The Liver Cirrhosis Network Cohort Study: Cirrhosis Definition, Study Population, and Endpoints.

BACKGROUND: One of the primary goals of the Liver Cirrhosis Network (LCN) is to develop a cohort study to better understand and predict the risk of hepatic decompensation and other clinical and patient-reported outcomes among patients with Child A cirrhosis. METHODS: The LCN consists of a Scientific Data Coordinating Center (SDCC) and 10 clinical centers whose investigators populate multiple committees. The LCN Definitions and Measurements Committee developed preliminary definitions of cirrhosis and its complications by literature review, expert opinion, and reviewing definition documents developed by other organizations. The Cohort Committee developed the study protocol with the input of the steering committee. RESULTS: The LCN developed a prospective cohort study to describe and predict the rates of incident clinical events pertaining to first decompensation and patient reported outcomes. The LCN developed a pragmatic definition of compensated cirrhosis incorporating clinical, laboratory, imaging, and histological criteria. Definitions of incident and recompensated ascites, overt hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage, bleeding due to portal gastropathy, and hepatocellular carcinoma were also codified. CONCLUSION: The LCN Cohort Study design will inform the natural history of cirrhosis in contemporary patients with compensated cirrhosis. The LCN Definitions and Measures Committee developed criteria for the definition of cirrhosis to standardize entry into this multi-center cohort study and standardized criteria for liver-related outcome measures. This effort has produced definitions intended to be both sensitive and specific as well as easily operationalized by study staff such that outcomes critical to the LCN cohort are identified and reported in an accurate and generalizable fashion.

Designing clinical trials to address alcohol use and alcohol-associated liver disease: an expert panel Consensus Statement.

Most patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) engage in heavy drinking defined as 4 or more drinks per day (56 g) or 8 (112 g) or more drinks per week for women and 5 or more drinks per day (70 g) or 15 (210 g) or more drinks per week for men. Although abstinence from alcohol after diagnosis of ALD improves life expectancy and reduces the risk of decompensation of liver disease, few studies have evaluated whether treatment of alcohol use disorders will reduce progression of liver disease and improve liver-related outcomes. In November 2021, the National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism commissioned a task force that included hepatologists, addiction medicine specialists, statisticians, clinical trialists and members of regulatory agencies to develop recommendations for the design and conduct of clinical trials to evaluate the effect of alcohol use, particularly treatment to reduce or eliminate alcohol use in patients with ALD. The task force conducted extensive reviews of relevant literature on alcohol use disorders and ALD. Findings were presented at one in-person meeting and discussed over the next 16 months to develop the final recommendations. As few clinical trials directly address this topic, the 28 recommendations approved by all members of the task force represent a consensus of expert opinions.

Clinically relevant cut-points for changes in the Liver Frailty Index are associated with waitlist mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Physical frailty is a critical determinant of mortality in patients with cirrhosis and can be objectively measured using the Liver Frailty Index (LFI) that is potentially modifiable.. We aimed to LFI cut-points associated with waitlist mortality. APPROACH & RESULTS: Ambulatory adults with cirrhosis without HCC awaiting liver transplantation (LT) from 9 centers from 2012-2021 for ≥3 months with ≥2 pre-LT LFI assessments were included. The primary explanatory variable was change in LFI from first to second assessments per 3 months (∆LFI); we evaluated clinically-relevant ∆LFI cut-points at 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5. The primary outcome was waitlist mortality (death or delisting for being too sick) with transplant considered as a competing event. Among 1029 patients, median (IQR) age was 58 (51-63) years; 42% were female; and median lab MELDNa at first assessment was 18 (15-22). For each 0.1 improvement in ∆LFI, risk of overall mortality decreased by 6% (cause-specific hazard ratio [cHR] 0.94, 95%CI 0.92-0.97, p < 0.001). ∆LFI was associated with waitlist mortality at cut-points as low as 0.1 (cHR 0.63, 95%CI 0.46-0.87) and 0.2 (HR 0.61, 95%CI 0.42-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: An improvement in LFI per 3 months as small as 0.1 in the pre-LT period is associated with a clinically meaningful reduction in waitlist mortality. These data provide estimates of the reduction in mortality risk associated with improvements in LFI that can be used to assess effectiveness of interventions targeting physical frailty in cirrhosis patients.

