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1.
Clin Interv Aging ; 19: 911-922, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38799377

Purpose: The International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool (IIgAN-PT) can predict the risk of End-stage renal disease (ESRD) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥ 50% for adult IgAN patients. Considering the differential progression between older adult and adult patients, this study aims to externally validate its performance in the older adult cohort. Patients and Methods: We analyzed 165 IgAN patients aged 60 and above from six medical centers, categorizing them by their predicted risk. The primary outcome was a ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or kidney failure. Evaluation of both models involved concordance statistics (C-statistics), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and calibration plots. Comparative reclassification was conducted using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Results: The study included 165 Chinese patients (median age 64, 60% male), with a median follow-up of 5.1 years. Of these, 21% reached the primary outcome. Both models with or without race demonstrated good discrimination (C-statistics 0.788 and 0.790, respectively). Survival curves for risk groups were well-separated. The full model without race more accurately predicted 5-year risks, whereas the full model with race tended to overestimate risks after 3 years. No significant reclassification improvement was noted in the full model without race (NRI 0.09, 95% CI: -0.27 to 0.34; IDI 0.003, 95% CI: -0.009 to 0.019). Conclusion: : Both models exhibited excellent discrimination among older adult IgAN patients. The full model without race demonstrated superior calibration in predicting the 5-year risk.


Glomerular Filtration Rate , Glomerulonephritis, IGA , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , ROC Curve , Disease Progression , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Risk Factors , China
2.
BMC Nephrol ; 25(1): 185, 2024 May 30.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38816682

BACKGROUND: Protein carbamylation, a post-translational protein modification primarily driven by urea, independently associates with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with CKD. Biomarkers used to quantify carbamylation burden have mainly included carbamylated albumin (C-Alb) and homocitrulline (HCit, carbamylated lysine). In this study, we aimed to compare the prognostic utility of these two markers in order to facilitate comparisons of existing studies employing either marker alone, and to inform future carbamylation studies. METHODS: Both serum C-Alb and free HCit levels were assayed from the same timepoint in 1632 individuals with CKD stages 2-4 enrolled in the prospective Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. Adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess risks for the outcomes of death (primary) and end stage kidney disease (ESKD) using each marker. C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement were used to compare the prognostic value of each marker. RESULTS: Participant demographics included mean (SD) age 59 (11) years; 702 (43%) females; 700 (43%) white. C-Alb and HCit levels were positively correlated with one another (Pearson correlation coefficient 0.64). Higher C-Alb and HCit levels showed similar increased risk of death (e.g., the adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for death in the 4th carbamylation quartile compared to the 1st was 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-2.66) for C-Alb, and 1.89 [1.27-2.81] for HCit; and on a continuous scale, the adjusted HR for death using C-Alb was 1.24 [1.11 to 1.39] per standard deviation increase, and 1.27 [1.10-1.46] using HCit). Both biomarkers also had similar HRs for ESKD. The C-statistics were similar when adding each carbamylation biomarker to base models (e.g., for mortality models, the C-statistic was 0.725 [0.707-0.743] with C-Alb and 0.725 [0.707-0.743] with HCit, both compared to a base model 0.723). Similarities were also observed for the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement metrics. CONCLUSIONS: C-Alb and HCit had similar performance across multiple prognostic assessments. The markers appear readily comparable in CKD epidemiological studies.


Biomarkers , Citrulline , Protein Carbamylation , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Humans , Female , Citrulline/analogs & derivatives , Citrulline/blood , Male , Biomarkers/blood , Middle Aged , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/blood , Aged , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Kidney Failure, Chronic/blood , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Serum Albumin/metabolism
4.
Int J Med Sci ; 21(7): 1292-1301, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38818472

