Development and validation of a new prognostic model for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: Cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in the intensive care unit (ICU) have a poor but variable prognoses. Accurate prognosis evaluation can guide the rational management of patients with ACLF. However, existing prognostic scores for ACLF in the ICU environment lack sufficient accuracy. AIM: To develop a new prognostic model for patients with ACLF in ICU. METHODS: Data from 938 ACLF patients in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database were used to develop a new prognostic model (MIMIC ACLF) for ACLF. Discrimination, calibration and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were assessed by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. MIMIC ACLF was then externally validated in a multiple-center cohort, the Electronic Intensive Care Collaborative Research Database and a single-center cohort from the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University in China. RESULTS: The MIMIC ACLF score was determined using nine variables: ln (age) × 2.2 + ln (white blood cell count) × 0.22 - ln (mean arterial pressure) × 2.7 + respiratory failure × 0.6 + renal failure × 0.51 + cerebral failure × 0.31 + ln (total bilirubin) × 0.44 + ln (internationalized normal ratio) × 0.59 + ln (serum potassium) × 0.59. In MIMIC cohort, the AUROC (0.81/0.79) for MIMIC ACLF for 28/90-day ACLF mortality were significantly greater than those of Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF (0.76/0.74), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD; 0.73/0.71) and MELD-Na (0.72/0.70) (all P < 0.001). The consistency between actual and predicted 28/90-day survival rates of patients according to MIMIC ACLF score was excellent and superior to that of existing scores. The net benefit of MIMIC ACLF was greater than that achieved using existing scores within the 50% threshold probability. The superior predictive accuracy and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were validated in the external cohorts. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated a new prognostic model with satisfactory accuracy for cirrhotic patients with ACLF hospitalized in the ICU. The model-based risk stratification and online calculator might facilitate the rational management of patients with ACLF.

Alpha-fetoprotein and APRI as predictive markers for patients with Type C hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Type C hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), which is based on decompensated cirrhosis, has different laboratory tests, precipitating events, organ failure and clinical outcomes. The predictors of prognosis for type C HBV-ACLF patients are different from those for other subgroups. This study aimed to construct a novel, short-term prognostic score that applied serological indicators of hepatic regeneration and noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis to predict outcomes in patients with type C HBV-ACLF. METHOD: Patients with type C HBV-ACLF were observed for 90 days. Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent prognostic factors and develop a novel prognostic scoring system. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyse the performance of the model. RESULTS: A total of 224 patients with type C HBV-ACLF were finally included. The overall survival rate within 90 days was 47.77%. Age, total bilirubin (TBil), international normalized ratio (INR), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), white blood cell (WBC), serum sodium (Na), and aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI) were found to be independent prognostic factors. According to the results of the logistic regression analysis, a new prognostic model (named the A3Twin score) was established. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.851 [95% CI (0.801-0.901)], the sensitivity was 78.8%, and the specificity was 71.8%, which were significantly higher than those of the MELD, IMELD, MELD-Na, TACIA and COSSH-ACLF II scores (all P < 0.001). Patients with lower A3Twin scores (<-9.07) survived longer. CONCLUSIONS: A new prognostic scoring system for patients with type C HBV-ACLF based on seven routine indices was established in our study and can accurately predict short-term mortality and might be used to guide clinical management.

Hematological ratios in patients with acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure: prognostic factors.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is the most severe form of acutely decompensated cirrhosis and is characterized by the presence of intense systemic inflammation. Leucocyte quantification can serve as an indirect indicator of systemic inflammation. In our study, we investigated the predictive value of hematological ratios (neutrophils to lymphocytes, monocyte to lymphocytes, platelets to lymphocytes, lymphocytes to C-reactive protein, and neutrophils to lymphocytes and platelets) in acute decompensation (AD) and ACLF patients and their relation to disease severity and early mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included 60 patients with ACLF and AD, and 30 cirrhotic controls. Clinical data were collected, and survival was followed for 1 and 6 months. Blood samples were analyzed at admission for differential leucocytes and assessed for liver and renal function tests. The leukocyte ratios were calculated and compared, and their correlation with liver function indicators and prognosis was assessed. RESULTS: All ratios were significantly higher in AD and ACLF patients compared to control (except for lymphocyte to C-reactive protein ratio which was significantly lower), and were positively correlated with Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Na, and ACLF severity scores. Multivariate regression revealed that neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio, and MELD-Na were independent prognostic factors of 1-month and 6-month mortality. A unique prognostic nomogram incorporating MELD-Na, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio could be proposed for predicting prognosis in AD and ACLF patients. CONCLUSIONS: Cheap, easy, and noninvasive hematological ratios are introduced as a tool for early identification and risk stratification of AD and ACLF patients.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective review of cases at a transplantation center in Brazil.