Applying Metabolomics and Aptamer-based Proteomics to Determine Pathophysiologic Differences in Decompensated Cirrhosis Patients Hospitalized with Acute Kidney Injury.

A case-control study of 97 patients hospitalized at our institution. We performed aptamer-based proteomics and metabolomics on serum biospecimens obtained within 72 hours of admission. We compared the proteome and metabolome by the AKI phenotype (i.e., HRS-AKI, ATN) and by AKI recovery (decrease in sCr within 0.3 mg/dL of baseline) using ANCOVA analyses adjusting for demographics and clinical characteristics. We completed Random Forest (RF) analyses to identify metabolites and proteins associated with AKI phenotype and recovery. Lasso regression models were developed to highlight metabolites and proteins could improve diagnostic accuracy. Results: ANCOVA analyses showed no metabolomic or proteomic differences by AKI phenotype while identifying differences by AKI recovery status. Our RF and Lasso analyses showed that metabolomics can improve the diagnostic accuracy of both AKI diagnosis and recovery, and aptamer-based proteomics can enhance the diagnostic accuracy of AKI recovery. Discussion: Our analyses provide novel insight into pathophysiologic pathways, highlighting the metabolomic and proteomic similarities between patients with cirrhosis with HRS-AKI and ATN while also identifying differences between those with and without AKI recovery.

No Improvement in Intention-to-treat Survival and Increasing Liver Nonutilization Rate During the MELD Era.

BACKGROUND: Although post liver transplant survival rates have significantly improved during the past 2-3 decades, the trend in intention-to-treat (ITT) survival (survival from waitlist addition) has not been well studied. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data to determine the trend in ITT survival in liver transplant candidates. Adult (age ≧ 18 y) patients who were on the waitlist between the time period of March 1, 2002, to December 31, 2019 (n = 200 816) and deceased liver donors that were registered between the same time period (n = 152 593) were analyzed. RESULTS: We found a constant increase in posttransplant survival rates; however, the ITT survival rates showed no statistically significant improvement through the study period. We observed significant linear increase in waitlist dropout rates over time. We also observed linear increase in liver nonutilization rate in both entire cases and brain-dead cases. Donor risk index increased significantly over the years; however, it was mostly driven by increase in donation after circulatory death cases; without donation after circulatory death cases, donor risk index was stable throughout the 17 y we observed. CONCLUSIONS: The reason of the increased liver nonutilization rate is unclear; however, it is possible that reluctance to use high-risk organ to maintain better posttransplant outcomes contributed to this increase, which also could have led to increase in waitlist dropout rates and no improvements in ITT survival. Further investigation is warranted on the increased nonutilization rates to improve over all contribution of liver transplant to patient care.

Acute kidney injury in patients with cirrhosis: Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) and International Club of Ascites (ICA) joint multidisciplinary consensus meeting.

Patients with cirrhosis are prone to developing acute kidney injury (AKI), a complication associated with a markedly increased in-hospital morbidity and mortality, along with a risk of progression to chronic kidney disease. Whereas patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk of developing any phenotype of AKI, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), a specific form of AKI (HRS-AKI) in patients with advanced cirrhosis and ascites, carries an especially high mortality risk. Early recognition of HRS-AKI is crucial since administration of splanchnic vasoconstrictors may reverse the AKI and serve as a bridge to liver transplantation, the only curative option. In 2023, a joint meeting of the International Club of Ascites (ICA) and the Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) was convened to develop new diagnostic criteria for HRS-AKI, to provide graded recommendations for the work-up, management and post-discharge follow-up of patients with cirrhosis and AKI, and to highlight priorities for further research.

Serum aryl hydrocarbon receptor activity is associated with survival in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) have an altered fecal metabolome, including reduced microbiota-derived tryptophan metabolites, which function as ligands for aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR). The aim of this study was to assess serum AhR ligand activity in patients with AH. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The study included 74 controls without AUD, 97 patients with AUD, and 330 patients with AH from 2 different multicenter cohorts (InTeam: 134, AlcHepNet: 196). Serum AhR activity was evaluated using an AhR reporter assay with HepG2-Lucia cells incubated with serum for 24 hours. Serum AhR activity was significantly higher in patients with AH compared with both controls (1.59 vs. 0.96-fold change, p < 0.001) and patients with AUD (1.59 vs. 0.93, p < 0.001). In both AH cohorts, patients with AhR activity ≥ 2.09 had significantly lower cumulative survival rates at 30, 60, 90, and 180 days compared to those with AhR activity < 2.09. When serum AhR activity was used to further stratify patients with severe AH, the cumulative 30, 60, 90, and 180-day survival rates for patients with severe AH and the AhR activity ≥ 2.09 group were all significantly lower than those with an AhR activity < 2.09 group. CONCLUSIONS: Serum AhR activity was significantly higher in patients with AH compared with controls and individuals with AUD, and this increased activity was associated with higher mortality. Consequently, serum AhR activity holds potential as a prognostic marker.