Objective: This study aimed to build and validate a practical web-based dynamic prediction model for predicting renal progression in patients with primary membranous nephropathy (PMN). Method: A total of 359 PMN patients from The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University and 102 patients with PMN from The Second Hospital of Longyan between January 2018 to December 2023 were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Renal progression was delineated as a decrease in eGFR of 30% or more from the baseline measurement at biopsy or the onset of End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was employed to identify independent prognostic factors. A web-based dynamic prediction model for renal progression was built and validated, and the performance was assessed using. An analysis of the receiver operating characteristic and the decision curve analysis. Results: In the derivation cohort, 66 (18.3%) patients experienced renal progression during the follow-up period (37.60 ± 7.95 months). The final prediction rule for renal progression included hyperuricemia (HR=2.20, 95%CI 1.26 to 3.86), proteinuria (HR=2.16, 95%CI 1.47 to 3.18), significantly lower serum albumin (HR=2.34, 95%CI 1.51 to 3.68) and eGFR (HR=1.96, 95%CI 1.47 to 2.61), older age (HR=1.85, 95%CI 1.28 to 2.61), and higher sPLA2R-ab levels (HR=2.08, 95%CI 1.43 to 3.18). Scores for each variable were calculated using the regression coefficients in the Cox model. The developed web-based dynamic prediction model, available online at http://imnpredictmodel1.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp, showed good discrimination (C-statistic = 0.72) and calibration (Brier score, P = 0.155) in the validation cohort. Conclusion: We developed a web-based dynamic prediction model that can predict renal progression in patients with PMN. It may serve as a helpful tool for clinicians to identify high-risk PMN patients and tailor appropriate treatment and surveillance strategies.


Disease Progression , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Glomerulonephritis, Membranous , Humans , Glomerulonephritis, Membranous/pathology , Glomerulonephritis, Membranous/diagnosis , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Prognosis , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Receptors, Phospholipase A2/immunology , Retrospective Studies , Kidney/pathology , Kidney/physiopathology , Risk Factors , ROC Curve , Proteinuria
5.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0304649, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38820324

INTRODUCTION: Hyperphosphatemia and hyperparathyroidism are common in end-stage kidney disease and are associated with poor outcomes. In addition to adequate dialysis, medications are usually required for optimum control of serum phosphate and parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels. The use of calcium-based phosphate binders (CBPBs) and active vitamin D is associated with an increase in serum calcium and worsening vascular calcification. To overcome these limitations, non-calcium-based phosphate binders (NCBPBs) and calcimimetics have been developed. However, the coverage for these new medications remains limited in several parts of the world due to the lack of patient-level outcome data and cost. The present study examined the differences in mineral outcomes between two main categories of healthcare programs that provided different coverage for medications used to control mineral and bone disorders (MBD). The Social Security/Universal Coverage (SS/UC) program covered only CBPBs and active vitamin D, whereas the Civil Servant/State Enterprise (CS/SE) program provided coverage of CBPBs, active vitamin D, NCBPBs, and calcimimetics. METHODS: This 10-year retrospective cohort study examined the differences in mineral outcomes between two healthcare programs in maintenance hemodialysis patients. The differences in serum calcium, phosphate, and PTH levels, as well as the aortic arch calcification score, were analyzed according to dialysis vintage by linear mixed-effects regression analyses. The difference in the composite outcome of severe hyperparathyroidism and parathyroidectomy was analyzed by the Cox-proportional hazard regression model. RESULTS: 714 patients were included in the analyses (full cohort). Of these patients, 563 required at least one type of medication to control MBD (MBD medication subgroup). Serum calcium, phosphate, and the proportions of patients with hypercalcemia and hyperphosphatemia were substantially higher in the SS/UC group compared with the CS/SE group after appropriate adjustments for confounders in both the full cohort and the MBD medication subgroup. These findings were confirmed in propensity-score matched analyses. Higher parathyroid hormone levels and a higher rate of the composite endpoint of severe hyperparathyroidism and parathyroidectomy were also observed in the SS/UC group. A more rapid progression of aortic arch calcification was suggested in the SS/UC group, but between-group changes were not significant. CONCLUSION: Patients under the healthcare program that did not cover the use of NCBPBs and calcimimetics showed higher serum calcium and phosphate levels and a more rapid progression of hyperparathyroidism. The difference in the progression of vascular calcification could not be confirmed in the present study.


Calcimimetic Agents , Calcium , Hyperphosphatemia , Phosphates , Renal Dialysis , Humans , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Calcimimetic Agents/therapeutic use , Hyperphosphatemia/etiology , Hyperphosphatemia/drug therapy , Hyperphosphatemia/blood , Calcium/blood , Aged , Phosphates/blood , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Kidney Failure, Chronic/blood , Kidney Failure, Chronic/complications , Parathyroid Hormone/blood , Vitamin D/blood , Chelating Agents/therapeutic use
6.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0303055, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38820353

