Cardiac computed tomography-derived coronary artery volume to myocardial mass in patients with severe coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery lumen volume (V) to myocardial mass (M) ratio (V/M) can show the mismatch between epicardial coronary arteries and the underlying myocardium. METHODS: The V, M and V/M were obtained from the coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) of patients in the FAST-TRACK CABG study, the first-in-human trial of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) guided solely by CCTA and fractional flow reserve derived from CCTA (FFRCT) in patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD). The correlations between V/M ratios and baseline characteristics were determined and compared with those from the ADVANCE registry, an unselected cohort of historical controls with chronic CAD. RESULTS: The V/M ratio was obtained in 106 of the 114 pre-CABG CCTAs. Mean age was 65.6 years and 87% of them were male. The anatomical SYNTAX score from CCTA was significantly higher than the functional SYNTAX score derived using FFRCT [43.1 (15.2) vs 41.1 (16.5), p â€‹< â€‹0.001]. Mean V, M, and V/M were 2204 â€‹mm3, 137 â€‹g, and 16.5 â€‹mm3/g, respectively. There were weak negative correlations between V and anatomical and functional SYNTAX scores (Pearson's r â€‹= â€‹-0.26 and -0.34). V and V/M had a strong correlation (r â€‹= â€‹0.82). The V/M ratio in the current study was significantly lower than that in the ADVANCE registry (median 16.1 vs. 24.8 [1st quartile 20.1]). CONCLUSION: Systematically smaller V/M ratios were found in this population with severe CAD requiring CABG compared to an unselected cohort with chronic CAD. The V/M ratio could provide additional non-invasive assessment of CAD especially when combined with FFRCT.

Prospective Deep Learning-based Quantitative Assessment of Coronary Plaque by CT Angiography Compared with Intravascular Ultrasound.

AIMS: Coronary computed tomography angiography provides noninvasive assessment of coronary stenosis severity and flow impairment. Automated artificial intelligence analysis may assist in precise quantification and characterization of coronary atherosclerosis, enabling patient-specific risk determination and management strategies. This multicenter international study compared an automated deep-learning-based method for segmenting coronary atherosclerosis in coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) against the reference standard of intravascular ultrasound (IVUS). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included clinically stable patients with known coronary artery disease from 15 centers in the U.S. and Japan. An artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled plaque analysis service was utilized to quantify and characterize total plaque (TPV), vessel, lumen, calcified plaque (CP), non-calcified plaque (NCP), and low attenuation plaque (LAP) volumes derived from CCTA and compared with IVUS measurements in a blinded, core laboratory-adjudicated fashion. In 237 patients, 432 lesions were assessed; mean lesion length was 24.5 mm. Mean IVUS-TPV was 186.0 mm3. AI-enabled plaque analysis on CCTA showed strong correlation and high accuracy when compared with IVUS; correlation coefficient, slope, and Y intercept for TPV were 0.91, 0.99, and 1.87, respectively; for CP volume 0.91, 1.05, and 5.32, respectively; and for NCP volume 0.87, 0.98, and 15.24, respectively. Bland-Altman analysis demonstrated strong agreement with little bias for these measurements. CONCLUSIONS: Artificial intelligence enabled CCTA quantification and characterization of atherosclerosis demonstrated strong agreement with IVUS reference standard measurements. This tool may prove effective for accurate evaluation of coronary atherosclerotic burden and cardiovascular risk assessment.[ClinicalTrails.gov identifier: NCT05138289].

Coronary computed tomography angiography-based SYNTAX score for comprehensive assessment of advanced coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Since the initial attempt to adapt the anatomical SYNTAX score (aSS) to coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), CCTA imaging technology has evolved, and is currently used as a "decision-maker" for revascularization strategy in complex coronary artery disease (CAD) and has rendered necessary some updating of the aSS to the CCTA modality. OBJECTIVES: The aim is to provide updated definitions of the aSS derived from CCTA in patients with complex CAD undergoing CABG. METHODS: The modifications of CCTA-aSS are the following; (i) updated definition and detection criteria of total occlusion (TO) in CCTA based on length assessment, (ii) inclusion of scoring points for serial bifurcations located in one single coronary segment. (iii) inclusion of weighing score points for lesions located distal to a TO, not visualized on conventional coronary angiography, but visible in CCTA, (iv) removal of thrombus and bridging collateral items from the weighing score, considering the limited diagnostic capability of CCTA in detecting these specific lesion characteristics. RESULTS: the updated CCTA-aSS was tested in a first-in-man study using the sole guidance of CCTA for the planning and performance of bypass surgery in complex CAD (n â€‹= â€‹114). An interobserver analysis showed excellent reproducibility (ICC â€‹= â€‹0.96, 95 â€‹% confidence interval 0.94-0.97). CONCLUSION: The updated CCTA-aSS was implemented in a cohort of patients with complex CAD undergoing CABG with the sole guidance of CCTA and FFRCT and the Inter-reproducibility of the analysis of the updated score was found excellent. The prognostic value of the modified CCTA-aSS will be examined in future studies.

