Bone health, cardiovascular disease, and imaging outcomes in UK Biobank: a causal analysis.

This study examined the association of estimated heel bone mineral density (eBMD, derived from quantitative ultrasound) with: (1) prevalent and incident cardiovascular diseases (CVDs: ischemic heart disease (IHD), myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM), arrhythmia), (2) mortality (all-cause, CVD, IHD), and (3) cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) measures of left ventricular and atrial structure and function and aortic distensibility, in the UK Biobank. Clinical outcomes were ascertained using health record linkage over 12.3 yr of prospective follow-up. Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted to assess causal associations between BMD and CMR metrics using genetic instrumental variables identified from published genome-wide association studies. The analysis included 485 257 participants (55% women, mean age 56.5 ± 8.1 yr). Higher heel eBMD was associated with lower odds of all prevalent CVDs considered. The greatest magnitude of effect was seen in association with HF and NICM, where 1-SD increase in eBMD was associated with 15% lower odds of HF and 16% lower odds of NICM. Association between eBMD and incident IHD and MI was non-significant; the strongest relationship was with incident HF (SHR: 0.90 [95% CI, 0.89-0.92]). Higher eBMD was associated with a decreased risk in all-cause, CVD, and IHD mortality, in the fully adjusted model. Higher eBMD was associated with greater aortic distensibility; associations with other CMR metrics were null. Higher heel eBMD is linked to reduced risk of a range of prevalent and incident CVD and mortality outcomes. Although observational analyses suggest associations between higher eBMD and greater aortic compliance, MR analysis did not support a causal relationship between genetically predicted BMD and CMR phenotypes. These findings support the notion that bone-cardiovascular associations reflect shared risk factors/mechanisms rather than direct causal pathways.

Characterizing the Contribution of Dependent Features in XAI Methods.

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) provides tools to help understanding how AI models work and reach a particular decision or outcome. It helps to increase the interpretability of models and makes them more trustworthy and transparent. In this context, many XAI methods have been proposed to make black-box and complex models more digestible from a human perspective. However, one of the main issues that XAI methods have to face especially when dealing with a high number of features is the presence of multicollinearity, which casts shadows on the robustness of the XAI outcomes, such as the ranking of informative features. Most of the current XAI methods either do not consider the collinearity or assume the features are independent which, in general, is not necessarily true. Here, we propose a simple, yet useful, proxy that modifies the outcome of any XAI feature ranking method allowing to account for the dependency among the features, and to reveal their impact on the outcome. The proposed method was applied to SHAP, as an example of XAI method which assume that the features are independent. For this purpose, several models were exploited for a well-known classification task (males versus females) using nine cardiac phenotypes extracted from cardiac magnetic resonance imaging as features. Principal component analysis and biological plausibility were employed to validate the proposed method. Our results showed that the proposed proxy could lead to a more robust list of informative features compared to the original SHAP in presence of collinearity.

Noninvasive Techniques for Tracking Biological Aging of the Cardiovascular System: JACC Family Series.

Population aging is one of the most important demographic transformations of our time. Increasing the "health span"-the proportion of life spent in good health-is a global priority. Biological aging comprises molecular and cellular modifications over many years, which culminate in gradual physiological decline across multiple organ systems and predispose to age-related illnesses. Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of ill health and premature death in older people. The rate at which biological aging occurs varies across individuals of the same age and is influenced by a wide range of genetic and environmental exposures. The authors review the hallmarks of biological cardiovascular aging and their capture using imaging and other noninvasive techniques and examine how this information may be used to understand aging trajectories, with the aim of guiding individual- and population-level interventions to promote healthy aging.

Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Reference Ranges From the Healthy Hearts Consortium.

