Surgery's Rosetta Stone: Natural language processing to predict discharge and readmission after general surgery.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to examine the accuracy with which multiple natural language processing artificial intelligence models could predict discharge and readmissions after general surgery. METHODS: Natural language processing models were derived and validated to predict discharge within the next 48 hours and 7 days and readmission within 30 days (based on daily ward round notes and discharge summaries, respectively) for general surgery inpatients at 2 South Australian hospitals. Natural language processing models included logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers. RESULTS: For discharge prediction analyses, 14,690 admissions were included. For readmission prediction analyses, 12,457 patients were included. For prediction of discharge within 48 hours, derivation and validation data set area under the receiver operator characteristic curves were, respectively: 0.86 and 0.86 for Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers, 0.82 and 0.81 for logistic regression, and 0.82 and 0.81 for artificial neural networks. For prediction of discharge within 7 days, derivation and validation data set area under the receiver operator characteristic curves were, respectively: 0.82 and 0.81 for Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers, 0.75 and 0.72 for logistic regression, and 0.68 and 0.67 for artificial neural networks. For readmission prediction within 30 days, derivation and validation data set area under the receiver operator characteristic curves were, respectively: 0.55 and 0.59 for Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers and 0.77 and 0.62 for logistic regression. CONCLUSION: Modern natural language processing models, particularly Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers, can effectively and accurately identify general surgery patients who will be discharged in the next 48 hours. However, these approaches are less capable of identifying general surgery patients who will be discharged within the next 7 days or who will experience readmission within 30 days of discharge.

Artificial intelligence for predicting acute appendicitis: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Paediatric appendicitis may be challenging to diagnose, and outcomes difficult to predict. While diagnostic and prognostic scores exist, artificial intelligence (AI) may be able to assist with these tasks. METHOD: A systematic review was conducted aiming to evaluate the currently available evidence regarding the use of AI in the diagnosis and prognostication of paediatric appendicitis. In accordance with the PRISMA guidelines, the databases PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library were searched. This review was prospectively registered on PROSPERO. RESULTS: Ten studies met inclusion criteria. All studies described the derivation and validation of AI models, and none described evaluation of the implementation of these models. Commonly used input parameters included varying combinations of demographic, clinical, laboratory, and imaging characteristics. While multiple studies used histopathological examination as the ground truth for a diagnosis of appendicitis, less robust techniques, such as the use of ICD10 codes, were also employed. Commonly used algorithms have included random forest models and artificial neural networks. High levels of model performance have been described for diagnosis of appendicitis and, to a lesser extent, subtypes of appendicitis (such as complicated versus uncomplicated appendicitis). Most studies did not provide all measures of model performance required to assess clinical usability. CONCLUSIONS: The available evidence suggests the creation of prediction models for diagnosis and classification of appendicitis using AI techniques, is being increasingly explored. However, further implementation studies are required to demonstrate benefit in system or patient-centred outcomes with model deployment and to progress these models to the stage of clinical usability.

The clinical and genetic features of hereditary pancreatitis in South Australia.

OBJECTIVE: To characterise the clinical phenotypes and genetic variants of hereditary pancreatitis in people diagnosed in South Australia. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Cross-sectional study of people who received molecular diagnoses of hereditary pancreatitis from one of four major diagnostic services in South Australia, 1 January 2006 - 30 June 2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Genotypic and clinical features of people with hereditary pancreatitis, including age at onset, attack frequency, pain indices, use of opioid medications, and physical and mental health impact of hereditary pancreatitis. RESULTS: We identified 44 people from ten families who received molecular diagnoses of hereditary pancreatitis during 2006-21 (including 25 Indigenous people [57%] and 27 women [61%]): 36 with PRSS1, five with SPINK1, and three with PRSS1 and SPINK1 mutations (determined by whole exome sequencing). Symptom onset before the age of ten years was reported by 37 people (84%). Pancreatitis-related pain during the preceding four weeks was described as moderate or high by 35 people (79%); 38 people regularly used opioids (86%). Fifteen patients had diabetes mellitus (34%), and eight had undergone pancreatic surgery (18%). The estimated prevalence of hereditary pancreatitis was 1.1 (95% CI, 0.72-1.4) cases per 100 000 population for non-Indigenous and 71 (95% CI, 66-77) cases per 100 000 population for Indigenous South Australians. Among people with adult-onset chronic pancreatitis admitted to South Australian public hospitals during 2001-2019, the proportions of Indigenous people (12%) and women (38%) were smaller than we report for hereditary pancreatitis. CONCLUSION: The estimated prevalence of hereditary pancreatitis in South Australia is higher than in Europe. PRSS1 gene mutations are important causes, particularly among Indigenous young people.