PURPOSE: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a leading cause of death in cirrhotic patients. This study aims to describe the outcomes of in-patients with ACLF at a liver transplantation (LT) center in Brazil. METHODS: Retrospective study analyzing patient data from 2017 to 2022. Re-transplant cases and patients without previous chronic liver disease were excluded. The ACLF diagnosis was based on the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure criteria and assessments repeated on days 3 and 7 after the initial diagnosis. RESULTS: Among 381 patients, 10.49% (n = 40) were diagnosed with ACLF. Bacterial infection was the most common precipitating factor (45%). Kidney failure occurred in 65% of the cases. The 28-day mortality rate was 35% and varied according to ACLF severity at diagnosis, from single organ failure (ACLF-1) at 22% to three organ failures (ACLF-3) at 60%. Eighteen patients (45%) were transplanted with a 100% 28-day survival rate. For ACLF-3 cases at diagnosis (n = 15), the 28-day and 1-year survival rates with a transplant (n = 4) were 100% and 80%, respectively, and without transplant (n = 11), 10 and 0%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: ACLF was associated with high mortality rates. LT was an effective therapeutic option, particularly for ACLF-3 cases.

Association of myosteatosis with short-term outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Sarcopenia (low muscle mass, i.e., quantity) is associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). In this study, we aimed to illustrate the clinical prognostic value of myosteatosis (muscle fat infiltration) for short-term mortality in patients with ACLF. We retrospectively enrolled consecutive patients with ACLF between January 2019 and January 2022. Computed tomography-based body composition analysis was performed at the third lumbar vertebral level to determine skeletal muscle radiation attenuation. Fine and Gray's competing risk regression model, with liver transplantation as a competing risk, was used to assess the factors associated with 90-day mortality. A total of 431 patients with ACLF were included. Myosteatosis and sarcopenia were observed in 261 (60.6%) and 87 (20.2%) patients, respectively. Competitive risk regression showed that age (HR 1.021, 95% CI 1.000-1.043, P = 0.042), APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) score (HR 1.498, 95% CI 1.312-1.710, P < 0.001), and sarcopenia (HR 1.802, 95% CI 1.062-3.060, P = 0.029) were independently associated with increased 90-day mortality. Subgroup analysis of male patients with HBV-ACLF revealed that myosteatosis (HR 2.119, 95% CI 1.101-4.078, P = 0.025) was promising prognostic factors for 90-day mortality after being adjusted for ascites, acute kidney injury, AARC score, and sarcopenia. Myosteatosis is predictive of short-term outcomes in male patients with HBV-ACLF. Our results emphasise the importance of focusing on muscle fat infiltration in patients with HBV-ACLF. Further studies are warranted to investigate the underlying mechanisms and potential therapies for myosteatosis.

