ABSTRACT
We conducted a targeted literature review to understand the determinants of meningococcal serogroups A, C, W, and Y (MenACWY) and meningococcal serogroup B (MenB) vaccination coverage and adherence to vaccination schedules in the USA, and to identify evidence to support improvement of MenACWY and MenB vaccination coverage and adherence in older adolescents. Sources published since 2011 were considered, with sources published since 2015 given preference. Out of 2355 citations screened, 47 (46 studies) were selected for inclusion. Determinants of coverage and adherence ranging from patient-level sociodemographic factors to policy-level factors were identified. Four determinants identified were associated with improved coverage and adherence: (1) well-child, preventive, or vaccination-only appointments (particularly for older adolescents); (2) provider-initiated, provider-driven vaccine recommendations; (3) provider education about meningococcal disease and vaccine recommendations; and (4) state-level school-entry immunization policies. This robust review of the literature sheds light on the continued low MenACWY and MenB vaccination coverage and adherence among older adolescents (16-23 years of age) compared with that of younger adolescents (11-15 years of age) in the USA. The evidence supports a renewed call to action by local and national health authorities and medical organizations urging healthcare professionals to implement a healthcare visit for 16-year-olds and focus on vaccination as a key component of the visit.
Certain meningococcal vaccines are recommended for young people (ages 1123) in the USA at specific ages. We analyzed scientific studies to understand how many young people in the USA have received meningococcal vaccines and whether they received them at the recommended ages. We found that a low proportion of young people age 16 or older have received appropriate meningococcal vaccination, compared with those under age 16. We looked at reasons why this might be the case and identified actions that could be taken to increase the proportion of young people age 16 or older who receive appropriate meningococcal vaccination. Overall, the information found confirms the importance of encouraging healthcare professionals to establish routine appointments with 16-year-olds, during which they can administer recommended, age-appropriate vaccines.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: The clinical impact of rapid sample-to-answer "syndromic" multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing for respiratory viruses is not clearly established. We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to evaluate this impact for patients with possible acute respiratory tract infection in the hospital setting. METHODS: We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE, and Cochrane databases from 2012 to present and conference proceedings from 2021 for studies comparing clinical impact outcomes between multiplex PCR testing and standard testing. RESULTS: Twenty-seven studies with 17,321 patient encounters were included in this review. Rapid multiplex PCR testing was associated with a reduction of - 24.22 h (95% CI -28.70 to -19.74 h) in the time to results. Hospital length of stay was decreased by -0.82 days (95% CI -1.52 to -0.11 days). Among influenza positive patients, antivirals were more likely to be given (RR 1.25, 95% CI 1.06-1.48) and appropriate infection control facility use was more common with rapid multiplex PCR testing (RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.16-2.07). CONCLUSIONS: Our systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrates a reduction in time to results and length of stay for patients overall along with improvements in appropriate antiviral and infection control management among influenza-positive patients. This evidence supports the routine use of rapid sample-to-answer multiplex PCR testing for respiratory viruses in the hospital setting.
Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Respiratory Tract Infections , Viruses , Humans , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Multiplex Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Viruses/genetics , Respiratory Tract Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic useABSTRACT
Severe pneumonitis (≥ grade 3 by Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events [CTCAE]) is a toxicity associated with concurrent chemoradiation therapy (CCRT), which is the standard first-line treatment for patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC). We summarize and quantify the risk of pneumonitis in LS-SCLC patients receiving first-line CCRT. A systematic literature review (SLR) and meta-analysis were performed in accordance with Cochrane and PRISMA guidelines. Electronic databases were searched to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs), observational studies, and non-randomized trials between 2014 to July 16, 2020. The primary outcome was incidence of pneumonitis. Thirteen studies were included in the SLR and 1539 pooled patients from 10 studies were included in the base-case meta-analysis. The pooled incidence of ≥ grade 3 pneumonitis was 3.28% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.52%-5.04%) in RCTs, and 6.34% (95% CI: 3.64%-9.04%) in non-RCTs. The pooled incidence risk of grade 5 (fatal) pneumonitis was 0.29% (95% CI: 0.00%-0.62%) in RCTs and 0.88% (95% CI: 0.02%-1.74%) in non-RCT. Results from sensitivity analyses were consistent with the base-case analysis. The results from this analysis show that the incidence of ≥ grade 3 pneumonitis in patients with LS-SCLC was 3.28% to 6.34%. The incidence of pneumonitis was higher in studies conducted in non-RCTs compared to RCTs. These results can be used to understand the safety, with regard to pneumonitis, of novel therapeutic agents when administered with CCRT to treat patients with LS-SCLC. To summarize and quantify the risk of pneumonitis in LS-SCLC patients receiving first-line CCRT, a systematic literature review (SLR) and meta-analysis were performed in accordance with Cochrane and PRISMA guidelines.
Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Pneumonia , Small Cell Lung Carcinoma , Humans , Chemoradiotherapy/adverse effects , Chemoradiotherapy/methods , Incidence , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Lung Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Pneumonia/epidemiology , Pneumonia/etiology , Pneumonia/drug therapy , Small Cell Lung Carcinoma/drug therapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Arginase 1 Deficiency (ARG1-D) is a rare, progressive, metabolic disorder that is characterized by devastating manifestations driven by elevated plasma arginine levels. It typically presents in early childhood with spasticity (predominately affecting the lower limbs), mobility impairment, seizures, developmental delay, and intellectual disability. This systematic review aims to identify and describe the published evidence outlining the epidemiology, diagnosis methods, measures of disease progression, clinical management, and outcomes for ARG1-D patients. METHODS: A comprehensive literature search across multiple databases such as MEDLINE, Embase, and a review of clinical studies in ClinicalTrials.gov (with results reported) was carried out per PRISMA guidelines on 20 April 2020 with no date restriction. Pre-defined eligibility criteria were used to identify studies with data specific to patients with ARG1-D. Two independent reviewers screened records and extracted data from included studies. Quality was assessed using the modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for non-comparative studies. RESULTS: Overall, 55 records reporting 40 completed studies and 3 ongoing studies were included. Ten studies reported the prevalence of ARG1-D in the general population, with a median of 1 in 1,000,000. Frequently reported diagnostic methods included genetic testing, plasma arginine levels, and red blood cell arginase activity. However, routine newborn screening is not universally available, and lack of disease awareness may prevent early diagnosis or lead to misdiagnosis, as the disease has overlapping symptomology with other diseases, such as cerebral palsy. Common manifestations reported at time of diagnosis and assessed for disease progression included spasticity (predominately affecting the lower limbs), mobility impairment, developmental delay, intellectual disability, and seizures. Severe dietary protein restriction, essential amino acid supplementation, and nitrogen scavenger administration were the most commonly reported treatments among patients with ARG1-D. Only a few studies reported meaningful clinical outcomes of these interventions on intellectual disability, motor function and adaptive behavior assessment, hospitalization, or death. The overall quality of included studies was assessed as good according to the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. CONCLUSIONS: Although ARG1-D is a rare disease, published evidence demonstrates a high burden of disease for patients. The current standard of care is ineffective at preventing disease progression. There remains a clear need for new treatment options as well as improved access to diagnostics and disease awareness to detect and initiate treatment before the onset of clinical manifestations to potentially enable more normal development, improve symptomatology, or prevent disease progression.
Subject(s)
Hyperargininemia , Intellectual Disability , Infant, Newborn , Humans , Child, Preschool , Arginase/genetics , Hyperargininemia/diagnosis , Hyperargininemia/epidemiology , Hyperargininemia/genetics , Seizures/diagnosis , Seizures/epidemiology , Seizures/etiology , Muscle Spasticity/diagnosis , Muscle Spasticity/epidemiology , Muscle Spasticity/genetics , Arginine/therapeutic use , Amino Acids, Essential , Disease Progression , NitrogenABSTRACT
Background: Arginase 1 deficiency (ARG1-D) is a rare, progressive and debilitating urea cycle disorder characterized by clinical manifestations including spasticity, seizures, developmental delay, and intellectual disability. The aim of this systematic review was to identify and summarize the natural history of ARG1-D and the unmet needs of patients. Methods: A comprehensive search of published case reports was undertaken to identify patients with ARG1-D regardless of interventions, comparisons, or outcomes. MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and other evidence-based medicine literature databases were searched on 20 April 2020. Quality was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Critical Appraisal Checklist. (PROSPERO registration: CRD42020212142.). Results: One hundred and fifty seven ARG1-D patients were included from 111 publications (good overall quality based on JBI's Checklist); 84 (53.5%) were males. Motor deficits (including spasticity), intellectual disability, and seizures were reported in >50% of the cases. Mean age (SD) at diagnosis was 6.4 years and the laboratory findings most commonly reported to support diagnosis included elevated plasma arginine (81.5%), mutation in ARG1 gene through genetic testing (60%), and absence/reduction of red blood cell arginase activity (51%). Reported management approaches mainly included dietary protein restriction (68%), nitrogen scavengers (45%), and essential amino acid supplements (21%). Author-reported clinical improvement was documented for 26% of patients, 15% deteriorated, and 19% had limited or no change; notably, no indication of clinical outcome was reported for 40% cases. Conclusion: This review illustrates a significant burden of disease and highlights a considerable unmet need for clinically effective treatment options for patients with ARG1-D.