Comparing the distal pancreatectomy fistula risk score (D-FRS) and DISPAIR-FRS for predicting pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy.

BACKGROUNDS: Distal pancreatectomy fistula risk score (D-FRS) and DISPAIR-FRS has not been widely validated for predicting postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP). METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 104 patients undergoing DP. The predictive value of the D-FRS and DISPAIR-FRS were compared. Risk factors associated with POPF were investigated by multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Of the 104 patients, 23 (22.1%) were categorized into the POPF group (all grade B). The areas under the ROC (AUCs) of the D-FRS (preoperative), D-FRS (intraoperative), and DISPAIR-FRS were 0.737, 0.809, and 0.688, respectively. Stratified by the D-FRS (preoperative), the POPF rates in low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were 5%, 22.6%, and 36.4%, respectively. By the D-FRS (intraoperative), the POPF rates in low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were 8.8%, 47.1%, and 47.4%, respectively. By the DISPAIR-FRS, the POPF rates in low-risk, intermediate-risk, and extreme-high-risk groups were 14.8%, 23.8% and 62.5%, respectively. Body mass index and main pancreatic duct diameter were independent risk factors of POPF both in preoperative (P = 0.014 and P = 0.033, respectively) and intraoperative (P = 0.015 and P = 0.039) multivariate analyses. CONCLUSION: Both the D-FRS (preoperative), D-FRS (intraoperative), and DISPAIR-FRS has good performance in POPF prediction after DP. The risk stratification was not satisfactory in current Asian cohort.

Pancreaticoduodenectomy performed for a patient with prepancreatic postduodenal portal vein: a case report and literature review.

Introduction: Prepancreatic postduodenal portal vein (PPPV) is a rare congenital variation, with only 17 cases reported in the literature and five of them undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Of these, four were L-shaped PPPV with a thin wall that was difficult to isolate, while only one normal-shaped PPPV was reported previously. For patients undergoing PD, recognizing this variation is important to prevent PPPV injury, which could lead to liver ischemia or intraoperative hemorrhage. We here present a case of normal-shaped PPPV who underwent PD. Case presentation: A 68-year-old woman underwent PD for bile duct carcinoma at our hospital. Preoperative enhanced CT revealed that the portal vein was located anterior to the pancreas and posterior to the duodenum, and the L-shaped splenic vein was longitudinally located posterior to the pancreatic neck. During surgery, there was a loose tissue area between the PPPV and the pancreatic head, and the PPPV could be isolated safely. The morphology of PPPV was similar to normal portal vein. Due to the presence of the PPPV, a superior mesenteric artery (SMA)-first approach from the anterior was at high risk of vascular injury, and the pancreatic neck could not be dissected at the dorsal face of PV. Therefore, the SMA was revealed by the classic right posterior approach after transection of the pancreatic neck on the dorsal surface of L-shaped spleen vein, and the specimen was successfully resected without significant intraoperative bleeding. The patient was discharged 18 days after surgery without complications. The final pathology was bile duct carcinoma with R0 resection. Conclusion: PPPV is a rare variant that can be diagnosed by preoperative imaging. In PD procedure, knowledge of PPPV helps in surgical decision-making, approach selection and avoid major bleeding due to PPPV injury. The origin of normal-shaped and L-shaped PPPV might be different. Normal-shaped PPPV can be safely isolated in this case.

Predictive Model of Early Death of Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma After Curative Resection: A SEER-Based Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to determine the factors that predict early death and establish a predictive model for early death by analyzing clinical characteristics of patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (R-PDAC) who die early after radical surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent radical surgical resection for R-PDAC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients with overall survival ≤ 12 months were assigned as early death group and above 1 year as the late death group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was conducted to identify factors significantly associated with early death. An early death predictive model was constructed based on the identified independent risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 9695 patients were analyzed, and the total incidence of early death was 30.72%. Multivariable analysis showed that factors significantly associated with early death included age at diagnosis, race, marital status, tumor location, tumor size, tumor grade, number of positive lymph nodes, number of examined lymph nodes, positive lymph node ratio, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy. The predictive model showed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.722 (95% confidence interval: 0.711-0.733) and convincing calibration. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a predictive model that may be easily applied to patients with R-PDAC after radical resection to predict the chance of death within 1 year. For patients with high risk of early death, neoadjuvant therapy should be considered. Even after radical resection, more aggressive adjuvant chemotherapy (with or without combined radiotherapy) must be used to minimize the chance of early death.

Modification of a new subclassification of Grade B postoperative pancreatic fistula: A bicenter retrospective cohort study.

AIM: To propose a modified subclassification of grade B postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) based on management approaches in Chinese patients. METHODS: Data of consecutive pancreatoduodenectomy at two hospitals in China from 2013 to 2018 were collected, and outcomes were compared across different groups of POPF. Subclassification of B-POPF was made based on intervention to B1: non-interventional subclass and B2: interventional subclass. RESULTS: A total of 142 of 522 patients had biochemical leaks (BLs) (27.2%), and POPFs developed in 106 of 522 patients (20.3%), with 81 B-POPFs (15.5%) and 25 C-POPFs (4.8%). BL did not differ from the non-fistula condition in almost all outcomes. The differences of outcomes among the non-fistula/BL, B-POPF and C-POPF groups were significant. The prevalence of subclass B1 and B2 was 56.8% (46/81) and 43.2% (35/81), respectively. Compared to the B1 group, patients in the B2 group had worse outcomes, such as post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (15.2% vs 34.3%, P = .045), biliary fistula (13.0% vs 34.3%, P = .023), postoperative hospital stay (32 vs 39 days, P = .011), and cost ($US28 601.0 vs $US39 314.5, P < .001). CONCLUSION: The recently reported B-POPF subclassification method was modified in Chinese patients according to the intervention, and is more practical, simpler and fits Chinese patients.

