Prevalence and Association of Sarcopenia with Mortality in Patients with Head and Neck Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this meta-analysis was to assess the association of sarcopenia defined on computed tomography (CT) head and neck with survival in head and neck cancer patients. METHODS: Following a PROSPERO-registered protocol, two blinded reviewers extracted data and evaluated the quality of the included studies using the Quality In Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool, in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The quality of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) framework. A meta-analysis was conducted using maximally adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with the random-effects model. Heterogeneity was measured using the I2 statistic and was investigated using meta-regression and subgroup analyses where appropriate. RESULTS: From 37 studies (11,181 participants), sarcopenia was associated with poorer overall survival (HR 2.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.81-2.45; p < 0.01), disease-free survival (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.38-2.24; p < 0.01), disease-specific survival (HR 2.65, 95% CI 1.80-3.90; p < 0.01), progression-free survival (HR 2.24, 95% CI 1.21-4.13; p < 0.01) and increased chemotherapy or radiotherapy toxicity (risk ratio 2.28, 95% CI 1.31-3.95; p < 0.01). The observed association between sarcopenia and overall survival remained significant across different locations of cancer, treatment modality, tumor stages and geographical region, and did not differ between univariate and multivariate HRs. Statistically significant correlations were observed between the C3 and L3 cross-sectional area, skeletal muscle mass, and skeletal muscle index. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with head and neck cancers, CT-defined sarcopenia was consistently associated with poorer survival and greater toxicity.

Prehospital stroke care in Singapore.

ABSTRACT: Due to the narrow window of opportunity for stroke therapeutics to be employed, effectiveness of stroke care systems is predicated on the efficiency of prehospital stroke systems. A robust prehospital stroke system of care that provides a rapid and well-coordinated response maximises favourable poststroke outcomes, but achieving this presents a unique set of challenges dependent on demographic and geographical circumstances. Set in the context of a highly urbanised first-world nation with a rising burden of stroke, Singapore's prehospital stroke system has evolved to reflect the environment in which it operates. This review aims to characterise the current state of prehospital stroke care in Singapore, covering prehospital aspects of the stroke survival chain from symptom onset till arrival at the emergency department. We identify areas for improvement and innovation, as well as provide insights into the possible future of prehospital stroke care in Singapore.

Migraine and atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with migraines, particularly those with auras, may present with stroke. Atrial fibrillation is a known risk factor for stroke. With common pathophysiological factors between migraines and atrial fibrillation, we aimed to clarify the association between migraine and atrial fibrillation in this systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: A literature search was conducted in EMBASE, PubMed, Scopus and Cochrane electronic bibliographic databases from inception to 5 September 2022 with the following inclusion criteria: (a) cohort or cross-sectional studies; (b) studies that included only patients aged ≥18 years; and (c) studies that examined the association between atrial fibrillation and migraines. Exclusion criteria were case-control studies and the studies that included patients with previous diagnosis of atrial fibrillation or nonmigrainous headache. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess the quality of studies. RESULTS: Six studies were included, demonstrating a pooled prevalence of atrial fibrillation of 1.61% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.51, 3.29) in migraine with aura and 1.32% (95% CI 0.17, 3.41) in migraine without aura. The overall prevalence of atrial fibrillation in migraine was 1.39% (95% CI 0.24, 3.46). CONCLUSION: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the overall prevalence of atrial fibrillation in patients with migraine was low. Further studies are needed to clarify this relationship.

Comparing the Impact of Stenting vs. Medical Therapy for Intracranial Arterial Stenosis : A Systematic Review and One-stage and Two-stage Meta-Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials.