Prevalence of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure in Autoimmune Hepatitis, Treatment Response and Mortality Burden Assessment: A Region-Predominant Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a global health problem. Little scientific evidence exists on its prevalence in autoimmune hepatitis. Treatment response and mortality outcomes have also been reported differently. The study was conducted to estimate the overall prevalence of ACLF among patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) and determine the associated treatment response and mortality. We scrutinized wide literature in Scopus, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane, and assessed published articles completely, studies performed and reported from around the globe, until December 07, 2023, according to the PROSPERO registered protocol (CRD42023412176). Studies (retrospective and prospective cohort study type) that stated the ACLF development among established AIH cases were considered. Features of the study, duration of follow-up, and numeric patient information were retrieved from the studies included. The research paper quality was checked for risk of bias. Random effect meta-analysis with metaregression and subsection scrutinies were performed with R. The main outcome was the collective prevalence of ACLF in the AIH patients, whereas treatment response and mortality in AIH-associated ACLF were secondary outcomes. Six studies were involved with confirmed diagnoses in 985 AIH patients for the data synthesis. The pooled prevalence of ACLF in the explored patients was 12% (95% CI: 8-17) ( P =0.01). Heterogeneity was found to be high in the present meta-analysis ( I2 =72%; P < 0.01). For the secondary endpoint analysis, the pooled prevalence of complete remission at 1-year follow-up was 71% (0.52; 0.85), and mortality from the ACLF-AIH patient population was 32% (95% CI: 18-50). Sensitivity analysis showed no influence on the overall estimations of the pooled prevalence of ACLF by omitting studies one by one. One in 10 AIH patients likely present with ACLF. The response to treatment is seen in two-thirds of patients, and mortality is high.

Clinical profile of adult and pediatric patients with hepatic Wilson's disease.

BACKGROUND: The clinical profile varies in patients with Wilson's disease (WD). There is paucity of data regarding adult and pediatric patients with hepatic WD. METHODS: As many as 140 consecutive patients diagnosed with hepatic WD between December 2006 and January 2021 were included in the study. Data was collected regarding the demographic parameters, clinical presentation, extrahepatic organ involvement, liver histology and laboratory investigations. Adult and children (0-14 years) with hepatic WD were compared regarding these features. RESULT: Eighty-eight adults and 52 children were included in the study. The median age of presentation was 17 years (range: 1.1-42 years). Male preponderance was seen (adult 68/88, 69%; children 40/52, 77%). Adults as compared to children presented more commonly as cirrhosis (52/88 vs. 15/52, p = 0.0005) and with hepatic decompensation (35/88 vs. 9/52, p = 0.005). Presentation with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) was more common in children (10/52 vs. 2/88, p = 0.0005). Twenty-eight-day mortality was 50% (5/10) in children and none in adults presenting with ACLF. Nazer's Prognostic Index (≥ 7) and New Wilson Index were more accurate in predicting mortality among children with ACLF with AUROC 1, while AARC (APASL ACLF Research Consortium) was less accurate with AUROC 0.45. Liver histology findings were similar in adults and children. Extrahepatic involvement was also similar. (8/88 in adults vs. 3/52 children, p value 0.48). CONCLUSION: Most patients with WD present as cirrhosis in adulthood. ACLF is more common in children. Nazer's prognostic index and new Wilson Index score are accurate in predicting mortality in children with ACLF.

The value of dynamic changes in FT3 level for predicting 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of dynamic changes in free triiodothyronine (FT3) level for predicting the 90 day prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). METHODS: The clinical data of 122 hospitalised patients with HBV-ACLF between September 2018 and January 2020 were collected and divided into a survival group (77 cases) and a death group (45 cases) according to the 90 day prognosis. We statistically analysed the characteristics of FT3 changes in the two groups of patients. Binary logistic regression one-way analysis was used to assess the degree of influence of each factor. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the effect of a single change in FT3 level difference (single △FT3) and the FT3 level change range (△FT3 range) in predicting the 90-day prognosis of patients. RESULTS: There were only three types of changes in FT3 levels, which included 19 (15.6%) cases of continuous normal type, 35 (28.7%) cases of continuous decrease type and 68 (55.7%) cases of U-shaped change type. The difference in survival curves between the three types of patients was statistically significant (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The dynamic change type of FT3 is related to the disease severity and 90-day prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF. The single FT3 value and FT3 range could be used as a predictive factor for the 90-day prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF. These results have a degree of research value and are worth further exploration in the future.