The Epidemiology and Burden of Childhood Chronic Pancreatitis in South Australia.

OBJECTIVE: To assess longitudinal, population-based data on the prevalence and impact of chronic pancreatitis in children. STUDY DESIGN: Administrative data linkage was used to ascertain an index cohort consisting of all individuals who had an initial diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis before age 19 years in the South Australian public hospital system between June 2000 and June 2019. Age- and sex-matched controls were drawn from the general population of South Australia, children with type 1 diabetes, and children with type 2 diabetes. Main outcomes and measures included hospital visits, days in hospital, emergency department (ED) visits, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, education comparators, and incidence and prevalence estimates. RESULTS: A total of 73 incident cases were identified. The crude prevalence and incidence of pediatric chronic pancreatitis were estimated at 6.8/100 000 and 0.98/100 000 per year, respectively. Of the index cohort, 24 cases (32.8%) of pediatric chronic pancreatitis were identified as occurring in children of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander descent. Compared with matched general population controls, children with chronic pancreatitis averaged 11-fold more hospital visits, 5-fold more ED visits, and 9-fold more ICU admissions; spent 10-fold more days in the hospital; and had a 2-fold higher rate of absence from school (P < .001 for all). Similarly, children with chronic pancreatitis used substantially more health resources than children with type 1 or 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric patients with chronic pancreatitis consume a high volume of public health services and are significantly impacted in their ability to engage in education.

Improving quality and efficiency of care for advanced appendicitis in children.

BACKGROUND: Complicated appendicitis encompasses a spectrum of severity with heterogeneity in definition and substantial variation in care. Enhanced recovery after surgery or 'fast-track' protocols aim to reduce practice variation by standardizing care. These initiatives may improve quality and efficiency of care, preserve resources and expedite discharge. This study aims to evaluate the impact of a standardized Enhanced Recovery Pathway (ERP) on the post-operative recovery of children with a subset of complicated appendicitis termed 'advanced' appendicitis. METHODS: We defined advanced appendicitis as gangrenous or suppurative appendicitis without perforation, contained iatrogenic perforation, or localized purulent fluid. Children with operative findings reflecting these criteria were enrolled in the ERP protocol. Key protocol components include early upgrade of diet, avoidance of intravenous analgesia, abridged intravenous antibiotics, early ambulation and standardized discharge criteria. The study period was May 2018 to June 2019. A historical cohort was used as the comparator group. RESULTS: Outcomes for 44 children treated under the ERP were compared to 44 historical controls. There was a 20% reduction in median post-operative length of stay (1.80 vs. 2.24 days, p = 0.02). Intravenous analgesia was received by fewer patients (6.8% vs. 36.4%, p = 0.01) with significant reduction in antiemetic requirement (p = 0.03). No significant difference in 30-day complication rates was observed. CONCLUSION: Reduced post-operative length of stay and reduction in practice variation were achieved after implementation of a 'fast-track' protocol for children with advanced appendicitis. Additional benefits of this protocol include reduced provision of intravenous morphine analgesia, decreased resource use and cost savings.

Variation in ureteric re-implantation for Australian children.