PURPOSE: In the treatment of intracranial arterial stenosis (ICAS), controversies remain regarding the optimal treatment strategy. Our study aims to conduct an individual patient-level data meta-analysis of existing RCTs comparing PTAS versus best medical therapy and to identify differences in outcomes such as incidence of ischemic stroke or death. METHODS: Randomised controlled trials comparing the outcomes of stenting versus best medical therapy for patients who had symptomatic ICAS of >50%. Excluded studies included case reports, case series, reviews, observational studies,  letters or studies evaluating isolated angioplasty techniques without stenting. Data was extracted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. RESULTS: 7 studies involving 1425 participants were included. There was an increased risk in the incidence of stroke and death within the first 30 days post-procedure for patients treated with PTAS over best medical therapy (RR = 2.22 [1.28-3.86], I²â€¯= 0%). Patients who underwent stenting also had a significantly higher risk of intracranial haemorrhage (RR = 12.66 [2.41-66.45], I²â€¯= 0%) and death (RR = 5.41 [1.20-24.28], I²â€¯= 0%).Under the shared frailty model, stenting when compared to medical therapy has a HR of 1.81 (95% CI:1.25-2.6) of stroke or death across 1 year. Under the parametric Royston-Parmar model, stenting has a significant decrease in the RMST(-0.83 months; 95% CI: -1.30-0.37). Stenting continued to show worse outcomes up to the 3 year mark with a HR of 1.60 (95% CI: 1.11-2.32). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: There is an increased risk of peri- and post-procedural stroke and death over best medical therapy in patients with symptomatic ICAS who undergo PTAS. Further work is required to refine patient selection and mitigate peri-procedural risks.

Stress and burnout amongst mental health professionals in Singapore during Covid-19 endemicity.

The COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a huge emotional strain on mental health professionals (MHP) in Singapore. As Singapore transited into an endemic status, it is unclear whether the psychological strain has likewise lessened. The aims of this study were to investigate the levels of stress and burnout experienced by MHP working in a tertiary psychiatric hospital in Singapore during this phase of COVID-19 endemicity (2022) in comparison to the earlier pandemic years (2020 and 2021) and to identify factors which contribute to as well as ameliorate stress and burnout. A total of 282 MHP participated in an online survey in 2022, which included 2 validated measures, namely the Perceived Stress Scale and the Oldenburg Burnout Inventory (OLBI). Participants were also asked to rank factors that contributed the most to their stress and burnout. Between-group comparisons were conducted regarding stress and burnout levels among MHP across different demographic groupings and working contexts. In addition, OLBI data completed by MHP in 2020 and 2021 were extracted from 2 published studies, and trend analysis was conducted for the proportion of MHP meeting burnout threshold across 3 time points. We found that the proportion of MHP meeting burnout threshold in 2020, 2021 and 2022 were 76.9%, 87.6% and 77.9% respectively. Professional groups, age, years of experience and income groups were associated with stress and/or burnout. High clinical workload was ranked as the top factor that contributed to stress and burnout while flexible working arrangement was ranked as the top area for improvement so as to reduce stress and burnout. As such, policy makers and hospital management may want to focus on setting clear mental health targets and facilitate manageable clinical workload, build manpower resiliency, optimize resources and provide flexible work arrangements to alleviate stress and burnout among MHP.

Association between Conversion to Shockable Rhythms and Survival with Favorable Neurological Outcomes for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrests.