OBJECTIVE: To determine the long-term survival of patients receiving home hemodialysis (HHD) through self-punctured arteriovenous access. METHODS: We conducted an observational study of all patients receiving HHD at our facility between 2001 and 2020. The primary outcome was treatment survival, and it was defined as the duration from HHD initiation to the first event of death or technique failure. The secondary outcomes were the cumulative incidence of technique failure and mortality. Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify the predictive factors for treatment survival. RESULTS: A total of 77 patients (mean age, 50.7 years; 84.4% male; 23.4% with diabetes) were included. The median dialysis duration was 18 hours per week, and all patients self-punctured their arteriovenous fistula. During a median follow-up of 116 months, 30 treatment failures (11 deaths and 19 technique failures) were observed. The treatment survival was 100% at 1 year, 83.5% at 5 years, 67.2% at 10 years, and 34.6% at 15 years. Age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.07) and diabetes (aHR, 2.45) were significantly associated with treatment survival. Cardiovascular disease was the leading cause of death, and vascular access-related issues were the primary causes of technique failure, which occurred predominantly after 100 months from HHD initiation. CONCLUSION: This study showed a favorable long-term prognosis of patients receiving HHD. HHD can be a sustainable form of long-term kidney replacement therapy. However, access-related technique failures occur more frequently in patients receiving it over the long term. Therefore, careful management of vascular access is crucial to enhance technique survival.


Hemodialysis, Home , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Hemodialysis, Home/methods , Hemodialysis, Home/mortality , Adult , Arteriovenous Shunt, Surgical , Aged , Proportional Hazards Models , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Retrospective Studies
7.
Clin Transplant ; 38(5): e15329, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38722085

BACKGROUND: Immunosuppression reduction for BK polyoma virus (BKV) must be balanced against risk of adverse alloimmune outcomes. We sought to characterize risk of alloimmune events after BKV within context of HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch (mMM) risk score. METHODS: This single-center study evaluated 460 kidney transplant patients on tacrolimus-mycophenolate-prednisone from 2010-2021. BKV status was classified at 6-months post-transplant as "BKV" or "no BKV" in landmark analysis. Primary outcome was T-cell mediated rejection (TCMR). Secondary outcomes included all-cause graft failure (ACGF), death-censored graft failure (DCGF), de novo donor specific antibody (dnDSA), and antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR). Predictors of outcomes were assessed in Cox proportional hazards models including BKV status and alloimmune risk defined by recipient age and molecular mismatch (RAMM) groups. RESULTS: At 6-months post-transplant, 72 patients had BKV and 388 had no BKV. TCMR occurred in 86 recipients, including 27.8% with BKV and 17% with no BKV (p = .05). TCMR risk was increased in recipients with BKV (HR 1.90, (95% CI 1.14, 3.17); p = .01) and high vs. low-risk RAMM group risk (HR 2.26 (95% CI 1.02, 4.98); p = .02) in multivariable analyses; but not HLA serological MM in sensitivity analysis. Recipients with BKV experienced increased dnDSA in univariable analysis, and there was no association with ABMR, DCGF, or ACGF. CONCLUSIONS: Recipients with BKV had increased risk of TCMR independent of induction immunosuppression and conventional alloimmune risk measures. Recipients with high-risk RAMM experienced increased TCMR risk. Future studies on optimizing immunosuppression for BKV should explore nuanced risk stratification and may consider novel measures of alloimmune risk.


BK Virus , Graft Rejection , Graft Survival , Kidney Function Tests , Kidney Transplantation , Polyomavirus Infections , Tumor Virus Infections , Viremia , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , BK Virus/immunology , BK Virus/isolation & purification , Female , Male , Polyomavirus Infections/immunology , Polyomavirus Infections/virology , Polyomavirus Infections/complications , Middle Aged , Graft Rejection/etiology , Graft Rejection/immunology , Follow-Up Studies , Tumor Virus Infections/immunology , Tumor Virus Infections/virology , Viremia/immunology , Viremia/virology , Prognosis , Risk Factors , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Adult , Postoperative Complications , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Immunosuppressive Agents/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Kidney Failure, Chronic/immunology , Kidney Diseases/virology , Kidney Diseases/immunology , Kidney Diseases/surgery , Transplant Recipients
8.
Int J Esthet Dent ; 19(2): 152-169, 2024 May 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38726857

Implant-supported rehabilitation in high-risk patients poses significant challenges for the dental team. The presence of comorbidities and increased infection risk can, for example, lead to a higher risk of implant loss. For the therapy to be completed with as few complications as possible, special anamnesis, detailed diagnostics, and a risk analysis based on those findings are indispensable. The aim of all considerations is to keep the risk of infection for the patient with a disease history to a minimum and to strive for an appropriate functional and esthetic therapeutic success. Particularly in the esthetic zone, in addition to the general health risks of the surgical procedure, esthetic aspects are increasingly taken into account in planning. The present article describes the implant-prosthetic replacement of a single anterior tooth in a dialysis patient. Several aspects (regular dialysis, missing buccal lamella, high smile line, functional risk) increased the risk of complications in this case.