Coronary Atherosclerosis Phenotypes in Focal and Diffuse Disease.

BACKGROUND: The interplay between coronary hemodynamics and plaque characteristics remains poorly understood. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to compare atherosclerotic plaque phenotypes between focal and diffuse coronary artery disease (CAD) defined by coronary hemodynamics. METHODS: This multicenter, prospective, single-arm study was conducted in 5 countries. Patients with functionally significant lesions based on an invasive fractional flow reserve ≤0.80 were included. Plaque analysis was performed by using coronary computed tomography angiography and optical coherence tomography. CAD patterns were assessed using motorized fractional flow reserve pullbacks and quantified by pullback pressure gradient (PPG). Focal and diffuse CAD was defined according to the median PPG value. RESULTS: A total of 117 patients (120 vessels) were included. The median PPG was 0.66 (IQR: 0.54-0.75). According to coronary computed tomography angiography analysis, plaque burden was higher in patients with focal CAD (87% ± 8% focal vs 82% ± 10% diffuse; P = 0.003). Calcifications were significantly more prevalent in patients with diffuse CAD (Agatston score per vessel: 51 [IQR: 11-204] focal vs 158 [IQR: 52-341] diffuse; P = 0.024). According to optical coherence tomography analysis, patients with focal CAD had a significantly higher prevalence of circumferential lipid-rich plaque (37% focal vs 4% diffuse; P = 0.001) and thin-cap fibroatheroma (TCFA) (47% focal vs 10% diffuse; P = 0.002). Focal disease defined by PPG predicted the presence of TCFA with an area under the curve of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.58-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: Atherosclerotic plaque phenotypes associate with intracoronary hemodynamics. Focal CAD had a higher plaque burden and was predominantly lipid-rich with a high prevalence of TCFA, whereas calcifications were more prevalent in diffuse CAD. (Precise Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Plan [P3]; NCT03782688).

Computed tomographic angiography in coronary artery disease.

Coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) is becoming the first-line investigation for establishing the presence of coronary artery disease and, with fractional flow reserve (FFRCT), its haemodynamic significance. In patients without significant epicardial obstruction, its role is either to rule out atherosclerosis or to detect subclinical plaque that should be monitored for plaque progression/regression following prevention therapy and provide risk classification. Ischaemic non-obstructive coronary arteries are also expected to be assessed by non-invasive imaging, including CCTA. In patients with significant epicardial obstruction, CCTA can assist in planning revascularisation by determining the disease complexity, vessel size, lesion length and tissue composition of the atherosclerotic plaque, as well as the best fluoroscopic viewing angle; it may also help in selecting adjunctive percutaneous devices (e.g., rotational atherectomy) and in determining the best landing zone for stents or bypass grafts.

Long-term prognostic implications of hemodynamic and plaque assessment using coronary CT angiography.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hemodynamic and plaque characteristics can be analyzed using coronary CT angiography (CTA). We aimed to explore long-term prognostic implications of hemodynamic and plaque characteristics using coronary CT angiography (CTA). METHODS: Invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR) and CTA-derived FFR (FFRCT) were undertaken for 136 lesions in 78 vessels and followed-up to 10 years until December 2020. FFRCT, wall shear stress (WSS), change in FFRCT across the lesion (ΔFFRCT), total plaque volume (TPV), percent atheroma volume (PAV), and low-attenuation plaque volume (LAPV) for target lesions [L] and vessels [V] were obtained by independent core laboratories. Their collective influence was evaluated for the clinical endpoints of target vessel failure (TVF) and target lesion failure (TLF). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, PAV[V] (per 10% increase, HR 2.32 [95% CI 1.11-4.86], p = 0.025), and FFRCT[V] (per 0.1 increase, HR 0.56 [95% CI 0.37-0.84], p = 0.006) were independent predictors of TVF for the per-vessel analysis, and WSS[L] (per 100 dyne/cm2 increase, HR 1.43 [1.09-1.88], p = 0.010), LAPV[L] (per 10 mm3 increase, HR 3.81 [1.16-12.5], p = 0.028), and ΔFFRCT[L] (per 0.1 increase, HR 1.39 [1.02-1.90], p = 0.040) were independent predictors of TLF for the per-lesion analysis after adjustment for clinical and lesion characteristics. The addition of both plaque and hemodynamic predictors improved the predictability for 10-year TVF and TLF of clinical and lesion characteristics (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Vessel- and lesion-level hemodynamic characteristics, and vessel-level plaque quantity, and lesion-level plaque compositional characteristics assessed by CTA offer independent and additive long-term prognostic value.