BACKGROUND: The initial cardiac rhythm in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) portends different prognoses and affects treatment decisions. Initial shockable rhythms are associated with good survival and neurological outcomes but there is conflicting evidence for those who initially present with non-shockable rhythms. The aim of this study is to evaluate if OHCA with conversion from non-shockable (i.e., asystole and pulseless electrical activity) rhythms to shockable rhythms compared to OHCA remaining in non-shockable rhythms is associated with better survival and neurological outcomes. METHOD: OHCA cases from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study registry in 13 countries between January 2009 and February 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Cases with missing initial rhythms, age <18 years, presumed non-medical cause of arrest, and not conveyed by emergency medical services were excluded. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between initial and subsequent shockable rhythm, survival to discharge, and survival with favorable neurological outcomes (cerebral performance category 1 or 2). RESULTS: Of the 116,387 cases included. 11,153 (9.6%) had initial shockable rhythms and 9,765 (8.4%) subsequently converted to shockable rhythms. Japan had the lowest proportion of OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythms (7.3%). For OHCA with initial shockable rhythm, the adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for survival and good neurological outcomes were 8.11 (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.62-8.63) and 15.4 (95%CI 14.1-16.8) respectively. For OHCA that converted from initial non-shockable to shockable rhythms, the aORs for survival and good neurological outcomes were 1.23 (95%CI 1.10-1.37) and 1.61 (95%CI 1.35-1.91) respectively. The aORs for survival and good neurological outcomes were 1.48 (95%CI 1.22-1.79) and 1.92 (95%CI 1.3 - 2.84) respectively for initial asystole, while the aOR for survival in initial pulseless electrical activity patients was 0.83 (95%CI 0.71-0.98). Prehospital adrenaline administration had the highest aOR (2.05, 95%CI 1.93-2.18) for conversion to shockable rhythm. CONCLUSION: In this ambidirectional cohort study, conversion from non-shockable to shockable rhythm was associated with improved survival and neurologic outcomes compared to rhythms that continued to be non-shockable. Continued advanced resuscitation may be beneficial for OHCA with subsequent conversion to shockable rhythms.

Trends in hemorrhagic stroke incidence and mortality in a National Stroke Registry of a multi-ethnic Asian population.

INTRODUCTION: High-quality epidemiological data on hemorrhagic stroke (HS) and its subtypes, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), remains limited in Asian ethnicities. We investigated the trends in HS incidence and 30-day mortality from 2005 to 2019 in a multi-ethnic Asian population from a national registry. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data on all stroke cases from the Singapore Stroke Registry from 2005 to 2019 were collected. Cases were defined using centrally adjudicated review of diagnosis codes. Death outcomes were obtained by linkage with the national death registry. Incidence (per 100,000 people) and 30-day mortality (per 100 people) were measured as crude and age-standardized rates. Trends were analyzed using linear regression. RESULTS: We analyzed 19,017 cases of HS (83.9% ICH; 16.1% SAH). From 2005 to 2019, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) for HS remained stable from 34.4 to 34.5. However, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) decreased significantly from 29.5 to 21.4 (p < 0.001). For ICH, ASIR remained stable while ASMR decreased from 30.4 to 21.3 (p < 0.001); for SAH, ASIR increased from 2.7 to 6.0 (p = 0.006) while ASMR remained stable. In subgroup analyses, HS incidence increased significantly in persons <65 years (from 18.1 to 19.6) and Malays (from 39.5 to 49.7). DISCUSSION: From 2005 to 2019, ASIR of HS remained stable while ASMR decreased. Decreasing ASMR reflects improvements in the overall management of HS, consistent with global trends. CONCLUSION: Population health efforts to address modifiable risk factors for HS in specific demographic subgroups may be warranted to reduce incidence and mortality of HS.

Prognostication of Outcomes in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis with Support Vector Machine.

OBJECTIVE: The role of surgery in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) remains controversial. We aimed to use explainable machine learning (ML) combined with propensity-score matching to investigate the effects of surgery and identify subgroups of patients with SICH who may benefit from surgery in an interpretable fashion. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of a cohort of 282 patients aged ≥21 years with SICH. ML models were developed to separately predict for surgery and surgical evacuation. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were calculated to interpret the predictions made by ML models. Propensity-score matching was performed to estimate the effect of surgery and surgical evacuation on 90-day poor functional outcomes (PFO). RESULTS: Ninety-two patients (32.6%) underwent surgery, and 57 patients (20.2%) underwent surgical evacuation. A total of 177 patients (62.8%) had 90-day PFO. The support vector machine achieved a c-statistic of 0.915 when predicting 90-day PFO for patients who underwent surgery and a c-statistic of 0.981 for patients who underwent surgical evacuation. The SHAP scores for the top 5 features were Glasgow Coma Scale score (0.367), age (0.214), volume of hematoma (0.258), location of hematoma (0.195), and ventricular extension (0.164). Surgery, but not surgical evacuation of the hematoma, was significantly associated with improved mortality at 90-day follow-up (odds ratio, 0.26; 95% confidence interval, 0.10-0.67; P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Explainable ML approaches could elucidate how ML models predict outcomes in SICH and identify subgroups of patients who respond to surgery. Future research in SICH should focus on an explainable ML-based approach that can identify subgroups of patients who may benefit functionally from surgical intervention.

