Matrix Metalloproteinase-2 and CKD Progression: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

Rationale & Objective: Matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP-2) plays an important role in the development of fibrosis, the final common pathway of chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study aimed to assess the relationship between repeated measures of MMP-2 and CKD progression in a large, diverse prospective cohort. Study Design: In a prospective cohort of Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants (N = 3,827), MMP-2 was measured at baseline. In a case-cohort design, MMP-2 was additionally measured at year 2 in a randomly selected subcohort and cases of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) halving or kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (N = 1,439). Setting & Participants: CRIC is a multicenter prospective cohort of adults with CKD. Exposure: MMP-2 measured in plasma at baseline and at year 2. Outcomes: A composite kidney endpoint (KRT/eGFR halving). Analytical Approach: Weighted Cox proportional hazards models for case-cohort participants. Results: Participants were followed for a median of 4.6 years from year 2 and 6.9 years from the baseline. Persistently elevated MMP-2 (≥300 ng/mL at both baseline and year 2) increased the hazard of the composite kidney endpoint (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.42; P = 0.09) after adjusting for covariates. The relationship of persistently elevated MMP-2 was modified by levels of inflammation, with a 2.6 times higher rate of the composite kidney endpoint in those with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein < 2.5 g/dL at study entry. Heterogeneity of effect was found with proteinuria, with a baseline MMP-2 level of ≥300 ng/mL associated with an increased risk of the composite kidney endpoint (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.09-1.54) only with proteinuria ≥ 442 mg/g. Limitations: The observational study design limits causal interpretation. Conclusions: Elevated MMP-2 is associated with CKD progression, particularly among those with low inflammation and those with proteinuria. Future investigations are warranted to confirm the reduction in risk of CKD progression among these subgroups of patients with CKD.

Matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP-2) is a matrix-degrading protease involved in fibrosis and elevated in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Longitudinal patterns of MMP-2 have not previously been assessed as a predictor of CKD progression in a large prospective cohort. Here, we found that a higher baseline level and an increasing or persistently elevated 2-year pattern of MMP-2 were associated with CKD progression, independent of all covariates except proteinuria. The association of baseline MMP-2 with CKD progression differed by level of proteinuria, whereas levels of inflammation modified the associations of 2-year MMP-2 patterns with CKD progression.

Clinical Impacts of Allograft Biopsy in Renal Transplant Recipients 10 Years or Longer After Transplantation.

We aimed to investigate the clinical value of allograft biopsy performed long after renal transplantation. We retrospectively evaluated 99 allograft biopsies in recipients with transplantation vintages of 10 years or longer. Mixed-effects model showed that 1-year estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slopes after biopsy were significantly greater than those before biopsy [-3.13, -4.42 mL/min/1.73 m2/year, p = 0.01]. Renal biopsy changed the treatment strategies in more than half of the patients. Improvement in eGFR slopes was pronounced in 51 patients with treatment modification based on the biopsy results [2.27 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66, 3.89) mL/min/1.73 m2/year], whereas no improvement was observed in those without [0.33 (95% CI: -1.05, 1.71) mL/min/1.73 m2/year, Pinteraction = 0.001]. Among the treatment modifications, enhancement of immunosuppression (IS) led to the most remarkable improvement in eGFR slope. Patients with g scores ≥2 were more likely to receive IS enhancement than those with g scores = 0 [odds ratio; 15.0 (95% CI: 1.65, 136)]. Patients with active glomerulitis (g ≥ 1) without chronicity (cg ≤ 1) showed the most significant improvement in eGFR slope. Given the prevalence of active glomerulitis (g ≥ 1, 21%), which is responsive to treatment even long after transplantation, and the observed magnitude of eGFR slope improvement, renal biopsy can indeed improve allograft prognosis.

Dapagliflozin treatment in patients with chronic kidney disease associated with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease.

Introduction: The DAPA-CKD study showed a protective effect of dapagliflozin on kidney function in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients with and without diabetes mellitus. Although dapagliflozin is expected to be effective also in CKD patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), its efficacy and safety in this population remain unknown because ADPKD was an exclusion criterion in the DAPA-CKD study. Therefore, we evaluated the effects of dapagliflozin in CKD patients with ADPKD. Methods: We performed a retrospective observational study of seven patients with ADPKD treated with dapagliflozin at Toranomon Hospital, Tokyo, Japan. We analyzed changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope and annual height-corrected total kidney volume before and after starting dapagliflozin treatment. Results: The median observation period after starting dapagliflozin was 20 months. Four patients received concomitant tolvaptan. The eGFR slope before and after initiation of dapagliflozin could be calculated in six patients and improved in all of them except the one who did not receive a renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitor. Annual height-corrected total kidney volume increased in all patients. Concurrent tolvaptan treatment had no effect. Conclusion: In CKD patients with ADPKD, dapagliflozin may increase kidney volume but may have a protective effect on kidney function when used concomitantly with RAS inhibitors.

