Five-year follow-up mortality prognostic index for colorectal patients.

PURPOSE: To identify 5-year survival prognostic variables in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and to propose a survival prognostic score that also takes into account changes over time in the patient's health-related quality of life (HRQoL) status. METHODS: Prospective observational cohort study of CRC patients. We collected data from their diagnosis, intervention, and at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years following the index intervention, also collecting HRQoL data using the EuroQol-5D-5L (EQ-5D-5L), European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer's Quality of Life Questionnaire-Core 30 (EORTC-QLQ-C30), and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) questionnaires. Multivariate Cox proportional models were used. RESULTS: We found predictors of mortality over the 5-year follow-up to be being older; being male; having a higher TNM stage; having a higher lymph node ratio; having a result of CRC surgery classified as R1 or R2; invasion of neighboring organs; having a higher score on the Charlson comorbidity index; having an ASA IV; and having worse scores, worse quality of life, on the EORTC and EQ-5D questionnaires, as compared to those with higher scores in each of those questionnaires respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These results allow preventive and controlling measures to be established on long-term follow-up of these patients, based on a few easily measurable variables. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: Patients with colorectal cancer should be monitored more closely depending on the severity of their disease and comorbidities as well as the perceived health-related quality of life, and preventive measures should be established to prevent adverse outcomes and therefore to ensure that better treatment is received. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02488161.

Quality Indicators and Outcomes in a Prospective Cohort of Colorectal Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: Some quality indicators of proper health care in patients with colorectal cancer have been established. AIMS: Our goal was to evaluate the relationship between performing of certain procedures or treatments, included as quality indicators, and some outcomes of indicators in the follow-up of colorectal cancer patients. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer that underwent surgery and were followed at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years. CT scanning, colonoscopy, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were evaluated in relation to various clinical outcomes and PROM changes over 5 years. Multivariable generalized linear mixed models were used to evaluate their effect on mortality, complications, recurrence, and PROM changes (HAD, EQ-5D, EORTC-Q30) at the next follow-up. RESULTS: CT scanning or colonoscopy was related to a decrease in the risk of dying, while chemotherapy at a specified moment was related to an increased risk. In the case of recurrence, CT scanning and chemotherapy showed statistically increased the risk, while all the procedures and treatments influenced complications. Regarding PROM scales, CT scanning, colonoscopy, and radiotherapy showed statistically significant results with respect to an increase in anxiety and decrease in quality of life measured by the EORTC. However, undergoing radiotherapy at a specified moment increased depression levels, and overall, receiving radiotherapy decreased the quality of life of the patients, as measured by the EuroQol-5d. CONCLUSIONS: After adjustment for sociodemographic factors, comorbidities, and severity of the disease, performing certain quality indicators of proper health care in patients with colorectal cancer was related to less mortality but higher adverse outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02488161.

Long-Term Nightshift Work and Breast Cancer Risk: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Special Attention to Menopausal Status and to Recent Nightshift Work.

This systematic review discusses long-term NSW and female BC risk, with special attention to differences between pre- and postmenopausal BC, to test the association with recent NSW. The review follows PRISMA guidelines (Prospero registry: CRD42018102515). We searched PubMed, Embase, and WOS for case-control, nested case-control, and cohort studies addressing long-term NSW (≥15 years) as risk exposure and female BC as outcome until 31 December 2020. Risk of bias was evaluated with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Eighteen studies were finally included (eight cohorts; five nested case-control; five case-control). We performed meta-analyses on long-term NSW and BC risk; overall and by menopausal status; a subanalysis on recent long-term NSW, based on studies involving predominantly women below retirement age; and a dose-response meta-analysis on NSW duration. The pooled estimate for long-term NSW and BC was 1.13 (95%CI = 1.01-1.27; 18 studies, I2 = 56.8%, p = 0.002). BC risk increased 4.7% per 10 years of NSW (95%CI = 0.94-1.09; 16 studies, I2 = 33.4%, p = 0.008). The pooled estimate for premenopausal BC was 1.27 (95%CI = 0.96-1.68; six studies, I2 = 32.0%, p = 0.196) and for postmenopausal BC 1.05 (95%CI = 0.90-1.24,I2 = 52.4%; seven studies, p = 0.050). For recent long-term exposure, the pooled estimate was 1.23 (95%CI = 1.06-1.42; 15 studies; I2 = 48.4%, p = 0.018). Our results indicate that long-term NSW increases the risk for BC and that menopausal status and time since exposure might be relevant.