Revolutionizing the Management of Large-Core Ischaemic Strokes: Decoding the Success of Endovascular Therapy in the Recent Stroke Trials.

Endovascular therapy (EVT) has revolutionized the management of acute ischaemic strokes with large vessel occlusion, with emerging evidence suggesting its benefit also in large infarct core volume strokes. In the last two years, four randomised controlled trials have been published on this topic-RESCUE-Japan LIMIT, ANGEL-ASPECT, SELECT2 and TENSION, with overall results showing that EVT improves functional and neurological outcomes compared to medical management alone. This review aims to summarise the recent evidence presented by these four trials and highlight some of the limitations in our current understanding of this topic.

Ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes in young adults: Comparison of functional outcomes and return to work after stroke.

BACKGROUND: Functional recovery and return to work (RTW) after stroke are important rehabilitation goals that have significant impact on quality of life. Comparisons of functional outcomes and RTW between ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke (HS), especially among young adults with stroke, have either been limited or yielded inconsistent results. We aimed to assess functional outcomes and ability to RTW in young adults with IS and HS, specifically primary spontaneous intracranial hemorrhage (SICH). METHODS: Young adults with IS or SICH aged 18-50-years-old were included. Outcome measures were modified Rankins score (mRS) on discharge and 3-months and RTW at 3-months after stroke. Good functional outcome was defined as an mRS of 0-2. RESULTS: We included 459 patients (71.5% male) with a mean age of 43.3 ± 5.7 years, comprising 49.2% IS and 50.8% SICH. Patients with SICH were more likely to have unfavourable shifts in ordinal mRS on discharge (OR 7.52, CI 5.18-10.87, p < 0.001) and at 3-months (OR 6.41, CI 4.17-9.80, p < 0.001). Patients with IS more likely achieved good functional outcomes (80.2% vs. 51.8%, p < 0.001) and were able to RTW at 3-months (54.4% vs. 36.3%, p = 0.004). Among all stroke patients with good functional outcomes, one-third did not RTW at 3-months. Patients with longer length of hospitalisation and higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission, especially in the domain categories of level of consciousness, vision, motor function, language and neglect, were less likely to RTW at 3-months. CONCLUSION: Patients with IS were more likely to RTW when compared to SICH patients. Many young stroke patients did not RTW despite good functional outcomes. Further research should therefore address differences in prognosis and identify predictors that influence ability to RTW after stroke in the young adult population.

Safety and clinical outcomes in endovascular treatment for symptomatic cerebral venous thrombosis: a single-center experience with meta-analysis.

The role of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVT) is ambiguous. This study aims to share our experience with MT in CVT, supplemented by a meta-analysis on this treatment. All patients who had MT for CVT at our institution, between 2016 and 2021, were retrospectively reviewed for treatment indications, the technique used, success and complication rates, and clinical outcomes. A meta-analysis was performed for clinical and safety outcomes from published literature with > 10 patients. A total of 15 patients were included in this study. All had a venous hemorrhage or deteriorating despite anticoagulation. MT was performed using aspiration (with wide bore catheters) in 7 patients: aspiration with stent retriever in 5 and transjugular Fogarty-balloon thrombectomy in 3 patients. Adjunctive intra-sinus thrombolysis (IST) was used in 4 cases and venoplasty in 3. Technical success (restoring antegrade venous flow on arterial injection) was 100% with no procedure-related major complication. The direct transjugular approach was cheaper and faster. At 3-month follow-up, 86% of patients had good outcomes (MRS < 2). Meta-analysis of clinical and safety outcomes from 22 and 20 studies, respectively, demonstrated a positive association between MT and good outcomes as well as no significant association with hazardous periprocedural events. EVT via mechanical means for CVT is feasible in our series and meta-analysis. From our experience, trans-jugular Fogarty balloon embolectomy seems to be a potential cost-saving option, at least in a certain part of the world.

