10(5): e0004729, 2016 05.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27219054

BACKGROUND: The importance of Cryptosporidium as a pediatric enteropathogen in developing countries is recognized. METHODS: Data from the Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS), a 3-year, 7-site, case-control study of moderate-to-severe diarrhea (MSD) and GEMS-1A (1-year study of MSD and less-severe diarrhea [LSD]) were analyzed. Stools from 12,110 MSD and 3,174 LSD cases among children aged <60 months and from 21,527 randomly-selected controls matched by age, sex and community were immunoassay-tested for Cryptosporidium. Species of a subset of Cryptosporidium-positive specimens were identified by PCR; GP60 sequencing identified anthroponotic C. parvum. Combined annual Cryptosporidium-attributable diarrhea incidences among children aged <24 months for African and Asian GEMS sites were extrapolated to sub-Saharan Africa and South Asian regions to estimate region-wide MSD and LSD burdens. Attributable and excess mortality due to Cryptosporidium diarrhea were estimated. FINDINGS: Cryptosporidium was significantly associated with MSD and LSD below age 24 months. Among Cryptosporidium-positive MSD cases, C. hominis was detected in 77.8% (95% CI, 73.0%-81.9%) and C. parvum in 9.9% (95% CI, 7.1%-13.6%); 92% of C. parvum tested were anthroponotic genotypes. Annual Cryptosporidium-attributable MSD incidence was 3.48 (95% CI, 2.27-4.67) and 3.18 (95% CI, 1.85-4.52) per 100 child-years in African and Asian infants, respectively, and 1.41 (95% CI, 0.73-2.08) and 1.36 (95% CI, 0.66-2.05) per 100 child-years in toddlers. Corresponding Cryptosporidium-attributable LSD incidences per 100 child-years were 2.52 (95% CI, 0.33-5.01) and 4.88 (95% CI, 0.82-8.92) in infants and 4.04 (95% CI, 0.56-7.51) and 4.71 (95% CI, 0.24-9.18) in toddlers. We estimate 2.9 and 4.7 million Cryptosporidium-attributable cases annually in children aged <24 months in the sub-Saharan Africa and India/Pakistan/Bangladesh/Nepal/Afghanistan regions, respectively, and ~202,000 Cryptosporidium-attributable deaths (regions combined). ~59,000 excess deaths occurred among Cryptosporidium-attributable diarrhea cases over expected if cases had been Cryptosporidium-negative. CONCLUSIONS: The enormous African/Asian Cryptosporidium disease burden warrants investments to develop vaccines, diagnostics and therapies.


Cost of Illness , Cryptosporidiosis/epidemiology , Cryptosporidiosis/mortality , Diarrhea/mortality , Feces/parasitology , Gastrointestinal Diseases/epidemiology , Afghanistan/epidemiology , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Asia/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Cryptosporidiosis/parasitology , Cryptosporidium/classification , Cryptosporidium/genetics , Cryptosporidium/immunology , Cryptosporidium/isolation & purification , Data Mining/methods , Developing Countries/economics , Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data , Diarrhea/epidemiology , Diarrhea/parasitology , Female , Gastrointestinal Diseases/mortality , Gastrointestinal Diseases/parasitology , Humans , Immunoassay , Incidence , India/epidemiology , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Polymerase Chain Reaction
11.
Clin Infect Dis ; 61 Suppl 4: S241-50, 2015 Nov 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26449938

BACKGROUND: The gold standard for diagnosis of enteric fever caused by Salmonella Typhi or Salmonella Paratyphi A or B is bone marrow culture. However, because bone marrow aspiration is highly invasive, many hospitals and large health centers perform blood culture instead. As blood culture has several limitations, there is a need for novel typhoid diagnostics with improved sensitivity and more rapid time to detection. METHODS: We developed a clyA-based real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) method to detect Salmonella Typhi and Salmonella Paratyphi A simultaneously in blood. The sensitivity and specificity of this probeset was first evaluated in vitro in the laboratory and then in a typhoid-endemic population, in Karachi, Pakistan, and in healthy US volunteers. RESULTS: We optimized a DNA extraction and real-time PCR-based method that could reliably detect 1 colony-forming unit/mL of Salmonella Typhi. The probe set was able to detect clinical Salmonella Typhi and Salmonella Paratyphi A strains and also diarrheagenic Escherichia coli, but not invasive E. coli or other invasive bacteria. In the field, the clyA qPCR diagnostic was 40% as sensitive as blood culture. However, when qPCR-positive specimens were considered to be true positives, blood culture only exhibited 28.57% sensitivity. Specificity was ≥90% for all comparisons and in the healthy US volunteers. qPCR was significantly faster than blood culture in terms of detection of typhoid and paratyphoid. CONCLUSIONS: Based on lessons learned, we recommend that future field trials of this and other novel diagnostics that detect typhoidal and nontyphoidal Salmonella employ multiple methodologies to define a "positive" sample.


