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1.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(6): e2415051, 2024 Jun 03.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38837158

Importance: Obesity, especially visceral obesity, is an established risk factor associated with all-cause mortality. However, the inadequacy of conventional anthropometric measures in assessing fat distribution necessitates a more comprehensive indicator, body roundness index (BRI), to decipher its population-based characteristics and potential association with mortality risk. Objective: To evaluate the temporal trends of BRI among US noninstitutionalized civilian residents and explore its association with all-cause mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: For this cohort study, information on a nationally representative cohort of 32 995 US adults (age ≥20 years) was extracted from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018 and NHANES Linked Mortality File, with mortality ascertained through December 31, 2019. Data were analyzed between April 1 and September 30, 2023. Exposures: Biennial weighted percentage changes in BRI were calculated. Restricted cubic spline curve was used to determine optimal cutoff points for BRI. Main Outcome and Measures: The survival outcome was all-cause mortality. Mortality data were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website and linked to the NHANES database using the unique subject identifier. Weibull regression model was adopted to quantify the association between BRI and all-cause mortality. Results: Among 32 995 US adults, the mean (SD) age was 46.74 (16.92) years, and 16 529 (50.10%) were women. Mean BRI increased gradually from 4.80 (95% CI, 4.62-4.97) to 5.62 (95% CI, 5.37-5.86) from 1999 through 2018, with a biennial change of 0.95% (95% CI, 0.80%-1.09%; P < .001), and this increasing trend was more obvious among women, elderly individuals, and individuals who identified as Mexican American. After a median (IQR) follow-up of 9.98 (5.33-14.33) years, 3452 deaths (10.46% of participants) from all causes occurred. There was a U-shaped association between BRI and all-cause mortality, with the risk increased by 25% (hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.05-1.47) for adults with BRI less than 3.4 and by 49% (hazard ratio, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.31-1.70) for those with BRI of 6.9 or greater compared with the middle quintile of BRI of 4.5 to 5.5 after full adjustment. Conclusions and Relevance: This national cohort study found an increasing trend of BRI during nearly 20-year period among US adults, and importantly, a U-shaped association between BRI and all-cause mortality. These findings provide evidence for proposing BRI as a noninvasive screening tool for mortality risk estimation, an innovative concept that could be incorporated into public health practice pending consistent validation in other independent cohorts.


Nutrition Surveys , Humans , Female , Male , Adult , United States/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Mortality/trends , Cohort Studies , Aged , Cause of Death/trends , Risk Factors , Body Mass Index , Obesity/mortality , Obesity/epidemiology , Young Adult
2.
Clin Res Cardiol ; 113(6): 951-958, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695899

BACKGROUND: The evidence regarding beta blocker (BB) benefit in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains inconclusive, leading to consideration of BB withdrawal in this population. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we retrospectively analyzed the association of BB on all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients. METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of 20,206 patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) ≥ 50% who were hospitalized with decompensated HF between January 2011 and March 2020. Survival is reported at 30 days, 1 year, and 3 years. A secondary analysis comparing mortality for patients on BB with additional indications including hypertension (HTN), coronary artery disease (CAD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) was completed. Mortality was compared between patients on BB and additional therapies of spironolactone or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs). RESULTS: BB showed lower all-cause mortality at 30 days, 1 year, and 3 years (p < 0.0001). This association with lower all-cause mortality was validated by a supplementary propensity score-matched analysis. At 3 years, there was significant mortality reduction with addition of BB to either spironolactone (p = 0.0359) or ACEi/ARBs (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: In a large single-center retrospective registry, BB use was associated with lower mortality in HFpEF patients with a recent decompensated HF hospitalization. The mortality benefit persisted in those treated with spironolactone or ACEi/ARBs, and in those with AF. This provocative data further highlights the uncertainty of the benefit of BB use in this cohort and calls for re-consideration of BB withdrawal, especially in those tolerating it well, without conclusive, large, and randomized trials showing lack of benefit or harm.


Adrenergic beta-Antagonists , Cause of Death , Heart Failure , Stroke Volume , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Aged , Heart Failure/mortality , Heart Failure/drug therapy , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Stroke Volume/physiology , Cause of Death/trends , Ventricular Function, Left/physiology , Ventricular Function, Left/drug effects , Middle Aged , Survival Rate/trends , Aged, 80 and over , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Follow-Up Studies , Spironolactone/therapeutic use
3.
Crit Care ; 28(1): 164, 2024 05 14.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38745253

BACKGROUND: Hypoinflammatory and hyperinflammatory phenotypes have been identified in both Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) and sepsis. Attributable mortality of ARDS in each phenotype of sepsis is yet to be determined. We aimed to estimate the population attributable fraction of death from ARDS (PAFARDS) in hypoinflammatory and hyperinflammatory sepsis, and to determine the primary cause of death within each phenotype. METHODS: We studied 1737 patients with sepsis from two prospective cohorts. Patients were previously assigned to the hyperinflammatory or hypoinflammatory phenotype using latent class analysis. The PAFARDS in patients with sepsis was estimated separately in the hypo and hyperinflammatory phenotypes. Organ dysfunction, severe comorbidities, and withdrawal of life support were abstracted from the medical record in a subset of patients from the EARLI cohort who died (n = 130/179). Primary cause of death was defined as the organ system that most directly contributed to death or withdrawal of life support. RESULTS: The PAFARDS was 19% (95%CI 10,28%) in hypoinflammatory sepsis and, 14% (95%CI 6,20%) in hyperinflammatory sepsis. Cause of death differed between the two phenotypes (p < 0.001). Respiratory failure was the most common cause of death in hypoinflammatory sepsis, whereas circulatory shock was the most common cause in hyperinflammatory sepsis. Death with severe underlying comorbidities was more frequent in hypoinflammatory sepsis (81% vs. 67%, p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: The PAFARDS is modest in both phenotypes whereas primary cause of death among patients with sepsis differed substantially by phenotype. This study identifies challenges in powering future clinical trials to detect changes in mortality outcomes among patients with sepsis and ARDS.