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: High-grade pneumonitis is a severe and potentially life-threatening adverse event associated with concurrent chemoradiation (cCRT) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The aim of this study was to summarize and quantify the incidence of severe (grade 3-5) cCRT-induced pneumonitis in unresectable stage III NSCLC patients. METHODS: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis were performed in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. Published literature was searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs), observational studies, and non-randomized trials from 2014 to April 2020. The primary outcome of interest was incidence of grade 3-5 pneumonitis. RESULTS: Included were 17 studies for the review and 11 for the meta-analysis (1,788 participants); all studies examined radiation-related pneumonitis (RP). The pooled incidence of cCRT-induced grade 3-5 RP in unresectable stage III NSCLC patients was estimated to be 3.62% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.65-6.21] in RCTs, 5.98% [95% CI: 2.26-12.91] in observational studies, and 7.85% [95% CI: 4.08-13.10] in observational studies using platinum-based doublet chemotherapies. CONCLUSION: These results suggest the incidence of severe and fatal RP in patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC treated with cCRT ranges from 3.62% to 7.85%, with incidence varying by study design and chemotherapy regimen. Estimates of RP incidence were higher in the real-world setting compared to RCTs. These results can be used to contextualize the baseline risk of cCRT-induced pneumonitis in unresectable stage III NSCLC to better understand the adverse event of pneumonitis associated with novel immunotherapy treatments indicated for concomitant use with this modality.
Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Pneumonia , Radiation Pneumonitis , Humans , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/therapy , Lung Neoplasms/therapy , Chemoradiotherapy/adverse effects , Chemoradiotherapy/methods , Radiation Pneumonitis/diagnosis , Radiation Pneumonitis/epidemiology , Radiation Pneumonitis/etiology , Pneumonia/etiology , Pneumonia/chemically inducedABSTRACT
Aim: To determine the suitability of network meta-analysis (NMA) using antibacterial treatment evidence in complicated urinary tract infection. Materials & methods: We conducted a systematic literature review to identify published clinical trial data for complicated urinary tract infection treatments. We performed a feasibility assessment to determine whether the available evidence would support the creation of a robust NMA, considering key assumptions of homogeneity, similarity and consistency. Results: Twenty-five trials met eligibility criteria. Risk of bias was low, and individual studies met their primary end point(s). Assumptions central to the conduct of a robust NMA were not met. Heterogeneity was ubiquitous, including baseline pathogen, treatment and patient characteristics. Conclusion: Limited and heterogeneous data identified make the use of NMA to compare novel antibacterial agents impractical and likely unreliable.
Subject(s)
Urinary Tract Infections , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Humans , Network Meta-Analysis , Urinary Tract Infections/drug therapyABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this research were to: 1) understand perspectives on affordability of pharmaceutical drugs from the point of view of stakeholders as reported in published peer-reviewed journals and conferences; 2) evaluate if (and how) perspectives on affordability overlapped across stakeholders. METHODS: The systematic literature review followed Cochrane and PRISMA guidelines. Content analysis with iterative and systematic coding of text was conducted, to identify themes. RESULTS: A total of 7,372 unique citations were eligible, and 126 articles included for final synthesis. For patients, 6 core themes emerged: financial barriers, adherence, access, patient-provider communication, financial distress, and factors that impact affordability. For payers, 5 core themes: financing schemes, cost-effectiveness, budget impact, private vs. public preferences, and ethics. For providers, 3 themes: patient-provider communication, physician prescribing behavior, and finding alternatives to support patient access. For policymakers, 2 themes: measuring affordability and the role of government. Limited articles representing the manufacturer perspective were identified. Perspectives of decision makers (payers, policymakers) did not overlap with those affected by affordability (patients, providers). CONCLUSIONS: This research highlights the multi-dimensionality of drug "affordability." Multiple factors beyond cost influence patient affordability implying interventions can help alleviate affordability issues for some patients. The lack of overlap highlights potential hazards that decisions related to out-of-pocket spending, insurance coverage, reimbursement, and rationing occur without explicitly considering patient and provider perspectives.