Renal Dialysis , Humans , Immediate Dental Implant Loading/methods , Female , Esthetics, Dental , Middle Aged , Dental Prosthesis, Implant-Supported , Dental Implants, Single-Tooth , Incisor , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Kidney Failure, Chronic/complications , Male
9.
Nephrol Nurs J ; 51(2): 143-152, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727590

A large portion of new patients with end stage kidney disease initiates dialysis in the acute setting and continue with outpatient dialysis at in-center facilities. To increase home dialysis adoption, programs have successfully operationalized Urgent Start peritoneal dialysis to have patients avoid in-center dialysis and move straight to home. However, Urgent Start home hemodialysis (HHD) has not been a realistic option for providers or patients due to complex machines and long training times (greater than four weeks). The landscape of dialysis treatment is evolving, and innovative approaches are being explored to improve patient outcomes and optimize health care resources. This article delves into the concept of directly transitioning incident patients from hospital admission to HHD, bypassing traditional in-center dialysis training. This forward-thinking approach aims to empower patients, enhance their treatment experience, maximize efficiency, and streamline health care operations. A large hospital organization in the Northeast was able to successfully transition three patients from hospital "crash" starts on hemodialysis directly to HHD.


Hemodialysis, Home , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Patient Education as Topic , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Patient Transfer
10.
Nephrol Nurs J ; 51(2): 165-172, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727592

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and depression often coexist, resulting in a complex interaction that can be detrimental to patient outcomes. This article examines the reciprocal association between CKD and depression, with a focus on the increased incidence of depression and the harmful effects of depressive symptoms among patients with CKD. Next, it investigates the role CKD plays as a risk factor for the onset and worsening of depression because symptoms of depression may interfere with the progression of CKD. In addition, it highlights the difficulties in making a suitable diagnosis between CKD progression and depression regarding overlapping symptoms. Finally, it emphasizes the impact of depression on CKD outcomes, and proposes routine screening and non-pharmacological and pharmaceutical therapies to ease this dual burden. It is critical to identify and treat depression in the context of CKD to maximize patient outcomes and promote a comprehensive treatment approach.


Depression , Humans , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/complications , Risk Factors , Kidney Failure, Chronic/complications
13.
Urolithiasis ; 52(1): 74, 2024 May 10.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727838

Primary hyperoxaluria type 2 (PH2) is a rare hereditary disease that causes nephrolithiasis, nephrocalcinosis and kidney failure. This study aimed to investigate the clinical features and mutational spectrum of Chinese patients with PH2. A retrospective cohort study was performed on PH2 patients admitted to our center over seven years. We also systematically reviewed all the articles on Chinese PH2 patients published from January 2000 to May 2023 and conducted a meta-analysis. A total of 25 PH2 patients (10 from our center and 15 from published studies) were included in this study. The median age of onset in patients from our center was 8.50 (1.00, 24.00) years, and 50% were male. Among the full cohort of 25 Chinese patients, the median age of onset was 8.00 (0.40, 26.00) years, and 64% of them were male. Seven patients progressed to end-stage kidney disease, with a median age of 27.50 (12, 31) years. The cumulative renal survival rates were 100%, 91.67%, 45.83% and 30.56% at 10, 20, 30 and 40 years of age, respectively. A total of 18 different variants were identified, and c.864_865del was the dominant variant, accounting for 57.69% of the total alleles. Patients who were heterozygous for c.864_865del were more susceptible to nephrocalcinosis than those who were homozygous for c.864_865del and those harboring other mutations (83.33% versus 33.3% and 0%, respectively) (p = 0.025). The clinical features and mutational spectrum of Chinese PH2 patients were described. This study helps to expand awareness of the phenotypes and genotypes of Chinese PH2 patients and contributes to the improvement of diagnostic and treatment strategies for PH2 patients.