BACKGROUND: Management options for vesicoureteric reflux are numerous, increasingly diversifying and debated. There is longstanding anecdotal opinion of inexplicable regional variation in vesicoureteric reflux management in Australia. This study investigates temporal trends in ureteric re-implantation for children, and variation between states and territories. METHODS: Ureteric re-implantation data for children aged 0-14 years were retrieved from the Medicare Benefits Scheme item reports database for the 20-year period from 1998-2017. Claims data were population adjusted for each state then standardized for age using Australian Bureau of Statistics records. National and regional trends were calculated using joinpoint regression. Comparison between eastern (New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, Tasmania, Australian Capital Territory) and western or central (Western Australia, South Australia) states was performed using the Mann-Whitney U-test. RESULTS: There were 4919 procedure rebate claims during the study period. A national decrease in claim rates of 6.3% per 100 000 children was identified (P < 0.001). This was derived from significant decreases observed in eastern states. There was a threefold higher claim rate in Western Australia and South Australia per annum compared to the remainder of the country (4.0 versus 12.6 per 100 000; P < 0.001). For the most recent 5 years of the study period, this difference increased to a sevenfold higher rate (1.6 versus 11.1; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: There has been a dramatic nationwide decline in the rate of ureteric re-implantation procedure claims. Regional disparity between each side of the country is widening. Further research is required to determine if this degree of variation is warranted or unwarranted. The observed regional variation facilitates opportunity for a nationwide pragmatic clinical trial.

Fast-track surgery for acute appendicitis in children: a systematic review of protocol-based care.

BACKGROUND: 'Fast-track' surgery protocols aim to standardize and rationalize post-operative care, with evidence of safety and efficacy in both uncomplicated and complicated childhood appendicitis. Generalization for broader adoption has been limited by variation in protocol design, including specific antibiotic choice, discharge criteria, post-operative monitoring and patient selection. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was performed to evaluate the current evidence underpinning fast-track protocols for childhood appendicitis and identify areas of consensus and controversy. RESULTS: About 33 studies met the inclusion criteria, including four prospective observational studies, 20 case-control studies, seven cohort studies and two randomized controlled trials studying uncomplicated (n = 9), complicated (n = 18) and mixed cohorts (n = 6). Reduction in length of hospital stay was almost universally reported, with equivalent or improved complication rates. Key themes of protocols included antibiotic choice and duration, discharge criteria and post-operative laboratory and radiographic testing. Rationalized analgesia is an underexplored aspect of protocol design, and a standardized definition of complicated appendicitis remains elusive. CONCLUSION: Standardized care of childhood appendicitis has been shown to be safe and effective in several local and international centres. Next steps include investigation of a complicated appendicitis protocol that integrates rationalized analgesia in appendicectomy recovery, and development of a consistent classification scheme for complicated disease to aid in identification of amenable cohorts.

Global trends in paediatric robot-assisted urological surgery: a bibliometric and Progressive Scholarly Acceptance analysis.

The inaugural robot-assisted urological procedure in a child was performed in 2002. This study aims to catalogue the impact of this technology by utilizing bibliographic data as a surrogate measure for global diffusion activity and to appraise the quality of evidence in this field. A systematic literature search was performed to retrieve all reported cases of paediatric robot-assisted urological surgery published between 2003 and 2016. The status of scientific community acceptance was determined using a newly developed analysis model named progressive scholarly acceptance. A total of 151 publications were identified that reported 3688 procedures in 3372 patients. The most reported procedures were pyeloplasty (n = 1923) and ureteral reimplantation (n = 1120). There were 16 countries and 48 institutions represented in the literature. On average, the total case volume reported in the literature more than doubled each year (mean value increase 236.6% per annum). The level of evidence for original studies remains limited to case reports, case series and retrospective comparative studies. Progressive Scholarly Acceptance charts indicate that robot-assisted techniques for pyeloplasty or ureteral reimplantation are yet to be accepted by the scientific community. Global adoption trends for robotic surgery in paediatric urology have been progressive but remain low volume. Pyeloplasty and ureteral reimplantation are dominant applications. Robot-assisted techniques for these procedures are not supported by high quality evidence at present. Next-generation robots are forecast to be smaller, cheaper, more advanced and customized for paediatric patients. Ongoing critical evaluation must occur simultaneously with expected technology evolution.