Role of plaque inflammation in symptomatic carotid stenosis.

Objective: Prior studies have shown that plaque inflammation on FDG-PET and the symptomatic carotid atheroma inflammation lumen-stenosis (SCAIL) score were associated with recurrent ischemic events, but the findings have thus far not been widely validated. Therefore, we aimed to validate the findings of prior studies. Methods: A single-center prospective cohort study that recruited patients with (1) recent TIA or ischemic stroke within the past 30 days, (2) ipsilateral carotid artery stenosis of ≥50%, and (3) were not considered for early carotid revascularization. The (1) maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of the symptomatic carotid plaque, (2) the SCAIL score, and (3) stenosis severity of the symptomatic carotid artery were measured for all patients. The outcomes were (1) a 90-day ipsilateral ischemic stroke and (2) a 90-day ipsilateral symptomatic TIA or major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE). Results: Among the 131 patients included in the study, the commonest cardiovascular risk factor was hypertension (95 patients, 72.5%), followed by diabetes mellitus (77 patients, 58.8%) and being a current smoker (64 patients, 48.9%). The median (IQR) duration between the index cerebral ischemic event and recruitment to the study was 1 (0, 2.5) days. The median (IQR) duration between the index cerebral ischemic event and FDG-PET was 5 (4, 7) days. A total of 14 (10.7%) patients had a 90-day stroke, and 41 (31.3%) patients had a 90-day TIA or MACE. On comparison of the predictive performances of the SCAIL score and SUVmax, SUVmax was found to be superior to the SCAIL score for predicting both 90-day ipsilateral ischemic stroke (AUC: SCAIL = 0.79, SUVmax = 0.92; p < 0.001; 95% CI = 0.072, 0.229) and 90-day TIA or MACE (AUC: SCAIL = 0.76, SUVmax = 0.84; p = 0.009; 95% CI = 0.020, 0.143). Conclusion: Plaque inflammation as quantified on FDG-PET may serve as a reliable biomarker for risk stratification among patients with ECAD and recent TIA or ischemic stroke. Future studies should evaluate whether patients with significant plaque inflammation as quantified on FDG-PET benefit from carotid revascularization and/or anti-inflammatory therapy.

Safety attitudes, burnout and well-being among healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic: an Indo-Pacific regional cross-sectional study.

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had an unprecedented impact in Asia and has placed significant burden on already stretched healthcare systems. We examined the impact of COVID-19 on the safety attitudes among healthcare workers (HCWs), as well as their associated demographic and occupational factors, and measures of burnout, depression and anxiety. Methods: A cross-sectional survey study utilising snowball sampling was performed involving doctors, nurses and allied health professions from 23 hospitals in Singapore, Malaysia, India and Indonesia between 29 May 2020 and 13 July 2020. This survey collated demographic data and workplace conditions and included three validated questionnaires: the Safety Attitudes Questionnaire (SAQ), Oldenburg Burnout Inventory and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale. We performed multivariate mixed-model regression to assess independent associations with the SAQ total percentage agree rate (PAR). Results: We obtained 3,163 responses. The SAQ total PARs were found to be 35.7%, 15.0%, 51.0% and 3.3% among the respondents from Singapore, Malaysia, India and Indonesia, respectively. Burnout scores were highest among respondents from Indonesia and lowest among respondents from India (70.9%-85.4% vs. 56.3%-63.6%, respectively). Multivariate analyses revealed that meeting burnout and depression thresholds and shifts lasting ≥12 h were significantly associated with lower SAQ total PAR. Conclusion: Addressing the factors contributing to high burnout and depression and placing strict limits on work hours per shift may contribute significantly towards improving safety culture among HCWs and should remain priorities during the pandemic.