Statins Are Associated With a Decreased Risk of Severe Liver Disease in Individuals With Noncirrhotic Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the potential impact of statins on the progression of noncirrhotic chronic liver diseases (CLDs) to severe liver disease. METHODS: Using liver histopathology data in a nationwide Swedish cohort, we identified 3862 noncirrhotic individuals with CLD and statin exposure, defined as a statin prescription filled for 30 or more cumulative defined daily doses. Statin users were matched to 3862 (statin) nonusers with CLD through direct 1:1 matching followed by propensity score matching. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the primary outcome of incident severe liver disease (a composite of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation/liver-related mortality). RESULTS: A total of 45.3% of CLD patients had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 21.9% had alcohol-related liver disease, 17.7% had viral hepatitis, and 15.1% had autoimmune hepatitis. During follow-up evaluation, 234 (6.1%) statin users vs 276 (7.1%) nonusers developed severe liver disease. Statin use was associated with a decreased risk of developing severe liver disease (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.48-0.74). Statistically significantly lower rates of severe liver disease were seen in alcohol-related liver disease (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.19-0.49) and in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.45-1.00), but not in viral hepatitis (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.51-1.14) or autoimmune hepatitis (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.48-1.58). Statin use had a protective association in both prefibrosis and fibrosis stages at diagnosis. Statin use was associated with lower rates of progression to cirrhosis (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.49-0.78), hepatocellular carcinoma (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.27-0.71), and liver-related mortality (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36-0.82). CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with noncirrhotic CLD, incident statin use was linked to lower rates of severe liver disease, suggesting a potential disease-modifying role.

Outcomes of early vs late treatment initiation in solid organ transplantation from hepatitis C virus nucleic acid test-positive donors to hepatitis C virus-uninfected recipients: Results from the HCV-TARGET study.

Curative hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy has increased transplantation from HCV-infected nucleic acid test-positive donors to HCV-uninfected recipients (D+/R-). We evaluated outcomes of early and late HCV treatment among D+/R- nonliver organ transplants. Patients received HCV regimens per local standard (n = 10 sites). Outcomes were compared between early and late treatments. Early treatment regimens (ETR) (n = 56) were initiated pretransplantation to day 7 posttransplant. Late treatment regimens (LTRs) (n = 102) began median 31 (range, 8-114) days posttransplant. There were 79 kidney, 50 lung, 23 heart, and 6 mixed transplants, similar between groups. HCV RNA was quantifiable in 98% of LTR versus 44.6% of ETR recipients (P < .001). Mean (range) days on treatment were 28 (7-93) ETR and 81 (51-111) LTR (P < .0001). There were no virological failures with ETR, but relapse (n = 3) and nonresponse (n = 2) in LTR (P = .16), including fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis postrelapse (n = 1). Sustained virological response was 100% (95% confidence interval, 93.4-100.0) in ETR (n = 54) and 94.9% (95% confidence interval, 88.5-98.3) in LTR (n = 98). Acute rejection occurred in 11 (19.6%) ETR and 25 (24.5%) LTR. In total, 11 HCV-unrelated deaths occurred: 8 ETR and 3 LTR. Organ transplantation from HCV-infected nucleic acid test-positive donors to HCV-uninfected recipients was safe. ETR led to fewer virological failures with shorter treatment duration, supporting recommendations to initiate treatment promptly posttransplant.