Paratyphoid Fever/diagnosis , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Salmonella paratyphi A/isolation & purification , Salmonella typhi/isolation & purification , Typhoid Fever/diagnosis , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Escherichia coli/classification , Escherichia coli/genetics , Female , Healthy Volunteers , Humans , Male , Pakistan , Paratyphoid Fever/blood , Paratyphoid Fever/microbiology , Salmonella paratyphi A/genetics , Salmonella typhi/genetics , Sensitivity and Specificity , Typhoid Fever/blood , Typhoid Fever/microbiology
12.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 15(8): 889-97, 2015 Aug.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26093979

BACKGROUND: Supplementary immunisation activities with oral poliovirus vaccines (OPVs) are usually separated by 4 week intervals; however, shorter intervals have been used in security-compromised areas and for rapid outbreak responses. We assessed the immunogenicity of monovalent type-1 oral poliovirus vaccine (mOPV1) given at shorter than usual intervals in Karachi, Pakistan. METHODS: This was a multicentre, randomised, controlled, four-arm, open-label, non-inferiority trial done at five primary health-care centres in low-income communities in and around Karachi, Pakistan. Eligible participants were healthy newborn babies with a birthweight of at least 2·5 kg, for whom informed consent was provided by their parent or guardian, and lived less than 30 km from the study clinic. After receiving a birth dose of trivalent OPV, we enrolled and randomly assigned newborn babies (1:1:1:1) to receive two doses of mOPV1 with an interval of 1 week (mOPV1-1 week), 2 weeks (mOPV1-2 weeks), or 4 weeks (mOPV1-4 weeks) between doses, or two doses of bivalent OPV (bOPV) with an interval of 4 weeks between doses (bOPV-4 weeks). We gave the first study dose of OPV at age 6 weeks. We did the randomisation with a centrally generated, computerised allocation sequence with blocks of 16; participants' families and study physicians could not feasibly be masked to the allocations. Trial participants were excluded from local supplementary immunisation activities during the study period. The primary outcome was non-inferiority (within a 20% margin) between groups in seroconversion to type-1 poliovirus. The primary and safety analyses were done in the per-protocol population of infants who received all three doses of vaccine. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01586572, and is closed to new participants. FINDINGS: Between March 1, 2012, and May 31, 2013, we enrolled 1009 newborn babies, and randomly assigned 829 (82%) to treatment. 554 (67%) of the 829 babies were included in the per-protocol analysis. Proportions of seroconversion to type-1 poliovirus were 107/135 (79%, 95% CI 72·4-86·1) with mOPV1-1 week, 108/135 (80%, 73·2-86·8) with mOPV1-2 weeks, 129/148 (87%, 80·9-92·0) with mOPV1-4 weeks, and 107/136 (79%, 71·8-85·6) with bOPV-4 weeks. Non-inferiority was shown between groups and no significant differences were noted. Ten participants died during the trial. Seven of these deaths occurred during the lead-in period before randomisation (two from diarrhoea, five from unknown causes). Three infants died from sepsis after random assignment. No deaths were attributed to the procedures or vaccines. Additionally, we noted no events of vaccine-associated paralysis. INTERPRETATION: We identified no significant differences in responses to mOPV1 given with shorter intervals between doses than with the standard 4 week intervals. The short-interval strategy could be particularly beneficial when temporary windows of opportunity for safe access can be granted in areas of conflict--eg, during cease-fire periods. In such situations, we recommend shortening the interval between OPV doses to 7 days. FUNDING: World Health Organization.