Early Versus Standard Initiation of Terlipressin for Acute Kidney Injury in ACLF: A Randomized Controlled Trial (eTerli Study).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Terlipressin infusion is effective in hepatorenal syndrome (HRS-AKI). However, its efficacy for HRS-AKI resolution in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients has been suboptimal. Progression of AKI is rapid in ACLF. We investigated whether early initiation of terlipressin(eTerli) can improve response rates. METHODS: Consecutive ACLF patients with stage II/III AKI despite albumin resuscitation (40 g) were randomized to receive terlipressin at 2 mg/24 h plus albumin at 12 h (ET, n = 35) or at 48 h as standard therapy (ST, n = 35). (June 22, 2020 to June 10, 2022). The primary end-point was AKI reversal by day7. RESULTS: Baseline parameters including AKI stage and ACLF-AARC scores in two arms were comparable. Full AKI response at day 7 was higher in ET [24/35 (68.6%)] than ST arm [11/35 (31.4%; P 0.03]. Day3 AKI response was also higher in ET arm [11/35 (31.4%) vs. 4/35 (11.4%), P 0.04]. Using ST compared to ET [HR 4.3; P 0.026] and day 3 serum creatinine > 1.6 mg/dl [HR 9.1; AUROC-0.866; P < 0.001] predicted HRS-AKI non-response at day 7. ET patients showed greater improvement in ACLF grade, mean arterial pressure, and urine output at day 3, and required lower albumin within 7 days than ET arm (149.1 ± 41.8 g vs. 177.5 ± 40.3 g, P 0.006) and had lower 28-day mortality: 40% vs. 65.7%, P 0.031]. Early use of terlipressin than ST [HR 2.079; P 0.038], baseline HE [HR 2.929; P 0.018], and AKI persistence at day 3 [HR 1.369; P 0.011] predicted 28-day mortality. Fifteen (21.4%) patients had treatment related adverse effects, none was life threatening. CONCLUSION: In ACLF patients, early initiation of terlipressin for AKI persisting after 12 h of volume expansion with albumin helps in reduced short-term mortality and early AKI reversal with regression of ACLF stage. These results indicate need for change in current practice for terlipressin usage in HRS-AKI.

The 90-Day Survival Threshold: A Pivotal Determinant of Long-Term Prognosis in HBV-ACLF Patients - Insights from a Prospective Longitudinal Cohort Study.

This work aims to explore the long-term prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). In this prospective study, eligible inpatients with HBV-ACLF are enrolled and followed up from December 2012 to February 2023, for clinical events, laboratory tests at least every 6 months. Overall, the survival rates at 28 days, 90 days, 1 year, 5 years, and 8 years are 64.7%, 48.8%, 46.1%, 43.8%, and 42.2%, respectively. Among the 8-year mortality and liver transplant cases, ACLF survivors (who survived over 90 days) accounted for 7.8% (9/115). Among 101 patients who survived for more than 90 days, 97.9% of patients achieve virologic response at 1 year. For HBeAg-positive patients, the HBeAg seroconversion are 25.5%, 63.6%, and 76.9% at 1, 5, and 8 years, respectively. Alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, INR, white blood cell count, and albumin levels gradually improve within the first year. Fibrosis biomarkers APRI, FIB-4 and Chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1) levels decreases within the first 5 years. The Cox proportional hazards regression reveal that high total bilirubin (HR = 1.008, p = 0.021) is the independent risk factor for 8-year survival of ALCF survivors. The 90-day period following of HBV-ACLF represented a critical juncture for long-term prognosis, revealing favorable outcomes beyond this timeframe.