Phenotype , Respiratory Distress Syndrome , Sepsis , Humans , Sepsis/mortality , Sepsis/complications , Sepsis/physiopathology , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/mortality , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/physiopathology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Prospective Studies , Cause of Death/trends , Cohort Studies , Inflammation
4.
Lancet Public Health ; 9(5): e295-e305, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38702094

BACKGROUND: Earlier death among people in socioeconomically deprived circumstances has been found internationally and for various causes of death, resulting in a considerable life-expectancy gap between socioeconomic groups. We examined how age-specific and cause-specific mortality contributions to the socioeconomic gap in life expectancy have changed at the area level in Germany over time. METHODS: In this ecological study, official German population and cause-of-death statistics provided by the Federal Statistical Office of Germany for the period Jan 1, 2003, to Dec 31, 2021, were linked to district-level data of the German Index of Socioeconomic Deprivation. Life-table and decomposition methods were applied to calculate life expectancy by area-level deprivation quintile and decompose the life-expectancy gap between the most and least deprived quintiles into age-specific and cause-specific mortality contributions. FINDINGS: Over the study period, population numbers varied between 80 million and 83 million people per year, with the number of deaths ranging from 818 000 to 1 024 000, covering the entire German population. Between Jan 1, 2003, and Dec 31, 2019, the gap in life expectancy between the most and least deprived quintiles of districts increased by 0·7 years among females (from 1·1 to 1·8 years) and by 0·1 years among males (from 3·0 to 3·1 years). Thereafter, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the gap increased more rapidly to 2·2 years in females and 3·5 years in males in 2021. Between 2003 and 2021, the causes of death that contributed the most to the life-expectancy gap were cardiovascular diseases and cancer, with declining contributions of cardiovascular disease deaths among those aged 70 years and older and increasing contributions of cancer deaths among those aged 40-74 years over this period. COVID-19 mortality among individuals aged 45 years and older was the strongest contributor to the increase in life-expectancy gap after 2019. INTERPRETATION: To reduce the socioeconomic gap in life expectancy, effective efforts are needed to prevent early deaths from cardiovascular disease and cancer in socioeconomically deprived populations, with cancer prevention and control becoming an increasingly important field of action in this respect. FUNDING: German Cancer Aid and European Research Council.


Cause of Death , Life Expectancy , Socioeconomic Factors , Humans , Life Expectancy/trends , Germany/epidemiology , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Cause of Death/trends , Adult , Child, Preschool , Infant , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Adolescent , Young Adult , Infant, Newborn , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/epidemiology , Health Status Disparities , Age Factors
5.
Kardiologiia ; 64(4): 31-37, 2024 Apr 30.
Article Ru, En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38742513

AIM: Identification of clinical and instrumental predictors for non-arrhythmic death in patients with heart failure (HF) and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Through a telephone survey and examination of medical records from hospital and polyclinic databases, data were obtained on the alive/dead status and causes of death for 260 patients with heart failure (HF) and ICD included in the Kuzbass Registry of Patients with ICD. The follow-up period was 1.5 years. Clinical and instrumental parameters entered into the registry before the ICD implantation were included in a univariate and multivariate step-by-step analysis using the logistic (for qualitative variables) and linear (for quantitative variables) regression with calculation of regression coefficients and construction of a prognostic regression model. The quality of the created model was assessed using a ROC analysis. RESULTS: During the observation period, 54 (20.8%) patients died. In 21 (38.8%) patients, death occurred in the hospital and was caused by acute decompensated heart failure in 15 (71.4%) patients, myocardial infarction in 3 (14.3%) patients, stroke in 1 (4.7%) patient, and pneumonia in 2 (9.5%) patients. 33 (61.2%) patients died outside the hospital; the cause of death was stated as the underlying disease associated with acute decompensated heart failure: in 9 (27.2%) patients, dilated cardiomyopathy; in 1 (3.0%) patient, rheumatic mitral disease; and in 23 (69.7%) patients, ischemic cardiomyopathy. According to the univariate regression model, the risk of death in the long-term period was increased by the QT interval prolongation (U 2.41, p = 0.0161); elevated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (U 4.30, p=0.0000) and increased left atrial size according to echocardiography (U 2.98, p=0.0029); stage IIB HF (OR 2.41; 95% CI: 1.26-4.6), NYHA III-IV (OR 3.03; 95% CI: 1.58-5.81); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 5.24; 95% CI: 2.04-13.45); and lack of optimal drug therapy (ODT) for HF before ICD implantation (OR 2.41; 95% CI: 1.29-4.49). The multivariate analysis identified the most significant factors included in the prognostic regression model: pulmonary artery systolic pressure above 45 mm Hg, social status, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lack of ODT for HF. CONCLUSION: To ensure a maximum benefit from ICD, the factors that increase the likelihood of non-arrhythmic death should be considered before making a decision on ICD implantation. Particular attention should be paid to mandatory ODT for HF as the main modifiable risk factor for unfavorable prognosis.