Risk scores to predict mortality 2 and 5 years after surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to identify predictors of mortality in elderly patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery and to develop a risk score. METHODS: This was an observational prospective cohort study. Individuals over 80 years diagnosed with colorectal cancer and treated surgically were recruited in 18 hospitals in the Spanish National Health Service, between June 2010 and December 2012, and were followed up 1, 2, 3, and 5 years after surgery. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected. The primary outcomes were mortality at 2 and between 2 and 5 years after the index admission. RESULTS: The predictors of mortality 2 years after surgery were haemoglobin ≤ 10 g/dl and colon locations (HR 1.02; CI 0.51-2.02), ASA class of IV (HR 3.55; CI 1.91-6.58), residual tumour classification of R2 (HR 7.82; CI 3.11-19.62), TNM stage of III (HR 2.14; CI 1.23-3.72) or IV (HR 3.21; CI 1.47-7), LODDS of more than - 0.53 (HR 3.08; CI 1.62-5.86)) and complications during admission (HR 1.73; CI 1.07-2.80). Between 2 and 5 years of follow-up, the predictors were no tests performed within the first year of follow-up (HR 2.58; CI 1.21-5.46), any complication due to the treatment within the 2 years of follow-up (HR 2.47; CI 1.27-4.81), being between 85 and 89 and not having radiotherapy within the second year of follow-up (HR 1.60; CI 1.01-2.55), no colostomy closure within the 2 years of follow-up (HR 4.93; CI 1.48-16.41), medical complications (HR 1.61; CI 1.06-2.44), tumour recurrence within the 2 years of follow-up period (HR 3.19; CI 1.96-5.18), and readmissions at 1 or 2 years of follow-up after surgery (HR 1.44; CI 0.86-2.41). CONCLUSION: We have identified variables that, in our sample, predict mortality 2 and between 2 and 5 years after surgery for colorectal cancer older patients. We have also created risks scores, which could support the decision-making process. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT02488161 .

Predictors of readmission and reoperation in patients with colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: To assess the impact of readmission and reoperation on colon or rectal cancer patients in clinical and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) and to identify predictors of these events up to 1 year after surgery. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with colon or rectal cancer who underwent surgery at 1 of 22 hospitals. Medical history, clinical parameters, and PROMs were evaluated as possible predictors. Multivariable multilevel logistic regression and survival models were used in the analyses to create the clinical prediction rules. Models were developed in a derivation sample and validated in a different sample. RESULTS: Readmission and reoperation were related to clinical outcomes and changes in some PROMs. Predictors of readmission in colon cancer were ASA class (odds ratio (OR) 4.5), TNM (OR for TNM III 3.24, TNM IV 4.55), evidence of residual tumor (R2) (OR 3.96), and medical (OR 1.96) and infectious (OR 2.01) complications within 30 days after surgery, while for rectal cancer, the predictors identified were age (OR 1.03), R2 (OR 6.48), infectious complications within 30 days (OR 2.29), hemoglobin (OR 3.26), lymph node ratio (OR 2.35), and surgical complications within 1 month (OR 3.04). Predictors of reoperation were TNM IV (OR 5.06), surgical complications within 30 days (OR 1.98), and type and site of tumor (OR 1.72) in colon cancer and being male (OR 1.52), age (OR 1.80), stoma (OR 1.87), and surgical complications within 1 month (OR 1.95) in rectal cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Our clinical prediction rule models are easy to use and could help to develop and implement interventions to reduce preventable readmissions and reoperations. TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02488161 Identifier: NCT02488161.

Outcomes of open versus laparoscopic surgery in patients with rectal cancer.

PURPOSE: The goal of this study was to compare the effectiveness of laparoscopic with that of open surgery up to 2 years after intervention in patients with rectal cancer. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study of patients with rectal cancer who underwent surgery (laparoscopic or open) between June 2010 and December 2012 in 22 acute hospitals. Main outcomes were mortality, complications, reoperation, readmission, and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), as measured using the EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D), European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) QLQ-Q30 and Q29, the Barthel Index (BI), and the Duke-UNC Functional Social Support Questionnaire at baseline, 1 year, and 2 years after surgery. Multivariable multilevel logistic regression and generalized linear models were used in the analyses after adjusting for specific propensity scores developed for each outcome and time point. RESULTS: In the multivariable analysis, rates of some medical complications after surgery during admission (renal failure and paralytic ileus) and infectious (urinary tract infection, septic shock, and localized intra-abdominal infection) and at 1 year (renal and heart failure) were higher among patients who underwent open surgery than among those who underwent laparoscopic surgery. There were no differences between the two surgical approaches in all other parameters assessed at the different time points or in all PROMs evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: Laparoscopic surgery and open surgery provide quite similar results in patients with rectal cancer up to 2 years after intervention in most outcomes, though the rates of certain medical and infectious complications at admission and up to 1 year after the intervention were higher in open surgery.

Factors that influence treatment delay in patients with colorectal cancer.

