Early-onset pancreatic cancer and associated metabolic risk factors in the Middle East and North Africa: A 20-year analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) is associated with poor prognosis and high disease burden. Metabolic risk factors such as diabetes and obesity are considered risk factors of EOPC. Recently, there has been an increasing number of EOPCs worldwide. However, the analysis of EOPC, including its metabolic risk factors, in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has not been fully addressed. METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study between 2000 and 2019 was used to analyze the prevalence, incidence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EOPC and its metabolic risk factors. The analysis further categorized the data based on countries, income status and sex and examined the annual percentage change (APC). RESULTS: Approximately 2800 cases, 2400 deaths and 114,000 DALYs were attributable to EOPC in the MENA region. The incidence (APC + 3.42%), death (APC + 0.73%) and DALYs (APC + 3.23%) rates of EOPC increased. In addition, the death and DALY rates of EOPC attributable to obesity and diabetes increased. High and upper-middle-income countries exhibited a higher burden of EOPC than lower-income countries. CONCLUSION: Over the past two decades, the burden of EOPC and its associated metabolic risk factors has increased. There is an urgent need for region-wide policy development, including screening methods and risk factor reduction, to mitigate the high and rising burden of EOPC in the MENA region.

Comparative efficacy of pharmacologic therapies for MASH in reducing liver fat content: Systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is a leading cause of liver disease. Dynamic changes in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) proton-density-fat fraction (PDFF) are associated with MASH resolution. We aimed to determine the relative efficacy of therapeutic agents for reducing hepatic fat, assessed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) proton-density-fat fraction (PDFF). APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception until Dec 26, 2023, for published randomized-controlled trials (RCTs) comparing pharmacological interventions in patients with MASH that assessed changes in MRI-PDFF. The primary outcome was the absolute change in MRI-PDFF. The secondary outcome was a ≥30% decline in MRI-PDFF. A surface under-the-curve cumulative ranking probabilities (SUCRA) analysis was performed. Of 1550 records, a total of 39 RCTs (3311 participants) met the inclusion criteria. For MRI-PDFF decline at 24 weeks, aldafermin (SUCRA: 83.65), pegozafermin (SUCRA: 83.46), and pioglitazone (SUCRA: 71.67) were ranked the most effective interventions. At 24-weeks, efinopegdutide (SUCRA: 67.02), semaglutide + firsocostat (SUCRA: 62.43), and pegbelfermin (SUCRA: 61.68) were ranked the most effective interventions for achieving a ≥30% decline in MRI-PDFF. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an updated, relative rank-order efficacy of therapies for MASH in reducing hepatic fat. These data may help inform the design and sample size calculation of future clinical trials and assist selection of combination therapy.

Geographical and sociodemographic epidemiology of inflammatory bowel disease in young females from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) represents a significant health threat worldwide. However, there are deficiencies in large-scale epidemiological research focusing on these issues, especially among young women. We aim to examine the trend of IBD in young females globally. METHODS: We utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2010 and 2019 to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from IBD in young females (15-49 years), stratified by region, nation, and sociodemographic index (SDI). RESULTS: Globally, there were 1.27 million (95 % UI 1.10 to 1.45 million) cases and 314,120 (95 % UI 240,880 to 395,420) DALYs from IBD in young females in 2019. Geographically, Europe had the highest burden of IBD in young females (n = 421,320). From 2010 to 2019, the prevalence rate increased in Africa (APC 0.34 %, 95 % CI 0.25 to 0.44 %), the Eastern Mediterranean (APC 0.77 %, 95 % CI 0.74 to 0.81 %), Europe (APC 0.48 %, 95 % CI 0.44 to 0.51 %) and the Western Pacific region (APC 1.01 %, 95 % CI 0.89 to 1.14 %). Countries with lower SDI exhibited higher DALYs to prevalence ratio. Over the study period, the percentage of young women with IBD compared to young adults increased by 0.24 %. This percentage varies significantly between countries, from 26 % to 62 %. CONCLUSION: The burden of IBD in young females is high and increasing. Countries with lower SDIs generate higher disability per case. This necessitates immediate and inclusive measures to tackle the rising burden of IBD in this vulnerable group. LAY SUMMARY: From 2010 to 2019, in the largest global epidemiology database, prevalence rates of inflammatory bowel disease in young females increased in many regions. Countries with lower socioeconomic development, as indicated by sociodemographic index, generated a higher burden compared to countries with higher development.