Can common serum biomarkers predict complicated appendicitis in children?

PURPOSE: As appendicitis in children can be managed differently according to the severity of the disease, we investigated whether commonly used serum biomarkers on admission could distinguish between simple and complicated appendicitis. METHODS: Admission white blood cell (WBC), neutrophil (NEU), and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were analysed by ROC curve, and Kruskal-Wallis and contingency tests. Patients were divided according to age and histology [normal appendix (NA), simple appendicitis (SA), complicated appendicitis (CA)]. RESULTS: Of 1197 children (NA = 186, SA = 685, CA = 326), 7% were <5 years, 55% 5-12, 38% 13-17. CA patients had higher CRP and WBC levels than NA and SA (p < 0.0001). NEU levels were lower in NA compared to SA or CA (p < 0.0001), but were similar between SA and CA (p = 0.6). CA patients had higher CRP and WBC levels than SA patients in 5-12- (p < 0.0001) and 13-17-year groups (p = 0.0075, p = 0.005), but not in <5-year group (p = 0.72, p = 0.81). We found CRP >40 mg/L in 58% CA and 37% SA (p < 0.0001), and WBC >15 × 109/L in 58% CA and 43% SA (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Admission CRP and WBC levels may help the clinician predict complicated appendicitis in children older than 5 years of age. Early distinction of appendicitis severity using these tests may guide caregivers in the preoperative decision-making process.

Laparoscopic Adjustable Gastric Banding in Australian Adolescents: Should It Be Done?

OBJECTIVE: There are very few studies on laparoscopic adjustable gastric banding (LAGB) in obese adolescents with follow up for more than 36 months, let alone good prospective data beyond 24 months in Australian adolescents. We aimed to evaluate medium term (>36 months) safety and efficacy of LAGB in adolescents with severe obesity. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study (March 2009-December 2015) in one tertiary referral hospital including obese adolescents (14-18 years) with a body mass index (BMI) >40 (or ≥35 with comorbidities) who consented to have LAGB. Exclusion criteria were syndromal causes of obesity, depression and oesophageal motility disorders. Main outcome measures include change in weight and BMI at 6, 12, 24, 36 and 48 months post LAGB; postoperative complications; and admissions. RESULTS: Twenty-one adolescents (median [interquartile range (IQR)] 17.4 [16.5-17.7] years, 9 males, mean ± SD BMI 47.3 ± 8.4 kg/m2) had a median follow up of 45.5 [32-50] months post LAGB. Follow up data were available for 16 adolescents. Weight and BMI improved significantly at all follow up times (all p < 0.01). The median maximum BMI loss was 10 [7.1-14.7] kg/m2. There were four minor early complications. Seven bands were removed due to weight loss failure/regain (two had also obstructive symptoms). CONCLUSIONS: We have shown in the longest prospective LAGB postoperative follow up study of Australian adolescents that LAGB improves BMI in the majority of adolescents without significant comorbidities. LAGB is still a reasonable option to be considered as a temporary procedure to manage severe obesity during adolescence.

