ABSTRACT
The current lack of information on past summer sunshine duration variability from annually resolved palaeoclimatological archives is hindering progress in the understanding and modelling of the earth climate system. We show that a combination of tree-ring carbon and oxygen isotopes from Siberia provides robust information on summer sunshine duration, which we use for an annual 1505-year reconstruction of July sunshine duration variability (1,5K-SIB-JSDR). We found that the Medieval maximum is 56 % higher than the average over 1505 years. Rapid and drastic decreases in sunshine duration up to 60 % correspond to major stratospheric volcanic eruptions. Grand Solar Minima and total sunspot numbers are also well preserved in the 1,5K-SIB-JSDR. Coherency with a global air temperature composite and spring Arctic Oscillation indicate that a large-scale climate signal is retained in our sunshine reconstruction.
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Dust loading in West and South Asia has been a major environmental issue due to its negative effects on air quality, food security, energy supply and public health, as well as on regional and global weather and climate. Yet a robust understanding of its recent changes and future projection remains unclear. On the basis of several high-quality remote sensing products, we detect a consistently decreasing trend of dust loading in West and South Asia over the last two decades. In contrast to previous studies emphasizing the role of local land use changes, here, we attribute the regional dust decline to the continuous intensification of Arctic amplification driven by anthropogenic global warming. Arctic amplification results in anomalous mid-latitude atmospheric circulation, particularly a deepened trough stretching from West Siberia to Northeast India, which inhibits both dust emissions and their downstream transports. Large ensemble climate model simulations further support the dominant role of greenhouse gases induced Arctic amplification in modulating dust loading over West and South Asia. Future projections under different emission scenarios imply potential adverse effects of carbon neutrality in leading to higher regional dust loading and thus highlight the importance of stronger anti-desertification counter-actions such as reforestation and irrigation management.
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It is of great importance to scientifically evaluate the impact of weather and climate conditions on the occurrence of O3 pollution in order to improve the accuracy of O3 pollution forecastsï¼ as well as to reasonably control and reduce the adverse effects of O3 pollution. The characteristics of O3 concentration and climate background were analyzed based on daily O3 concentration dataï¼ meteorological factorsï¼ and NCEP/NCER reanalysis data from 2006 to 2021 in Shanghai. In additionï¼ the differences in atmospheric circulation situations during years with anomalous O3 concentrations were compared and diagnosed from the perspective of climatology. Additionallyï¼ the monthly O3 concentration prediction model ï¼seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous regressorsï¼ SARIMAXï¼ was further established by adding the key meteorological factors. The results indicated that both the whole-year average and summer half-year average O3 concentrations in Shanghai were increasing with fluctuationï¼ and the summer half-year average was much higher than the annual averageï¼ up to 36.2%. Furthermoreï¼ there was a significant negative correlation between O3 concentration and wind speed ï¼correlation coefficient of -0.826ï¼ and a significant positive correlation with the frequency of static wind and the number of days in which the low cloud cover was less than 20% ï¼correlation coefficients of 0.836 and 0.724ï¼ respectivelyï¼. The monthly mean O3 concentration had a clear periodicityï¼ showing a pattern with a high concentration in the middle period ï¼April to Septemberï¼ and a low concentration at the beginning and end of the periods. High O3 concentration years ï¼2013-2021ï¼ were accompanied by more polluted daysï¼ lower average wind speedï¼ more small wind ï¼≤1.5 m·s-1ï¼ daysï¼ more days of low cloud cover of less than 20%ï¼ more days of high temperatureï¼ higher direct solar radiationï¼ and more sunshine hours. When the location of the stronger West Pacific subtropical high was westward and southward in the summer half-yearï¼ Shanghai was influenced by an anomalous westerly windï¼ which was not conducive to the transportation of clean air from the sea to Shanghai and thus led to the high concentration of O3 pollution. When the long wave radiation emitted from the ground was low in the summer half-yearï¼ it was favorable for the increase in ground temperature and caused a high concentration of O3 pollution. Adding direct solar radiationï¼ maximum temperatureï¼ and wind speed as exogenous variables to the monthly O3 forecast model could significantly improve the effectiveness of the monthly forecastï¼ with the root mean square error decreasing by 47.7% ï¼from 22 to 11.5ï¼ and the correlation coefficient increasing by 11.2% ï¼from 0.819 to 0.911ï¼ï¼ which could be applied to the practical prediction of monthly O3 concentration.