Poliomyelitis/immunology , Poliomyelitis/prevention & control , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/administration & dosage , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/immunology , Poliovirus/immunology , Antibodies, Viral/immunology , Child, Preschool , Humans , Immunization Programs/methods , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Pakistan
13.
Vaccine ; 33(24): 2757-63, 2015 Jun 04.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25917673

Reaching high population immunity against polioviruses (PV) is essential to achieving global polio eradication. Efficacy of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) varies and is lower among children living in tropical areas with impoverished environments. Malnutrition found as a risk factor for lower serological protection against PV. We compared whether inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) can be used to rapidly close the immunity gap among chronically malnourished (stunted) infants in Pakistan who will not be eligible for the 14 week IPV dose in routine EPI schedule. A phase 3, multicenter 4-arm randomized controlled trial conducted at five Primary Health Care (PHC) centers in Karachi, Pakistan. Infants, 9-12 months were stratified by length for age Z score into chronically malnourished and normally nourished. Infants were randomized to receive one dose of either bivalent OPV (bOPV) alone or bOPV+IPV. Baseline seroprevalence of PV antibodies and serum immune response to study vaccine dose were assessed by neutralization assay. Vaccine PV shedding in stool was evaluated 7 days after a bOPV challenge dose. Sera and stool were analyzed from 852/928 (92%) enrolled children. At baseline, the seroprevalence was 85.6% (n=386), 73.6% (n=332), and 70.7% (n=319) in malnourished children against PV types 1, 2 and 3 respectively; and 94.1% (n=448), 87.0% (n=441) and 83.6% (n=397) in the normally nourished group (p<0.05). Children had previously received 9-10 doses of bOPV (80%) or tOPV (20%). One dose of IPV+bOPV given to malnourished children increased their serological protection (PV1, n=201, 97.6%; PV2, n=198, 96.1% and PV3, n=189, 91.7%) to parity with normally nourished children who had not received IPV (p=<0.001). Seroconversion and boosting for all three serotypes was significantly more frequent in children who received IPV+bOPV than in those with bOPV only (p<0.001) in both strata. Shedding of polioviruses in stool did not differ between study groups and ranged from 2.4% (n=5) to 7.1% (n=15). In malnourished children the shedding was reduced after bOPV+IPV compared to bOPV only. Chronically malnourished infants were more likely to be unprotected against polioviruses than normal infants. bOPV+IPV helped close the immunity gap better than bOPV alone.


Antibodies, Viral/blood , Feces/virology , Infant Nutrition Disorders/immunology , Poliomyelitis/prevention & control , Poliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated/immunology , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/immunology , Disease Eradication , Female , Humans , Immunization Schedule , Infant , Male , Pakistan/epidemiology , Poliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated/administration & dosage , Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral/administration & dosage , Seroconversion , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Serogroup
14.
BMJ Open ; 4(12): e005360, 2014 Dec 08.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25492271

INTRODUCTION: Sideroblastic cardiomyopathy secondary to repeated blood transfusions is a feared complication in thalassaemia. Control of myocardial iron is thus becoming the cornerstone of thalassaemia management. Recent evidence suggests a role for L-type Ca(2+) channels in mediating iron uptake by the heart. Blocking the cellular iron uptake through these channels may add to the benefit of therapy to standard chelation in reducing myocardial iron. We aim to determine the efficacy of amlodipine (a calcium channel blocker) as an adjunct to standard aggressive chelation in retarding myocardial iron deposition in thalassaemics with or without cardiomyopathy. OUTCOMES: The primary outcome is to compare the efficacy of amlodipine+chelation (intervention) versus standard chelation (control) in retarding myocardial iron deposition. Secondary outcomes include the effect of amlodipine therapy on systolic and diastolic function, strain and strain rate and liver iron content. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a single-centre, parallel-group, prospective randomised control trial. Twenty patients will be randomised in a 1:1 allocation ratio into the intervention and control arms. In addition to conventional echocardiography, MRI T2* values for assessment of cardiac and liver iron load will be obtained at baseline and at 6 and 12 months. Cardiac T2* will be reported as the geometric mean and per cent coefficient of variation, and an increase in cardiac T2* values from baseline will be used as an end point to compare the efficacy of therapy. A p Value of <0.05 will be considered significant. STUDY SETTING: Department of Pediatric and Child Health, Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been approved by the Ethics Review Committee and Clinical Trials Unit at The Aga Khan University with respect to scientific content and compliance with applicable research and human subjects regulations. Findings will be reported through scientific publications and research conferences and project summary papers for participants. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.Gov. Registration no: NCT02065492.