Defibrillators, Implantable , Heart Failure , Registries , Humans , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Heart Failure/therapy , Female , Male , Prognosis , Middle Aged , Aged , Prospective Studies , Russia/epidemiology , Cause of Death/trends , Risk Factors
6.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1404, 2024 May 27.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38802850

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyze the trends and burden of occupational exposure to asbestos in the United States (U.S.) from 1990 to 2019, focusing on mortality rates, geographic distribution, age and sex patterns, and causes of death. METHODS: Data on the number of deaths attributable to occupational exposure to asbestos were collected from 1990 to 2019 in the U.S. Joinpoint analysis was conducted to assess trends over time, and regression models were applied to calculate annual percentage changes (APC) and annual average percentage changes (AAPC). Geographic distribution was examined using mapping techniques. Age and sex patterns were analyzed, and causes of death were identified based on available data. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the overall number of deaths due to occupational exposure to asbestos in the U.S. increased by 20.2%. However, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) exhibited a decline over the same period. Geographic analysis revealed differences in the number of deaths across states in 2019, with California reporting the highest number of fatalities. Age-specific mortality and DALYs showed an increase with age, peaking in older age groups. Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer were the leading causes of death attributed to asbestos exposure, with increasing trends observed over the past five years. CONCLUSION: The study highlights significant trends and burden in occupational exposure to asbestos in the U.S., including overall increases in mortality rates, declining ASMR and ASDR, geographic disparities, age and sex patterns, and shifts in causes of death. These findings underscore the importance of continued monitoring and preventive measures to mitigate the burden of asbestos-related diseases.


Asbestos , Cause of Death , Occupational Exposure , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Male , Occupational Exposure/adverse effects , Occupational Exposure/statistics & numerical data , Female , Cause of Death/trends , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Disability-Adjusted Life Years/trends
7.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 470, 2024 May 29.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38811919

BACKGROUND: As the global aging process continues to accelerate, heart failure (HF) has become an important cause of increased morbidity and mortality in elderly patients. Chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for HF. Patients with HF combined with AF are more difficult to treat and have a worse prognosis. The aim of this study was to explore the risk factors for 1-year mortality in patients with HF combined with AF and to develop a risk prediction assessment model. METHODS: We recruited hospitalized patients with HF and AF who received standardized care in the Department of Cardiology at Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from January 2013 to December 2018. The patients were randomly divided into modeling and internal validation groups using a random number generator at a 1:1 ratio. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for all-cause mortality during a one-year follow-up period. Then, a nomogram was constructed based on the weights of each index and validated. Receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the curve (AUC), decision curve, and calibration curve analyses for survival were used to evaluate the model's predictive and clinical validities and calibration. RESULTS: We included 3,406 patients who met the eligibility criteria; 1,703 cases each were included in the modeling and internal validation groups. Eight statistically significant predictors were identified: age, sex, New York Heart Association cardiac function class III or IV, a history of myocardial infarction, and the albumin, triglycerides, N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide, and blood urea nitrogen levels. The AUCs were 0.793 (95% confidence interval: 0.763-0.823) and 0.794 (95% confidence interval: 0.763-0.823) in the modeling and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We present a predictive model for all-cause mortality in patients with coexisting HF and AF comprising eight key factors. This model gives clinicians a simple assessment tool that may improve the clinical management of these patients.


Atrial Fibrillation , Heart Failure , Nomograms , Humans , Atrial Fibrillation/mortality , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Male , Female , Heart Failure/mortality , Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Chronic Disease , China/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Cause of Death/trends
8.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 415, 2024 May 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38730347

BACKGROUND: Parkinson's disease (PD) is a slowly progressive neurodegenerating disease that may eventually lead to disabling condition and pose a threat to the health of aging populations. This study aimed to explore the association of two potential risk factors, selenium and cadmium, with the prognosis of Parkinson's disease as well as their interaction effect. METHODS: Data were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2006 to 2015-2016 and National Death Index (NDI). Participants were classified as Parkinson's patients by self-reported anti-Parkinson medications usage. Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline models were applied to evaluate the association between PD mortality and selenium intake level as well as blood cadmium level. Subgroup analysis was also conducted to explore the interaction between them. RESULTS: A total of 184 individuals were included. In full adjusted cox regression model (adjusted for age, gender, race, hypertension, pesticide exposure, smoking status and caffeine intake), compared with participants with low selenium intake, those with normal selenium intake level were significantly associated with less risk of death (95%CI: 0.18-0.76, P = 0.005) while no significant association was found between low selenium intake group and high selenium group (95%CI: 0.16-1.20, P = 0.112). Restricted cubic spline model indicated a nonlinear relationship between selenium intake and PD mortality (P for nonlinearity = 0.050). The association between PD mortality and blood cadmium level was not significant (95%CI: 0.19-5.57, P = 0.112). However, the interaction term of selenium intake and blood cadmium showed significance in the cox model (P for interaction = 0.048). Subgroup analysis showed that the significant protective effect of selenium intake existed in populations with high blood cadmium but not in populations with low blood cadmium. CONCLUSION: Moderate increase of selenium intake had a protective effect on PD mortality especially in high blood cadmium populations.