Subject(s)
Drug Costs , Prescription Drugs , Budgets , Communication , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Health Expenditures , Humans , Prescription Drugs/economicsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: While clinical trial evidence has firmly established the efficacy of several atypical antipsychotics (AAPs) for treating bipolar depression, no randomized controlled trials (RCT's) comparing AAPs have been conducted. This Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) compared the relative efficacy and tolerability of AAP monotherapy in adults with bipolar depression. METHODS: Efficacy measures included change in Montgomery Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS), Clinical Global Improvement - Bipolar Disorder (CGI-BP), response, and remission. Multiple tolerability outcomes were examined. Results from random effects models were reported as difference in change from baseline for continuous variables or odds ratios for dichotomous variables. Treatments were ranked using the surface under the curve cumulative ranking probabilities. Number needed to treat (NNT) and harm (NNH) were calculated. RESULTS: Eighteen RCT's met inclusion criteria of the systematic literature review. On change in MADRS, lurasidone (- 4.71 [95% Crl - 6.98, - 2.41]), quetiapine (- 4.80 [- 5.93, - 3.72]), olanzapine (- 4.57 [- 5.92, - 3.20]), and cariprazine (- 2.29 [- 3.47, - 1.09]) were more efficacious than placebo. Lurasidone was associated with a significantly greater odds of response (≥50% improvement in MADRS) compared to cariprazine (1.78 [95% Crl 1.08, 2.77]), aripiprazole (2.38 [1.38, 3.85]), and ziprasidone (2.47 [1.41, 3.98]), but was similar to olanzapine (1.68 [0.99,2.65]) and quetiapine (1.25 [0.78, 1.90]). For change in CGI-BP-S-overall score, lurasidone was significantly better than cariprazine (- 0.38 [95% Crl - 0.66,-0.10]) and ziprasidone (- 0.58 [- 0.91,-0.26]), but similar to quetiapine (- 0.08 [- 0.36, 0.19])and olanzapine (- 0.04 [- 1.41, 1.46]). Lurasidone (0.34 kg [95% Crl - 0.22, 0.89]) and aripiprazole (0.20 kg [- 0.59, 1.00]) had a similar weight change compared to placebo, but olanzapine (2.88 kg [2.40, 3.36]), quetiapine (1.17 kg [0.84, 1.49]), and cariprazine (0.65 kg [0.34, 0.96]) were associated with greater weight gain. The NNT for response was the lowest for lurasidone (NNT = 5) followed by quetiapine (NNT = 6), olanzapine (NNT = 10) and cariprazine (NNT = 12). CONCLUSIONS: In this NMA in adults with bipolar depression, which evaluated change in depressive symptoms (assessed by MADRS) across short-term trials, the largest improvement versus placebo was observed for lurasidone, olanzapine and quetiapine with cariprazine, showing a smaller treatment effect. Aripiprazole and ziprasidone were ineffective for the treatment of bipolar depression. Improvement in CGI-BP-S score for lurasidone was larger than cariprazine and ziprasidone but similar to quetiapine and olanzapine. Based on short term studies lurasidone and aripiprazole had similar weight gain compared to placebo.
Subject(s)
Antipsychotic Agents , Bipolar Disorder , Adult , Antipsychotic Agents/adverse effects , Bayes Theorem , Bipolar Disorder/drug therapy , Depression , Humans , Network Meta-Analysis , Quetiapine Fumarate/adverse effects , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The objective of this study was to evaluate the relative efficacy of targeted immune modulators (TIMs) in TIM-naïve/mixed populations (≤ 20% TIM-experienced) and TIM-experienced (> 20% TIM-experienced) adults with moderate-to-severe rheumatoid arthritis with an inadequate response to or intolerance of conventional disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (cDMARDs). METHODS: A fixed-effects Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed using published study-level data from 41 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) identified from two recent systematic literature reviews conducted by the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review, and two additional phase III trials for filgotinib (FINCH-1, FINCH-2). RCTs that compared TIMs with each other, cDMARD therapy, or placebo were included. Treatments included Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors, tumor necrosis factor α inhibitors (TNFi), and other non-TNFi therapies. Efficacy was defined as achieving remission with a DAS28 score < 2.6 at 12 and 24 weeks. RESULTS: In the 12-week analysis for the TIM-naïve/mixed population, all TIMs combined with cDMARD therapy were significantly more likely to achieve remission compared with a cDMARD alone, with intravenous tocilizumab showing a substantially greater magnitude of effect (odds ratio 19.36; 95% credible interval 11.01-38.16). Similarly, in the 24-week analysis, intravenous and subcutaneous tocilizumab showed the highest odds ratio of achieving DAS28 remission compared with cDMARD therapy. Similar trends were observed for the analyses on monotherapy or TIM-experienced population. CONCLUSIONS: This NMA demonstrated that tocilizumab is associated with a greater likelihood of remission (DAS28 < 2.6) at 12 and 24 weeks compared with most other TIMs, including new JAK inhibitors, when used in combination with a cDMARD or as monotherapy among TIM-naïve/mixed or TIM-experienced populations.