Characteristics of subarachnoid hemorrhage associated with COVID-19 infection: A systematic review and descriptive analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been reported as a neurological manifestation in 0.1% of COVID-19 patients. This systematic review investigated the outcomes and predictive factors of SAH in patients with COVID-19. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An electronic literature search was conducted on PubMed, Embase, and Scopus from inception to 10th September 2021. Studies reporting SAH in COVID-19 patients were included. Demographic characteristics, risk factors for disease, severity of COVID-19, and mortality of SAH in COVID-19 patients were analyzed. Subgroup analyses stratified by COVID-19 severity and mortality were conducted. RESULTS: 17 case reports, 11 case series, and 2 retrospective cohort studies, with a total of 345 cases of SAH in COVID-19 patients, were included for analysis. Most published cases were reported in the US. Mean age was 55±18.4 years, and 162 patients (48.5%) were female. 242 patients (73.8%) had severe-to-critical COVID-19, 56.7% had aneurysmal SAH, 71.4% were on anticoagulation, and 10.8% underwent surgical treatment. 136 out of 333 patients (40.8%) died. Among patients with severe-to-critical COVID-19, 11 out of 18 (61.1%) died, and 8 out of 8 (100.0%) were non-aneurysmal SAH. CONCLUSIONS: SAH is a rare but morbid occurrence in COVID-19. The mortality rate of COVID-SAH patients was 40.8%, with a higher prevalence of severe-to-critical COVID-19 (100% versus 53.8%) and non-aneurysmal SAH (85.7% versus 44.6%) among COVID-SAH deaths. Given the changing landscape of COVID-19 variants, further studies investigating the association between COVID-19 and SAH may be warranted to identify the long-term effects of COVID-19.

Air quality and the risk of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Singapore (PAROS): a time series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported positive associations between out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and air pollutant concentrations, but there are inconsistencies across studies. We aimed to investigate the association between pollutant concentrations and the risk of OHCA in Singapore. METHODS: We did a time series analysis of all cases of OHCA in Singapore reported between July 1, 2010, and Dec 31, 2018, to the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS), a prospective, population-based registry. Using multivariable fractional polynomial modelling, we investigated the immediate (day 0) and lagged (up to 5 days after exposure) association between 10 µg/m3 increases in concentrations of particulate matter with a diameter of 2·5 µm or smaller (PM2·5), particulate matter with a diameter of 10 µm or smaller (PM10), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulphur dioxide (SO2) and 1 mg/m3 increase in carbon monoxide (CO) and relative risk (RR) of OHCA. FINDINGS: We extracted data for 18 131 cases of OHCA. The median age of this cohort of cases was 65 years (IQR 56-80), 6484 (35·8%) were female, 11 647 (64·2%) were male, 12 270 (67·7%) were Chinese, 2873 (15·8%) were Malay, and 2010 (11·1%) were Indian. Every 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2·5 was associated with increased risk of OHCA (RR 1·022 [95% 1·002-1·043]) over the next 2 days, which decreased over the subsequent 3 days (3-5 days after exposure; 0·976 [0·955-0·998]). For PM10, O3, NO2, and SO2, we did not observe any associations between increased concentration and risk of OHCA on day 0 or cumulative risk over time (ie, at 0-1 days, 0-2 days, 0-3 days, 0-4 days, 0-5 days, and 3-5 days after exposure). For CO, we observed a cumulative decreased risk of OHCA across 0-5 days after exposure (0·876 [0·770-0·997]) and at days 3-5 after exposure (0·810 [0·690-0·949]). We observed effect modification of the association between increasing PM2·5 concentration and OHCA 0-2 days after exposure by cardiac arrest rhythm (non-shockable 1·027 [1·004-1·050] vs shockable 1·002 [0·956-1·051]) and location of OHCA (at home: 1·033 [1·008-1·057] vs not at home 0·955 [0·957-1·035]). In hypothetical modelling, the number of OHCA events associated with PM2·5 could be reduced by 8% with a 1 µg/m3 decrease in PM2·5 concentrations and by 30% with a 3 µg/m3 decrease in PM2·5 concentrations. INTERPRETATION: Increases in PM2·5 concentration were associated with an initial increased risk of OHCA and a subsequent reduced risk from 3-5 days after exposure, suggesting a short-term harvesting effect. A decrease in PM2·5 concentrations could reduce population demand for emergency health services. FUNDING: National Medical Research Council, Singapore, under the Clinician Scientist Award, Singapore and the Singapore Translational Research Investigator Award (MOH-000982-01).