ABSTRACT
In this study, we present a comprehensive atmospheric radiocarbon (14C) record spanning from 1940 to 2016, derived from 77 single tree rings of Cedrela odorata located in the Eastern Amazon Basin (EAB). This record, comprising 175 high-precision 14C measurements obtained through accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS), offers a detailed chronology of post-1950 CE (Common Era) 14C fluctuations in the Tropical Low-Pressure Belt (TLPB). To ensure accuracy and reliability, we included 14C-AMS results from intra-annual successive cuts of the tree rings associated to the calendar years 1962 and 1963 and conducted interlaboratory comparisons. In addition, 14C concentrations in 1962 and 1963 single-year cuts also allowed to verify tissue growth seasonality. The strategic location of the tree, just above the Amazon River and estuary areas, prevented the influence of local fossil-CO2 emissions from mining and trade activities in the Central Amazon Basin on the 14C record. Our findings reveal a notable increase in 14C from land-respired CO2 starting in the 1970s, a decade earlier than previously predicted, followed by a slight decrease after 2000, signaling a transition towards the fossil fuel era. This shift is likely attributed to changes in reservoir sources or global atmospheric dynamics. The EAB 14C record, when compared with a shorter record from Muna Island, Indonesia, highlights regional differences and contributes to a more nuanced understanding of global 14C variations at low latitudes. This study not only fills critical spatial gaps in existing 14C compilations but also aids in refining the demarcation of 14C variations over South America. The extended tree-ring 14C record from the EAB is pivotal for reevaluating global patterns, particularly in the context of the current global carbon budget, and underscores the importance of tropical regions in understanding carbon-climate feedbacks.
Subject(s)
Carbon Dioxide , Climate , Reproducibility of Results , Carbon , South AmericaABSTRACT
Droughts have impacted human society throughout its history. However, the occurrence of severe drought events in the last century and the concerns on the potential effects of climate change have prompted remarkable advances in drought conceptualization and modeling in recent years. This review intends to present the state-of-the-art on drought characterization and propagation, as well as providing insights on how climate dynamics and anthropogenic activities might affect this phenomenon. For this purpose, we first address the distinct concepts of droughts and their relationships. Next, we present two frequently utilized methods based on the run theory for drought characterization and explain the development and recovery stages of droughts. Then, we discuss potential drivers for drought occurrence and propagation, with focus on meteorological factors, catchments' physical characteristics and human activities. Later, we describe how droughts can affect several parameters of water quality. This review also addressed flash droughts, encompassing their definitions, commonly used indices, and potential drivers. Finally, we briefly address the roles of climate change and long-term persistence on future drought scenarios. This review may be useful for researchers and stakeholders for attaining a broader understanding on drought dynamics and impacts.