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Current guidelines recommend adding an oral antihyperglycemic agent (AHA) to metformin in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) uncontrolled on metformin. Recent randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that adding dual AHAs instead of a single AHA provided more effective glycemic control. However, the comparative efficacy of approved single and dual initiation strategies is unknown. Therefore, we conducted a Bayesian network meta-analysis to compare the efficacy of dual and single add-on oral AHAs in patients uncontrolled on metformin. METHODS: A systematic literature review of RCTs was conducted following Cochrane and ISPOR guidelines. MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL were searched from inception to November 19, 2019. Approved oral doses of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists in single or dual initiation therapies were indirectly compared. Outcomes focused on efficacy and included mean change from baseline in hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), weight, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure, and achieving HbA1c target < 7% at 24-26 weeks. Fixed and random effects models with Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations were used. RESULTS: Of 1955 unique records screened, 25 RCTs (14,264 participants) were included. In patients uncontrolled on metformin, dual AHA added to metformin had statistically significant or a trend of greater reduction in HbA1c compared to single AHAs, with ertugliflozin + sitagliptin showing the greatest improvement. Statistically significant reductions in weight and SBP were observed with ertugliflozin + sitagliptin, ertugliflozin, or canagliflozin compared to single initiation DPP-4 inhibitors. CONCLUSION: For reduction of HbA1c, weight, and SBP in patients uncontrolled on metformin, add-on dual AHAs showed greater improvement compared to single AHAs. These findings can further inform the treatment of T2DM patients uncontrolled on metformin.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: Neuromuscular blocking agents (NMBAs) have revolutionized the field of anesthesiology as they facilitate airway management and ensure optimal surgical conditions. Despite their beneficial and ubiquitous use during surgery, delayed or partial recovery from NMBAs, referred to as residual neuromuscular block (rNMB), is a common clinical problem. While it is well accepted that the antagonist sugammadex, compared to neostigmine, can more rapidly reverse rocuronium-induced NMB regardless of depth of block, the occurrence of rNMB for routinely used combinations of NMBAs with sugammadex or neostigmine has not yet been quantified or evaluated systematically. REVIEW METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to quantify and compare the incidence of rNMB [defined as train-of-four ratio (TOFR) <0.9] in patients with moderate and deep neuromuscular block. Methods recommended by Cochrane Collaboration and PRISMA group were followed. RESULTS: A total of 35 RCTs were identified, of which 20 contributed to the meta-analysis. For moderate block, rNMB incidence at 2 min after sugammadex administration was 19.2% (95% CI 0.0-57.8; 122 patients) and declined to 2.8% (95% CI 0.0-16.7; 93 patients) at 6 min post administration. For timepoints 10 to 60 min after administration, rNMB incidence ranged between 0.05% to 2.8%. In contrast, rNMB incidence at 2 min after neostigmine administration was 100% (95% CI 89.9-100; 182 patients) and was 82% (95% CI 71.4-91.2; 93 patients) at 6 min post administration. For timepoints 10 to 60 min after administration, rNMB incidence ranged between 14 and 32%. For deep block, rNMB incidence following sugammadex was essentially reduced to 1% at 15 min after administration. Residual NMB incidence following neostigmine remained at or above 95% for the first 60 min after administration. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, based on evidence from 20 RCTs, our results suggest that the combination of rocuronium or vecuronium plus sugammadex is more effective and more rapid in reversing NMB compared with combinations of rocuronium, vecuronium, cisatracurium, or pancuronium plus neostigmine.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: There are too many plausible permutations and scale-up scenarios of combination hepatitis C virus (HCV) interventions for exhaustive testing in experimental trials. Therefore, we used a computer simulation to project the health and economic impacts of alternative combination intervention scenarios for people who inject drugs (PWID), focusing on direct antiviral agents (DAA) and medication-assisted treatment combined with syringe access programs (MAT+). METHODS: We performed an allocative efficiency study, using a mathematical model to simulate the progression of HCV in PWID and its related consequences. We combined 2 previously validated simulations to estimate the cost-effectiveness of intervention strategies that included a range of coverage levels. Analyses were performed from a health-sector and societal perspective, with a 15-year time horizon and a discount rate of 3%. RESULTS: From a health-sector perspective (excluding criminal justice system-related costs), 4 potential strategies fell on the cost-efficiency frontier. At 20% coverage, DAAs had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $27 251/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Combinations of DAA at 20% with MAT+ at 20%, 40%, and 80% coverage had ICERs of $165 985/QALY, $325 860/QALY, and $399 189/QALY, respectively. When analyzed from a societal perspective (including criminal justice system-related costs), DAA at 20% with MAT+ at 80% was the most effective intervention and was cost saving. While DAA at 20% with MAT+ at 80% was more expensive (eg, less cost saving) than MAT+ at 80% alone without DAA, it offered a favorable value compared to MAT+ at 80% alone ($23 932/QALY). CONCLUSIONS: When considering health-sector costs alone, DAA alone was the most cost-effective intervention. However, with criminal justice system-related costs, DAA and MAT+ implemented together became the most cost-effective intervention.
Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , Hepatitis C, Chronic , Hepatitis C , Opioid-Related Disorders , Pharmaceutical Preparations , Substance Abuse, Intravenous , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Computer Simulation , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Humans , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/complications , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/drug therapy , SyringesABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Hepatocelluar cancer (HCC) is the leading cause of death among people with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis. Our aim was to determine the optimal surveillance frequency for patients with HCV-related compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: We developed a decision analytic Markov model and validated it against data from the Veterans Outcomes and Costs Associated with Liver Disease (VOCAL) study group and published epidemiologic studies. Four strategies of different surveillance intervals were compared: no surveillance and ultrasound surveillance every 12, 6, and 3 months. We estimated lifetime survival, life expectancy, quality adjusted life years (QALY), total costs associated with each strategy, and incremental cost effectiveness ratios. We applied a willingness to pay threshold of $100,000. Analysis was conducted for two scenarios: a scenario reflecting current HCV and HCC surveillance compliance rates and treatment use and an aspirational scenario. RESULTS: In the current scenario the preferred strategy was 3-month surveillance with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $7,159/QALY. In the aspirational scenario, 6-month surveillance was preferred with an ICER of $82,807/QALY because treating more people with HCV led to a lower incidence of HCC. Sensitivity analyses suggested that surveillance every 12 months would suffice in the particular circumstance when patients are very likely to return regularly for testing and when appropriate HCV and HCC treatment is readily available. Compared with the current scenario, the aspirational scenario resulted in a 1.87 year gain in life expectancy for the cohort because of large reductions in decompensated cirrhosis and HCC incidence. CONCLUSIONS: HCC surveillance has good value for money for patients with HCV-related compensated cirrhosis. Investments to improve adherence to surveillance should be made when rates are suboptimal. Surveillance every 12 months will suffice when patients are very likely to return regularly for testing and when appropriate HCV and HCC treatment is readily available.
Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Life Expectancy , Liver Cirrhosis/drug therapy , Liver Neoplasms/economics , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Models, Biological , Aged , Disease Progression , Hepatitis C/complications , Humans , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Middle Aged , Reproducibility of ResultsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Gaucher disease type 1 (GD1) is a rare, genetic, lysosomal storage disease with no cure. Current treatment options include intravenous (IV) enzyme replacement therapy ([ERT]; imiglucerase, velaglucerase alfa, or taliglucerase alfa) or oral substrate reduction therapy ([SRT]; eliglustat or miglustat). The cost to U.S. payers of an IV-administered drug can vary depending on the site of care (i.e., home, outpatient clinic, or hospital setting). Treatment with oral eliglustat may present an opportunity for cost savings. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the budget impact from a U.S. payer perspective associated with transitioning patients receiving ERTs to the oral SRT eliglustat for the treatment of adults with GD1. METHODS: A budget impact model estimated the change in pharmaceutical and administration costs resulting from increasing the market share of eliglustat from 12% (current) to 44% (new). The market share for eliglustat was drawn equally from existing shares of imiglucerase (40%) and velaglucerase alfa (40%) and assumed to be static over the analysis period. ERT costs were adjusted to account for site of care-based markup and the proportion of patients receiving infusions in each site of care (home, infusion center, or hospital outpatient). Annual ERT costs were calculated assuming a biweekly dose of 47.4 U per kg, a 72-kg patient weight, and 24 infusions per year. The effect of key variables was tested in the sensitivity analyses. All costs are expressed in 2017 U.S. dollars. RESULTS: In a new plan with 5 million members and 25 GD1 treated patients, increased use of eliglustat resulted in an annual savings of $1,526,710 and a total savings of $4,580,130 (13.6%) over 3 years. The corresponding annual per member per month savings was $0.025. This is further illustrated in the sensitivity and scenario analyses where the use of eliglustat was cost saving in all cases. Shifting more patients receiving ERT in the hospital outpatient setting to eliglustat resulted in increased savings. CONCLUSIONS: Based on these analyses, increased use of eliglustat resulted in meaningful cost savings to a payer's overall budget. Cost savings are highest among patients switching from ERT administered in a hospital outpatient setting. The results suggest that cost savings are also likely achievable from initiating patients on oral eliglustat instead of infusion-based therapy from the outset of treatment. DISCLOSURES: This study was sponsored by Sanofi Genzyme. Evidera received funding from Sanofi Genzyme to conduct this study and prepare the manuscript. The sponsor collaborated on the study design, analysis, interpretation of results, and writing of the manuscript. Nalysnyk is an employee of and shareholder in Sanofi Genzyme. Ward, Cele, and Uyei are employees of Evidera, which provides consulting and other research services to biopharmaceutical companies. Sugarman was also an Evidera employee when the study was being conducted and the manuscript written. This study was presented as a poster at the Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy Nexus 2016, October 3-6, 2016; National City, MD, and at the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 22nd Annual International Meeting; May 20-24, 2017; Boston, MA.