Fast-track surgery for uncomplicated appendicitis in children: a matched case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Standardized post-operative protocols reduce variation and enhance efficiency in patient care. Patients may benefit from these initiatives by improved quality of care. This matched case-control study investigates the effect of a multidisciplinary criteria-led discharge protocol for uncomplicated appendicitis in children. METHODS: Key protocol components included limiting post-operative antibiotics to two intravenous doses, avoidance of intravenous opioid analgesia, prompt resumption of diet, active encouragement of early ambulation and nursing staff autonomy to discharge patients that met assigned criteria. The study period was from August 2015 to February 2016. Outcomes were compared with a historical control group matched for operative approach. RESULTS: Outcomes for 83 patients enrolled to our protocol were compared with those of 83 controls. There was a 29.2% reduction in median post-operative length of stay in our protocol-based care group (19.6 versus 27.7 h; P < 0.001). The rate of discharges within 24 h improved from 12 to 42%. There was no significant difference in complication rate (4.8 versus 7.2%; P = 0.51). Mean oral morphine dose equivalent per kilogram requirement was less than half (46%) that of control group patients (P < 0.001). Mean number of ondansetron doses was also significantly lower. Projected annual direct cost savings following protocol implementation was AUD$77 057. CONCLUSION: Implementation of a criteria-led discharge protocol at our hospital decreased length of stay, reduced variation in care, preserved existing low morbidity, incurred substantial cost savings, and safely rationalized opioid and antiemetic medication. These protocols are inexpensive and offer tangible benefits that are accessible to all health care settings.

Does Gastrostomy Placement With Concurrent Fundoplication Increase the Risk of Gastrostomy-related Complications?

OBJECTIVE: To compare the incidence of complications with a primary gastrostomy versus gastrostomy with concurrent fundoplication and evaluating the impact of the method of gastrostomy tube placement. Neurologically impaired children were compared with neurologically normal children. Two low profile devices were compared for longevity. METHODS: Ninety-eight patients (58 boys, mean age 4.66 years) with 107 gastrostomies inserted between April 2004 and May 2008 were included in this retrospective, single institution audit. Minimum follow-up period was 1 year. Specific complications reviewed were tube and site related. Logistic regression analysis examined the relationship between complications, type of procedure, method of placement, and neurological status. Survival analysis with log-rank test was used to compare the duration of the low-profile devices. RESULTS: There were 63 primary gastrostomies and 44 with concurrent fundoplication, 71 children were neurologically impaired. Mean (±SD) follow-up time was 35.6 ±â€Š1.4 months. There was a significant association between concurrent gastrostomy insertion with fundoplication and incidence of infection (odds ratio = 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-5.56, P = 0.02) and excoriation (odds ratio = 2.5, 95% CI 1.09-5.71, P = 0.015). There were no associations between the complications with gastrostomy placement and neurological status. Failure rate of the balloon device was significantly greater than the fixed bolster device with a Hazard Ratio for survival of 3.2 (95% CI 2.2-4.6). CONCLUSIONS: Gastrostomy site-related problems were more common than generally reported. There was a higher incidence of site infection and skin excoriation for gastrostomy placement with concurrent fundoplication. There was no significant difference in complications between the method of gastrostomy placement or neurological status. Balloon devices were changed 3 times more often than bolster retention devices.

Robotic surgery in children: adopt now, await, or dismiss?

The role of robot-assisted surgery in children remains controversial. This article aims to distil this debate into an evidence informed decision-making taxonomy; to adopt this technology (1) now, (2) later, or (3) not at all. Robot-assistance is safe, feasible and effective in selected cases as an adjunctive tool to enhance capabilities of minimally invasive surgery, as it is known today. At present, expectations of rigid multi-arm robotic systems to deliver higher quality care are over-estimated and poorly substantiated by evidence. Such systems are associated with high costs. Further comparative effectiveness evidence is needed to define the case-mix for which robot-assistance might be indicated. It seems unlikely that we should expect compelling patient benefits when it is only the mode of minimally invasive surgery that differs. Only large higher-volume institutions that share the robot amongst multiple specialty groups are likely to be able to sustain higher associated costs with today's technology. Nevertheless, there is great potential for next-generation surgical robotics to enable better ways to treat childhood surgical diseases through less invasive techniques that are not possible today. This will demand customized technology for selected patient populations or procedures. Several prototype robots exclusively designed for pediatric use are already under development. Financial affordability must be a high priority to ensure clinical accessibility.

Simplified technique for retrieval of large trichobezoars in children.