Air Pollution and Intracranial Hemorrhage.

Air pollution is a significant contributor to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. including intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). However, associations between air pollution, various pollutants, and ICH are complex and remain poorly understood. Limited data are available on the relationship between ICH and individual air pollutants. In this review, we present an overview of the current literature about ambient air pollutants that are believed to contribute towards ICH as well as possible underlying mechanisms.

External validation of the Survival After ROSC in Cardiac Arrest (SARICA) score for predicting survival after return of spontaneous circulation using multinational pan-asian cohorts.

Aim: Accurate and timely prognostication of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) who attain return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) is crucial in clinical decision-making, resource allocation, and communication with family. A clinical decision tool, Survival After ROSC in Cardiac Arrest (SARICA), was recently developed, showing excellent performance on internal validation. We aimed to externally validate SARICA in multinational cohorts within the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study. Materials and methods: This was an international, retrospective cohort study of patients who attained ROSC after OHCA in the Asia Pacific between January 2009 and August 2018. Pediatric (age <18 years) and traumatic arrests were excluded. The SARICA score was calculated for each patient. The primary outcome was survival. We used receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis to calculate the model performance of the SARICA score in predicting survival. A calibration belt plot was used to assess calibration. Results: Out of 207,450 cases of OHCA, 24,897 cases from Taiwan, Japan and South Korea were eligible for inclusion. Of this validation cohort, 30.4% survived. The median SARICA score was 4. Area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.759 (95% confidence interval, CI 0.753-0.766) for the total population. A higher AUC was observed in subgroups that received bystander CPR (AUC 0.791, 95% CI 0.782-0.801) and of presumed cardiac etiology (AUC 0.790, 95% CI 0.782-0.797). The model was well-calibrated. Conclusion: This external validation study of SARICA demonstrated high model performance in a multinational Pan-Asian cohort. Further modification and validation in other populations can be performed to assess its readiness for clinical translation.

Ambient Air Pollution and Acute Ischemic Stroke-Effect Modification by Atrial Fibrillation.

Acute ischemic strokes (AIS) are closely linked with air pollution, and there is some evidence that traditional cardiovascular risk factors may alter the relationship between air pollution and strokes. We investigated the effect of atrial fibrillation (AF) on the association of AIS with air pollutants. This was a nationwide, population-based, case-only study that included all AIS treated in public healthcare institutions in Singapore from 2009 to 2018. Using multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for time-varying meteorological effects, we examined how AF modified the association between AIS and air pollutant exposure. A total of 51,673 episodes of AIS were included, with 10,722 (20.7%) having AF. The odds of AIS in patients with AF is higher than those without AF for every 1 µg/m3 increase in O3 concentration (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.005, 95% CI 1.003-1.007) and every 1 mg/m3 increase in CO concentration (aOR: 1.193, 95% CI 1.050-1.356). However, the odds of AIS in patients with AF is lower than those without AF for every 1 µg/m3 increase in SO2 concentration (aOR: 0.993, 95% CI 0.990-0.997). Higher odds of AIS among AF patients as O3- and CO concentrations increase are also observed in patients aged ≥65 years and non-smokers. The results suggest that AF plays an important role in exacerbating the risk of AIS as the levels of O3 and CO increase.