INTRODUCTION: Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a serious eye disease in preterm infants. Generally, the progression of this disease can be detected by screening infants regularly. In case of progression, treatment can be instituted to stop the progression. In Indonesia, however, not all infants are screened because the number of pediatric ophthalmologists trained to screen for ROP and provide treatment is limited. Therefore, other methods are required to identify infants at risk of developing severe ROP. OBJECTIVE: To assess a scoring model's internal and external validity to predict ROP progression in Indonesia. METHOD: To develop a scoring model and determine its internal validity, we used data on 98 preterm infants with ROP who had undergone one or more serial eye examinations between 2009 and 2014. For external validation, we analyzed data on 62 infants diagnosed with ROP irrespective of the stage between 2017 and 2020. Patients stemmed from one neonatal unit and three eye clinics in Jakarta, Indonesia. RESULTS: We identified the duration of oxygen supplementation, gestational age, socio-economic status, place of birth, and oxygen saturation monitor setting as risk factors for developing ROP. We developed two models-one based on the duration of supplemental oxygen and one on the setting of the oxygen saturation monitor. The ROP risk and probabilistic models obtained the same sensitivity and specificity for progression to Type 1 ROP. The agreement, determined with the Kappa statistic, between the ROP risk model's suitability and the probabilistic model was excellent. The external validity of the ROP risk model showed 100% sensitivity, 73% specificity, 76% positive predictive value, 100% negative predictive value, positive LR +3.7, negative LR 0, 47% pre-test probability, and 77% post-test probability. CONCLUSION: The ROP risk scoring model can help to predict which infants with first-stage ROP might show progression to severe ROP and may identify infants who require referral to a pediatric ophthalmologist for treatment.
Infant, Premature , Retinopathy of Prematurity , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Humans , Child , Retinopathy of Prematurity/diagnosis , Retinopathy of Prematurity/therapy , Indonesia/epidemiology , Gestational Age , Oxygen , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies , Neonatal Screening/methods
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a severe disease in preterm infants. It is seen more frequently in Low-Middle Income Countries (LMIC) like Indonesia compared to High-Income Countries (HIC). Risk factors for ROP development are -extreme- preterm birth, use of oxygen, neonatal infections, respiratory problems, inadequate nutrition, and blood and exchange transfusions. In this paper, we give an overview of steps that can be taken in LMIC to prevent ROP and provide guidelines for screening and treating ROP. METHODS: Based on the literature search and data obtained by us in Indonesia's studies, we propose guidelines for the prevention, screening, and treatment of ROP in preterm infants in LMIC. RESULTS: Prevention of ROP starts before birth with preventing preterm labor, transferring a mother who might deliver <32 weeks to a perinatal center and giving corticosteroids to mothers that might deliver <34 weeks. Newborn resuscitation must be done using room air or, in the case of very preterm infants (<29-32 weeks) by using 30% oxygen. Respiratory problems must be prevented by starting continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) in all preterm infants <32 weeks and in case of respiratory problems in more mature infants. If needed, the surfactant should be given in a minimally invasive manner, as ROP's lower incidence was found using this technique. The use of oxygen must be strictly regulated with a saturation monitor of 91-95%. Infections must be prevented as much as possible. Both oral and parenteral nutrition should be started in all preterm infants on day one of life with preferably mothers' milk. Blood transfusions can be prevented by reducing the amount of blood needed for laboratory analysis. DISCUSSION: Preterm babies should be born in facilities able to care for them optimally. The use of oxygen must be strictly regulated. ROP screening is mandatory in infants born <34 weeks, and infants who received supplemental oxygen for a prolonged period. In case of progression of ROP, immediate mandatory treatment is required. CONCLUSION: Concerted action is needed to reduce the incidence of ROP in LMIC. "STOP - R1O2P3" is an acronym that can help implement standard practices in all neonatal intensive care units in LMIC to prevent development and progression.