Association of body mass index with post-liver transplant outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Patients with obesity have inferior outcomes after general surgery procedures, but studies evaluating post-liver transplant (LT) outcomes have been limited by small sample sizes or lack of granularity of outcomes. We evaluated the relationship between obesity and post-LT outcomes, including those observed in other populations to be obesity-related. METHODS: Included were 1357 LT recipients prospectively enrolled in the ambulatory pre-LT setting at 8 U.S. CENTERS: Recipient were categorized by body mass index (BMI, kg/m2 ): non-obese (BMI < 30), class 1 obesity (BMI 30-<35), and classes 2-3 obesity (BMI ≥ 35). Post-transplant complications were compared by BMI using Chi-square and rank-sum testing, logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox regression. RESULTS: Classes 2-3 obesity was associated with higher adjusted odds than non-obesity of venous thrombosis [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.06, 95% CI 1.01-4.23, p = .047] and wound dehiscence (aOR 2.45, 95% CI 1.19-5.06, p = .02). Compared with non-obese recipients, post-LT hospital stay was significantly longer for recipients with classes 2-3 obesity [p = .01; median (Q1-Q3) 9 (6-14) vs. 8 (6-12) days) or class 1 obesity [p = .002; 9 (6-14) vs. 8 (6-11) days].  Likelihood of ICU readmission, infection, discharge to a non-home facility, rejection, 30-day readmission, and 1-year readmission were similar across BMI categories (all p > .05). CONCLUSION: Compared to non-obese recipients, obese recipients had similar post-LT survival but longer hospital stay and higher likelihood of wound dehiscence and venous thrombosis. These findings underscore that obesity alone should not preclude LT, but recipients with obesity should be monitored for obesity-related complications such as wound dehiscence and venous thrombosis.

The liver frailty index is a predictor of healthcare utilization after liver transplantation in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Older adults have higher healthcare utilization after liver transplantation (LT), yet objective risk stratification tools in this population are lacking. We evaluated the Liver Frailty Index (LFI) as one potential tool. METHODS: Ambulatory LT candidates ≥65 years without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent LT from 1/2012 to 6/2022 at 8 U.S. centers were included. Estimates of the difference in median using quantile regression were used to assess the adjusted association between LFI and hospitalized days within 90 days post-LT. RESULTS: Of 131 LT recipients, median (interquartile range [IQR]) (1st -3rd quartiles) age was 68 years (66-70); median pre-LT MELD-Na was 19 (15-24). Median LFI was 4.1 (3.6-4.7); 27% were frail (LFI≥4.5). Median hospitalized days within 90 days post-LT was 11 (7-20). Compared with non-frail patients, frail patients were hospitalized for a median of 5 days longer post-LT (95% CI .30-9.7, p = .04). Each .5 unit increase in pre-LT LFI was associated with an increase of 1.16 days (95%CI .42-2.69, p = .02) in hospitalized days post-LT. CONCLUSION: Among older adults undergoing LT, frailty was associated with more hospitalized days within 90 days after LT. The LFI can identify older adults who might benefit from pre-LT or early post-LT programs which may reduce post-LT healthcare utilization, such as early rehabilitation or post-hospital discharge programs.

The diagnostic yield of exome sequencing in liver diseases from a curated gene panel.

Exome sequencing (ES) has been used in a variety of clinical settings but there are limited data on its utility for diagnosis and/or prediction of monogenic liver diseases. We developed a curated list of 502 genes for monogenic disorders associated with liver phenotypes and analyzed ES data for these genes in 758 patients with chronic liver diseases (CLD). For comparison, we examined ES data in 7856 self-declared healthy controls (HC), and 2187 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Candidate pathogenic (P) or likely pathogenic (LP) variants were initially identified in 19.9% of participants, most of which were attributable to previously reported pathogenic variants with implausibly high allele frequencies. After variant annotation and filtering based on population minor allele frequency (MAF ≤ 10-4 for dominant disorders and MAF ≤ 10-3 for recessive disorders), we detected a significant enrichment of P/LP variants in the CLD cohort compared to the HC cohort (X2 test OR 5.00, 95% CI 3.06-8.18, p value = 4.5e-12). A second-level manual annotation was necessary to capture true pathogenic variants that were removed by stringent allele frequency and quality filters. After these sequential steps, the diagnostic rate of monogenic disorders was 5.7% in the CLD cohort, attributable to P/LP variants in 25 genes. We also identified concordant liver disease phenotypes for 15/22 kidney disease patients with P/LP variants in liver genes, mostly associated with cystic liver disease phenotypes. Sequencing results had many implications for clinical management, including familial testing for early diagnosis and management, preventative screening for associated comorbidities, and in some cases for therapy. Exome sequencing provided a 5.7% diagnostic rate in CLD patients and required multiple rounds of review to reduce both false positive and false negative findings. The identification of concordant phenotypes in many patients with P/LP variants and no known liver disease also indicates a potential for predictive testing for selected monogenic liver disorders.