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The correlation between the growth rate of PM2.5 with transport source, atmospheric circulation, and wind field were analyzed, focusing on the severe and above pollution process (SAAP) in Xingtai, Hebei Province from 2013 to 2021. The results showed that from 2013 to 2021, a total of 164 pollution processes and 103 SAAP occurred in Xingtai. In the ground circulation, although the probability occurrence of the inverted trough was low, the probability of pollution was the highest (61.1%), followed by the high-pressure control type (>50.0%). In the 500 hPa, the control of the straight westerly wind belt had the highest probability of severe and above pollution (20.7%), followed by the post-trough type (16.1%), with the highest occurrence frequency. In SAAP, the distribution of the PM2.5 hourly growth rate (ΔPM2.5) was mainly concentrated between ±150 µg·(m3·h)-1, and the PM2.5 hourly growth rate was positive (+ΔPM2.5), contributing 61.7%. Among them, the average proportion of explosive growth was 13.9% (from 2013 to 2021), and the overall trend was decreasing annually. In the full wind speed, in terms of occurrence frequency and pollution probability, north-east (NE) was the wind direction most closely related to air pollution, especially severe and above pollution. The mean value of ΔPM2.5 in SAAP was lower than that of quiet wind in most wind directions. However, in some of the east-north (EN) and south-west (SW) wind direction intervals, the mean ΔPM2.5 in moderate wind speed was significantly higher than that of quiet wind (related to pollution transmission). The impact of larger wind speed on ΔPM2.5 was more complicated. The backward trajectories showed that the backward trajectories of slow, rapid, and explosive growth in SAAP could be divided into three main paths:west-north, east-north, and south. With the acceleration of the growth rate, the proportion of the west-north air mass gradually increased. The humidity (RH) of the slow-growth air mass was relatively large (more than 80% RH>50%), the relative humidity of the rapidly growing air mass was relatively concentrated (mainly distributed in 35%-55%), and the proportion of low-humidity (<50%) air masses increased significantly (by approximately 63%) in the explosive growth. The simulation analysis showed that the types of SAAP pollution could be divided into five categories:local accumulation, east-northern transmission, north-west transmission, mixed transmission, and south transmission. Among them, the proportion of mixed transmission was the highest, followed by that of the north-west transmission. The high and low-altitude configurations with the highest occurrence probability among the southerly transmission, the local accumulation type, and the north-easterly transport type were all high-altitude trough rear type combined with ground equalization field type. Among the north-westerly type, the high-pressure on the ground with the behind trough on high-altitude had the highest probability of occurrence. In mixed transmission, the probabilities of various circulation ratios were relatively balanced.
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Isotope composition and moisture sources of precipitation are important for understanding water cycles and reconstructing paleoclimate. Based on 15-years' precipitation stable Isotope composition (δ18O and δ2H) from four stations of the Qilian Mountains, we found unique δ18O and δ2H features associated with the incursion of the summer monsoon over the Qilian Mountains, northwestern China. In 12 of the 15 years, similar seasonal variations of δ18O and δ2H confirmed a dominant source of moisture from Westerly circulation, and higher intercepts of the local meteoric water line (LMWL) indicated strong recycling of continental moisture. However, in August 2016 and 2018, extremely low slopes and intercepts of the LMWL, and more negative δ18O and δ2H revealed substantial contributions of the Asian summer monsoon to precipitation of the Qilian Mountains, with extremely heavy precipitation in August 2016. The column moisture flux, land-sea thermal contrast, correlations of precipitation δ18O with East Asian Summer Monsoon Index and Westerlies Index, HYSPLIT modeling results and precipitation δ18O along backward trajectories confirmed incursions of the summer monsoon in August 2016 and 2018. Our redefining of the boundary of the summer monsoon region confirmed the summer monsoon incursion zone can extend to the west of longitude 96°E and north of latitude 40°N in strong monsoon years, corresponding to boundaries of monsoon incursions in the mid-Holocene. Temperature correlated with precipitation δ18O at monthly and shorter time scales, but not for whole seasons or at yearly scale, revealing that summer monsoon incursions are therefore more likely than changing temperature to explain the multi-year cycles in the Qilian Mountains ice archives. Continent-scale shifts in atmospheric circulation strongly influence water resources in the Qilian mountains, and may change in frequency as climate warms. This study therefore has important implications for understanding water resources in the Qilian mountains in the past and into the future.
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Ecological drought is a complex comprehensive process in which the water conditions for normal growth and development of vegetation are changed due to insufficient water supply. In this study, based on the remotely sensed vegetation health index (VHI) and the Famine Early Warning Systems Network Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) datasets from 1982 to 2020 in China, the Breaks For Additive Seasons and Trend algorithm (BFAST) was used to analyze the dynamic variations of ecological drought, the standardized regression coefficient method was applied to identify the primary drivers of ecological drought, and the regression analysis was adopted to reveal the coupling effect of atmospheric circulation factors on ecological drought. The results indicated that: (1) the ecological drought showed an overall decreasing trend during 1982-2020 in China, with a negative mutation point that occurred in April 1985; (2) spring drought and summer drought were more likely to occur in the South China, and autumn drought and winter drought were more likely to appear in the Sichuan Basin; (3) the propagation time from meteorological to ecological drought was shorter in summer (2.67 months) and longer in winter (7 months), with average r values of 0.76 and 0.53, respectively; (4) the Trans Polar Index (TPI), Arctic Oscillation (AO) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) had important impacts on ecological drought, which can be used as input factors of drought early warning system to improve the accuracy of drought prediction.