Cadmium , Parkinson Disease , Selenium , Humans , Cadmium/blood , Male , Female , Parkinson Disease/blood , Parkinson Disease/mortality , Selenium/blood , Selenium/administration & dosage , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Middle Aged , Nutrition Surveys/methods , Risk Factors , Diet , Cause of Death/trends , Cohort Studies
9.
Cad Saude Publica ; 40(5): e00182823, 2024.
Article Es | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38775608

This article shows the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on life expectancy in Chile in 2020, based on mortality statistics published in March 2023. To this end, a counterfactual mortality was estimated for 2020 without COVID-19; based on the pattern of mortality by cause of death from 1997 to 2019, mortality charts were created to calculate life expectancy from 2015 to 2020 and an estimation for 2020, and the difference between expected and observed life expectancy in 2020 was then separated by age group and cause of death. Life expectancy in 2020 interrupted the upward trend from 2015 to 2019, showing a decline of 1.32 years in men and 0.75 years in women compared to 2019. Compared to the estimated 2020, life expectancy was 1.51 years lower in men and 0.92 years lower in women, but the direct impact of COVID-19 on the decrease in life expectancy was greater (1.89 for men and 1.5 for women) in the 60-84 age group in men and the 60-89 age group in women. The direct negative impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy was partially mitigated by significant positive indirect impacts on two groups of causes of death: diseases of the respiratory system and infectious and parasitic diseases. This study shows the need to differentiate direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19, due to the implications for public health when the intensity of COVID-19 decreases and mobility restrictions are suspended.


El artículo muestra el impacto directo e indirecto del COVID-19 en la esperanza de vida de Chile durante el año 2020, utilizando las estadísticas de defunciones definitivas publicadas en marzo del año 2023. Para ello, se estimó una mortalidad contrafactual para año 2020 sin el COVID-19, siguiendo el patrón de mortalidad según causas de muerte desde 1997 a 2019, se elaboraron tablas de mortalidad para calcular la esperanza de vida para los años 2015 a 2020 y para el año 2020 estimado, y luego se descompuso la diferencia entre la esperanza de vida esperada y observada del año 2020 según grupos de edad y causas de muerte. La esperanza de vida del año 2020 quiebra la tendencia a su aumento entre 2015 y 2019, mostrando un retroceso, en hombres y en mujeres, con respecto al año 2019, de 1,32 y 0,75 años respectivamente. Con respecto al año 2020 estimado, la esperanza de vida del 2020 observado es 1,51 años menor en hombres y 0,92 en mujeres, pero el impacto directo del COVID-19 en pérdida de esperanza de vida fue mayor, 1,89 para los hombres y 1,5 para las mujeres, concentrándose en las edades entre los 60 y 84 años en hombres y entre 60 y 89 años en mujeres. El impacto directo negativo del COVID-19 a la esperanza de vida en parte fue contrarrestado por impactos indirectos positivos significativos en dos grupos de causas de muerte, las enfermedades del sistema respiratorio y las enfermedades infecciosas y parasitarias. El estudio muestra la necesidad de distinguir los impactos directos e indirectos del COVID-19, por la incidencia que pueden tener en la salud pública cuando el COVID-19 baje su intensidad y se eliminen las restricciones de movilidad.


Este artigo apresenta os impactos direto e indireto da COVID-19 na expectativa de vida no Chile em 2020 a partir de estatísticas de mortalidade publicadas em março de 2023. Para tanto, foi estimada uma mortalidade contrafactual para 2020 sem a COVID-19; a partir do padrão de mortalidade por causa de morte de 1997 a 2019, foram criadas tabelas de mortalidade para calcular a expectativa de vida para o período de 2015 a 2020 e para o ano estimado de 2020 e, em seguida, a diferença entre a expectativa de vida esperada e observada em 2020 foi separada por faixa etária e causa de morte. A expectativa de vida em 2020 interrompe a tendência de aumento entre 2015 e 2019, mostrando um declínio com relação a 2019 de 1,32 ano nos homens e 0,75 ano nas mulheres. Com relação ao ano estimado de 2020, a expectativa de vida observada é 1,51 ano menor nos homens e 0,92 nas mulheres, mas o impacto direto da COVID-19 na diminuição da expectativa de vida foi maior (1,89 para homens e 1,5 para mulheres), concentrando-se nas idades entre 60 e 84 anos nos homens e entre 60 e 89 anos nas mulheres. O impacto direto negativo da COVID-19 na expectativa de vida foi parcialmente atenuado por impactos indiretos positivos significativos em dois grupos de causas de morte: doenças do sistema respiratório e doenças infecciosas e parasitárias. Este estudo mostra a necessidade de diferenciar impactos diretos e indiretos da COVID-19, devido às implicações para a saúde pública quando a intensidade da COVID-19 diminuir e as restrições de mobilidade forem suspensas.