Successful Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Based Solely on Non-Invasive Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography.

An 81-year-old female presented with chronic coronary disease (Canadian Cardiovascular Society angina severity grading III). The patient underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) that revealed three-vessel coronary artery disease (3VD). This case illustrates that in a patient with 3VD, planning and execution of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) were successfully performed based solely on CCTA combined with fractional flow reserve derived from computed tomography angiography (FFRCT). Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) was planned and executed as follows: left internal mammary artery grafted to the left anterior descending artery (LAD), saphenous vein graft (SVG) to the right coronary artery (RCA), and SVG to the obtuse marginal artery (OM). Repeat imaging assessment with non-invasive CCTA and FFRCT at 30-day follow-up confirmed the safety of this approach. The FFRCT values of the RCA and LAD were normalized, whereas a borderline pressure drop was observed in the distal run-off of the OM (FFRCT=0.79). Notably, this is the first case in which post-CABG FFRCT assessment was performed. Post-CABG FFRCT is an investigational novel non-invasive tool for assessing the functional improvement of the epicardial conductance vessels following surgical revascularization.

Cardiac computed tomography-derived coronary artery volume to myocardial mass.

In the absence of disease impacting the coronary arteries or myocardium, there exists a linear relationship between vessel volume and myocardial mass to ensure balanced distribution of blood supply. This balance may be disturbed in diseases of either the coronary artery tree, the myocardium, or both. However, in contemporary evaluation the coronary artery anatomy and myocardium are assessed separately. Recently the coronary lumen volume to myocardial mass ratio (V/M), measured noninvasively using coronary computed tomography angiography (CTCA), has emerged as an integrated measure of myocardial blood supply and demand in vivo. This has the potential to yield new insights into diseases where this balance is altered, thus impacting clinical diagnoses and management. In this review, we outline the scientific methodology underpinning CTCA-derived measurement of V/M. We describe recent studies describing alterations in V/M across a range of cardiovascular conditions, including coronary artery disease, cardiomyopathies and coronary microvascular dysfunction. Lastly, we highlight areas of unmet research need and future directions, where V/M may further enhance our understanding of the pathophysiology of cardiovascular disease.

The 1968 Influenza Pandemic and COVID-19 Outcomes.

Past pandemic experience can affect health outcomes in future pandemics. This paper focuses on the last major influenza pandemic in 1968 (H3N2), which killed up to 100,000 people in the US. We find that places with high influenza mortality in 1968 experienced 1-4% lower COVID-19 death rates. Our identification strategy isolates variation in COVID-19 rates across people born before and after 1968. In places with high 1968 influenza incidence, older cohorts experience lower COVID-19 death rates relative to younger ones. The relationship holds using county and patient-level data, as well as in hospital and nursing home settings. Results do not appear to be driven by systemic or policy-related factors, instead suggesting an individual-level response to prior influenza pandemic exposure. The findings merit investigation into potential biological and immunological mechanisms that account for these differences-and their implications for future pandemic preparedness.