Clostridioides difficile Infection in the Elderly: Trend Analysis from 2000 to 2019.

Background/Objective: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a common healthcare-associated ailment, presenting major health and economic challenges, especially for the elderly. Despite its prevalence, comprehensive data about CDI's impact on the elderly are limited. Methods: This study used the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 data to analyze CDI trends from 2000 to 2019, considering factors like sex, region, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Results: This study revealed that CDI caused approximately 18,181 deaths and 252,709 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among the elderly worldwide. The Americas showed the highest CDI burden, while the Eastern Mediterranean saw the steepest rate increase from 2000 to 2019. Regions with a high SDI also displayed substantial CDI impact. Conclusions: The escalating burden of CDI in the elderly, especially in high-SDI areas and the Americas, emphasizes an urgent need for targeted public health strategies.

Global Prevalence, Clinical Characteristics, Surveillance, Treatment Allocation, and Outcomes of Alcohol-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although the burden of alcohol-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing with rising alcohol consumption, clinical presentation and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC have not been systematically assessed. We aimed to determine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, surveillance rates, treatment allocation, and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched from inception to January 2023. Proportional data were analyzed using a generalized linear mixed model. The odds ratio (OR) or mean difference comparing alcohol-associated HCC and other causes was obtained with pairwise meta-analysis. Survival outcomes were evaluated using a pooled analysis of hazard ratios. RESULTS: Of 4824 records identified, 55 articles (86,345 patients) were included. Overall, 30.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.0%-37.7%) of HCC was alcohol associated, with the highest proportion in Europe and the lowest in the Americas. People with alcohol-associated HCC were more likely male but were similar in age and comorbidities compared with other causes. A total of 20.8% (95% CI, 11.4%-34.9%) of people with alcohol-associated HCC underwent surveillance compared with 35.0%, 31.6%, and 21.4% in hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, and metabolic dysfunction-associated HCC, respectively (all P < .05). Alcohol-associated HCC had a lower likelihood of Barcelona Clínic Liver Cancer C stage (0/A) (OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; P = .018) and curative therapy (24.5% vs 33.9%; OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9; P = .003), and higher mortality (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .012) when compared with other causes. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol-associated HCC is associated with lower surveillance rates, more advanced BCLC stage, lower likelihood of receiving curative therapy, and poorer survival. These data call for measures to reduce heavy alcohol consumption and improve strategies for effective HCC surveillance in high-risk individuals.

Sex and Race-Ethnic Disparities in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: An Analysis of 40,166 Individuals.

BACKGROUND: To overcome the limitations of the term "non-alcoholic fatty liver disease" (NAFLD), the term metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was introduced. While epidemiologic studies have been conducted on MASLD, there is limited evidence on its associated sex and ethnic variations. AIMS: This study assesses the differences across sex and race-ethnicity on the prevalence, associated risk factors and adverse outcomes in individuals with MASLD. METHODS: Data retrieved from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1999 to 2018 was analyzed. Prevalence, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were evaluated according to sex and race-ethnicity. Adverse outcomes and mortality events were analyzed using multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Of 40,166 individuals included, 37.63% had MASLD. There was a significant increase in MASLD prevalence from 1999 to 2018 among Mexican Americans (Annual Percentage Change [APC] + 1.889%, p < 0.001), other Hispanics (APC + 1.661%, p = 0.013), NH Whites (APC + 1.084%, p = 0.018), NH Blacks (APC + 1.108%, p = 0.007), and females (APC + 0.879%, p = 0.030), but not males. Females with MASLD were at lower risk of all-cause (HR: 0.766, 95%CI 0.711 to 0.825, p < 0.001), cardiovascular disease-related (CVD) (SHR: 0.802, 95% CI 0.698 to 0.922, p = 0.002) and cancer-related mortality (SHR: 0.760, 95% CI 0.662 to 0.873, p < 0.001). Significantly, NH Blacks have the highest risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality followed by NH Whites then Mexican Americans. CONCLUSION: There has been an increase in prevalence in most race-ethnicities over time. While the change in definition shows no significant differences in previous associations found in NAFLD, the increased mortality in NH Whites relative to Mexican Americans remains to be explored.