A prospective study was performed of patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC), distinguishing between colonic and rectal location, to determine the factors that may provoke a delay in the first treatment (DFT) provided.2749 patients diagnosed with CRC were studied. The study population was recruited between June 2010 and December 2012. DFT is defined as time elapsed between diagnosis and first treatment exceeding 30 days.Excessive treatment delay was recorded in 65.5% of the cases, and was more prevalent among rectal cancer patients. Independent predictor variables of DFT in colon cancer patients were a low level of education, small tumour, ex-smoker, asymptomatic at diagnosis and following the application of screening. Among rectal cancer patients, the corresponding factors were primary school education and being asymptomatic.We conclude that treatment delay in CRC patients is affected not only by clinicopathological factors, but also by sociocultural ones. Greater attention should be paid by the healthcare provider to social groups with less formal education, in order to optimise treatment attention.

Predictors of Hospital Length of Stay in Patients with Exacerbations of COPD: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Various studies have tried to delimit the predictors of hospital length of stay (LOS) for patients with exacerbated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (eCOPD), but have been disadvantaged by certain limiting factors. OBJECTIVE: Our goal was to prospectively identify predictors of LOS in these patients and to validate our results. DESIGN: This was a prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Subjects were patients with eCOPD who visited 16 hospital emergency departments (EDs) and who were admitted to the hospital. MAIN MEASURES: Data were recorded on possible predictor variables at the ED visit, on admission and 24 hours later, during hospitalization, and on discharge. LOS and prolonged LOS (≥ 9 days, considering the 75th percentile of LOS in our sample) were the outcomes of interest. Multivariate multilevel linear and logistic regression models were employed. RESULTS: A total of 1,453 patients were equally divided between derivation and validation samples. The hospital variable was the best predictor of LOS. Multivariate predictors of LOS, as log-transformed variables, were the hospital, baseline dyspnea and physical activity levels and fatigue at 24 hours, intensive care or intensive respiratory care unit admission, the need for antibiotics, and complications during hospitalization. Predictors of prolonged LOS were also the hospital, baseline dyspnea and fatigue at 24 hours, ICU or IRCU admission, and complications during hospitalization (AUC: 0.77). Models were validated in the validation sample (AUC: 0.75). CONCLUSIONS: We identified a number of modifiable factors, including baseline dyspnea, physical activity level, and hospital variability, that influenced the LOS of patients with eCOPD who were admitted to the hospital.

Waiting time for cataract extraction: Predictive factors and influence on outcomes.

PURPOSE: To identify variables related to time spent on a waiting list for cataract extraction and the effect of waiting time on some outcomes. SETTING: Twelve ophthalmology units throughout Spain. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: This study included consecutive patients scheduled to have cataract removal by phacoemulsification. Sociodemographic and clinical data, including visual acuity, and Visual Function Index 14 (VF-14) results were collected before and after cataract extraction. Univariate and multivariate linear regression was performed to identify variables related to time on the waiting list for cataract extraction and the influence of waiting time on postoperative visual acuity, visual function, and complications. RESULTS: The study comprised 3787 patients. Patients with social support spent significantly more time (1.04 times) on the waiting list (P = .0188), while those with contralateral visual acuity better than 0.5 and those with vision-related daily living difficulties spent less time on the waiting list. Patients who waited longer than 5 months for cataract extraction had smaller gains in visual acuity than those who waited fewer than 3 months (P = .0348). Time on the waiting list did not significantly influence changes in the VF-14 results or complications from surgery. CONCLUSIONS: The finding that some contradictory sociodemographic factors influence time spent on a waiting list for cataract extraction suggests that rational, explicit, and homogeneous appropriateness and priority criteria are not being applied to these patients. Use of such criteria could improve waiting times and order waiting lists so patients who need cataract extraction the most would receive it soonest. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE: No author has a financial or proprietary interest in any material or method mentioned.

Appropriateness of phacoemulsification in Spain.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the appropriateness of phacoemulsification procedures performed in four Spanish regions, applying criteria developed by means of RAND/UCLA methodology. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Seventeen public teaching hospitals in four regions of Spain. PARTICIPANTS: Patients on waiting list to undergo cataract extraction by phacoemulsification. INTERVENTION: Cataract surgery by phacoemulsification. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Level of appropriateness of each intervention, according to criteria developed by means of the RAND/UCLA appropriateness methodology. RESULTS: Among the 5442 analysed patients the indication of phacoemulsification was appropriate in 69.6%, inappropriate in 7.3% and uncertain in 23.0%. Presence of ocular comorbidity, lack of cataract-induced visual function limitation, anticipated postoperative visual acuity of <0.5, preoperative visual acuity of >0.1 and high surgical complexity were associated with inappropriateness. CONCLUSIONS: Some clinical characteristics, when present, make it especially important to obtain a careful assessment of the risks and benefits of surgery. Consideration of these characteristics may improve the appropriateness of phacoemulsification.