Guidelines for clinical evaluation of chronic kidney disease in early stages : AMED research on regulatory science of pharmaceuticals and medical devices.

BACKGROUND: For the development of pharmaceutical products in kidney field, appropriate surrogate endpoints which can predict long-term prognosis are needed as an alternative to hard endpoints, such as end-stage kidney disease. Though international workshop has proposed estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) slope reduction of 0.5-1.0 mL/min/1.73 m /year and 30% decrease in albuminuria/proteinuria as surrogate endpoints in early and advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), it was not clear whether these are applicable to Japanese patients. METHODS: We analyzed J-CKD-DB and CKD-JAC, Japanese databases/cohorts of CKD patients, and J-DREAMS, a Japanese database of patients with diabetes mellitus to investigate the applicability of eGFR slope and albuminuria/proteinuria to the Japanese population. Systematic review on those endpoints was also conducted including the results of clinical trials published after the above proposal. RESULTS: Our analysis showed an association between eGFR slope and the risk of end-stage kidney disease. A 30% decrease in albuminuria/proteinuria over 2 years corresponded to a 20% decrease in the risk of end-stage kidney disease patients with baseline UACR ≥ 30 mg/gCre or UPCR ≥ 0.15 g/gCre in the analysis of CKD-JAC, though this analysis was not performed on the other database/cohort. Those results suggested similar trends to those of the systematic review. CONCLUSION: The results suggested that eGFR slope and decreased albuminuria/proteinuria may be used as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials for early CKD (including diabetic kidney disease) in Japanese population, though its validity and cutoff values must be carefully considered based on the latest evidence and other factors.

First experiences with machine learning predictions of accelerated declining eGFR slope of living kidney donors 3 years after donation.

BACKGROUND: Living kidney donors are screened pre-donation to estimate the risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). We evaluate Machine Learning (ML) to predict the progression of kidney function deterioration over time using the estimated GFR (eGFR) slope as the target variable. METHODS: We included 238 living kidney donors who underwent donor nephrectomy. We divided the dataset based on the eGFR slope in the third follow-up year, resulting in 185 donors with an average eGFR slope and 53 donors with an accelerated declining eGFR-slope. We trained three Machine Learning-models (Random Forest [RF], Extreme Gradient Boosting [XG], Support Vector Machine [SVM]) and Logistic Regression (LR) for predictions. Predefined data subsets served for training to explore whether parameters of an ESKD risk score alone suffice or additional clinical and time-zero biopsy parameters enhance predictions. Machine learning-driven feature selection identified the best predictive parameters. RESULTS: None of the four models classified the eGFR slope with an AUC greater than 0.6 or an F1 score surpassing 0.41 despite training on different data subsets. Following machine learning-driven feature selection and subsequent retraining on these selected features, random forest and extreme gradient boosting outperformed other models, achieving an AUC of 0.66 and an F1 score of 0.44. After feature selection, two predictive donor attributes consistently appeared in all models: smoking-related features and glomerulitis of the Banff Lesion Score. CONCLUSIONS: Training machine learning-models with distinct predefined data subsets yielded unsatisfactory results. However, the efficacy of random forest and extreme gradient boosting improved when trained exclusively with machine learning-driven selected features, suggesting that the quality, rather than the quantity, of features is crucial for machine learning-model performance. This study offers insights into the application of emerging machine learning-techniques for the screening of living kidney donors.