Subject(s)
Budgets , Drug Costs , Enzyme Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Enzyme Inhibitors/economics , Gaucher Disease/drug therapy , Gaucher Disease/economics , Pyrrolidines/administration & dosage , Pyrrolidines/economics , Administration, Oral , Clinical Decision-Making , Cost Savings , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Decision Support Techniques , Drug Administration Schedule , Drug Substitution/economics , Enzyme Replacement Therapy/economics , Gaucher Disease/diagnosis , Gaucher Disease/epidemiology , Glucosylceramidase/administration & dosage , Glucosylceramidase/economics , Humans , Infusions, Intravenous , Models, Economic , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Unhealthy alcohol consumption exacerbates the HIV epidemic in East Africa. Potential benefits of new trials that test the effectiveness of alcohol interventions could not be evaluated by traditional sampling methods. Given the competition for health care resources in East Africa, this study aims to determine the optimal sample size given the opportunity cost of potentially re-allocating trial funds towards cost-effective alcohol treatments. METHODS: We used value of information methods to determine the optimal sample size by maximizing the expected net benefit of sampling for a hypothetical 2-arm intervention vs. control randomized trial, across ranges of policymaker's willingness-to-pay for the health benefit of an intervention. Probability distributions describing the relative likelihood of alternative trial results were imputed based on prior studies. In the base case, policymaker's willingness-to-pay was based on a simultaneously resource-constrained priority (routine HIV virological testing). Sensitivity analysis was performed for various willingness-to-pay thresholds and intervention durations. RESULTS: A new effectiveness trial accounting for the benefit of more precise decision-making on alcohol intervention implementation would benefit East Africa $67,000 with the optimal sample size of 100 persons per arm under the base case willingness-to-pay threshold and intervention duration of 20 years. At both a conservative willingness-to-pay of 1 x GDP/capita and a high willingness-to-pay of 3 x GDP/capita for an additional health gain added by an alcohol intervention, a new trial was not recommended due to limited decision uncertainty. When intervention duration was 10 or 5 years, there was no return on investment across suggested willingness-to-pay thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Value of information methods could be used as an alternative approach to assist the efficient design of alcohol trials. If reducing unhealthy alcohol use is a long-term goal for HIV programs in East Africa, additional new trials with optimal sample sizes ranging from 100 to 250 persons per arm could save the opportunity cost of implementing less cost-effective alcohol strategies in HIV prevention. Otherwise, conducting a new trial is not recommended.
Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking/prevention & control , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Africa, Eastern , Alcohol Drinking/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Data Collection , HIV Infections/economics , Health Care Costs , Humans , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/economics , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/methods , Sample Size , UncertaintyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: In the USA, an epidemic of opioid overdose deaths is occurring, many of which are from heroin. Combining naloxone distribution with linkage to addiction treatment or pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for HIV prevention through syringe service programmes has the potential to save lives and be cost-effective. We estimated the outcomes and cost-effectiveness of five alternative strategies: no additional intervention, naloxone distribution, naloxone distribution plus linkage to addiction treatment, naloxone distribution plus PrEP, and naloxone distribution plus linkage to addiction treatment and PrEP. METHODS: We developed a decision analytical Markov model to simulate opioid overdose, HIV incidence, overdose-related deaths, and HIV-related deaths in people who inject drugs in Connecticut, USA. Model input parameters were derived from published sources. We compared each strategy with no intervention, as well as simultaneously considering all strategies. Sensitivity analysis was done for all variables. Linkage to addiction treatment was referral to an opioid treatment programme for methadone. Endpoints were survival, life expectancy, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), number and percentage of overdose deaths averted, number of HIV-related deaths averted, total costs (in 2015 US$) associated with each strategy, and incremental cost per QALY gained. FINDINGS: In the base-case analysis, compared with no additional intervention, the naloxone distribution strategy yielded an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $323 per QALY, and naloxone distribution plus linkage to addiction treatment was cost saving compared with no additional intervention (greater effectiveness and less expensive). The most efficient strategies (ie, those conferring the greatest health benefit for a particular budget) were naloxone distribution combined with linkage to addiction treatment (cost saving), and naloxone distribution combined with PrEP and linkage to addiction treatment (ICER $95â337 per QALY) at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100â000. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the combination of naloxone distribution, PrEP, and linkage to addiction treatment was the optimal strategy in 37% of iterations and the combination of naloxone distribution and linkage to addiction treatment was the optimal strategy in 34% of iterations. INTERPRETATION: Naloxone distribution through syringe service programmes is cost-effective compared with syringe distribution alone, but when combined with linkage to addiction treatment is cost saving compared with no additional services. A strategy that combines naloxone distribution, PrEP, and linkage to addiction treatment results in greater health benefits in people who inject drugs and is also cost-effective. FUNDING: State of Connecticut Department of Public Health and the National Institute of Mental Health.