A novel prognostic model to predict mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) implies high short-term mortality rates and usually requires intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Proper prognosis for these patients is crucial for early referral for liver transplantation. The superiority of CLIF-C ACLF score in Asian patients with ACLF admitted to an ICU remains inconclusive when compared to other scoring systems. The purpose of the study is (i) to compare the predictive performance of original MELD, MELD-Lactate, CLIF-C ACLF, CLIF-C ACLF-Lactate, and APACHE-II scores for short-term mortality assessment. (ii) to build and validate a novel scoring system and to compare its predictive performance to that of the original five scores. Two hundred sixty-five consecutive cirrhotic patients with ACLF who were admitted to our ICU were enrolled. The prognostic values for mortality were assessed by ROC analysis. A novel model was developed and internally validated using fivefold cross-validation. Alcohol abuse was identified as the primary etiology of cirrhosis. The AUROC of the five prognostic scores were not significantly superior to each other in predicting 1-month and 3-month mortality. The newly developed prognostic model, incorporating age, alveolar-arterial gradient (A-a gradient), BUN, total bilirubin level, INR, and HE grades, exhibited significantly improved performance in predicting 1-month and 3-month mortality with AUROC of 0.863 and 0.829, respectively, as compared to the original five prognostic scores. The novel ACLF model seems to be superior to the original five scores in predicting short-term mortality in ACLF patients admitted to an ICU. Further rigorous validation is required.

Mixed mode of artificial liver support in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Different modes of artificial liver support (ALS) therapy can improve the survival of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). This study aimed to compare the effects of mixed using different modes of ALS (MALS) and single using one mode of ALS (SALS) on 28- and 90-day survival rates of ACLF. METHODS: Clinical data and survival times of patients with ACLF treated for ALS between January 1, 2018 and December 30, 2021 were retrospectively collected. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors of 28- and 90-day mortalities. RESULTS: Of the 462 eligible ACLF patients, 388 belonged to the SALS group (76.3% male, 74.2% cirrhosis) and 74 to the MALS group (86.5% male, 71.6% cirrhosis). Comparison of 28-day and 90-day crude mortality between the SALS and MALS groups showed no significant differences (28-day: 20.4% vs. 14.9%, p = 0.27; 90-day: 44.6% vs. 52.7%, p = 0.20). After adjusting for confounders, the 28-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.16-0.65) and 90-day mortality (aHR: 0.65, 95% CI 0.44-0.95) in the MALS group were significantly lower than those in the SALS group. These associations were consistently observed across pre-specified subgroups according to age, sex, etiology, and Child-Pugh grade. However, positive interactions between MALS and 90-day mortality were found between MALS and 90-day mortality in those with MELD score ≥ 22 and international normalized ratio ≥ 1.9 (p for interaction < 0.05). CONCLUSION: MALS therapy significantly decreased 28- and 90-day mortalities of ACLF than SALS did, especially in advanced stages.

The role of RIPK1 mediated cell death in acute on chronic liver failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized predominantly by non-apoptotic forms of hepatocyte cell death. Necroptosis is a form of programmed lytic cell death in which receptor interacting protein kinase (RIPK) 1, RIPK3 and phosphorylated mixed lineage kinase domain-like (pMLKL) are key components. This study was performed to determine the role of RIPK1 mediated cell death in ACLF. RIPK3 plasma levels and hepatic expression of RIPK1, RIPK3, and pMLKL were measured in healthy volunteers, stable patients with cirrhosis, and in hospitalized cirrhotic patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis, with and without ACLF (AD). The role of necroptosis in ACLF was studied in two animal models of ACLF using inhibitors of RIPK1, necrostatin-1 (NEC-1) and SML2100 (RIPA56). Plasma RIPK3 levels predicted the risk of 28- and 90-day mortality (AUROC, 0.653 (95%CI 0.530-0.776), 0.696 (95%CI 0.593-0.799)] and also the progression of patients from no ACLF to ACLF [0.744 (95%CI 0.593-0.895)] and the results were validated in a 2nd patient cohort. This pattern was replicated in a rodent model of ACLF that was induced by administration of lipopolysaccharide (LPS) to bile-duct ligated rats and carbon tetrachloride-induced fibrosis mice administered galactosamine (CCL4/GalN). Suppression of caspase-8 activity in ACLF rodent model was observed suggesting a switch from caspase-dependent cell death to necroptosis. NEC-1 treatment prior to administration of LPS significantly reduced the severity of ACLF manifested by reduced liver, kidney, and brain injury mirrored by reduced hepatic and renal cell death. Similar hepato-protective effects were observed with RIPA56 in a murine model of ACLF induced by CCL4/GalN. These data demonstrate for the first time the importance of RIPK1 mediated cell death in human and rodent ACLF. Inhibition of RIPK1 is a potential novel therapeutic approach to prevent progression of susceptible patients from no ACLF to ACLF.