COVID-19 , Cause of Death , Life Expectancy , Humans , COVID-19/mortality , Life Expectancy/trends , Chile/epidemiology , Female , Male , Aged , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cause of Death/trends , Infant , Adolescent , Adult , Infant, Newborn , Child, Preschool , Young Adult , Child , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , Sex Factors
10.
Curr Probl Cardiol ; 49(7): 102608, 2024 Jul.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38697331

BACKGROUND: No studies have been conducted to analyze the impact of serum uric acid (UA) levels on the outcome of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. We aimed to evaluate the effect of hyperuricemia (HU) on the prognosis of AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients who consulted our emergency room for an episode of AF, already known or newly diagnosed, between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2015 (n=2017) were enrolled. After applying exclusion criteria, 1772 patients were included. Serum UA levels in the 6 months before or after the date of the episode were recorded and classified into quartiles: Q1 (n=443) serum UA levels <4.6 mg/dL; Q2 (n=430) 4.6-5.6 mg/dL; Q3 (n=435) 5.7-6.9 mg/dL; and Q4 (n=464) ≥7 mg/dL. Two groups were differentiated: patients without HU (Q1-Q3) and those with HU (Q4). The mean follow-up was 3.7 ± 1.4 years. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality during follow-up. Mortality during follow-up in the bivariate analysis was higher (p < 0.001) in patients with HU (52.1 %) compared to those without it (35.3 %), confirming multivariate Cox analysis of HU as an independent risk factor for death [hazard ratio 1.89 (1.59-2.25)]. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a shorter survival time in patients with HU (log-rank test, p<0.001). Cox analysis confirmed significant differences in the risk of heart failure (30 % vs. 22 %) in patients with HU. CONCLUSIONS: HU is independently associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure in patients with AF.


Atrial Fibrillation , Hyperuricemia , Uric Acid , Humans , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Hyperuricemia/epidemiology , Hyperuricemia/complications , Hyperuricemia/blood , Male , Female , Aged , Prognosis , Uric Acid/blood , Risk Factors , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Follow-Up Studies , Time Factors , Biomarkers/blood , Survival Rate/trends , Cause of Death/trends
11.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1431, 2024 May 29.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38807078

BACKGROUND: The United Nations' Millennium Development Goals and Sustainable Development Goals both underscore the critical need to reduce the under-five mortality rate globally. China has made remarkable progress in decreasing the mortality rate of children under five. This study aims to examine the trends in child mortality rates from 2002 to 2022 and the causes of deaths among neonates, infants, and children under 5 years of age from 2013 to 2022 in Huangshi. METHODS: The data resource was supported and provided by the Huangshi Health Commission, Huangshi Maternal and Child Health Hospital, and the Huangshi Statistics Bureau. Figures were drawn using Origin 2021. RESULTS: The mortality rate among children under 5 years old significantly decreased, from 21.38 per 1,000 live births in 2002 to 3.53 per 1,000 live births in 2022. The infant mortality rate also saw a significant decline, to 15.06 per 1,000 live births. Among the 1,929 recorded child deaths from 2013 to 2022, the top three causes were: F2 (Disorders related to short gestation and low birth weight), accounting for 17.26% (333 deaths); I1 (Accidental drowning and submersion), for 14.83% (286 deaths); and I3 (Other accidental threats to breathing), for 12.29% (237 deaths). Of the 1,929 deaths, 1,117 were male children, representing 57.91%. The gender disparity in the Under-5 Mortality Rate (U5MR) was calculated to be 1.38 (boys to girls). The leading causes of death under the age of five shifted from F2 (Disorders related to short gestation and low birth weight) to I1 (Accidental drowning and submersion) as children aged, highlighting the need for policymakers and parents to intensify care and vigilance for children. CONCLUSIONS: Huangshi has achieved significant progress in lowering child mortality rates over the past two decades. The study calls for policymakers to enact more effective measures to further reduce the mortality rate among children under 5 years of age in Huangshi. Furthermore, it advises parents to dedicate more time and effort to supervising and nurturing their children, promoting a safer and healthier development.


Cause of Death , Child Mortality , Infant Mortality , Humans , China/epidemiology , Infant , Child Mortality/trends , Child, Preschool , Female , Infant, Newborn , Male , Retrospective Studies , Infant Mortality/trends , Cause of Death/trends
12.
Int J Cardiol ; 408: 132136, 2024 Aug 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38714234

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate associations between echocardiography markers and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Diabetes Care Management Program database of a medical center was used, including 5612 patients with T2DM aged 30 years and older and who underwent echocardiography assessment between 2001 and 2021. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to evaluate associations of echocardiography abnormalities with all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 5.8 years, 1273 patients died. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause mortality for each standard deviation increase were presented for the cardiac systolic function indicator of left ventricular ejection fraction (0.77, 0.73-0.81), cardiac structural parameters of left ventricular mass index (1.25, 1.19-1.31) and left atrial volume index (1.31, 1.25-1.37), and cardiac diastolic function of E/A ratio (1.10, 1.07-1.13), E/e' ratio (1.37, 1.30-1.45), and TR velocity (1.25, 1.18-1.32); meanwhile, the values of expanded CVD mortality included left ventricular ejection fraction (0.67, 0.62-0.72), left ventricular mass index (1.35, 1.25-1.45), left atrial volume index (1.40, 1.31-1.50), E/A ratio (1.12, 1.08-1.16), E/e' ratio (1.57, 1.46-1.69), and TR velocity (1.29, 1.19-1.39), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac systolic function indicator of left ventricular ejection fraction, cardiac structural parameters of left ventricular mass index and left atrial volume index, and cardiac diastolic function indicators of E/A ratio, E/e' ratio, and TR velocity are associated with all-cause and expanded CVD mortality in patients with T2DM.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Echocardiography , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/mortality , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diagnostic imaging , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Echocardiography/methods , Aged , Follow-Up Studies , Cause of Death/trends , Retrospective Studies , Stroke Volume/physiology , Mortality/trends , Adult
13.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 13(10): e033001, 2024 May 21.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38726915