Sex-based Disparities in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma and the Impact of the Growing Burden of NASH.

Background: The cause of liver disease is changing, but its impact on liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in women and men is unclear. We performed a nationwide study to assess the prevalence and posttransplant survival outcomes of the various causes of liver disease in women and men with HCC. Methods: Data were obtained from the United Network for Organ Sharing database from 2000 to 2022. Data related to the listing, transplant, waitlist mortality, and posttransplant mortality for HCC were extracted. The proportion of HCC related to the various causes of liver disease among LT candidates and recipients and posttransplant survival were compared between women and men. Results: A total of 51 721 individuals (39 465 men, 12 256 women) with HCC were included. From 2000 to 2022, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) was the fastest-growing cause of liver disease among female LT candidates with HCC (P < 0.01), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease. NASH overtook chronic hepatitis C as the leading cause of liver disease in 2020 and 2022 among waitlisted women and men with HCC, respectively. Female patients with HCC spent a significantly longer time on the LT waitlist compared with male patients (ß: 8.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.91-14.54). Female patients with HCC from alcohol-associated liver disease also have a lower probability of receiving LT (subdistribution hazard ratio: 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82-0.99). Among transplant recipients with NASH HCC, female sex was associated with lower posttransplant mortality compared with male sex (hazard ratio: 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.89; P < 0.01). Conclusions: Women have a significantly longer waitlist duration compared with men. NASH is now the leading cause of liver disease among both female and male LT candidates and recipients with HCC.

Global epidemiology of alcohol-associated liver disease in adolescents and young adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of the study was to analyse the prevalence, incidence, and death of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) among adolescents and young adults globally, continentally, and nationally, focusing on trends over time. METHODS: The study analysed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2000 and 2019. It examined ALD's prevalence, incidence, and death in adolescents and young adults aged 15-29, segmented by region, nation, and sociodemographic index. The analysis utilised Joinpoint regression modelling to calculate the annual per cent change (APC) in the rate of these parameters over time. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 281,450 ALD prevalences, 18,930 incidences, and 3190 deaths among adolescents and young adults globally. From 2000 to 2019, the age-adjusted prevalence rate per 100,000 increased in the 25-29 age group (APC: +0.6%, p = 0.003), remained stable among ages 20-24 (p = 0.302) and ages 15-19 (p = 0.160). Prevalence increased significantly from age 15-19 to 20-24 (19-fold increase) and from age 20-24 to 25-29 (2.5-fold increase). ALD prevalence rates increased in all age groups in adolescents and young adults in Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean region. Around three-quarters of countries and territories experienced an increase in ALD incidence rates in young adults. CONCLUSION: Over two decades, the burden of ALD among adolescents and young adults has increased globally. The study emphasises the importance of public health policies aimed at reducing alcohol consumption and preventing ALD among younger populations.

Burden of Mortality from Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Biliary Tract Cancers by Race and Ethnicity and Sex in US, 2018-2023.

Backgrounds/Aims: The trends in mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and biliary tract cancers stratified by sex and race/ethnicity in the US continue to evolve. We estimated the sex- and race/ethnicity-based trends in HCC and biliary tract cancers-related mortality in US adults with a focus on disease burden. Methods: We performed a population-based analysis using the US national mortality records from 2018 to 2023. We identified HCC and biliary tract cancer using appropriate ICD-10 codes. Temporal trends in mortality were calculated by joinpoint analysis with annual percentage change (APC). Results: Annual age-standardized mortality from HCC decreased steadily with an APC of -1.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -2.0% to -0.7%). While there was a linear increase in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma-related mortality (APC: 3.1%, 95% CI: 1.2%-4.9%) and ampulla of Vater cancer-related mortality (APC: 4.1%, 95% CI: 0.5%-7.9%), gallbladder cancer-related mortality decreased (APC: -1.9%, 95% CI: -3.8% to -0.0%). Decreasing trends in mortality from HCC were noted in males, not females. HCC-related mortality decreased more steeply in racial and ethnic minority individuals compared with non-Hispanic White individuals. Racial and ethnic differences in trends in mortality for biliary tract cancers depended on the malignancy's anatomical site. Conclusion: While the annual mortality for HCC- and gallbladder cancer demonstrated declining trends, ICC and AVC-related mortality continued to increase from 2018 to 2023. Although racial and ethnic minority individuals in the US experienced disproportionately higher HCC and biliary tract cancer, recent declines in HCC may be primarily due to declines among racial and ethnic minority individuals and males.