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Global warming and intensified human activities have led to regional climate instability with increasing frequency and the persistence of high-temperature climate events. Eco-environmental protection and socio-economic development have been faced with rigorous threats. Taking the monthly maximum temperatures from 1950 to 2019 as the basic data source, the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of seasonal average maximum temperature (AMT) were discerned using the Mann-Kendall test and unary linear regression method in China from 1950 to 2019. Combined with linear correlation, partial linear correlation, and wavelet analysis, the correlation between seasonal AMT characteristics and atmospheric circulations was analyzed quantitatively. The results showed that:â the AMT in all seasons had a significant upward trend, with an increase of 1.21, 0.08, 1.81, and 0.25â in spring, summer, autumn, and winter, respectively. The abrupt change times of the AMT were concentrated in the 1990s to the early 21st century. â¡ In terms of spatial distribution, except for in summer, the average trend rates of AMT in other seasons increased gradually from south to north, although the increasing degrees were different. Among them, the AMT change rate in spring-winter was the fastest in northeast and northwest China. ⢠There were complex correlations between the AMT of every season and atmospheric circulation factors, and the distribution of the interrelation energy varied significantly in different frequency domains. Specifically, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation had a significant negative correlation with AMT in summer. The North Atlantic Oscillation had an active effect on AMT changes in summer, autumn, and winter. The Arctic Oscillation had a significant positive driving effect on AMT in all seasons, and there were significant positive or negative influences on the short-or long-term changes of AMT in spring and summer due to the different EI Niño-Southern Oscillation years. These results could provide a theoretical basis and technical reference for China to formulate scientific and effective response plans of climate change.
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Floods have a direct impact on the society and the environment, causing human losses, affecting individual incomes and national economic activity including infrastructure damages. Atmospheric circulation is strongly related to both mean and extreme climate, with the latter being the driving force of adverse phenomena, such as inundations. The overarching goal of the research is the identification of those atmospheric circulation patterns that are associated with catastrophic flood events over Greece. An updated atmospheric classification scheme consisted of 12 circulation types (5 anticyclonic and 7 cyclonic) is implemented to detect and highlight the flood-dominant circulation types over the domain of interest. It is established that for a 7-year period (from 2012 to 2018), where reliable flood inventories are available as a derivative of the European Union (EU) Flood Directive implementation process, the dominant circulation type is the cyclonic type C with its center to be located over the Cyclades area. The study also reveals that during the most severe floods, the prevailing cyclonic types are substantially deeper than their mean anomaly field. Finally, out of the 14 River Basin Districts of Greece, Thrace (EL14) is the more flood prone area, while Eastern Macedonia (EL11) is far less flood affected. The introduced Floods' Frequency Vulnerability index (FFVI) showed that in the case of significant floods, Western Peloponnese (EL01) and Epirus (EL05) are the most vulnerable River Basin Districts. The proposed methodology of coupling circulation types with flood occurrences can be applied in all EU Member-States and set the base of effective floods' prediction mechanisms at River Basin Districts scales.