Design and baseline characteristics of the Finerenone, in addition to standard of care, on the progression of kidney disease in patients with Non-Diabetic Chronic Kidney Disease (FIND-CKD) randomized trial.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Finerenone, a non-steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, improved kidney, and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with CKD and T2D in two Phase 3 outcome trials. The FIND-CKD study investigates the effect of finerenone in adults with CKD without diabetes. METHODS: FIND-CKD (NCT05047263 and EU CT 2023-506897-11-00) is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 3 trial in patients with CKD of non-diabetic aetiology. Adults with a urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) of ≥ 200 to ≤3500 mg/g and eGFR ≥ 25 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 receiving a maximum tolerated dose of a renin-angiotensin-system (RAS) inhibitor were randomized 1:1 to once daily placebo or finerenone 10 or 20 mg depending on eGFR above or below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. The primary efficacy outcome is total eGFR slope, defined as the mean annual rate of change in eGFR from baseline to Month 32. Secondary efficacy outcomes include a combined cardiorenal composite outcome comprising time to kidney failure, sustained ≥57% decrease in eGFR, hospitalization for heart failure, or cardiovascular death, as well as separate kidney and cardiovascular composite outcomes. Adverse events are recorded to assess tolerability and safety. RESULTS: Across 24 countries, 3231 patients were screened and 1584 were randomized to study treatment. The most common causes of CKD were chronic glomerulonephritis (57.0%) and hypertensive/ischaemic nephropathy (29.0%). Immunoglobulin A nephropathy was the most common glomerulonephritis (26.3% of the total population). At baseline, mean eGFR and median UACR were 46.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 818.9 mg/g, respectively. Diuretics were used by 282 participants (17.8%), statins by 851 (53.7%), and calcium channel blockers by 794 (50.1%). SGLT2 inhibitors were used in 16.9% of patients; these individuals had a similar mean eGFR (45.6 vs 46.8 mL/min/1.73 m2) and slightly higher median UACR (871.9 vs 808.3 mg/g) compared to those not using SGLT2 inhibitors at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: FIND-CKD is the first Phase 3 trial of finerenone in patients with CKD of non-diabetic aetiology.

Sparsentan for Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis in the DUET Open-Label Extension: Long-term Efficacy and Safety.

Rationale & Objective: Sparsentan is a novel, non-immunosuppressive, single-molecule, dual endothelin angiotensin receptor antagonist (DEARA) examined in the ongoing phase 2 DUET trial for focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS). In the DUET 8-week double-blind period, sparsentan resulted in greater proteinuria reduction versus irbesartan. We report the long-term efficacy and safety of sparsentan during the open-label extension over more than 4 years. Study Design: Patients were examined from their first sparsentan dose (double-blind period or open-label extension) through 4.6 years. Setting & Participants: Patients with FSGS, excluding secondary FSGS. Intervention: Sparsentan (200, 400, and 800 mg/d). Outcomes: Urinary protein-creatinine ratio, FSGS partial remission endpoint (urinary protein-creatinine ratio ≤1.5 g/g and >40% reduction from baseline), estimated glomerular filtration rate, and blood pressure approximately every 12 weeks. Treatment-emergent adverse events by year and cases/100 patient-years. Results: 109 patients were enrolled; 108 received ≥1 sparsentan dose; 103 entered the open-label extension (68 sparsentan, 35 irbesartan during the double-blind period). Sparsentan was ongoing in 45/108 patients (41.7%); median time to treatment discontinuation was 3.9 years (95% CI, 2.6-5.2). Mean percent proteinuria reduction from baseline was sustained through follow-up. Achieving partial remission within 9 months of first sparsentan dose (52.8% of patients) versus not achieving (47.2%) was associated with significantly slower rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate decline over the entire treatment period (-2.70 vs -6.56; P = 0.03) and in the first 2 years (-1.69 vs -6.46; P = 0.03). The most common treatment-emergent adverse events (>9 cases/100 patient-years) were headache, peripheral edema, upper respiratory infection, hyperkalemia, and hypotension. Peripheral edema and hypotension declined from year 1 (13.9% and 15.7% of patients, respectively) to ≤4% in years ≥2. There were no cases of heart failure and no patient deaths. Limitations: The open-label extension does not include a comparison group. Conclusions: Long-term sparsentan treatment showed sustained proteinuria reduction and a consistent safety profile.

There is substantial unmet clinical need for safe and effective treatments for focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), a kidney lesion with varied causes. Sparsentan is being studied for treatment of FSGS and targets 2 important pathways (endothelin-1 and angiotensin II) that lead to the loss of kidney function. In the 8-week randomized, double-blind DUET study in patients with FSGS, sparsentan reduced the amount of protein in the urine better than irbesartan (a blood pressure medicine often used to treat FSGS). We examined long-term treatment with sparsentan over >4 years in the DUET open-label extension. We found sustained proteinuria reduction in patients who continued treatment with sparsentan and a consistent safety profile with no new or unexpected adverse effects.

Association of Glomerular Filtration Rate Decline With Clinical Outcomes in a Population With Type 2 Diabetes.