Factors determining the mortality in cirrhosis patients with invasive candidiasis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The impact of invasive candidiasis (IC) on the outcomes in the non-conventional high-risk cirrhosis population is poorly characterized. Therefore, we reviewed the outcomes and their influencing factors in cirrhosis patients with IC. PubMed, Embase, Ovid, CINHAL, and Web of Science were searched for full-text observational studies describing mortality due to IC in cirrhosis. We did a systematic review and random-effects meta-analysis to pool the point-estimate and comparative-odds of mortality. The estimate's heterogeneity was explored on sub-groups, outliers-test, and meta-regression. We evaluated the asymmetry in estimates on funnel plot and Eggers regression. Quality of studies was assessed on the New-Castle Ottawa scale. Of 3143 articles, 13 studies (611 patients) were included (good/fair quality: 6/7). IC patients were sick with a high model for end-stage liver disease (MELD: 27.0) and long hospital stay (33.2 days). The pooled-mortality was 54.7% (95% CI: 41.3--67.5), I2: 80%, P < 0.01. Intensive care unit (ICU) admission (P < 0.001), site of infection; viz. peritonitis and candidemia (P = 0.014) and high MELD of cases (P = 0.029) were predictors of high mortality. The odds of mortality due to IC was 4.4 times higher than controls and was 8.5 and 3.3 times higher than non-infected, and bacterially-infected controls. Studies in ICU-admitted (OR: 5.0) or acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF, OR: 6.3) patients had numerically higher odds of mortality than all-hospitalized cirrhosis patients (OR: 4.0). In conclusion, substantially high mortality is reported in cirrhosis patients with IC. ICU admission, ACLF, high MELD, peritonitis, and candidemia are key factors determining high mortality in cirrhosis patients with IC. LAY SUMMARY: We report a high mortality rate of 55% in patients with liver cirrhosis and invasive candidiasis. Higher odds (4.4 times) of death, especially in patients with ACLF (6.3 times) or ICU admission (5.0 times) were seen. Candida peritonitis and candidemia are associated with high mortality in cirrhosis.

Role of Bacterial Infection in the Development of Acute Liver Failure in Patients with Decompensated Alcoholic Liver Cirrhosis.

We examined 74 patients with acute decompensation of alcoholic liver cirrhosis: 34 (45.9%) with bacterial infection (group 1) and 40 (54.1%) without bacterial infection (group 2). The degree and index of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) were determined using an on-line CLIF-C ACLF Calculator and the levels of cytokeratin-18 fragments, TNFα, IL-1ß, IL-4, IL-6, and IL-8. In group 1, AST, cytokeratin-18, TNFα, IL-1ß, IL-6, degree and score of ACLF were significantly higher than in group 2. ACLF developed in 18 (52.9%) patients in group 1 and in 11 (27.5%) (p<0.05) patients in group 2. Within 1 month, 10 (29.4%) patients of group 1 and 2 (5%) patients of group 2 died (p<0.05). Patients with bacterial infection showed a more severe course of alcoholic liver cirrhosis and ACLF than those without bacterial infection.

Use of skeletal muscle index as a predictor of short-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Sarcopenia is a well-recognized factor affecting the prognosis of chronic liver disease, but its impact on acute decompensation underlying chronic liver disease is unknown. This study evaluated the impact of sarcopenia on short-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). One hundred and seventy-one ACLF patients who underwent abdominal CT between 2015 and 2019 were retrospectively included in this study. Skeletal muscle index at the third lumbar vertebrae (L3-SMI) was used to diagnose sarcopenia.The ACLF patients in this study had a L3-SMI of 41.2 ± 8.3 cm2/m2 and sarcopenia was present in 95/171 (55.6%) patients. Body mass index (BMI), cirrhosis, and higher serum bilirubin were independently associated with sarcopenia. Following multivariate Cox regression analysis, cirrhosis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.758, 95%CI 1.323-5.750), serum bilirubin (HR 1.049, 95%CI 1.026-1.073), and international normalized ratio (INR) (HR 1.725, 95%CI 1.263-2.355) were associated with 3-month mortality (P < 0.05), whereas L3-SMI and sarcopenia were not. A subgroup analysis of the factors related to sarcopenia showed that sarcopenia was still not predictive of short-term outcome in ACLF patients. L3-SMI and sarcopenia are not associated with short-term mortality in patients with ACLF.