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Summer extreme precipitation is one of the most frequent, intense, and influential extreme weather events that occurs frequently in the Wuhan Urban Agglomeration (WUA). Preventing meteorological disasters and coping with climate change necessitate understanding the characteristics and causes of extreme precipitation and its impact on ecosystems. In this study, the spatiotemporal characteristics of summer extreme precipitation in the WUA are analysed from 1961 to 2020. Then, NCEP reanalysis data and the relevant circulation index are used to explore the causes of extreme precipitation. Finally, how extreme precipitation influences key ecosystem services, such as water yield, water regulation, and soil conservation, is investigated. The results reveal that (1) extreme precipitation in the WUA has shown an obvious upwards trend over the past 60 years. Huanggang, Xianning, Huangshi, Wuhan, and E'zhou city demonstrate the highest values. The extreme precipitation increased significantly after 1980s, especially the R97.5P and PRCPTOT with change rate of 12.1 mm/10a and 18.82 mm/10a respectively. (2) Atmospheric circulation variation is a dominant factor affecting extreme precipitation in the WUA and causes the meridional distribution of the "+ - +" wave train in eastern China. The intensity and location of the Western Pacific subtropical high are closely related to extreme precipitation. Furthermore, the weakening of the East Asian summer monsoon circulation is also conducive to the occurrence of extreme precipitation. (3) The spatial distribution of water yield and runoff retention in abnormal extreme precipitation years are similar to the variation patterns of the total amount of extreme precipitation. Water yield and runoff retention in high-value extreme precipitation years are higher than that in low-value extreme precipitation years, while soil conservation shows no difference. In addition, ecosystem services have a synergistic relationship in high-value areas and a trade-off relationship in low-value areas. This study can contribute to the understanding of extreme precipitation in the WUA and its interaction with ecosystem services.
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On the alpine areas such as Tianshan Mountains, snow and glaciers are widely distributed, which are sensitive to temperature changes. However, due to high altitude and scarcity of observed stations, the temperature changes and their causes in Tianshan are unclear. To address this issue, this study integrated Thiel-Sen trend test, Pearson correlation, and wavelet analysis methods to analyze the driving factors of temperature changes in Tianshan. We draw the following conclusions: (1) In the past 40 years, Tianshan warmed at a rate of 0.30 °C/decade. Seasonally, the temperature increased the most in spring and summer; spatially, the east Tianshan experienced the most warming. (2) Climate change has affected significant warming in the Tianshan. (3) The large-scale climate teleconnections found to be associated with warming in the Tianshan include North Pacific pattern, Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV), North Atlantic Oscillation, and Western Hemisphere Warm Pool (WHWP). During the study period, the temperature changes lagged AMV and WHWP by 1.5 months, North Tropical Atlantic Index and Tropical Northern Atlantic Index by 3 months, and Arctic Oscillation by 4 months. This research contributes to understanding the response of dry mountains to global warming and atmospheric circulation changes.
Subject(s)
Global Warming , Ice Cover , Temperature , Climate Change , SeasonsABSTRACT
Based on observation data and a novel K-mean clustering method, we investigated whether intrinsic atmospheric circulation patterns are related with the occurrence of high particulate matter (PM) concentration days (diameters less than or equal to 2.5 µm (PM2.5)), in Seoul, South Korea, during the cold season (December to March). A simple composite map shows that weak horizontal and vertical ventilation over the Korean Peninsula can cause high PM2.5 concentration (High_PM2.5) days. Also, atmospheric circulations are quite different between one day of High_PM2.5 and periods longer than two days. We also found that two intrinsic atmospheric circulation patterns in Asia, which were obtained by adopting K-mean clustering to the daily 850 hPa geopotential height anomalies for 2005-2020, were associated with High_PM2.5 days. These results indicate that High_PM2.5 days in Seoul, South Korea, occur as a result of intrinsic atmospheric circulation patterns, therefore, they are unavoidable unless the anthropogenic emission sources over the Korean Peninsula, East Asia, or both are reduced. In addition, these two intrinsic atmospheric circulation patterns are more prominent for periods longer than two days while there are no favorable intrinsic atmospheric circulation patterns to induce one day of High_PM2.5, which indicates that a single day of High_PM2.5 tends to occur by a stochastic atmospheric circulation rather than the intrinsic atmospheric circulation patterns.