Hyperoxaluria, Primary , Mutation , Humans , Hyperoxaluria, Primary/genetics , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Child , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult , China/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Asian People/genetics , Infant , Nephrocalcinosis/genetics , Nephrocalcinosis/epidemiology , Age of Onset , Kidney Failure, Chronic/genetics , East Asian People , Transaminases
16.
Clin Transplant ; 38(5): e15339, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38775413

Simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplantation (SPKT) is the best treatment for selected individuals with type 1 diabetes mellitus and end-stage renal disease. Despite advances in surgical techniques, donor and recipient selection, and immunosuppressive therapies, SPKT remains a complex procedure with associated surgical complications and adverse consequences. We conducted a retrospective study that included 263 SPKT procedures performed between May 2000, and December 2022. A total of 65 patients (25%) required at least one relaparotomy, resulting in an all-cause relaparotomy rate of 2.04 events per 100 in-hospital days. Lower donor body mass index was identified as an independent factor associated with reoperation (OR .815; 95% CI:  .725-.917, p = .001). Technical failure (TF) occurred in 9.9% of cases, primarily attributed to pancreas graft thrombosis, intra-abdominal infections, bleeding, and anastomotic leaks. Independent predictors of TF at 90 days included donor age above 36 years (HR 2.513; 95% CI 1.162-5.434), previous peritoneal dialysis (HR 2.503; 95% CI 1.149-5.451), and specific pancreas graft reinterventions. The findings highlight the importance of carefully considering donor and recipient factors in SPKT. The incidence of TF in our study population aligns with the recent series. Continuous efforts should focus on identifying and mitigating potential risk factors to enhance SPKT outcomes, thereby reducing post-transplant complications.


Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 , Graft Survival , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Kidney Transplantation , Pancreas Transplantation , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Female , Male , Pancreas Transplantation/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Kidney Transplantation/adverse effects , Adult , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Follow-Up Studies , Risk Factors , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Prognosis , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/surgery , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/complications , Graft Rejection/etiology , Middle Aged , Reoperation/statistics & numerical data , Kidney Function Tests , Survival Rate , Glomerular Filtration Rate
17.
BMC Nephrol ; 25(1): 163, 2024 May 11.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38734613

BACKGROUND: Peritonitis is a common and severe complication of peritoneal dialysis (PD). For comparative analysis standardized definitions as well as measurements and outcomes are crucial. However, most PD-related peritonitis studies have been using heterogenous definitions and variable methods to measure outcomes. The ISPD 2022 guidelines have revised and clarified numerous definitions and proposed new peritonitis categories and outcomes. METHODS: Between 1st January 2009 and 31st May 2023, 267 patients who started PD at our institution were included in the study. All PD-related peritonitis episodes that occurred in our unit during the study period were collected. The new definitions and outcomes of ISPD 2022 recommendations were employed. RESULTS: The overall peritonitis rate was 0.25 episode/patient year. Patient cumulative probability of remaining peritonitis-free at one year was 84.2%. The medical cure and refractory peritonitis rates were equal to 70.3 and 22.4%, respectively. Culture-negative peritonitis accounted for 25.6% of all specimens. The rates of peritonitis associated death, hemodialysis transfer, catheter removal and hospitalization were 6.8%, 18.3%, 18.7% and 64.4%, respectively. Relapsing, repeat, recurrent and enteric peritonitis accounted for 7.8%, 6.8%, 4.1% and 2.7% of all episodes, respectively. Catheter insertion, catheter related and pre-PD peritonitis were 4.2, 2.1 and 0.5%. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of PD-related peritonitis reports using standardized definitions and outcome measurements is of paramount importance to enhance clinical practice and to allow comparative studies.