The Burden of Overweight and Obesity-Associated Gastrointestinal Cancers in Low and Lower-Middle-Income Countries: A Global Burden of Disease 2019 Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is associated with cancer, including gastrointestinal (GI). Data from low (LICs) and lower-middle-income countries (MICs) are limited. METHODS: We utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to determine the mortality from GI cancer risk of high body mass index (BMI) in these countries. RESULTS: Mortality rates of GI cancers from high BMI increased in LICs and lower MICs, while burdens decreased or remained stable in high and middle-income countries. DISCUSSION: The GI cancer-related burden from high BMI increased in LICs and lower MICs, necessitating a concerted effort to tackle the obesity pandemic.

Financial hardship and cost-related nonadherence to medication in patients with liver disease in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Economic hardship associated with chronic liver disease (CLD) may delay timely access to healthcare. AIM: To estimate the national burden of financial hardship across the spectrum of CLD in the United States (US) during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis was performed using the 2020-2021 US National Health Interview Survey database. The questionnaire defined financial hardship from medical bills and cost-related nonadherence to medications in patients with CLD. We used weighted survey analysis to obtain the national estimates. RESULTS: While 6.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.7%-7.2%) out of 60,689 US adults (weighted sample: 251 million) reported financial hardship and inability to pay medical bills; 10.6% (95% CI: 8.3%-13.4%), 18.2% (95% CI: 14.5%-22.6%), 22.6% (95% CI: 11.0%-41.0%) with hepatitis, CLD/cirrhosis, and liver cancer experienced an inability to pay their medical bills due to financial hardship, respectively. 19.8% (95% CI: 15.9%-24.5%) and 23.3% (95% CI: 12.5%-39.3%) with CLD/cirrhosis and liver cancer, respectively experienced cost-related nonadherence to medications, compared to a tenth of US adults (10.7%, 95% CI: 10.3%-11.2%). CLD/cirrhosis demonstrated an independent association with financial hardship from medical bills and cost-related nonadherence to medications. Overall, these disparities were more pronounced in individuals aged <65 years old. In addition, over 40% of individuals with CLD/cirrhosis reported difficulties accessing medical care during the COVID-19 pandemic. CLD/cirrhosis showed an independent association with difficulties accessing medical care due to COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Financial hardship from medical bills and cost-related nonadherence to medication can negatively impact individuals with CLD and need further evaluation.

Disparities in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and cardiometabolic conditions in low and lower middle-income countries: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and cardiometabolic conditions affect populations across economic strata. Nevertheless, there are limited epidemiological studies addressing these diseases in low (LICs) and lower-middle-income countries (lower MICs). Therefore, an analysis of the trend of MASLD and cardiometabolic conditions in these countries is necessary. METHODS: From 2000 to 2019, jointpoint regression analysis was employed to calculate the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for cardiometabolic conditions including MASLD, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), dyslipidemia (DLP), hypertension (HTN), obesity, peripheral artery disease (PAD), atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL), ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, and chronic kidney disease from HTN and T2DM, in LICs and lower MICs (according to the World Bank Classification 2019) using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 data. RESULTS: Among the eleven cardiometabolic conditions, MASLD (533.65 million), T2DM (162.96 million), and IHD (76.81 million) had the highest prevalence in LICs and Lower MICs in 2019. MASLD represented the largest proportion of global prevalence in these countries (43 %). From 2000 to 2019, mortality in LICs and lower MICs increased in all cardiometabolic conditions, with obesity-related mortality having the highest increase (+134 %). During this timeframe, there were increased age-standardized death rates (ASDR) from obesity, PAD, and AF/AFL. From all conditions, the DALYs-to-prevalence ratio was higher in LICs and lower MICs than the global average. CONCLUSION: The burden of MASLD and cardiometabolic conditions is increasing worldwide, with LICs and lower MICs experiencing higher (DALYs) disability per prevalence. As these conditions are preventable, counteracting these trends requires not only the modification of ongoing actions but also the strategizing of immediate interventions.