Evaluation of recipients with significant comorbidity - Patients with cardiovascular disease.

Liver transplant(ation) (LT) is the most effective treatment for patients with decompensated liver disease. The increasing prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes and the growing number of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease being evaluated for LT, have resulted in a greater proportion of LT candidates presenting with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. As cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality after LT, a thorough cardiovascular evaluation pre-LT is crucial. In this review, we discuss the latest evidence on the cardiovascular evaluation of LT candidates and we focus on the most prevalent conditions, namely ischaemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation and other arrhythmias, valvular heart disease, and cardiomyopathies. LT candidates undergo an electrocardiogram, a resting transthoracic echocardiography and an assessment of their cardiopulmonary functional ability as part of their standardised pre-LT work-up. Further diagnostic work-up is undertaken based on the results of the baseline evaluation and may include a coronary computed tomography angiography in patients with cardiovascular risk factors. The evaluation of potential LT candidates for cardiovascular disease requires a multidisciplinary approach, with input from anaesthetists, cardiologists, hepatologists and transplant surgeons.

Visceral adiposity in cirrhosis: Association with disease severity and impact of liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Changes in adipose tissue distribution in liver cirrhosis are poorly characterized and may affect clinical outcomes. METHODS: Adult liver transplant (LT) January 2008-August 2017 recipients with abdominal MRI within 6 months pre-LT were retrospectively assessed. Visceral adipose tissue, subcutaneous adipose tissue, and skeletal muscle area (cm2) were determined at L3. Visceral-to-subcutaneous adipose tissue ratio (VSR) was used to define relative adipose distribution, stratified by sex. Correlation was tested with Pearson. Body composition measures were compared by Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class, before and after LT, and evaluated as predictors of clinical outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 318 patients were studied. Mean age was 56 years, 33.64% were female, and 47.80% had CTP C cirrhosis. CTP C was associated with a 0.42-point increase in VSR compared with CTP A (95% CI = 0.13-0.71, p < 0.01), adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, and HCC. Among the 79 (24.84%) patients with repeat MRI 1-2 years after LT, VSR significantly improved from before LT (1.31 vs. 0.95, p < 0.01). In adjusted analysis, CTP C was associated with a 0.86-point decrease in post-LT VSR compared with pre-LT VSR (95% CI = -1.27 to -0.44, p < 0.01). Body mass index poorly correlated with VSR before and after LT. Elevated pre-LT VSR trended toward an association with a 7.17-point decrease in pre-LT glomerular filtration rate (95% CI = -14.35 to -0.02, p = 0.05), adjusting for CTP C, age, sex, diabetes, hypertension, pre-LT sarcopenia, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Elevated pre-LT VSR did not affect 3-year post-LT mortality (log-rank p = 0.24). CONCLUSIONS: Poorly represented by body mass index, visceral adiposity is increased in cirrhosis and is associated with CTP class. However, this adipose redistribution may be modifiable by LT.

Advances and innovations in living donor liver transplant techniques, matching and surgical training: Meeting report from the living donor liver transplant consensus conference.

The practice of LDLT currently delivers limited impact in western transplant centers. The American Society of Transplantation organized a virtual consensus conference in October 2021 to identify barriers and gaps to LDLT growth, and to provide evidence-based recommendations to foster safe expansion of LDLT in the United States. This article reports the findings and recommendations regarding innovations and advances in approaches to donor-recipient matching challenges, the technical aspects of the donor and recipient operations, and surgical training. Among these themes, the barriers deemed most influential/detrimental to LDLT expansion in the United States included: (1) prohibitive issues related to donor age, graft size, insufficient donor remnant, and ABO incompatibility; (2) lack of acknowledgment and awareness of the excellent outcomes and benefits of LDLT; (3) ambiguous messaging regarding LDLT to patients and hospital leadership; and (4) a limited number of proficient LDLT surgeons across the United States. Donor-recipient mismatching may be circumvented by way of liver paired exchange. The creation of a national registry to generate granular data on donor-recipient matching will guide the practice of liver paired exchange. The surgical challenges to LDLT are addressed herein and focuses on the development of robust training pathways resulting in proficiency in donor and recipient surgery. Utilizing strong mentorship/collaboration programs with novel training practices under the auspices of established training and certification bodies will add to the breadth and depth of training.