Peritoneal Dialysis , Peritonitis , Humans , Peritonitis/etiology , Peritonitis/epidemiology , Male , Peritoneal Dialysis/adverse effects , Female , Middle Aged , Italy/epidemiology , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Adult , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Hospitalization
18.
Health Technol Assess ; 28(24): 1-54, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38768043

Background: Arteriovenous fistulas are considered the best option for haemodialysis provision, but as many as 30% fail to mature or suffer early failure. Objective: To assess the feasibility of performing a randomised controlled trial that examines whether, by informing early and effective salvage intervention of fistulas that would otherwise fail, Doppler ultrasound surveillance of developing arteriovenous fistulas improves longer-term arteriovenous fistula patency. Design: A prospective multicentre observational cohort study (the 'SONAR' study). Setting: Seventeen haemodialysis centres in the UK. Participants: Consenting adults with end-stage renal disease who were scheduled to have an arteriovenous fistula created. Intervention: Participants underwent Doppler ultrasound surveillance of their arteriovenous fistulas at 2, 4, 6 and 10 weeks after creation, with clinical teams blinded to the ultrasound surveillance findings. Main outcome measures: Fistula maturation at week 10 defined according to ultrasound surveillance parameters of representative venous diameter and blood flow (wrist arteriovenous fistulas: ≥ 4 mm and > 400 ml/minute; elbow arteriovenous fistulas: ≥ 5 mm and > 500 ml/minute). Mixed multivariable logistic regression modelling of the early ultrasound scan data was used to predict arteriovenous fistula non-maturation by 10 weeks and fistula failure at 6 months. Results: A total of 333 arteriovenous fistulas were created during the study window (47.7% wrist, 52.3% elbow). By 2 weeks, 37 (11.1%) arteriovenous fistulas had failed (thrombosed), but by 10 weeks, 219 of 333 (65.8%) of created arteriovenous fistulas had reached maturity (60.4% wrist, 67.2% elbow). Persistently lower flow rates and venous diameters were observed in those fistulas that did not mature. Models for arteriovenous fistulas' non-maturation could be optimally constructed using the week 4 scan data, with fistula venous diameter and flow rate the most significant variables in explaining wrist fistula maturity failure (positive predictive value 60.6%, 95% confidence interval 43.9% to 77.3%), whereas resistance index and flow rate were most significant for elbow arteriovenous fistulas (positive predictive value 66.7%, 95% confidence interval 48.9% to 84.4%). In contrast to non-maturation, both models predicted fistula maturation much more reliably [negative predictive values of 95.4% (95% confidence interval 91.0% to 99.8%) and 95.6% (95% confidence interval 91.8% to 99.4%) for wrist and elbow, respectively]. Additional follow-up and modelling on a subset (n = 192) of the original SONAR cohort (the SONAR-12M study) revealed the rates of primary, assisted primary and secondary patency arteriovenous fistulas at 6 months were 76.5, 80.7 and 83.3, respectively. Fistula vein size, flow rate and resistance index could identify primary patency failure at 6 months, with similar predictive power as for 10-week arteriovenous fistula maturity failure, but with wide confidence intervals for wrist (positive predictive value 72.7%, 95% confidence interval 46.4% to 99.0%) and elbow (positive predictive value 57.1%, 95% confidence interval 20.5% to 93.8%). These models, moreover, performed poorly at identifying assisted primary and secondary patency failure, likely because a subset of those arteriovenous fistulas identified on ultrasound surveillance as at risk underwent subsequent successful salvage intervention without recourse to early ultrasound data. Conclusions: Although early ultrasound can predict fistula maturation and longer-term patency very effectively, it was only moderately good at identifying those fistulas likely to remain immature or to fail within 6 months. Allied to the better- than-expected fistula patency rates achieved (that are further improved by successful salvage), we estimate that a randomised controlled trial comparing early ultrasound-guided intervention against standard care would require at least 1300 fistulas and would achieve only minimal patient benefit. Trial Registration: This trial is registered as ISRCTN36033877 and ISRCTN17399438. Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR135572) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 24. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.


For people with advanced kidney disease, haemodialysis is best provided by an 'arteriovenous fistula', which is created surgically by joining a vein onto an artery at the wrist or elbow. However, these take about 2 months to develop fully ('mature'), and as many as 3 out of 10 fail to do so. We asked whether we could use early ultrasound scanning of the fistula to identify those that are unlikely to mature. This would allow us to decide whether it would be practical to run a large, randomised trial to find out if using early ultrasound allows us to 'rescue' fistulas that would otherwise fail. We invited adults to undergo serial ultrasound scanning of their fistula in the first few weeks after it was created. We then analysed whether we could use the data from the early scans to identify those fistulas that were not going to mature by week 10. Of the 333 fistulas that were created, about two-thirds reached maturity by week 10. We found that an ultrasound scan 4 weeks after fistula creation could reliably identify those fistulas that were going to mature. However, of those fistulas predicted to fail, about one-third did eventually mature without further intervention, and even without knowing what the early scans showed, another third were successfully rescued by surgery or X-ray-guided treatment at a later stage. Performing an early ultrasound scan on a fistula can provide reassurance that it will mature and deliver trouble-free dialysis. However, because scans are poor at identifying fistulas that are unlikely to mature, we would not recommend their use to justify early surgery or X-ray-guided treatment in the expectation that this will improve outcomes.