Background: While historical rate of decline in kidney function is informally used by clinicians to estimate risk of future adverse clinical outcomes especially kidney failure, in people with type 2 diabetes the epidemiology and independent association of historical eGFR slope on risk is not well described. Objective: Determine the association of eGFR slope and risk of clinically important outcomes. Design Setting and Patients: Observational population-based cohort with type 2 diabetes in Alberta. Measurement and Methods: An Alberta population-based cohort with type 2 diabetes was assembled, characterized, and observed over 1 year (2018) for clinical outcomes of ESKD, first myocardial infarction, first stroke, heart failure, and disease-specific and all-cause hospitalization and mortality. Kidney function was defined using KDIGO criteria using the most recent eGFR and albuminuria measured in the preceding 18 months; annual eGFR slope utilized measurements in the 3 years prior and was parameterized using three methods (percentiles, and linear term with and without missingness indicator). Demographics, laboratory results, medications, and comorbid conditions using validated definitions were described. In addition to descriptive analysis, odds ratios from fully adjusted logistic models regressing outcomes on eGFR slope are reported; the marginal risk of clinical outcomes was also determined. Results: Among 336 376 participants with type 2 diabetes, the median annual eGFR slope was -0.41 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR -1.67, 0.62). In fully adjusted models, eGFR slope was independently associated with many adverse clinical outcomes; among those with ≤10th percentile of slope (median -4.71 mL/min/1.73 m2) the OR of kidney failure was 2.22 (95% CI 1.75, 2.82), new stroke 1.23 (1.08, 1.40), heart failure 1.42 (1.27, 1.59), MI 0.98 (0.77, 1.23) all-cause hospitalization 1.31 (1.26, 1.36) and all-cause mortality 1.56 (1.44, 1.68). For every -1 mL/min/1.73 m2 in eGFR slope, the OR of outcomes ranged from 1.01 (0.98, 1.05 for new MI) to 1.09 (1.08, 1.10 for all-cause mortality); findings were significant for 10 of the 13 outcomes considered. Limitations: Causality cannot be established with this study design. Conclusions: These findings support consideration of the rate of eGFR decline in risk stratification and may inform clinicians and policymakers to optimize treatment and inform health care system planning.

Contexte: Bien que les antécédents de déclin de la fonction rénale soient utilisés de manière informelle par les cliniciens pour estimer le risque d'issues cliniques défavorables ­ particulièrement l'insuffisance rénale terminale (IRT) ­ chez les diabétiques de type 2, l'épidémiologie de la pente du DFGe et son association indépendante sur ce risque demeurent mal décrites. Objectif: Examiner l'association entre la pente du DFGe et le risque de résultats d'importance clinique. Sujets et conception de l'étude: Étude de cohorte observationnelle basée sur une population d'Albertains atteints de diabète de type 2. Méthodologie et mesures: Nous avons constitué, caractérisé et observé une cohorte d'Albertains atteints de diabète de type 2 sur une période d'un an (2018) pour les résultats cliniques suivants: IRT, premier infarctus du myocarde (IM), premier AVC, insuffisance cardiaque, ainsi que les hospitalisations et la mortalité liées à la maladie et à toutes causes confondues. La fonction rénale a été définie selon les critères KDIGO à partir des plus récentes valeurs de DFGe et d'albuminurie mesurées dans les 18 mois précédents. La pente annuelle du DFGe a été calculée à partir des mesures effectuées au cours des trois années précédentes et paramétrée selon trois méthodes (percentiles, termes linéaires avec et sans indications de données manquantes). Les données démographiques, les résultats de laboratoire, les médicaments et les comorbidités ont été décrits selon les définitions validées. En plus de l'analyze descriptive, des rapports de cotes (RC) pour les résultats liés au déclin du DFGe ont été établis à l'aide de modèles de régression logistique entièrement ajustés; le risque marginal des résultats cliniques d'intérêt a également été déterminé. Résultats: Parmi les 336 376 diabétiques de type 2 participants, la pente annuelle médiane du DFGe s'établissait à −0,41 ml/min/1,73 m2 (ÉIQ: −1,67 à 0,62). Dans les modèles ajustés, la pente du DFGe a été associée de façon indépendante à plusieurs issues cliniques défavorables. Parmi ceux qui présentaient une pente du DFGe ≤10e percentile (médiane: −4,71 ml/min/1,73 m2), le RC était de 2,22 (IC 95 %: 1,75 à 2,82) pour l'insuffisance rénale; de 1,23 (1,08 à 1,40) pour les nouveaux AVC; de 1,42 (1,27 à 1,59) pour l'insuffisance cardiaque; de 0,98 (0,77 à 1,23) pour les nouveaux IM; de 1,31 (1,26 à 1,36) pour les hospitalisations toutes causes confondues et de 1,56 (1,44 à 1,68) pour la mortalité toutes causes confondues. Pour chaque tranche de - 1 ml/min/1,73 m2 de la pente du DFGe, le RC des résultats cliniques variait de 1,01 (0,98 à 1,05) pour les nouveaux IM à 1,09 (1,08 à 1,10) pour la mortalité toutes causes confondues; les résultats étaient significatifs pour 10 des 13 résultats examinés. Limites: La causalité ne peut pas être établie avec ce plan d'étude. Conclusion: Ces résultats plaident en faveur de la prise en compte du taux de déclin du DFGe dans la stratification du risque. Ils peuvent également aider les cliniciens et les décideurs à optimiser le traitement et à planifier les systèmes de soins de santé.