BACKGROUND: The absence of population-stratified cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) reference ranges from large cohorts is a major shortcoming for clinical care. OBJECTIVES: This paper provides age-, sex-, and ethnicity-specific CMR reference ranges for atrial and ventricular metrics from the Healthy Hearts Consortium, an international collaborative comprising 9,088 CMR studies from verified healthy individuals, covering the complete adult age spectrum across both sexes, and with the highest ethnic diversity reported to date. METHODS: CMR studies were analyzed using certified software with batch processing capability (cvi42, version 5.14 prototype, Circle Cardiovascular Imaging) by 2 expert readers. Three segmentation methods (smooth, papillary, anatomic) were used to contour the endocardial and epicardial borders of the ventricles and atria from long- and short-axis cine series. Clinically established ventricular and atrial metrics were extracted and stratified by age, sex, and ethnicity. Variations by segmentation method, scanner vendor, and magnet strength were examined. Reference ranges are reported as 95% prediction intervals. RESULTS: The sample included 4,452 (49.0%) men and 4,636 (51.0%) women with average age of 61.1 ± 12.9 years (range: 18-83 years). Among these, 7,424 (81.7%) were from White, 510 (5.6%) South Asian, 478 (5.3%) mixed/other, 341 (3.7%) Black, and 335 (3.7%) Chinese ethnicities. Images were acquired using 1.5-T (n = 8,779; 96.6%) and 3.0-T (n = 309; 3.4%) scanners from Siemens (n = 8,299; 91.3%), Philips (n = 498; 5.5%), and GE (n = 291, 3.2%). CONCLUSIONS: This work represents a resource with healthy CMR-derived volumetric reference ranges ready for clinical implementation.

Leukocyte Telomere Length and Cardiac Structure and Function: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND: Existing research demonstrates the association of shorter leukocyte telomere length with increased risk of age-related health outcomes including cardiovascular diseases. However, the direct causality of these relationships has not been definitively established. Cardiovascular aging at an organ level may be captured using image-derived phenotypes of cardiac anatomy and function. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the current study, we use 2-sample Mendelian randomization to assess the causal link between leukocyte telomere length and 54 cardiac magnetic resonance imaging measures representing structure and function across the 4 cardiac chambers. Genetically predicted shorter leukocyte telomere length was causally linked to smaller ventricular cavity sizes including left ventricular end-systolic volume, left ventricular end-diastolic volume, lower left ventricular mass, and pulmonary artery. The association with left ventricular mass (ß =0.217, Pfalse discovery rate=0.016) remained significant after multiple testing adjustment, whereas other associations were attenuated. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support a causal role for shorter leukocyte telomere length and faster cardiac aging, with the most prominent relationship with left ventricular mass.

Image-Based Biological Heart Age Estimation Reveals Differential Aging Patterns Across Cardiac Chambers.

BACKGROUND: Biological heart age estimation can provide insights into cardiac aging. However, existing studies do not consider differential aging across cardiac regions. PURPOSE: To estimate biological age of the left ventricle (LV), right ventricle (RV), myocardium, left atrium, and right atrium using magnetic resonance imaging radiomics phenotypes and to investigate determinants of aging by cardiac region. STUDY TYPE: Cross-sectional. POPULATION: A total of 18,117 healthy UK Biobank participants including 8338 men (mean age = 64.2 ± 7.5) and 9779 women (mean age = 63.0 ± 7.4). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: A 1.5 T/balanced steady-state free precession. ASSESSMENT: An automated algorithm was used to segment the five cardiac regions, from which radiomic features were extracted. Bayesian ridge regression was used to estimate biological age of each cardiac region with radiomics features as predictors and chronological age as the output. The "age gap" was the difference between biological and chronological age. Linear regression was used to calculate associations of age gap from each cardiac region with socioeconomic, lifestyle, body composition, blood pressure and arterial stiffness, blood biomarkers, mental well-being, multiorgan health, and sex hormone exposures (n = 49). STATISTICAL TEST: Multiple testing correction with false discovery method (threshold = 5%). RESULTS: The largest model error was with RV and the smallest with LV age (mean absolute error in men: 5.26 vs. 4.96 years). There were 172 statistically significant age gap associations. Greater visceral adiposity was the strongest correlate of larger age gaps, for example, myocardial age gap in women (Beta = 0.85, P = 1.69 × 10-26 ). Poor mental health associated with large age gaps, for example, "disinterested" episodes and myocardial age gap in men (Beta = 0.25, P = 0.001), as did a history of dental problems (eg LV in men Beta = 0.19, P = 0.02). Higher bone mineral density was the strongest associate of smaller age gaps, for example, myocardial age gap in men (Beta = -1.52, P = 7.44 × 10-6 ). DATA CONCLUSION: This work demonstrates image-based heart age estimation as a novel method for understanding cardiac aging. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 1. TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 1.