Amlodipine/administration & dosage , Calcium Channels, L-Type/drug effects , Cardiomyopathies/metabolism , Iron Overload/drug therapy , Iron/metabolism , Myocardium/metabolism , Thalassemia/drug therapy , Adolescent , Calcium Channel Blockers/administration & dosage , Calcium Channels, L-Type/metabolism , Cardiomyopathies/drug therapy , Cardiomyopathies/etiology , Chelating Agents/administration & dosage , Child , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Drug Therapy, Combination , Electrocardiography , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Heart/drug effects , Heart/physiopathology , Humans , Iron Overload/complications , Iron Overload/metabolism , Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cine , Male , Myocardium/pathology , Prospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index , Stroke Volume , Thalassemia/complications , Thalassemia/metabolism , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
15.
Lancet ; 382(9888): 209-22, 2013 Jul 20.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23680352

BACKGROUND: Diarrhoeal diseases cause illness and death among children younger than 5 years in low-income countries. We designed the Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) to identify the aetiology and population-based burden of paediatric diarrhoeal disease in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia. METHODS: The GEMS is a 3-year, prospective, age-stratified, matched case-control study of moderate-to-severe diarrhoea in children aged 0-59 months residing in censused populations at four sites in Africa and three in Asia. We recruited children with moderate-to-severe diarrhoea seeking care at health centres along with one to three randomly selected matched community control children without diarrhoea. From patients with moderate-to-severe diarrhoea and controls, we obtained clinical and epidemiological data, anthropometric measurements, and a faecal sample to identify enteropathogens at enrolment; one follow-up home visit was made about 60 days later to ascertain vital status, clinical outcome, and interval growth. FINDINGS: We enrolled 9439 children with moderate-to-severe diarrhoea and 13,129 control children without diarrhoea. By analysing adjusted population attributable fractions, most attributable cases of moderate-to-severe diarrhoea were due to four pathogens: rotavirus, Cryptosporidium, enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli producing heat-stable toxin (ST-ETEC; with or without co-expression of heat-labile enterotoxin), and Shigella. Other pathogens were important in selected sites (eg, Aeromonas, Vibrio cholerae O1, Campylobacter jejuni). Odds of dying during follow-up were 8·5-fold higher in patients with moderate-to-severe diarrhoea than in controls (odd ratio 8·5, 95% CI 5·8-12·5, p<0·0001); most deaths (167 [87·9%]) occurred during the first 2 years of life. Pathogens associated with increased risk of case death were ST-ETEC (hazard ratio [HR] 1·9; 0·99-3·5) and typical enteropathogenic E coli (HR 2·6; 1·6-4·1) in infants aged 0-11 months, and Cryptosporidium (HR 2·3; 1·3-4·3) in toddlers aged 12-23 months. INTERPRETATION: Interventions targeting five pathogens (rotavirus, Shigella, ST-ETEC, Cryptosporidium, typical enteropathogenic E coli) can substantially reduce the burden of moderate-to-severe diarrhoea. New methods and accelerated implementation of existing interventions (rotavirus vaccine and zinc) are needed to prevent disease and improve outcomes. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Bacterial Infections/mortality , Diarrhea/microbiology , Diarrhea/mortality , Rotavirus Infections/mortality , Africa South of the Sahara , Asia, Western/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Child, Preschool , Cost of Illness , Developing Countries , Diarrhea, Infantile/microbiology , Diarrhea, Infantile/mortality , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Prospective Studies
16.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 89(1 Suppl): 49-55, 2013 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23629928

Diarrhea causes 16% of all child deaths in Pakistan. We assessed patterns of healthcare use among caretakers of a randomly selected sample of 959 children ages 0-59 months in low-income periurban settlements of Karachi through a cross-sectional survey. A diarrheal episode was reported to have occurred in the previous 2 weeks among 298 (31.1%) children. Overall, 280 (80.3%) children sought care. Oral rehydration solution and zinc were used by 40.8% and 2%, respectively; 11% were admitted or received intravenous rehydration, and 29% sought care at health centers identified as sentinel centers for recruiting cases of diarrhea for a planned multicenter diarrheal etiology case-control study. Odds ratios for independent predictors of care-seeking behavior were lethargy, 4.14 (95% confidence interval = 1.45-11.77); fever, 2.67 (1.27-5.59); and stool frequency more than six per day, 2.29 (1.03-5.09). Perception of high cost of care and use of home antibiotics were associated with reduced care seeking: odds ratio = 0.28 (0.1-0.78) and 0.29 (0.11-0.82), respectively. There is a need for standardized, affordable, and accessible treatment of diarrhea as well as community education regarding appropriate care in areas with high diarrheal burden.


Caregivers/psychology , Diarrhea, Infantile/epidemiology , Diarrhea, Infantile/psychology , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/psychology , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Child, Preschool , Diarrhea, Infantile/economics , Diarrhea, Infantile/physiopathology , Female , Health Surveys , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Pakistan/epidemiology , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Poverty , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index , Urban Population
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