BACKGROUND: Higher cardiovascular health (CVH) score is associated with lower risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in the general population. However, it is unclear whether cumulative CVH is associated with CVD, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and death in patients with chronic kidney disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among individuals from the prospective CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study, we used the percentage of the maximum possible CVH score attained from baseline to the year 5 visit to calculate cumulative CVH score. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression was used to investigate the associations of cumulative CVH with risks of adjudicated CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure), ESKD, and all-cause mortality. A total of 3939 participants (mean age, 57.7 years; 54.9% men) were included. The mean (SD) cumulative CVH score attained during 5 years was 55.5% (12.3%). Over a subsequent median 10.2-year follow-up, 597 participants developed CVD, 656 had ESKD, and 1324 died. A higher cumulative CVH score was significantly associated with lower risks of CVD, ESKD, and mortality, independent of the CVH score at year 5. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CIs per 10% higher cumulative CVH score during 5 years were 0.81 (0.69-0.95) for CVD, 0.82 (0.70-0.97) for ESKD, and 0.80 (0.72-0.89) for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with chronic kidney disease stages 2 to 4, a better CVH status maintained throughout 5 years is associated with lower risks of CVD, ESKD, and all-cause mortality. The findings support the need for interventions to maintain ideal CVH status for prevention of adverse outcomes in the population with chronic kidney disease.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Prospective Studies , Aged , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Risk Assessment/methods , Time Factors , Cause of Death/trends , Risk Factors , Health Status , Prognosis
14.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 13(10): e034741, 2024 May 21.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38761078

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate temporal trends in survival and subsequent cardiovascular events in a nationwide myocardial infarction population with and without diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Between 2006 and 2020, we identified 2527 individuals with type 1 diabetes, 48 321 individuals with type 2 diabetes and 243 170 individuals without diabetes with first myocardial infarction in national health care registries. Outcomes were trends in all-cause death after 30 and 365 days, cardiovascular death and major adverse cardiovascular events (ie, nonfatal stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, cardiovascular death, and heart failure hospitalization). Pseudo-observations were used to estimate the mortality risk, with 95% CIs, using linear regression, adjusted for age and sex. Individuals with type 1 diabetes were younger (62±12.2 years) and more often women (43.6%) compared with individuals with type 2 diabetes (75±10.8 years; women, 38.1%), and individuals without diabetes (73±13.2 years; women, 38.4%). Early death decreased in people without diabetes from 23.1% to 17.5%, (annual change -0.48% [95% CI, -0.52% to -0.44%]) and in people with type 2 diabetes from 22.6% to 19.3% (annual change, -0.33% [95% CI, -0.43% to -0.24%]), with no such significant trend in people with type 1 diabetes from 23.8% to 21.7% (annual change, -0.18% [95% CI, -0.53% to 0.17%]). Similar trends were observed with regard to 1-year death, cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: During the past 15 years, the trend in survival and major adverse cardiovascular events in people with first myocardial infarction without diabetes and with type 2 diabetes have improved significantly. In contrast, a similar improvement was not seen in people with type 1 diabetes.


Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Myocardial Infarction , Registries , Humans , Female , Male , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/mortality , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/mortality , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/epidemiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cause of Death/trends , Time Factors , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Denmark/epidemiology , Survival Rate/trends
15.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 13(10): e033568, 2024 May 21.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38761079

BACKGROUND: Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a multicomponent intervention to reduce adverse outcomes from coronary artery disease, but its mechanisms are not fully understood. The aims of this study were to examine the impact of CR on survival and cardiovascular risk factors, and to determine potential mediators between CR attendance and reduced mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: A retrospective mediation analysis was conducted among 11 196 patients referred to a 12-week CR program following an acute coronary syndrome event between 2009 and 2019. A panel of cardiovascular risk factors was assessed at a CR intake visit and repeated on CR completion. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were ascertained via health care administrative data sets at mean 4.2-year follow-up (SD, 2.81 years). CR completion was associated with reduced all-cause (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.67 [95% CI, 0.54-0.83]) and cardiovascular (adjusted HR, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.40-0.81]) mortality, as well as improved cardiorespiratory fitness, lipid profile, body composition, psychological distress, and smoking rates (P<0.001). CR attendance had an indirect effect on all-cause mortality via improved cardiorespiratory fitness (ab=-0.006 [95% CI, -0.008 to -0.003]) and via low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (ab=-0.002 [95% CI, -0.003 to -0.0003]) and had an indirect effect on cardiovascular mortality via cardiorespiratory fitness (ab=-0.007 [95% CI, -0.012 to -0.003]). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiorespiratory fitness and lipid control partly explain the mortality benefits of CR and represent important secondary prevention targets.


Cardiac Rehabilitation , Coronary Artery Disease , Humans , Male , Female , Cardiac Rehabilitation/methods , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Coronary Artery Disease/rehabilitation , Coronary Artery Disease/mortality , Aged , Heart Disease Risk Factors , Risk Factors , Cardiorespiratory Fitness , Cause of Death/trends , Risk Assessment , Treatment Outcome
16.
J Emerg Med ; 66(5): e571-e580, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38693006