Development and validation of a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE) following liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Analysis of the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium.

HCC recurrence following liver transplantation (LT) is highly morbid and occurs despite strict patient selection criteria. Individualized prediction of post-LT HCC recurrence risk remains an important need. Clinico-radiologic and pathologic data of 4981 patients with HCC undergoing LT from the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium (UMHTC) were analyzed to develop a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE). Multivariable Fine and Gray competing risk analysis and machine learning algorithms (Random Survival Forest and Classification and Regression Tree models) identified variables to model HCC recurrence. RELAPSE was externally validated in 1160 HCC LT recipients from the European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant study group. Of 4981 UMHTC patients with HCC undergoing LT, 71.9% were within Milan criteria, 16.1% were initially beyond Milan criteria with 9.4% downstaged before LT, and 12.0% had incidental HCC on explant pathology. Overall and recurrence-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 89.7%, 78.6%, and 69.8% and 86.8%, 74.9%, and 66.7%, respectively, with a 5-year incidence of HCC recurrence of 12.5% (median 16 months) and non-HCC mortality of 20.8%. A multivariable model identified maximum alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.35 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.22-1.50, p < 0.001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.16 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.04-1.28, p < 0.006), pathologic maximum tumor diameter (HR = 1.53 per-log SD, 95% CI, 1.35-1.73, p < 0.001), microvascular (HR = 2.37, 95%-CI, 1.87-2.99, p < 0.001) and macrovascular (HR = 3.38, 95% CI, 2.41-4.75, p < 0.001) invasion, and tumor differentiation (moderate HR = 1.75, 95% CI, 1.29-2.37, p < 0.001; poor HR = 2.62, 95% CI, 1.54-3.32, p < 0.001) as independent variables predicting post-LT HCC recurrence (C-statistic = 0.78). Machine learning algorithms incorporating additional covariates improved prediction of recurrence (Random Survival Forest C-statistic = 0.81). Despite significant differences in European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant recipient radiologic, treatment, and pathologic characteristics, external validation of RELAPSE demonstrated consistent 2- and 5-year recurrence risk discrimination (AUCs 0.77 and 0.75, respectively). We developed and externally validated a RELAPSE score that accurately discriminates post-LT HCC recurrence risk and may allow for individualized post-LT surveillance, immunosuppression modification, and selection of high-risk patients for adjuvant therapies.

Change in Platelet Count after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation: An Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches (ALTA) Group Study.

PURPOSE: To evaluate recovery of platelet count after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation and patient factors predicting platelet recovery after TIPS creation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adults with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS creation at 9 U.S. hospitals from 2010 to 2015 were included in this retrospective analysis. Change in platelets from before TIPS to 4 months after TIPS creation was characterized. Logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with top quartile percentage platelet increase after TIPS. Subgroup analyses were performed among patients with a pre-TIPS platelet count of ≤50 ×109/L. RESULTS: A total of 601 patients were included. The median absolute change in platelets was 1 × 109/L (-26 × 109/L to 25 × 109/L). Patients with top quartile percent platelet increase experienced ≥32% platelet increase. In multivariable analysis, pre-TIPS platelet counts (odds ratio [OR], 0.97 per 109/L; 95% CI, 0.97-0.98), age (OR, 1.24 per 5 years; 95% CI, 1.10-1.39), and pre-TIPS model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores (OR, 1.06 per point; 95% CI, 1.02-1.09) were associated with top quartile (≥32%) platelet increase. Ninety-four (16%) patients had a platelet count of ≤50 × 109/L before TIPS. The median absolute platelet change was 14 × 109/L (2 × 109/L to 34 × 109/L). Fifty-four percent of patients in this subgroup were in the top quartile for platelet increase. In multivariable logistic regression, age (OR, 1.50 per 5 years; 95% CI, 1.11-2.02) was the only factor associated with top quartile platelet increase in this subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: TIPS creation did not result in significant platelet increase, except among patients with a platelet count of ≤50 × 109/L before TIPS. Lower pre-TIPS platelet counts, older age, and higher pre-TIPS MELD scores were associated with top quartile (≥32%) platelet increase in the entire cohort, whereas only older age was associated with this outcome in the patient subset with a pre-TIPS platelet count of ≤50 × 109/L.