PNPLA3 risk allele is associated with risk of hepatocellular carcinoma but not decompensation in compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, and HSD17B13-rs6834314-A polymorphisms have been associated with cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, and HCC. However, whether they remain associated with HCC and decompensation in people who already have cirrhosis remains unclear, which limits the clinical utility of genetics in risk stratification as HCC is uncommon in the absence of cirrhosis. We aimed to characterize the effects of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotype on hepatic decompensation, HCC, and liver-related mortality or liver transplant in patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study of patients in the Michigan Genomics Initiative who underwent genotyping. The primary predictors were PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotypes. Primary outcomes were either hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver-related mortality/transplant. We conducted competing risk Fine-Gray analyses on our cohort. RESULTS: We identified 732 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. During follow-up, 50% of patients developed decompensation, 13% developed HCC, 24% underwent liver transplant, and 27% died. PNPLA3-rs738409-G genotype was associated with risk of incident HCC: adjusted subhazard hazard ratio 2.42 (1.40-4.17), p=0.0015 for PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. PNPLA3-rs738409-CC genotype. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG carriers than PNPLA3-rs738409-CC/-CG carriers: 15.6% (9.0%-24.0%) vs. 7.4% (5.2%-10.0%), p<0.001. PNPLA3 genotype was not associated with decompensation or the combined outcome of liver-related mortality or liver transplant. TM6SF2 and HSD17B13 genotypes were not associated with decompensation or HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele is associated with an increased risk of HCC among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. People with cirrhosis and PNPLA3-rs738409-GG genotype may warrant more intensive HCC surveillance.

Socio-economic association of alcohol use disorder and cardiovascular and alcohol-associated liver disease from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: Alcohol use leads to disabilities and deaths worldwide. It not only harms the liver but also causes alcohol use disorder (AUD) and heart disease. Additionally, alcohol consumption contributes to health disparities among different socio-economic groups. METHODS: We estimated global and regional trends in the burden of AUD, liver disease, and cardiovascular disease from alcohol using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease study. RESULTS: In 2019, the highest disability-adjusted life years rate per 100,000 population was due to AUD (207.31 [95% Uncertainty interval (UI) 163.71-261.66]), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) (133.31 [95% UI 112.68-156.17]). The prevalence rate decreased for AUD (APC [annual percentage change] -0.38%) and alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy (APC -1.85%) but increased for ALD (APC 0.44%) and liver cancer (APC 0.53%). Although the mortality rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.30%), mortality rates from other diseases decreased. Between 2010 and 2019, the burden of alcohol-associated complications increased in countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), contributing more significantly to the global burden. CONCLUSION: The global burden of AUD, liver, and cardiovascular disease has been high and increasing over the past decade, particularly for liver complications. Lower SDI countries are contributing more to this global burden. There is a pressing need for effective strategies to address this escalating burden.