BACKGROUND: Emergency patients are frequently assigned nonspecific diagnoses. Nonspecific diagnoses describe observations or symptoms and are found in chapters R and Z of the International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition (ICD-10). Patients with such diagnoses have relatively low mortality, but due to patient volume, the absolute number of deaths is substantial. However, information on cause of short-term mortality is limited. OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether death could be expected for ambulance patients brought to the emergency department (ED) after a 1-1-2 call, released with a nonspecific ICD-10 diagnosis within 24 h, and who subsequently died within 30 days. METHODS: Retrospective medical record review of adult 1-1-2 emergency ambulance patients brought to an ED in the North Denmark Region during 2017-2021. Patients were divided into three categories: unexpected death, expected death (terminal illness), and miscellaneous. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was assessed. RESULTS: We included 492 patients. Mortality was distributed as follows: Unexpected death 59.2% (n = 291), expected death (terminal illness) 25.8% (n = 127), and miscellaneous 15.0% (n = 74). Patients who died unexpectedly were old (median age of 82 years) and had CCI 1-2 (58.1%); 43.0% used at least five daily prescription drugs, and they were severely acutely ill upon arrival (24.7% with red triage, 60.1% died within 24 h). CONCLUSIONS: More than half of ambulance patients released within 24 h from the ED with nonspecific diagnoses, and who subsequently died within 30 days, died unexpectedly. One-fourth died from a pre-existing terminal illness. Patients dying unexpectedly were old, treated with polypharmacy, and often life-threateningly sick at arrival.


Ambulances , Emergency Service, Hospital , Humans , Female , Retrospective Studies , Male , Aged , Ambulances/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Emergency Service, Hospital/organization & administration , Denmark/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Adult , Cause of Death/trends , International Classification of Diseases
17.
Rev. esp. cardiol. (Ed. impr.) ; 77(5): 372-380, mayo 2024. ilus, tab
Article Es | IBECS | ID: ibc-JHG-69

Introducción y objetivos: La American Heart Association ha desarrollado el índice Life's Essential 8 (LE8) para promover la prevención de la enfermedad cardiovascular (ECV). Este estudio examinó la distribución del LE8 en la población adulta española y su asociación con la mortalidad general y por ECV.MétodosSe analizaron datos de 11.616 personas de edad≥ años (el 50,5% mujeres) del estudio ENRICA, reclutadas en 2008-2010 y seguidas hasta 2020-2022. El LE8 incluye 8 parámetros (dieta, actividad física, exposición a la nicotina, sueño, índice de masa corporal, lípidos y glucosa en sangre y presión arterial) y se puntúa de 0 a 100. La asociación entre LE8 y mortalidad se resumió mediante hazardratio obtenidas de modelos de Cox.ResultadosEl 13,2% de los participantes (del 6,1 al 16,9% según la comunidad autónoma) mostraron mala salud cardiovascular (LE8≤49). Tras una mediana de 12,9 años de seguimiento, ocurrieron 908 muertes totales y, durante una mediana de 11,8 años de seguimiento, 207 muertes por ECV. Tras ajustar por los principales factores de confusión y comparados con el cuartil más bajo (menos saludable) de LE8, los HR (IC 95%) de mortalidad general en el segundo, el tercer y el cuarto cuartil fueron, respectivamente, 0,68 (0,56-0,83), 0,63 (0,51-0,78) y 0,53 (0,39-0,72). Los resultados correspondientes a la mortalidad cardiovascular, considerando riesgos competitivos de muerte, fueron 0,62 (0,39-0,97), 0,55 (0,32-0,93) y 0,38 (0,16-0,89).ConclusionesUna proporción sustancial de los españoles mostraron mala salud cardiovascular. Una mayor puntación de LE8, desde el segundo cuartil, se asocia con menores mortalidad general y cardiovascular. (AU)


Introduction and objectives: The American Heart Association has recently developed the Life's Essential 8 (LE8) score to encourage prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study assessed the distribution of LE8 in the Spanish adult population and its association with all-cause and CVD death.MethodsWe used data from 11 616 individuals aged 18 years and older (50.5% women) from the ENRICA study, recruited between 2008 and 2010 and followed up until 2020 to 2022. The LE8 score includes 8 metrics (diet, physical activity, nicotine exposure, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids and glucose, and blood pressure) and ranges from 0 to 100. The association of LE8 score with mortality was summarized with hazard ratios (HR), obtained from Cox regression.ResultsIn total, 13.2% of participants (range, 6.1%-16.9% across regions) had low cardiovascular health (LE8≤49). During a median follow-up of 12.9 years, 908 total deaths occurred, and, during a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 207 CVD deaths were ascertained. After adjustment for the main potential confounders and compared with being in the least healthy (lowest) quartile of LE8, the HR (95%CI) of all-cause mortality for the second, third and fourth quartiles were 0.68 (0.56-0.83), 0.63 (0.51-0.78), and 0.53 (0.39-0.72), respectively. The corresponding figures for CVD mortality, after accounting for competing mortality risks, were 0.62 (0.39-0.97), 0.55 (0.32-0.93), and 0.38 (0.16-0.89).ConclusionsA substantial proportion of the Spanish population showed low cardiovascular health. A higher LE8 score, starting from the second quartile, was associated with lower all-cause and CVD mortality. (AU)


Humans , Body Mass Index , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cause of Death/trends , Risk Factors , Spain/epidemiology
18.
Am J Cardiol ; 220: 33-38, 2024 Jun 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38582315