Subject(s)
HIV Infections/prevention & control , Naloxone/supply & distribution , Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis/statistics & numerical data , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/therapy , Connecticut , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Humans , Models, Theoretical , Naloxone/economics , Needle-Exchange Programs/economics , Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis/economics , Program Evaluation , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/economics , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Given the serious health consequences of discontinuing antiretroviral therapy, randomised control trials of interventions to improve retention in care may be warranted. As funding for global HIV research is finite, it may be argued that choices about sample size should be tied to maximising health. METHODS: For an East African setting, we calculated expected value of sample information and expected net benefit of sampling to identify the optimal sample size (greatest return on investment) and to quantify net health gains associated with research. Two hypothetical interventions were analysed: (1) one aimed at reducing disengagement from HIV care and (2) another aimed at finding/relinking disengaged patients. RESULTS: When the willingness to pay (WTP) threshold was within a plausible range (1-3 × GDP; US$1377-4130/QALY), the optimal sample size was zero for both interventions, meaning that no further research was recommended because the pre-research probability of an intervention's effectiveness and value was sufficient to support a decision on whether to adopt the intervention and any new information gained from additional research would likely not change that decision. In threshold analyses, at a higher WTP of $5200 the optimal sample size for testing a risk reduction intervention was 2750 per arm. For the outreach intervention, the optimal sample size remained zero across a wide range of WTP thresholds and was insensitive to variation. Limitations, including not varying all inputs in the model, may have led to an underestimation of the value of investing in new research. CONCLUSION: In summary, more research is not always needed, particularly when there is moderately robust prestudy belief about intervention effectiveness and little uncertainty about the value (cost-effectiveness) of the intervention. Users can test their own assumptions at http://torchresearch.org.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Despite the benefits of the placebo-controlled trial design, it is limited by its inability to quantify total benefits and harms. Such trials, for example, are not designed to detect an intervention's placebo or nocebo effects, which if detected could alter the benefit-to-harm balance and change a decision to adopt or reject an intervention. OBJECTIVE: In this article, we explore scenarios in which alternative experimental trial designs, which differ in the type of control used, influence expected value across a range of pretest assumptions and study sample sizes. METHOD: We developed a decision model to compare 3 trial designs and their implications for decision making: 2-arm placebo-controlled trial ("placebo-control"), 2-arm intervention v. do nothing trial ("null-control"), and an innovative 3-arm trial design: intervention v. do nothing v. placebo trial ("novel design"). Four scenarios were explored regarding particular attributes of a hypothetical intervention: 1) all benefits and no harm, 2) no biological effect, 3) only biological effects, and 4) surreptitious harm (no biological benefit or nocebo effect). RESULTS: Scenario 1: When sample sizes were very small, the null-control was preferred, but as sample sizes increased, expected value of all 3 designs converged. Scenario 2: The null-control was preferred regardless of sample size when the ratio of placebo to nocebo effect was >1; otherwise, the placebo-control was preferred. Scenario 3: When sample size was very small, the placebo-control was preferred when benefits outweighed harms, but the novel design was preferred when harms outweighed benefits. Scenario 4: The placebo-control was preferred when harms outweighed placebo benefits; otherwise, preference went to the null-control. LIMITATIONS: Scenarios are hypothetical, study designs have not been tested in a real-world setting, blinding is not possible in all designs, and some may argue the novel design poses ethical concerns. CONCLUSIONS: We identified scenarios in which alternative experimental study designs would confer greater expected value than the placebo-controlled trial design. The likelihood and prevalence of such situations warrant further study.
Subject(s)
Control Groups , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/methods , Decision Making , Double-Blind Method , Humans , Placebos , Single-Blind MethodABSTRACT
We identified the research areas related to HIV and alcohol consumption that were of highest priority to city, state, and federal policymakers. From June to July 2014, we conducted a 3-round Delphi study to elicit from experts a list of alcohol- and HIV-related clinical trial research questions that were important to fund and rank order the list to identify questions of highest priority. Translating evidence into practice must be improved because some questions that have been extensively studied with results published in peer-reviewed journals were identified by the panel as areas needing additional research.