Cancer Incidence in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq: Results of a Seven-Year Cancer Registration in Erbil and Duhok Governorates.

INTRODUCTION: There are limited published data regarding the recent incidence trends of cancer in Iraqi Kurdistan. METHODS: The present study assessed the epidemiological estimates of cancer incidence, as well providing a projection of future cancer trends in the upcoming decade by analysing the population-based cancer registry between 2013 and 2019, in both the Erbil and Duhok governorates. A retrospective analysis was performed on data retrieved from the Medical Statistics Department at the Ministry of Health, Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). RESULTS: The total number of female cancer patients was higher in both governorates, and the total incidence of patients with cancer increased by over 2x between 2013 and 2019 in Erbil and Duhok, from 73 to 174 patients/100,000 individuals for women, and 36 to 85 patients/100,000 individuals for men. Analysis indicated that the percentage of patients with cancer is projected to increase by >2x in the current decade, from 3,457 cases to 4,547 and 4,449 cases in the Erbil governorate; and from 1,365 to 2,633 and 2,737 cases in 2028 based on LSTM and bi-LTSM analysis in the Duhok governorate. Lung cancer (LC) and female breast cancer (BC) were the most prominent types of cancers diagnosed since 2013 in both the Erbil and Duhok governorates. CONCLUSION: The striking pattern of trends for both present and future cancer incidence rates require urgent solutions and comprehensive efforts to control risk factors that promote the increasing incidence of cancer in these two KRG governorates.
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Unraveling the MRI-Based Microstructural Signatures Behind Primary Progressive and Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis Phenotypes.

BACKGROUND: The mechanisms driving primary progressive and relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (PPMS/RRMS) phenotypes are unknown. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies support the involvement of gray matter (GM) in the degeneration, highlighting its damage as an early feature of both phenotypes. However, the role of GM microstructure is unclear, calling for new methods for its decryption. PURPOSE: To investigate the morphometric and microstructural GM differences between PPMS and RRMS to characterize GM tissue degeneration using MRI. STUDY TYPE: Prospective cross-sectional study. SUBJECTS: Forty-five PPMS (26 females) and 45 RRMS (32 females) patients. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3T scanner. Three-dimensional (3D) fast field echo T1-weighted (T1-w), 3D turbo spin echo (TSE) T2-w, 3D TSE fluid-attenuated inversion recovery, and spin echo-echo planar imaging diffusion MRI (dMRI). ASSESSMENT: T1-w and dMRI data were employed for providing information about morphometric and microstructural features, respectively. For dMRI, both diffusion tensor imaging and 3D simple harmonics oscillator based reconstruction and estimation models were used for feature extraction from a predefined set of regions. A support vector machine (SVM) was used to perform patients' classification relying on all these measures. STATISTICAL TESTS: Differences between MS phenotypes were investigated using the analysis of covariance and statistical tests (P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant). RESULTS: All the dMRI indices showed significant microstructural alterations between the considered MS phenotypes, for example, the mode and the median of the return to the plane probability in the hippocampus. Conversely, thalamic volume was the only morphometric feature significantly different between the two MS groups. Ten of the 12 features retained by the selection process as discriminative across the two MS groups regarded the hippocampus. The SVM classifier using these selected features reached an accuracy of 70% and a precision of 69%. DATA CONCLUSION: We provided evidence in support of the ability of dMRI to discriminate between PPMS and RRMS, as well as highlight the central role of the hippocampus. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 2 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 3.