Validation and modification of the AJCC 8th TNM staging system for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in a Chinese cohort: A nationwide pancreas data center analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To validate the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in a Chinese cohort of radically resected patients and to develop a refined staging system for PDAC. METHODS: Data were collected from the China Pancreas Data Center (CPDC) for patients with resected PDAC in 2016 and 2017, and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses based on Cox regression were performed to identify prognostic factors. The recursive partitioning analysis (RPA), Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank test were performed on the training dataset to generate a proposed modification for the 8th TNM staging system utilizing the preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 level. Validation was performed for both staging systems in the validation cohort. RESULTS: A total of 1,676 PDAC patients were retrieved, and the median CSS was significantly different between the 8th TNM groupings, with no significant difference in survival between stage IB and IIA. The analysis of T and N stages demonstrated a better prognostic value in the N category. Multivariate analysis showed that the preoperative serum CA19-9 level was the strongest prognostic indicator among all the independent risk factors. All patients with CA19-9 >500 U/mL had similar survival, and we proposed a new staging system by combining IB and IIA and stratifying all patients with high CA19-9 into stage III. The modified staging system had a better performance for predicting CSS than the 8th AJCC staging scheme. CONCLUSIONS: The 8th AJCC staging system for PDAC is suitable for a Chinese cohort of resected patients, and the N category has a better prognostic value than the T category. Our modified staging system has superior accuracy in predicting survival than the 8th AJCC TNM staging system.

Predicting early recurrence for resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a multicenter retrospective study in China.

A precise classification of early recurrence (ER) after radical surgery of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has not been standardized. We aim to develop an optimal cut-off based on scientific evidence to distinguish early and late recurrence (LR) for PDAC after radical surgery and develop a predictive model for ER of PDAC. The best threshold for recurrence-free survival (RFS) was assessed with a minimum P-value method, and patients were categorized into ER and LR groups. We used a logistic regression model to assess potential risk factors for ER and develop a predictive model for ER risk. The best threshold between high-risk and intermediate-high-risk groups was identified by using the receiver operating characteristic curve. Among 3,279 patients included, 1,234 (37.6%) experienced ER. The RFS of 9 months is the optimal threshold to distinguish ER and LR. Univariable and multivariable analysis identified four preoperative risk factors for ER, including larger tumor maximal diameter on computed tomography (CT), enlarged lymph nodes on CT, carbohydrate antigen (CA) 125 > 35 U/ml, and CA19-9 > 235 U/ml. The concordance index (C-index) for the predictive model in the training cohort and the validation cohort was 0.651 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.624-0.678), and 0.636 (95% CI: 0.593-0.679), respectively, showing promising predictive ability. The high-risk group had a score above 203, and the corresponding risk of ER for this group was 56.7%. An RFS of 9 months is the best threshold to distinguish ER and LR. The model can accurately predict the risk of ER in PDAC after radical resection, and risk grouping can predict the patients who could benefit from upfront surgery.

A modified alternative fistula risk score (a-FRS) obtained from the computed tomography enhancement pattern of the pancreatic parenchyma predicts pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: Alternative fistula risk score (a-FRS) is useful to predict clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). METHODS: Clinical data from 239 patients undergoing PD were collected. The CT value of the pancreatic parenchyma was measured in the nonenhanced (N), arterial (A), portal venous (P), and late (L) phases. The A/N, A/P, P/L and A/L ratios were calculated and their correlation with CR-POPF were analyzed. By replacing pancreatic texture with the best CT attenuation ratio, a modified a-FRS was developed. RESULTS: Forty-seven patients developed CR-POPF. The A/P ratio (P < 0.001), P/L ratio (P = 0.002) and A/L ratio (P < 0.001) were significantly higher in the CR-POPF group. The A/L ratio performed best in predicting CR-POPF (AUC: 0.803) and the cut-off value is 1.36. A/L ratio >1.36 (P < 0.001), body mass index (P = 0.005) and duct diameter (P = 0.037) were independently associated with CR-POPF. By replacing soft texture with an A/L ratio >1.36, a modified a-FRS was developed and performed better than the a-FRS (AUC: 0.823 vs 0.748, P = 0.006) in predicting CR-POPF. CONCLUSIONS: The modified a-FRS is an objective and preoperative model for predicting the occurrence of CR-POPF after PD.

Preoperative prediction of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a radiomics model and a combined model for preoperative prediction of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy and to compare the predictive performance of the two models with the traditional Fistula Risk Score system. METHODS: A total of 250 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) with preoperative computed tomography (CT) were divided into a training set (n = 175) and validation set (n = 75). The pancreatic area was automatically segmented on the portal venous phase CT images using a 3D U-Net segmentation model. A radiomics model was developed using radiomics features extracted from the volume of interest (VOI) and a combined model was developed using radiomics features, demographic information and radiological features. The FRS was also used to predict POPF. The predictive performance of the prediction models was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Eleven and 18 features were extracted for the radiomics model and combined model, respectively. The combined model showed excellent predictive value, with an AUC of 0.871 (95 %CI 0.816,0.926) and 0.869 (95 %CI 0.779,0.958) in the training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. Calibration curves and DCA showed that the combined model outperformed the traditional FRS system and radiomics model. CONCLUSION: The combined model exhibited excellent predictive performance and outperformed the traditional FRS system and radiomics model in the preoperative prediction of CR-POPF.