Trichobezoars are concentrations of indigestible hair or hair-like fibres within the proximal intestinal tract. In children, delayed presentation with large bezoar masses is not unusual as bezoar formation is an indolent process that takes many months or years before becoming symptomatic. Surgical management is challenging and becomes inevitable once a trichobezoar becomes more established. The standard approach involves a sizeable transverse or midline laparotomy. We describe a less invasive technique for extraction of large gastric trichobezoars via a mini-laparotomy. The key aspect to this technique involves insertion of an Alexis O Wound Protector/Retractor (Applied Medical, Rancho Santa Margarita, California, USA) into the stomach following creation of a secure temporary gastrostomy by hitching gastrotomy edges to the abdominal wall. This simplified approach has advantages of (1) secure and excellent direct intragastric access, (2) shorter operating time and (3) reliable protection of both the wound edges and peritoneal cavity from bezoar contamination.

Kasai hepatoportoenterostomy in South Australia: a case for 'centralized decentralization'.

BACKGROUND: Recent follow-up studies have demonstrated significant improvement in overall survival as well as survival with native liver following geographic centralization of services to three centres in the UK. However, this model has not been replicated in countries with relatively low population density such as Australia and Canada. METHODS: Retrospective evaluation of all patients born with biliary atresia (BA) in South Australia from 1989 to 2010 was performed. Thirty-one patients with BA were discovered. Two patients were excluded because the initial Kasai procedure (KP) was performed interstate. Outcome parameters measured were (i) clearance of jaundice (bilirubin of less than 20 µmol/L, by 6 months); (ii) survival with native liver; and (iii) overall survival. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted for both survival with native liver and overall survival. RESULTS: The incidence of BA in South Australia between 1989 and 2010 was 7.48 per 100,000 live births. Following KP, clearance of jaundice was achieved in 42.9% of patients. Five-year actuarial survival with native liver was 55.2%, and overall 5-year actuarial survival was 89.3%. CONCLUSIONS: The results of KP performed at Women's and Children's Hospital from 1989 to 2010 can be considered comparable with international benchmarks. Based on these results, we propose the creation of a 'centralized' pool of surgeons in Australia to help continue providing 'decentralized' care of BA.

Presentation of an umbilical cord cyst with a surprising jet: a case report of a patent urachus.

We report a baby with an unusual true umbilical cord cyst detected at 12 weeks gestation which as the pregnancy progressed became increasingly difficult to distinguish from a pseudocyst of the umbilical cord. Concern of the possibility of cord compression/cord accident led to an elective caesarean section being performed at 35+ week's gestation with delivery of a healthy female infant weighing 2170g. At birth the cyst ruptured and the resultant thickened elongated cord was clamped accordingly. After the cord clamp fell off at 5 days post delivery an elongated umbilical stump was left behind from which a stream of urine surprisingly jetted out from the umbilicus each time the baby cried. A patent urachus was confirmed on ultrasound and the umbilical jet of urine resolved at 4 weeks post delivery after treatment of an Escherichia coli urinary tract infection. At 11 weeks post delivery a laparoscopic excision of the urachus was successfully performed. The baby, now 18 months of age, continues to thrive without incident.

Successful treatment of disseminated mucormycosis in a neutropenic patient with T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia.

Mucormycosis is a rare angioinvasive fungal infection, more commonly seen in immunosuppressed patients, with reported mortality rates of 95% in disseminated disease. We present a case report of a patient with T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia who developed disseminated infection with mucormycosis (involving the pancreas, left occipital lobe, right lower lobe of lung, appendix and right kidney) after having completed induction and consolidation chemotherapy. Growth of Lichtheimia corymbifera was initially isolated following a right pleural tap with fungal elements identified repeatedly on subsequent pathology specimens. Following radical surgical debridement and concurrent treatment with combination antifungal therapy, the patient survived. This case demonstrates that aggressive multisite surgical de-bulking of disseminated fungal foci, in conjunction with combination antifungal therapy and reversal of immunosuppression, can result in survival despite the grave prognosis associated with disseminated mucormycosis.