Survival status and influencing factors of HIV/AIDS on highly active anti-retrovial therapy in Shandong province / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To understand the survival status and influencing factors for HIV/AIDS patients on highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) in Shandong province. Methods: Both Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method and cumulative incidence function (CIF) were used to calculate the cumulative incidence of AIDS-related death respectively, and Fine-Gray model was used to identify the influencing factors related to survival time. Results: Through K-M method, a higher AIDS-related cumulated death rate than the CIF, was estimated. Among all the HIV/AIDS patients who initiated HAART from 2003 to 2015 in Shandong, 5 593 of them met the inclusion criteria. The cumulative incidence rate for AIDS-related death was 3.08% in 1 year, 4.21% in 3 years, 5.37% in 5 years, and 7.59% in 10 years respectively by CIF. Results from the F-G analysis showed that HIV/AIDS patients who were on HAART, the ones who had college degree or above (HR=0.40, 95%CI: 0.24-0.65) were less likely to die of AIDS-associated diseases. However, HIV/AIDS patients who were on HAART and living in the western areas of Shandong (HR=1.33, 95%CI: 1.01-1.89), diagnosed by medical institutions (HR=1.39, 95%CI: 1.06-1.80), started to receive care ≥1 year after diagnosis (HR=2.02, 95%CI: 1.30-3.15), their CD(4) cell count less than 200 cells/μl (HR=3.41, 95%CI: 2.59-4.59) at the time of diagnosis, with NVP in antiviral treatment (ART) regime (HR=1.36, 95%CI: 1.03-1.88), at Ⅲ/Ⅳ clinical stages (HR=2.61, 95%CI: 1.94-3.53) and CD(4) cell count less than 350 cells/μl (HR=5.48,95%CI: 2.32-12.72) at initiation of HAART ect., were more likely to die of AIDS-associated diseases. Conclusions: With the existence of competing risks, the cumulative incidence rate for AIDS-related death was overestimated by K-M, suggesting that competing risk models should be used in the survival analysis. Measures as early diagnoses followed by timely care and early HAART could end up with the reduction of AIDS-related death.

Study on the prevalence of HIV infection and related risk behaviors among male new-type drug users in Qingdao, Shandong province / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To understand the characteristics of new-type drug consumption, sexual behaviors and the prevalence of HIV infection among male new-type drug users in Qingdao, Shandong province. Methods: A cross sectional survey was conducted from 2015 to 2016. Participants were recruited from MSM community-based organizations (CBO) and general community through snowball method, relying on volunteers and male peer educators who were on new-type drugs themselves. Face-to-face interview was carried to collect information on drug use and sexual behaviors. Blood samples were collected to test HIV, syphilis and HCV antibodies. Urine samples were collected to test the evidence of new-type drugs. Qualitative variables and quantitative variables were analyzed using Chi-square test/Fisher's exact test and Student's t-test respectively. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze related factors of binary variables. Results: A total of 1 034 newtype drug users were recruited, including 431 (41.7%) MSM population and 603 (58.3%) who were not MSM. Compared with the the group of people who were not MSM, people in the the MSM group were younger, unmarried and with higher level of education. The proportion of methamphetamine users were 49.7% (214/431) and 100.0% (603/603) among the groups of MSM or not MSM, respectively. People in the MSM group, 66.8% (288/431) used 5-Methoxy-N, N-diisopropyltryptamine (5-MeODIPT, "foxy" ) in the last six months. However, none from the not-MSM group ever used 5-MeO-DIPT. In the last six months, proportions of sharing new-type drugs with more than two people in the MSM or not groups were 87.9% (379/431) and 97.7% (588/602), respectively (χ(2)=39.84, P<0.01). Proportions of unprotected sexual behavior among the MSM or not groups were 47.5% (285/600) and 7.4% (32/430) respectively (χ(2)=190.10, P<0.01). The proportions of 'group sex' after using drugs among the two groups were 78.1% (335/429) and 5.5% (33/600) respectively (χ(2)=573.73, P<0.01). The prevalence rates of HIV, syphilis and HCV antibody positive among the MSM or not groups were 2.1% and 0.2%, 3.3% and 6.3%, 0.0% and 0.3%, respectively. Conclusion: The prevalence of sharing new-type drugs with more than two people was high among male new-type drug users in Qingdao city. Male new-type-drug-users who were MSM, presented both high prevalence of group sex and HIV infection, and with less condom use. Intervention measures towards this sub-population should be strengthened.

Epidemiological features of hepatitis C and its related influencing factors in Shandong province, 2007-2016 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics, dynamic trend of development and related influencing factors of hepatitis C in Shandong, China, 2007-2016, also to provide epidemiological evidence for prevention and control of HCV. Methods: National surveillance data of hepatitis C from 2007 to 2016 in Shandong was used, with distribution and clustering map of hepatitis C drawn at the county level. Panel Poisson regression was used to explore the influencing factors of hepatitis C at the city level. Results: The incidence of hepatitis C in Shandong increased from 1.49/100 000 in 2007 to 4.72/100 000 in 2016, with the high incidence mainly clustered in the urban regions in Jinan, Zibo, Weihai et al. and surrounding vicinities. Majority of the cases were young adults, with 53.16% (14 711/27 671) of them being farmers. Results from the Multiple panel Poisson regression analysis indicated that factors as: population density (aIRR=1.07, 95%CI: 1.05-1.10), number of hospital per hundred thousand people shared (aIRR=1.16, 95%CI: 1.08-1.24), expenditure of medical fee in rural (aIRR=1.21, 95%CI: 1.08-1.37) and the proportion of the tertiary industry (aIRR=1.08, 95%CI: 1.07-1.09) were all correlated to the incidence of hepatitis C. Conclusions: The incidence of hepatitis C had been increasing rapidly in recent years, in Shandong. Prevention and control of HCV should focus on high risk population. In addition, rural, especially in areas with lower economics provision should be under more attentions, so as to find more concealed cases for early treatment.