In acute coronary syndromes (ACS), revascularization is the standard of care. However, trials comparing contemporary coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are limited. Optimal revascularization in patients with multivessel coronary artery disease (MV-CAD) presenting with ACS is unclear. This is a multicentered, retrospective observational study from a large hospital system in the United States. We abstracted data in patients with MV-CAD and ACS from 2018 to 2022 who underwent revascularization with PCI, CABG, or medical management (MM). We evaluated multivariate statistics comparing categorical variables and outcomes, including all-cause mortality and myocardial infarction (MI) at 1 year. All logistic and Cox proportional-hazard models were balanced using inverse probability treatment weights accounting for age and gender. There were 295 patients with CABG (median age 66 years [interquartile range 59.7 to 73.1]; 73% male), 1,559 patients with PCI (median age 68.3 years [interquartile range 60 to 76.6]; 69.1% male], and 307 patients with MM (median age 70 years [60.9 to 77.1] 74% male]. Patients revascularized with PCI had greater all-cause mortality at 1 year (14.1% vs 5.1%; hazard ratio 2.4, confidence interval [1.5 to 3.8], p <0.001) and similar mortality to MM (13.4%). CABG also showed a reduced 1-year MI rate compared with PCI (1.7% vs 3.9%; hazard ratio 0.36, confidence interval 0.21 to 0.61, p ≤0.001), with a similar 1-year rate of MI to MM (3.9%). In conclusion, CABG is associated with lower mortality than are PCI and MM, and repeat ACS events at 1 year in patients with ACS and MV-CAD.


Acute Coronary Syndrome , Coronary Artery Bypass , Coronary Artery Disease , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Acute Coronary Syndrome/surgery , Acute Coronary Syndrome/mortality , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods , Coronary Artery Disease/surgery , Coronary Artery Disease/complications , Coronary Artery Disease/mortality , Myocardial Revascularization/methods , Myocardial Revascularization/statistics & numerical data , Cause of Death/trends , United States/epidemiology
19.
Epilepsy Behav ; 155: 109770, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38636143

Studies on epilepsy mortality in the United States are limited. We used the National Vital Statistics System Multiple Cause of Death data to investigate mortality rates and trends during 2011-2021 for epilepsy (defined by the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, codes G40.0-G40.9) as an underlying, contributing, or any cause of death (i.e., either an underlying or contributing cause) for U.S. residents. We also examined epilepsy as an underlying or contributing cause of death by selected sociodemographic characteristics to assess mortality rate changes and disparities in subpopulations. During 2011-2021, the overall age-standardized mortality rates for epilepsy as an underlying (39 % of all deaths) or contributing (61 % of all deaths) cause of death increased 83.6 % (from 2.9 per million to 6.4 per million population) as underlying cause and 144.1 % (from 3.3 per million to 11.0 per million population) as contributing cause (P < 0.001 for both based on annual percent changes). Compared to 2011-2015, in 2016-2020 mortality rates with epilepsy as an underlying or contributing cause of death were higher overall and in nearly all subgroups. Overall, mortality rates with epilepsy as an underlying or contributing cause of death were higher in older age groups, among males than females, among non-Hispanic Black or non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native persons than non-Hispanic White persons, among those living in the West and Midwest than those living in the Northeast, and in nonmetro counties compared to urban regions. Results identify priority subgroups for intervention to reduce mortality in people with epilepsy and eliminate mortality disparity.


Epilepsy , Humans , Epilepsy/mortality , Epilepsy/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Adolescent , Young Adult , Child , Infant , Child, Preschool , Aged, 80 and over , Cause of Death/trends , Infant, Newborn , Mortality/trends , Health Status Disparities
20.
Int J Cardiol ; 407: 132100, 2024 Jul 15.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38663809

BACKGROUND: Platelet distribution width (PDW) indicates heterogeneity in circulating platelet sizes. Studies reporting PDW association with mortality were limited by small sample sizes. Therefore, we examined the relationship between PDW and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large representative cohort. METHODS: The NHANES III data were linked to mortality files to examine the association between PDW and mortality. We excluded participants <18 years old and had a history of myocardial infarction. Since the hazards violated the proportionality assumption, we used piece-wise spline with 5-year time intervals in Cox models without and with adjustment for age, gender, race, smoking history, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, eGFR and total cholesterol. RESULTS: Of 15,688 participants, 53.2% were females, 36.2% had a history of hypertension, and 6368(40.6%) died during follow-up (range 0 to 31 years). The mean (SD) age of the participants was 47(20) years, platelet count was 275.0(71.7) 109/L, and PDW 16.5(0.5). In multivariable analyses, PDW was associated with all-cause mortality at 0-5 years (HR = 1.44; 95%CI = 1.21, 1.72; P < 0.001) and at 5-10 years (HR = 1.23; 95%CI =1.03, 1.46; P = 0.02). Similarly, PDW association was significant for the first 0-5 years in cardiovascular mortality (HR = 1.58, 95%CI = 1.10, 2.25; P = 0.013) and for cancer mortality (HR = 1.48 (1.15, 95%CI = 1.15, 1.91, P = 0.003). For other-cause mortality, PDW remained significantly associated for 0-5 years (HR = 1.35, 95%CI =1.05, 1.74; P = 0.02) and for 5-10 years (HR = 1.38, 95%CI = 1.05, 1.83; P = 0.023). CONCLUSIONS: PDW is an independent, but time-dependent, predictor of all-cause, cardiovascular, cancer and other-cause mortality up to 5 years. The mechanisms underlying this association need further study.


Cause of Death , Humans , Female , Male , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology , Adult , Cause of Death/trends , Nutrition Surveys , Blood Platelets , Aged , Follow-Up Studies , Mortality/trends , Platelet Count , Cohort Studies , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood
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