Association Among Local Hemodynamic Parameters Derived From CT Angiography and Their Comparable Implications in Development of Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Background: Association among local hemodynamic parameters and their implications in development of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) have not been fully investigated. Methods: A total of 216 lesions in ACS patients undergoing coronary CT angiography (CCTA) before 1-24 months from ACS event were analyzed. High-risk plaque on CCTA was defined as a plaque with ≥2 of low-attenuation plaque, positive remodeling, spotty calcification, and napkin-ring sign. With the use of computational fluid dynamics analysis, fractional flow reserve (FFR) derived from CCTA (FFRCT) and local hemodynamic parameters including wall shear stress (WSS), axial plaque stress (APS), pressure gradient (PG) across the lesion, and delta FFRCT across the lesion (ΔFFRCT) were obtained. The association among local hemodynamics and their discrimination ability for culprit lesions from non-culprit lesions were compared. Results: A total of 66 culprit lesions for later ACS and 150 non-culprit lesions were identified. WSS, APS, PG, and ΔFFRCT were strongly correlated with each other (all p < 0.001). This association was persistent in all lesion subtypes according to a vessel, lesion location, anatomical severity, high-risk plaque, or FFRCT ≤ 0.80. In discrimination of culprit lesions causing ACS from non-culprit lesions, WSS, PG, APS, and ΔFFRCT were independent predictors after adjustment for lesion characteristics, high-risk plaque, and FFRCT ≤ 0.80; and all local hemodynamic parameters significantly improved the predictive value for culprit lesions of high-risk plaque and FFRCT ≤ 0.80 (all p < 0.05). The risk prediction model for culprit lesions with FFRCT ≤ 0.80, high-risk plaque, and ΔFFRCT had a similar or superior discrimination ability to that with FFRCT ≤ 0.80, high-risk plaque, and WSS, APS, or PG; and the addition of WSS, APS, or PG into ΔFFRCT did not improve the model performance. Conclusions: Local hemodynamic indices were significantly intercorrelated, and all indices similarly provided additive and independent predictive values for ACS risk over high-risk plaque and impaired FFRCT.

Diagnostic value of comprehensive on-site and off-site coronary CT angiography for identifying hemodynamically obstructive coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of comprehensive on-site coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) using stenosis and plaque measures and subtended myocardial mass (Vsub) for fractional flow reserve (FFR) defined hemodynamically obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). Additionally, the incremental diagnostic value of off-site CT-derived FFR (FFRCT) was assessed. METHODS: Prospectively enrolled patients underwent CCTA followed by invasive FFR interrogation of all major coronary arteries. Vessels with ≥30% stenosis were included for analysis. On-site CCTA assessment included qualitative and quantitative stenosis (visual grading and minimal lumen area, MLA) and plaque measures (characteristics and volumes), and Vsub. Diagnostic value of comprehensive on-site CCTA assessment was tested by comparing area under the curves (AUC). In vessels with available FFRCT, the incremental value of off-site FFRCT was tested. RESULTS: In 236 vessels (132 patients), MLA, positive remodeling, non-calcified plaque volume, and Vsub were independent on-site CCTA predictors for hemodynamically obstructive CAD (p < 0.05 for all). Vsub/MLA2 outperformed all these on-site CCTA parameters (AUC = 0.85) and Vsub was incremental to all other CCTA predictors (p = 0.02). In subgroup analysis (n = 194 vessels), diagnostic performance of FFRCT and Vsub/MLA2 was similar (AUC 0.89 and 0.85 respectively, p = 0.25). Furthermore, diagnostic performance significantly albeit minimally increased when FFRCT was added to on-site CCTA assessment (ΔAUC = 0.03, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In comprehensive on-site CCTA assessment, Vsub/MLA2 demonstrated greatest diagnostic value for hemodynamically obstructive CAD and Vsub was incremental to all evaluated CCTA indices. Additionally, adding FFRCT only minimally increased diagnostic performance, demonstrating that on-site CCTA assessment is a reasonable alternative to FFRCT.

Non-invasive procedural planning using computed tomography-derived fractional flow reserve.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the performance of computed tomography derived fractional flow reserve based interactive planner (FFRCT planner) to predict the physiological benefits of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) as defined by invasive post-PCI FFR. BACKGROUND: Advances in FFRCT technology have enabled the simulation of hyperemic pressure changes after virtual removal of stenoses. METHODS: In 56 patients (63 vessels) invasive FFR measurements before and after PCI were obtained and FFRCT was calculated using pre-PCI coronary CT angiography. Subsequently, FFRCT and invasive coronary angiography models were aligned allowing virtual removal of coronary stenoses on pre-PCI FFRCT models in the same locations as PCI was performed. Relationships between invasive FFR and FFRCT , between post-PCI FFR and FFRCT planner, and between delta FFR and delta FFRCT were evaluated. RESULTS: Pre PCI, invasive FFR was 0.65 ± 0.12 and FFRCT was 0.64 ± 0.13 (p = .34) with a mean difference of 0.015 (95% CI: -0.23-0.26). Post-PCI invasive FFR was 0.89 ± 0.07 and FFRCT planner was 0.85 ± 0.07 (p < .001) with a mean difference of 0.040 (95% CI: -0.10-0.18). Delta invasive FFR and delta FFRCT were 0.23 ± 0.12 and 0.21 ± 0.12 (p = .09) with a mean difference of 0.025 (95% CI: -0.20-0.25). Significant correlations were found between pre-PCI FFR and FFRCT (r = 0.53, p < .001), between post-PCI FFR and FFRCT planner (r = 0.41, p = .001), and between delta FFR and delta FFRCT (r = 0.57, p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The non-invasive FFRCT planner tool demonstrated significant albeit modest agreement with post-PCI FFR and change in FFR values after PCI. The FFRCT planner tool may hold promise for PCI procedural planning; however, improvement in technology is warranted before clinical application.