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AIMS: Drowning deaths are a leading cause of unintentional deaths worldwide. Few studies have analysed the role of meteorology in drowning, and with inconclusive results. The aim of this work is to analyse the temporal and geographical distribution of deaths by accidental drowning and submersion in Spain over 20 years, and to assess the relationship between accidental drowning and main atmospheric circulation patterns. METHODS: An ecological study was performed, in which drowning and submersion mortality data from 1999 to 2018, considering demographic variables, were analysed. To study the association with atmospheric circulation we used an ERA5 reanalysis product over the whole European continent and the Climatic Research Unit Time Series (CRU TS) data set. RESULTS: The annual average rate of deaths by accidental drownings was 11.86 deaths per million of habitants in Spain. The incidence in males was four times higher than in females, and when comparing age groups, the rate in the eldest group was the highest. Unintentional drowning deaths were not equally distributed around the country; the provinces with the highest registered standardized drowning death rates were touristic waterfront provinces either in Eastern Spain or in one of the archipelagos. There was a significant relationship between accidental drowning and meteorological variables during summer months, and drowning deaths were spatially correlated with sea-level pressure over the Mediterranean basin. CONCLUSION: Although the mortality rate registered a statistically significant decreasing tendency over the studied period, our results must be taken into consideration to improve the prevention strategies in the country since most of these deaths are avoidable.
Subject(s)
Drowning , Male , Female , Humans , Infant , Drowning/epidemiology , Drowning/prevention & control , Spain/epidemiology , Cause of Death , IncidenceABSTRACT
This study evaluated interannual variation in the subsurface aragonite undersaturation zone (ΩAr<1 layer) in the Pacific Arctic Ocean, using data from the 2016-2019 period. The upper boundary (DEPΩ<1UB) of the ΩAr<1 layer generally formed at a depth where the contribution of corrosive Pacific water was approximately 98 %. The intensity of the Beaufort Gyre associated with freshwater accumulation mainly determined interannual variation in DEPΩ<1UB, but the direction of its effect was opposite west and east of ~166°W. The lower boundary (DEPΩ<1LB) of the ΩAr<1 layer was generally found at a depth range where equal contributions of Pacific and Atlantic water were expected. An Atlantic-origin cold saline water intrusion event in 2017 caused by an anomalous atmospheric circulation pattern significantly lifted the DEPΩ<1LB, thus the thickness of the ΩAr<1 layer decreased.
Subject(s)
Calcium Carbonate , Caustics , Arctic Regions , Calcium Carbonate/analysis , Fresh Water , Pacific Ocean , SeawaterABSTRACT
The last two decades have seen a dramatic decline and strong year-to-year variability in Arctic winter sea ice, especially in the Barents-Kara Sea (BKS), changes that have been linked to extreme midlatitude weather and climate. It has been suggested that these changes in winter sea ice arise largely from a combined effect of oceanic and atmospheric processes, but the relative importance of these processes is not well established. Here, we explore the role of atmospheric circulation patterns on BKS winter sea ice variability and trends using observations and climate model simulations. We find that BKS winter sea ice variability is primarily driven by a strong anticyclonic anomaly over the region, which explains more than 50% of the interannual variability in BKS sea-ice concentration (SIC). Recent intensification of the anticyclonic anomaly has warmed and moistened the lower atmosphere in the BKS by poleward transport of moist-static energy and local processes, resulting in an increase in downwelling longwave radiation. Our results demonstrate that the observed BKS winter sea-ice variability is primarily driven by atmospheric, rather than oceanic, processes and suggest a persistent role of atmospheric forcing in future Arctic winter sea ice loss.
Subject(s)
Atmosphere , Ice Cover , Arctic Regions , Climate , Ice Cover/chemistry , Oceans and Seas , Seasons , TimeABSTRACT
During the ongoing global COVID-19 pandemic disease, like several countries, Romania experienced a multiwaves pattern over more than two years. The spreading pattern of SARS-CoV-2 pathogens in the Bucharest, capital of Romania is a multi-factorial process involving among other factors outdoor environmental variables and viral inactivation. Through descriptive statistics and cross-correlation analysis applied to daily time series of observational and geospatial data, this study aims to evaluate the synergy of COVID-19 incidence and lethality with air pollution and radon under different climate conditions, which may exacerbate the coronavirus' effect on human health. During the entire analyzed period 1 January 2020-21 December 2021, for each of the four COVID-19 waves were recorded different anomalous anticyclonic synoptic meteorological patterns in the mid-troposphere, and favorable stability conditions during fall-early winter seasons for COVID-19 disease fast-spreading, mostly during the second, and the fourth waves. As the temporal pattern of airborne SARS-CoV-2 and its mutagen variants is affected by seasonal variability of the main air pollutants and climate parameters, this paper found: 1) the daily outdoor exposures to air pollutants (particulate matter PM2.5 and PM10, nitrogen dioxide-NO2, sulfur dioxide-SO2, carbon monoxide-CO) and radon - 222Rn, are directly correlated with the daily COVID-19 incidence and mortality, and may contribute to the spread and the severity of the pandemic; 2) the daily ground ozone-O3 levels, air temperature, Planetary Boundary Layer height, and surface solar irradiance are anticorrelated with the daily new COVID-19 incidence and deaths, averageingful for spring-summer periods. Outdoor exposure to ambient air pollution associated with radon is a non-negligible driver of COVID-19 transmission in large metropolitan areas, and climate variables are risk factors in spreading the viral infection. The findings of this study provide useful information for public health authorities and decision-makers to develop future pandemic diseases strategies in high polluted metropolitan environments.
Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , COVID-19 , Radon , Air Pollutants/analysis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Humans , Pandemics , Particulate Matter/analysis , Radon/analysis , Romania/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Time FactorsABSTRACT
In this article, we present a method to determine the influence of meteorology and air pollutants on ruptured aortic aneurysm (rAA). In contrast to previous studies, our work takes into account highly resolved seasonal relationships, a time-lagged effect relationship of up to two weeks, and furthermore, potential confounding influences between the meteorological and air-hygienic variables are considered and eliminated using a cross-over procedure. We demonstrate the application of the method using the cities of Augsburg and Munich in southern Germany as examples, where a total of 152 rAA can be analyzed for the years 2010-2019. With the help of a Wilcoxon rank-sum test and the analysis of the atmospheric circulation, typical weather situations could be identified that have an influence on the occurrence of rAA in the southern German region. These are a rainy northwest wind-type in spring, humid weather in summer and warm southwest wind-type weather in autumn and winter.
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Recent studies have revealed significant impact of anthropogenic aerosols to both climate and human health. Even though significant efforts have been made across the globe, studies related to aerosols over Southeast Africa remain scanty, hence causing high uncertainty in predicting and understanding the impacts of these aerosols. The present study therefore analyzed long-term spatial and temporal distribution of aerosol optical depth at 550 nanometer wavelength (AOD550) over the entire Southeast Africa. Relatively low AOD550 has been detected over the region in comparison to highly polluted regions across the globe. The highest annual average (>0.2) was observed over Lake Malawi, Zambezi valley, and the coastal areas of Central Mozambique while low annual values were recorded over northeast of Mozambique, and the eastern areas of Zimbabwe. In terms of seasonality, AOD550 was observed to be high (>0.3) during the dry months of September-October-November (SON) while being low (<0.1) during March-April-May (MAM) and June-July-August (JJA) in most areas. The seasonality of AOD550 was observed to be highly influenced by changes in seasonal biomass burning and seasonal atmospheric circulation. Statistical analyses revealed an insignificant change of AOD550 between 2002 and 2020 in most areas of the study domain. Regional open burning of biomass like bush fires and burning of crop residues during the dry months are the main sources of aerosol concentration. Therefore, the present study advocates the regulation and institutionalization of proactive and strategic mechanisms that curtail open burning activities within the region.
Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Aerosols/analysis , Air Pollutants/analysis , Environmental Monitoring , Humans , Seasons , ZimbabweABSTRACT
The tropospheric circumpolar vortex (CPV), an important signature of processes steering the general atmospheric circulation, surrounds each pole and is linked to the surface weather conditions. The CPV can be characterized by its area and circularity ratio (R c ), which both vary temporally. This research advances previous work identifying the daily 500-hPa Northern Hemispheric CPV (NHCPV) area, R c , and temporal trends in its centroid by examining linear trends and periodic cycles in NHCPV area and R c (1979-2017). Results suggest that NHCPV area has increased linearly over time. However, a more representative signal of the planetary warming may be the temporally weakening gradient which has blurred NHCPV distinctiveness-perhaps a new indicator of Arctic amplification. R c displays opposing trends in subperiods and an insignificant overall trend. Distinct annual and semiannual cycles exist for area and R c over all subperiods. These features of NHCPV change over time may impact surface weather/climate.