Nephrology referral slows the progression of chronic kidney disease, especially among patients with anaemia, diabetes mellitus, or hypoalbuminemia: A single-centre, retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes guidelines recommend nephrology referral for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 4 to 5, significant proteinuria and persistent microscopic haematuria. However, the recommendations are opinion-based and which patients with CKD benefit more from nephrology referral has not been elucidated. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, patients referred to our nephrology outpatient clinic from April 2017 to March 2019 were included. We excluded patients considered to have an acute decline in kidney function (annual decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] >10 mL/min/1.73 m2). The slopes of eGFR before and after nephrology referral were estimated and compared by linear mixed effects models. Interaction between time and referral status (before or after referral) was assessed and effect modifications by the presence of diabetes, proteinuria (defined by urine dipstick protein 2+ or more), urine occult blood, hypoalbuminemia (defined by albumin levels less than 3.5 g/dL) and anaemia (defined by haemoglobin levels less than 11.0 g/dL) were evaluated. RESULTS: The eGFR slope significantly improved from -2.05 (-2.39 to -1.72) to -0.96 (-1.36 to -0.56) mL/min/1.73 m2/year after nephrology referral (p < .001). The improvement in eGFR slope was more prominent among those with diabetes mellitus, anaemia, and hypoalbuminemia (all p-values for three-way interaction <.001 after adjustment for covariates). Further adjustments for time-dependent haemoglobin levels, the use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, iron supplementation, anti-hypertensives and anti-diabetic medications did not change the significance of the interactions. CONCLUSIONS: Nephrology referral slows CKD progression, especially among those with hypoalbuminemia, diabetes or anaemia. Patients with hypoalbuminemia, diabetes or anaemia might benefit more from specialized care and lifestyle modifications by nephrologists. The inclusion of anaemia and hypoalbuminemia in nephrology referral criteria should be considered.

Temporal alteration of serum bilirubin levels and its renoprotective effects in diabetic kidney disease: exploring the hormonal mechanisms.

Objective: This current study represents a novel endeavor to scrutinize the correlation between the temporal alteration in serum total bilirubin (TBIL) concentrations and the rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Additionally, this study aims to probe the plausible molecular mechanism underpinning the renoprotective effects of bilirubin concerning its hormonal characteristics. Materials and methods: In this study, a cohort of 103 patients diagnosed with DKD and receiving medical care at Dongzhimen Hospital were recruited and monitored over a period of 2-7 years. The progression of DKD was ascertained using a threshold of eGFR decline > -5.48%/year. To assess the relationship between the annual change in serum TBIL levels (%/year) and the slope of eGFR, multivariate binary logistic regression analysis was employed. Furthermore, the ROC curve analysis was employed to determine the cut-off value for TBIL levels (%/year). Results: The use of multivariate binary logistic regression models revealed that serum TBIL levels (%/year) exhibited a significant correlation with the slope of eGFR. Moreover, the ROC curve analysis indicated a cut-off value of -6.729%/year for TBIL levels (%/year) with a sensitivity of 0.75 and specificity of 0.603, in diagnosing eGFR decline >-5.48%/year. Conclusions: The findings of this study suggest that the sustained elevation of serum bilirubin concentration within the physiological range can effectively retard the progression of Diabetic Kidney Disease (DKD). Furthermore, the hormonal attributes of bilirubin may underlie its renoprotective effects.

Real-world effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors on the progression of chronic kidney disease in patients without diabetes, with and without albuminuria.