Myocardial Perfusion Simulation for Coronary Artery Disease: A Coupled Patient-Specific Multiscale Model.

Patient-specific models of blood flow are being used clinically to diagnose and plan treatment for coronary artery disease. A remaining challenge is bridging scales from flow in arteries to the micro-circulation supplying the myocardium. Previously proposed models are descriptive rather than predictive and have not been applied to human data. The goal here is to develop a multiscale patient-specific model enabling blood flow simulation from large coronary arteries to myocardial tissue. Patient vasculatures are segmented from coronary computed tomography angiography data and extended from the image-based model down to the arteriole level using a space-filling forest of synthetic trees. Blood flow is modeled by coupling a 1D model of the coronary arteries to a single-compartment Darcy myocardium model. Simulated results on five patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease compare overall well to [[Formula: see text]O][Formula: see text]O PET exam data for both resting and hyperemic conditions. Results on a patient with severe obstructive disease link coronary artery narrowing with impaired myocardial blood flow, demonstrating the model's ability to predict myocardial regions with perfusion deficit. This is the first report of a computational model for simulating blood flow from the epicardial coronary arteries to the left ventricle myocardium applied to and validated on human data.

Livestock plants and COVID-19 transmission.

Policy responses to the COVID-19 outbreak must strike a balance between maintaining essential supply chains and limiting the spread of the virus. Our results indicate a strong positive relationship between livestock-processing plants and local community transmission of COVID-19, suggesting that these plants may act as transmission vectors into the surrounding population and accelerate the spread of the virus beyond what would be predicted solely by population risk characteristics. We estimate the total excess COVID-19 cases and deaths associated with proximity to livestock plants to be 236,000 to 310,000 (6 to 8% of all US cases) and 4,300 to 5,200 (3 to 4% of all US deaths), respectively, as of July 21, 2020, with the vast majority likely related to community spread outside these plants. The association is found primarily among large processing facilities and large meatpacking companies. In addition, we find evidence that plant closures attenuated county-wide cases and that plants that received permission from the US Department of Agriculture to increase their production-line speeds saw more county-wide cases. Ensuring both public health and robust essential supply chains may require an increase in meatpacking oversight and potentially a shift toward more decentralized, smaller-scale meat production.

Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography From Clinical Uses to Emerging Technologies: JACC State-of-the-Art Review.

Evaluation of coronary artery disease (CAD) using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) has seen a paradigm shift in the last decade. Evidence increasingly supports the clinical utility of CCTA across various stages of CAD, from the detection of early subclinical disease to the assessment of acute chest pain. Additionally, CCTA can be used to noninvasively quantify plaque burden and identify high-risk plaque, aiding in diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment. This is especially important in the evaluation of CAD in immune-driven conditions with increased cardiovascular disease prevalence. Emerging applications of CCTA based on hemodynamic indices and plaque characterization may provide personalized risk assessment, affect disease detection, and further guide therapy. This review provides an update on the evidence, clinical applications, and emerging technologies surrounding CCTA as highlighted at the 2019 National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute CCTA Summit.

Differences in coronary vasodilatory capacity and atherosclerosis in endurance athletes using coronary CTA and computational fluid dynamics (CFD): Comparison with a sedentary lifestyle.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to assess the effect of endurance exercise on coronary vasodilatory capacity and atherosclerosis by coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) and computational fluid dynamic (CFD) modelling. METHODS: 100 subjects (age 56.2y±11, 29 females) who underwent coronary CTA were included into this retrospectively matched cohort study. Endurance athletes (≥1 h per unit and ≥3 times per week training) were compared to controls with a sedentary lifestyle, and within subgroups with and without sublingual nitroglycerin preparation. CTA image analysis included coronary stenosis severity (CADRADS), total (segment involvement score = SIS) and mixed plaque burden (G-score), high-risk plaque criteria, the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) and CFD analysis including Fractional Flow Reserve (FFRCT), myocardial mass (M), total vessel lumen volume (V) and volume-to-mass (V/M) ratio. RESULTS: The prevalence of atherosclerosis by CTA was 65.4 % and >50 % coronary stenosis was found in 17.3 % of athletes. Coronary stenosis severity (CADRADS), total and mixed non-calcified plaque burden (SIS and G-score) were lower in athletes (p = 0.003 and p < 0.001) but not CACS (p = 0.055) and less high-risk plaques were found (p < 0.001). The G-score was correlated with distal FFRCT (p = 0.025). V/M-ratio was different between athletes who received nitroglycerin compared with those who did not (V/M: 21.1 vs. 14.8; p < 0.001), but these differences were not observed in the control subjects. CONCLUSION: Endurance training improves coronary vasodilatory capacity and reduces high-risk plaque and mixed non-calcifed plaque burden as assessed by coronary CTA angiography. Our study may advocate coronary CTA with FFRCT for evaluation of coronary artery disease in endurance athletes.