Estimated pulse wave velocity in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and all-cause/cause-specific mortality.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Several reports show a significant association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and arterial stiffness (estimated pulse wave velocity [ePWV]) as a surrogate marker of vascular age. We investigate whether ePWV as arterial stiffness in MASLD is associated with all-cause/cause-specific mortality. METHODS: This cohort study was based on the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1988-1994) and NHANES 2007-2014 and linked mortality datasets through 2019. Cox regression models assessed the association between ePWV categorized by quartile and all-cause/cause-specific mortality among individuals with MASLD. RESULTS: During the follow-up of a median of 26.3 years (interquartile range: 19.9-27.9), higher levels of ePWV among individuals with MASLD were associated with increased all-cause mortality, which remained significant after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, clinical, and metabolic risk factors. Furthermore, higher ePWV in MASLD was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality. There was a 44% (hazard ratio: 1.44, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.58) increase in all-cause mortality and a 53% (hazard ratio: 1.53, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.77) increase in cardiovascular mortality for every 1 m/s increase in ePWV in MASLD. However, there was no significant association between ePWV and cancer-related mortality. Sensitivity analyses using the NHANES 2007-2014 dataset showed results identical to the original analysis. CONCLUSION: Higher ePWV in MASLD was associated with a higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Screening for ePWV in individuals with MASLD may be an effective and beneficial approach to reducing all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Global epidemiology of early-onset upper gastrointestinal cancer: trend from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In recent years, there has been a growing incidence of gastrointestinal cancer in young individuals. Despite its significant morbidity and mortality, research on upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer in young populations has been relatively limited. Therefore, studies on the epidemiological changes of this cancer are needed. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we examined the incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from UGI cancers in the young, namely, early-onset esophageal cancer (EOEC) and early-onset gastric cancer (EOGC). These results were stratified by sex, geographical region, country, and sociodemographic index. RESULTS: There was a total of 185 140 cases, 120 289 deaths, and 5.70 million DALYs attributable to early-onset UGI cancers globally. From 2010 to 2019, the global incidence, death, and DALYs rates of early-onset UGI cancers decreased. In contrast, the incidence rates increased in both EOEC (+1.15%) and EOGC (+0.21%) in the Eastern Mediterranean region. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, the burden of UGI cancer in the young has decreased. However, it has increased in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Further research to elucidate the attributable risk factors in this population is warranted.

The prevalence and predictors of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and fibrosis/cirrhosis among adolescents/young adults.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the current prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and fibrosis/cirrhosis and identified at-risk populations for MASLD and MASLD-related fibrosis among US adolescents and young adults in the United States. METHODS: Utilizing the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020, the prevalence of MASLD and fibrosis/cirrhosis was assessed via controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) score and liver stiffness measurements by transient elastography in participants aged 12-29 years with at least one cardiometabolic criteria and absence of other chronic liver disease. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine predictors of MASLD and MASLD-related fibrosis. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of MASLD was 23.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 21.3-26.5 for CAP ≥ 263 dB/m) and 17.3% (95% CI: 14.7-20.0 for ≥285 dB/m), respectively. The prevalence of fibrosis and cirrhosis in MASLD was 11.0% and 3.1%, respectively. When categorized by age, the prevalence of MASLD varied from 16.8% (of which 6.2% [fibrosis], 1.8% [cirrhosis]) in early and middle adolescents (12-17 years), to 25.5% (11.8% [fibrosis], 4.8% [cirrhosis]) in late adolescents and young adults (18-24 years), and to 30.4% (of which 13.2% [fibrosis] and 2.1% [cirrhosis]) in older young adults (25-29 years). The independent predictors for MASLD included male sex, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian, body mass index, and low HDL-cholesterol. In contrast, diabetes and body mass index were associated with an increased risk of fibrosis in individuals with MASLD. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of MASLD and related fibrosis in adolescents and young adults in the United States has reached a significant level, with a substantial proportion of cirrhosis.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Steatotic liver disease-associated all-cause/cause-specific mortality in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Recently, a panel of multi-society experts proposed steatotic liver disease (SLD) as an alternative terminology for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). AIMS: We compared the impact of SLD, subtype of SLD, MAFLD and NAFLD on all-cause and cause-specific mortality. METHODS: A total of 7811 individuals in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and linked mortality through 2019 were analysed. SLD was defined based on ultrasonographic hepatic steatosis. SLD, subtype of SLD and MAFLD were defined using the proposed definitions. The Cox proportional hazard model assessed all-cause/cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 27.1 years, individuals with SLD and MAFLD experienced approximately 13%-23% higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.29 for SLD; HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.09-1.38 for MAFLD; HR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01-1.27 for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease [MASLD]). Individuals with MetALD demonstrated a higher risk of all-cause (HR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.10-2.57) and cancer-related mortality (HR: 2.40, 95% CI: 1.23-4.66). MASLD with advanced fibrosis had an increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to MASLD without advanced fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: SLD, especially MASLD and MetALD, is associated with increased all-cause mortality among adults in the US. Given this significant association between SLD or subtype of SLD (MASLD and MetALD) and all-cause mortality, adopting the proposed SLD criteria may help identify a sub-group of individuals with SLD who are at an increased risk for all-cause mortality.