AIM: To examine the renal effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibition among non-diabetic individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a real-world setting. METHODS: We collected de-identified data on adults without diabetes and with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 25-60 mL/min/1.73 m2, who initiated the SGLT2 inhibitors dapagliflozin or empagliflozin between September 2020 and November 2022 at Maccabi Healthcare Services, an Israeli health maintenance organization. We assessed the effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on renal function (changes in eGFR slope/time). Index date was defined as the date of the first dispensing of SGLT2 inhibitors. Annual baseline slope was calculated using all eGFR measurements during the 2 years prior to index date (median = 7 measurements), while annual follow-up slope was calculated from all evaluations during 90-900 days post index date, along with baseline measurement at index date (median = 6 measurements). Paired t tests were used to compare differences between baseline and follow-up annual slopes. RESULTS: Of a total of 354 participants with CKD, without diabetes, who received SGLT2 inhibitors and were followed for a median of 527 days, the mean age was 72.8 ± 11.8 years, 26% were female, and 91% used renin-angiotensin system blockade. The mean eGFR was 45.4 ± 9.5 mL/min/1.73 m2. The mean body mass index was 29.1 ± 5.4 kg/m2. During the year before index date, 146 participants (41%) had a urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) <30 mg/g, 81 (23%) had a UACR of 30-300 mg/g, 74 (21%) had a UACR >300 mg/g, and 53 (15%) had no UACR evaluation. The mean eGFR slope over time was -5.6 ± 7.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year at baseline, which improved to -1.7 ± 6.8 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year after SGLT2 inhibitor administration (p <0.001). This effect was independent of UACR. CONCLUSION: In a real-world study of primarily older non-diabetic adults with CKD, SGLT2 inhibition was associated with a slower rate of kidney function decline, regardless of baseline UACR level.

Effect of proteinuria on the rapid kidney function decline in chronic kidney disease depends on the underlying disease: A post hoc analysis of the BRIGHTEN study.

AIMS: It is unclear whether the effect of proteinuria on rapid kidney function decline is equivalent among diabetic kidney disease (DKD), non-DKD with diabetes (NDKD+DM), and nephrosclerosis without diabetes (NS-DM), particularly in advanced chronic kidney disease patients. METHODS: In total, 1038 chronic kidney disease patients who participated in the BRIGHTEN study were included in the present study. A linear mixed effect model was applied to estimate the annual estimated glomerular filtration rate decline in each disease group. RESULTS: The prevalence of rapid decliners (rapid kidney function decline, defined as an eGFR loss of > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year) in the DKD group (44.6 %) was significantly higher compared with the NDKD+DM (27.9 %) and NS-DM (27.0 %) groups. By contrast, the prevalence of rapid decliners in different urine total protein to creatinine ratio (UPCR) categories (<0.5, 0.5 to < 1.0, 1.0 to < 3.5, and ≥ 3.5 g/g) were equivalent between the DKD and NS-DM groups. Moreover, the prevalence of a UPCR < 1.0 g/g in rapid decliners of the NS-DM group was more than double than in those of the DKD and NDKD+DM groups. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of rapid kidney function decline in NS-DM patients with low levels of proteinuria may be greater than initially predicted.

Slope of the estimated glomerular filtration rate and its associated factors among individuals with chronic kidney disease in the general Japanese population.

BACKGROUND: To suppress the incidence of end-stage kidney disease, we need to identify chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients with a high risk of rapid decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). However, the current status of eGFR slope and its associated factors in the Japanese population have not been fully elucidated. METHODS: Among examinees aged 40-70 years in the 2014 Specific Health Checkup conducted by the National Health Insurance in Kobe, Japan (n = 61,985), we prospectively observed 7291 examinees with CKD stage G3 from 2014 to 2018. RESULTS: Until 2018, 4221 examinees continued to undergo annual SHCs for a total of five checkups per subject and had available records of all necessary data. The median eGFR change was -0.22 ml/min/1.73 m2/year. Only 9.2% of those subjects showed rapid eGFR decline (faster than -2.0 ml/min/1.73 m2/year). Logistic regression analysis identified diabetes, smoking habits, high urinary protein levels, older age, high systolic blood pressure, and low serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels as independent predictors for rapid eGFR decline. Hemoglobin A1c levels did not contribute to the eGFR slope in CKD stage-G3 subjects with diabetes and proteinuria. CONCLUSION: Most Japanese CKD stage-G3 subjects had a very slow decline in eGFR. A small proportion of CKD individuals who have a predictive factor of rapid eGFR decline should receive considerable attention from a nephrologist.

eGFR slope as a surrogate endpoint for end-stage kidney disease in patients with diabetes and eGFR > 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the J-DREAMS cohort.

BACKGROUND: An analysis of European and American individuals revealed that a reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope by 0.5 to 1.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year is a surrogate endpoint for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in patients with early chronic kidney disease. However, it remains unclear whether this can be extrapolated to Japanese patients. METHODS: Using data from the Japan diabetes comprehensive database project based on an advanced electronic medical record system (J-DREAMS) cohort of 51,483 Japanese patients with diabetes and a baseline eGFR ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m2, we examined whether the eGFR slope could be a surrogate indicator for ESKD. The eGFR slope was calculated at 1, 2, and 3 years, and the relationship between each eGFR slope and ESKD risk was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model to obtain adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs). RESULTS: Slower eGFR decline by 0.75 mL/min/1.73 m2/year reduction in 1-, 2-, and 3-year slopes was associated with lower risk of ESKD (aHR 0.93 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92-0.95), 0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.86), and 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.82), respectively); this relationship became more apparent as the slope calculation period increased. Similar results were obtained in subgroup analyses divided by baseline eGFR or baseline urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR), with a stronger correlation with ESKD in the baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 group and in the baseline UACR < 30 mg/gCre group. CONCLUSION: We found that changes in the eGFR slope were associated with ESKD risk in this population.