Coerced resilience in fire management.

Mechanisms underlying the loss of ecological resilience and a shift to an alternate regime with lower ecosystem service provisioning continues to be a leading debate in ecology, particularly in cases where evidence points to human actions and decision-making as the primary drivers of resilience loss and regime change. In this paper, we introduce the concept of coerced resilience as a way to explore the interplay among social power, ecological resilience, and fire management, and to better understand the unintended and undesired regime changes that often surprise ecosystem managers and governing officials. Philosophically, coercion is the opposite of freedom, and uses influence or force to gain compliance among local actors. The coercive force imposed by societal laws and policies can either enhance or reduce the potential to manage for essential structures and functions of ecological systems and, therefore, can greatly alter resilience. Using a classical fire-dependent regime shift from North America (tallgrass prairie to juniper woodland), and given that coercion is widespread in fire management today, we quantify relative differences in resilience that emerge in a policy-coerced fire system compared to a theoretical, policy-free fire system. Social coercion caused large departures in the fire conditions associated with alternative grassland and juniper woodland states, and the potential for a grassland state to emerge to dominance became increasingly untenable with fire as juniper cover increased. In contrast, both a treeless, grassland regime and a co-dominated grass-tree regime emerged across a wide range of fire conditions in the absence of policy controls. The severe coercive forcing present in fire management in the Great Plains, and corresponding erosion of grassland resilience, points to the need for transformative environmental governance and the rethinking of social power structures in modern fire policies.

Relevance of anatomical, plaque, and hemodynamic characteristics of non-obstructive coronary lesions in the prediction of risk for acute coronary syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: We explored the anatomical, plaque, and hemodynamic characteristics of high-risk non-obstructive coronary lesions that caused acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: From the EMERALD study which included ACS patients with available coronary CT angiography (CCTA) before the ACS, non-obstructive lesions (percent diameter stenosis < 50%) were selected. CCTA images were analyzed for lesion characteristics by independent CCTA and computational fluid dynamics core laboratories. The relative importance of each characteristic was assessed by information gain. RESULTS: Of the 132 lesions, 24 were the culprit for ACS. The culprit lesions showed a larger change in FFRCT across the lesion (ΔFFRCT) than non-culprit lesions (0.08 ± 0.07 vs 0.05 ± 0.05, p = 0.012). ΔFFRCT showed the highest information gain (0.051, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.050-0.052), followed by low-attenuation plaque (0.028, 95% CI 0.027-0.029) and plaque volume (0.023, 95% CI 0.022-0.024). Lesions with higher ΔFFRCT or low-attenuation plaque showed an increased risk of ACS (hazard ratio [HR] 3.25, 95% CI 1.31-8.04, p = 0.010 for ΔFFRCT; HR 2.60, 95% CI 1.36-4.95, p = 0.004 for low-attenuation plaque). The prediction model including ΔFFRCT, low-attenuation plaque and plaque volume showed the highest ability in ACS prediction (AUC 0.725, 95% CI 0.724-0.727). CONCLUSION: Non-obstructive lesions with higher ΔFFRCT or low-attenuation plaque showed a higher risk of ACS. The integration of anatomical, plaque, and hemodynamic characteristics can improve the noninvasive prediction of ACS risk in non-obstructive lesions. KEY POINTS: • Change in FFR CT across the lesion (ΔFFR CT ) was the most important predictor of ACS risk in non-obstructive lesions. • Non-obstructive lesions with higher ΔFFR CT or low-attenuation plaque were associated with a higher risk of ACS. • The integration of anatomical, plaque, and hemodynamic characteristics can improve the noninvasive prediction of ACS risk.