Arteriovenous Shunt, Surgical , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Renal Dialysis , Ultrasonography, Doppler , Vascular Patency , Humans , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Arteriovenous Shunt, Surgical/adverse effects , Prospective Studies , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Aged , United Kingdom , Adult
19.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 13(10): e033001, 2024 May 21.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38726915

BACKGROUND: Higher cardiovascular health (CVH) score is associated with lower risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in the general population. However, it is unclear whether cumulative CVH is associated with CVD, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and death in patients with chronic kidney disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among individuals from the prospective CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study, we used the percentage of the maximum possible CVH score attained from baseline to the year 5 visit to calculate cumulative CVH score. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression was used to investigate the associations of cumulative CVH with risks of adjudicated CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure), ESKD, and all-cause mortality. A total of 3939 participants (mean age, 57.7 years; 54.9% men) were included. The mean (SD) cumulative CVH score attained during 5 years was 55.5% (12.3%). Over a subsequent median 10.2-year follow-up, 597 participants developed CVD, 656 had ESKD, and 1324 died. A higher cumulative CVH score was significantly associated with lower risks of CVD, ESKD, and mortality, independent of the CVH score at year 5. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CIs per 10% higher cumulative CVH score during 5 years were 0.81 (0.69-0.95) for CVD, 0.82 (0.70-0.97) for ESKD, and 0.80 (0.72-0.89) for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with chronic kidney disease stages 2 to 4, a better CVH status maintained throughout 5 years is associated with lower risks of CVD, ESKD, and all-cause mortality. The findings support the need for interventions to maintain ideal CVH status for prevention of adverse outcomes in the population with chronic kidney disease.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/mortality , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Prospective Studies , Aged , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Risk Assessment/methods , Time Factors , Cause of Death/trends , Risk Factors , Health Status , Prognosis
20.
Circ Heart Fail ; 17(5): e011173, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38742428

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is associated with poor outcomes in people with chronic kidney disease, yet it is unknown whether outcomes differ by HF subtype. This study aimed to examine associations of incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) versus HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) with progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and mortality. METHODS: We studied individuals with chronic kidney disease in the CRIC study (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) who were free of HF at cohort entry. Incident HF hospitalizations were adjudicated and classified into HFpEF (ejection fraction, ≥50%) or HFrEF (ejection fraction, <50%) based on echocardiograms performed during the hospitalization or at a research study visit. ESKD was defined as need for chronic dialysis or kidney transplant. Cox proportional hazards were used to evaluate the association of time-updated HF subtype with risk of ESKD and mortality, adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, and medication use. RESULTS: Among the 3557 study participants without HF at cohort entry, mean age was 57 years and mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 45 mL/min per 1.73 m2. A total of 682 participants had incident HF. Incidence rates for HFpEF and HFrEF were 0.9 (95% CI, 0.8-1.0) and 0.7 (95% CI, 0.6-0.8) per 100 person-years, respectively (Pdifference=0.005). Associations of incident HF with progression to ESKD were not statistically different for HFpEF (hazard ratio, 2.06 [95% CI, 1.66-2.56]) and HFrEF (hazard ratio, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.36-2.38]; P=0.42). The associations with mortality were stronger for HFrEF (hazard ratio, 2.73 [95% CI, 2.24-3.33]) compared with HFpEF (hazard ratio, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.65-2.40]; P=0.0002). CONCLUSIONS: In a chronic kidney disease population, the rates of HFpEF hospitalizations were greater than that of HFrEF. Risk of ESKD was high but not statically different across HF subtypes. There was a stronger association of HFrEF with mortality. Prevention and treatment of both HFpEF and HFrEF should be central priorities to improve outcomes in chronic kidney disease.


Heart Failure , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Stroke Volume , Humans , Stroke Volume/physiology , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Heart Failure/mortality , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/physiopathology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/complications , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/mortality , Aged , Disease Progression , Incidence , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Kidney Failure, Chronic/physiopathology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Glomerular Filtration Rate
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