Baseline Urine Albumin-to-Creatinine Ratio is Associated With Decline of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Patients Newly Diagnosed With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: An Observational 5-year Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the association between baseline albuminuria and the progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 604 patients aged ≥18 years who were newly diagnosed with type 2 DM between January 2014 and 31 December 2017 at an outpatient clinic in a tertiary hospital in China. The incidence of albuminuria was determined and the associations between albuminuria at baseline and the progression of DKD estimated by estimated glomerular filtration rate slope were evaluated using binary logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: At diagnosis of type 2 DM, 18.8% of patients had albuminuria, with 17.4% having microalbuminuria and the other 1.4% having macroalbuminuria. During the 5-year follow-up period, patients with albuminuria at the baseline experienced a more rapid decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate over time than patients with normoalbuminuria at baseline (-2.6 vs -1.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year, P =.01). Albuminuria at baseline is independently associated with the progression of DKD. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of albuminuria is 18.8% in patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes and the occurrence of albuminuria can predict steeper annual decline in kidney function.

Association of eGFR slope with all-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes and early-stage chronic kidney disease.

AIMS: The association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope with progression of complications in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and early-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) is less clear. METHODS: We identified 115,139 T2D participants without decreased eGFR (>60 mL/min/1.73 m2) between 2008 and 2015 from the electronic database of the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. eGFR slope calculated by linear-mixed effects model using 3-year eGFR measurements was categorized into quintiles. With Quintile 3 of eGFR slope as the reference group, we used Cox proportional or cause-specific models to investigate the association between eGFR slope and all-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular complications, as appropriate. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, fastest eGFR declines (Quintile 1 with median eGFR slope: -4.32 mL/min/1.73 m2/year) were associated with increased risk of all adverse outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.36 to 2.97, all P < 0.0001), compared with less steep eGFR declines (Quintile 3: -1.08 mL/min/1.73 m2/year). Substantial eGFR increases (Quintile 5: 1.34 mL/min/1.73 m2/year) were associated with decreased risk of CKD and ≥ 40 % decline in eGFR (aHR [95 % CI] 0.65 [0.63, 0.67] and 0.85 [0.82, 0.89], respectively) and higher risk of death, CVD, DR and DN (aHR [95 % CI] 1.48 [1.40, 1.56], 1.19 [1.14, 1.25], 1.07 [1.004, 1.15] and 1.62 [1.37, 1.91], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of T2D people without decreased eGFR, accelerated declines and increases in eGFR were associated with all-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular complications, supporting the potential prognostic utility of eGFR slope in T2D people with early-stage CKD.

Rate of Kidney Function Decline is Associated With Kidney and Heart Failure in Individuals With Type 1 Diabetes.

Introduction: Diabetes is the most common cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Urinary albumin excretion rate (AER) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are commonly used to monitor the onset and progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). We studied if the preceding rate of kidney function decline, that is, the eGFR slope, is independently associated with incident clinical cardiorenal events. Methods: This study included longitudinal data for 2498 Finnish individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D). The eGFR slope was calculated from 5 years preceding the study visit. Data on kidney failure, coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), heart failure, and death were obtained from national registries. The associations between the eGFR slope and incident events were assessed with multivariable competing risk models during the average follow-up of 9.2 years. Results: The eGFR slopes were associated (P ≤ 0.001) with all outcomes when adjusted for age, sex, and HbA1c. However, eGFR slope remained associated only with the composite outcome of kidney failure or death when the albuminuria group and eGFR at the study visit were included in the model (P = 0.041). In addition, eGFR slope was independently associated with kidney failure in individuals without CKD (eGFR > 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2; P = 0.044), and with heart failure in those with CKD (P = 0.033). However, eGFR slope did not markedly improve the model C-index. Conclusion: The eGFR slope was independently associated with kidney failure in those without CKD, and with heart failure in those with CKD. However, it is unlikely to have major relevance for clinical practice when the current eGFR and albuminuria status are known.

eGFR slope as a surrogate endpoint for clinical study in early stage of chronic kidney disease: from The Japan Chronic Kidney Disease Database.