EASL-CLIF criteria outperform NACSELD criteria for diagnosis and prognostication in ACLF.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is no consensus on the best definition for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). In this study, we compared the prevalence and 30-day all-cause and transplant-free mortality of patients with ACLF identified by European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (EASL-CLIF) and North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) criteria. METHODS: We performed this comparative analysis using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) data from January 11, 2016 to August 31, 2020. RESULTS: A total of 10,198 (21%) adult patients had EASL-CLIF ACLF grade 1-3, but of these only 15.3% had ACLF by NACSELD. Of the 2,562 with EASL-CLIF ACLF grade 3, only 48.8% had NACSELD-ACLF, 16.8% had no organ failure (OF) and 34.4% had 1 OF. The 30-day all-cause mortality was 1.5%, 7.7%, 13.3% and 25.8% for EASL-CLIF grade 0-3, respectively, and it was 15.4% and 28.1% in those without and with NACSELD-ACLF. When EASL-CLIF grade 3 patients were stratified by NACSELD OF, the mortality ranged from 18.6% with no OF to 41.0% with 4 OFs. The 30-day transplant-free mortality in those with no OF by NACSELD was 2.7%, but when the same group is stratified by EASL-CLIF grades 0-3, the mortality rates were 1.5%, 10.5%, 43.5% and 86%, respectively; the mortality rates ranged from 3.0% to 75.7% in those with 1 OF by NACSELD. CONCLUSIONS: There is a clear discordance in the prevalence and 30-day mortality rates of patients with ACLF identified by the EASL-CLIF and NACSELD criteria. EASL-CLIF criteria have a better sensitivity to detect ACLF and have a better prognostic capability. LAY SUMMARY: There is no consensus on the definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure. European (EASL-CLIF) and North American (NACSELD) consortia have each proposed a commonly used definition. In this study, we compared the prevalence and short-term (30-day) mortality based on these definitions. Using a very large data set, we observed that there was a significant discordance in the prevalence and mortality based on these criteria. EASL-CLIF criteria appeared to be more sensitive to identify acute-on-chronic liver failure, and were better at predicting all-cause and short-term mortality.

Serum exosomal long noncoding RNA nuclear-enriched abundant transcript 1 predicts 90-day mortality in acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure.

Objectives: Acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) is characterized by high short-term mortality, calling for accurate prognostic biomarkers. This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of serum exosomal long noncoding RNA nuclear-enriched abundant transcript 1 (lncRNA NEAT1) for 90-day mortality of ACHBLF.Methods: This prospective study consisted of 113 ACHBLF patients from June 2013 to June 2017 as a training cohort and 72 ACHBLF patients from July 2017 to June 2020 as a validating cohort. LncRNA NEAT1 was detected using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction from serum exosomes.Results: LncRNA NEAT1 levels were higher in non-survivors than survivors (P< 0.01). In the training cohort, lncRNA NEAT1 (HR 1.049, 95%CI 1.023-1.075, P< 0.001) was an independent predictor for 90-day mortality of ACHBLF. Meanwhile, lncRNA NEAT1 showed significantly higher area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic (AUC) than MELD score in the training and validation cohort (P< 0.05, respectively). However, no significant difference was found in AUC between lncRNA NEAT1 and NEAT1 plus MELD score (P> 0.05). ACHBLF patients with lncRNA NEAT1 levels above 1.92 showed poorer survival condition than those below (P< 0.01).Conclusions: The serum exosomal lncRNA NEAT1 might be a better prognostic biomarker than MELD score for 90-day mortality of ACHBLF.