BACKGROUND: In clinical trials targeting early chronic kidney disease (CKD), eGFR slope has been proposed as a surrogate endpoint for predicting end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). However, it is unclear whether the eGFR slope serves as a surrogate endpoint for predicting long-term prognosis in Japanese early CKD populations. METHODS: The data source was the J-CKD-Database, which contains real-world data on patients with CKD in Japan. eGFR slope was calculated from the eGFR of each period, 1-year (1-year slope), 2-year (2-year slope), and 3-year (3-year slope), for participants with a baseline eGFR ≥ 30 ml/min/1.73 m2. The outcome was ESKD (defined as dialysis initiation or incidence of CKD stage G5). The relationship between eGFR slope and the sub-distribution hazard ratio (SHR) of ESKD with death as a competing event was investigated using a Fine-Gray proportional hazard regression model. RESULTS: The number of participants and mean observation periods were 7768/877 ± 491 days for 1-year slope, 6778/706 ± 346 days for 2-year slope, and 5219/495 ± 215 days for 3-year slope. As the eGFR slope decreased, a tendency toward a lower risk of ESKD was observed. Compared with the 1-year slope, there was a smaller variation in the slope values for the 2-year or 3-year slope and a greater decrease in the SHR; therefore, a calculation period of 2 or 3 years for the eGFR slope was considered appropriate. CONCLUSION: Even in Japanese patients with early stage CKD, a slower eGFR slope calculated from eGFR values over 2-3 years was associated with a decreased risk of ESKD.

Relationship between the lower limit of systolic blood pressure target and kidney function decline in advanced chronic kidney disease: an instrumental variable analysis from the REACH-J CKD cohort study.

Intensive antihypertensive treatment decreases cardiovascular disease and mortality risks in chronic kidney disease (CKD), whereas extremely low systolic blood pressure (SBP) is associated with worsening kidney function and poor prognosis. Although the SBP variation is particularly large in patients with CKD, the optimal lower limit of SBP target is unclear. In a nationwide, multicenter cohort study of patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45 mL/min/1.73 m2, we evaluated the association between the eGFR slopes and the lower limit of SBP target at ≥110 mmHg using a linear mixed-effects model and an instrumental variable method. The instrumental variable was calculated as the facility-level percentage of nephrologists who answered in the survey that their lower limit of SBP target was 110 mmHg or higher. A total of 1320 patients (mean age 70 years; 66% men) were included. The mean eGFR slope ± standard deviation over the four years to baseline was -2.48 ± 2.15 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. The instrumental variable for the lower limit of SBP target at ≥110 mmHg (vs. ≤100 mmHg) was associated with less eGFR decline (coefficient: +1.05 mL/min/1.73 m2/year; 95% confidence interval: 0.33-1.77), while unassociated with a history of cardiovascular disease. The renoprotective effect was particularly larger in the subgroups of the elderly and those with a history of cardiovascular disease. In conclusion, the lower limit of SBP target at 110 mmHg or higher was associated with improved eGFR slope, suggesting the importance of aiming at avoiding excessively low SBP in patients with advanced CKD.

Interpretation of GFR slope in untreated and treated adult Fabry patients.

Nephropathy is one of the main features of Fabry disease (FD) that leads, in untreated patients with classical mutations, to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) from the third to the fifth decade of life. The availability of a specific treatment modified the natural history of FD; in particular, it was widely reported that enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) is able to slow the progression of the disease. Regarding Fabry nephropathy, several reports have documented an elevated estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope in untreated patients as expression of a rapid disease progression towards ESRD. Otherwise, the prompt start of treatment may be beneficial in stabilizing renal function or slowing its decline. Therefore, based on data in the literature about the effects of ERT on eGFR decline and on the evidence supporting the role of eGFR slope as a surrogate endpoint for chronic kidney disease progression, we suggest, in this 'Expert Opinion', that a treatment should be defined effective when eGFR decline is <1 ml/min/1.73 m2/year and not effective when eGFR loss remains ≥3 ml/min/1.73 m2/year (≥2.5 ml/min/1.73 m2/year in females). Moreover, practical clinical recommendations and guidance for Fabry patients suggests that a change in treatment may be appropriate if individualized therapeutic goals are not achieved. Since a dose-dependent efficacy has been demonstrated for ERT, we suggest considering a switch to a higher dose of ERT in symptomatic adult Fabry patients (ages 18-60 years) with an eGFR of 45-90 ml/min/1.73 m2 and treated with a stable dose of ERT for at least 1 year, in which a linear negative slope of eGFR of 3 ml/min/1.73 m2/year for males (2.5 ml/min/1.73 m2/year for females) was observed.